eBioMedicine

Cardiac surgery patients experience rapidly evolving hemodynamics in early post-operative period requiring intensive support. Identifying hemodynamic subphenotypes from these data can inform personalized management. Using 24-hour high-resolution physiologic and treatment data from 6,630 MIMIC-IV and 1,963 SICdb patients, we trained a transformer encoder with a reconstruction-contrastive objective to derive patient-level embeddings capturing multivariate temporal dynamics within first 24h of ICU stay and compared them against those generated by dynamic time warping (DTW). Spectral clustering uncovered three reproducible hemodynamic subphenotypes. Compared with subphenotype 1, subphenotype 3 received more IV fluids, vasopressors, inotropes, and exhibited higher in-hospital mortality (OR 5.85, 95 % CI 2.43-14.13), longer ICU stay (7.12 days, 95% CI: 5.52-8.73) and hospitalization (8.86 days, 95% CI: 6.57-11.16). DTW derived subphenotypes had weaker prognostic separation. Thus, contrastive-transformer framework identified more clinically meaningful temporal hemodynamic subphenotypes that may optimize post-operative risk stratification and inform personalized management.

Background: The gluteus maximus (GM) is a major hip extensor essential for mobility and metabolic health. Most MRI studies rely on global measures, such as muscle volume or fat fraction, which can overlook spatially localised remodelling. Here, we integrate conventional volumetric and fat fraction metrics with 3D mesh-based shape phenotypes to provide a spatially resolved characterisation of GM morphology in relation to anthropometric, lifestyle, and cardiometabolic factors, with a focus on type 2 diabetes (T2D) and sex-specific effects. Methods: We analysed T1 Dixon MRI from UK Biobank participants to quantify GM muscle volume, fat fraction, and regional surface morphology using 3D meshes. Statistical parametric mapping was used to assess regional associations with anthropometric, lifestyle, and clinical variables Bi-directional causal mediation analyses were performed using GM volumetric and principal components (PCs) of shape variation. PCs were also tested for associations with prevalent and incident disease. Longitudinal changes in GM composition were evaluated in participants with repeated imaging evaluations. Results: GM muscle volume and fat fraction were strongly associated with age, adiposity, and physical activity. Shape analysis revealed spatially localised remodelling patterns not captured by global measures, with region-specific surface shrinkage linked to age, BMI, alcohol intake, grip strength, physical activity, frailty, osteoporosis, and cardiometabolic disease. T2D showed marked sex-differences, with regional shrinkage in men and relative expansion in women. PCA reduced high-dimensional shape variation into interpretable components. Mediation analyses indicated that T2D-related differences in GM morphology partly mediated increases in fat fraction, suggesting that disease effects manifest through spatially patterned shape changes rather than overall muscle size. PCs capturing variations in the central-upper posterior and anterior GM, differentiated between T2D cases from controls, and were associated with incident T2D risk (Men: PC6 HR per SD: 0.81 [0.70-0.95], false discovery rate (FDR)-adjusted p = 0.038, in left GM; 0.76 [0.65-0.88], p = 0.002, in right GM; women; PC5 HR = 1.32, [1.08-1.61], p = 0.032, in right GM). Conclusions: Integrated 3D quantification of GM composition and morphology provides spatially resolved biomarkers that go beyond muscle volume and fat fraction. By capturing region-specific GM remodelling, linked to anthropometric, lifestyle and cardiometabolic factors, this approach offers a more nuanced characterisation of muscle-fat phenotypes and enhances mechanistic insight and risk stratification in population-based imaging studies.

Lipoprotein composition is altered in sepsis, and supplementation with high-density lipoproteins has been reported to improve outcomes in experimental settings. In this study, we aimed to investigate the nature and inter-individual variability in the lipoprotein proteome to inform risk stratification and opportunities for precision medicine approaches. In a large proteomic dataset including 1134 patients (1781 samples) with sepsis and 149 healthy volunteers, we analysed 18 protein components of lipoproteins. We characterise heterogeneity of the lipoprotein proteome, defining three step-wise sub-phenotypes associated with increasing disease severity, one close to health, then an early phase patient group showing increased abundance of proteins that integrate HDL under inflammatory conditions (SAA1 and SAA2), then a group with decreased abundance of proteins that are components of HDL under healthy conditions that was associated with higher organ failure intensity (SOFA score) and increased mortality. We developed and externally validated a quantitative score reflective of lipoproteins alterations in sepsis, and machine learning predictive models to predict the LP class, advancing future individualised lipoproteins-based therapeutics in sepsis.

