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Addiction

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Addiction's content profile, based on 25 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Influencers, not just adverts: social media influencer exposure and tobacco use among urban youth in Kampala and Nairobi - a comparative mixed methods study

Jawahar Kanth, J. S.; Anish, T. M. R.; Odhiambo, B.; Lwembawo, K. D.; Micheal, S.; Arinaitwe, J.; Nakiyingi, L.

2026-06-10 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355037 medRxiv
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Tobacco control treaties were written for billboards and television, not for the people now selling lifestyles to young Africans. As mobile internet saturates East African cities, social media influencers have become an unmeasured channel, especially when it comes to tobacco promotion. We assessed the prevalence of tobacco use, its association with influencer exposure, and how urban youth interpret that exposure in two capitals with different tobacco laws. We conducted a comparative mixed-methods study among youth aged 18-29 years in Kampala, Uganda, and Nairobi, Kenya (January-August 2025), combining (i) a cross-sectional survey using systematic sampling at youth-dense venues (n=772), (ii) four online focus group discussions (FGDs; n=40), and (iii) content analysis of 30 tobacco-related posts from high-reach influencers (greater than 50,000 followers). We used chi-square tests and multivariable logistic regression, thematic analysis (Braun and Clarke), and descriptive engagement metrics. Ever tobacco use among urban youth in East Africa was 29.3% (226/772), similar in Kampala (30.7%) and Nairobi (28.0%; p=0.409). After adjustment, exposure to influencers promoting tobacco independently predicted ever use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-2.82; p=0.001), alongside male sex (aOR 2.35) and age 26-29 years (aOR 1.99). Tertiary education (aOR 0.45) and never seeing tobacco content (aOR 0.26) were protective. Posts framed tobacco as aspirational lifestyle; 77% of sampled comments were positive and 47.5% expressed interest in trying the product. Influencer exposure behaved as a modifiable risk factor of a magnitude comparable to established demographic drivers. Tobacco control in the region must move from print-era advertising bans to platform governance, mandatory disclosure of paid promotion, and youth-led counter-marketing.

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Behavioral and Functional Neuroimaging Effects of Delivering a Course of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation to Personalized Targets Within the Ventrolateral Or Dorsolateral Prefrontal Cortex in Treatment-Seeking Participants with Cannabis Use Disorder

McCalley, D.; Wong, B.; Geoly, A.; Struckman, W.; Azeez, A.; Kaloiani, I.; Kim, B.; Ninomiya, S.; Ehrie, J.; Austelle, C. W.; Rolle, C. E.; Kim, J. P.; Froeliger, B.; McRae-Clark, A. L.; Sahlem, G.

2026-06-10 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355193 medRxiv
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Background: Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) is a promising treatment across addictive disorders including Cannabis Use Disorder (CUD). Stimulation of two rTMS-targets, the ventromedial prefrontal cortex (vmPFC) and the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (LDLPFC), limbic and executive control network hubs respectively, may yield differential effects. In this pilot trial, we explored the differential effects of 36-sessions of rTMS applied to either the vmPFC or LDLPFC. Methods: Treatment-seeking participants with moderate or severe CUD (n=20, 10F, age=33.3+9.8SD) were randomized to 36-sessions of open-label rTMS (two sessions-per-visit, two or three visits-per-week) to either the LDLPFC (3000-pulses; 10Hz) or vmPFC (900-pulses; 1Hz) using personalized functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) targets along with three-sessions of Motivational Enhancement Therapy. At baseline and following rTMS, the Time-Line Follow-Back was used to measure Days-per-week of cannabis use and the fMRI Regulation of Craving (ROC) task was used to measure network activation to cues associated with long-term negative ('Later') and short-term positive ('Now') consequences of cannabis use. Results: Eighty percent of participants completed study-rTMS. There was a significant decrease in days-per-week of cannabis use in both groups (vmPFC: d=7.9; DLPFC, d=3.1) between the four-weeks of baseline and seven-weeks of follow-up. LDPFC-rTMS reduced fMRI BOLD signal magnitude and increased LDLPFC functional connectivity in response to cues, while vmPFC-TMS reduced functional connectivity. Conclusions: Treatment-seeking participants with CUD reduced the number of days-per-week they used cannabis when receiving rTMS applied to either the LDPFC or vmPFC, while fMRI effects differed by treatment target. Future larger sham-controlled trials are needed for efficacy and biomarker determination.

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Adapting a Regulation of Craving Magnetic Resonance Imaging Task to Generate Functional Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Targets for the Ventromedial and Dorsolateral Prefrontal Cortex in Treatment-Seeking Participants with Cannabis Use Disorder

Geoly, A.; McCalley, D. M.; Struckmann, W.; Azeez, A.; Wong, B.; Kim, B.; Ninomiya, S.; Ahmed, S.; Kim, J. P.; McRae-Clark, A. L.; Froeliger, B.; Sahlem, G. L.

