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Trials

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Trials's content profile, based on 29 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Study protocol: Empowering Singaporeans to better manage chronic heart failure

Bairavee, B.; Wang, Y.; Kanna Ravi, D.; Lee Shan Yin, A.; Ching Chiew Wong, R.; Loh, S. Y.; Graves, N.; Sung, S.; Yoon, S.; Hausenloy, D. J.; Low, L. L.; Yeo, K.-K.; Sim, K. L. D.; Zhang, Y.; Kularatna, S.; Senanayake, S.

2026-07-13 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.07.09.26357623 medRxiv
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Background The prevalence of chronic heart failure is increasing in Singapore and is associated with frequent hospitalisations, high costs, and impaired quality of life. Patient empowerment interventions for chronic diseases, which are structured approaches that enable patients to actively engage in and influence their care, have demonstrated promising effects on health-related outcomes. In chronic heart failure, however, many interventions focus on selected aspects of empowerment, and there remains limited synthesis of which approaches are most acceptable, preferred, and effective as comprehensive intervention packages. This protocol describes the methods for a study to identify an empowerment-based intervention for adults with chronic heart failure that is both contextually suitable and cost-effective in Singapore. Methods We will use a staged, sequential design comprising three objectives. Objective one is to conduct a systematic review (PROSPERO registration number CRD420251249957) and meta-analysis to synthesise international evidence of the effectiveness of empowerment-based interventions for adults with chronic heart failure. Objective two is to complete a mixed-methods study, including semi-structured interviews with chronic heart failure patients, as well as their caregivers, to identify empowerment-related needs, barriers and facilitators in local chronic heart failure care. This will be followed by a discrete choice experiment to elicit patients preferences for features of an empowerment-based intervention. Objective three is to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of the proposed intervention from the perspective of the Singapore health system. Discussion This series of studies integrates international evidence with local stakeholder perspectives and patient preferences to inform a feasible, patient-centred empowerment intervention for chronic heart failure in Singapore. The findings will inform intervention design and provide policy-relevant evidence on costs, health outcomes, and implementation decisions for empowerment-based chronic heart failure care in Singapore.

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Statistical Analysis Plan for the SImPLE Trial: A Study to test if illustrations and plain language ImProve cLinical trial Education

Llewellyn, S.; Gianacas, C.; Manifold, E.; Gedye, C.

2026-07-27 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.26.26358619 medRxiv
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Background Traditional participant information and consent forms (PICFs) have changed little over time and are often lengthy and complex. A novel consent process incorporating plain language, an infographic brochure and a short explanatory video was developed to improve communication of clinical trial information. The SImPLE study was designed to evaluate whether this novel consent process improves comprehension of clinical trial information, participant engagement and the consent experience compared with a traditional PICF. Design and Setting SImPLE is a randomised two-period crossover study involving adults receiving cancer treatment who are potentially eligible for clinical trial participation. Study materials were developed for the ANZadapt (ANZUP2101) prostate cancer clinical trial; however, participants are not being recruited to ANZadapt itself. Participants are randomised to receive either a standard 17-page NHMRC-style PICF followed by a novel consent process, or the reverse sequence, with a washout period of at least 7 days between study periods. The novel consent process comprises a simplified 4-page PICF, infographic brochure and short explanatory video. Twenty-four hours following each PICF review, participants complete a comprehension assessment and structured interview. Outcomes and Endpoints The primary endpoint is comprehension of clinical trial information, measured using a study-specific 22-item questionnaire comprising 10 true/false and 12 multiple-choice questions. Secondary endpoints include acceptability, assessed through participant preference for communication format, and engagement, assessed through confidence in explaining the trial and likelihood of agreeing to participate. Planned Analyses The primary analysis will compare comprehension scores between the novel and standard consent approaches using a paired t-test among participants completing both study periods. Secondary outcomes relating to acceptability and engagement will be summarised descriptively and compared between consent approaches as appropriate. Sensitivity analyses will be performed to assess the robustness of the primary findings and the potential impact of crossover design effects.

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Accounting for uncertainty in the expected treatment effect substantially increases the sample size required for randomised trials: implications for the feasibility of clinical trials in anaesthesia and critical care

Sidebotham, D.; Barlow, J.

2026-06-22 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.06.19.26356097 medRxiv
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Background Multicentre trials in anaesthesia and critical care report low rates of statistically significant differences. This finding may partly reflect conventional sample size methods, which assume a fixed treatment effect. Assurance methods use a design prior to represent uncertainty in the expected treatment effect, which may provide a more realistic way of estimating sample sizes. Methods We calculated power curves across a range of effect sizes, design priors, and sample sizes using frequentist and Bayesian assurance methods and compared the sample sizes required to achieve 80% and 90% power to the conventional method. We standardised the design priors across effect sizes using the coefficient of variation. We derived a theoretical limit for achievable power. We validated a normal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution. Results Frequentist and Bayesian assurance methods produced similar power curves across all scenarios. At a coefficient of variation of 0.5 - reflecting realistic prior uncertainty in the expected effect size - both methods required sample sizes that were approximately 1.5 to 3.5 times larger than the conventional method. The theoretical power limit depends only on the coefficient of variation of the design prior and holds true across all effect sizes. The normal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution matched the results obtained from Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. Conclusions Incorporating clinical uncertainty in the expected effect size substantially increases the sample size required to achieve adequate power, which has important implications for the feasibility of randomised trials in anaesthesia and critical care.

