Back

Viruses

MDPI AG

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Viruses's content profile, based on 318 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.23% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Human Metapneumovirus and Potential Impact of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Interventions in the United States

Li, K.; Perniciaro, S.; Kwon, J.; Grubaugh, N. D.; Weinberger, D. M.; Pitzer, V. E.

2026-06-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354616 medRxiv
Top 0.6%
8.3%
Show abstract

Human metapneumovirus (HMPV) causes acute lower respiratory infections, primarily affecting young children and older adults, with seasonal outbreaks peaking annually in March or April in the United States and other temperate regions in the Northern hemisphere. However, the factors driving HMPV seasonality in the United States remain poorly understood. We analyzed laboratory-confirmed HMPV cases and age-specific emergency department visits across 10 US regions, fitting an age-stratified dynamic transmission model to assess spatiotemporal patterns and investigate the influence of environmental variables and viral interference from RSV on HMPV transmission rates. We found that models incorporating climate variables into the transmission rate, including vapor pressure, precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and minimum temperature, could not capture the timing of HMPV activity across all regions. Instead, HMPV timing was associated with RSV activity, with the HMPV transmission rate reduced in the presence of RSV. We showed that, unlike RSV, only models incorporating viral interference could reproduce the biennial pattern of HMPV observed in some regions, characterized by alternating late-small and early-large epidemics. Furthermore, our model successfully reproduced post-COVID-19 HMPV and RSV epidemics and predicted that RSV interventions are not likely to lead to a substantial increase in HMPV activity despite decreasing competition from RSV. Our work unravels the spatiotemporal dynamics of HMPV and its interaction with RSV, informing future seasonal forecasting and intervention strategies for HMPV.

2
Investigation of the continuous spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the post pandemic time - Insights into the reason for the sustained spread despite the establishment of population immunity

Yi, B.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355009 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
6.2%
Show abstract

In spite of well-established global immune landscape, SARS-CoV-2 is still able to further spread and continue causing infection waves. The current understanding about the reason behind is limited, and it is still difficult to predict the evolution or spreading tread of SARS-CoV-2. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate whether the establishment of population immunity has changed the virus evolution or spreading pattern. In this investigation, one overall analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 spreading in the past several years have been carried out through one thorough genomic epidemiology study, with Germany being chosen as one representative location in view of the systemic efforts for genomic surveillance. The growth advantage of a few predominant variants in its early spreading period has been evaluated through a logistic regression model. The results have revealed that the major circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants since 2023 are mainly derived from the Omicron BA.2 family. Since middle of 2024, most predominant variants were produced primarily through recombination, indicating that the evolution derived from recombination might be the major driving force for the continuous spread of SARS-CoV-2 despite the existence of population immunity. Furthermore, the lower growth advantage of recently emerged variants might possibly lead to a tread of reduction in the frequency of infection wave. The information revealed from this investigation suggests that although short-term spreading tread can be affected by specific virus feature as well as local immunity landscape, the long-term spreading tread is mainly decided by the genomic diversity of the viruses, and can be predicted through phylogenetic and genomic epidemiology investigation. The results have emphasized the importance of maintaining the efforts for genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2, which is essential from both medical and research perspectives.

3
Computational and Experimental Antibody Affinity and Diagnostic Accuracy Quantification of SARS-CoV-2 SD2 Major Disulfide Loop Analog

Pollo, B. A. L. V.; Perias, G. A.; Aguimatang, R. H.; Espiritu, A. P.; Ching, D.; Idolor, M. I.; King, R. A.; Climacosa, F. M.; Caoili, S. E.

