BMJ
Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.
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UK-based quantitative research on the health and education outcomes of Unaccompanied Asylum-Seeking Children (UASC) remains limited, especially at national level. Linked administrative data provide an unprecedented opportunity to study these outcomes among UASC. This paper lays a foundation for further research, particularly examining the influence of socio-demographic, legal and environmental factors on UASCs health and educational outcomes. We described the UASC population with a first record...
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ObjectivesTo estimate potential launch prices of generic semaglutide following patent expiry from 2026 and to quantify the global obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) burden in countries where generic access may become possible. MethodsWe used World Bank population data and World Obesity and Diabetes Atlas prevalence estimates to calculate obesity and T2DM burden in countries where semaglutide patents expire in 2026 or were not filed. Patent status was identified using MedsPaL and cross-checked w...
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The emergence of vaccine covered serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a serious concern worldwide. We investigated the unexpected rise of serotype 4 causing IPD primarily in non-vaccinated young adults after the COVID-19 pandemic that further spread to adults [≥] 65 years in recent years. For this purpose, we conducted a retrospective study of serotype 4 IPD cases (n=827) reported in Spain between 2009 and 2024. Whole-genome sequencing was performed to assess clonal lineag...
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ObjectiveTo systematically identify and characterize methodological heterogeneity in sepsis case detection methods using the MIMIC-III database or the eICU-CRD, and to quantify the resulting variability in sepsis detection rates. Materials and MethodsWe conducted a PRISMA-guided systematic review of PubMed and Web of Science (2016-2024), and stratified studies by cohort definition to obtain comparable subsets. We extracted information on sepsis case detection methodology across six domains: par...
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RationaleAutonomic dysfunction is a hallmark of sepsis pathophysiology, yet its quantification remains challenging. Multiscale entropy (MSE) derived from heart rate variability (HRV) offers a dynamic measure of physiological complexity and may serve as a biomarker of early deterioration associated with subsequent organ failure, vasopressor escalation, or mortality. ObjectiveTo determine whether MSE computed across multiple temporal scales during the first 24 hours of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) a...
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BackgroundRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of lower respiratory tract infections in children, often leading to hospitalisation in infants. In low-resource settings where routine RSV diagnostics are unavailable, clinical overlap with bacterial pneumonia frequently results in unnecessary antibiotic use, contributing to antimicrobial resistance. ObjectiveTo evaluate the frequency and clinical determinants of antibiotic use among RSV-positive children under two years at a tertiary...
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Sepsis caused by drug-resistant pathogens remains a major contributor to under-five mortality in low- and middle-income countries, threatening progress toward Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.2. Blood culture, the gold standard for sepsis diagnosis and antimicrobial stewardship, remains underutilised in routine pediatric care. This study assessed the extent and determinants of blood culture utilisation among hospitalised children under five years with suspected sepsis at four antimicrobial r...
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BackgroundMycoplasma genitalium (MG) is an emerging sexually transmitted infection (STI) associated with pelvic inflammatory disease and tubal factor infertility. Its relationship with impaired fecundity remains unclear and is rarely examined in the context of co-seropositivity with other STIs. MethodsWe conducted a secondary analysis of the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction (EAGeR) trial, a prospective preconception cohort of women with proven fecundity and prior pregnancy loss....
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BackgroundThere is disparity between the incidence of malignant hyperthermia (MH) reactions and the prevalence of variants in the RYR1 gene associated with susceptibility to MH (where susceptibility is determined by in vitro contracture tests). Our aims were to use clinical and genetic data from the UK to explain this disparity and to examine if these data are consistent with the clinical risk of MH being inherited as an autosomal dominant trait. MethodsClinical MH and genotyping data were extr...
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BackgroundSystematic reviews (SRs) are essential for evidence-based medicine but require extensive time and resources for abstract screening. Large language models (LLMs) offer potential for automating this process, yet concerns about data privacy, intellectual property protection, and reproducibility limit the use of cloud-based solutions in research settings. ObjectiveTo evaluate the performance of a locally deployed 20-billion parameter LLM for automated abstract screening in systematic revi...
