BMJ
● BMJ
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match BMJ's content profile, based on 49 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Trkulja, V.
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Background. Recent meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) claimed efficacy of higher-dose fluvoxamine (2 x 100 mg/day, as opposed to 2 x 50 mg/day) in prevention of disease deterioration in adults with mild - moderate COVID-19 disease. Objectives. Investigate whether such claims are supported by the data. Methods. Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs evaluating higher-dose fluvoxamine in this indication. Results. Seven studies declared as RCTs were identified, one of which was severely biased (open-label, non-standardized and unreported standard of care as a control), and eventually ended as non-randomized (huge attrition). Composite endpoints of deterioration in the 6 included placebo-controlled trials contained elements susceptible to error and bias. Three trials were small (<100 patients/arm), three were larger (270 - 750 patients/arm). Deaths and need for mechanical ventilation were sporadic and observed in only one trial. Hospitalizations were also sporadic in 5/6 trials. Frequentist methods generally appropriate for random-effects analysis of low number of trials with rare outcomes (generalized linear mixed models, beta-binomial or binomial-normal) greatly underestimated heterogeneity, but still did not document benefits regarding the composite endpoints or hospitalizations. Bayesian hierarchical models revealed huge heterogeneity and indicated no benefit regarding: (i) composites of deterioration, large trials OR = 0.78 (95% CrI 0.55 - 1.21); multiplicity corrected OR = 0.87 (0.64 - 1.21); (ii) hospitalizations, small trials OR = 0.88 (0.45 - 1.72); large trials OR = 0.94 (0.52 - 1.75); all trials OR = 0.81 (0.47 - 1.43). Heterogeneity was unlikely due to clinical particulars (vaccination status, treatment duration, time horizon), and more likely due to unidentified bias. Conclusions. RCTs do not support efficacy of higher-dose fluvoxamine in prevention of disease deterioration in adults with mild - moderate COVID-19 disease.
Than, M.; Pickering, J. W.; Joyce, L. R.; Buchan, V. A.; Florkowski, C. M.; Mills, N. L.; Hamill, L.; Prystowsky, J.; Harger, S.; Reed, M.; Bayless, J.; Feberwee, A.; Attenburrow, T.; Norman, T.; Welfare, O.; Heiden, T.; Kavsak, P.; Jaffe, A. S.; apple, f.; Peacock, W. F.; Cullen, L.; Aldous, S.; Richards, A. M.; Lacey, C.; Troughton, R.; Frampton, C.; Body, R.; Mueller, C.; Lord, S. J.; George, P. M.; Devlin, G.
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BACKGROUND Point-of-care (POC) high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) testing has the potential to expedite decision-making and reduce emergency department (ED) length of stay for patients presenting with possible myocardial infarction (MI) by ensuring that results are consistently available when looked for by clinicians. We assessed the real-life effectiveness and safety of implementing POC hs-cTn testing in the ED. METHODS We conducted a pragmatic, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial. The control arm was usual care with an accelerated diagnostic pathway utilizing a single-sample rule-out step with a central laboratory hs-cTn assay. The intervention arm used the same pathway with a POC hs-cTnI. The primary effectiveness outcome was ED length of stay assessed using a generalized linear mixed model, and the safety outcome was 30-day MI or cardiac death. RESULTS Six sites participated with 59,980 ED presentations (44,747 individuals, 61{+/-}19 years, 49.5% female) from February 2023 to January 2025, in which 31,392 presentations were during the intervention arm. After adjustment for co-variates associated with length of stay, the intervention reduced length of stay by 13% (95% confidence intervals [CI], 9 to 16%. P<0.001), corresponding to a reduction of 47 minutes (95%CI, 33 to 61 minutes) from a mean length of stay in the control arm of 376 minutes. The 30-day MI or cardiac death rate was similar in the control and intervention arms (0.39% and 0.39% respectively, P=0.54). CONCLUSIONS Implementation of whole-blood hs-cTnI testing at the POC into an accelerated diagnostic pathway was safe and reduced length of stay in the ED compared with laboratory testing.
Gombar, S.; Shah, N.; Sanghavi, N.; Coyle, J.; Mukerji, A.; Chappelka, M.
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Background: The observational literature on comparative effectiveness is expanding rapidly but remains difficult to synthesize. Discordant findings often stem from structural differences in cohort definitions, inclusion criteria, and follow up windows, leaving stakeholders without a cohesive evidence base. Furthermore, studies typically focus on a narrow subset of outcomes, neglecting the broader needs of diverse healthcare stakeholders 1,2,3,4. Methods We developed a high throughput evidence generation workflow using linked EHR and administrative claims data. The cornerstone is a prespecified measurement architecture applied uniformly across clinical scenarios: six post index windows (acute to two year follow.up); 28 Elixhauser comorbidities; 14 healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) categories; 29 laboratory measures with 52 binary thresholds; and 42 adverse event categories. We generated unadjusted treatment comparisons across ~1,038 outcomes per scenario, including effect-measure modification (EMM) assessments across 130 baseline features. Results Across 40 clinical domains, the workflow produced approximately 32,982,552 outcome evaluations. An evaluation included a treatment comparison outcome population effect estimate with uncertainty bounds and supporting diagnostics. Approximately 5,000 narrative summaries underwent structured clinical and statistical quality control before dissemination. Conclusions Standardized, high throughput workflows can shift evidence generation away from fragmented studies toward comprehensive evidence packages. This shared evidence base supports precision medicine by making treatment effect heterogeneity visible across clinically meaningful subpopulations, reducing the need for redundant, stakeholder-specific studies.
