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Viruses

79 training papers 2019-06-25 – 2026-03-07

Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.

1
Outburst of serotype 4 IPD after COVID-19 is driven by ST15063/GPSC162 lineage associated with high-risk behaviors and greater virulence linked to influenza H3N2 virus coinfection and cigarette smoke
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.02.27.26346872
Top 0.4% (5.1%)
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The emergence of vaccine covered serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a serious concern worldwide. We investigated the unexpected rise of serotype 4 causing IPD primarily in non-vaccinated young adults after the COVID-19 pandemic that further spread to adults [≥] 65 years in recent years. For this purpose, we conducted a retrospective study of serotype 4 IPD cases (n=827) reported in Spain between 2009 and 2024. Whole-genome sequencing was performed to assess clonal lineag...

2
Genomic surveillance of Lassa virus in Guinea through in-country sequencing
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347418
Top 2% (2.7%)
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Strengthening in-country sequencing capacity generated 28 Lassa virus genomes from human clinical cases, expanding our knowledge of Lassa fever in Guinea. Phylogeographic analysis revealed cross-border exchange between Liberia and the NZerekore region, and a Sierra Leone introduction into the Gueckedou area. Enhanced genomic surveillance is crucial to guide future public health actions.

3
Temporal trends in Plasmodium vivax diversity in eastern Cambodia evidence declining transmission
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26346840
Top 3% (1.8%)
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BackgroundElimination of Plasmodium vivax is challenging due to its dormant liver stages (hypnozoites), which can reactivate weeks or months after the primary infection, causing relapses and ongoing transmission of the parasite. Despite these challenges, P. vivax clinical case numbers have declined over the past decade in Cambodia. We used parasite genotyping to assess whether the decline in case numbers was reflected in parasite diversity and relatedness as a proxy to transmission. MethodsGeno...

4
An Exploratory Study of Host Plasma Proteomic Signatures that Distinguish Active Syphilis in Adults
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347505
Top 3% (1.8%)
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Syphilis remains a major public health concern. However, current serologic assays are limited in their ability to distinguish active from previously treated disease. We applied tandem mass tag-based quantitative proteomics to plasma from 10 adults with active syphilis and 10 age- and gender-matched non-diseased controls. We identified 54 differentially regulated proteins (36 upregulated, 18 downregulated). Those proteins map to immune and inflammatory responses, acute-phase signaling, coagulatio...

5
Development and optimization of self-collected, field stable, saliva-based immunoassays for scalable epidemiological surveillance of pathogen-specific immunity
2026-03-06 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347729
Top 4% (1.5%)
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Serological surveillance is fundamental to infectious disease research and informed public-health decision making. Immunoassays used in the study of pathogen-specific immunity have historically relied on the collection of venous blood. While critical for many public-health applications, this sample collection method is invasive and resource intensive. The costs and logistical barriers associated with venous blood collection are exacerbated in resource-limited regions, and the shift to less invas...

6
Active Surveillance for Heartland virus in North Carolina: Clinical and Genomic Epidemiology
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.02.27.26347100
Top 4% (1.5%)
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BackgroundHeartland virus (HRTV) is an emerging tick-borne virus capable of causing severe illness and death. The burden of disease is likely underestimated due to limited seroprevalence studies, lack of commercially available diagnostic tests, and an overlapping clinical syndrome with more commonly diagnosed bacterial diseases such as spotted fever group rickettsiosis or ehrlichiosis. MethodsActive surveillance for Heartland virus disease was conducted at a large academic center from March to ...

7
Novel transposon Tn8026 acts as a global driver of transmissible linezolid resistance in Enterococcus via a linear plasmid
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347163
Top 5% (1.4%)
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Linezolid is a critical last-resort antimicrobial for multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecium, particularly against vancomycin-resistant lineages where therapeutic options are severely limited. While resistance has historically arisen through de novo chromosomal mutations, the global emergence of transferable resistance mechanisms threatens to render more infections untreatable. Here, we characterise a recent (2023-2024) hospital-associated outbreak of linezolid-resistant E. faecium in Queensla...

8
Novel Genetic Locus Associated with Resistance to M. tuberculosis Infection: A Multi-Ancestry Genome-Wide Association Study
2026-03-07 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347614
Top 6% (1.3%)
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Understanding host susceptibility to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is critical for the development of new vaccines. Certain individuals "resist" becoming infected with Mtb despite intensive exposure; however, it is unknown whether there is a genetic basis for "resistance" to Mtb infection across populations. Here we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of resistance to Mtb infection by carefully characterizing exposure to TB patients among 4,058 close contacts in India, Brazil, an...

9
Prospective Multicenter Evaluation of the QuickNavi-Campylobacter Assay in Stool Specimens
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26346362
Top 6% (1.2%)
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The rapid diagnosis of Campylobacter infections is important for the management of infectious gastroenteritis. Although stool culture is considered the gold standard, its sensitivity is limited and it requires prolonged incubation times. We performed a prospective multicenter study at nine healthcare facilities in Japan to evaluate a Campylobacter rapid antigen test using stool specimens between March 2024 and August 2025. Patients with suspected infectious gastroenteritis were consecutively enr...

10
Challenges in Plasmodium diagnostics in countries nearing malaria elimination: a cross-sectional survey among treatment-seeking patients in health facilities in malaria endemic provinces of Cambodia with contrasted transmission intensity
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347480
Top 6% (1.2%)
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BackgroundCambodia has made great progress in reducing malaria transmission and is targeting elimination. While this progress is particularly marked for Plasmodium falciparum, the situation is different for Plasmodium vivax. It is generally assumed that symptomatic patients are effectively diagnosed using rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs), regardless of transmission intensity. MethodsIn 2023 we conducted a cross-sectional survey among 986 treatment-seeking patients in 6 provinces of Cambodia with v...