2026-06-08 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.05.26353587 medRxiv
Top 1%
3.6%
Show abstract

Introduction: Synthetic oligopeptides provide a rapid and cost-efficient approach to developing antibodies and diagnostics for emerging viral variants. Methods: This study computationally and experimentally characterized a synthetic peptide analog of the SARS-CoV-2 spike subdomain 2 major disulfide loop (SD2MDL), designated S621 (CPVAIHADQLTPTWRVYSTC). Binding affinity was computationally estimated using the Heuristic Affinity Prediction Tool for Immune Complexes (HAPTIC), while experimental validation was performed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) with rabbit-derived antipeptide antibodies. Clinical diagnostic accuracy testing was done using plasma samples from RT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients and pre-COVID-19 controls. Results: S621 demonstrated nanomolar binding affinity (Kdapp = 1.14 nM) and high avidity (3.67 nM), closely matching HAPTIC predictions (3.54 nM). Diagnostic evaluation yielded a sensitivity of 89.92% and specificity of 27.79%, corresponding to an overall accuracy of 71.79%. Discussion: These findings demonstrate that a single synthetic peptide derived from a conserved spike subdomain can function as a high-affinity surrogate for full-length antigens, supporting its potential application in rapid peptide-based immunodiagnostics.

4
Reproductive health in Mexican women with systemic lupus erythematosus: pregnancy outcomes, menstrual irregularities and early menopause

Sevilla-Parra, G.; Bravo-Garcia, F.; Mier y Teran Guevara, M.; Montes-Garcia, A.; Schäfer, A.; Ochoa-Rodriguez, N.; Bienvenu Caballero, M.; Gonzalez Zenteno, S. G.; Pena-Ayala, A.; Tinajero-Nieto, L.; Torres-Valdez, E.; Martinez, D.; Hernandez-Ledesma, A. L.; Medina-Rivera, A.; Alpizar-Rodriguez, D.

2026-06-09 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354004 medRxiv
Top 2%
2.2%
Show abstract

Objective: To characterize pregnancy outcomes and menstrual irregularities in Mexican women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and identify clinical factors associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and early-onset menopause. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of women with SLE enrolled in the Mexican Lupus Registry (LupusRGMX) between May 2021 and September 2024. Clinical and reproductive data were collected using standardized questionnaires. Menopause was defined as the absence of menstruation for [≥]12 consecutive months, and early menopause as onset before age 40. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with pregnancy complications and early menopause. Results: A total of 210 women were included. Median age was 38 years (IQR 29-46) and median disease duration was 4 years (IQR 1-10). Among women with a history of pregnancy (47%), full-term delivery predominated (61%), while pregnancy loss occurred in 26% and preterm delivery in 13%. Pregnancy complications were reported in 9.6%, most commonly preeclampsia (6.7%). Younger maternal age was independently associated with pregnancy complications (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83-0.95) and adverse outcomes (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.92-0.98). Higher disease activity was associated with complications in univariable analysis. Most pregnancies (68.3%) occurred before diagnosis. Early menopause was observed in 6.2% and independently associated with longer disease duration and older age. Conclusion: Younger maternal age was independently associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, whereas disease activity showed an association in univariable analysis. Most pregnancies occurred prior to SLE diagnosis. Early menopause was associated with longer disease duration, suggesting impact of cumulative disease burden on ovarian function.

5
Multi-region sampling of the human small intestine using an ingestible device

Fu, B.; DeSchepper, L. B.; Sun, J.; McKeithen-Mead, S. A.; Kapili, B.; Ochoa-Andersen, P.; Spencer, S. P.; Fardeen, T.; Ricardo, M.; El Kamari, V.; Sinha, S.; Relman, D. A.; Grembi, J. A.; Shalon, D.; Estrela, S.; Huang, K. C.

2026-06-10 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26353912 medRxiv
Top 3%
1.7%
Show abstract

The human small intestine (SI) plays a central role in nutrient processing, host-microbe interactions, and immune regulation, yet remains poorly characterized due to the lack of minimally disruptive sampling methods. Here, we present a protocol for deploying, recovering, and analyzing samples collected using an ingestible device that enables multi-region, lumen-targeted SI sampling during normal digestion. The device incorporates a ~30-cm collapsible tube wound into pH- or time-responsive layers that sequentially unfurl in situ, typically capturing three spatially ordered samples with high yield and reliable retrieval. This protocol outlines study design, participant handling, device recovery, contamination control, and standardized workflows for analyses, including cell quantification, culturomics, sequencing, and metabolomics. We further describe benchmarking approaches for evaluating spatial resolution and strategies for assay prioritization when sample volume is limiting. By reducing participant burden and facilitating integration with stool, saliva, and clinical metadata, this approach enables longitudinal and large-cohort studies linking SI microbial ecology and host physiology to human health.