Stressful life events impact individual's functionality and contribute to disease outcomes, yet the biological pathways underlying life stress remain unclear. We characterized the metabolomic profiles of stressful life events using data from 3,264 participants (5,163 observations) of the Dutch NESDA cohort. 98 metabolites were identified, with upregulated metabolites overrepresented in phosphatidylethanolamine and downregulated metabolites overrepresented in fatty acid metabolism. 92 of these metabolites were available in the Dutch NEO cohort (N=599): 11 were significantly replicated including six lipids (e.g., three bile acids (glycochenodeoxycholate 3-sulfate)), one carbohydrate, and one xenobiotic. 21 overlapping metabolites were additionally available in the Chinese GBCS cohort (N=200): 10-undecenoate (11:1n1) (fatty acid) and glycochenodeoxycholate 3-sulfate (bile acid) showed consistent associations across both Dutch and Chinese cohorts. Stressful life events are associated with metabolic dysregulation, particularly involving fatty acid and bile acid pathways, highlighting promising biological targets to reduce the impact of stress on mental and somatic health.

Background Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is characterised by substantial physiological heterogeneity, which contribute to a very variable clinical outcomes and therefore inconsistent responses to ventilatory strategies. We aimed to externally validate physiological ARDS subphenotypes previously identified using routine ventilatory and gas-exchange variables, assess their prognostic relevance across independent cohorts, and examine heterogeneity of treatment effect according to PEEP strategy. Methods Unsupervised Gaussian Mixture Modelling was used to identify physiological subphenotypes based on ventilatory mechanics and gas-exchange parameters. Labels were subsequently used to train and validate supervised classifiers using XGBoost. Prognostic relevance was assessed across three independent cohorts, including two randomised controlled trials (ALVEOLI and LOVS). Predictive enrichment for PEEP strategy was evaluated using individual patient data from ALVEOLI and LOVS (n = 1,532) using intention-to-treat analyses, applying both one-stage and two-stage fixed-effects IPD meta-analytic approaches to test for interaction between physiological subphenotype and PEEP strategy. Results Two distinct physiological subphenotypes, termed Efficient and Restrictive, were replicated across independent cohorts. Across each cohort, patients classified as Restrictive consistently exhibited higher all-cause 28-day mortality compared to Efficient patients. When pooled across studies, the Restrictive subphenotype was associated with a significantly increased risk of death (pooled odds ratio 1.75, 95% CI 1.36-2.24), with no evidence of between-study heterogeneity. Predictive analyses showed a statistically significant interaction between physiological subphenotype and PEEP strategy in the one-stage IPD model (p for interaction = 0.037), with concordant findings in the two-stage fixed-effects IPD meta-analysis (interaction OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.00-3.66; I2 = 0%). Higher PEEP was associated with increased mortality in Efficient patients and reduced mortality in Restrictive patients, indicating effect modification by physiological subphenotype. Interpretation Physiological ARDS subphenotypes derived from routinely collected bedside data provide robust and externally validated prognostic stratification across observational and randomised trial cohorts. The observed interaction with PEEP strategy suggests that underlying physiological profiles may influence treatment response, supporting the concept that physiology-based be a starting point for personalized medicine and therefore better ventilatory strategies in future clinical trials.

