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Hypertension

Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Hypertension's content profile, based on 32 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Recognition and Treatment of Primary Aldosteronism in the Updated Guideline Era

Tsai, C.-H.; Chang, Y.-C.; Chang, C.-C.; Wu, W.-C.; Chang, Y.-Y.; Chen, U.-L.; Lee, B.-C.; Hung, C.-S.; Huang, K.-H.; Chueh, J. S.; Wu, V.-C.; Lin, Y.-H.

2026-06-10 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355219 medRxiv
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Background: Primary aldosteronism (PA) is increasingly recognized as a common cause of hypertension. The 2025 Endocrine Society guideline introduced a simplified diagnostic framework, but its real-world clinical implications remain unclear. Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study of hypertensive patients undergoing PA testing in Taiwan. PA was defined biochemically according to the 2025 Endocrine Society criteria. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with PA diagnosis and aldosterone-targeted therapy. Among patients with suppressed renin (?1 ng/mL/h), restricted cubic splines evaluated the adjusted association between renin and PA probability. Results: Among 18,766 patients undergoing PA testing, 6,760 (36.0%) met diagnostic criteria for PA. PA was associated with older age, female sex, lower potassium, resistant hypertension, and a higher antihypertensive medication burden. Among patients with suppressed renin, lower renin remained significantly associated with higher adjusted PA probability. However, only 39.0% of patients with PA received aldosterone-targeted therapy, including 28.2% who received mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist therapy within 6 months and 9.4% who underwent adrenalectomy during follow-up. Lower renin, higher aldosterone, lower potassium, and resistant hypertension were associated with aldosterone-targeted therapy, while younger patients with fewer comorbidities were more likely to undergo adrenalectomy. Conclusions: Using the updated diagnostic framework, PA was highly prevalent among hypertensive patients undergoing PA testing. Nevertheless, many patients who met these biochemical criteria did not receive aldosterone-targeted therapy in routine care. These findings highlight the potential treatment implications of broader PA recognition and support the development of practical pathways to guide MRA therapy, adrenalectomy referral, and individualized management.

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Reprogramming of Iron and Oxygen Metabolism Across the Spectrum of Primary Aldosteronism

Parisien-La Salle, S.; Tsai, C. H.; Newman, A. J.; Heydarpour, M.; Mahrokhian, S.; Hanna, I.; Brown, J. M.; Waikar, S.; Moussa, M.; Vaidya, A.

2026-06-10 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355256 medRxiv
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Background: Pathologic aldosteronism induces oxidative stress, tissue injury, and increases in hemoglobin. Conversely, aldosterone antagonist therapy decreases hemoglobin. Whether these effects are attributable to aldosterone-mediated changes in iron and oxygen metabolism is unknown. Methods: The plasma proteome of participants with overt primary aldosteronism (PA) (n=50) was compared with participants without overt PA (n=61). To isolate aldosterone-dependent effects, participants without overt PA underwent oral sodium suppression testing to quantify the magnitude of renin-independent aldosterone production, enabling monotonic dose-response analyses across the continuum of renin-independent aldosteronism (subclinical to overt PA). Differential abundance testing was performed using empirical Bayes linear modeling, followed by Reactome pathway enrichment analysis and covariate-adjusted sensitivity analyses. To validate clinical relevance, aldosterone dose-response trends with blood count parameters were examined in this cohort, and an independent population-based cohort of 5,713 people with hypertension. Results: 903 proteins in the peripheral circulation were differentially abundant in overt PA versus participants without PA. The most significantly increased protein in overt PA was CYBRD1, involved in iron reduction and absorption. Pathway enrichment identified 16 iron- and heme-related pathways, including erythropoietin signaling, heme biosynthesis and mitochondrial iron-sulfur cluster biogenesis, with increases in heme and erythroid proteins and decreases in mitochondrial iron-sulfur proteins. Linear aldosterone dose-dependent trend analyses across the PA continuum further supported this signature, identifying progressive increases in hemoglobin subunits (HBA1/HBB), heme-related proteins (HMBS, UROS, AMBP, HPX, GLO1) and erythrocyte oxygen handling enzymes (CA1/CA3), alongside progressive reductions in mitochondrial electron transport chain subunits (CYCS, ETFA). These proteomic changes corresponded with aldosterone dose-dependent increases in red blood cell count, hemoglobin, and hematocrit, in this cohort and another population-based cohort. Conclusion: The continuum of PA is characterized by a progressive shift away from mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation and toward increased intestinal iron absorption, preferential iron transport over storage, and enhanced heme synthesis and recycling, possibly reflecting cellular pseudohypoxia and systemic adaptations to increase oxygen delivery. These findings provide a novel mechanistic basis for aldosterone-mediated tissue injury and the benefits of aldosterone-directed therapy.

