Addiction
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Addiction's content profile, based on 30 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Buss, V. H.; Shahab, L.; Bauld, L.; Michie, S.; Brown, J.
Show abstract
Background: The UK Government aims to reduce smoking rates by implementing new, and investing in existing, tobacco control strategies including increased funding for Stop Smoking Services (SSS) in England. This study examined whether the additional funding starting in April 2024 was associated with a detectable increase in quit attempts supported by SSS and whether it was cost-effective. Methods: We used data from the Smoking Toolkit Study, a repeat cross-sectional survey conducted in 2021 to 2025. Adults aged [≥]18 years who smoked cigarettes and had made a quit attempt in the past year were included (weighted n=5,076). The outcome was monthly prevalence of past-year quit attempts supported by SSS. We fitted general additive models with a step change in April 2024 to represent the start of the increased funding. We adjusted for tobacco tax increases, the Swap-to-Stop scheme, age, gender, and a measure of socioeconomic position. In an unplanned analysis, we extended the time series back to 2006. For the cost-effectiveness, we estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the total population and age groups, accounting for future lifetime cessation. Results: In the primary model, the April 2024 step change was not statistically significant (adjusted odds ratio: 1.13; 95% CI: 0.52, 2.49). The cost-effectiveness analysis ranged from cost-effective to extremely ineffective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER): GBP 104,126, 95% CI: 939,398 to 8,293). When using the extended time series, the adjusted odds ratio for the step change was 2.70 (95% CI: 2.03, 3.60) and the intervention was cost-effective (ICER: GBP 13,857; 21,393 to 9,620). Conclusions: Compared with the long-term trend, increased funding to SSS in England in 2024 appeared to lead to an increase in quit attempts supported by SSS at the population level. This result is somewhat uncertain because our primary pre-planned analyses assessing the impact relative to a more recent trend were insensitive.
Mwita, W. C.; Nickenig Vissoci, J. R. C.; de Souza, J. V. P.; Phillips, A. J.; Moshi, B.; Madundo, K.; Muro, F. J.; Mmbaga, B. T.; Msuya, S. E.; Staton, C. A.
Show abstract
Background: Alcohol use is a leading modifiable risk factor for injury in sub-Saharan Africa. In Tanzania, young people ([≤]24 years) experience greater alcohol-related harm despite drinking less frequently than adults. Punguza Pombe kwa Afya Yako (PPKAY) is a culturally adapted, brief intervention for injury patients in Tanzania. This study examined whether age moderates its effectiveness. Methods: We conducted an exploratory secondary analysis of baseline and 3-month data from the PPKAY randomized trial among injury patients aged [≥]18 years at Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, Tanzania. Eligible participants reporting alcohol use before injury, AUDIT [≥]8, or positive breathalyzer were randomized to usual care or PPKAY with SMS boosters. The primary outcome was binge drinking days. Count outcomes were analyzed using negative binomial regression with robust SEs and continuous outcomes using mixed-effects models. Effect modification was assessed using a three-way interaction (Time x intervention x Age). Results: Among 543 participants (mean age 36.8 years; 16.2% aged 18--24), age moderated the intervention effect for drinking days (IRR = 0.27, 95% CI 0.07 -- 0.98; p = 0.046) and drinks consumed (IRR = 0.17, 95% CI 0.04 -- 0.77; p = 0.021). The intervention reduced 4 drinking days (95% CI -7.1 to -0.8) and 27.5 drinks (95% CI -42.8 to -12.2) among young people, while adults showed reductions in both arms, without intervention-specific effect. Conclusion: The effects of ED-based brief alcohol interventions are not uniform, varying across both age groups and alcohol-related outcomes. We found a greater responsiveness in drinking frequency and quantity reported among young people.
Sanborn, J.; Nash, D.; Robertson, M.; Parcesepe, A.; Shahn, Z.
Show abstract
Background: Alcohol consumption is a modifiable risk factor linked to anxiety and depression, yet the population-level impact of reducing alcohol use on the prevalence of anxiety and depression symptoms remains unclear. Prior studies are limited by methodological challenges including health-related selection into abstinence, time-varying confounding and reverse causation. Methods: We used data from 2,813 participants without documented underlying health conditions in a U.S. national longitudinal cohort (September 2021-December 2023) and applied the parametric g-formula within a target trial emulation framework to estimate the effect of a hypothetical intervention reducing alcohol consumption to low-risk levels on the prevalence of moderate-to-severe anxiety (GAD-7 [≥]10) and depression (PHQ-8 [≥]10) symptoms. The intervention set moderate- and high-risk drinking to low-risk at each follow-up, while leaving abstinent and low-risk drinking unchanged. Models adjusted for time-varying and baseline covariates, with uncertainty estimated using bootstrap resampling. Results: Under the natural course, the estimated prevalence of moderate-to-severe depressive symptoms was 12.67% (95% CI: 12.17, 13.23), compared to 12.77% (95% CI: 12.26, 13.29) under the intervention (risk difference: 0.10 percentage points; 95% CI: -0.22, 0.50). For anxiety symptoms, prevalence was 10.40% (95% CI: 8.89, 11.89) under the natural course and 10.25% (95% CI: 8.76, 11.98) under the intervention (risk difference: -0.15 percentage points; 95% CI: -0.68, 0.35). Conclusions: Under a hypothetical population-wide intervention reducing alcohol consumption to low-risk levels, differences in the prevalence of moderate or severe anxiety and depression symptoms were near null. These findings suggest that reducing alcohol use alone may be insufficient to meaningfully shift the population-wide burden of common mental health disorders.