Background: Host genetics alone explains limited susceptibility to tuberculosis (TB), particularly in people with HIV (PWH). Protein quantitative trait loci (pQTLs), genetic variants that regulate plasma protein levels, may bridge genetic and immunological mechanisms underlying TB progression. Methods: We conducted cis-pQTL mapping in 60 PWH who progressed to active TB and 194 matched controls from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study. Plasma proteomes were quantified via high-resolution mass spectrometry (dia-PASEF), and genotype-protein associations were analyzed separately in TB and control groups. Results: TB progressors harbored 26 cis-pQTLs linked to 12 proteins uniquely enriched in immune pathways (antigen presentation, complement activation, phagocytosis, and T-cell regulation). Controls showed 107 cis-pQTLs linked to 14 targets. Gene Ontology enrichment revealed 46 immune biological processes in TB versus only 1 in controls, with HLA-C, C4B, and CHIT1 as key TB-specific proteins. Conclusions: Integrating proteomics with genomics suggests differential regulation of immune proteins associated with TB progression in PWH. hese genetically anchored protein candidates support follow-up studies and future biomarker evaluation for TB risk prediction.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a progressive metabolic disorder characterized by persistent hyperglycemia, insulin resistance, and chronic low-grade inflammation. Despite the widespread use of established therapies such as metformin, long-term glycemic control remains suboptimal, and disease progression is often not adequately prevented. This highlights the need for novel therapeutic strategies that address both metabolic dysfunction and the underlying immunometabolic components of the disease. In this study, GLX10 (GLXM100) was evaluated as a novel immune modulator in a high-fat diet (HFD) and low-dose streptozotocin (STZ)-induced rat model of T2DM over a 91-day period. Glycemic outcomes were assessed using terminal random blood glucose and oral glucose tolerance testing (OGTT), with glucose exposure quantified by area under the curve (AUC 0-120). Complementary in vitro investigations were performed in hepatic and macrophage cell models to assess cytocompatibility, nitric oxide production, and modulation of pro-inflammatory cytokines, including IL-6 and TNF-. GLX10 treatment resulted in a significant reduction in random blood glucose levels and a marked improvement in glucose tolerance compared to diabetic control animals. Importantly, GLX10 demonstrated greater improvement in OGTT AUC compared to metformin under the same experimental conditions, indicating enhanced dynamic glucose regulation. In vitro, GLX10 maintained viability in normal hepatic cells while significantly suppressing nitric oxide production and inflammatory cytokine outputs in macrophages, supporting a favorable safety and immune profile. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that GLX10 exerts robust antidiabetic activity through a dual mechanism involving metabolic regulation and suppression of inflammatory signaling. The integration of in vivo efficacy with supportive in vitro safety and mechanistic data provides a strong preclinical foundation and supports the further development of GLX10 as a promising therapeutic candidate for T2DM.

BackgroundDrug responses in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) vary sharply across in vitro culture formats, but most 2D-3D comparisons conflate microenvironmental cues with time-dependent cellular adaptation. As a result, conventional assays frequently overestimate drug efficacy and poorly reflect clinical pharmacology. Main findingsWe profiled MiaPaCa-2, PANC-1, and CFPAC-1 grown in an extracellular-matrix (ECM) hydrogel for 1-12 days, defining extended 3D cultures ([&ge;]10 days) as mature tumoroids, and quantified 72 h drug responses to a multi-class oncology panel using growth-rate (GR) metrics to normalize for proliferation across formats and durations. Prolonged 3D pre-culture induced broad tolerance, with typical 10-100x reductions in sensitivity to standards of care (5-fluorouracil, SN38, oxaliplatin, gemcitabine, paclitaxel), following a reproducible susceptibility hierarchy (MiaPaCa-2 > PANC-1 > CFPAC-1) after GR correction. In mature tumoroids, GR values closely approximated clinically observed plasma exposures (e.g., within <4x for 5-FU and <0.5x for gemcitabine), whereas 2D and short-term organoid assays markedly underestimated resistance, often by >100x, thereby overstating drug activity. Notably, CFPAC-1 exhibited increased sensitivity to SN38 and trametinib under mature-organoid conditions, demonstrating that microenvironmental conditioning can invert responses for selected mechanisms. Transcriptomic profiling revealed coordinated up-regulation of multiple ABC transporters with extended 3D residence, tracking resistance phenotypes across lines and implicating transporter-linked tolerance programs. SignificanceTogether, these data identify time-in-3D and the emergence of mature tumoroids as dominant, previously under-controlled determinants of PDAC pharmacology that both induce tolerance and unmask context-dependent vulnerabilities. We propose incorporating both short-term and mature-tumoroid screening arms into preclinical workflows, reporting pre-culture duration alongside GR-normalized effect sizes, and leveraging transporter-informed biomarkers to guide regimen prioritization and sequencing. This framework enhances physiological relevance, reproducibility, and translational fidelity in PDAC drug discovery.