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Development of Longitudinal, Linked Maternal-Infant Cohorts using the Epic Cosmos Electronic Health Record Dataset

Leonard, S. A.; Dysart, K.; Callahan, A.; Siadat, S.; Zhang, J.; Handley, S. C.; Huybrechts, K. F.; Igbinosa, I.; Bateman, B. T.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354757 medRxiv
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Background: Epic Cosmos is a relatively new centralized electronic health record dataset with high potential utility in perinatal epidemiologic research. Objectives: The study objectives were to develop replicable steps to create longitudinal, linked maternal-infant cohorts in Cosmos, assess completeness of key variables, evaluate potential selection bias with restrictions for longitudinal healthcare encounters, and provide an example epidemiologic analysis. Methods: We created maternal-infant cohorts by starting with live births during 2023-2024 recorded in the BirthFact data table and joining with additional data tables as needed. We selected and created variables for perinatal characteristics, common comorbidities, and routinely measured vital signs and laboratory values, and assessed variable completeness. We sequentially restricted the birth cohort for maternal-infant linkage and longitudinal healthcare from first-trimester prenatal care encounter through infant follow-up care within 12 weeks post-discharge from birth hospitalization. Finally, we conducted an example analysis of the association between high systolic blood pressure in the first trimester ([≥]140 mm Hg) and later onset of preeclampsia among those with chronic hypertension. Results: The total linked birth cohort included 2,624,186 pregnancies. Completeness was >90% for most variables assessed but was 77% for racial and ethnic group and 76% for body mass index at delivery. Characteristics of the cohort were similar to those reported for the entire United States birth population based on birth certificate data, including similar regional and racial-ethnic composition. Longitudinal cohort restriction requiring linked records from first trimester prenatal care through infant follow-up care reduced the cohort size to 509,148 pregnancies. However, restriction had minimal effects on cohort characteristics. In the example analysis, high systolic blood pressure was associated with increased risk of preeclampsia among those with chronic hypertension (aRR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.22, 1.30). Conclusions: This study provides a rigorous and reproducible approach to creating longitudinal, linked maternal-infant cohorts in Epic Cosmos and the analytical findings suggest high data quality and representativeness.

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Low-Dose Aspirin Adherence Following Objective cell-free RNA-Based Preeclampsia Risk Testing: A Real-World Survey Study

Moe, A. B.; Haverty, C.; Lee, M.; Hahn, S. E.; McElrath, T. F.; Jain, M.; Rasmussen, M.; Corso, A.; Larson, M. L.; Morrison, H.; Melroy, L. M.; Roofeh, J.; Phelps-Sandall, B.; Kiefer, D.; Biggio, J. R.

2026-06-10 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355195 medRxiv
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Introduction: Preeclampsia (PE) is a leading cause of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality, and low-dose aspirin (LDA) prophylaxis is the cornerstone of evidence-based prevention. Despite guideline recommendations, LDA adherence remains poor, with 10-25% of moderate-risk patients taking aspirin. Objective personalized risk stratification using biomarkers has been shown to motivate behavior change in other disease contexts. Survey data suggest that patients are more motivated to take aspirin if informed by an objective predictive test. Here, we report real-world LDA adherence among patients who received a high-risk result from a cell-free RNA (cfRNA) PE risk prediction test. Methods: This retrospective, observational survey study included asymptomatic patients of advanced maternal age (AMA; [&ge;] 35 years at delivery) with singleton pregnancies without USPSTF-defined preexisting high-risk conditions for PE who received the cfRNA PE risk prediction test. Patients who opted in to receive text message surveys were asked about LDA use following receipt of test results. High adherence was defined as reporting LDA use on at least 6 of 7 days per week at least 85% of the time surveyed. The primary analysis included patients with a high-risk test result and at least one LDA frequency survey response following receipt of test result. The observed proportion of adherent patients was compared to a baseline estimate of 25% using an exact binomial test. Results: Of 166 patients who received a cfRNA PE risk prediction test result, 48 (28.9%) received a high-risk result. Of these, 29 (60%) opted in and responded to at least one survey, constituting the primary analysis population. Twenty-seven of the 29 (93.1%; 95% CI: 78.0-98.1%) were classified as highly adherent, significantly higher than the 25% baseline adherence estimate for moderate-risk patients (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Among surveyed patients who received a high-risk cfRNA PE test result, the proportion classified as highly adherent to LDA (93%) substantially exceeded published estimates of adherence in a similar patient population and met the clinically meaningful threshold of [&ge;] 80% associated with reduced risk of preterm preeclampsia. These findings indicate that objective and personalized biomarker risk testing may be a powerful driver of behavior change that current guidelines have failed to produce.

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Genotype is a predictor of blood pressure variability and relative systemic hypertension risk in sickle cell disease

Bowers, A. S. A.; Henry, K.; McConnell, B.; Francis, C.; Thaxter-Nesbeth, K.

2026-06-10 hematology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355049 medRxiv
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Background Blood pressure (BP) regulation in individuals with sickle cell disease (SCD) is influenced by a complex interplay of genetic and physiological factors. While SCD has traditionally been associated with lower BP, there is an increased risk of hypertension. Emerging BP research suggests significant heterogeneity across genotypes, age groups, and sex. Objectives: This study investigated the longitudinal effects of population-level characteristics and continuous clinical and laboratory predictors on systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in individuals with SCD, with emphasis on the interactions between baseline and predicted blood pressure slopes over time. Methods We retrospectively analyzed longitudinal data from a cohort of 2,739 patients with diverse SCD genotypes. Descriptive statistics were documented across sex, age range, genotype, health status and relative systemic hypertension risk categories (rHTN-risk). Linear mixed-effects models provided estimates of fixed- and random-effects of baseline BP and of time-related BP effects, respectively. Post-estimation margins provided contrasts of baseline-adjusted BP means and of pre-specified time effects on BP patterns. Results Males had significantly higher baseline SBP ({beta} = 6.64, p < 0.001) but lower baseline DBP ({beta} = -2.61, p < 0.001) compared with age-matched HbSS females. Baseline SBP was more unstable compared with baseline DBP and baseline DBP was more predictive of future BP trends than baseline SBP. Genotype was a consistent predictor of DBP (p < 0.05), but not of SBP. Similarly, we observed increased risks of relative diastolic hypertension across most genotypes, while the prevalence and magnitude of systolic hypertension was lower across all genotype compared with HbSS. Conclusions Blood pressure trajectories in SCD patients are not uniform and are significantly related to genotype, age group and sex over time. Baseline diastolic levels were less heterogenous and exhibited clear upward trajectories over time. These findings support the need for patient-specific BP surveillance in the care and management of SCD.

