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eBioMedicine

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match eBioMedicine's content profile, based on 130 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.13% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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GLX10, a Novel Immunometabolic Modulator, Enhances Glycemic Control and Suppresses Inflammatory Signaling in a High-Fat Diet and Streptozotocin-Induced Rat Model of Type 2 Diabetes.

Hesen, S.; Kassem, K. F.; salah, M. S.

2026-04-21 immunology 10.64898/2026.04.16.718956 medRxiv
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Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a progressive metabolic disorder characterized by persistent hyperglycemia, insulin resistance, and chronic low-grade inflammation. Despite the widespread use of established therapies such as metformin, long-term glycemic control remains suboptimal, and disease progression is often not adequately prevented. This highlights the need for novel therapeutic strategies that address both metabolic dysfunction and the underlying immunometabolic components of the disease. In this study, GLX10 (GLXM100) was evaluated as a novel immune modulator in a high-fat diet (HFD) and low-dose streptozotocin (STZ)-induced rat model of T2DM over a 91-day period. Glycemic outcomes were assessed using terminal random blood glucose and oral glucose tolerance testing (OGTT), with glucose exposure quantified by area under the curve (AUC 0-120). Complementary in vitro investigations were performed in hepatic and macrophage cell models to assess cytocompatibility, nitric oxide production, and modulation of pro-inflammatory cytokines, including IL-6 and TNF-. GLX10 treatment resulted in a significant reduction in random blood glucose levels and a marked improvement in glucose tolerance compared to diabetic control animals. Importantly, GLX10 demonstrated greater improvement in OGTT AUC compared to metformin under the same experimental conditions, indicating enhanced dynamic glucose regulation. In vitro, GLX10 maintained viability in normal hepatic cells while significantly suppressing nitric oxide production and inflammatory cytokine outputs in macrophages, supporting a favorable safety and immune profile. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that GLX10 exerts robust antidiabetic activity through a dual mechanism involving metabolic regulation and suppression of inflammatory signaling. The integration of in vivo efficacy with supportive in vitro safety and mechanistic data provides a strong preclinical foundation and supports the further development of GLX10 as a promising therapeutic candidate for T2DM.

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Multimodal prediction of visual improvement in diabetic macular edema using real-world electronic health records and optical coherence tomography images

Sun, S.; Cai, C. X.; Fan, R.; You, S.; Tran, D.; Rao, P. K.; Suchard, M. A.; Wang, Y.; Lee, C. S.; Lee, A. Y.; Zhang, L.

2026-04-24 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351616 medRxiv
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Multimodal learning has the potential to improve clinical prediction by integrating complementary data sources, but the incremental value of imaging beyond structured electronic health record (EHR) data remains unclear in real-world settings. We developed a multimodal survival modeling framework integrating optical coherence tomography (OCT) and EHR data to predict time to visual improvement in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME), and evaluated how different ophthalmic foundation model representations contribute to prognostic performance. In a retrospective cohort of 973 patients (1,450 eyes) receiving anti-vascular endothelial growth factor therapy, we compared multimodal models combining 22,227 EHR variables with 196,402 OCT images, with OCT embeddings derived from three ophthalmic foundation models (RETFound, EyeCLIP, and VisionFM). The EHR-only model showed minimal prognostic discrimination (C-index 0.50 [95% CI, 0.45-0.55]). Incorporating OCT improved performance, with the magnitude of improvement depending on the representation. EHR+RETFound achieved the strongest performance (C-index 0.59 [0.54-0.65]), followed by EHR+EyeCLIP (0.57 [0.52-0.62]) and EHR+VisionFM (0.56 [0.51-0.61]). Multimodal models, particularly EHR+RETFound, demonstrated improved risk stratification with clearer separation of Kaplan-Meier curves. Partial information decomposition revealed that prognostic information was dominated by modality-specific contributions, with OCT and EHR providing largely distinct signals and minimal shared information. The magnitude of OCT-specific contribution varied across foundation models and aligned with observed performance differences. These findings indicate that OCT provides complementary prognostic value beyond structured clinical data, but gains are modest and depend strongly on representation choice. Our results highlight both the promise of multimodal modeling for personalized prognosis and the need for rigorous, context-specific evaluation of foundation models in real-world clinical settings.

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Vaginal metabolome signatures of high-risk HPV infection trajectories in HIV-negative premenopausal women

Adebamowo, C.; Adebamowo, S. N. N.; Gbolahan, T.; Ikwueme, O.; Famooto, A.; Owoade, Y.; ACCME Research Group as part of H3Africa Consortium,