Jackson, S. E.; Robson, D. E.; Brown, J.; Notley, C. J.; Garnett, C.; Cox, S.
Show abstract
Aims To estimate the prevalence of past-year smoking quit attempts in Great Britain and examine variation by sociodemographic and socioeconomic characteristics, mental health, alcohol use, smoking-related characteristics, and geographic area. Design Cross-sectional analysis of data from a nationally representative household survey (the Smoking Toolkit Study) conducted October 2020 to May 2026. Setting Great Britain. Participants 24,786 adults ([≥]18y) who reported past-year tobacco smoking. Measurements The outcome was self-reporting having made at least one serious attempt to stop smoking in the previous 12 months. Associations with age, gender, ethnicity, social grade, health-related economic inactivity, mental health conditions, psychological distress, alcohol consumption, use of non-combustible nicotine, cigarette type and consumption, strength of urges to smoke, and motivation to stop smoking were assessed. We calculated weighted prevalence estimates and odds ratios (ORs) adjusted for survey year. Findings Overall, 36.7% [95%CI=36.0-37.4] of adults who had smoked in the past year self-reported making at least one quit attempt. Annual prevalence was relatively stable over the study period (range: 35.5% [33.9-37.1] to 37.6% [35.9-39.3]). Making a past-year quit attempt was more common among younger adults (48.0% among 18-24-year-olds) and declined progressively with age (24.6% among [≥]65-year-olds; OR=0.35, 95%CI=0.31-0.39). Compared with White adults, making a past-year quit attempt was more common among Black (OR=1.31, 1.11-1.55) and Asian (OR=1.40, 1.21-1.62) adults. Adults with a history of diagnosed mental health conditions (OR=1.27, 1.17-1.38) and moderate (OR=1.31, 1.20-1.43) or severe psychological distress in the past month (OR=1.39, 1.25-1.56) had greater odds of reporting a past-year quit attempt than those without. Those reporting increasing/higher risk alcohol consumption had lower odds than non-drinkers (OR=0.88, 0.82-0.95). Current use of nicotine replacement therapy (OR=2.59, 2.36-2.83) and vapes (OR=2.15, 2.02-2.30) were positively associated with reporting a past-year quit attempt. Odds were lower among those with greater cigarette consumption (OR range 0.79-0.86 among those smoking >10 vs. [≤]5 cigarettes per day). Motivation to stop smoking showed the strongest gradient (OR range 2.95-29.09). Geographic differences were modest, with prevalence ranging from 32.1% [29.9-34.3] in Wales to 39.4% [35.9-43.1] in North East England. Conclusions Between 2020 and 2026, around one in three adults in Great Britain who smoked in the past year reported making a serious attempt to quit, corresponding to approximately 3.5 million people annually. Making a past-year quit attempt was more strongly associated with smoking-related factors than sociodemographic characteristics.
Howe, S.; Edwards, R.; Morphett, K.; Puljevic, C.; Wilson, T.; Gartner, C. E.; Blakely, T.; Ait Ouakrim, D.
Show abstract
Background Mandatory reductions in tobacco product nicotine content to non-addictive levels may help achieve a tobacco endgame. Evidence exists for potential positive impacts of 'very low nicotine content' (VLNC) cigarettes in promoting smoking cessation in trial settings, but the population-level policy impact is unknown. Methods An online expert knowledge elicitation survey was undertaken to generate estimates for the impact of a VLNC mandate in Australia. Global experts in tobacco control were recruited to individually estimate impacts on smoking initiation, cessation, and switching to e-cigarettes or illicit market cigarettes. Linear pooling was used to estimate a combined (non-parametric) distribution per question, incorporating minimum, maximum, and best guess values from each respondent. Results The survey was completed by 15 experts. Interquartile ranges from pooled responses indicated that in the first year of a VLNC policy, smoking cessation could increase by 1.2-7.1 times the rate without the policy and switching to vaping by 1.3-8 times. Switching to illicitly supplied 'normal' nicotine cigarettes was estimated between 15-50% of those who smoke. Smoking initiation estimates varied greatly. Experts from Australia (n=8) consistently reported lower estimates for positive outcomes, and higher illicit market switching estimates, than experts from other countries. Conclusions Given the absence of implementation evidence, this study provides Australia-specific estimates of the potential behavioural effects of a VLNC policy. The findings suggest that denicotinisation would accelerate declines in smoking, but that it may be undermined by illicit cigarette access in Australia. Estimates should be updated with real-world evidence as it becomes available.
