Discovery and Validation of SVEP1 and Other Novel Cardiovascular Biomarkers For Patients with Kidney Failure On Maintenance Hemodialysis

Background: Patients with kidney failure undergoing maintenance hemodialysis suffer high rates of major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE) that are not accurately predicted by traditional cardiovascular risk models. There is an urgent need to identify novel, modifiable cardiovascular risk factors for these patients. Methods: We analyzed associations of 6287 circulating proteins with MACE among 1048 participants undergoing hemodialysis in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort(CRIC) (14-year follow-up) with validation in the Predictors of Arrhythmic and Cardiovascular Risk in End-Stage Renal Disease study(PACE) (7-year follow-up). In both cohorts, proteins were measured shortly after dialysis initiation and one year later. We compared protein-based risk models derived by elastic net regression to the Pooled Cohort Equations(PCE) optimized for these cohorts(Refit PCE), and to an Expanded Refit PCE that included Troponin T and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. Results: In CRIC, 149 proteins were associated with MACE at false discovery rate<0.05. Among 22 proteins significant at Bonferroni p<8x10-6, proteins that validated in PACE included Sushi von Willebrand factor type A EGF and pentraxin domain-containing protein 1(SVEP1), Complement component C7, R-spondin 4, Tenascin, Fibulin-3 and Fibulin-5. Complement pathways were prominent in network analyses. SVEP1 surpassed other markers by statistical significance, with CRIC HR per log2 1.8 (p=2.1x10-12) and HR per annual doubling 1.6 (p=6.8x10-6). For 2-year MACE, AUC(95%CI) for SVEP1 alone was 0.72(0.59, 0.84) in CRIC, and 0.73(0.63, 0.81) in PACE. SVEP1 surpassed the Expanded Refit PCE in CRIC (0.61 (0.48, 0.73)) (p=0.038). In the pooled CRIC + PACE cohort, SVEP1 AUC(95%CI) (0.79(0.70, 0.88)) surpassed Refit PCE (0.61(0.51, 0.72)) (p=0.004). Conclusions: SVEP1, a 390 kDa protein unlikely to be renally cleared, surpassed over 6000 other proteins and by itself outperformed traditional clinical risk models in predicting MACE in two populations of patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis. Future studies should provide mechanistic insights behind these findings.