Predicting response to induction chemotherapy (IC) and overall survival (OS) is critical for optimizing treatment in patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). This study aimed to develop and validate a multi-task deep learning model integrating pretreatment MRI and whole slide images (WSIs) to predict IC response and OS in LANPC. Pretreatment MRI and WSIs from 404 patients with LANPC were retrospectively collected to construct a multi-task model (MoEMIL) for the simultaneous prediction of early IC response and OS. MoEMIL employed multi-instance learning to process WSIs, PyRadiomics and a convolutional neural network (ResNet50) to extract MRI features, and fused multimodal features through a multi-gate mixture-of-experts architecture. Clustering-constrained attention multiple instance learning and gradient-weighted class activation mapping were applied for visualization and interpretation. MoEMIL effectively stratified patients into good and poor IC response groups, achieving areas under the curve of 0.917, 0.869, and 0.801 in the train, validation, and test sets, respectively, and outperformed the deep learning radiomics model, the pathomics model and TNM staging. The model also stratified patients into high- and low-risk OS groups (P < 0.05). MoEMIL shows promise as a decision-support tool for early IC response prediction and prognostication in LANPC. Author SummaryWe have developed a deep learning model that integrates two types of medical images, including magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and digital pathological slices, to simultaneously predict response to induction chemotherapy and prognosis in patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Current treatment decisions primarily rely on traditional tumor staging (TNM), which often fails to comprehensively reflect the complexity of the disease. Our model, named MoEMIL, was trained and tested on data from 404 patients across two hospitals and consistently outperformed both single-model approaches and TNM staging methods. By identifying patients who exhibit poor response to induction chemotherapy or higher prognostic risk, our tool can assist clinicians in achieving personalized treatment, enabling intensified management for high-risk patients and avoiding unnecessary side effects for low-risk patients. Additionally, we visualize the models reasoning process through heat map generation, which highlights the image regions exerting the greatest influence on prediction outcomes. This work represents a step toward more precise treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma; however, larger-scale prospective studies are required before the model can be integrated into routine clinical practice.

Multimodal learning has the potential to improve clinical prediction by integrating complementary data sources, but the incremental value of imaging beyond structured electronic health record (EHR) data remains unclear in real-world settings. We developed a multimodal survival modeling framework integrating optical coherence tomography (OCT) and EHR data to predict time to visual improvement in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME), and evaluated how different ophthalmic foundation model representations contribute to prognostic performance. In a retrospective cohort of 973 patients (1,450 eyes) receiving anti-vascular endothelial growth factor therapy, we compared multimodal models combining 22,227 EHR variables with 196,402 OCT images, with OCT embeddings derived from three ophthalmic foundation models (RETFound, EyeCLIP, and VisionFM). The EHR-only model showed minimal prognostic discrimination (C-index 0.50 [95% CI, 0.45-0.55]). Incorporating OCT improved performance, with the magnitude of improvement depending on the representation. EHR+RETFound achieved the strongest performance (C-index 0.59 [0.54-0.65]), followed by EHR+EyeCLIP (0.57 [0.52-0.62]) and EHR+VisionFM (0.56 [0.51-0.61]). Multimodal models, particularly EHR+RETFound, demonstrated improved risk stratification with clearer separation of Kaplan-Meier curves. Partial information decomposition revealed that prognostic information was dominated by modality-specific contributions, with OCT and EHR providing largely distinct signals and minimal shared information. The magnitude of OCT-specific contribution varied across foundation models and aligned with observed performance differences. These findings indicate that OCT provides complementary prognostic value beyond structured clinical data, but gains are modest and depend strongly on representation choice. Our results highlight both the promise of multimodal modeling for personalized prognosis and the need for rigorous, context-specific evaluation of foundation models in real-world clinical settings.