Sanborn, J.; Nash, D.; Robertson, M.; Parcesepe, A.; Shahn, Z.
Show abstract
Background: Alcohol use and physical activity are common, interrelated behaviors with opposing associations to mental health, yet little is known about their joint relationship with anxiety and depression. This study evaluated whether the association between alcohol use and anxiety and/or depression symptoms differed by physical activity level in a large U.S. longitudinal cohort. Methods: Using data from 5,152 adults in the CHASING COVID Cohort (2021-2023), alcohol use was categorized as low-, moderate-, or high-risk based on repeated AUDIT-C assessments, and physical activity was classified as active versus sedentary using items adapted from the 2023 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Moderate to severe symptoms of anxiety/depression, assessed subsequent to the exposure assessment period, was defined as a PHQ-8 or GAD-7 score [≥]10. Log-binomial regression estimated adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) for associations between alcohol use and anxiety/depression symptoms within strata of physical activity. Effect modification by physical activity was evaluated on the additive and multiplicative scales. Analyses were repeated among healthier participants without chronic conditions or poor self-rated health to reduce sick-quitter bias (N=3,141). Results: Most participants had low-risk or no alcohol use (70.3%), followed by moderate-risk (21.9%) and high-risk use (7.8%); 29.5% were sedentary. Sedentary participants had higher risk of moderate to severe anxiety/depression symptoms than active participants across alcohol use levels overall and in the healthier subsample. In the overall sample, active participants with high-risk alcohol use had elevated risk compared with active participants with low-risk or no alcohol use (aRR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.15-1.80) and physical activity did not modify the association between alcohol use and anxiety/depression symptoms on either scale. Among healthier participants, risk was highest among sedentary participants with moderate-risk alcohol use compared with active participants with low-risk or no alcohol use (aRR = 1.92, 95% CI: 1.50-2.45); physical activity modified the association between moderate-risk alcohol use and moderate to severe anxiety/depression symptoms on the additive scale (RERI = 0.61, p=0.013) and multiplicative scales (ratio of aRRs = 1.49, p=0.001). Conclusions: Among healthier adults, physical activity modified the association between moderate alcohol use and symptoms of anxiety or depression on additive and multiplicative scales. Findings suggest sedentary behavior may amplify mental health vulnerability associated with moderate drinking; future studies are warranted to clarify these relationships, including those with larger numbers of high-risk drinkers.
Pascoe, R.; Saliba, C.; Kundu, A.; Hoque, S.; Milory, A.; Schwartz, R.; Chaiton, M.
Show abstract
Background: Loneliness and social isolation may contribute to tobacco and nicotine use, but existing studies have been inconsistent. This systematic review and meta-analysis examined these associations among adults amid the evolving nicotine product landscape. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, and CINAHL identified peer-reviewed quantitative studies published between 2014 and 2025 searched in February-April 2026. Eligible studies included adults aged [≥]18 years examining loneliness and/or social isolation in relation to smoking or nicotine use. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias (using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute risk of bias tool). Random effects meta-analyses were conducted to estimate pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: 22 studies involving 273,954 participants met inclusion criteria, and 14 studies were included in the meta-analysis. A majority of the studies had low risk of bias. Meta-analysis findings showed that social isolation or loneliness was associated with significantly higher odds of nicotine product use (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.48-2.29). Although no statistically significant association of nicotine product use and social isolation or loneliness (OR 1.35, 95% CI 0.72-2.53), some studies suggested bidirectional relationships, with smoking contributing to reduced social support and greater isolation over time. Sensitivity analysis showed the robustness of the meta-analysis findings. Subgroup analysis found no statistically significant differences were seen between subgroups defined by type of nicotine product, age groups, social isolation vs loneliness, measures of nicotine use behaviours and pre- vs post- COVID-19 pandemic period in the meta-regression. Limitations of included studies and analysis are discussed. Conclusions: Loneliness and social isolation are significant psychosocial correlates of nicotine product use. Cessation interventions may benefit from integrating social support and mental health strategies alongside traditional nicotine dependence treatment.
Ngo, T. P.; Dunham, A. E.; Santos, G.-M.