Tai, K. H.; Varvara, G.; Escoffier, E.; Mansmann, U.; DeVito, N. J.; Vieira Armond, A. C.; Naudet, F.
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Objective To map the presence, public availability, and content of clinical trial data sharing policies (DSP), data management and sharing plans (DMSP), and data use agreements (DUA) among the most prolific public and private clinical trial sponsors operating in the European Union, and to identify key areas of convergence, divergence, and constraint in the context of General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). Eligibility criteria We included organisation-level documents describing approaches to clinical trial data sharing or data management from the top 20 public and top 20 private sponsors ranked by the number of trials registered in the EU Clinical Trials Information System (CTIS). Eligible materials comprised publicly available or sponsor-shared policies, guidelines, statements, templates, and agreements relevant to clinical trial data sharing or management. Sources of evidence Evidence was identified through systematic searches of sponsors' public websites, structured Google searches, and major data management plan platforms (DMPTool, DMPonline, DMP Assistant), complemented by direct contact with sponsors to verify findings and request missing documentation. All sources were archived and catalogued. Charting methods Two reviewers independently extracted data using a structured form, capturing the existence, accessibility, and content of data sharing policies, data management and sharing plans, and data use agreements. Quantitative data were summarised descriptively, and a non-interpretive descriptive content analysis was conducted to characterise recurring policy elements and areas of heterogeneity. Results Among 40 sponsors, private sponsors were substantially more likely than public sponsors to make trial-specific data sharing policies and data use agreements publicly accessible, often via established data sharing platforms. Public sponsors more frequently referenced data management and sharing plans, but these were heterogeneous in scope and often embedded within broader institutional governance documents rather than tailored to clinical trials. Across sectors, GDPR compliance, data protection, and legal safeguards were emphasised, while operational aspects such as dataset readiness, review criteria, and downstream responsibilities varied widely. Overall response rate to sponsor verification was 37.5%. Conclusion Clinical trial data sharing governance in the EU shows a marked sectoral imbalance among the top sponsors. Private sponsors tend to provide more detailed and operationally explicit documentation, whereas public sponsors often articulate high-level commitments without trial-specific guidance. Greater clarity and standardisation, particularly among public sponsors, could improve transparency and facilitate responsible data reuse, while remaining compatible with GDPR requirements.
Wilson, A.; Beck, E.; Hensler, H.; Vicic, N.; Joshi, K.; Patry, E.; Li, L.; Wang, J.; Clarke, C.
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Background: COVID vaccination with periodically updated compositions remains important as SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate, cause disease, and evolve. Available COVID-19 vaccines in the 2024-2025 season differed by platform, including mRNA-1273, an mRNA-based vaccine, and NVX-CoV2705, a recombinant protein-based vaccine and antigen composition (KP.2-targeted and JN.1-targeted, respectively). There is limited head-to-head real-world evidence comparing the effectiveness of these different approaches to prevention of severe outcomes with COVID-19. We compared mRNA-1273 with protein-based NVX-CoV2705 in insured US adults vaccinated during the 2024-2025 season. Methods: We conducted a retrospective matched cohort study in a large US claims database. Adults aged 18 years or older who received mRNA-1273 or NVX-CoV2705 between Aug 31, 2024 and Feb 28, 2025 were eligible. Recipients were exactly matched 2:1 on key demographic and clinical factors and then weighted with stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights. Outcomes were medically-attended COVID-19 and hospitalization with COVID-19 from day 7 after vaccination through up to 180 days of follow-up. We calculated comparative vaccine effectiveness (cVE) as 100 x (1-- hazard ratio). Results: Of 858,138 eligible mRNA-1273 recipients and 34,667 eligible NVX-CoV2705 recipients, 69,140 and 34,570, respectively, entered the matched cohort. Median (Q1, Q3) follow-up was 180 (163, 180) days for mRNA-1273 and 180 (162,180) for NVX-CoV2705. Medically attended COVID-19 occurred in 706 (1.02%) mRNA-1273 recipients and 512 (1.48%) NVX-CoV2705 recipients; adjusted cVE (95% CI) was 31.7% (23.4%, 39.1%). Hospitalization with COVID-19 occurred in 61 (0.09%) and 49 (0.14%) recipients, respectively; adjusted cVE (95% CI) was 40.7% (13.5%, 59.4%). In the 47,754 mRNA-1273 recipients matched to 23,877 NVX-CoV2705 recipients aged [≥]65, adjusted cVE (95% CI) was 25.7% (15.4%, 34.8%) against medically-attended COVID-19 and 41.7% (14.3%, 60.4%) against hospitalization with COVID-19. Conclusions: In this insured US adult population, mRNA-1273 demonstrated greater effectiveness against medically attended COVID-19 and hospitalization with COVID-19 than the protein-based NVX-CoV2705. These findings highlight the potential public-health importance of considering vaccine platform and variant selection when planning for upcoming seasons.