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Perceived Social Support and Self-Efficacy as Mediators Between Health Literacy and Quality of Life Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults with Hypertension: A Cross-Sectional Study in Six Central Provinces of China

Zhao, Y.; Yun, Y.; Bai, T.; Xiong, L.; Ruan, Y.; Zhao, H.; Wang, W.; Wang, F.

2026-06-08 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355051 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: The onset of hypertension occurs at a younger age in China, and the relationship between health literacy and quality of life among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients remains unclear. This study explored whether perceived social support and self-efficacy mediate the association between health literacy and quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. Methods: A questionnaire was administered to 1,015 middle-aged and older hypertensive adults from communities in six central provinces of China. The EQ-5D scale, Perceived Social Support (PSS) scale, Self-Efficacy Scale (SES), and Health Literacy Scale (HLS) were used to assess quality of life, social support, self-efficacy, and health literacy, respectively. Mplus 8.3 software was used to construct a structural equation model for path analysis. Results: The mean PSS, SES, HLS, EQ-5D, and EQ-VAS scores were 15.57{+/-}3.45, 10.61{+/-}2.41, 9.49{+/-}2.86, 0.88{+/-}0.18, and 71.06{+/-}17.49, respectively. Health literacy and quality of life scores significantly differed among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients, and both showed positive correlations with perceived social support and self-efficacy (both P<0.001). Perceived social support and self-efficacy exhibited a chain mediated effect on the relationship between health literacy and quality of life (EQ-5D utility index and EQ-VAS), accounting for 28.57% of the total effect of the EQ-5D utility index and 27.26% of that of the EQ-VAS. This study is the first to elucidate the mechanism by which health literacy influences quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients through the chain-mediated effect of perceived social support and self-efficacy. Conclusion : Health literacy is significantly correlated with quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. This correlation can directly or indirectly explain the impact on quality of life through mediating pathways involving perceived social support and self-efficacy. Keywords: hypertensive patients, perceived social support, self-efficacy, health literacy, quality of life, mediating effect

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Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential Refines Cardiovascular Risk Stratification in Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Stages 0-3

Lu, J.; Sun, S.; Deng, Z.; Wang, S.; Wei, C.; Jiang, S.; Li, W.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354963 medRxiv
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Background: Chronic low-grade inflammation drives cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), an age-related driver of systemic inflammation, is linked to several cardiometabolic disorders. However, whether CHIP modifies CKM progression and contributes to heterogeneity in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk within the CKM framework remains uninvestigated. Methods: This cohort study included 307,025 UK Biobank participants at CKM stages 0-3 free of baseline CVD. CHIP status was identified via whole-exome sequencing (WES). The association between CHIP and baseline CKM severity was examined, along with the independent and joint effects of CHIP and CKM stages on incident CVD risk. The joint effects of CHIP and polygenic risk scores (PRS) were further assessed, and the incremental predictive value of incorporating CHIP into the AHA PREVENT equations was evaluated. Results: CHIP carriers were more likely to present with advanced CKM stages [OR 1.14 (1.09-1.20), P < 0.001] and exhibited higher incident CVD risk during follow-up [HR 1.13 (1.08-1.18), P < 0.001]. Significant joint effects between CHIP and CKM stages were observed, with the highest risk among CHIP carriers at CKM stage 3 [HR 1.63 (1.50-1.78), P < 0.001]. Large or multiple CHIP mutations conferred greater hazards, with distinct gene-specific effects observed. Moreover, CHIP and high genetic risk also jointly amplified CVD susceptibility. Most importantly, incorporating CHIP into AHA PREVENT significantly improved risk discrimination. Conclusions: CHIP is a significant risk factor associated with more advanced CKM stages and amplifies incident CVD risk. Integrating CHIP into existing prevention strategies may refine CVD risk stratification.

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Resolving Diagnostic Discordance in Group 2 Pulmonary Hypertension Through Staged Physiologic Testing: Insights From PVDOMICS

Rischard, F.; PVCOMICS Study Group, ; Mendoza, M.; Insel, M.; Beck, G.; Erzurum, S.; Frantz, R. P.; Finet, J. E.; Hassoun, P.; Hemnes, A. R.; Hill, N. S.; Horn, E. M.; Leopold, J. A.; Mathai, S. C.; Mehra, R.; Reddy, Y. N. V.; Rosenzweig, E. B.; Systrom, D. M.; Tang, W. H. W.; Waxman, A.; Borlaug, B. A.