Show abstract
Background: Alcohol-involved drinking episodes vary in whether they involve hazardous alcohol consumption alone, near-miss sexual risk, or sexual risk behavior, but the within-event mechanisms underlying this variability remain unclear. Methods: Guided by syndemic theory, we conducted a qualitative event-level analysis using modified grounded theory among adults in the San Francisco Bay Area who reported hazardous alcohol consumption, defined as an Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test score [≥]16. In-depth interviews elicited narratives of recent heavy drinking episodes and yielded 64 discrete drinking events across 22 participants. We focused on 35 events with evidence of within-event interaction between biopsychosocial and contextual factors. Using constant comparison, we identified escalation pathways, characterized interruption, and examined how events diverge into three outcomes: hazardous alcohol consumption only, hazardous alcohol consumption with near-miss sexual risk (when risk was plausible but not enacted), and hazardous alcohol consumption with sexual risk behavior. Results: Two primary escalation pathways emerged. Dose-driven escalation involved cumulative alcohol or substance exposure that progressively impaired awareness and self-regulation. Meaning-driven escalation involved prioritizing connection, intimacy, or belonging despite awareness of risk. Time-driven continuation extended exposure across contexts and amplified both pathways. Hazardous alcohol consumption-only events more often followed dose-driven pathways, whereas events involving sexual risk behavior more often followed meaning-driven pathways. Near-miss events occurred across both pathways and illustrated how interruption before the escalation constraint point, when the capacity to modify behavior became reduced, could redirect escalation before sexual risk behavior occurred. Across events with similar levels of intoxication narratives, outcomes diverged according to when the interruption occurred and whether it altered escalation. Conclusion: Hazardous drinking episodes diverge into different outcomes based on escalation pathways and the timing and effectiveness of interruption. Early and effective interruption before the escalation constraint point may represent a key target for harm-reduction strategies to prevent progression to sexual risk behavior.
Tattan-Birch, H.; Jackson, S. E.; Buss, V. H.; Cox, S.; Shahab, L.; Kock, L.; Bauld, L.; Brown, J.
Show abstract
Objective: To examine changes in vaping and smoking trends following the announcement and implementation of the disposable vape ban in Great Britain. Design: Interrupted time-series analysis of representative monthly cross-sectional data from the Smoking Toolkit Study. Setting: Great Britain. Participants: 118,946 adults ([≥]16y), including 12,042 young adults (16-24y), surveyed between Jan-2022 and Feb-2026. Main outcome measures: Changes in trends in disposable vape use among vapers, and current vaping and smoking prevalence, using seasonally-adjusted generalised additive models with comparisons against a no-ban counterfactual in which pre-announcement trends continued unchanged. Results: The proportion of vapers mainly using disposable devices began to decline following the announcement of the ban in Jan-2024, with the fall accelerating after implementation in June-2025. By Feb-2026, 5.6% (95%CI 4.6-6.9) of adult vapers and 7.1% (5.1-10.1) of young adult vapers mainly used disposables, compared with 62.0% (53.6-71.8) and 63.6% (52.7-76.7), respectively, under a no-ban counterfactual. Increases in vaping prevalence slowed post-announcement and plateaued post-implementation; by Feb-2026, prevalence was lower than the no-ban counterfactual in adults (13.6% v 18.8%; difference -5.2 percentage points, 95%CI -7.1 to -3.3) and young adults (27.8% v 39.1%; -11.3, -18.6 to -4.1). Declines in smoking prevalence stalled among adults and reversed among young adults post-announcement, before shifting downward again post-implementation; by Feb-2026, smoking prevalence was similar to the no-ban counterfactual in adults (difference +0.9 percentage points, -0.5 to +2.2) but possibly higher in young adults (+3.3, -0.5 to +7.1). Conclusions: The disposable vape ban in Great Britain was associated with substantial changes after both announcement and implementation, including a marked reduction in disposable vape use and a slowing then plateauing of growth in overall vaping prevalence. However, declines in smoking also temporarily slowed--and among young adults, reversed--after the announcement, before downward trends resumed after implementation.
Ruokolainen, O.; Berg, N.; Helenius, J.; Ollila, H.; Kiviruusu, O.
Show abstract
Background and Aims: Anxiety remains prevalent among adolescents while tobacco and nicotine product use, especially the recent increases of novel product use such as e-cigarettes and nicotine pouches, raises further public health concerns. The associations between novel tobacco and nicotine product use and anxiety remains understudied. This study aims to determine whether tobacco and nicotine product use is associated with generalised anxiety and whether this association differs by used product. Design: Cross-sectional survey, School Health Promotion study in 2025. Setting: A school-based nationwide survey conducted in all Finnish lower and upper secondary schools. Participants: Students aged 13-20 years in three school levels: 8.-9. grade students in lower secondary schools (N= 94 743, 73% of the students), 1st and 2nd-year students in general upper secondary schools (n=47 248, 70% of the students) and of vocational institutions (n=24 998, 38% of the students). Measurements: Exclusive (single product) and non-exclusive ([≥]1 products) daily or weekly use of tobacco and nicotine products, including nicotine pouches, e-cigarettes, cigarettes, and smokeless tobacco (snus). Generalised anxiety was measured using the Generalised Anxiety Disorder Scale (GAD-7). The cut-off of >10 points indicated participants with moderate to severe self-reported generalised anxiety symptoms. Background variables included sociodemographic variables and heavy drinking. Results: Of the 166,989 participants 51.4% were females, mean age was 15.7 (SD 1.27), 21.2% reported generalised anxiety. Prevalence of generalised anxiety increased gradient-wise in accordance with both non-exclusive and exclusive use frequency of different tobacco and nicotine products, as well as with number of products used. Daily use of nicotine pouches was associated with higher odds of anxiety compared with never use (boys: adjusted odds ratios (aOR) 1.19, 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.34; girls: aOR 1.74, 95% CI, 1.58 to 1.91), yet the association between daily e-cigarette use seemed to be stronger (boys aOR 1.96, 95% CI, 1.54 to 2.49; girls: aOR 2.29, 95% CI, 2.09 to 2.51). Summary: Any use of tobacco and nicotine products, including new products, is associated with generalised anxiety among adolescents, with some differences between products. Measures to prevent the initiation of tobacco and nicotine product use and to promote mental health among adolescents should be enacted.