6
Polypore Mushroom Mycelia for Treatment of Active COVID-19 Infection: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Saxe, G.; Shubov, A.; Smith, C. N.; Golshan, S.; Shekhtman, T.; Wilson, S.; Slater, D.; Bair, Z. J.; Beathard, C.; Davis, R. A.; MacElhern, L.; Kao, L. K.; Senowitz, P.; Gosnell, N.; Buchholz, D.; Aguilar-Carreno, H.

2026-06-09 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354267 medRxiv
Top 3%
1.5%
Show abstract

Use of fungal mycelia, which has antiviral properties, constitutes a novel strategy for addressing existing and newly emerging viral diseases. We evaluated safety and feasibility of fungal mycelia (Fomitopsis officinalis and Trametes versicolor, FoTv) for treatment of COVID-19 and assessed its antiviral effects and potential to reduce symptoms. In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dual site (UCSD/UCLA medical centers) clinical trial we examined non-hospitalized patients who contracted mild-to-moderate COVID-19 [≤] 96 hours, and experienced symptom onset [≤] nine days, before enrollment. FoTv was safe, well-tolerated, and feasible for COVID-19 treatment. Minor differences in biochemical markers were observed between groups (26 FoTv, 24 Placebo). FoTv significantly reduced the number and severity of symptoms, particularly sore throat/cough, and in vitro SARS-CoV-2 (pseudovirus) cellular infection. In conclusion, FoTv was safe and reduced COVID-19 symptoms and cellular viral infection. Future studies should investigate therapeutic benefits of fungal mycelia for SARS-CoV-2 and other viruses. Clinicaltrials.gov registration:NCT04667247.

7
KESOZI Digital Twin: Physics-Informed Neural Network for Independent Estimation and Prediction of Childhood Diarrheal Disease Burden in Kenya, Somaliland, and Zimbabwe

KESOZI Digital Twin, ; Agumba, J. O.; Namusonge, L.; Ogendo, J.; Hassan, M. A.; Pembere, A.; Takavarasha, M.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354823 medRxiv
Top 4%
0.9%
Show abstract

Childhood diarrheal disease remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among children under five years in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in settings affected by inadequate sanitation, climate variability, malnutrition, and limited healthcare access. Conventional forecasting approaches are often constrained by sparse surveillance data, weak spatial representation, and limited incorporation of mechanistic disease dynamics. This study presents a Physics-Informed Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Digital Twin framework that integrates Physics-Informed Neural Networks, Graph Neural Networks, diffusion-reaction epidemiological modeling, multimodal fusion learning, and Digital Twin simulation to estimate and predict childhood diarrheal disease burden in Kenya, Somaliland, and Zimbabwe. Using public epidemiological, environmental, climate, sanitation, and synthetic proof-of-concept datasets, the framework modeled temporal disease dynamics, spatial transmission, pathogen-attributed burden, and outbreak trajectories while enforcing epidemiological consistency through physics-informed optimization. Results demonstrated robust forecasting performance, enhanced spatial transmission modeling, uncertainty-aware predictions, and realistic outbreak simulations across the three countries. Rotavirus, Shigella, and Cryptosporidium were identified as major contributors to modeled mortality burden, while unsafe water exposure, poor sanitation, malnutrition, and climate-sensitive transmission substantially increased disease risk. Compared with a Bayesian baseline model, the multimodal framework achieved superior nonlinear risk characterization, geospatial learning, and temporal prediction. These findings highlight the potential of scientific machine learning and digital twin systems for infectious disease surveillance, outbreak forecasting, climate-health analytics, and evidence-based public health decision-making in low-resource African settings. Keywords: Physics-Informed Neural Networks, Graph Neural Networks, Digital Twin, Childhood Diarrheal Disease, Epidemiology, Kenya, Somaliland, Zimbabwe, Scientific Machine Learning, Spatial Epidemiology, Multimodal Fusion

8
Development of a Novel Blood-Based Assay for Brain-Derived Tau and Its Validation in Traumatic Brain Injury

Balogun, W. G.; Zeng, X.; Nafash, M. N.; Sehrawat, A.; Shi, R.; Svirsky, S. E.; Okonkwo, D. O.; Puccio, A. M.; Karikari, T. K.