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Wearable devices present transformative opportunities for personalized healthcare through continuous monitoring of digital biomarkers; however, individual variations in device wear time could mask or otherwise impact signal identification. Despite the widespread adoption of wearable devices in research, no comprehensive framework exists for understanding how wear time varies across populations or for addressing wear time-related biases in analysis. Using Fitbit data from 11,901 participants in t...
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Objective: Evaluating and monitoring patients with cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM) remains a challenge due to limited tools for assessing objective neurological disability longitudinally and in the home environment. Given their prevalence and low cost, mobile health (mHealth), and specifically smartphone technologies offer a promising approach to fill this gap. This study explored stakeholder perspectives on the role of mHealth in CSM monitoring to inform development of a smartphone-based ...
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Background Antibiotic pricing is a key determinant of access and stewardship in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), yet empirical evidence on how prices are formed within pharmaceutical markets remains limited. However, there is little longitudinal evidence on how antibiotic prices behave within national pharmaceutical supply systems. This study evaluated the patterns and determinants of systemic antibiotic pricing in Tanzania using national regulatory import permit data. Methods We conduc...
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PurposeDespite strong evidence, real-world adoption of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) remains suboptimal. The Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) program was designed to close gaps in care. We evaluated whether hospital participation in GWTG-HF is associated with greater GDMT intensity and improved outcomes. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis (2013-2021) of Medicare beneficiaries with Part A and Part D hos...
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BackgroundThis study of Malawian children with rheumatic heart disease (RHD) sought to detect demographic, clinical, and echocardiographic risk factors for mortality. MethodsPediatric patients with RHD were recruited from March to October, 2018 from clinic rosters and inpatient consults in Lilongwe and Blantyre, Malawi. An echocardiogram was performed upon study enrollment. Cox regression analyses were performed to assess for factors associated with mortality over nearly 2 years of follow-up. ...
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BackgroundTwo RSV immunisations products: a maternal vaccine, Abrysvo, and a long-acting monoclonal antibody, nirsevimab, both designed to prevent RSV illness in infants, have recently become available. Modelling evidence is required to inform how to optimally use these products in immunisation programs to reduce the burden of RSV in young children. MethodsWe extend a dynamic transmission model calibrated to RSV-hospitalisation data of children aged < 5 years in temperate Western Australia (WA)...
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BackgroundThe 2024 blood culture bottle shortage brought diagnostic resource allocation to the forefront, reflecting persistent, foundational challenges with low-value testing and empiric treatment approaches under clinical uncertainty. ObjectiveTo determine whether a machine learning approach using electronic medical record data can predict bacteremia more effectively than existing systems and practices to guide diagnostic testing and empiric treatment strategies. MethodsIn a retrospective co...
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We introduce PerTexP (Pertussis Time Exploration), an interactive modelling tool designed to investigate pertussis transmission dynamics and to support the evaluation of vaccination strategies and short-term projections. PerTexP allows users to explore and compare maternal, infant, and non-infant booster vaccination scenarios and to assess their potential impact on disease transmission, with a particular focus on the Italian epidemiological context. The tool is based on a discrete-time, stage-st...
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Abstract Introduction Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is an important complication of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Current incident CVD-prediction models use single baseline measurements and achieve moderate performance in people with T2D, with C-indices around 0.7. Modern healthcare registries contain repeated measurements of HbA1c, LDL-cholesterol and eGFR, which could carry incremental predictive value. However, the added value of trajectory measures for CVD-risk prediction remains unclear. We aimed t...
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From 2021 to 2025, MRSA emerged as a major multidrug-resistant pathogen in the study area. Among 545 S. aureus isolates, 67.2% were MRSA, disproportionately affecting children under five (26.5%) and males (55.5%). Case incidence more than doubled by 2025, suggesting rising transmission or resistance. Most isolates were hospital-associated (85.2%), predominantly from outpatients (88.5%), with middle ear discharge as the main source (67%). Gentamicin showed the highest susceptibility (72.1%), whil...