2026-04-22 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351401 medRxiv
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Persistent detection of high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) is required for cervical carcinogenesis, yet the metabolic phenotype associated with distinct HPV transition states remains incompletely defined. We analyzed vaginal metabolomics data from 71 HIV-negative, non-smoking, premenopausal women without other sexually transmitted infections, grouped by three-visit HPV trajectories: persistent negative (NNN, n=20), late incident positivity (NNP, n=9), conversion with persistence (NPP, n=13), clearance after prior positivity (PPN, n=16), and persistent positive (PPP, n=13). After detection-based filtering, 186 putative and 64 quantitatively estimated metabolites were retained for integrated univariate, multivariate, network, pathway, and machine learning analyses. Global class separation was weak by PERMANOVA and by five-class classification, indicating that the vaginal metabolome does not reorganize broadly across all HPV states. In contrast, trajectory-specific signals were reproducible. The strongest pairwise contrast was NNP versus PPP (best cross-validated ROC AUC 0.778; permutation p=0.039). Glycolic acid was the dominant single metabolite, particularly for NNP versus PPP (Mann-Whitney p=6.96x10^-4, FDR=0.0446, AUROC=0.902; detection 88.9% versus 15.4%; combined abundance+detection FDR=0.0010). Persistent positivity was characterized by a focused uracil-high, methyl-donor/redox-low signature, including lower glycolic acid, S-adenosylmethionine, NAD+, and betaine, together with higher uracil. Ratio mining further sharpened discrimination, with uracil/S-adenosylmethionine and uracil/creatinine among the best PPP classifiers, and glucose 1-phosphate/isovaleric acid-valeric acid strongly separating NNP from NPP. These data support a model in which HPV trajectory is encoded by targeted metabolic states rather than a diffuse HPV-positive versus HPV-negative metabolomic shift.

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From Protocol to Practice: Graded Sepsis Bundle Compliance and Actionable Insights from Real-World ICU Data

TRIPATHI, H.; Roy, K.; Rahimi, S.; Neupane, S.; Bozorgzad, S.

2026-04-25 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351412 medRxiv
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Sepsis is a leading cause of in-hospital mortality, yet systematically evaluating temporal adherence to the Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) bundle across large patient populations remains difficult due to semantic variability in electronic health records and the loss of clinical nuance inherent in binary pass/fail compliance judgments. We present an expert-guided neuro-symbolic pipeline that pairs LLM-based semantic normalization with a Sugeno fuzzy inference system encoding eight SSC bundle rules, producing graded per-episode compliance scores whose clinical decision boundaries are set through domain expert consultation. Applied to 2,438 sepsis episodes from MIMIC-IV v3.1, the dual-classifier normalization layer achieves substantial inter-system agreement with high embedding-based confirmation, resolving hundreds of clinically relevant drug strings that purely symbolic systems miss. The graded framework reveals that Hour-1 bundle failures, particularly antibiotic timing, are the dominant driver of low overall compliance, and that higher bundle adherence is associated with notably shorter ICU stays, with antibiotic delays beyond six hours increasing median stays by 61%. These results demonstrate that neuro-symbolic graded assessment can surface actionable compliance patterns that binary evaluation frameworks cannot capture.

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CGM glycemic persistence reflects OGTT dysglycemia

Zhang, R.

2026-04-23 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351476 medRxiv
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Aims The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is effective for detecting post-load dysglycemia, but it is burdensome and therefore not routinely used. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offers a convenient way to capture real-world glucose patterns, yet it remains unclear whether CGM-derived metrics reflect OGTT-defined dysglycemia. We therefore aimed to evaluate CGM-derived and clinical metrics for predicting OGTT 2-hour glucose, classifying OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and assessing day-to-day repeatability. Methods We analyzed a cohort with paired free-living CGM and OGTT. Multiple CGM-derived metrics and clinical measures were compared for prediction of OGTT 2-hour glucose, classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and day-to-day stability. Predictive performance was assessed primarily by leave-one-out (LOO) R^2, and day-to-day repeatability by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). Results The glycemic persistence index (GPI), a metric integrating the magnitude and duration of glycemic elevation, was the strongest single predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose (LOO R^2 = 0.439). GPI also showed strong day-to-day repeatability (ICC = 0.665) and ranked first on a combined prediction-stability score. For classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, HbA1c had a slightly higher AUC than GPI, but GPI plus HbA1c performed best overall, indicating complementary information. Conclusions GPI was a strong predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose and showed a favorable balance between predictive performance and day-to-day stability, supporting its potential utility as a CGM-derived marker of dysglycemia.

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The Immunoglobulin G Glycome: A Modifiable Biomarker and Functional Effector of Aging, Disease, and Mortality

Mijakovac, A.; Butz, E.; Vuckovic, F.; Frkatovic Hodzic, A.; Rapcan, B.; Kifer, D.; Deris, H.; Radovani Trbojevic, B.; Luksic, F.; Cindric, A.; Gudelj, I.; simunic Briski, N.; Josipovic, G.; Stara Yuksel, Z.; catic, J.; saler, F.; Szavits-Nossan, J.; Hedin, C. R. H.; simunovic, J.; Borosak, I.; Kristic, J.; Monteiro-Martins, S.; Pribic, T.; Hanic, M.; Pucic-Bakovic, M.; Trbojevic-Akmacic, I.; stambuk, T.; stambuk, J.; Martinic Kavur, M.; Fancovic, M.; Cvetko, A.; Pezer, M.; Polasek, O.; Gornik, O.; Kiprov, D.; Verdin, E.; Younggren, B.; Newson, L.; Menni, C.; Steves, C. J.; Spector, T. D.; Hal