Ding, X.; Vadini, V.; Kim, C.; Bu, F.; Chen, H. Y.; Chai, Y.; Duarte-Salles, T.; Hsu, J. C.; Khera, R.; Lau, W. C. Y.; Man, K. K. C.; Nagy, P.; Ostropolets, A.; Pistillo, A.; Pratt, N.; Roel, E.; Seager, S.; Van Zandt, M.; Yuan, L.; Hripcsak, G.; Mathioudakis, N.; Suchard, M. A.; Nishimura, A.
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Importance Women have been under-represented in clinical trials of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D), and evidence on sex differences in effectiveness of T2D treatments remains limited. Objective To assess sex differences in comparative effectiveness and safety of four second-line antidiabetic agents: glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i), and sulfonylureas (SU). Design Retrospective cohort study using an active-comparator new-user design, following each participant till treatment discontinuation or end of data. Setting Multinational study across ten real-world databases from the Observational Health Data Sciences and Informatics (OHDSI) network in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, and Spain. Participants 5.15 million adults with T2D who initiated one of the four second-line therapies following metformin during 1992-2021. Exposures GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP4i, or SU. Main Outcomes and Measures Cardiovascular effectiveness as measured through 7 outcomes (major adverse cardiovascular events and glycemic control) and safety through 18 outcomes as highlighted by ADA guideline. Hazard ratios (HRs) are estimated separately for women and men using propensity score-stratified Cox models with empirical calibration. Sex differences were tested using Z-tests on log-HR differences. Results Drug initiation rates differed by sex with 9.28% of women initiating on GLP-1RA, 11.91% SGLT2i, 27.81% DPP4i, and 50.99% SU; the rates among the men were 5.41%, 12.84%, 24.64%, and 57.10%. No significant sex differences were observed for cardiovascular effectiveness outcomes. Several safety outcomes showed significant sex differences that are consistent across drug comparisons. Focusing on GLP-1RA compared to SGLT2i for brevity, GLP-1RA users experienced the following comparative benefits and risks: higher risk of acute pancreatitis among women (HR 1.39 [1.13, 1.70]) while non-differential risk among men (HR 0.91 [0.74, 1.12]) with p = 0.005 for the test of difference; non-differential risk of hypotension among women (HR 1.08 [0.98, 1.19]) while lower risk among men (HR 0.87 [0.78, 0.96]) with p = 0.003. Where no sex differences were found, our findings were consistent with existing evidence. Conclusions and Relevance This large-scale multinational study on antidiabetic agents identified clinically relevant sex differences, which are biologically plausible but previously lacked clinical evidence. Our findings reinforce the importance of tailoring T2D management according to sex.
Vicic, N.; Bogdanov, A.; Hensler, H.; Ryan, T.; Zeng, N.; Beck, E.; Patry, E.; Bonafede, M.; Araujo, A. B.; Wilson, A.
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Background: The 2025/2026 COVID-19 vaccine season introduced updated formulations targeting the LP.8.1 lineage. This study assessed the absolute vaccine effectiveness (aVE) of mRNA-1283 and BNT162b2 on COVID-19 outcomes in adults aged [≥]65 years. Methods: Background: The 2025/2026 COVID-19 vaccine season introduced updated formulations targeting the LP.8.1 lineage. This study assessed the absolute vaccine effectiveness (aVE) of mRNA-1283 and BNT162b2 on COVID-19 outcomes in adults aged [≥]65 years. Methods: This retrospective study used linked electronic health record and administrative claims data through Jan 31, 2026. Adults [≥]65 years who received the mRNA-1283 or BNT162b2 2025/2026 COVID-19 vaccine were matched to unvaccinated individuals. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to matched cohorts of each vaccine to balance covariates. Each vaccine was evaluated independently against its own unvaccinated comparator group. aVE against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models; aVE = 100 x (1 - hazard ratio [HR]). Results: We identified 233,072 mRNA-1283 recipients and 422,610 BNT162b2 recipients [≥]65 years. The aVE (95% confidence interval) of mRNA-1283 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 59.3% (39.0%, 72.9%) and 42.0% (35.0%, 48.3%) among adults [≥]65 years and 66.9% (45.9%, 79.8%) and 50.2% (42.1%, 57.2%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. The aVE of BNT162b2 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 48.3% (32.4%, 60.5%) and 41.2% (36.2%, 45.8%) in [≥]65 years and 45.9% (26.0%, 60.4%) and 44.0% (37.8%, 49.6%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. Conclusions: This is the first real-world evidence showing that mRNA-1283 prevents COVID-19-related hospitalizations and medically attended events in vulnerable older adults at highest risk of severe disease. These findings support mRNA-1283 as an important public health tool for reducing the ongoing burden of COVID-19.Results: We identified 233,072 mRNA-1283 recipients and 422,610 BNT162b2 recipients [≥]65 years. The aVE (95% confidence interval) of mRNA-1283 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 59.3% (39.0%, 72.9%) and 42.0% (35.0%, 48.3%) among adults [≥]65 years and 66.9% (45.9 %, 79.8%) and 50.2% (42.1%, 57.2%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. The aVE of BNT162b2 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 48.3% (32.4%, 60.5%) and 41.2% (36.2%, 45.8%) in [≥]65 years and 45.9% (26.0%, 60.4%) and 44.0% (37.8%, 49.6%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. Conclusions: This is the first real-world evidence showing that mRNA-1283 prevents COVID-19-related hospitalizations and medically attended events in vulnerable older adults at highest risk of severe disease. These findings support mRNA-1283 as an important public health tool for reducing the ongoing burden of COVID-19.