Sanborn, J.; Nash, D.; Robertson, M.; Parcesepe, A.; Shahn, Z.
Show abstract
Background: Observational studies frequently report a J- or U- shaped association between alcohol use and anxiety and depression, with moderate drinkers appearing to have lower risk than abstainers. However, this pattern may be driven in part by confounding due to health-related selection into abstinence or low-risk drinking (sick-quitter bias), whereby individuals reduce or stop drinking in response to declining health that is independently associated with worse mental health outcomes. We aimed to evaluate whether this association reflects a causal effect or residual confounding driven by sick-quitter bias. Methods: We analyzed data from 4,673 participants in the CHASING COVID Cohort, a U.S. longitudinal study with repeated measures from September 2021 through December 2023. Alcohol use was assessed at five timepoints using the AUDIT-C and categorized as abstinent, low-risk, moderate-risk, or high/severe-risk. Using a target trial emulation framework, we estimated the effects of sustained alcohol use strategies on anxiety and depression symptom severity (GAD-7 and PHQ-8) at follow-up. Artificial censoring and stabilized inverse probability weighting were applied to account for time-varying confounding and loss to follow-up. To assess the role of sick-quitter bias, we compared the abstinent versus moderate-risk contrast across strata of health status at time zero. Results: In the full sample, a J-shaped pattern was observed, with moderate-risk drinkers having the lowest predicted symptom scores. The abstinent versus moderate-risk symptom score contrast was 1.38 for depression (PHQ-8: 95% CI: 0.65, 2.14), and 0.95 for anxiety (GAD-7: 95% CI 0.24, 1.65). Among participants without underlying conditions or poor self-rated health, this pattern attenuated, with contrasts near zero for both outcomes. In contrast, the J-shaped pattern was amplified among participants with poorer baseline health, with abstinent versus moderate-risk contrasts of 3.31 for depression (95% CI: 2.14, 4.32) and 2.83 for anxiety (95% CI: 1.61, 3.86). High-risk drinking was consistently associated with higher symptom scores across all analyses. Conclusions: The J-shaped pattern between alcohol use and anxiety and depression symptoms observed in the full cohort was attenuated among participants without poorer baseline health, consistent with sick-quitter bias. Findings underscore the importance of addressing confounding due to declining health in observational alcohol research and caution against interpreting moderate drinking as beneficial for symptoms of anxiety and depression.
Howe, S.; Wilson, T.; Gartner, C. E.; Blakely, T.; Ait Ouakrim, D.
Show abstract
Objective To estimate the potential health and equity impacts of a tobacco free generation (TFG) and T21 policy (increasing the legal age of sale to 21) in Australia, in the context of a complex market including widespread illicit tobacco and e-cigarette product availability. Design A Markov macrosimulation model, parameterised with yearly net movements between legal smoking, illicit smoking, vaping, and dual use states, combined with a proportional multi-state lifetable. Setting The Australian population, modelled as an open cohort for 40-years. Intervention A 'business-as-usual' (BAU) scenario was compared to TFG and T21 policies, with both starting in 2026. Variations to policy impacts were tested under increasing background illicit market enforcement. Main outcome measures The model estimates the health-adjusted life years (HALYs) and deaths over 40 years, under each scenario, with differences across age and socioeconomic status (SES) presented. Results The TFG policy reduced daily smoking prevalence among 15-24-year-olds to 4.6% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.8-5.7%) in 20 years' time, compared to 7.2% under the T21 policy and 7.9% under BAU trends. Vaping was minimally impacted by either policy. The TFG policy resulted in 178,000 (95% UI 87,800-314,000) HALYs being gained over 40 years. The policy impact was largest when accompanied by increased illicit market enforcement, reducing daily smoking among 15-24-year-olds to 1.4% within 20 years. Both policies had greater prevalence and health impacts on more disadvantaged compared to advantaged SES groups. Conclusion A TFG policy is expected to produce long-term benefits for the Australian population but would be most effective in combination with increased enforcement of illicit tobacco and e-cigarette markets. Novel strategies to increase quitting in addition to reducing uptake are needed to improve tobacco-related outcomes in the short to medium term.
Jhand, A. S.; Greenwald, M. K.