2026-06-06 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26353616 medRxiv
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Background: Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) is a promising treatment across addictive disorders including Cannabis Use Disorder (CUD). Targeting incentive-salience circuitry via the ventromedial prefrontal cortex (vmPFC) and central-executive circuitry via the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (LDLPFC) are both promising treatment approaches; however, to date structural targets have predominated whereas functional targeting may allow for more precision. In this pilot trial we adapted a functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) Regulation of Craving (ROC) task to generate fMRI-based rTMS targets in the vmPFC and LDLPFC. Methods: We recruited treatment-seeking participants with moderate or severe CUD as a part of an open-label trial and administered an adapted ROC-task during fMRI following 24-hours of cannabis abstinence. We identified sub-portions of maximal activation of the LDLPFC when participants thought of long-term consequences of cannabis use (Later) and of the vmPFC when participants thought of short-term positive aspects of cannabis use (Now). We hypothesized that our task would generate acceptable rTMS targets in >66% of baseline fMRI scans. Results: A total of 20-participants enrolled in the trial (50%F, age=33.3+9.8) and completed the baseline fMRI. The adapted ROC-task elicited group level activation in the LDLPFC and precuneus in the Later>Now and in the bilateral vmPFC, ACC, and striatum in the Now>Later contrast. Acceptable functional targets resolved in both the vmPFC and LDLPFC in 19 of 20 participants (one participant did not tolerate MRI). Conclusions: The adapted ROC-task elicits activation in incentive salience and central executive circuitry and can feasibly generate rTMS targets when using a cluster selection algorithm.

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BREATHE: A realist evaluation protocol to understand how smoking cessation services support pregnant women in areas of social deprivation

Carlisle, N.; Zhang, M.; Simpson, N.; Stacey, T.

2026-06-10 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354590 medRxiv
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Background Tobacco smoking during pregnancy increases the risk of preterm birth, small for gestational age (SGA), stillbirth, and longer-term adverse health outcomes. Globally, reducing smoking in pregnancy is a key public health priority, yet the organisation, accessibility, and effectiveness of cessation support varies substantially between countries and healthcare systems. Differences in policy implementation, resource allocation, and integration of cessation services into antenatal care influence uptake and success rates across diverse settings. In England, pregnant women are entitled to free smoking cessation support, however, service delivery varies across regions with mixed efficacy. While tobacco smoking is more prevalent in deprived communities, there is limited understanding of how, why, for whom, and under what circumstances these services are most effective, particularly in areas of social deprivation, such as the North East and Yorkshire. Objective To conduct a realist evaluation to understand how smoking cessation services support pregnant women in areas of social deprivation to stop smoking and reduce adverse perinatal outcomes. Methods This multi-site realist evaluation will be conducted across three NHS maternity services in West Yorkshire, England. The study comprises four iterative stages: (1) development of initial programme theories through realist-informed literature scoping and stakeholder consultation; (2) case study data collection including qualitative interviews with pregnant women (approximately 15-30) and staff (approximately 15-30); (3) analysis of routine anonymised maternity and neonatal electronic data collected over a one-year period; and (4) realist analysis to refine context-mechanism-outcome (CMO) configurations. Qualitative data will be analysed using realist logic supported by NVivo software. Quantitative data will be analysed using descriptive and inferential statistics to explore associations between smoking cessation engagement and perinatal outcomes. Ethics and dissemination Ethical approval was obtained through the UK Health Research Authority and a Research Ethics Committee prior to study commencement (IRAS 364173; REC reference number 26/SC/0020). Findings will inform recommendations to improve smoking cessation support for pregnant women in deprived areas. Results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations, and stakeholder engagement.

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Developing a Unified Criminal Justice Pathway into Drug and Alcohol Treatment from Police Custody: A Public Health Service Evaluation and Pathway-Design Project in Blackpool, United Kingdom

Badmos, A. O.; AbdulKareem, A. O.; Mills, J.; Gawne, A.; Idris, T.

2026-06-10 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355095 medRxiv
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Introduction: Blackpool, England's most deprived local authority, has the highest drug-related death rate in the country. People in police custody with problem substance use are a key Core20PLUS5 inclusion-health group, yet referral from the police into structured drug and alcohol treatment is fragmented and relies heavily on self-report. We evaluated the current police-to-treatment route in Blackpool and designed an evidence-informed unified pathway. Materials and Methods: A mixed-methods service evaluation and pathway-design project was conducted during a six-month General Practice / Public Health rotation. Routinely collected referral data from Horizon (the local specialist drug and alcohol service) covering the 47-month period from December 2019 to October 2023 were analysed. Findings were triangulated with national policy, the Project ADDER and Liaison and Diversion evaluations, and the international evidence on police-led pre-arrest diversion. Results: Of 5,900 total referrals into Horizon over 47 months, only 269 (4.56%) originated from the police. Police referrals accounted for fewer than 5% of monthly referrals in 30 of 47 months, for 5 to 9.9% in 16 months, and for >/= 10% in only one month (10.8%, December 2022). Blackpool recorded 76 drug-misuse deaths in 2019-21 (19.4 per 100,000, approximately four times the England rate). A six-step unified pathway is proposed: Initiate Referral (opt-out, from ADDER Police and Liaison and Diversion); Initial Assessment; Tailored Treatment Plan; Continuous Support; Collaboration and Monitoring; and Evaluation and Adjustment. Conclusions: Police contact is markedly under-used as a gateway to treatment despite Blackpool having the highest drug-related mortality in England. An opt-out, multi-agency pathway anchored in Core20PLUS5 has the potential to narrow the treatment gap, reduce re-offending, and address the structural health inequalities that drive premature mortality.