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Modified Ghost System combining action, observation, and vibration stimulation for recovery after distal radius fracture surgery: A single-arm clinical feasibility study protocol

Kano, A.; Akiyama, Y.; Kamijo, Y.-I.; Hamaguchi, T.

2026-07-18 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358289 medRxiv
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Distal radius fractures (DRFs) can delay return to activities of daily living and social participation because of postoperative pain, temporary joint immobilization, and limited wrist and forearm range of motion. The Ghost System developed at Saitama Prefectural University, Japan, combines visual action observation with tendon vibration stimulation and has shown potential as an adjunct to conventional rehabilitation. This Study Protocol describes a modified Ghost system intended to improve clinical implementation by replacing the head-mounted virtual reality display with iPad-based action observation and by using a wristband-type vibrator. This single-center, single-arm, open-label feasibility trial will enroll 10 adults after palmar locking plate fixation for DRF. The intervention will be delivered twice weekly during outpatient rehabilitation follow-up sessions from the early postoperative period (postoperative days 2-10 after enrollment) through the approved early postoperative rehabilitation period (generally up to postoperative week 8), in parallel with standard rehabilitation practices. Primary feasibility and preliminary clinical outcomes include device fit and acceptability, pain assessed using a 100-mm Visual Analog Scale, and wrist/forearm range of motion. Secondary implementation and safety outcomes include Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH), Patient-Rated Wrist Evaluation (PRWE), Hand20 Questionnaire (HANDS-20), EuroQol 5 Dimensions 5 Levels (EQ-5D-5L), body ownership and hand-illusion questionnaires, setup time, setup errors, adherence, adverse events, and device incidents. We hypothesize that the modified Ghost system will be feasible and acceptable for early postoperative outpatient rehabilitation and will be delivered without serious device-related adverse events. Clinical outcomes will be summarized descriptively to inform a future controlled study rather than to establish efficacy.

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Nurture Early for Optimal Nutrition (NEON): A pilot cluster randomised controlled trial of community-facilitator-led participatory learning and action womens groups to improve infant feeding & care among South Asian families in East London

Manikam, L.; Fatima, A.; Patil, P.; Mayadewi, C. A.; El Khatib, T.; Drazdzewska, J.; Oyebode, O.; Llewellyn, C. H.; Webb-Martin, K.; Irish, C.; Archibong, M.; Gilmour, J.; Kalungi, P.; Batura, N.; Shringarpure, K.; Lakhanpaul, M.; Heys, M.; NEON Steering Team,

2026-08-31 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361604 medRxiv
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South Asian communities in the UK experience disproportionate maternal and child health inequalities linked to non-recommended infant feeding practices, limited health literacy, and socioeconomic constraints. Participatory learning and action (PLA) is effective in low- and middle-income countries, but high-income evidence is scarce. This pilot assessed the feasibility of a community facilitator-led PLA intervention to improve infant feeding among South Asian families in East London. A three-arm pilot feasibility cluster randomised controlled trial (ISRCTN10234623) was conducted in Tower Hamlets and Newham, East London (May-September 2022), with 12 wards randomised 1:1:1 to face-to-face PLA, online PLA, or usual care. Multilingual community facilitators delivered eight biweekly sessions over 14 weeks. Feasibility outcomes were assessed against prespecified Go/Stop criteria; exploratory outcomes included child feeding behaviours (Children's Eating Behaviour Questionnaire, CEBQ), parental feeding style (Parental Feeding Style Questionnaire, PFSQ), and child BMI Z-scores. Of 263 enrolled participants, 261 had a recorded trial arm allocation; consent to the pilot feasibility study was 70.7% (186/263; 95% CI 65.0-75.9%) meeting the [≥]50% Go criterion. Attendance was 37% (Tower Hamlets 59%, Newham 29%), below the [≥]80% Go threshold. Six-month retention was 54.8% (Tower Hamlets 78%, Newham 48.5%; 95% CI 41.8-55.3%), triggering the Definite Stop criterion. Significant baseline imbalances included BMI Z-score (p = 0.005), ethnicity, borough, and education; no between-arm BMI differences were observed at follow-up (p = 0.249). CEBQ and PFSQ baseline completion was 24.5% and 23.0%, with no usable follow-up data. PLA Phases 3 and 4 were not completed by any group; all participants providing feedback reported it acceptable. Recruitment was feasible and the intervention acceptable, but a Definite Stop criterion was triggered in Newham, no group completed the full PLA cycle, and outcome data were insufficient for evaluation. A definitive trial requires stratified randomisation, digitised multilingual data collection, participant reimbursement, and explicit PLA phase-completion criteria.