Persistent detection of high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) is required for cervical carcinogenesis, yet the metabolic phenotype associated with distinct HPV transition states remains incompletely defined. We analyzed vaginal metabolomics data from 71 HIV-negative, non-smoking, premenopausal women without other sexually transmitted infections, grouped by three-visit HPV trajectories: persistent negative (NNN, n=20), late incident positivity (NNP, n=9), conversion with persistence (NPP, n=13), clearance after prior positivity (PPN, n=16), and persistent positive (PPP, n=13). After detection-based filtering, 186 putative and 64 quantitatively estimated metabolites were retained for integrated univariate, multivariate, network, pathway, and machine learning analyses. Global class separation was weak by PERMANOVA and by five-class classification, indicating that the vaginal metabolome does not reorganize broadly across all HPV states. In contrast, trajectory-specific signals were reproducible. The strongest pairwise contrast was NNP versus PPP (best cross-validated ROC AUC 0.778; permutation p=0.039). Glycolic acid was the dominant single metabolite, particularly for NNP versus PPP (Mann-Whitney p=6.96x10^-4, FDR=0.0446, AUROC=0.902; detection 88.9% versus 15.4%; combined abundance+detection FDR=0.0010). Persistent positivity was characterized by a focused uracil-high, methyl-donor/redox-low signature, including lower glycolic acid, S-adenosylmethionine, NAD+, and betaine, together with higher uracil. Ratio mining further sharpened discrimination, with uracil/S-adenosylmethionine and uracil/creatinine among the best PPP classifiers, and glucose 1-phosphate/isovaleric acid-valeric acid strongly separating NNP from NPP. These data support a model in which HPV trajectory is encoded by targeted metabolic states rather than a diffuse HPV-positive versus HPV-negative metabolomic shift.

Background and Aims: Alterations in immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation are implicated in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the robustness of IgG glycan signatures across IBD cohorts with diverse demographics and geographic origins remains underexplored. We aimed to determine whether compositional data analysis (CoDA) and machine learning (ML) can identify IBD-related IgG N-glycan signatures and whether these signatures capture disease-associated acceleration of biological aging. Methods: We analyzed the IgG glycome profiles of 1,367 plasma samples collected from healthy controls (HC), symptomatic controls (SC), and people with newly diagnosed Crohn's (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) across four cohorts (UK, Italy, United States, and Netherlands). IgG glycosylation was analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography, yielding 24 total-area-normalized glycan peaks (GPs). Analyses were performed using cross-sectional data obtained at baseline. CoDA-powered association analyses were used to identify disease-related effects on GPs while controlling for demographic covariates. ML models were trained and evaluated to assess generalizability to unseen cohorts and demographic subgroups, with a focus on discrimination and reliability. Results: Across all cohorts, people with IBD demonstrated accelerated biological aging as quantified by the GlycanAge index. This was accompanied by consistent reductions in IgG galactosylation, with effects partially modulated by age. Classification models trained on glycomics and demographics achieved robust discrimination (AUROC~0.80) between non-IBD (HC+SC) and IBD across cohorts. Conclusion: These findings reveal accelerated biological aging in people with IBD and support the translational potential of IgG glycans as biomarkers and a novel route toward clinically interpretable personalized risk estimates.

Purpose: To evaluate whether chest radiograph-derived age acceleration is associated with incident lung cancer and whether it improves discrimination beyond established lung cancer risk factors. Materials and Methods: This retrospective analysis used prospectively collected data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Baseline digitized chest radiographs from the initial screening year were analyzed using a previously validated deep learning model that estimates chest radiograph-derived age (Xp-age). Age acceleration (AgeAccel) was defined as the residual of Xp-age after calibration to chronological age using a regression model from the development dataset. A 1-year landmark design excluded participants diagnosed with lung cancer or censored within 1 year of baseline. Associations with incident lung cancer were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models adjusted for prespecified demographic and clinical predictors, including smoking variables used in the PLCOm2012 risk prediction model. Discrimination was evaluated using the concordance index and 6-year time-dependent area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve. Results: The analytic cohort included 23,213 participants (mean age, 62.5 years); 790 developed incident lung cancer after the landmark (mean follow-up, 16.7 years). Higher AgeAccel was associated with increased lung cancer incidence (hazard ratio, 1.10 per 1-SD increase; 95% confidence interval: 1.03- 1.17); however, addition of AgeAccel to an established risk factor model resulted in minimal change in discrimination (C-index, 0.840 vs. 0.839; time-dependent AUC at 6 years, 0.852 vs. 0.852). Attribution maps emphasized the aortic arch/mediastinal region with similar spatial patterns across smoking and lung cancer strata. Conclusion: Chest radiograph-derived age acceleration was independently associated with future lung cancer incidence.