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Mortality in people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD): Examining how risk is embodied in a pooling of two prospective cohort studies

Li, H.; Ford, T.; Warrier, V.; Bell, S.; Batty, G. D.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355148 medRxiv
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Background. Nascent findings suggest that people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) experience higher rates of mortality. To date, study samples have been insufficiently well-characterized to examine the mechanisms via which this neurodevelopmental condition elevates mortality risk. Methods. We used data from the 2007 and 2011 waves of the US National Health Interview Survey, a general population-based cohort study comprising 52097 adults (28675 women) aged 18 years or older at baseline. ADHD diagnosis and an array of demographic, socioeconomic, lifestyle, and co-morbidity (somatic and psychiatric) covariates were self-reported. Findings. At baseline, compared with unaffected individuals, participants with ADHD were more likely to be socioeconomically disadvantaged, smoke cigarettes, consume alcohol, and report symptoms of psychological distress. A median 7.75 years of mortality surveillance (range: 7.25-12.25) gave rise to 6597 deaths from all-causes. After adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year, ADHD was associated with a markedly elevated risk of death (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.58 [1.20-2.09]). Statistical adjustment for socioeconomic circumstances (11% attenuation), physical co-morbidities (15%), and lifestyle factors (17%) had only a modest impact on the ADHD-death gradient, with the greatest explanatory power apparent for symptoms of depression and anxiety (58%). The magnitude of the association of ADHD with mortality was commensurate to that for several well-established risk factors such as poverty (1.66 [1.55-1.78]), hypertension (1.41 [1.32-1.51]), and diabetes (1.71 [1.59-1.85]) but somewhat lower than cigarette smoking (2.51 [2.29-2.76]) after controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year. Associations between ADHD and cause-specific mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and chronic respiratory disease were inconclusive. Interpretation. In the present study, the influence of ADHD on total mortality appears to be largely embodied via a series of malleable characteristics, particularly mental illness. If confirmed elsewhere, these results raise the possibility that risk factor modification via standard pharmacological and behavioral interventions could help reduce rates of premature mortality in this patient group. Funding. This paper received no direct funding. GDB is supported by the UK Medical Research Council (MR/P023444/1) and the US National Institute on Aging (1R56AG052519-01, 1R01AG052519-01A1).

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Exploring the role of binge eating in the association between ADHD and BMI: A twin study

YOU, Y.; McAdams, T.; Oginni, O.; Liu, C.; Herle, M.; Zavos, H.

2026-06-05 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354354 medRxiv
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Objective: ADHD has been associated with obesity indicators, including BMI, across the lifespan. A possible mechanism linking ADHD and BMI is binge eating. Previous research has found associations between ADHD, binge eating and BMI. However, the role of genetic and environmental influences on these associations remains unclear. Method: We utilized data from the Twins Early Development Study (TEDS), comprising 3,675 monozygotic and 7,063 dizygotic twin pairs. ADHD symptoms in childhood and adolescence were assessed using parent-reported questionnaires. Adult ADHD symptoms were measured using both self-report and parent-report questionnaires. Phenotypic mediation models examined whether binge eating mediated the association between ADHD and BMI, without controlling for genetic confounding. Subsequently, the etiological architecture underlying the associations among the three traits across childhood, adolescence, and adulthood were investigated by incorporating genetic and environmental influences into the models. Results: Binge eating significantly mediated the association between ADHD symptoms and BMI in both adolescence and adulthood. However, these mediation effects were no longer present once genetic and environmental influences were incorporated into the models. The best-fitting model in childhood, adolescence and adulthood was Cholesky decomposition models, where covariance between traits was explained by shared aetiology. Conclusions: This twin study reveals shared liability across ADHD, binge eating, and BMI. The mediating role of binge eating in the relationship between ADHD symptoms and BMI was largely confounded by shared genetic influences. Intervention strategies could focus more on common underlying behavioural and self-regulatory mechanisms across these traits, as well as placing more emphasis on symptom patterns within families.

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Serum Cotinine and Wrist-Worn Ambient Light Exposure Patterns in U.S. Adults: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of NHANES 2011-2014

Wong, A.; Lee, C. W.; Park, A.; Yin, L.; Choi, Y.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354759 medRxiv
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Background. Tobacco smoke exposure, quantified by serum cotinine, is associated with cardiovascular, metabolic, and sleep-related health risks. The relationship between biomarker-verified tobacco smoke exposure and objectively measured, free-living wrist-worn ambient light patterns has not been examined in a nationally representative U.S. adult sample. Methods. We analyzed NHANES 2011-2014 cross-sectional data from 6,937 adults aged >20 years with valid serum cotinine and wrist-worn Physical Activity Monitor (PAM) ambient light data. Seven light outcomes were modeled using survey-weighted linear regression with log2(cotinine+1) as the continuous exposure across four covariate adjustment levels. Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) correction was applied across the 7 outcomes within each model. Results. In Model 2 (adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, poverty-income ratio, BMI, and survey cycle; N = 6,350), higher serum cotinine was associated with significantly higher nighttime light (beta = +0.024, 95% CI: 0.010, 0.038; p-FDR = 0.014) and lower evening light (beta = -0.031, 95% CI: -0.055, -0.008; p-FDR = 0.042). In exploratory behavioral models without alcohol (Model 3a; N = 5,766), both nighttime and evening associations remained FDR-significant. After additional adjustment for alcohol, which substantially reduced the sample due to 37.6% missingness (Model 3b; N = 3,866), the nighttime association attenuated below the FDR threshold, while the evening association remained FDR-significant. Categorical analyses showed progressively higher nighttime light across cotinine groups, and a hypothesis-generating sex interaction was identified (p-interaction = 0.001). Conclusions. Higher serum cotinine concentrations were associated with higher nighttime and lower evening ambient light after sociodemographic adjustment. Attenuation after behavioral adjustment and the cross-sectional design preclude causal inference. Longitudinal studies with formal mediation analyses are needed to clarify the temporal ordering and mechanisms linking tobacco smoke exposure, smoking-related behaviors, and personal light-dark cycle patterns.