2026-06-10 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354961 medRxiv
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Background World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension (WSPH) Group 2 pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a clinically integrated phenotype attributed to left heart disease, whereas pre- versus post-capillary classification is operationalized primarily by pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP). Although current recommendations emphasize contextual interpretation and provocative testing for intermediate PCWP values, the relationship between PCWP-based classification and underlying phenotype has not been systematically evaluated. We aim to quantify phenotype-hemodynamic discordance across the PCWP spectrum and evaluate a staged physiology-guided framework incorporating inhaled nitric oxide (iNO), ventricular geometry, and provocative testing. Methods We studied 1,032 participants from the NHLBI-sponsored PVDOMICS cohort with multidisciplinary adjudicated phenotypes integrating clinical, imaging, physiologic, and hemodynamic data. Stage-specific PCWP thresholds classified pre- versus post-capillary physiology at rest, during iNO, and during provocation (fluid challenge or invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing [iCPET]). Echocardiographic right ventricular-to-left ventricular (RV/LV) ratio was evaluated as a marker of ventricular interdependence. Restricted cubic spline and staged concordance analyses defined certainty-based PCWP ranges and incremental diagnostic yield. Results Adjudicated Group 2 phenotype was present in 37.0% of participants. Resting PCWP demonstrated good discrimination (AUC 0.86), but substantial bidirectional phenotype-hemodynamic discordance persisted across intermediate PCWP ranges. At a resting PCWP of 12 mmHg, 25% of participants classified as pre-capillary had adjudicated Group 2 PH, whereas at 18 mmHg, 35% classified as post-capillary remained discordant non-Group 2. Concordance did not approach 90% until PCWP values were <9 mmHg or >24 mmHg. Dynamic testing incrementally improved concordance within these overlap zones. Nearly half of adjudicated Group 2 PH participants (46.5%) were not identified by resting PCWP alone; incorporation of iNO and provocative testing increased cumulative Group 2 identification by 63.4% and improved sensitivity from 79.9% to 83.7%. Model discrimination improved from an AUC of 0.863 to 0.908 (likelihood-ratio P<0.001). iNO increased PCWP in discordant Pre/G2 participants, unmasking latent left-sided limitation, while lowering PCWP in discordant Post/NonG2 participants, consistent with ventricular interdependence. RV/LV ratio [&ge;]0.94 reduced discordant Post/NonG2 classification by 70.5%, and incorporation of PCWP/cardiac output slope improved physiologic specificity during exercise. Conclusions Group 2 PH is a dynamic, load-dependent phenotype inadequately characterized by resting PCWP alone. Intermediate PCWP values represent continuous probabilities of bidirectional discordance rather than discrete diagnostic states. A staged physiology-guided approach integrating iNO, ventricular geometry, and provocative testing improves concordance between hemodynamic classification and clinically integrated phenotype assignment.

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Impact of Early Treatment on Symptom Improvement and Procedural Events among Men with BPH and Bothersome Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms: A Contemporary Analysis of the American Urological Association Quality (AQUA) Registry

Ernandez, J.; Najafi, A.; Roehrborn, C. G.; Lerner, L. B.

2026-06-10 urology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355194 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: As the armamentarium of BPH therapies continues to expand, it remains imperative to maximize patient satisfaction and minimize decisional regret. We sought to determine the impact of time from BPH diagnosis to index treatment on symptom improvement and subsequent procedural events. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We queried the American Urological Association Quality Registry for men [&ge;] 40 years old with BPH, available IPSS data, and no receipt of prior BPH treatment. Index treatment included medication, surgery, or minimally invasive surgical therapy (MIST). Outcomes included IPSS over 3 years of follow-up, change in percentage of mild lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) by 3 months, and time to procedural event. Patients were stratified by time from index diagnosis to treatment by <12 months, 1-3 years, and >3 years. Outcomes were compared across time-to-treatment cohorts with appropriate statistical tests with p < 0.05 as significant. RESULTS: 43,919 patients met criteria with 19,642 pursuing treatments. Patients pursued treatment at comparably lower baseline IPSS compared to prior prospective series. Patients undergoing surgery and MIST had significantly higher baseline IPSS, while medical comorbidities were significantly more common among men initiating pharmacotherapy. Early surgery and MIST were associated with significant improvement in IPSS within 6-12 months and an increase in mild LUTS by 3 months. All forms of early treatment were associated with delayed time to procedural events, including catheterization and fulguration. CONCLUSIONS: Early procedural intervention for BPH is associated with early symptom improvement and delayed time to procedural events among real-world, contemporary practice.

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Shared epigenetic regulation acting on neuroimmune pathways contributes to the comorbidity between generalized anxiety disorder and COVID-19

Karaca, S.; Cabrera Mendoza, B.; He, J.; Qiu, D.; Davtian, D.; Lacobelle, A.; Nunez, Y. Z.; Krystal, J. H.; Pietrzak, R. H.; Gelernter, J.; Polimanti, R.

2026-06-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354830 medRxiv
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Background: The biological mechanisms linking generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) and COVID-19 remain poorly understood, despite substantial evidence of their comorbidity. To address this gap, we examined genetic and epigenetic factors underlying their co-occurrence. Methods: In a multi-ancestry sample of 893 participants, we conducted genome-wide and epigenome-wide analyses of GAD and COVID-19 severity. Integrating large-scale genome-wide datasets and information regarding methylation quantitative trait loci, complementary analytic approaches were used to identify regional methylation patterns, assess genetically regulated DNA methylation in blood and brain tissue, and evaluate causal loci shared between GAD and COVID-19. Results: GAD was associated with epigenome-wide significant variation in loci involved in chromatin regulation and synaptic signaling. Conversely, COVID-19-related epigenetic signals were enriched in immune-inflammatory and host-response pathways. Mild COVID-19 was epigenetically related to endothelial-inflammatory signals, while severe COVID-19 was linked to epigenetic changes implicated in myeloid and thrombo-inflammatory pathways. Epigenetic signals shared between GAD and COVID-19 implicated processes related to stress adaptation and tissue homeostasis. Genetically informed analyses identified 60 shared loci, including MAPT, ZFP57, and FBXL18, indicating pleiotropy between GAD and COVID-19 in genetically regulated DNA methylation variation. Brain-specific analyses further highlighted convergence in additional loci (i.e., MICB and HLA-DPB1), suggesting neuroimmune mechanisms underlying GAD-COVID-19 shared methylation patterns. Conclusions: These findings support that GAD and COVID-19 share epigenetic and genetic architecture involving pathways related to vascular integrity, immune function, and cellular adaptation, highlighting a potential neuroimmune basis for their co-occurrence.