2026-06-10 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354965 medRxiv
Top 5%
0.7%
Show abstract

Brain-derived tau (BD-tau) is an emerging blood-based biomarker for neurodegeneration, yet there are currently limited well validated BD-tau assays available for research and clinical use. To enhance access to this vital biomarker for neurological disorders including traumatic brain injury (TBI), we developed a novel blood-based immunoassay for BD-tau on the ultra-sensitive Quanterix HD-X platform using Single Molecule Array technology. Analytical validation assessed dilution linearity, specificity, precision, detection limits, and spike recovery, each recording robust metrics in agreement with international expert recommendations. The assay demonstrated robust validation metrics, achieving between-run stability of 95% when analyzing aliquots from six independent plasma and serum samples across five analytical runs. It also showed strong dilution linearity when diluted four-fold and achieved over 90% recovery when spiked with cerebrospinal fluid. Next, we evaluated the clinical utility of the assay in cohorts of individuals with traumatic brain injury (TBI), where strong performances were recorded whether using the 2-step or 3-step assay formats ({rho}= 0.94; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, plasma BD-tau distinguished samples from TBI patients based on time from injury and severity (AUC=0.93). Plasma BD-tau differentiated between favorable and unfavorable functional outcomes in the acute-severe group. Our findings underscore the significant potential of the BD-tau assay as a biomarker for TBI in the severe phase.

9
Title: Development of a Human Papillomavirus genotype-informed risk-stratification model to improve Cervical Cancer screening in resource-limited settings: a cross-sectional study

Kambou Kountchou, K. D. K. K.; Tommo Tchouaket, M. C.; Moko Fotso, L. G.; Fokou Bomgning, B. N.; Fippo Fitime, L.; Talom Teumadjou, A.; Routoube, M.; Efakika Gabisa, J.; Ngoufack Jagni Semengue, E.; Nka, A. D.; Kae, A. C.; Dobgima Pisoh, W.; Deutou, L.; Takou, D.; Fainguem, N.; Sosso, S. M.; Kamgaing Simo, R.; Yagai, B.; Tabola Fossa, L.; Perno, C.-F.; Colizzi, V.; Enow-Orock, G.; Fokam, J.; Terrinoni, A.; Kuiate, J.-R.

2026-06-10 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355059 medRxiv
Top 5%
0.7%
Show abstract

Background: In resource-limited settings, a critical bottleneck in cervical cancer prevention is the lack of practical strategies to triage high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV)- positive women. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and internally validate a genotype-specific risk stratification model. Methods: A cross-sectional study enrolled 555 women in Cameroon. Data collection integrated cervical cytology and HPV genotyping using Abbott m2000rt and Sacace multiplex systems. An iterative modeling approach with bootstrap validation was used to develop the model and address model instability. HR-HPV genotypes were transformed into a hierarchical risk variable due to sparsity and integrated with significant predictors. The final model was translated into a scoring system, and the risk gradients and performances were evaluated at two thresholds. Data was analyzed using SPSS 27.0. Results: The mean age was 44.8 years, and the prevalence of HR-HPV was 26.5% (147/555). The final model, incorporating HPV categories, age, and tobacco, demonstrated moderate discriminative ability (AUC=0.702, 0.642-0.762) with a good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow {chi}{superscript 2}=4.05, p=0.399). The scoring system assigned women to risk groups based on their total scores which produced a clear monotonic risk gradient; the observed probability of high-grade lesions/cancer ranged from 15% (score 0) to >65% (score [&ge;]4). At a conservative threshold ([&ge;]4 points), 4.7% (26/555) of women were classified as high-risk, concentrating 46% (6/13) of cancers (positive predictive value[PPV]=58%) while a sensitive threshold ([&ge;]3 points) had 16.8% (93/555) high-risk, concentrating 77% (10/13) cancers (PPV=38%). Both thresholds maintained a high negative predictive value (>95%). Conclusion: This bootstrap-validated, risk-stratification tool is a proof-of-concept in resource limited settings that assigns HR-HPV-positive women to distinct management pathways using three variables. After refining through a longitudinal study and external validation, this scoring system can improve the efficiency of cervical cancer screening programs in low-resource settings.