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Alcohol Consumption Patterns and Sociodemographic Correlates Among US Adults with Cardiovascular Disease: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of All of Us and NHANES

yang, q.; yu, j.; zhao, h.; zou, m.; sun, y.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355052 medRxiv
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This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the prevalence of alcohol use and its sociodemographic correlates among adults with cardiovascular disease (CVD). We analyzed data from two large US cohorts: the All of Us Research Program (2017-2023) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2016). Both CVD diagnosis and past-year alcohol consumption were self-reported. Risky drinking was defined as exceeding moderate drinking or binge drinking (All of Us), or moderate/heavy drinking (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression was used to exam associations with sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Among 32,788 current drinkers with CVD in the All of Us cohort, 15% exceeded moderate drinking thresholds and 26% reported binge drinking. Older age, female sex, and higher socioeconomic status were inversely associated with risky drinking, while smoking was positively associated. In NHANES, moderate drinking rose from 47.3% to 57.2% and heavy drinking from 6.7% to 7.2%. Moderate/heavy drinking was positively associated with age <65 but inversely with age [&ge;]65. Higher education and income were linked to moderate drinking, while current smoking was strongly associated with heavy drinking. These results highlight the need to integrate holistic screening for alcohol use, tobacco use, and social context into routine cardiovascular care.

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How nurses spend their time: nurses' experiences and time use for providing HIV treatment under conventional and differentiated service delivery models in South Africa

Lekodeba, N. A.; Pascoe, S. J. S.; Huber, A. N.; Ngcobo, N.; Morgan, A. J.; Ntjikelane, V.; Marri, A. R.; Sande, L.; Shumba, K.; Mokhele, I.; Nichols, B. E.; Jamieson, L.; Rosen, S.

2026-06-08 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355033 medRxiv
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Introduction: Differentiated service delivery (DSD) models aim to reduce time healthcare providers spend with DSD clients, increasing time available for non-DSD clients. We measured nurses' time allocation and explored their experiences with DSD models in South Africa. Methods: We conducted time and motion observations and surveyed nurses at 24 public primary healthcare facilities across two SENTINEL study rounds (09/2022-07/2023 and 11/2023-07/2024). We report median time nurses spent by activity, model of care, and interaction type. Log binomial regression investigated factors associated with high direct nurse-client interaction (above median minutes) and extended work-days ([&ge;]9 hours), and estimated adjusted risk ratios (aRR). Survey questions were related to client care, additional time availability, and policy changes post DSD implementation, with key themes presented alongside illustrative quotes. Results: 176 nurses (88% female, median age 44) were observed for 344 working days; of these, 60 (34%) participated in the provider survey. Nurses spent a median of 293 minutes (53% of their work-day) on direct nurse-client interaction, 89 minutes (22%) on client-support or facility-related tasks, and the remainder on other activities including personal breaks. Time spent per client was similar across conventional care clients (11 [IQR: 8-15] minutes) but ranged between 9 (7-13) to 11 (8-15) minutes for DSD clients; number of direct nurse-client interactions did not differ meaningfully. Nurses at facilities with 2,000-3,999 total remaining on ART (TROA) (aRR 1.56, 95% CI: 1.02-2.37) and in urban areas (aRR 1.43, [1.08-1.89]) had more direct nurse-client interactions than those at facilities with <1,999 TROA and in rural areas, respectively. Nurses at facilities with 4,000+ TROA (aRR 2.22, [1.36-3.63]) and those observed in SENTINEL 3.0 (aRR 1.53, [1.13-2.07]) were more likely to work standard or longer workdays than those at lower TROA facilities (<1,999), those in SENTINEL 2.0 and urban areas. Nurses reported DSD models improved client care (90%), freed up time (60%), and changed clinic procedures and policies (60%). Conclusions: While DSD models did not significantly reduce direct nurse-client interaction time, nurses reported improved client care and gained additional time. DSD impact may vary by facility context. As DSD implementation expands, effective time reallocation may enhance facility performance and provider productivity.

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Increasing influenza vaccination rates among care home staff: Economic evaluation of the FluCare intervention within a cluster-RCT

Wagner, A. P.; Risebro, H.; Clark, A.; Stirling, S.; Sims, E.; Bion, V.; Blacklock, J.; Birt, L.; Bryant, R.; Cook, L.; Dean, T.; Wyn Griffiths, A.; Guillard, C.; Holland, R.; Jones, A. P.; Jones, L.; Katangwe-Chigamba, T.; Pitcher, J.; Scott, S.; Wright, D.; Patel, A.