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CarotidMamba: Foundation Model-Enabled CTA Phenotyping of Symptomatic Carotid Plaques in a Multi-Center Retrospective Study

Liu, Y.-S.; Dou, X.-W.; Zheng, P.-Y.; Feng, W.; Ma, L.-J.; You, Y.-N.; Shao, G.-W.; Shen, J.-G.; Yu, X.; Qiao, C.; Cheng, Z.-W.; Li, Z.-W.; Su, F.; Zhang, B.-W.; Qu, X.-H.; Jiang, g.

2026-06-05 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354776 medRxiv
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Background: Treatment decisions for carotid atherosclerotic disease rely primarily on luminal stenosis, although plaque vulnerability and symptomatic status better reflect short-term cerebrovascular risk. A scalable CTA tool for automated phenotyping of symptomatic carotid disease is lacking. Materials & Methods: In this multi-institutional retrospective study, 689 patients (mean age, 67.9 {+/-} 7.7 years; 366 men) from four hospitals were analyzed after screening 705 CTA examinations. 423 patients from one center were used for five-fold development and internal validation, and 266 patients from three centers for independent external validation. CarotidMamba, a deep learning framework combining dual foundation-model encoders with Mamba-based sequence modeling, was developed and benchmarked against clinical, radiomics, clinic-radiomics, CNN, and transformer comparators. Results: In the development cohort, CarotidMamba achieved an AUC of 0.839 (95% CI, 0.799-0.879) and accuracy of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.793-0.857), outperforming the strongest comparator by 0.066 and 0.050, respectively. External validation yielded AUCs of 0.897 (95% CI, 0.835-0.959) in YCH, 0.809 (95% CI, 0.720-0.898) in DCH, and 0.762 (95% CI, 0.649-0.875) in GH-NTC. CarotidMamba showed the lowest Brier score and expected calibration error across cohorts, with calibration slopes near 1.0. Conclusion: CarotidMamba provides an interpretable, clinically oriented, and externally validated CTA framework for phenotyping symptomatic carotid plaques, supporting vulnerability-aware imaging assessment beyond stenosis alone.

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Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease in China, 1990-2021: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Wang, M.; Zhao, T.; Wang, H.; Hou, S.; Fu, Y.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355056 medRxiv
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Introduction: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) in China in 2021 and its trends between 1990 and 2021, in the context of significant population growth and lifestyle changes over the past 30 years that have likely influenced the CKD spectrum. Methods: Data on CKD prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated decadal percentage changes were calculated to evaluate changes in trends in prevalence, mortality and disease burden. Results: In 2021, an estimated 118.4 (95% UI 109.4 to 127.5) million people in China were affected by CKD, contributing to 204 230 (95% UI 164 736 to 246 372) deaths and 6.13 (95% UI 5.18 to 7.21) million DALY. Although CKD due to diabetes mellitus and hypertension accounted for less than a quarter of all cases, they were responsible for over 90% of CKD-related deaths. Over the past three decades, CKD mortality and DALY rates have steadily increased, although the prevalence has stabilized in the last decade. Diabetes mellitus type 2 and hypertension have emerged as key drivers of CKD burden in China. Conclusions: The CKD burden in China shows a dual pattern of rising incidence and high mortality from diabetes and hypertension-related chronic kidney disease, alongside persistently high years lived with disability from glomerulonephritis and other causes.

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Polygenic risk of cardiovascular disease manifests in cardiac structure and function

Felici, B.; Ritchie, S. C.; Khullar, S.; Foguet, C.; Persyn, E.; Manikpurage, H. D.; Liu, Y.; Lambert, S. A.; Ip, S.; Rudd, J. H. F.; Inouye, M.

2026-06-08 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354998 medRxiv
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Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are highly heritable, but pathogenesis at the organ and physiological level is still poorly defined. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), which estimate individual genetic susceptibility to a disease, may allow for the identification of associated abnormal organ structures. Ultimately, identifying where cardiovascular polygenic risk manifests can guide early interventions, shape mechanistic hypotheses, and motivate prevention trials for cardiac remodelling. This study investigated the association between PRSs for five common CVDs [heart failure (HF), coronary artery disease (CAD), atrial fibrillation (AF), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and ischaemic stroke (IS)] and 28 imaging-derived phenotypes (IDPs) from cardiac magnetic resonance imaging of ~62,000 participants in UK Biobank. To investigate the cardiac features associated with elevated polygenic risk of CVDs, we tested CVD PRSs against cardiac IDPs and identified 97 significant associations (FDR [&le;] 0.05). We further identified 32 significant putative mediators between CVD PRSs and incident disease events, revealing that across CVDs, polygenic risk manifested as distinct patterns in cardiac structures. HF implicated all cardiac chambers, including left ventricular and left atrial dysfunction alongside enlarged aorta. AF was characterised by biatrial enlargement and reduced ejection fractions, most prominently in the left atrium but also involving left ventricular wall thickness. IS exhibited left ventricular hypertrophy and left atrial dysfunction, while CAD predominantly involved left ventricular hypertrophy. AAA was primarily characterised by enlarged descending aorta. Overall, cardiac IDPs mediated a substantial proportion of polygenic risk for CVDs, in particular for HF. Taken together, our results show that cardiac structure and function lie on the pathway between polygenic risk and cardiovascular events.