10
Modeling the Impact of Pediatric RSV Immunization in Massachusetts, 2024--2025

Jones, L.; Ergas, R.; Tibbs, A.; Russo, E. T.; Norville, J.; Bingay, B.; Brown, C. M.; Reich, N. G.; Pasco, R.

2026-06-10 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354236 medRxiv
Top 6%
0.6%
Show abstract

Background Pediatric immunizations for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), including monoclonal antibodies for infants and vaccines for pregnant people, have become broadly available and can prevent severe RSV outcomes in infants. However, quantifying the impact of RSV immunization in prevention of severe pediatric illness at the population-level is limited by lack of RSV case surveillance data. The Massachusetts Department of Public Health (DPH) conducted a modeling analysis using routine public health surveillance data to estimate the state-level impact of new RSV immunization products on Emergency Department (ED) visits and hospitalizations in Massachusetts for highest risk pediatric groups. Methods A scenario projection tool, called R.Scenario.Vax, was utilized to simulate RSV-associated ED hospital encounters by age group in the context of newly available immunizations. ED visit and hospitalization data from the National Syndromic Surveillance Program (NSSP) during the time period 10/08/2017--10/19/2024 were analyzed, scaled to account for changes in RSV testing practices over time and missing encounter volume in historic data, and utilized to inform model fit of a "typical" RSV season. RSV immunization data from the Massachusetts Immunization Information System (MIIS) for the 2023--2024 and 2024--2025 RSV seasons informed high and moderate pediatric RSV immunization coverage scenarios and their impact was compared to a counterfactual reference scenario of no new immunizations. Median projections were quantitatively and qualitatively compared to observed 2024--2025 season data. Percent reduction in hospital encounters and encounters averted per 10,000 population were calculated for each scenario as compared to the reference. Results Projections for the youngest at-risk age groups showed significantly lower RSV-associated ED visits and hospitalizations during the 2024--2025 season for both high and moderate immunization coverage scenarios. Median projections for infants under 6 months old in the highest coverage scenario, wherein nearly all infants were immunized, showed 72.6% lower ED visits and 73.4% lower hospitalizations when compared to the reference scenario, equating to 262 ED visits and 85 hospitalizations averted per 10,000 population. Conclusions Our results support the use of modeling methods for public health insights and suggest that RSV immunizations for infant populations result in significantly lower RSV-related ED encounters in Massachusetts.

11
Limitations of cross-border containment strategies for Bundibugyo ebolavirus

Middleton, C.; Larremore, D.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354820 medRxiv
Top 6%
0.6%
Show abstract

An ongoing outbreak of Bundibugyo virus disease (BVD) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo was deemed a public health emergency of international concern in May 2026. To prevent cross-border importation, many countries, including the United States, Canada, India, Thailand, and Kenya have already proposed containment strategies, and others are likely to follow suit. How well (or poorly) are screening and quarantine containment measures are likely to work? We leverage established epidemiological theory and develop a mathematical model of traveler screening and post-arrival quarantine for BVD to answer this question. We find that traveler screening via symptom screening or molecular testing will miss the majority of infected travelers, and should be complemented by post-arrival quarantine and monitoring of sufficient duration to detect those with long incubation periods. Our findings underscore the limitations of border screening and the importance of complementary measures like post-arrival quarantine to prevent local importation of BVD.

12
Next-Generation Skin Cancer Detection Using Efficient Fuzzy Fusion of Genomic and Imaging Data

Molla, A. R.; Maity, A.; Saha, S.; Bhattacharya, R.; Chakraborty, A.; Biswas, S.; Nath, S.