2026-04-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351390 medRxiv
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Glycosylation is a key structural modification of immunoglobulin G (IgG) that modulates its effector functions and has multiple roles in balancing inflammation. Altered IgG glycosylation has been reported in many diseases, often years before clinical manifestation, suggesting its causal role and biomarker potential. Here, we analyzed IgG glycome composition in 20,405 individuals from 42 different studies processed at the Genos Glycoscience Research Laboratory between 2008 and 2025. Across nearly all diseases, specific IgG glycome profiles reflected accelerated biological aging. Accelerated glycan aging was strongly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, independent of established clinical risk factors and potential confounders. Moreover, interventions known to reduce mortality risk, including hormone replacement therapy, therapeutic plasma exchange and caloric restriction, were associated with reversal of glycan aging. Given their role in modulating low-grade systemic inflammation, IgG glycans may represent a functional link between chronic inflammation, aging, disease susceptibility and all-cause mortality.

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Shared Genetic Architecture and Causal Relationship Between Diabetes, Glycemic Traits, and Cerebral Small Vessel Disease

Lee, K.-J.; Lee, J.-Y.; Lee, S. J.; Bae, H.-J.; Sung, J.

2026-04-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351065 medRxiv
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Background: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has long been considered a risk factor for cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD), yet the exact relationship between glycemic markers and cSVD remains unclear. This study explores the genetic overlap and causal associations between T2DM, glycemic indices, and cSVD phenotypes using genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Methods: Using large consortium-based GWAS data, we examined relationships between T2DM, glycemic indicators (glycated hemoglobin, fasting glucose, 2-hour glucose after oral challenge, and fasting insulin), and cSVD phenotypes (white matter hyperintensity volume, lacunar stroke, cerebral microbleeds, and enlarged perivascular spaces). Our multi-level genomic strategy included: 1) identifying pleiotropic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) through PLEIO and eQTL analysis, 2) assessing genome-wide genetic correlations using LDSC and GNOVA, and 3) determining causal relationships with two-sample and multivariable Mendelian randomization analyses. Results: We identified 14 pleiotropic SNPs with significant shared associations among T2DM, glycemic indicators, and cSVD phenotypes. Notably, MICB gene expression was elevated in brain, vascular, and pancreatic tissues, while three HLA genes (HLA-DQA1, HLA-DRB1 and HLA-DRB5) showed reduced expression. Genetic correlation analysis revealed positive correlations between T2DM, fasting glucose, and postprandial glucose with multiple cSVD phenotypes including WMH, lacunar stroke, and perivascular spaces. Mendelian randomization demonstrated that T2DM, 2-hour glucose, and HbA1c level causally increased lacunar stroke risk (OR 1.16 [1.09-1.23], OR 1.46 [1.20-1.77], OR 1.52 [1.04-2.23], respectively). Multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis confirmed that T2DM and postprandial glucose maintained a robust direct effect on lacunar stroke independent of other cSVD phenotypes, while HbA1c did not retain significance after conditioning on cSVD imaging markers. Conclusions: Our multi-level genomic analysis reveals links between T2DM, glycemic traits, and cSVD through specific genetic variants, genome-wide correlations, and causal relationships. The involvement of immune-related genes suggests potential biological mechanisms. The causal effect of postprandial glucose on lacunar stroke suggests that impaired glucose tolerance may be a relevant therapeutic target for lacunar stroke prevention.

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Diagnostic Classification for Long Covid Patients identifying Persistent Virus and Hyperimmune Pathophysiologies

James-Pemberton, P.; Harper, D.; Wagerfield, P.; Watson, C.; Hervada, L.; Kohli, S.; Alder, S.; Shaw, A.

2026-04-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351402 medRxiv
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A multiplex diagnostic test is evaluated for self-reported long COVID associated persistent symptoms and a poor recovery from a SARS-CoV-2 infection. A mass-standardised concentration of total antibodies (AC), high-quality (HQ) antibodies and percentage of HQ antibodies (HQ%) is assessed against a spectrum of spike proteins to the SARS-CoV-2 variants: Wuhan, , {delta}, and the Omicron variants BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.2.75, BA.5, CH.1.1, BQ.1.1 and XBB.1.5 in three cohorts. A cohort of control patients (n = 46) recovered (CC) and a cohort of self-declared long COVID patients (n = 113) (LCC). A nested Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, performed for the variant with lowest HQ concentration in the spectrum, produced an area under the curve and AUC = 0.61 (0.53-0.70) for the CC vs LCC cohorts. For the LCC cohort, the cut-off thresholds for AC = 0.8 mg/L, HQ = 1.5 mg/L and HQ% of 34% were determined, leading to a 71% sensitivity and 66% specificity derived by the Youden metric. The cohorts may be fully classified based on ROC and outlier analysis to give an incidence of persistent virus 62% (95% CI 52% - 71%), hyperimmune 12% (95% CI 7% - 20%) and unclassified, 26% (95% CI 18% - 35%). The overall diagnostic accuracy for both the hyper and hypo immune is 69%. All clinical interventions can now be tailored for the heterogenous long COVID patient cohort.