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Study protocol and statistical analysis plan for a randomized controlled trial evaluating the safety and feasibility of the recombinant human platelet-derived growth factor B (rhPDGF-BB)-enhanced collagen plug for complex perianal fistula healing

Kuo, M. C.; Younan, S. A.; Lempicki, M. D.; Hawkins, A. T.; Smith, J.; Shirey-Rice, J. K.; Pulley, J. M.; Lynch, S. E.; Ueland, T. E.; Khan, A. C.; Clark, C. R.; Blette, B. S.

2026-06-24 surgery 10.64898/2026.06.22.26356267 medRxiv
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Background A drug-repurposing-specific phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) demonstrated that patients with a single nucleotide variant that decreases expression of platelet-derived growth factor receptor beta (PDGFR{beta}) have a higher prevalence of fistulas, suggesting that PDGFR{beta} signaling is important for tissue repair. Recombinant human platelet derived growth factor B (rhPDGF) is an FDA-approved protein-based therapeutic that signals through PDGFR{beta} to heal and regenerate cutaneous skin wounds, periodontal tissue, and orthopedic bone with a strong safety profile. We hypothesize that rhPDGF will benefit other conditions identified by PheWAS with a similar physiological mechanism as the existing indications, such as complex perianal fistulas that are ineligible for a fistulotomy. Methods and analysis This prospective, blinded, single-site study aims to enroll 12 participants, randomized at a ratio of 2:1, comparing implantation of rhPDGF-enhanced collagen to routine care procedures, and stratified by fistula etiology, idiopathic versus Crohns disease (CD)-related. The primary outcome of this study will evaluate the technical performance of the rhPDGF-enhanced collagen implant for treatment of complex perianal fistulas as measured by the proportion of participants with successful implantation of the intervention without any intervention-related serious adverse events. The secondary outcomes will assess the preliminary safety and efficacy of the intervention based on all intervention-related adverse events, total fistulas healed, rate of fistula recurrence, and change in patient-reported symptoms. Complex perianal fistulas, idiopathic or CD-related, remain a major clinical challenge in need of new multimodal treatments aimed at tissue repair and regeneration. Pharmaceutical rhPDGF stimulation of PDGFR{beta} signaling promotes healing of skin, bone, and soft tissue. PheWAS revealed fistulas as a novel indication for repurposing rhPDGF. This protocol aims to evaluate the technical performance, preliminary safety and efficacy, and feasibility of rhPDGF-enhanced collagen for healing and remission of complex perianal fistulas. Ethics and dissemination This trial was approved by the Vanderbilt University Medical Center institutional review board (IRB#240585). Results will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal.

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Assessment of Zero-Shot Large Language Model (LLM) Assisted Clinical Trial Matching Processes: A Metastatic Cancer Use Case

Weng, Y.; Yalamaddi, H.; Fu, D.; Mishra, A.; Bunning, B. J.; Martin, A. B.; Hope, J.; Charu, V.; Kurian, A.; Desai, M.

2026-07-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.06.26354647 medRxiv
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Introduction: For oncology patients with limited treatment options, clinical trials may be a critical lifesaving pathway. Identifying relevant trials, however, is a time-consuming and difficult task. Several patient-trial matching processes incorporating large language models (LLMs) have been proposed to alleviate the burden on patients and oncologists. We aim to explore the benefits and practical challenges of zero-shot LLM-assisted trial matching processes by analyzing the results for a single pancreatic cancer patient. Materials and Methods: The results of a simple zero-shot LLM-assisted clinical trial matching process for our patient were compared to those of a "human benchmark," which was developed manually by two of the authors interfacing directly with ClinicalTrials.gov. Performance metrics -- sensitivity, specificity, precision, and accuracy -- were calculated. In addition, a qualitative content analysis (QCA) of LLM reasoning text was done to identify patterns in "errors," which we define as a human-LLM discrepancy in final patient eligibility. Implications and severity of errors are discussed. Results: The zero-shot LLM-assisted process returned potential trials with a sensitivity, specificity, and precision of 81.1%, 89.3%, and 86.5% respectively compared to the human benchmark. Qualitative error analyses revealed that about 73% of errors could potentially be alleviated with improved prompting and information access. Overall performance seemed comparable to that of human reviewers. Conclusion: The results from this preliminary real-world case study provide additional evidence to the literature in support of the integration of LLMs in clinical trial matching to provide benefit to patients with metastatic cancer with limited options.

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Comparative Effectiveness of Single vs. Dual WhatsApp Reminders on No-shows: A Target Trial Emulation within the Public Health System of Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Esteban, S.; Quintana, G.; Sanchez, M.; Szmulewicz, A.