Leuenberger, L. M.; Shoman, Y.; Romero, F.; Deligianni, X.; Hartung, A.; Mozun, R.; Goebel, N.; Bielicki, J. A.; Burckhardt, M.-A.; Latzin, P.; Saner, C.; Posfay-Barbe, K. M.; Schwitzgebel, V.; Giannoni, E.; Hauschild, M.; Stocker, M.; Righini-Grunder, F.; Lauener, R.; Mueller, P.; Schlapbach, L. J.; Jenni, O. G.; Spycher, B. D.; Kuehni, C. E.; Belle, F. N.; for the SwissPedHealth Consortium,
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OBJECTIVE: Anthropometric data are critical in paediatric care, routinely assessed during clinical visits, and available in electronic health records (EHRs). We describe the feasibility of extracting anthropometric data from heterogeneous EHR systems of Swiss childrens hospitals, evaluate their availability and quality, and assess the cohorts representativeness of the general population. METHODS: In this multicentre study (SwissPedGrowth), we retrospectively collected EHRs from patients <20 years who visited hospitals in Basel, Bern, Geneva, Lausanne, Luzern, St. Gallen, or Zurich between 2017-2023. Sociodemographic, administrative, and clinical information from EHRs were provided in a standardized way by a paediatric national data stream (SwissPedHealth), including the Swiss Neighbourhood Index of Socioeconomic Position (Swiss-SEP). We counted anthropometric recordings per visit to describe availability and used a self-developed and an existing (growthcleanr) algorithm to investigate data quality. To assess representativeness, we compared sociodemographic characteristics between SwissPedGrowth and the general paediatric population in Switzerland, computed standardized differences (effect size: 0.2 small, 0.5 medium, 0.8 large), and weighted the study population to reduce differences. RESULTS: We included 477,531 patients and 2,171,633 hospital visits; 54% boys, 71% Swiss, mean Swiss-SEP 65 (SD: 11), and median age at visit 6.3 [IQR: 2.3, 11.8] years. Height recordings were available for 20% of the visits, weights for 43%, and head circumferences for 5%, with better availability for inpatient stays than outpatient or emergency visits. Combining the self-developed and existing algorithm, 4% of heights and 3% of weights were flagged as outliers and 29% of heights and 31% of weights as carried forward from previous visits or same day duplicates. Sociodemographic differences between SwissPedGrowth and the general population were small or small-to-medium and disappeared after weighting. CONCLUSION: SwissPedGrowth demonstrates feasibility of extracting high-quality anthropometric data for paediatric growth research, but challenges regarding completeness and harmonization of EHR data across Swiss hospitals remain.
Nkosi-Mjadu, B. E.
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BackgroundSouth Africas public healthcare system serves most of the population through approximately 3,900 primary healthcare clinics characterised by long waiting times and high volumes of repeat-prescription visits. No published pre-arrival digital triage system operates across all 11 official South African languages while aligning with the South African Triage Scale (SATS). This paper reports the design and preliminary safety validation of BIZUSIZO, a hybrid deterministic-AI WhatsApp triage system. MethodsBIZUSIZO delivers SATS-aligned triage via WhatsApp, combining AI-assisted free-text classification (Claude Haiku 4.5) with a Deterministic Clinical Safety Layer (DCSL) that overrides AI output for 53 clinical discriminator categories (14 RED, 19 ORANGE, 20 YELLOW) coded in all 11 official languages and independent of AI availability. A five-domain risk factor assessment can only upgrade triage level. One hundred and twenty clinical vignettes in patient language (English, isiZulu, isiXhosa, Afrikaans; 30 per language) were scored against a developer-assigned gold standard with independent blinded nurse review. A 121-vignette multilingual DCSL safety consistency check across all 11 languages and a 220-call post-hoc framing sensitivity evaluation (110 paired vignettes) were also conducted. ResultsUnder-triage was 3.3% (4/120; 95% CI: 0.9%-8.3%) with no RED under-triage; exact concordance was 80.0% (96/120) and quadratic weighted kappa 0.891 (95% CI: 0.827-0.932). One two-level under-triage was observed on a non-RED presentation (V072, isiXhosa burns vignette, ORANGEGREEN); one two-level over-triage was observed (V054, isiZulu deep laceration, YELLOWRED). In the framing sensitivity evaluation, AI-only classification achieved 50.9% RED invariance under adversarial framing; full-pipeline classification achieved 95.0% in four validated languages, with the DCSL rescuing 18 of 23 AI drift cases. ConclusionsA hybrid deterministic-AI triage system with DCSL-based emergency detection achieved zero RED under-triage and consistent RED detection across all 11 official languages. The 16.7% over-triage rate falls within published South African SATS ranges (13.1-49%). A single two-level under-triage event was observed on an isiXhosa burns vignette (ORANGEGREEN) and is discussed in Limitations. Findings are preliminary; prospective validation against independent nurse triage is the necessary next step.
Bruckner, T.; Dike, C. E.; Caquelin, L.; Freeman, A.; Aspromonti, D. A.; DeVito, N.; Song, Z.; Karam, G.; Nilsonne, G.