Normal pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) is a potentially reversible neurological disorder characterized by urinary incontinence, gait impairment, and cognitive decline. However, postoperative improvement after shunt placement is variable, and reliable preoperative predictors are lacking, leaving patients exposed to uncertain surgical benefit and procedural risk. We therefore asked whether preoperative cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) metabolic profiles capture biological states associated with recovery potential. We analyzed ventricular CSF from patients undergoing shunt placement and identified metabolic patterns that differed between patients who improved postoperatively and those who did not. These signatures were detectable prior to intervention and were consistent across analytical approaches and patient cohorts. Multivariate models based on metabolite features were associated with postoperative improvement, with strongest performance observed for cognitive outcomes. Pathway-level analyses indicated coordinated alterations in processes related to redox balance, immune-metabolic signaling, and energy substrate utilization. These findings indicate that preoperative CSF metabolite profiles reflect biological states associated with recovery potential in NPH. The results further suggest that metabolic and immune-metabolic processes contribute to variability in surgical responsiveness and support the development of predictive biomarkers for patient stratification.

Sepsis is a leading cause of in-hospital mortality, yet systematically evaluating temporal adherence to the Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) bundle across large patient populations remains difficult due to semantic variability in electronic health records and the loss of clinical nuance inherent in binary pass/fail compliance judgments. We present an expert-guided neuro-symbolic pipeline that pairs LLM-based semantic normalization with a Sugeno fuzzy inference system encoding eight SSC bundle rules, producing graded per-episode compliance scores whose clinical decision boundaries are set through domain expert consultation. Applied to 2,438 sepsis episodes from MIMIC-IV v3.1, the dual-classifier normalization layer achieves substantial inter-system agreement with high embedding-based confirmation, resolving hundreds of clinically relevant drug strings that purely symbolic systems miss. The graded framework reveals that Hour-1 bundle failures, particularly antibiotic timing, are the dominant driver of low overall compliance, and that higher bundle adherence is associated with notably shorter ICU stays, with antibiotic delays beyond six hours increasing median stays by 61%. These results demonstrate that neuro-symbolic graded assessment can surface actionable compliance patterns that binary evaluation frameworks cannot capture.

Hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) is a neonatal brain injury in which a definitive diagnosis within the first 6 hours of life is essential for initiating therapeutic hypothermia and improving neurological outcomes. However, early clinical evaluation and currently available biomarkers lack quantitative specificity during this narrow therapeutic window. We are providing insights into how rapid disturbances in systemic metabolites that regulate cerebral energy metabolism, neurotransmitter cycling, redox balance, and membrane integrity generate a definitive biochemical signature of HIE immediately after birth. We performed quantitative blood-based 1H NMR metabolomics on collected blood samples within [~]1 hour of birth from 81 neonates (HIE, n = 42; non-HIE, n = 39), under optimized handling conditions to preserve metabolic integrity. Metabolite analysis revealed a distinct HIE-associated profile characterized by elevated lactate, alanine, succinate, glutamate, taurine, glycine, choline, and pyroglutamate, alongside significant depletion of glucose and glutamine compared with non-HIE controls (p < 0.05). These coordinated metabolic shifts reflect impaired mitochondrial respiration, enhanced anaerobic glycolysis, excitotoxic amino acid accumulation, altered membrane phospholipid turnover, and oxidative stress. Multivariate analysis demonstrated clear separation between groups (PLS-DA accuracy = 0.83, R{superscript 2}Y = 0.46, Q{superscript 2} = 0.82), with glutamine, lactate, glutamate, and pyroglutamate as key discriminators. Pathway enrichment highlighted perturbations in glycolysis, the glucose-alanine cycle, glutamate-glutamine metabolism, Warburg effect like metabolic reprogramming, and redox homeostasis. Integration into supervised machine-learning models (Random Forest, XGBoost, SVM, KNN) achieved strong diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.97 {+/-} 0.03; sensitivity {approx} 87%). Collectively, this minimally invasive NMR-to-machine-learning framework enables early, mechanistically grounded risk stratification of neonatal HIE within the therapeutic window.