2026-06-09 health economics 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355050 medRxiv
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Introduction Care home (CH) influenza vaccination of staff improves resident health, yet uptake remains low at just over 11% (England, 2025/2026). We report an economic evaluation (EE) of "FluCare", an intervention to increase staff influenza vaccination through: vaccination clinics at CHs; promotional materials; and CH financial incentives. Method Seventy-five CHs were randomised to FluCare or control. A cost-consequence analysis took the influenza vaccination programme funder perspective, but also extended to the National Health Service (NHS) and CH perspective. Costs included: influenza vaccination; administration fee; FluCare components; CH resident NHS utilisation. Outcomes were: staff influenza vaccination rates; staff sickness; and resident mortality. Sensitivity analyses excluded intervention CHs that did not host vaccination clinics. Results Compared to control CHs, adjusted analysis found intervention homes with a mean absolute increase in vaccination rates of 1.8% (95% CI: -6.0%, 10.8%; p=0.572) at an increased cost of {pound}451 (95% CI: {pound}239, {pound}675; p<0.001) to the vaccination programme funders: {pound}249 per additional percentage point (PAPP) per CH. Vaccination clinics were delivered late in the influenza season, with 80% taking place from February 2023. Including only intervention CHs that hosted staff flu vaccination clinics (23/35), increases the mean difference to 10.1% (95% CI: 0.9%, 21.9%; p=0.018) and costs to {pound}805 (95% CI: {pound}603, {pound}1,079; p<0.001): {pound}79 PAPP per CH. Differences between trial arms in other costs and outcomes were marginal and generally non-significant. Conclusions FluCare delivered little improvement when staff flu vaccination clinics did not occur and had little impact on other costs/outcomes. Cost-effectiveness depends on willingness-to-pay for increased staff vaccination, but cost PAPP per CH improved from {pound}249 to {pound}79 when only CHs hosting clinics were considered. Late implementation, likely reduced impact by limiting clinic delivery, as reflected in sensitivity analysis. Future evaluations should implement FluCare earlier in the season.

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Integrated cardiometabolic and nutritional risk profiling identifies pregnancy loss as a marker of systemic metabolic vulnerability

Agarwal, T.; Namburu, J. R.; Kachroo, P.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354910 medRxiv
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Background: Pregnancy loss has important implications for womens health. Although maternal age is a well-established risk factor, the contribution of routinely measured cardiometabolic and behavioral markers at population-scale remains incompletely characterized. Objective: To examine associations between cardiometabolic, nutritional, and behavioral risk markers and pregnancy loss among U.S. women of reproductive age. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 4,842 U.S. women aged 20-44 years with [&ge;]1 pregnancy using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data (2013-2023). Pregnancy loss was defined as [&ge;]1 prior miscarriages. Exposures included body mass index, smoking exposure (cotinine), lipid biomarkers, vitamin D and folate, and a composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk score. Survey-weighted logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals, with bootstrap resampling for predictor robustness. Results: The weighted prevalence of pregnancy loss was 23%. Higher odds of pregnancy loss were associated with increasing age (aOR per year=1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), Non-Hispanic Black race (aOR=1.32; 95% CI: 1.00-1.74), overweight (aOR=1.56; 95% CI: 1.16-2.11), obesity (aOR=2.06; 95% CI: 1.39-3.05), and smoking (aOR=1.58; 95% CI: 1.19-2.10). Adverse lipid profiles, particularly elevated triglycerides (aOR=1.83; 95% CI: 1.16-2.90) and high low-density lipoprotein (aOR=2.97; 95% CI: 1.45-6.61), were independently associated with pregnancy loss. Vitamin D/folate were not stable predictors. Higher composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk scores were observed among women with pregnancy loss (P=0.026). Conclusion: Pregnancy loss clustered with adverse cardiometabolic and behavioral risk markers in a nationally representative population. These findings highlight pregnancy loss as a marker of broader metabolic vulnerability supporting the need for longitudinal studies and cardiometabolic profiling to inform preconception care and risk stratification.

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AIM-PrEP: AI-Agent Driven Multicenter Intervention to Improve PrEP Adherence and Health Monitoring Among Men Who Have Sex with Men (MSM)-Protocol of A Randomized Controlled Trial

Zeng, R.; Zuo, Z.; Yu, H.; Jin, Y.; Wang, Y.; Lv, H.; Wang, G.; Zhang, N.; He, H.; Huang, X.; Zhang, X.; Su, Q.; Xu, J.