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Objectives: To assess the availability of key clinical trial registration data and compliance with legal reporting requirements for all Phase 2-4 drug trials registered on the new European Clinical Trial Information System (CTIS) registry. This study is the first ever assessment of data quality and legal compliance with reporting requirements on CTIS. Design: Cross-sectional observational study of CTIS registry data combined with manual review of results documents. Setting: Cohort of all 7,547 Phase II-IV clinical trials registered on CTIS as of November 2025. Main outcome measures: Number and proportion of missing data points in CTIS registration data. Proportion of completed clinical trials that are compliant with regulatory reporting requirements. Results: Trial registration data quality was high overall with more than 99% of expected data present. Of 234 clinical trials legally required to report results, fewer than half (49.6%) fully reported results within the required timeframe, 20 trials (8.5%) fully reported results late, and 98 trials (41.9%) failed to fully report results. Legal compliance was similar for adult trials (79/158) and paediatric trials (37/76). Conclusions: Sponsor compliance with legal reporting requirements is weak. Current efforts by European regulators to monitor and enforce compliance appear to be insufficient. New results reporting functions currently being set up by trial registries worldwide will require quality assurance processes. Trial registration: Study protocol prospectively registered on OSF: https://osf.io/sn4j2/overview
Fitzgerald, O.; Keller, E.; Illingworth, P.; Lieberman, D.; Peate, M.; Kotevski, D.; Paul, R.; Rodino, I.; Parle, A.; Hammarberg, K.; Copp, T.; Chambers, G. M.
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Study questionWhat are the characteristics and treatment outcomes of women who undertook planned egg freezing (PEF) in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023? Summary answerThere has been an average yearly increase in the uptake of PEF of 35%, with most women undergoing a single PEF procedure in their mid-thirties. Given ten years follow-up a little over one in four women return, with nearly half of those using donor sperm and one-third achieving a live birth. What is known alreadyPEF, where women freeze their eggs as a strategy to preserve fertility, has increased dramatically in high income countries in the last decade. Despite the rapid uptake of PEF, there remains limited information to guide women, clinicians and policy makers regarding the characteristics of women undertaking this procedure and treatment outcomes. Study design, size, durationA retrospective population-based cohort study of all women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023, including their subsequent return to thaw their eggs and treatment outcomes. Where women returned to utilise their eggs, all subsequent embryo transfer procedures were linked enabling calculation of live birth rates per woman. Participants/materials, setting, methods20,209 women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023 including 1,657 women who returned to thaw their eggs. Main results and the role of chanceThere has been a huge increase in uptake of PEF, from 55 women in 2009 to 4,919 in 2023. Women who freeze their eggs are typically aged 34-38 years (interquartile range) and nulliparous (98.6%). For women with at least 10 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-13; N=514), 27.9% returned and thawed their frozen eggs (average time to return: 4.9 years). This reduced to 22.1% in those with at least 5 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-2018; N=4,288). Of those who used their frozen eggs, 47% used donor sperm. After at least two years follow up, 33.9% had a live birth, rising over time to 37.8% for eggs thawed between 2019-2021. Limitations, reasons for cautionIn the timeframe 2009-2019 we did not have information on whether egg freezing occurred because of a cancer diagnosis, a cohort we wished to exclude from the study. As a result, for this timeframe we weighted observations by the probability that egg freezing occurred due to cancer, with the prediction model developed on the years 2020-2023. Wider implications of the findingsThis study provides recent and comprehensive data on PEF to guide prospective patients and clinicians and inform policy. The exponential growth in PEF in Australia and New Zealand mirrors trends in other high-income countries, suggesting a doubling time of 2-3 years. Study findings highlight the need for setting realistic expectations about the likelihood of returning to use frozen eggs and live birth rates. Study funding/competing interest(s)2020-2025 MRFF Emerging Priorities and Consumer Driven Research initiative: EPCD000014
Carazo, S.; Skowronski, D. M.; Sauvageau, C.; Talbot, D.; Racine, E.; Brousseau, N. M.
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We evaluated 2024/25 KP.2 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19 hospitalization among adults >60 years old eligible for publicly-funded vaccination during fall and/or spring campaigns in the province of Quebec, Canada. We included Quebec residents tested for COVID-19-compatible symptoms in an acute-care hospital between October 13, 2024 (epi-week 2024-42) and August 23, 2025 (2025-34), linking vaccine, hospital, chronic diseases and laboratory administrative records to assess VE through test-negative design. We compared the odds of being COVID-19 test-positive versus test-negative among vaccinated versus non-vaccinated participants, adjusting for sex, age, comorbidities, place of residence, and epidemiological week. Overall, 49,949 (43%) participants were vaccinated. Over an analysis period spanning up to ten months, including median time since vaccination of 16 weeks (interquartile range 9-24 weeks), VE was 34% overall, declining from 43% <8 weeks to negligible by the 32nd week post-vaccination. Findings confirm meaningful but short-lived COVID-19 vaccine protection against hospitalization in older adults.
Amitabh Gunjan, A.; Huang, L.; Appe, A.; McKelvey, P. A.; Algren, H. A.; Berry, M.; Mozaffari, E.; Wright, B. J.; Hadlock, J. J.; Goldman, J. D.