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The FEES Dysphagia Index: a bias-resilient continuous score that captures expert clinical judgment in 2,943 neurological inpatients

Werner, C. J.; Sanchez-Garcia, E.; Mall, B.; Meyer, T.; Pinho, J.; Schulz, J. B.; Schumann-Werner, B.

2026-04-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351259 medRxiv
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Multi-consistency testing during flexible endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES) is clinically necessary but introduces selection bias: worst scores inflate severity because the number of consistencies tested covaries with disease severity. In this retrospective observational study of hospitalized neurological patients, we derived and validated the FEES Dysphagia Index (FDI) in two temporally independent cohorts (Cohort 1: 2013-2018, N=1,257; Cohort 2: 2021-2025, N=1,686) from a single center. FDI-S averages Penetration-Aspiration Scale (PAS) scores across tested consistencies (0-100 scale); FDI-E uses Yale Pharyngeal Residue scores; FDI-C combines both. Selection bias was quantified using sequential branching-tree inverse probability weighting (IPW). Worst PAS overestimated severity by 24%; FDI deviated by <2%. FDI-C was significantly superior to Worst PAS for hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP; AUC 0.70 vs. 0.60, p<0.001), mortality (0.71 vs. 0.62, p=0.040), and restricted oral intake (0.90 vs. 0.74, p<0.001), and statistically equivalent to clinician-rated severity. FDI-C mapped linearly onto ordinal Functional Oral Intake Scale values (FOIS; proportional odds RCS p=0.99). With functional status and diagnosis, FDI-C reconstructed the clinicians oral intake recommendation with AUC up to 0.93. The FDI-C-mortality relationship was sigmoidal with a clinically relevant transition zone between [~]50 and [~]85. FDI-C is a bias-resilient, bedside-calculable score with interval-scale properties that captures expert clinical judgment, suitable as both a clinical decision support tool and a continuous research endpoint.

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Not so cold after all: tumor infiltrating CD8+ T cells in EBV-positive Burkitt lymphoma are quiescent, not exhausted

Forconi, C. S.; Oduor, C. I.; Saikumar, P. L.; Racenet, Z. J.; Fujimori, G.; M'Bana, V.; Matta, A.; Melo, J.; Laderach, F.; Maina, T. K.; Otieno, J. A.; Chepsidor, D.; Kibor, K.; Njuguna, F.; Vik, T.; Kinyua, A. W.; Munz, C.; Bailey, J. A.; Moormann, A. M.

2026-04-20 immunology 10.64898/2026.04.15.718702 medRxiv
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Abstract / SummarySurvival outcomes for pediatric Burkitt lymphoma (BL) substantially vary depending on geography (50-90%), which also serves as a proxy for the prevalence of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) within the tumors. Although BL is considered an immunologically "cold" tumor with few tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), their functional status has not been fully evaluated, especially for EBV-positive disease. Here, we characterize the exhaustion and activation profiles of T cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME) of EBV-positive BL using orthogonal methods, single-cell gene expression analysis, spectral flow cytometry, and immuno-histochemistry staining (IHC). We found that CD8+ TILs displayed a mosaic of immune inhibitory gene expression encoding, PD1, TIGIT, LAG3 and HAVCR2/TIM3. IHC validated the expression of PD1 and TIGIT on CD8+ TILs, as well as their respective ligands, PDL-1, PVR, and Nectin-2 on malignant B cells. Despite exhaustion-associated signatures, CD8+ TILs retain cytotoxic potential, expressing granules (i.e. Granzyme A, Perforin) and cytokines (i.e. IFN{gamma}) and demonstrate an increased uptake of metabolites such as glucose, arginine, and methionine. In peripheral blood, pediatric BL patients exhibited a significantly higher abundance of PD1+TIGIT+ CD8+ T cells compared to healthy children. Notably, these circulating T cells from BL patients express significantly lower levels of TOX, suggesting they are not irreversibly dysfunctional. Together, our results indicate that CD8+ T cells both in the TME and in circulation of children with BL are not terminally exhausted but remain poised for functional re-invigoration. These findings support the potential integration of immune checkpoint inhibitors into combination chemotherapeutic regimens to improve outcomes for these children. SignificanceEBV-positive BL tumors contain functional, metabolically active CD8+ T cells. Circulating PD1+TIGIT+CD8+ T cells found in BL patients blood are a biomarker for those in the tumor microenvironment.

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Nanopore Whole-Genome Sequencing for Rapid, Comprehensive Molecular Diagnostics of Brain Tumors in Adult Patients

Halldorsson, S.; Nagymihaly, R. M.; Bope, C. D.; Lund-Iversen, M.; Niehusmann, P.; Lien-Dahl, T.; Pahnke, J.; Bruning, T.; Kongelf, G.; Patel, A.; Sahm, F.; Euskirchen, P.; Leske, H.; Vik-Mo, E. O.