2026-06-04 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354777 medRxiv
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Background: Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has demonstrated a significant reduction in HIV infections among men who have sex with men (MSM), however, low medication adherence hinders its preventative effectiveness. Traditional approaches, such as health education and face-to-face inquiry (HEF), have demonstrated certain efficacy in improving PrEP adherence. However, these methods are resource-intensive and often plagued by delays, rendering timely and precise interventions challenging. This randomized controlled trial aims to assess the effectiveness of an intervention comprising AI-chatbot for PrEP (PrEP-bot) and Smart pillbox (SPB) (PrEP-bot-SPB) strategy to improve PrEP adherence among MSM compared to HEF.Methods and analysis: A three-arm, multicenter, open-lable RCT will be conducted with Chinese MSM [&ge;]18 years. A total of 300 participants will be recruited through three sources, including hospitals, community-based organizations (CBOs) and peer referral in five cities: Shenzhen, Beijing, Qingdao, Hangzhou and Zhengzhou. After completing baseline survey, participants will be randomized evenly into interventions or control groups: the PrEP-bot group, the PrEP-bot-SPB group, and the HEF control group. Participants in the PrEP-bot group will be granted access to an AI-chatbot agent through WeChat. This agent will: 1) generate personalized PrEP medication plans; 2) provide medication reminders and PrEP-related health check-ups notifications; 3) inquire about missed doses to deliver tailored interventions; 4) answer participant questions about PrEP using guideline-based knowledge. Participants in the PrEP-bot-SPB group will receive both the SPB and the PrEP-bot interventions. SPB could delivers medication reminders. Participants in HEF group will receive a health education pamphlet introducing PrEP and knowledge related to PrEP medication adherence at baseline and face-to-face inquiry every three months. Outcomes will be assessed for both short-term and medium-to-long-term effects. The primary objective is the effectiveness in improving PrEP adherence measured by self-report, Eight-Item Morisky medication adherence scale (MMAS-8) and concentration of Tenofovir in dried blood spots (DBS) (PrEP adherence [&ge;]90%) at 3 months follow-up. Secondary outcomes include: 1) effectiveness in preventing HIV infection measured by HIV-self test (HIVST); 2) effectiveness of PrEP-related health check-ups; 3) the effectiveness, feasibility, acceptability, and user satisfaction with the PrEP-bot; 4) effectiveness in improving PrEP adherence at 6-month, 9-month and 12-month follow-up periods. All participants will receive quarterly follow-up visits during the 12-month study period. Intention-to-treat analysis and per protocol set (PPS) analysis will be used.Results: Recruitment and enrollment of participants began in January 2026 and is currently ongoing.Discussion: This study is expected to establish a novel AI-based intervention model for PrEP, providing innovative strategies for HIV control among MSM populations. If the PrEP-bot is proven non-inferior to HEF, it could offer users real-time, precise, and personalized interventions while simultaneously addressing PrEP-related inquiries and health check-ups reminders. Importantly, this approach would achieve significant reductions in resource requirements for implementation and maintenance and be more cost-effective. With the ongoing advancement of AI technologies, PrEP-bot holds substantial promise for widespread implementation in PrEP adherence, potentially revolutionizing HIV prevention for MSM in China through this innovative intervention modality.Trial registration: ChiCTR2500111280 (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry). Date of registration: 29 October 2025.

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Early life multidimensional disadvantage of South Australian children: a whole-population linked data study

Kalamkarian, A.; Pilkington, R. M.; Lynch, J.; Mittinty, M. N.; Malvaso, C.; Hawkins, K.; Pharo, H.; Beck, K.; Chittleborough, C. R.

2026-06-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354860 medRxiv
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Background: Whole-population linked administrative data platforms provide an opportunity to generate evidence on early life multidimensional disadvantage to inform resourcing and service provision to families with complex needs. Methods: We used individual-level de-identified data from nine administrative data sources included in the Better Evidence Better Outcomes Linked Data (BEBOLD) platform. The population included all children born in South Australia between 2004-2011 (n=143,083), and their parents. We described the prevalence and distribution of multiple disadvantages affecting children from the 12 months before birth to age 5. Eleven domains of parental disadvantage were created: economic, education, access to services, mental health, substance misuse, smoking during pregnancy, domestic and family violence, health, child protection contact, justice system contact, and death. We investigated the concordance of our measure with an area-level socioeconomic measure used in government reporting. Results: One in two children (48%) were exposed to at least one disadvantage domain, and one in seven (14%) were exposed to three or more domains before age five. Economic disadvantage was most prevalent, affecting one in four (27%) children, of which 75% were exposed to additional forms of disadvantage. Substance misuse, domestic and family violence, and justice system contact were the least likely domains to occur in isolation. Only 54.4% who experienced five or more disadvantage domains were classified in the area-level socioeconomic measure's 'most disadvantaged' quintile. Conclusion: Early life exposure to parental disadvantage can be highly multidimensional. Measurement across different systems is important for informing coordinated service provision for families with complex needs.

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Ultra-low-field MRI as a tool for measuring brain development in at-risk children in LMICS: feasibility, validity and clinical relevance.

Bradford, L. E.; Ringshaw, J. E.; Malaba, T. R.; Bourke, N. J.; Wedderburn, C. J.; Williams, S. C.; Deoni, S.; Reynolds, H.; Read, J.; Read, L.; Waitt, C.; Mrubata, M.; Stemmet, L.-A.; Davel, L.; Colbers, A.; Wang, D.; Khoo, S.; Myer, L.; Donald, K. A.