Background: The Therapeutic Distance framework (Paper 1) achieved AUC 0.61 for orbit-based mortality prediction in 11,627 sepsis patients. We hypothesised that incorporating state-dependent parameter relevance would substantially improve prediction. Methods: We extended the framework to 84,176 ICU patients from MIMIC-IV v3.1 across 16 clinical syndromes. Validation included full-population leave-one-out (n=59,362), head-to-head comparison against SAPS-II and logistic regression on 34,467 matched patients with bootstrap confidence intervals, temporal validation, outcome permutation, sensitivity analysis, and calibration assessment. Results: Full-population leave-one-out achieved AUC 0.832 (n=59,362). On 34,467 matched patients, Therapeutic Distance (AUC 0.841) significantly outperformed both SAPS-II (0.786; delta=+0.055, 95% CI +0.048 to +0.061, p<0.001) and logistic regression (0.788). Temporal validation showed stable performance (delta=-0.006). Outcome permutation confirmed genuine signal (AUC 0.859 to 0.498 with shuffled mortality). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated near-zero variation (delta 0.0006-0.003). The framework performed well for 8 of 16 syndromes (AUC >0.70) and failed for DKA and post-cardiac surgery (AUC <0.40). Conclusions: Therapeutic Distance provides therapy-specific risk stratification that exceeds both established severity scores and standard machine learning while remaining robust to hyperparameter choices, temporal drift, and outcome permutation.

BackgroundCoronavirus outbreaks remain a persistent threat to global health, and vaccines based primarily on spike-specific immune responses are susceptible to antigenic variation. T-cell immunity directed against conserved internal viral proteins may provide a complementary and more variant-tolerant strategy for next-generation coronavirus vaccines. MethodsWe combined machine learning-guided antigen prioritization with ex vivo functional immunological validation to identify conserved non-spike T-cell targets across betacoronaviruses. Candidate sequences were screened for immunogenicity using primary human peripheral blood mononuclear cells from healthy donors using intracellular cytokine staining and activation-induced marker assays. Top-ranked conserved regions were incorporated into multiepitope mRNA constructs, and their intracellular expression and HLA class I presentation were confirmed by immunopeptidomics. Immunogenicity was further evaluated ex vivo and in vivo using mRNA immunization of mice and T-cell FluoroSpot assays. FindingsAcross a panel of 97 peptides derived from 19 viral proteins, evolutionary conservation across distinct betacoronavirus taxa was strongly associated with functional T-cell immunogenicity in human donors. Highly conserved peptides elicited significantly stronger and more frequent CD4 and CD8 T-cell responses than taxon-restricted peptides. Multiepitope mRNA constructs encoding conserved regions were efficiently expressed and presented on HLA class I molecules and induced T-cell responses in human PBMCs. In mice, mRNA immunization with conserved multiepitope constructs generated robust interferon-{gamma}- and interleukin-2-producing T-cell responses that exceeded those induced by unconserved control constructs. InterpretationThese results link evolutionary conservation to functional cellular immunogenicity and demonstrate the feasibility of multiepitope mRNA delivery for inducing conserved coronavirus-directed T-cell responses. Although protective efficacy remains to be established, conservation-guided antigen selection represents a scalable strategy for developing T-cell-focused vaccines with broad lineage coverage, supporting pandemic preparedness beyond spike-centered immunity. FundingThe research was supported by CEPI, NEC, University of Oslo and Oslo university hospital. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSPrior coronavirus vaccine development has focused predominantly on spike protein-directed neutralizing antibodies. While highly effective against matched strains, spike-centered immunity is vulnerable to antigenic drift and lineage-specific escape. Multiple observational and experimental studies have shown that T-cell responses, particularly against internal viral proteins, are more conserved and correlate with reduced disease severity and cross-variant recognition. Epitope prediction algorithms and immunoinformatics approaches have been widely used to nominate candidate T-cell targets; however, systematic functional validation of conserved non-spike antigens across betacoronaviruses in primary human immune systems, combined with antigen presentation data and in vivo vaccine testing, has remained limited. Searches of PubMed and bioRxiv up to December 2025 using terms including "coronavirus T-cell vaccine," "conserved coronavirus epitopes," "betacoronavirus cross-reactive T cells," and "mRNA T-cell vaccine" identified studies demonstrating cross-reactive T-cell immunity and computational epitope selection, but few integrated machine-learning-guided antigen prioritization with ex vivo human functional screening, immunopeptidomics, and in vivo mRNA immunization in a unified workflow. Added value of this studyThis study provides an integrated experimental and computational framework for identifying and validating conserved non-spike T-cell antigens across betacoronaviruses. We functionally screened a panel of candidate peptides derived from multiple viral proteins and demonstrated that evolutionary conservation across species is strongly associated with T-cell immunogenicity. We further demonstrate that multiepitope mRNA constructs encoding these top-ranked conserved regions can be intracellularly expressed, presented on HLA class I molecules to induce polyfunctional T-cell responses in primary human PBMCs. Finally, in vivo mRNA immunization in mice induces robust interferon-{gamma} and interleukin-2 T-cell responses exceeding those induced by unconserved control constructs. Together, these findings link evolutionary conservation to functional cellular immunogenicity and extend beyond in silico prediction by demonstrating antigen processing, presentation, and immunogenicity across human and murine systems. Implications of all the available evidenceCollectively, the available evidence indicates that T-cell immunity directed toward conserved internal coronavirus proteins represents a complementary and potentially more variant-tolerant axis of vaccine design than spike-only strategies. Our findings suggest that evolutionary conservation can serve as a practical selection principle for prioritizing T-cell antigens with broad lineage coverage and that multiepitope mRNA delivery is a feasible platform for inducing such responses. While direct protection and heterologous challenge studies will be required to establish clinical efficacy, the integration of computational prioritization with functional validation supports a scalable approach to pandemic preparedness that may be applicable to other rapidly evolving viral families.