2026-04-24 pathology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351563 medRxiv
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Background: Classification of central nervous system (CNS) tumors has become increasingly complex, raising concerns about the sustainability of comprehensive molecular diagnostics. We have evaluated nanopore whole genome sequencing (nWGS) as a single workflow to replace multiple diagnostic assays. Methods: We performed nWGS on DNA extracted from 90 adult CNS tumor samples (58 retrospective, 32 prospective) and compared the results to findings from standard of care (SoC) diagnostic work-up. Analysis was done through an automated workflow that consolidated diagnostically and therapeutically relevant genomic alterations, including copy-number variation, structural, and single-nucleotide variants, chromosomal aberrations, gene fusions, and methylation-based classification. Results: nWGS supported final diagnostic classification in all samples with >15% tumor cell content, requiring ~3 hours of hands-on library preparation, parallel sample processing, and sequencing times within 72 hours. Methylation-based classification was available within 1 hour and was concordant with the integrated final diagnosis in 89% of cases (80/90). All diagnostically relevant copy-number variations, single-nucleotide variants, and gene fusions were concordant with SoC testing. MGMT promoter methylation status matched in 94% of cases. In addition, nWGS identified prognostic and potentially actionable variants that were not reported or covered by SoC. Conclusions: nWGS delivers comprehensive genetic and epigenetic results with a fast turn-around compared to standard methods. This enables efficient, accurate, and scalable molecular diagnostics of CNS tumors using a single platform. This data supports its implementation in routine clinical practice and may be extended to other cancer types requiring complex genomic profiling.

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Differential effects of BCG-Russia and BCG-TICE on trained immunity: potential implications for bladder cancer immunotherapy

Nauman, R. W.; Greer, P. A.; Craig, A. W.; Cotechini, T.; Siemens, D. R.; Graham, C. H.

2026-04-21 immunology 10.64898/2026.04.17.719184 medRxiv
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In recent years, immunotherapy of patients with higher-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) in North America has relied on the use of the TICE strain of BCG. However, limitations in the supply chain have warranted investigation of the therapeutic benefit of other strains of BCG, such as BCG-Russia. Trained immunity, a form of innate immune memory, is now widely believed to be an important component of the therapeutic benefit of BCG. Therefore, in the present study we compared the effects of BCG-TICE and BCG-Russia on the acquisition of trained immunity and related secondary immune responses. C57BL/6 mice received a single intravenous injection of BCG-Russia or BCG-TICE. Four weeks later, bone marrow was collected for flow cytometric analysis of hematopoietic stem and progenitor cell (HSPC) populations, generation of bone marrow-derived macrophages, functional assessment of trained immunity, and transcriptomic profiling. Compared with BCG-Russia, BCG-TICE elicited stronger levels of trained immunity, characterized by higher production of several proinflammatory cytokines upon secondary activation. BCG promoted the expansion of HSPCs independent of strain. BCG-TICE was linked to upregulation of key inflammation-related genes and enrichment of functionally relevant pathways. The results of this study reveal strain-dependent differences in the ability of BCG to induce innate immune memory and inflammatory pathways that could ultimately determine efficacy of immunotherapy of patients with NMIBC.

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Proteomic Age Acceleration in Multiple Sclerosis Precedes Symptom Onset and Associates with Severity

Siavoshi, F.; Candia, J.; Ladakis, D. C.; Dewey, B. E.; Filippatou, A.; Smith, M. D.; Sotirchos, E. S.; Saidha, S.; Prince, J. L.; Abdelhak, A.; Mowry, E. M.; Calabresi, P. A.; Walker, K. A.; Fitzgerald, K. C.; Bhargava, P.

2026-04-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350634 medRxiv
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Biological aging is accelerated in people with multiple sclerosis, but whether such acceleration occurs during the pre-symptomatic phase or varies by organ system is understudied. We analyzed two independent proteomics datasets profiled using distinct platforms: the Johns Hopkins cohort profiled using the SomaScan platform (348 multiple sclerosis/49 age-matched controls) and the Department of Defense cohort profiled using the Olink platform (134 multiple sclerosis/79 age-matched controls), including 117 pre-symptomatic samples from people with multiple sclerosis (median lead time: 4.0 years), to estimate systemic and organ-specific proteomic age gaps using established clocks in pre-symptomatic and symptomatic phases, and assess their associations with severity. In the Johns Hopkins cohort, people with multiple sclerosis demonstrated acceleration of systemic ({beta}=2.2, 95% CI 1.2-3.2, P<0.001, FDR<0.001), brain ({beta}=1.7, 95% CI 0.6-2.7, P=0.003, FDR=0.01), muscle ({beta}=2.5, 95% CI 1.3-3.7, P<0.001, FDR<0.001), and immune age ({beta}=1.8, 95% CI 0.6-2.9, P=0.003, FDR=0.01), with findings reproduced in the Department of Defense cohort for systemic ({beta}=0.7, 95% CI 0.0-1.4, P=0.04, FDR=0.34) and brain age (3.2 years, 95% CI 2.1-4.3, P<0.001, FDR<0.001). Proteomic age acceleration was evident prior to symptom onset [systemic: ({beta}=1.0, 95% CI 0.4-1.7, P=0.002, FDR=0.02); brain: ({beta}=2.4, 95% CI 1.2-3.7, P<0.001, FDR=0.002)], whereas no immune age acceleration was detected before or after onset. Higher systemic age gap was associated with greater global Age-Related Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score ({beta}=0.14, 95% CI 0.05-0.24, P=0.005, FDR=0.03) and slower walking speed ({beta}=0.02, 95% CI 0.01-0.03, P=0.006, FDR=0.04), while higher muscle age gap was associated with greater global Age-Related Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score ({beta}=0.17, 95% CI 0.10-0.24, P<0.001, FDR<0.001), poorer manual dexterity ({beta}=0.28, 95% CI 0.04-0.52, P=0.03, FDR=0.30), slower walking speed ({beta}=0.02, 95% CI 0.01-0.03, P=0.002, FDR=0.02), lower peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer ({beta}= -0.26, 95% CI -0.41 to -0.10, P=0.001, FDR=0.02) and ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer thicknesses ({beta}= -0.35; 95% CI -0.65 to -0.05; P=0.02, FDR=0.30). Higher brain age gap was associated with several imaging measures, including lower whole-brain ({beta}= -0.002, 95% CI -0.003 to -0.001, P=0.002, FDR=0.02), and lower peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer thickness ({beta}= -0.21, 95% CI -0.39 to -0.03, P=0.02, FDR=0.10). Proteomic age acceleration in multiple sclerosis is detectable years before symptom onset and distinct organ-specific aging signatures are associated with disease severity. Proteomic aging may provide a biologically informative marker of early disease processes and a clinically relevant readout of disease heterogeneity.