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Beyond Genotype: Multidomain Biomarker-Integrated Risk Scores Reveal Prognostic phenotypes Among Individuals with High-Risk APOL1 Genotypes

Vasquez Rios, G.; Chauhan, K.; Naik, N.; Pattharanitima, P.; Chan, L.; Campbell, K. N.; Nadkarni, G. N.; Coca, S. G.

2026-06-05 nephrology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354877 medRxiv
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Introduction: APOL1 high-risk variants markedly increase susceptibility to kidney disease among individuals of African ancestry; however, only a subset of carriers develops clinically significant CKD or ESKD. This discrepancy highlights a gap between genetic risk and clinical trajectory. Current prognostic tools rely primarily on eGFR and albuminuria, which incompletely reflect the underlying biological processes driving APOL1-associated kidney injury. We hypothesized that plasma biomarkers reflecting inflammatory and tubular injury pathways could identify biologically active disease states within this genetically high-risk population and improve prognostic stratification. Methods: Participants from the Mount Sinai BioMe Biobank carrying two APOL1 high-risk alleles (G1, G1; G1, G2; or G2 G2) were followed for a median of 6 years. Baseline plasma biomarkers of inflammation and tubular injury (TNFR1, TNFR2, KIM-1, MCP-1, YKL-40, IL-18, suPAR) were measured. The composite outcome was sustained 40% decline in eGFR or ESKD. Multivariable Cox models assessed associations between biomarkers and outcomes. A weighted biomarker risk score was derived from tertile-based hazard ratios and categorized into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups. Results: Among 498 participants (median eGFR 83 ml/min/1.73 m2), 80 (16.1%) reached the composite outcome. Higher concentrations of TNFR1, TNFR2, suPAR, KIM-1, and IL-18 were independently associated with kidney events after multivariable adjustment. Event rates were 7% in the low-risk group, 16% in the moderate-risk group, and 36% in the high-risk group. Conclusions: Plasma biomarkers reflecting inflammatory and tubular injury pathways reveal marked heterogeneity in kidney outcomes among individuals with high-risk APOL1 genotypes. Integration of these signals into a biology-weighted score identifies distinct prognostic phenotypes beyond genotype and traditional clinical measures, supporting multidomain biomarker frameworks for risk stratification and potential trial enrichment in APOL1-associated kidney disease.

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Frozen elephant trunk repair in heritable thoracic aortic disease: Impact of genetic aortopathy on long-term outcomes - A multicenter analysis

Berger, T.; Peterss, S.; Pitts, L.; Kempfert, J.; Nucera, M.; Yildiz, M.; Holubec, T.; Haas, I.; Czerny, M.; Kreibich, M.; Kletzer, J.; Discher, P.; Bialczak, J.; Demal, T. J.; Detter, C.; Gasser, S.; Luehr, M.; Alokhina, A.; Tsagakis, K.; Dohle, D.-S.; Pfeiffer, P.; Radner, C.; Pichlmaier, M.; Goebel, N.; Rylski, B.; Arnold, Z.; Grabenwoeger, M.; Stelzmueller, M.-E.; Dumfarth, J.; Schoenhoff, F. S.; Brickwedel, J.

2026-06-10 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355316 medRxiv
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Aims This multicenter study aims to compare outcomes of total aortic arch replacement (TAR) using the frozen elephant trunk (FET) technique in patients with and without heritable thoracic aortic disease (HTAD) and to assess whether HTAD influences postprocedural adverse aortic events (AAEs). Methods From 06/2007 to 05/2024, aortic databases from 13 European centers were screened for HTAD patients undergoing TAR with FET. All consecutive dissection and aneurysm non-HTAD patients from the four core centers served as comparator. The primary outcome was AAE, a composite of diameter progression, distal stent graft induced new entry (dSINE), malperfusion, rupture and pseudoaneurysm at 5 years after FET implantation. Results Of 2739 FET patients, 196 (7.2%) were diagnosed with HTAD. The control group consisted of 867 non-HTAD FET patients. Marfan syndrome was the most common condition (72%), followed by Loeys-Dietz syndrome (11%), vascular Ehlers-Danlos syndrome (5.6%) and Turner syndrome (2.0%). Seventeen (8.8%) patients were diagnosed with ns-HTAD. At 5 years 46 (24%) AAEs occurred in the HTAD group, 169 (20%) in the non-HTAD group (p=0.2). Diameter progression was the most common event (10% vs. 12%; p=0.6), followed by dSINE (5.8% vs. 4.5%; p=0.5), malperfusion (4.2% vs. 3.3%; p=0.5), rupture (2.1% vs. 0.7%; p=0.09) and pseudoaneurysm (0.5% vs. 0.2%; p=0.5). Conclusions The FET technique appears safe and effective for acute and chronic aortic disease in HTAD patients, with outcomes comparable to non-HTAD cases and no increase in graft-related complications, challenging traditional concerns about stent graft use in genetically mediated aortic disease.