Show abstract
Quantifying decision-making in experimental settings that mimic real-world conditions may provide insights into mechanisms underlying addiction. This study developed a computational model of opioid-seeking behavior. Out-of-treatment persons who regularly used heroin were stabilized on buprenorphine 8mg/day to minimize opioid withdrawal. Across programmatically-linked studies, three experimental conditions presented differing money vs. opioid unit amounts that could be earned per trial ($2 vs. 1-mg hydromorphone, n=23; $2 vs. 2-mg hydromorphone, n=36; $4 vs. 2-mg hydromorphone, n=24), controlling other factors. Progressive ratio schedules on each choice option required increasing effort across trials to earn the same amount. Trial-level outcomes were decision latency and choice on each option, and session-level outcomes were drug-money latency and breakpoint difference scores. A Markov computational model was used to predict the probability of choosing the same option as the previous trial (vs. switching). Model inputs included effort discrepancy (between earning the same vs. other commodity on next choice) and logarithm of the ratio of decisional speed (current vs. previous choice). Participants who more rapidly chose hydromorphone vs. money made more consecutive drug choices and expended greater effort earning hydromorphone. First-trial hydromorphone choice predicted continued effortful opioid-seeking. Participants repeated choices on 80% of trials; the model accurately predicted stick vs. switch behavior on 93% of trials. Participants typically repeated choices when faced with lower effort discrepancies and higher hydromorphone dose (2-mg vs. 1-mg). In conclusion, a Markov computational model accurately predicted effortful behavior in a choice paradigm that mimics real-world decisions between opioid and nondrug reinforcers.
Emmert-Fees, K. M. F.; Meyer, G.; Laxy, M.; Hanselmann, M.
Show abstract
Background: Smoking inequalities by socioeconomic status have widened consistently in Germany, but sex-specific trends after 2013 and inequalities in daily cigarette consumption among smokers (intensity) are unknown. We analyzed trends in absolute and relative socioeconomic inequalities in smoking prevalence and intensity among German adults across three decades. Methods: We used 14 waves (1998-2024) of population-representative cross-sectional data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to estimate sex-specific trends in smoking prevalence and intensity in adults aged 25-64. Inequalities were quantified across strata of education, occupation, and equivalized household income using the absolute and relative concentration index with 95% bootstrap confidence intervals. Results: Overall smoking prevalence declined from 35.05% (CI: [33.90%, 36.20%] in 1998 to 22.19% (CI: [21.15%, 23.24%]) in 2024, and mean intensity from 17.49 (CI: [17.09,17.90]) to 13.33 (CI: [12.88, 13.79]) cigarettes/day. Over this period sex-differences in both outcomes narrowed almost completely. Absolute and relative inequalities in smoking prevalence widened across all SES dimensions, particularly for education and occupation. By 2024, inequalities were larger among women than men driven by a stagnating or rising smoking prevalence among low-SES women at least until 2018 alongside continued declines in higher-SES women and for men. Inequalities in smoking intensity, particularly related to income, were generally smaller than those in prevalence. Conclusion: Socioeconomic smoking inequalities in Germany widened from 1998 to 2024 primarily driven by reductions among higher-SES groups and increases in low-SES women. However, recent reductions in low-SES women may indicate a new phase in the smoking epidemic. Health equity considerations should be integrated into a targeted German tobacco control strategy.
Milla Angeles, V. M.; Otero-Leon, D.
Show abstract
Adolescent use of alcohol, nicotine, and marijuana remains a major public health concern in the United States. Early identification of youth at elevated risk is critical for prevention before use begins or escalates. We developed and evaluated a longitudinal machine learning framework to predict alcohol, nicotine, and marijuana use at the next observed assessment wave. Data came from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study Release 6.0. The models incorporated predictors from multiple domains, including demographics, friends, family and community context, mental health, physical health, and prior substance-related behaviors. To reduce information leakage across individuals, we implemented a leakage-aware stacked ensemble. This ensemble combined diverse base learners through out-of-fold predictions and an elastic-net meta-learner. Across all three substances, the lagged stacked ensemble outperformed the cross-sectional stack and all single base learners. Adolescents identified as highest risk showed substantially higher observed rates of substance use than would be expected under random screening. Feature-importance analyses showed that the full longitudinal models were strongly influenced by developmental timing and prior-use history. Analyses restricted to current-wave features revealed distinct substance-specific risk patterns beyond prior-use history and developmental timing. Bootstrap stability analyses identified top-ranked features showing consistent positive predictive relevance across resampled adolescents. These findings suggest that longitudinal, leakage-aware machine learning can generate substance-specific risk estimates to support targeted prevention and screening in adolescent populations.
Barb, J. J.; Yang, L.; Yarmovsky, J.; Schwandt, M.; Ramchandani, V.; Diazgranados, N.; Gearhardt, A. N.; Leggio, L.