2026-06-05 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354785 medRxiv
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Background Children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) face an elevated risk of developmental delay, yet scalable neuroimaging tools to study early brain development in these contexts remain limited. Children who are HIV-exposed but uninfected (CHEU) represent a growing population with evidence of language and motor delays and altered brain development compared with children who are HIV-unexposed (CHU). Ultra-low-field (ULF) MRI offers a more affordable alternative to conventional high-field (HF) MRI, but its application in early childhood remains underexplored. Methods We compared brain volumes derived from ULF (64mT) and HF (3T) MRI in South African CHEU and CHU as part of the DolPHIN-2 PLUS study. Volumetric segmentation was performed using FreeSurfer v7.4.1 and SynthSeg on the Flywheel platform. Agreement between modalities was assessed using Pearsons and Lins concordance correlation coefficients across global and subcortical regions. Associations between ULF-derived brain volumes and developmental outcomes, measured by the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, Third Edition, were evaluated using partial correlations adjusted for sex and age. Results Forty-five children (9 CHEU, 36 CHU; mean age 45.6 months) had paired ULF and HF scans of usable quality. Strong correlations were observed between ULF and HF volumes for global white and grey matter regions (r > 0.92) and larger subcortical grey matter structures such as the thalamus, caudate, and putamen (r = 0.86-0.89). Moderate-to-weak correlations were evident in smaller structures (hippocampus, pallidum, amygdala). ULF underestimated most grey matter volumes, and overestimated total white matter volume relative to HF. ULF-derived global and subcortical volumes were associated with receptive and expressive communication (r = 0.34-0.59, all p < 0.05). Conclusions ULF MRI produces brain volume estimates comparable to HF MRI and captures meaningful associations with early language development. These findings support ULF MRI as a feasible and scalable tool for studying neurodevelopment in vulnerable paediatric populations in LMICs.

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Cultural engagement and mental disorders: A prospective negative control analysis of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing with linked Hospital Episode Statistics

Qin, P.; Steptoe, A.; Fancourt, D.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354991 medRxiv
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Cultural engagement is associated longitudinally with better mental health and reduced depression incidence, but evidence has largely relied on self-reported symptoms and diagnoses, leaving uncertainty about clinically recorded disorders, and residual confounding remains a concern. Here, we examined whether cultural engagement (including going to cinemas, museums, galleries, exhibitions, theatre, concerts, or opera) predicts hospital-treated mental disorders in 8,274 adults aged 50 years or older from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Participant records were linked to ICD-10 diagnoses in Hospital Episode Statistics and mortality records with follow-up of up to 20 years. In fully adjusted Cox models accounting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and social factors and multiple testing, frequent cultural engagement was associated with lower risk of any mental disorders (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.82, FDR adjusted P value<0.001), dementia (0.71, 0.56-0.89, FDR adjusted P value=0.010), substance misuse (0.75, 0.59-0.95,FDR adjusted P value=0.040), and mood disorders (0.73, 0.56-0.95, FDR adjusted P value=0.044), but not neurotic disorders. Associations persisted after excluding early incident cases and adjusting for baseline depressive symptoms and cognition, and showed robustness to unmeasured confounders. To further probe causality, eye disease, ear disease, and traumatic brain injury, which share similar socio-demographic profiles to mental disorders, were prespecified as negative control outcomes. Cultural engagement was not associated with any negative control outcomes. These findings provide triangulated statistical data to suggest that cultural engagement is associated with reduced risk of several clinically recorded mental disorders and support further testing of cultural engagement as a population mental health strategy.

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A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials examining the effect of ultra-processed food on energy intake and weight gain

Robinson, E.; Jones, A.; Evans, R.; Finlay, A.; Brealey, J.; Gough, T.; Cummings, J.; Fisher, E.; Jutla, M.; Morenikeji-Ibilola, E.; Norton, V.

2026-06-05 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354787 medRxiv
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Ultra-processed food (UPF) may contribute to increased energy intake and weight gain, but evidence synthesis from randomised controlled trials (RCT) is lacking. A pre-registered systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs was conducted comparing UPF with less processed food (LPF) on energy intake and/or body weight in humans. Secondary analyses (meta-regression and sub-group) examined effects of UPF on appetite sensations, eating rate, palatability and considered the role of nutrient profile in explaining results. Ten eligible studies were included. UPF trial arms tended to have higher energy intake (standardised mean differences [SMDs]=0.18-0.44), but statistical significance varied between analytic models. Weight gain (SMD=0.65) and eating rate (SMD=0.96) were significantly greater in UPF trial arms. No significant differences in palatability, appetite sensations or energy intake later in the day were observed. Diets (UPF vs. LPF) used in trials were not matched for nutrient profile. Effects on energy intake varied if UPFs were higher (SMD=0.71) or similar (SMD=0.02) in energy density. Current RCTs are suggestive that UPFs may increase energy intake and body weight; however, results may be explained by energy density of foods used. Further research is needed to understand whether the level of processing impacts health outcomes independent to nutrient profile.