2026-06-08 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355024 medRxiv
Top 6%
0.5%
Show abstract

Skin cancer requires early detection for improved survival rates. Most existing methods rely on deep learning based image classification, which is affected by visual similarity among lesions. Fewer studies use Gene Expression (GE) analysis, which captures molecular characteristics but lacks structural and visual details. To overcome limitations of individual modalities, this paper proposes a multimodal framework integrating dermoscopic images and GE profiles for skin cancer classification. EfficientNet and logistic regression are used for image based analysis and genomic skin lesion profiling, respectively, followed by fuzzy rule based decision systems to reduce uncertainty within individual modalities. Finally, fuzzy fusion combines predictions from both modalities using uncertainty based weighting of classifier outputs. The experimental findings show that both the image based and GE based classification models individually achieved accuracies of nearly 92%. However, the integration of prediction results through the proposed fuzzy fusion strategy further enhanced the classification performance, achieving an overall accuracy of 94.25%. The results obtained outperform contemporary methods, highlighting the effectiveness of combining complementary multimodal information compared with single modality approaches.

13
A Decade of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's FluSight Influenza Forecasting

Hines, A. G.; Mathis, S. M.; Johansson, M. A.; Biggerstaff, M.; Reed, C.; Borchering, R.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354941 medRxiv
Top 7%
0.5%
Show abstract

Since the U.S. 2013/14 influenza season, the CDC's FluSight Challenge has provided a platform for evaluating influenza forecasting models and fostering collaboration across institutions. The Challenge aims to improve the science and enhance the utility of infectious disease forecasts for public health decision making. We analyzed ten years of submitted forecasts (2014/15-2019/20 (influenza-like illness seasons) and 2021/22-2024/25 (hospital admissions seasons)) across a range of model types, including statistical, mechanistic, machine learning, and hybrid models. Influenza-like illness (ILI) forecasts were evaluated using the exponentiated logarithmic score (skill metric) while hospital admissions forecasts were evaluated using the log transformed relative Weighted Interval Score. Corresponding potential performance differences were assessed using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests, and associations with team participation history were evaluated using Spearman's rank correlation. Model performance varied by season, and no single model type consistently outperformed others. In ILI seasons, statistical models generally performed better than mechanistic and machine learning models, though consistent differences were not observed in more recent hospital admissions seasons. Ensemble forecasts showed better overall performance across seasons, and the CDC's FluSight ensemble ranked among the top-performing forecasts every year. We also found a positive correlation between forecast accuracy and the number of years a team participated in the Challenge, with statistically significant associations in four seasons. These findings highlight the benefits of ensemble approaches and sustained engagement in improving forecasting performance, while also underscoring the continued value of forecast evaluation before and following the COVID-19 pandemic. Insights from the FluSight Challenge can guide future infectious disease forecasting efforts and support more effective public health preparedness.

14
Fatigue-associated DNA methylation and gene expression profiles differ by disease subtype and activity state in inflammatory bowel disease patients

Metselaar, P. I.; Mol, F.; Weiss, R.; van der Hoff, M. J.; Welting, O.; de Jonge, W. J.; Henneman, P.; te Velde, A. A.; Lowenberg, M.; Li Yim, A. Y. F.

2026-06-08 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354816 medRxiv
Top 7%
0.5%
Show abstract