Show abstract
Food addiction (FA) has been proposed as a phenotype sharing features with substance use disorders. Despite increasing recognition of food addiction as a behavioral phenotype with features overlapping substance use disorders, little is known about its prevalence or clinical significance among individuals with alcohol use disorder (AUD). Objective: To examine the prevalence of FA and to evaluate demographic, psychological, and alcohol-related correlates in individuals with AUD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional analysis included 743 adults with AUD who were either treatment seeking (Tx) (n = 534) for AUD and were enrolled in an inpatient program at the National Institutes of Health Clinical Center or not treatment-seeking (non Tx) (n = 209). Main Outcomes and Measures: FA symptoms were assessed using the Yale Food Addiction Scale, with >=2 symptoms categorized as FA in this report. Multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for age, education, and income were conducted separately within each cohort. Results: Among 743 adults with AUD, 238 (32.1%) met criteria for FA symptoms, with similar prevalence among Tx (32.6%) and nonTx (30.6%) participants despite marked differences in clinical characteristics. Across both cohorts, FA was independently associated with higher body mass index, greater psychological distress, and greater alcohol dependence severity. Childhood trauma and poorer sleep quality were additionally associated with FA among treatment-seeking participants, whereas alcohol-related measures differed according to treatment status. Conclusions and Relevance: FA was common among adults with AUD and was associated with greater psychological, behavioral, and metabolic burden regardless of treatment-seeking status. These findings suggest that FA identifies a clinically meaningful subgroup of individuals with AUD who may benefit from more comprehensive assessment and integrated treatment approaches.
Toulami, M.; Ghasemi, K.; Rafei, P.; Vassileva, J.; Salehi, M.; Ekhtiari, H.; Rezapour, T.
Show abstract
Aims: To evaluate whether Cue-Induced Retrieval and Reconsolidation with Episodic Future Thinking (CIREF), which combines personalized drug-cue retrieval with structured future-oriented processing, produces greater changes in craving and delay discounting than a recent-past episodic active control in individuals with opioid use disorder receiving methadone maintenance treatment. Design: Multicentre, two-arm, parallel-group randomized controlled pilot trial with per-protocol analyses. Setting: Two outpatient addiction treatment and rehabilitation centres in Tehran, Iran. Participants: Thirty participants with opioid use disorder receiving methadone maintenance treatment were randomized to CIREF or Episodic Recent Thinking (ERT; n = 15 per group). Twenty-eight completed the intervention and were included in the analyses (n = 14 per group). Intervention and comparator: Participants completed one screening, baseline, and personalized cue-development session followed by three 75-minute intervention sessions. CIREF combined personalized drug-cue retrieval with future-oriented simulation, prediction, intention, and planning. ERT was structurally matched but anchored episodic processing to the recent past. Measurements: Primary craving outcomes comprised the three Desire for Drug Questionnaire (DDQ) subscales assessing session-level phasic/current craving immediately before and after each intervention session and the four Obsessive-Compulsive Drug Use Scale (OCDUS) subscales assessing tonic craving before and after the intervention period. The secondary outcome was Monetary Choice Questionnaire (MCQ) log(k), with more negative values indicating less steep delay discounting. Findings: After Holm correction across the three DDQ subscales, Group x Occasion interactions indicated greater reductions with CIREF for Desire and Intention to Drug Use, FGG(1.23, 32.09) = 24.37, pHolm < .001, partial eta-squared = .484, and Negative Reinforcement, FGG(1.35, 35.23) = 17.67, pHolm < .001, partial eta-squared = .405, but not Drug Abuse Control (pHolm = .172). After Holm correction across the four OCDUS subscales, only Desire and Mental Preoccupation with Drugs showed a significant Group x Time interaction, F(1, 26) = 12.35, pHolm = .007, partial eta-squared = .322; the remaining subscales were not significant (adjusted ps >= .177). MCQ log(k) showed a Group x Time interaction, F(1, 26) = 7.18, p = .013, partial eta-squared = .217; mean log(k) changed from -1.22 (0.36) to -1.80 (0.55) in CIREF and from -1.39 (0.32) to -1.44 (0.44) in ERT. Conclusions: In this small pilot sample, the future-oriented retrieval-based intervention produced greater changes than the recent-past active control in two dimensions of session-level phasic craving, one dimension of tonic craving, and monetary delay discounting. The results are preliminary and do not establish memory reconsolidation or effects on relapse or longer-term clinical outcomes.
Ford, A.; Best, C. S.; Moodie, C.; Alexandrou, G.; MacKintosh, A. M.
Show abstract
Introduction The Tobacco and Vapes Act 2026 provides the UK government powers to ban vaping in public places. Proposals include extending existing indoor smoke-free legislation to also being vape-free and making public children's playgrounds and outdoor areas of education settings vape-free. We examined adults' and adolescents' views on vape-free places. Methods Two UK-wide cross-sectional online surveys were conducted in 2026, one with adult (18+) current and former nicotine users (n=2,851), and one with adolescents aged 11-17 years (n=2,123). We measured (1) perceived acceptability of vaping in public places, (2) views on whether vapes should/should not be allowed in public places, and (3) perceived likelihood of public compliance with vaping bans. Results Adults considered it unacceptable to vape on public transport (85.9%), on school grounds (outdoors) (83.6%), outside hospital entrances (59.2%), and inside pubs (57.8%) and nightclubs (52.5%). A minority considered it unacceptable to vape at open air playparks (40.6%). Most adolescents viewed vaping as unacceptable in all locations. Perceived acceptability of vaping in each place was associated with current vaping and/or smoking. Adults and adolescents believed vaping should not be allowed on public transport (88.9%; 93.8%) or outdoors on school grounds (85.8%; 93.5%). Adults and adolescents perceived likely compliance on public transport, school grounds and in pubs, but not in nightclubs, outside hospital entrances and at open air playparks. Conclusion The findings indicate public support for some vape-free places among adults and adolescents, particularly on public transport and school grounds, and less so for a ban at open air playparks.