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Does ECG-Based AI Detect Aortic Stenosis Beyond Conventional LVH Criteria? An Analysis of the CLIDAS Database

Shimada, T.; Kodera, S.; Sawano, S.; Guan, J.; Saitoh, W.; Wakasa, S.; Ito, S.; Yanagishita, T.; Hayashi, Y.; Shibata, A.; Ito, A.; Otsuka, K.; Higashikuni, Y.; Okamura, H.; Tsujita, K.; Node, K.; Yamaguchi, O.; Makimoto, H.; Kabutoya, T.; Imai, Y.; Nakayama, M.; Sato, H.; Fujita, H.; Kohro, T.; Matoba, T.; Takeda, N.; Fukuda, D.; Nagai, R.

2026-06-08 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355087 medRxiv
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Background: Aortic stenosis (AS) is a progressive valvular disease associated with poor prognosis once symptoms develop, yet routine echocardiographic screening is impractical. While artificial intelligence (AI)-based electrocardiogram (ECG) models have shown promise for AS detection, it remains unclear whether they primarily reflect conventional left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) voltage criteria or capture additional ECG features. Methods and Results: We developed a deep learning model using 244,816 ECGs from 51,713 patients across six academic institutions in Japan (CLIDAS database). AS labels were derived from inpatient Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) codes. The model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.849 (95% confidence interval 0.832-0.865) in the independent test cohort, with consistent performance across institutions, sex, and age. At a threshold of 0.1, sensitivity was 79.1%, specificity was 73.9%, and negative predictive value (NPV) was 98.0%. Conventional LVH voltage criteria (Sokolow-Lyon AUC 0.706; Cornell AUC 0.692) showed lower performance, and adding them to the AI model conferred no incremental benefit (AUC 0.849 vs. 0.847). Gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) revealed predominant attention around QRS complexes in limb leads, beyond regions typically assessed in LVH evaluation. Conclusions: This multicenter AI-ECG model demonstrated strong discrimination for AS and captured ECG features beyond conventional LVH voltage criteria. The high NPV supports its use as a rule-out pre-screening tool.

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Cardiovascular Outcomes with GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes or Obesity Undergoing Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement

Lum, J.; Jordan, A.; Knigh, P.; Hisamoto, K.

2026-06-04 surgery 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354773 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have demonstrated cardiovascular benefit in type 2 diabetes and obesity, with recent observational data suggesting favorable associations after transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Whether similar associations exist after surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) is unknown. Methods: Retrospective propensity-matched cohort analysis using the TriNetX U.S. Collaborative Network. Adults with type 2 diabetes or obesity (BMI [&ge;]30 kg/m2) undergoing SAVR were categorized by GLP-1 RA exposure (any use within 3 months before through 1 year after SAVR) versus no use. One-to-one matching was performed on 44 covariates. Primary outcomes were 1-year all-cause mortality, heart failure, acute kidney injury, acute myocardial infarction, cerebral infarction, and atrial fibrillation. Sensitivity analyses included 30-day landmark restriction and falsification outcomes. Results: After matching, 1,984 patients were retained per cohort. GLP-1 RA use was associated with lower 1-year risks of all-cause mortality (4.8% vs 10.4%; HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.34-0.56), acute kidney injury (6.9% vs 10.1%; HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.49-0.85), myocardial infarction (3.0% vs 5.1%; HR, 0.57; 95% CI, (0.40-0.82), heart failure (11.3% vs 15.7%; HR, 0.68; 95% CI, (0.51-0.90), and atrial fibrillation or flutter (10.1% vs 13.9%; HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.54-0.90; all P[&le;]006). Cerebral infarction did not differ. In landmark analysis, mortality, heart failure, and acute kidney injury associations persisted; myocardial infarction and atrial fibrillation associations were attenuated. Falsification outcomes were null. Conclusions: Perioperative GLP-1 RA use was associated with lower 1-year cardiovascular event rates after SAVR. These hypothesis-generating findings support prospective randomized investigation.

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Soft Tissue-to-Bone Ratio on Routine Bone Scintigraphy as an Opportunistic Imaging Biomarker of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Burden

Spielvogel, C. P.; Kluge, K.; Ning, J.; Kumpf, K.; Nitsche, C.; Hengstenberg, C.; Slomka, P. J.; Hacker, M.

2026-06-09 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355179 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a leading driver of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Whole-body molecular imaging is well-positioned to phenotype such syndromes, yet no imaging biomarker quantifies cumulative CKM burden. Bone scintigraphy with 99mTc-labeled bisphosphonates is widely performed and expanding with transthyretin amyloidosis assessment, under which Perugini grade 0 (absent cardiac uptake) is considered clinically benign. Objective: We hypothesized that the soft tissue-to-bone ratio (STBR) on these scans captures CKM burden and is an independent prognostic biomarker. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 8,769 consecutive patients without cardiac uptake on 99mTc-DPD whole-body planar scintigraphy. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and heart failure hospitalization. Cox models were adjusted for ten established cardiovascular risk factors. Imaging-phenotype association (IPA) analysis mapped STBR to 1,210 clinical traits. STBR distribution across CKM stages was assessed in four prespecified analyses, including a non-cancer subgroup. Results: During a median follow-up of 5.1 years (IQR 2.5-8.2), 2,418 deaths occurred. Patients with prespecified STBR >0.5 (n=772, 8.8%) had significantly higher mortality (adjHR 1.73, 95% CI 1.54-1.94, p<0.0001) with an adjHR of up to 3.42 at higher thresholds (95% CI 2.05-5.42, p<0.0001). Hazard increased monotonically with STBR. STBR >0.5 was independently associated with MACE (adjHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.11-2.05, p=0.008) and heart failure hospitalization (adjHR 1.31, 95% CI 1.02-1.67, p=0.03). The association was robust across all prespecified subgroups and sensitivity analyses, including continuous STBR and patients without renal insufficiency. IPA analysis identified significant associations with type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, chronic ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, liver disease, amyloidosis, and hypertension among binary traits, as well as with CRP, NT-proBNP, BUN, cholesterol (inverse), and hemoglobin (inverse) among continuous parameters. STBR increased monotonically across CKM stages in all sensitivity analyses (all p<0.0001). Conclusions: STBR derived from routine 99mTc-DPD bone scintigraphy in patients without cardiac uptake is an independent prognostic imaging biomarker associated with cumulative cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic burden. As an opportunistic measure from scans already acquired at scale, STBR could refine CKM risk stratification at no additional cost, radiation, or acquisition time.