2026-08-19 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360609 medRxiv
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Background: Digital reminders reduce outpatient no-shows, but the optimal timing and frequency of messages remain unclear, particularly in Latin American public health systems. We emulated a target trial to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of four WhatsApp reminder strategies on appointment absenteeism and patient-initiated cancellations. Methods: We analyzed administrative and electronic health-record data from the public health system of the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires, Argentina (June 2023-May 2024). Eligible individuals had scheduled an in-person outpatient appointment in one of 15 prioritized specialties at least 75 hours in advance and had a mobile phone on record. We compared four strategies: (1) dual reminders at ~72 and ~24 hours before the appointment; (2) a single reminder at ~72 hours; (3) a single reminder at ~24 hours; and (4) no reminders. The primary outcome was the proportion of no-shows by the end of follow-up. Secondary outcomes were the cumulative incidence of patient-initiated cancellations overall, within 12 hours of the appointment, and followed by rebooking. We emulated the target trial using a cloning-censoring-weighting approach to estimate per-protocol controlled direct effects, with inverse-probability weights to address time-varying confounding and selection bias. Cumulative incidence of secondary outcomes was estimated using weighted Kaplan-Meier curves. Three pre-specified sensitivity analyses and standardized mean differences assessed robustness and covariate balance. Results: A total of 475,214 first eligible person-appointments were included; baseline no-show risk in the control arm was 34.6%. All three active strategies reduced no-shows compared with no reminders. The single 24-hour reminder produced the largest reduction (Risk Ratio [RR] 0.76, 95% CI 0.72, 0.81; Risk Difference [RD] -8.21 percentage points [pp], 95% CI -9.68, -6.54), followed by the dual-reminder strategy (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.79,0.81; RD -7.05 pp, 95% CI -7.41, -6.71) and the single 72-hour reminder (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84,0.99; RD -3.16 pp, 95% CI -5.69, -0.49). All active strategies increased patient-initiated cancellations relative to control, with the dual-reminder strategy producing the largest increase. Sensitivity analyses preserved the qualitative ranking of strategies across all specifications. Conclusions: In this large target trial emulation, a single just-in-time WhatsApp reminder sent ~24 hours before the appointment was as effective as a dual-reminder schedule in preventing no-shows and superior to a distal 72-hour reminder alone. Adding a second, distal reminder provided no measurable benefit for attendance but substantially increased patient-initiated cancellations, which may be operationally valuable when active slot reallocation is a goal. These findings support timing, rather than frequency, as the primary lever of digital-reminder effectiveness, and favor the deployment of a single proximal reminder as the default strategy in resource-constrained outpatient settings.

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A blinded, counterbalanced rater design for evaluating AI-assisted summarisation of tertiary clinical genomics reports: methodology of the QNOMX-VHIR-CPSP-001 Phase 1 study

Creeden, J.; Olivecrona, M.; Soriano, A.

2026-06-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.11.26355467 medRxiv
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Background. Tertiary clinical genomics reports condense layered molecular findings into documents that treating oncologists must read, translate, and act upon; manual summarisation of these reports is time-consuming and variable. Tools that assist summarisation and translation into local languages are emerging, yet the field lacks an agreed methodology for evaluating such tools before any downstream clinical use. The appropriate first endpoint is fidelity of the generated summary to its source report, assessed by qualified human raters under blinded scoring, not downstream variant classification. Methods. QNOMX-VHIR-CPSP-001 Phase 1 is a single-site, non-interventional clinical performance study conducted at Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (VHIR) under ISO 20916:2019 as a Clinical Performance Study Protocol. De-identified tertiary cancer genomics reports from pediatric oncology cases are summarised by the AI-assisted summarisation system under evaluation and, in parallel, by the standard manual workflow. Qualified raters score both summary types against the source genomics report using the Quality Summary Index (QSI), a six-dimension, five-point rubric adapted from the Provider Documentation Summarization Quality Instrument, under a blinded, counterbalanced, two-period crossover with a minimum fourteen-day washout. Two co-primary composite endpoints, content and presentation, are analysed for non-inferiority under a Bayesian hierarchical model, with a frequentist linear mixed model as the convergence check. Inter-rater reliability is reported as Krippendorff's ; a Monte-Carlo power analysis of the fixed clustered design is pre-specified. Discussion. The design isolates summarisation quality from clinical decision-making by scoring both summary types against the same source report under blinding, counterbalancing, and a fourteen-day washout. Conclusion. The QSI rubric, the counterbalanced crossover, and the pre-specified Bayesian primary with frequentist convergence check define a replicable protocol for early-stage evaluation of AI-assisted summarisation in tertiary genomics reporting; observed variance components will inform sample-size determination for Phase 2.

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Lowering catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CATION study): Statistical Analysis Plan

Mitchell, B.; White, N. M.; Cheng, A.; Russo, P.; Brain, D.; Tehan, P.; Matterson, G.; King, J.; Havers, S.; Browne, K.

2026-06-29 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.24.26356490 medRxiv
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The CATION study is a parallel two-arm randomised controlled trial on the prevention of catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTI) in hospitalised patients. The intervention is the use of a sterile wipe containing 0.1% chlorhexidine solution for meatal cleaning prior to urinary catheter insertion as part of usual care; the intervention will be compared with the use of a sterile wipe containing 0.9% normal saline as the control. This document is the Statistical Analysis Plan for evaluating primary, secondary and tertiary effectiveness outcomes. The trial was preregistered on the Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials registry (ACTRN12625000278437). A copy of the study protocol and a signed version of this Statistical Analysis Plan are available on request from the corresponding author (BM).