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Background: Long COVID presents with one or multiple symptoms or diagnosable conditions after SARS-CoV-2 infection. To study whether use of the antiviral remdesivir in persons hospitalized with acute COVID-19 is associated with reduced Long COVID, we created a computational phenotype for Long COVID. Methods: In electronic health records (EHR) from a multistate healthcare system (US), hospital admissions from 5/1/20 - 9/30/22 were reviewed. The study group was hospitalized with acute COVID-19 and the control group was hospitalized for other reasons without prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. The populations were balanced with overlap weights based on a high-dimensional propensity score of pre-specified variables and the top 100 comorbidities differing between the groups. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated for the combined primary outcome: U09.9 (Post-Covid Conditions) or any incident secondary outcome from 90 to 365 days after admission. Secondary outcomes included 27 individual incident diagnoses, corrected for multiplicity with Holm-Bonferroni. Results: Admissions included 45,540 with, and 409,186 without COVID-19 during the study period, evaluable for the primary outcome. After weighting, standardized difference was < 0.01 for all measured confounders including demographic and clinical features. In the COVID+ and non-COVID groups 38.0% and 29.3% met the combined primary outcome, respectively. Weighted HR (95%CI) for the primary outcome was 1.37 (1.35, 1.40), p < 0.0001. All secondary outcomes were associated with the COVID+ group, when adjusted for multiplicity. Incident diagnoses with strong associations (HR > 2) included thromboembolism, hair loss, diabetes mellitus, obesity, and hypoxia. Anosmia/dysgeusia was associated with COVID, but wide confidence intervals reflected few charted diagnoses. Conclusions: Manifestations of Long COVID at population scale are detectable as part of routine symptoms and clinical diagnoses in the EHR after admissions for COVID-19, compared with all other hospital admissions. This a prior computational phenotype for Long COVID will be used to assess whether remdesivir use is associated with decreased Long COVID.
Nguyen, A. T.; Nguyen, B.
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BackgroundNicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN) and nicotinamide riboside (NR) are NAD+ precursor supplements widely marketed for metabolic health benefits. Despite billions of dollars in annual sales, no head-to-head randomized controlled trial (RCT) has compared their effects on metabolic endpoints, and no systematic characterization of why reliable comparison is currently impossible has been published. ObjectiveTo characterize the structural heterogeneity of the NMN and NR trial evidence bases across population, dose, duration, and biomarker dimensions; to formally assess transitivity; and to estimate indirect NMN versus NR effects where methodologically feasible using the Bucher indirect comparison method. MethodsFive databases (PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, Cochrane CENTRAL) were searched from January 2018 to May 2025. Eligible studies were RCTs of oral NMN or NR versus placebo in adults reporting metabolic outcomes. A formal transitivity assessment was conducted comparing effect modifier distributions across NMN and NR trial arms. Random-effects pairwise meta-analyses were conducted for each precursor versus placebo, and Bucher indirect comparisons estimated NMN versus NR effects through the common placebo node. Risk of bias was assessed using RoB 2 and certainty of evidence using the GRADE/CINeMA framework. ResultsFifteen studies (5 NMN, 10 NR; 740 participants) were included. The NMN and NR trial evidence bases were systematically asymmetric across every major effect modifier: NR was dosed 1.9 to 9.2 times higher than NMN on a molar basis; NMN trials were conducted predominantly in East Asian populations while NR trials were predominantly Western; and available NAD+ pharmacodynamic measures used incompatible assay matrices precluding indirect comparison. Across 14 metabolically comparable outcomes, no indirect comparison reached statistical significance and all were rated Very Low certainty by GRADE/CINeMA, consistent with the structural limitations of the evidence base. Leave-one-out sensitivity analyses showed zero pairwise significance changes and one indirect significance change (triglycerides upon exclusion of Conze 2019). ConclusionCurrent evidence is structurally insufficient to support reliable indirect comparison of NMN and NR for metabolic outcomes. The barriers are quantifiable and modifiable: future head-to-head trials should use equimolar dosing (approximately 1,150 mg NMN is molar-equivalent to 1,000 mg NR), harmonized whole-blood NAD+ assays reported in mol/L, minimum 24 weeks duration, and enrollment of metabolically at-risk populations to generate interpretable comparative evidence. RegistrationPROSPERO 2026 CRD420261330487; registered prior to data screening.
Babalola, C. M.; Medina-Marino, A.; Mdingi, M. M.; Wilson, M. L.; Mukomana, F.; Muzny, C. A.; Taylor, C. M.; Gigi, R. M.; Jung, H.; Low, N.; Peters, R. P.; Klausner, J. D.