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Development of Longitudinal, Linked Maternal-Infant Cohorts using the Epic Cosmos Electronic Health Record Dataset

Leonard, S. A.; Dysart, K.; Callahan, A.; Siadat, S.; Zhang, J.; Handley, S. C.; Huybrechts, K. F.; Igbinosa, I.; Bateman, B. T.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354757 medRxiv
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Background: Epic Cosmos is a relatively new centralized electronic health record dataset with high potential utility in perinatal epidemiologic research. Objectives: The study objectives were to develop replicable steps to create longitudinal, linked maternal-infant cohorts in Cosmos, assess completeness of key variables, evaluate potential selection bias with restrictions for longitudinal healthcare encounters, and provide an example epidemiologic analysis. Methods: We created maternal-infant cohorts by starting with live births during 2023-2024 recorded in the BirthFact data table and joining with additional data tables as needed. We selected and created variables for perinatal characteristics, common comorbidities, and routinely measured vital signs and laboratory values, and assessed variable completeness. We sequentially restricted the birth cohort for maternal-infant linkage and longitudinal healthcare from first-trimester prenatal care encounter through infant follow-up care within 12 weeks post-discharge from birth hospitalization. Finally, we conducted an example analysis of the association between high systolic blood pressure in the first trimester ([&ge;]140 mm Hg) and later onset of preeclampsia among those with chronic hypertension. Results: The total linked birth cohort included 2,624,186 pregnancies. Completeness was >90% for most variables assessed but was 77% for racial and ethnic group and 76% for body mass index at delivery. Characteristics of the cohort were similar to those reported for the entire United States birth population based on birth certificate data, including similar regional and racial-ethnic composition. Longitudinal cohort restriction requiring linked records from first trimester prenatal care through infant follow-up care reduced the cohort size to 509,148 pregnancies. However, restriction had minimal effects on cohort characteristics. In the example analysis, high systolic blood pressure was associated with increased risk of preeclampsia among those with chronic hypertension (aRR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.22, 1.30). Conclusions: This study provides a rigorous and reproducible approach to creating longitudinal, linked maternal-infant cohorts in Epic Cosmos and the analytical findings suggest high data quality and representativeness.

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Identifying Clinical Diagnostic Trajectories Associated With Suicide Death Using Temporal Sequence Mining of Linked Claims and Mortality Data

Belouali, A.; Kitchen, C.; Haroz, E.; Lehmann, H.; Nestadt, P. S.; Wilcox, H. C.; Kharrazi, H.

2026-06-10 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355231 medRxiv
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Background: Most approaches to suicide risk assessment consider clinical conditions as independent risk factors, potentially overlooking prognostic information in the order in which conditions accumulate. We applied temporal sequence mining to linked claims and mortality data to identify ordered clinical diagnostic trajectories associated with suicide death. Results: The cohort included 3 647 059 insured Maryland residents aged 10 years or older with available claims records in the Maryland Suicide Data Warehouse from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2020, among whom 768 suicide deaths were ascertained through medical examiner linkage. Sequential pattern mining of ICD-10-CM diagnoses grouped into Clinical Classifications Software Refined categories identified 89 221 candidate sequences, of which 1 816 remained significantly associated with suicide death in time-varying Cox models. Adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) ranged from 2.4 to 134.1. Two-thirds of significant trajectories ended in physical conditions, and approximately half crossed from psychiatric to physical endpoints. Among suicide decedents, 62% were exposed to at least 1 significant sequence (median, 16 per case); median sequence duration was 18.7 months, and median time from completion to death was 13.1 months. In landmark analyses, among patients with depression who later developed suicidal ideation (n = 26 356), the path through anxiety, then anemia, was associated with higher risk (AHR, 4.6; 95% CI, 2.2-9.5), whereas the anxiety-only path was not (AHR, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.8-2.1). Among patients with anxiety who later developed hypertension (n = 149 215), the path through history of self-harm was associated with higher risk (AHR, 32.0; 95% CI, 16.6-61.6). Associations were generally consistent across sex and age. Conclusions: Temporal ordering of clinical conditions may carry prognostic information for suicide death. Clinical trajectories incorporating physical illness within psychiatric sequences identified higher-risk groups. These findings suggest that opportunities for risk detection may extend beyond psychiatric settings and that suicide risk signals may be fragmented across care settings and not apparent within isolated encounters.

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Snip Happens: A Retrospective Study of Vasectomy and Birth rates in Australia

Janetzki, J.; Modi, N.; Varney, B.; Pratt, N.; Ward, M.; Wiese, M.; Lim, R.; Kalisch Ellett, L.

2026-06-05 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354864 medRxiv
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Background Fertility rates in Australia have been declining over recent decades, reaching a record low total fertility rate of 1.48 births per woman in 2024. Concurrently, vasectomy remains widely accessible and increasingly normalised as a permanent contraceptive option. Despite extensive commentary on falling birth rates, no contemporary Australian study has examined vasectomy rates relative to birth rates over time. We aimed to compare population level vasectomy and birth rates across Australian jurisdictions and age groups. Study design Nationwide retrospective time-series study. Retrospective population-based study using Medicare Benefits Schedule item 37623 to identify vasectomy procedures performed between July 2015 and December 2024. Rates were calculated per 100,000 male population using quarterly Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population estimates and summarised as rolling 12-month averages. Birth rates were derived using matched ABS data for women across equivalent age strata (18-24, 25-34, 35-44 years). Results: Vasectomy rates increased nationally from 32 per 100,000 in 2016 to 55 per 100,000 in 2023 before declining modestly in 2024. Birth rates declined from 5,200 to 3,800 per 100,000 over the same period. Trends were consistent across states and age groups, with the greatest vasectomy uptake in men aged 35-44 years. Conclusion: Australia is undergoing a demographic shift characterised by rising vasectomy uptake and declining fertility. While vasectomy rates remain lower than birth rates, their convergence signals changing reproductive intentions and contraceptive behaviours. Ongoing monitoring of permanent and long-acting contraception is essential to understand evolving population dynamics and inform reproductive health policy.