Aims The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is effective for detecting post-load dysglycemia, but it is burdensome and therefore not routinely used. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offers a convenient way to capture real-world glucose patterns, yet it remains unclear whether CGM-derived metrics reflect OGTT-defined dysglycemia. We therefore aimed to evaluate CGM-derived and clinical metrics for predicting OGTT 2-hour glucose, classifying OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and assessing day-to-day repeatability. Methods We analyzed a cohort with paired free-living CGM and OGTT. Multiple CGM-derived metrics and clinical measures were compared for prediction of OGTT 2-hour glucose, classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and day-to-day stability. Predictive performance was assessed primarily by leave-one-out (LOO) R^2, and day-to-day repeatability by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). Results The glycemic persistence index (GPI), a metric integrating the magnitude and duration of glycemic elevation, was the strongest single predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose (LOO R^2 = 0.439). GPI also showed strong day-to-day repeatability (ICC = 0.665) and ranked first on a combined prediction-stability score. For classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, HbA1c had a slightly higher AUC than GPI, but GPI plus HbA1c performed best overall, indicating complementary information. Conclusions GPI was a strong predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose and showed a favorable balance between predictive performance and day-to-day stability, supporting its potential utility as a CGM-derived marker of dysglycemia.

Background/ObjectivesIndividuals with Down syndrome (DS) are at increased risk of obesity and metabolic comorbidities, yet the mechanisms underlying these conditions remain unclear. Here we investigated how DS-associated genetic condition interacts with diet and metabolic pathways in the Dp(16)1Yey mouse model of DS. MethodsUntargeted plasma metabolomics was performed in Dp(16)1Yey and control mice, subjected to either control or high-fat diet (HFD). Raw data were processed, and features were annotated. Statistical analyses were conducted in R, and pathway analysis was performed with MetaboAnalyst v5.0. Fecal microbiome was obtained using 16SrRNAseq and analyzed using phyloseq in R. ResultsDiet exerted the strongest effect on mice plasma metabolome, followed by sex and genotype. Seventy-five diet-responsive metabolites were enriched in amino acid and nucleotide metabolism. Genotype-driven changes affected 34 metabolites, notably impacting amino acid and taurine-hypotaurine metabolism. Fifty-six sex-associated metabolites highlighted disruptions in aromatic amino acid biosynthesis and pyrimidine metabolism. A significant Diet*Genotype interaction was observed for five metabolites, including a marked reduction in the microbiota-derived metabolite 3-indolepropionic acid (IPA) in Dp(16)1Yey mice on HFD. Both genotype and diet exerted pronounced effects on fecal microbiome with selective depletion of the IPA-producing Clostridia in Dp1Yey mice under HFD. ConclusionSegmental trisomy in Dp(16)1Yey mice modulates the host metabolic response to dietary fat, partly through microbiota-derived metabolites such as IPA. These findings highlight the importance of genotype, diet, and microbiome interactions in shaping metabolic disease risk in DS and point toward microbiota-targeted dietary interventions.