11
Effects of atmospheric factors on daily intensive care unit cases in Germany: A Time Series Regression Study
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.27.26347246
Top 8% (0.9%)
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IntroductionAtmospheric conditions under climate change increase pressure on healthcare systems. Especially, the intensive care units (ICU) are vulnerable due to low buffer capacity and high utilization rates. MethodsDaily ICU cases from 2009 to 2023 were derived from the German statutory health insurance data of eleven regional AOK insurances. Cases were stratified by age and sex. Generalized additive models were used to investigate the associations between daily ICU cases and lagged atmospher...

12
Inferring Respiratory Disease Biology from Geolocation Data
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347578
Top 10% (0.7%)
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Biological fitness quantifies the efficiency and selective advantage of pathogens and hosts in their bilateral interaction. Key questions--such as how much more infectious an emerging variant is compared with its predecessor, or how much protection vaccination offers relative to no vaccination--require fitness to be measured systematically, in real time, and ideally beyond controlled laboratory settings. We propose an approach that infers biological fitness from mostly non-biological data on inf...

13
Stability of Microbiome-Derived Fatty Acids in Self-Collected Samples: A Comparative Evaluation of Stool and Blood Matrices
2026-03-06 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347712
Top 11% (0.7%)
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Background Short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs) are widely used as functional readouts of gut microbial activity in vivo. The growing adoption of decentralised study designs and self-collection protocols has amplified the need for reliable room-temperature storage and shipment strategies. However, SCFAs volatility and the persistence of post-collection microbial metabolism raise concerns regarding pre-analytical stability and the interpretability of measured concentrations. Methods We assessed the te...

14
Role of relapse and multiple time delays in shaping Nipah virus epidemic dynamics: a mathematical modeling study
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347485
Top 11% (0.7%)
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Nipah virus (NiV) is a sporadic yet extremely deadly zoonotic pathogen, with reported case fatality rates of 40%-75% in impacted areas. Prolonged incubation, documented relapse, and delayed-onset encephalitis following apparent recovery indicate that NiV dynamics are influenced by intricate temporal processes. However, mechanistic contributions of these processes to epidemic persistence remain poorly understood. In this study, we develop and analyze a delay differential equation model for NiV tr...

15
Two-step deep-learning candidemia prediction model using two large time-sequence electronic health datasets
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347531
Top 12% (0.7%)
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BackgroundCandidemia is a rare but life-threatening bloodstream infection that remains difficult to predict using conventional risk stratification approaches, highlighting the need for improved predictive strategies. As a result, empiric antifungal therapy is often delayed even in high-risk patients. MethodsWe developed a deep learning model (PyTorch_EHR) to predict 7-day candidemia risk by using electronic health record data from two large cohorts (Houston Methodist Hospital System [HMHS] and ...

16
Mapping the Antimicrobial Susceptibility of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Western Ethiopia: A multicenter cross-sectional study
2026-03-06 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347706
Top 12% (0.6%)
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From 2021 to 2025, MRSA emerged as a major multidrug-resistant pathogen in the study area. Among 545 S. aureus isolates, 67.2% were MRSA, disproportionately affecting children under five (26.5%) and males (55.5%). Case incidence more than doubled by 2025, suggesting rising transmission or resistance. Most isolates were hospital-associated (85.2%), predominantly from outpatients (88.5%), with middle ear discharge as the main source (67%). Gentamicin showed the highest susceptibility (72.1%), whil...

17
Schistosoma mansoni infections are associated with hepatosplenic organometry within the context of repeated praziquantel treatment and co-endemic infections of malaria, hepatitis B, and HIV: a population-based study in rural Uganda
2026-03-06 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347797
Top 13% (0.5%)
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Background: Schistosoma mansoni is a leading cause of hepatosplenic disease in sub-Saharan Africa. Yet, associations with current Schistosoma mansoni infections and hepatosplenic organometry remain unclear in the context of widespread mass drug administration and co-endemic infections. Methods: From January to February 2024, we conducted a community-based, cross-sectional study nested within the SchistoTrack cohort in three districts of Uganda. Liver and spleen dimensions were assessed via point...

18
The Impact of Neglecting Vaccine Unwillingness in Epidemiology Models
2026-03-06 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347735
Top 14% (0.5%)
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With significant population fractions in many societies who refuse vaccines, it is important to reconsider how vaccination is incorporated into compartmental epidemiology models. It is still most common to apply the vaccination rate to the entire class of susceptibles, rather than to use the more realistic assumption that the vaccination rate function should depend only on the population of susceptibles who are willing and able to receive a vaccination. This study uses a simple generic disease m...

19
Insights from the second season of collaborative influenza forecasting in Italy with updated targets incorporating virological information
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347601
Top 14% (0.5%)
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We present results from the second season of Influcast, a multi-model collaborative forecasting hub focused on influenza in Italy. During the 2024/25 winter season, Influcast collected one-to four-week-ahead probabilistic forecasts of influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence alongside influenza A and B ILI+ incidence signals. New ILI+ targets were constructed integrating syndromic surveillance data with virological detections collected weekly by the Italian National Institute of Health. Forecasts ...

20
Modelling the impact of adopting new-generation insecticide-treated nets on malaria transmission and insecticide resistance
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347588
Top 15% (0.5%)
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BackgroundThe widespread insecticide resistance increasingly threatens malaria elimination, prompting a reassessment of vector control strategies. As Tanzania transitions from standard pyrethroid-only insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) to new-generation nets, evaluating the impact of this shift on malaria transmission and resistance is critical. MethodsUsing the agent-based malaria model, EMOD, we assessed the impact of three ITN types, standard pyrethroid-only nets, pyrethroid-PBO nets (Olyset(R)...