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A bibliometric review of explainable AI in diabetes risk prediction: Trends, gaps, and knowledge graph opportunities

Van, T. A.

2026-04-20 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351069 medRxiv
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BackgroundType 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a leading global public health challenge. Machine learning (ML) combined with Explainable AI (XAI) is increasingly applied to T2DM risk prediction, but the field lacks a quantitative overview of methodological trends and integration gaps. MethodsWe present a structured synthesis and critical analysis of the XAI literature on T2DM risk prediction, combining (i) quantitative bibliometric analysis of a two-database corpus (N = 2,048 documents from Scopus and PubMed/MEDLINE, deduplicated via a transparent three-tier pipeline) and (ii) an in-depth selective review of 15 highly cited papers. Reporting follows PRISMA 2020, adapted for metadata-based synthesis; analyses include keyword frequency, rule-based thematic clustering, and publication trend analysis. ResultsThe field grew rapidly, from 36 documents (2020) to 866 (2025). SHAP and LIME dominate XAI methods; XGBoost and Random Forest dominate ML models. Critically, KG/GNN terms appeared in only 17 documents ([~]0.83%) compared with 906 for XAI methods, a 53.3:1 disparity. This gap is consistent across both databases, which share 33.2% of their records, ruling out a single-database artifact. The selective review confirmed that none of the 15 highly cited papers combined all three components, ML, XAI, and KG, in T2DM risk prediction. ConclusionsThe XAI for T2DM risk prediction field exhibits a clinical interpretability gap: statistical explanations are rarely linked to structured clinical pathways. We propose a three-layer conceptual framework (Predictive [-&gt;] Explainability [-&gt;] Knowledge) that integrates KG as a supplementary semantic layer, with potential applications in clinical decision support and population-level screening. The framework does not perform true causal inference but structures explanations around established pathophysiological knowledge. This study contributes a transferable methodology and a quantified research gap to guide future work integrating ML, XAI, and structured medical knowledge.

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A confirmatory, dual-centric non-human primate study on the efficacy of novel oropharyngeal spray immunization with an adenoviral vector vaccine against RSV -- Important lessons learned

Tenbusch, M.; Koopman, G.; Mooij, P.; Roshani, B.; Irrgang, P.; Lapuente, D.; Kondova, I.; Bogers, W. M.; Remarque, E. J.; Vestweber, R.; Merida Ruiz, S. A.; Krüger, N.; Meyer, S.; Gefeller, O.; Stahl-Hennig, C.; Überla, K.

2026-04-20 immunology 10.64898/2026.04.16.718916 medRxiv
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In a confirmatory study, we evaluated the immunogenicity and protective efficacy of a heterologous prime-boost vaccination strategy against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in non-human primates. Building on prior evidence of protective mucosal immunity induced by intramuscular DNA priming followed by an oropharyngeal adenoviral boost, we conducted a randomized, blinded, dual-centre study across two European primate research facilities. Rhesus macaques received a codon-optimized RSV-F DNA vaccine via electroporation, followed by two mucosal administrations of a recombinant adenovirus serotype 5 vector encoding the same antigen. Control groups included animals vaccinated with irrelevant influenza antigens and a comparator group mimicking natural immunity induced by primary RSV infection. Systemic and mucosal immune responses, including RSV-F-specific antibodies and tissue-resident memory T cells, were monitored longitudinally. Here, we detected robust immune responses, but with some variability between the two centres. However, following experimental RSV challenge performed 22 weeks after the final immunization, RSV-vaccinated animals demonstrated markedly reduced viral replication in both upper and lower respiratory tracts. However, unexpected RSV-specific immunity in the control group at one single study site prevented confirmation of the predefined primary endpoint. Overall, these results support the potential of mucosal adenoviral boosting following DNA priming to induce protective immunity against RSV, while highlighting challenges associated with multi-centre preclinical vaccine studies.