Ghuman, D.; Achar, T.; Gambhirrao, D.
Show abstract
Background Alcohol-associated injury is a leading cause of emergency department (ED) utilization in the United States and a clinically important driver of preventable morbidity across the adult lifespan. Prior surveillance research has characterized how the rate and severity of alcohol-associated injury vary by patient age, but whether the seasonal timing of injury risk is equally predictable across age groups (a question directly relevant to the timing of clinical screening intensification and public health intervention) has not been formally tested. Methods We conducted a retrospective surveillance analysis of 45,876 alcohol-associated ED visits among adults aged 18 years and older, identified from the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS), 2019-2025 (weighted national estimate: 2,092,319 visits), using the structured Alcohol_Involved indicator introduced into NEISS case abstraction in 2019. Patients were stratified by sex and five age groups (18-24, 25-34, 35-49, 50-64, and [≥]65 years). Single-harmonic cosinor (Poisson) regression was used to estimate the seasonal peak day of injury risk (acrophase) for each stratum. To assess reliability, we performed leave-one-year-out jackknife resampling (seven iterations per group), case-resampling bootstrap confidence intervals (1,000 iterations), and likelihood-ratio tests of seasonal-phase interactions. Results Peak injury timing differed significantly across age groups (X^2 [8] = 2356.2, p < .0001). Adults aged 25-64 years showed a highly reproducible early-to-mid-July peak, with jackknife estimates shifting [≤]14 days when any single study year was excluded. Adults aged [≥]65 years showed significant seasonal variation annually (all p < .0001, amplitude comparable to younger groups) but a pooled peak estimate that shifted by up to 100 days across jackknife iterations. Sex-stratified analyses revealed that this instability was driven entirely by females aged [≥]65 years (jackknife range: 332 days, peak consistently in late October through early January) rather than males aged [≥]65 (jackknife range: 31 days, peak consistently in early August). Hospital admission rates increased monotonically with age from 9.0% (18-24 years) to 31.8% ([≥]65 years). Conclusions Alcohol-associated injury follows a reproducible, calendar-stable summer seasonal pattern in adults aged 25-64 years. Among adults [≥]65 years, the previously reported temporal instability is concentrated in the female subgroup, whose seasonal injury risk does not converge on a fixed calendar window. These findings suggest that fixed-calendar prevention and screening strategies are well suited to working-age adults and older men, but older women may require a year-round, individually tailored approach. Keywords: Alcohol-related injury; Emergency department; Seasonality; Age factors; Sex differences; Injury surveillance; Cosinor analysis; Older adults
Natalia, A.; johan, a.
Show abstract
Objectives To compare hospital claims and costs for major tobacco associated diseases with ICD 10 F17 tobacco dependence coding in Indonesian national health insurance claims and to assess whether the insurer records tobacco addiction or mainly pays for its complications. Design Retrospective claims based observational study using routinely collected administrative claims reported according to STROBE and the RECORD extension. Setting Indonesian national health insurance scheme Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional including referral hospital and primary care claims from 2015 to 2023. Participants A national mental health claims sample of 54820 members with at least one ICD 10 mental or behavioral F code diagnosis weighted to 1032022 members and 2074277 referral hospital visits. Primary and secondary outcome measures The primary outcome was verified claim costs in USD for hospital visits with a primary diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease J44 or tracheal bronchial or lung cancer C33 to C34 or ischemic heart disease I20 to I25 or stroke I60 to I69. Secondary outcomes were counts of ICD 10 F17 tobacco dependence coding and the disease to F17 coding ratio. Results The four tobacco associated disease groups accounted for 13946 visits among 5223 patients and USD 4.20 million in verified costs representing 6.0 percent of hospital spending in the sample. Weighted costs were USD 74.7 million of which cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease accounted for 95 percent. F17 appeared in only 51 referral hospital encounters and 26 primary care encounters. Only 2 of 5223 patients with these tobacco associated diseases or 0.04 percent were ever coded with F17. Conclusions The Indonesian national insurer paid substantially for tobacco associated morbidity while tobacco dependence was almost never coded. Smoking related diseases were reimbursed but tobacco dependence treatment was not captured as a financed care target. Embedding brief cessation care reimbursable pharmacotherapy and routine F17 coding into primary care could help shift tobacco related expenditure from downstream complications toward addiction care. Keywords tobacco dependence smoking cessation F17 coding health expenditure administrative claims Indonesia