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Placental molecular subtypes of severe preeclampsia reveal divergent aging trajectories and fetal growth outcomes

Du, Y.; Benny, P. A.; Lahiri, S.; AlAkwaa, F. M.; Huang, Q.; Liu, Y.; Lassiter, C. B.; Astern, J.; Riel, J.; Garmire, L. X.

2026-06-04 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354756 medRxiv
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Severe preeclampsia (sPE) is a major cause of maternal and fetal morbidity worldwide, yet its placental molecular heterogeneity remains poorly defined by current clinical diagnosis. To resolve the molecular architecture of sPE, here we integrated DNA methylation and proteomic profiling from a multi-ethnical cohort of 444 placentas from the Hawaiian Biorepository (HiBR), including 169 sPE cases, matched preterm controls and full-term controls. To address cellular heterogeneity in bulk placental tissue, we developed HOMED (Hierarchically Optimized Methylation Deconvolution), a single-cell-guided hierarchical framework for inferring placental cell-type composition from DNA methylation data. HOMED-adjusted integrative analyses identified extensive subtype-specific alterations involving hypoxia, angiogenesis, immune activation, trophoblast differentiation and metabolic remodeling. Molecular stratification revealed two reproducible sPE subtypes with divergent placental aging trajectories. One subtype exhibited a pre-mature placental state marked by accelerated placental aging, whereas the other displayed slower accelerated placental aging but a substantially increased risk of small-for-gestational-age birth (P = 0.028). These subtypes were independently replicated across six external cohorts and further supported by proteomic signatures achieving a classification accuracy of 0.88. Integrative epigenomic and proteomic analyses linked the growth-restricted subtype to hypoxia-associated glycolytic remodeling, suggesting distinct pathogenic mechanisms underlying clinically diagnosed sPE. Together, our findings redefine severe preeclampsia as a biologically heterogeneous placental disorder composed of molecularly distinct subtypes with divergent aging trajectories and fetal growth outcomes, providing a framework for mechanism-based stratification and precision obstetric medicine.

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Structural Cardiac Abnormalities, Ventricular Dysfunction Phenotypes, and Heart Failure Risk among Antiretroviral Therapy-treated People Living with HIV in South Africa

Omar, Z.; PHIZA Study Team, ; Ahmed, A. A.; Wolfson, J.; Huang, Z.; Mgidlana, M.; Black, A.; Abd El Hadi, M.; Aremu, O. O.; Peterson, T. E.; Ntusi, N. A. B.; Meintjes, G.; Ntsekhe, M.; Baker, J. V.

2026-06-08 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354960 medRxiv
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Background: The manifestations of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people with HIV (PWH) differ by region globally. While HIV disease is associated with increased atherosclerotic CVD risk in the global North, non-ischemic heart failure (HF) is more common in sub-Saharan Africa, the global HIV epicenter. We estimated the effect of treated HIV on the frequency and phenotype of HF and its cardiac precursors in South Africa (SA). Methods: In an observational study, we recruited PWH on antiretroviral therapy (ART), age [&ge;]40 years and people without HIV (PWoH) with similar distributions of age, sex, ethnicity, and hypertension, from a community clinic in Khayelitsha (Cape Town, SA). Procedures included a clinical assessment, echocardiography (Echo), and b-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) measure. Echo parameters defined structural abnormalities, left ventricle (LV) filling pressure, and LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction (DD). HF was defined by symptoms and/or BNP [&ge;]35pg/mL and LV dysfunction, subcategorized as reduced, mildly reduced, or preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF). Comparisons by HIV status were adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, smoking, obesity, diabetes, elevated LDL-cholesterol, and hazardous alcohol use. Results: Between September 2022 and August 2025, we enrolled 1008 PWH and 500 controls [median (Q1-Q3) age 48 years (43-53), 77% female]. Among PWH and controls respectively, 37% and 39% had hypertension, 21% and 25% were current smokers, 40% and 45% were obese, and 9% and 17% had diabetes. LV systolic dysfunction (1%) and HFrEF (1%) were rare, and undiagnosed HFpEF (8%) was the predominant HF phenotype. Compared to controls, PWH had higher odds of elevated LV mass index (LVMI) (OR 2.1; 95%CI 1.5-3.0) and DD (OR 1.4; 95%CI 1.0-2.0). Risk for elevated LVMI and DD was greatest among women with HIV, who also had an increased risk for undiagnosed HFpEF (OR 1.9; 95%CI 1.2-3.2), compared to women without HIV; effects which were not seen among men (p=0.051 for HIV*Sex interaction). Conclusions: In a peri-urban SA community with a high burden of cardiometabolic risk factors, the frequency of abnormal structural and functional cardiac precursors of HFpEF was greater amongst ART-treated PWH. This was most pronounced amongst women with HIV, who also had increased risk of undiagnosed HFpEF.