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Non-Inferiority Margins in Randomized Controlled Trials in Abdominal Surgery- a Systematic Review

Leonhardt, C.; Birrer, D.; Stauffer, M. F.; Toti, J. M. A.; Gallagher, I. J.; Skipworth, R. J. E.; Laird, B.; Kuemmerli, C.

2026-09-02 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361719 medRxiv
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Importance Non-inferiority trials are becoming increasingly popular in abdominal surgery. The non- inferiority margin is critical in the interpretation and conclusion of these trials. Objective This systematic review aims to assess the methodological and reporting quality of non- inferiority randomized controlled trials in abdominal surgery. Evidence Review Non-inferiority trials were systematically identified by searching Ovid Medline, Embase and the CENTRAL databases from 2006 until December 2025. Randomized controlled trials in adult patients with any type of abdominal surgical intervention in at least one trial arm and a sample size greater than or equal to 100 were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was the definition of the non- inferiority margin. Secondary outcomes were the reporting of the non-inferiority margin, the robustness of its estimation, the uncertainty of the point estimate and the adequacy of conclusions. Findings A total of 11 045 trials were identified, of which 101 were eligible, enrolling 44 370 patients. Most trials provided a rationale for the non-inferiority design, while six (5.9%) trials did not. Previous literature was commonly used (n=56; 55.4%), but the non-inferiority margin was most often based on a clinical fixed margin or on historical comparison of the treatment and the active comparator. Based on the margin, investigators tolerated substantially worse outcomes of the treatment compared to the comparator. Conclusions were appropriate based on the confidence interval and the predefined non- inferiority margin in 88 (87.1%) of trials. The clinical judgement of the conclusion was overall adequate. Confidence interval estimations were reported in 16 (15.8%) of trials. Simulation studies were limited by the reporting quality. Conclusions and Relevance Clinical fixed margins are commonly used in abdominal surgery non-inferiority randomized controlled trials, however, substantial shortcomings in reporting limit the interpretability and reproduction of study findings. Based on the findings of this study, guidance on surgical- specific non-inferiority margin definitions is needed.

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Inspiratory Strength Training in Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Cornman, J. B.; Martin, A. D.; Clavier, J.; Philip, J.; Peek, G.; Jacobs, J. P.; Bleiweis, M. S.; Smith, B. K.

2026-08-17 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.08.13.26360419 medRxiv
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Background: Prolonged mechanical ventilation is associated with inspiratory muscle weakness and difficulty weaning from respiratory support. While decades of research have demonstrated that inspiratory strength training (IST) is beneficial in adult critical care populations, the literature on its use in pediatric cardiac critical care remains limited. We sought to evaluate the feasibility, safety, and physiologic response to IST in children in the pediatric cardiac intensive care unit (PCICU). Methods and Results: We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of children with congenital heart disease referred for IST between January 2015 and August 2021. Feasibility was defined as completion of [≥]1 IST session following referral. Safety outcomes included physiologic events documented during IST sessions. Changes in maximal inspiratory pressure (MIP) were assessed in patients who completed [≥]2 IST sessions. Of 105 eligible patients, 93 (89%) successfully completed at least 1 IST session. Monitoring events were reviewed across 389 IST sessions and included pre-oxygenation (62%), desaturations (13%), bradycardia (7%), and hypertension (2%). All events were transient and did not require escalation of care. 84% of patients were successfully liberated from mechanical ventilation and required a median of 2 (IQR 1-4) sessions of IST. Among patients completing [≥]2 IST sessions, MIP improved signicantly over time (p>0.0001). Improvements were observed in both patients who did and did not wean from mechanical ventilation. Patients who failed to wean from mechanical ventilation had longer ventilator exposure prior to IST initiation and were more sedated at the outset of IST. Conclusions: IST was feasible and well tolerated in this medically complex PCICU cohort. High completion rates and improvements in MIP support the use of IST as a clinically deliverable intervention that can produce measurable improvements in inspiratory muscle strength during critical illness.

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Sub-Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial of Neuromuscular Electrostimulation of the Common Peroneal Nerve after Forefoot Surgery

Piftor, A.-M.; Bain, D. S.; Day, K.

2026-08-24 orthopedics 10.64898/2026.08.21.26361007 medRxiv
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Gaps remain in the evidence base for postoperative management following forefoot surgery. A recent randomized controlled trial (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04927234) demonstrated improved outcomes with intermittent one Hertz (Hz) neuromuscular electrical stimulation (NMES) of the common peroneal nerve. This sub-analysis evaluates its effect in patients undergoing forefoot surgery. Forty-two patients undergoing forefoot procedures were included; 26 received NMES plus standard of care (SOC) and 16 received SOC alone. Wound healing was assessed at 14 days. Edema was measured using the figure-of-eight (FO8) method. Patient-reported outcomes were assessed using the Manchester-Oxford Foot Questionnaire (MOXFQ). At 14 days, complete wound healing occurred in 77% of patients receiving NMES plus SOC compared with 40% in the SOC group (p<0.05). Edema reduction was significantly greater in the NMES group, with a 74% relative reduction compared with SOC (p=0.02). Intermittent one Hz NMES of the common peroneal nerve was associated with improved wound healing and reduced postoperative edema following forefoot surgery.