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BackgroundChlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis are curable sexually transmitted infections (STIs) associated with adverse birth outcomes. Most infections are asymptomatic. Whether antenatal STI screening improves birth outcomes remains uncertain. MethodsIn a randomized three-group trial in South Africa, pregnant women aged 18 years or older were assigned before 27 weeks gestation to: (1) screening and treatment for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis at enrollment, with tests-of-cure (One-Time Screening); (2) screening and treatment at enrollment, repeated at 30 to 34 weeks (Two-Time Screening); or (3) Standard-of-Care (Syndromic management). The primary outcome was a composite of preterm birth (<37 weeks gestation) or low birthweight (<2500 g), analyzed in the modified intention-to-treat population of participants with live births. Components of the composite outcome were evaluated individually as the main secondary outcomes. The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04446611. FindingsOf 2247 enrolled participants, 1910 had live births. The composite outcome occurred in 22{middle dot}9% of the One-Time Screening group (risk ratio [RR] 0{middle dot}99; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0{middle dot}81-1{middle dot}21), 20{middle dot}6% of the Two-Time Screening group (RR 0{middle dot}89; 95% CI 0{middle dot}72-1{middle dot}09), compared with 23{middle dot}2% of the Standard-of-Care group. Preterm birth occurred in 18{middle dot}9% of the One-Time Screening group (RR 1{middle dot}00; 95% CI 0{middle dot}80-1{middle dot}26), 14{middle dot}5% of the Two-Time Screening group (RR 0{middle dot}77; 95% CI 0{middle dot}60-0{middle dot}99), and 18{middle dot}8% of the Standard-of-Care group. Low birthweight occurred in 14{middle dot}1% of the One-Time Screening group (RR 1{middle dot}10; 95% CI 0{middle dot}83-1{middle dot}46), 12{middle dot}9% of the Two-Time Screening group (RR 1{middle dot}01; 95% CI 0{middle dot}76-1{middle dot}35), and 12{middle dot}8% of the Standard-of-Care group. InterpretationNeither screening strategy for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis reduced the primary composite outcome of preterm birth or low birthweight, or low birthweight alone. The Two-Time antenatal STI screening strategy, however, reduced preterm birth by 23%.
Davies, J. M.; Fairs, A.; Ayoubkhani, D.; Marshall, S.; Diggle, M.; Bradshaw, A.; French, M.; Stone, J.; Hussain, J.; Fimister, G.; Harding, R.; Sleeman, K.; Nafilyan, V.
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Context: In the UK, and in other countries, people living with a terminal illness are eligible for financial support to help with the costs of serious illness and to support their dignity and independence. This study investigates the take-up of benefits in the last year of life and identifies sociodemographic, clinical, and geographical factors associated with underclaiming. Methods: Retrospective cohort study using linked mortality, Census and benefits data for all people who died aged 16+ from chronic illnesses in England and Wales between 1 May 2018 and 30 April 2021. Outcome was receipt of non-means tested disability benefits in the last 12 months of life. We describe geographical variation in take up, and association with sociodemographic, clinical and geographical exposures using Poisson models. Findings: Our population included 1,049,493 eligible decedents, with an overall take-up rate of 65.9%. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors, variation in take-up by cause of death was wide: liver disease 44% (95% CI 43, 45%), heart failure 52% (51, 52%), cancer 62% (61, 62%), dementia 75% (74, 75%), and neurodegenerative diseases 90% (88, 91%). Across Local Authorities, the age-and-sex-standardised take-up varied from 53% to 78%; rates were generally higher in more deprived areas, but not uniformly. Conclusions: In England and Wales, 1 in 3 people who die from expected causes (120,000 each year) do not receive the benefits for which they are eligible. Our analysis uses novel data linkages and highlights clinical and sociodemographic groups and geographical areas that could be targeted with proactive take-up initiatives.
Akinyemi, O.; Fasokun, M.; Singleton, D.; Ogunyankin, F.; Khalil, S.; Gordon, K.; Michael, M.; Hughes, K.; Luo, G.; Lawson, S.; Ahizechukwu, E.
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Introduction Cesarean delivery accounts for nearly one-third of U.S. births and is associated with substantial maternal morbidity and health care costs. Persistent racial disparities have been documented, yet the structural factors contributing to these differences remain incompletely understood. The extent to which insurance coverage shapes racial disparities in cesarean delivery remains unclear. Objective To evaluate the independent and interactive associations of race/ethnicity and insurance coverage with cesarean delivery in the United States. Methods Population-based retrospective cohort study using singleton live births recorded in the United States Vital Statistics Natality files from 2014 to 2024. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the independent effects of race/ethnicity and insurance status on cesarean delivery, including interaction terms to test effect modification, using national birth certificate data. Models were adjusted for maternal demographics, clinical factors, and temporal covariates. Adjusted odds ratios, predicted probabilities, and absolute risk differences were derived from post-estimation marginal effects. The main outcome measure was cesarean delivery (yes vs no). Results Among 41,543,568 deliveries from 2014 to 2024, 13,312,221 (32.0%) were cesarean deliveries. After adjustment, both race and ethnicity and insurance status were independently associated with cesarean delivery. Compared with non-Hispanic White women, non-Hispanic Black women had higher odds of cesarean delivery (odds ratio [OR], 1.22; 95% CI, 1.22-1.23). Relative to uninsured women, those with private insurance had 59% higher odds of cesarean delivery (OR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.58-1.60). Significant interaction effects were observed, indicating that insurance coverage modified racial and ethnic differences in cesarean delivery. Non-Hispanic Black women had the highest predicted probabilities across all insurance categories, with the largest absolute disparities observed among uninsured women. Conclusion Racial and ethnic differences in cesarean delivery persist in the United States and are modified by insurance coverage, suggesting that coverage-related differences may contribute to inequities in obstetric care.
Henson, J. C.; Spears, G. L.; Daughdrill, B. K.; Hagood, J. N.; Vallurupalli, S.