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Composite endpoints to detect treatment effects on MS disability progression. Lessons from phase III trial data.

Bovis, F.; Montobbio, N.; Signori, A.; Kalincik, T.; Arnold, D. L.; Tintore, M.; Kappos, L.; Sormani, M. P.

2026-04-24 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351458 medRxiv
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Disability worsening is the critical long-term outcome in multiple sclerosis, yet the Expanded Disability Status Scale incompletely captures neurological deterioration and has limited sensitivity in the short time windows of clinical trials. Composite endpoints incorporating functional measures have been proposed to address these limitations, but whether they reliably improve detection of treatment effects has not been established across trials. We conducted a post-hoc analysis of individual patient data from ten phase III randomised controlled trials (ASCEND, BRAVO, CONFIRM, DEFINE, EXPAND, INFORMS, OLYMPUS, OPERA I/II, and ORATORIO; n = 9,369), spanning relapsing-remitting and progressive multiple sclerosis. Confirmed disability worsening was defined using harmonised criteria with the msprog package and confirmed at 24 weeks. Treatment effects were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models and combined across trials in a one-stage individual patient data framework. Composite endpoints were constructed from the Expanded Disability Status Scale, the timed 25-foot walk test, and the nine-hole peg test using logical unions (OR-type), intersections (AND-type), and majority-vote structures. Sensitivity to treatment effect was quantified using Z-scores (the ratio of the pooled log-hazard ratio to its standard error) and compared to the Expanded Disability Status Scale reference using interaction tests. Event rates varied across components: the timed walk test generated the highest rates (up to 46.8%) while the nine-hole peg test generated the lowest (as low as 2.1%). OR-type composite endpoints showed weaker treatment effects than the Expanded Disability Status Scale alone, with the largest reductions in sensitivity observed for endpoints incorporating the timed walk test ({Delta}Z up to +2.26; interaction p = 0.004). These findings were confirmed across disease subtypes and were pronounced in relapsing-remitting trials, where no composite endpoint outperformed the Expanded Disability Status Scale. In progressive multiple sclerosis, the combination of the Expanded Disability Status Scale and the nine-hole peg test showed numerically stronger treatment effects ({Delta}Z = -1.65), though interaction tests did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.051). Composite endpoints do not systematically improve treatment effect detection in multiple sclerosis trials. Increased event capture driven by the timed walk test introduces noise that dilutes the treatment signal rather than amplifying it, highlighting that event rate and endpoint quality are not interchangeable. Upper limb function assessed by the nine-hole peg test provides complementary and specific information, particularly in progressive disease. The combination of global disability and upper limb measures represents a promising direction for future endpoint development in progressive multiple sclerosis trials, warranting validation.

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A Multi-Omics Computational Pipeline for Systematic Discovery of Retired Self-Antigens as Cancer Vaccine Targets

Wang, V.; Deng, S.; Aguilar, R.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351288 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe retired antigen hypothesis, introduced by Tuohy and colleagues, proposes that tissue-specific proteins expressed conditionally during early life or reproductive stages, then silenced in normal aging tissue, represent safe and effective cancer vaccine targets when re-expressed in tumors. To date, discovery of retired antigens has relied entirely on hypothesis-driven wet lab work, limiting throughput. MethodsHere we present RADAR (Retired Antigen Discovery and Ranking), a multi-omics computational pipeline implemented on a standard server that systematically identifies retired antigen candidates. RADAR comprises four core discovery layers integrating: 1) The Genotype-Tissue Expression Portal (GTEx) normal tissue expression, 2) TCGA tumor re-expression, 3) DNA methylation, and 4) miRNA regulatory networks, each applied sequentially to identify genes exhibiting the epigenetic and post-transcriptional hallmarks of tissue-specific retirement followed by tumor re-activation. Candidate characterization is further supported by three automated modules: 1) protein-level safety screening via the Human Protein Atlas, 2) molecular subtype enrichment analysis, and 3) cross-cancer confirmation, which execute automatically when the relevant data are available for the selected cancer type. ResultsThe pipeline independently validated known targets including alpha-lactalbumin (LALBA, the basis of the Tuohy Phase 1 triple-negative breast cancer vaccine trial) and anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH), consistent with Tuohys ovarian cancer vaccine program targeting AMHR2, and rediscovered multiple known cancer-testis antigens (MAGEA1, MAGEC1, SSX1) as positive controls. Among 4,664 initial candidates derived from GTEx, the pipeline identified 20 high-confidence retired antigen candidates passing all filters. DCAF4L2, COX7B2, TEX19, and CT83 emerge as the highest-priority novel candidates for experimental validation, demonstrating zero expression in critical somatic organs, strong epigenetic silencing, and significant re-expression across multiple cancer types. ConclusionRADAR provides the first systematic computational framework for retired antigen discovery, offering a reproducible and scalable approach to expanding the cancer immunoprevention pipeline beyond individually characterized targets. The pipeline is fully reproducible, requires no specialized hardware, and is immediately extensible to additional TCGA cancer types.

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Generalizing intensive care AI across time scales in resource-limited settings

Devadiga, A.; Singh, P.; Sankar, J.; Lodha, R.; Sethi, T.