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Community-Tailored One Health Educational Intervention to Enhance Knowledge and Practices for Zoonotic Disease Prevention in Rural Thailand: a Protocol for a Prospective Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial in Chanthaburi, Thailand (Saan Suk trial)

Treskova, M.; Rocha Pompeu, C.; Puntumetakul, P.; Chaiphonngam, S.; Bärnighausen, K.; Kachnova, U.; Jutaviriya, K.; Phongsiri, M.; Rocklöv, J.; Bärnighausen, T.; Lapanun, P.; Overgaard, H.

2026-07-18 public and global health 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358293 medRxiv
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Background: Zoonotic infectious disease risk arises at human-animal-environment interfaces where pathogen spillover can occur. Rural communities living in biodiverse settings may experience frequent contact with wildlife and shared environments through livelihoods, food practices, and economic activities. Reducing spillover risk and strengthening pandemic prevention requires both structural and individual-level change. Community-based interventions that promote awareness, risk perception, self-efficacy, pro-environmental behaviour, and safe coexistence with wildlife may support prevention by shifting behavioural determinants of zoonotic disease risk. The Saan Suk intervention was co-developed with rural communities in Thailand using a Human-Centred Design approach and is grounded in the Health Belief Model and One Health principles. The intervention is intended to be feasible, acceptable, and deliverable through Thailands established Village Health Volunteer (VHV) system. Methods: This protocol describes a parallel-arm, cluster-randomised controlled superiority trial that will be conducted during July - October 2026, in Chanthaburi Province, Thailand. 24 villages will be equally randomised to the Saan Suk intervention or the current practice (control). In intervention villages, trained VHVs will deliver, once a week over four weeks, a multimodal One Health educational intervention designed to improve knowledge of zoonotic spillover, promote protective behaviours, reduce risky wildlife-related contacts, and support respectful coexistence with wildlife. Trained outcome assessment teams will conduct structured interviews with 42 adult participants per village, yielding a total sample size of 1,008 participants. The sample size was calculated for the primary outcome, accounting for clustering, with 90% power to detect a medium effect size (6 points on the 0-100 knowledge scale) at a significance level of 0.05, accounting for a design effect with an ICC of 0.028. The primary outcome is knowledge of zoonotic spillover, transmission pathways, risk factors, protective and risky behaviours, and safe coexistence with wildlife. Secondary outcomes include attitudes, self-efficacy, preventive and risky behaviours, and reported contacts with major local reservoir hosts. A structured questionnaire was developed, expert-reviewed, and piloted for the outcome assessment. Outcomes will be analysed using mixed-effects regression models with random effects for village and adjustment for relevant pre-specified confounders. Primary analyses will follow the intention-to-treat principle. Discussion: This trial will evaluate whether a co-designed, VHV-delivered One Health educational programme can improve knowledge of zoonotic disease prevention and behavioural determinants in rural communities living in close contact with wildlife and shared ecosystems. If effective and feasible, Saan Suk could inform integration into routine VHV training and community-based zoonotic disease and pandemic prevention strategies. Trial Registration: The Saan Suk trial is registered with the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS). Registration ID: DRKS00038582; date of registration: 11 May 2026.

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Bayesian Borrowing of External Information in Clinical Trials: A Comparison of MAP, RMAP, and SAM Priors

Choi, L.; McNeer, E.; Beck, C. A.; Neul, J. L.

2026-08-31 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.08.26.26360843 medRxiv
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Bayesian borrowing of external information can improve trial efficiency, particularly in pediatric and rare disease settings where patient populations are limited, but may introduce bias and inflate the Type~I error rate when the trial differs from external studies. Recent U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) draft Bayesian guidance emphasizes careful evaluation of external information, prior specification, and assessment of operating characteristics. This paper compares three meta-analytic-predictive (MAP)-based methods for Bayesian borrowing: the MAP prior, robust MAP (RMAP) prior, and self-adapting mixture (SAM) prior. An adaptive platform trial design in Rett syndrome is used as a case study. Simulation studies evaluate frequentist operating characteristics under varying prior--data conflict, between-study heterogeneity, treatment effects, and clinically significant differences (CSDs) for the SAM prior. The MAP prior achieved the greatest efficiency when external and current data were compatible but exhibited the largest bias under substantial prior--data conflict. The RMAP priors improved robustness through fixed robust-component weights, whereas the SAM prior adaptively adjusted borrowing and was less sensitive to prior--data conflict while retaining efficiency gains when the data were compatible. Although the CSD influenced the degree of adaptive borrowing, as reflected by effective sample size, it had only a modest impact on frequentist operating characteristics. Sensitivity analyses using a skeptical robust component yielded similar qualitative conclusions, while accentuating the differences between the MAP and RMAP priors. These findings provide guidance for evaluating and selecting MAP-based borrowing strategies before trial implementation, particularly in rare disease settings, consistent with current FDA recommendations.