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Background: Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a cost-effective, evidence-based intervention that improves outcomes for patients with heart failure (HF), yet access remains inequitable, particularly among Medicaid enrollees. This study evaluates the state-by-state variability in Medicaid coverage for CR services and examines the implications for health equity in vulnerable populations. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional policy analysis of all 50 U.S. states to assess Medicaid coverage for outpatient CR services billed under CPT codes 93797 (without ECG monitoring) and 93798 (with ECG monitoring). Publicly available Medicaid documents were reviewed and supplemented with direct communication with state Medicaid agencies. States were categorized into full, partial/inconclusive, or no coverage. Geographic trends were visualized through heat maps and contextualized using state-level Medicaid enrollment data. Results: Marked disparities in CR coverage were identified. Only 41 states reimbursed for CPT 93797, and 43 for CPT 93798. Eight states lacked coverage for either code, predominantly in the South and Mountain West, including Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nevada, and Utah. States with the highest Medicaid enrollment (e.g., Louisiana, Arkansas) often provided no CR coverage, compounding access barriers for high-risk, low-income populations. Conclusions: The absence of standardized Medicaid coverage for CR contributes to systemic inequities in cardiovascular care, disproportionately impacting disadvantaged communities. Aligning Medicaid policies to ensure universal CR access--particularly through tele-rehabilitation and value-based care models--could reduce hospitalizations, improve survival, and promote health equity across the U.S.
Luff, A.; Rivelli, A.; Akaninyene, N.; Malloy, E.; Mishra, R.; Fitzpatrick, V.
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Prenatal depression is a substantial contributor to maternal morbidity, and screening is an entry point to psychiatric assessment and treatment during pregnancy. Following updated guidelines and quality metrics for prenatal depression screening, we evaluated whether screening uptake differed by preferred language within a large U.S. healthcare system. We used electronic health record data to identify a retrospective cohort of deliveries at or beyond 20 weeks gestation in 2019-2024. We used logistic regression with a language-year interaction to estimate the adjusted marginal probabilities of screening by language preference. Among 99,526 pregnancies (82,632 individuals), screening increased substantially over time but increases differed across language groups (p<0.001). In 2019, screening probabilities were similar (English 0.50; Spanish 0.48; Another Language 0.50). By 2024, probabilities diverged (English 0.81; Spanish 0.66; Another Language 0.71). Unequal screening uptake can systematically under-identify prenatal depression among patients with non-English language preference, with implications for equitable access to psychiatric care.
Papi, A.; Halpin, D. M. G.; Feldman, R. G.; Ison, M. G.; Schwarz, T. F.; Lee, D.-G.; Incalzi, R. A.; Fissette, L.; Xavier, S.; David, M.-P.; Michaud, J.-P.; Kotb, S.; Marechal, C.; Olivier, A.; Hulstrom, V.; Van der Wielen, M.; the AReSVi-006 study group,
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BackgroundWe explored the efficacy of AS01E-adjuvanted respiratory syncytial virus prefusion F protein-based vaccine (adjuvanted RSVPreF3) in subpopulations of participants with underlying medical conditions in the multi-country, phase 3 AReSVi-006 trial (conducted May/2021-May/2024). MethodsMedically stable [≥]60-year-olds were 1:1-randomised to receive one adjuvanted RSVPreF3 or placebo dose pre-RSV season 1. In exploratory post-hoc analyses in subgroups of participants with underlying conditions (including COPD, asthma, diabetes, obesity [BMI[≥]30 kg/m2]), we evaluated efficacy of one vaccine dose against RSV-related lower respiratory tract disease (RSV-LRTD), acute respiratory illness (RSV-ARI), and RSV-ARI-related complications (e.g., pneumonia, COPD/asthma exacerbation, cardiovascular events). We also evaluated (post-hoc) RSV-ARI-related systemic corticosteroid and antibiotics use in participants with COPD or asthma. ResultsThe efficacy analyses comprised 12,468 vaccine and 12,498 placebo recipients. Efficacy against RSV-LRTD over three RSV seasons was similar among participants with COPD (75.1%, 95% CI: 40.2-91.4), asthma (65.8%, 31.0-84.7), diabetes (69.8%, 37.5-87.1), and obesity (74.1%, 56.4-85.5) as in the overall study population (62.9%, 97.5% CI: 46.7-74.8). Efficacy was also observed against RSV-ARI in these subgroups. Efficacy against RSV-ARI-related complications was 74.4% (95% CI: 11.2-95.2) in participants with COPD and 60.8% (-9.9-88.7) in those with asthma. Among participants with COPD, 15.4% (1.9-45.4) of RSV-ARI episodes in vaccine vs 22.4% (12.5-35.3) in placebo recipients were treated with systemic corticosteroids, and 46.2% (19.2-74.9) vs 56.9% (43.2-69.8) with antibiotics. ConclusionsPost-hoc analyses of the AReSVi-006 trial suggest that adjuvanted RSVPreF3 may help prevent RSV-ARI, RSV-LRTD, and RSV-related complications in medically stable older adults with underlying medical conditions like COPD and asthma. Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04886596 SummaryPost-hoc analyses of the AReSVi-006 trial suggest that 1 dose of adjuvanted RSVPreF3 may help prevent RSV-related illness and complications over 3 consecutive RSV seasons in subgroups of [≥]60-year-olds with chronic medical conditions, e.g., COPD and asthma.