2026-04-24 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351588 medRxiv
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Temporal resolution of physiological monitoring in intensive care varies widely across healthcare systems. Artificial intelligence models assume a uniform and fixed frequency of sampling, thus limiting the generalizability of models, especially to resource-limited settings. Here, we propose a novel resolution-transfer task for physiological time series and ask whether models trained on high-resolution data can generalize to a low data-density setting without the need to retrain them. SafeICU, a novel longitudinal pediatric intensive care dataset spanning ten years from a tertiary care hospital in India, was used to test this hypothesis. Self-supervised transformer models were trained on 144,271 patient-hours of high-resolution physiological signals from 984 pediatric ICU stays to learn representations of heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, and arterial blood pressure. Transfer of this model to low-resolution data established robust performance in clinically relevant lower-frequency intervals, consistently outperforming models trained directly at coarser resolutions. Further, these representations generalized across patient populations, maintaining performance when evaluated on adult intensive care cohorts from the MIMIC-III and eICU databases without retraining. In a downstream task of early shock prediction, models achieved strong discrimination in the pediatric cohort (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.87; area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) 0.92) and retained stable performance across monitoring intervals from 10 to 60 minutes (AUROC 0.78-0.88). Together, these results demonstrate that physiological representations learned from high-resolution data enable time-scale-robust and transferable AI for intensive care. The publicly released SafeICU dataset, comprising longitudinal vital signs, laboratory measurements, treatment records, microbiology, and admission and discharge, provides a foundation for developing and deploying generalizable clinical AI in resource-limited settings.

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Hemagglutination inhibition and alternate serologic responses following Influenza A(H3N2) virus infection

Chen, B.; Zambrana, J. V.; Shotwell, A.; Sanchez, N.; Plazaola, M.; Ojeda, S.; Lopez, R.; Stadlbauer, D.; Kuan, G.; Balmaseda, A.; Krammer, F.; Gordon, A.

2026-04-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351404 medRxiv
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Background: Although the hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) titer remains the gold standard correlate of protection against influenza, it does not fully capture the broader antibody responses that contribute to immunity. Methods: We analyzed immune responses in paired pre-infection and convalescent sera from 306 RT-PCR-confirmed A/H3N2 infections from two household studies (2014-18) in Managua, Nicaragua. Antibody responses were measured by HAI and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) against full-length hemagglutinin (HA), the HA stalk, and neuraminidase (NA). Participants were classified as HAI responders ([&ge;]4-fold HAI rise), alternate responders (no HAI rise but [&ge;]4-fold boost in [&ge;]1 ELISA), or no-response individuals (no [&ge;]4-fold rise in any assay). We compared demographic, clinical, and pre-infection antibody characteristics across these groups. We also analyzed predictors of an NA response. Results: Overall, 77% of participants had HAI seroconversion or a 4-fold rise. Among the 23% HAI non-responders, 62% had alternate antibody responses. No-response individuals had the highest pre-infection HAI and full-length HA titers (p < 0.0001), the lowest viral loads, and the fewest fever or influenza like illness (ILI) symptoms (p < 0.01). An NA response was more common among symptomatic individuals (p = 0.0483) and those with low or high baseline NA titers. Conclusions: High baseline HAI titers can limit detectable 4-fold rises and are associated with milder illness. Evaluating additional immune responses may capture a more complete picture of the host response to infection, thereby improving surveillance and informing vaccine development. Keywords: Influenza A/H3N2; Hemagglutination inhibition (HAI); Neuraminidase antibodies; symptomatic vs asymptomatic infection; correlates of protection.

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Accessible and Reproducible Renal Cell Carcinoma Research Through Open-Sourcing Data and Annotations

de Boer, S.; Häntze, H.; Ziegelmayer, S.; van Ginneken, B.; Prokop, M.; Bressem, K. K.; Hering, A.

2026-04-23 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351451 medRxiv
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Background: Medical imaging, especially computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging, is essential in clinical care of patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Artificial intelligence (AI) research into computer-aided diagnosis, staging and treatment planning needs curated and annotated datasets. Across literature, The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets are widely used for model training and validation. However, re-annotation is often necessary due to limited access to public annotations, raising entry barriers and hindering comparison with prior work. Methods: We screened 1915 CT scans from three TCGA-RCC databases and employed a segmentation model to annotate kidney lesion. After a meta-data-based exclusion step, we hosted a reader study with all papillary (n=56), chromophobe (n=27) and 200 randomly selected clear cell RCC cases. Two students quality checked and corrected the data as well as annotated tumors and cysts. Uncertain cases were checked by a board-certified radiologist. Results: After data exclusion and quality control a total of 142 annotated CT scans from 101 patients (26 female, 75 male, mean age 56 years) remained. This includes 95 CTs with clear cell RCC, 29 with papillary RCC and 18 with chromophobe RCC. Images and voxel-level annotations of kidneys and lesions are open sourced at https://zenodo.org/records/19630298. Conclusion: By making the annotations open-source, we encourage accessible and reproducible AI research for renal cell carcinoma. We invite other researchers who have previously annotated any of these cohorts to share their annotations.