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Insights from a double-blind, randomized, direct-to-participant intervention trial for Long COVID

Vogel, J. M.; Ter Meer, J.; Foster-Bonds, R.; Duff, M. P.; Goosen, A.; Kurakova, A.; Dinh-Luong, E.; Miyasaki, L.; Topol, S.; Sturm, C.; Nowak, C.; Tate, A.; Redd, J.; Shepard, C.; Kheterpal, V.; Steinhubl, S. R.; Topol, E. J.

2026-08-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.08.19.26360832 medRxiv
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Background. Long COVID affects an estimated 400 million people worldwide, and is associated with low quality of life. Nearly all completed Long COVID clinical trials reported no benefit, and most required participants to travel to study sites. This requirement systematically excludes severely affected patients. Because there are numerous candidate therapeutics with established safety profiles and regulatory approvals for other indications, scaled, efficient evaluation of therapeutics is needed. Methods. We designed and are conducting a double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase two trial of tirzepatide for Long COVID fatigue, using an entirely remote infrastructure. Design elements included electronic consent, identity and diagnosis verification through document upload, cold-chain delivery of an injectable study drug through a central pharmacy, shared decision-making for dose titration, repeated at-home capillary blood collection in a biospecimen subcohort, weekly participant touch points through study application, wrist-worn wearable monitoring, and clinical support. The trial is operating under FDA Investigational New Drug authorization. Results. This trial enrolled 1,058 participants in 73 days, at least double the rate of any other Long COVID trial. Mean baseline metrics include mean Fatigue Severity Scale of 59.3 (standard deviation [SD] 4.9), daily step count of 3,611 (SD 2,706, general population reference mean 7,731), EQ-5D-5L of 0.6 (SD 0.2), and FUNCAP27 4.0 (SD 1.0), which was a more severely affected population than other clinical trials that collected comparable data. Study processes are working as designed. Participants use existing advocacy and support channels to gather and communicate. Conclusions. A direct-to-participant, siteless infrastructure can support a double-blind placebo-controlled trial of an injectable drug at scale, accelerate accrual, and reach severely affected participants who are routinely excluded by site-based designs. Modernizing drug distribution and regulatory pathways is needed to realize the full potential of decentralized infrastructure for drug repurposing clinical trials.

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Efficacy and safety of SP16 in preventing Acute Kidney Injury in at-risk subjects with chronic kidney disease undergoing elective cardiac surgery using the heart-lung-machine (EASE-AKI): study protocol for a prospective, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial

Jobst-Schwan, T.; Bihlmaier, K.; Austin, D.; Gelber, C.; Cesnjevar, R.; Harig, F.; Schiffer, M.

2026-06-12 nephrology 10.64898/2026.06.11.26355378 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiac surgery using cardiopulmonary bypass uses controlled hypoperfusion which leads to relative organ damage. Acute kidney injury is the most frequent and most important organ failure, in particular in patients with chronic kidney disease. To date, there are no approved drug treatments that could effectively prevent acute kidney injury. SP16, an agonist of the low-density lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1, has been shown to exert both reno- and cardioprotective effects in preclinical trials. Early clinical use of SP16 in phase I trials was safe. Administration of SP16 had beneficial trends on inflammatory response and infarct size in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. The primary objective of this phase IIa trial is to demonstrate that injection of SP16 is safe and superior to placebo in preventing cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 7 days after surgery. Methods: This randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, single centre study evaluates the efficacy and safety of SP16 in 120 high-risk chronic kidney disease patients with disease stadium G2-G3b undergoing cardiac surgery who are randomised into one of two treatment groups in a 1:1 ratio: SP16 (12 mg) or placebo. The study medication is administered via two subcutaneous injections, with the first dose given before surgery, followed by an additional dose after 9 h. Primary endpoints are the incidence of acute kidney injury during 7 days post-surgery and the frequency of adverse events within 72 h after index surgery. Important secondary endpoints include the incidence of major adverse kidney events at day 90 and impact on cardiac function. Safety assessments encompass adverse events, vital signs, electrocardiograms and routine safety laboratory tests. Additional evaluations include pharmacokinetics and immunological biomarkers. Discussion: This single-centre phase IIa trial will assess the incidence of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury, describing the renoprotective potential of SP16 and its safety profile in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

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Positive end-expiratory pressure versus sham valve/zero end-expiratory pressure in cardiopulmonary resuscitation during manual ventilation toimprove neurological outcomes in adult patients suffering an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest - an investigator-initiated, pragmatic, registry-based, multicenter, parallel-group, triple-blind randomized controlled superiority clinical trial in the ARREST registry (REVIVE-PEEP protocol Stage-1 Registered Report)

van Eijk, J.; Schober, P.; van Schuppen, H.; ter Schure, J.

2026-08-31 emergency medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361533 medRxiv
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We present our Stage-1 Registered Report as a full clinical trial article with all methods in past tense and including mock results, table and figures for the primary analysis. To remind the reader that this Stage-1 article is written before data collection, we highlight in color that these mock results are only for illustrative purposes and will be replaced by the actual results in the Stage-2 Registered Report. Background In patients experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, optimization of oxygen delivery during cardiopulmonary resuscitation is a critical. Although both positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and zero end-expiratory pressure (ZEEP) are employed during CPR, their respective impacts on clinically relevant outcomes is yet to be clearly established. Methods This investigator-initiated, pragmatic, registry-based, multicenter, triple-blind randomized controlled superiority trial evaluates whether applying 8 cm H2O PEEP during cardiopulmonary resuscitation improves outcomes compared with ZEEP in adults with non-traumatic, non-drowning out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Pre-randomized CPR kits (1:1 PEEP vs. sham) were used by ambulance sites during manual ventilation throughout the resuscitation process. The primary analysis was conducted in the principal stratum of patients who received either a supraglottic airway or endotracheal tube. The primary outcome was neurological status at hospital discharge measured by a utility-weighted score on the modified Rankin Scale. Secondary outcomes included prehospital return of spontaneous circulation, 30-day survival, and 6-month quality of life. The primary safety outcome was clinically significant pneumothorax.

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Statistical Analysis Plan (SAP) - DREAM: an adaptive, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of duloxetine for reducing leg pain in people with chronic sciatica

Liu, X.; Billot, L.; Devaux, A.; Maher, C.; Lin, C.; Day, R.; Ivers, R.; Underwood, M.; McLachlan, A.; Richards, B.; Finnerup, N.; Taing, C.; Tong, K.; Jamshidi, M.; Hassan, M.; Hamilton, M.; Atkins, E.; Ferreira, G.

2026-07-14 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.07.12.26357883 medRxiv
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DREAM is a randomised, superiority, parallel-group, placebo-controlled, participant, clinician, and assessor blinded trial with an adaptive group sequential design that allows early stopping for efficacy or futility. The purpose is to investigate whether taking 60 mg of duloxetine daily for 12 weeks in addition to guideline-recommended advice, compared with placebo in addition to guideline-recommended advice, can reduce leg pain intensity in individuals with chronic sciatica. The primary outcome is leg pain intensity measured on a 0-10 numerical pain rating scale. It will be analysed using a repeated-measures linear mixed model. This statistical analysis plan pre-specifies the methods of analysis to be used in the interim analysis and the final analysis for the outcomes and key variables collected in the trial. It includes planned sensitivity analyses for the final analysis, including covariate adjustments and subgroup analyses, as well as the health economics analysis plan.

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Sociodemographic Predictors of Consent: A Protocol and Statistical Analysis Plan for a Nested Observational Study of Canadian Sites in the REVISE Trial

Bauer, N.; Binnie, A.; Lad, V.; Marticorena, M.; Tsang, J.; Poirier Zytaruk, N.; Heels-Ansdell, D.; Cook, D. J.

2026-07-09 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.07.06.26357216 medRxiv
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Background: In Canada, there is a lack of data relating sociodemographic characteristics to the likelihood of consent and clinical trial participation. Objective: The overall objective of this study is to examine the association of hospital-level sociodemographic variables with a priori informed consent rates for participation in the REVISE trial. Design: This study is a retrospective observational analysis of Canadian sites participating in the international REVISE trial. Methods: Sociodemographic characteristics for 42 hospitals participating in the REVISE trial will be supplemented by national data from the 2021 Canadian Census of Population Profile at the census tract level corresponding to the hospital's location. Hospital level information for Ontario sites will be derived from the Institute for Clinical Evaluate Sciences (ICES) database. Site clustering will be performed using latent class analysis, a flexible clustering technique that identifies meaningful subgroups based on sociodemographic variables purposively selected from data available through the Statistics Canada 2021 census profile, ICES, and hospital-reported data. Clustering analysis will be performed for all Ontario hospitals with available ICES data, followed by a separate analysis for all Canadian REVISE sites using Statistics Canada data. Concordance in the clustering of REVISE sites will be examined by comparing the assignment of hospitals to the latent classes separately identified using ICES and Statistics Canada data. If there is a high degree of agreement between the two datasets, sociodemographic predictors will be analyzed using the clusters identified through ICES for Ontario sites with the concordant classes based on Statistics Canada data for Canadian sites outsite Ontario. If there is disagreement in cluster assignment between the two datasets, separate analyses of sociodemographic factors will be conducted for Ontario sites using ICES data and for all Canadian sites using the 2021 Census Profile. Multivariate linear regression models will be used to analyze the association between hospital-level characteristics and the likelihood of a priori and deferred consent. Results: Results of this study will generate information about the relationship between informed consent to participate in a low-risk critical care clinical trial using different consent models, and socioeconomic patient characteristics at the hospital site level (e.g., educational attainment, knowledge of official languages, citizenship rates, family income, poverty, rurality and immigration patterns). Conclusions: This study will fill an evidence gap by generating information on the relationship between sociodemographic variables and the likelihood of informed consent to participate in a critical care clinical trial in Canada.