Background and Aims: Fatigue is a prevalent and disabling symptom in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), yet its underlying biological mechanisms remain poorly understood. We aimed to characterize fatigue-associated molecular signatures in IBD patients by integrating DNA methylation and mRNA expression analyses. Methods: Peripheral blood was collected from 40 patients with Crohn's disease (CD), 29 with ulcerative colitis (UC), and 10 healthy controls. Fatigue severity was assessed continuously using the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI). Epigenome-wide DNA methylation profiling and mRNA sequencing were performed, identifying differentially methylated regions (DMRs) and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) for active and quiescent CD and UC, adjusting for age, sex, and smoking status. Pathway enrichment analysis was performed on genes with differential methylation and expression. Results: In active CD, more severe fatigue was associated with transcriptional suppression of immune and metabolic pathways (246 DMRs; 1,090 DEGs), versus upregulation of mitochondrial and metabolic processes in quiescent CD (200 DMRs; 1,619 DEGs). In active UC, fatigue was associated with anabolic pathway upregulation and epigenetic silencing of neuroactive pathways (6,927 DMRs; 343 DEGs; 56 concordant genes). Quiescent UC showed transcriptional changes without significant epigenetic pathway enrichment (1,710 DMRs; 3,224 DEGs). Healthy controls exhibited a distinct profile spanning metabolic, immune, and neuronal pathways (8,621 DMRs; 395 DEGs). Fatigue-associated signatures were largely non-overlapping across all five groups. Conclusions: Fatigue-associated molecular profiles differed substantially by disease subtype and activity state, highlighting the biological heterogeneity of IBD-related fatigue and laying the foundation for multi-omics approaches to identify biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets.

15
Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease in China, 1990-2021: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Wang, M.; Zhao, T.; Wang, H.; Hou, S.; Fu, Y.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355056 medRxiv
Top 7%
0.4%
Show abstract

Introduction: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) in China in 2021 and its trends between 1990 and 2021, in the context of significant population growth and lifestyle changes over the past 30 years that have likely influenced the CKD spectrum. Methods: Data on CKD prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated decadal percentage changes were calculated to evaluate changes in trends in prevalence, mortality and disease burden. Results: In 2021, an estimated 118.4 (95% UI 109.4 to 127.5) million people in China were affected by CKD, contributing to 204 230 (95% UI 164 736 to 246 372) deaths and 6.13 (95% UI 5.18 to 7.21) million DALY. Although CKD due to diabetes mellitus and hypertension accounted for less than a quarter of all cases, they were responsible for over 90% of CKD-related deaths. Over the past three decades, CKD mortality and DALY rates have steadily increased, although the prevalence has stabilized in the last decade. Diabetes mellitus type 2 and hypertension have emerged as key drivers of CKD burden in China. Conclusions: The CKD burden in China shows a dual pattern of rising incidence and high mortality from diabetes and hypertension-related chronic kidney disease, alongside persistently high years lived with disability from glomerulonephritis and other causes.

16
Comparison of the Mini Parasep SF, ParaPak SpinCon, and Paradevice fecal filtration and concentration devices for microscopic and AI-assisted detection of intestinal parasites

Morris, H.; Pritt, B. S.

2026-06-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354769 medRxiv
Top 8%
0.4%
Show abstract

Effective filtration and concentration of stool specimens is an essential pre-analytical step for reducing fecal debris and improving organism recovery using microscopy-based ova and parasite (O&P) examination. This study evaluated three commercially available fecal sedimentation-based filtration/concentration systems, ParaPak SpinCon (Meridian Bioscience), Mini Parasep SF (Apacor), and the newly-available ParadeviceReingenuity), for qualitative parasite detection and workflow logistics using conventional and artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted microscopy. Forty clinical stool specimens (20 parasite-positive and 20 parasite-negative) were processed with the 3 devices, and the resultant 120 wet mount and 120 trichrome stained smear preparations were examined using conventional microscopy. Trichrome-stained slides were also scanned at 40x magnification using a Hamamatsu NanoZoomerS360 flatbed digital slide scanner and images were analyzed using the Techcyte Fusion Human Fecal Trichrome AI algorithm. Positive and indeterminate digital findings were confirmed by conventional glass slide microscopy. Slides and digital images were reviewed in a blinded manner. Concordance was assessed among the 360 initial evaluations (microscopy and AI-assisted), and discrepant parasitology results were resolved through re-review and specimen reprocessing as needed. Final qualitative agreement across slide/image evaluations using all three concentration systems was 100%. Minor discrepancies in protozoan and white/red blood cell detection/identification were noted in 5 and 7 cases, respectively, and likely reflected sampling and observer variability. While the three concentration systems produced equivalent qualitative results, the Paradevice and Mini Parasep SF offered the most streamlined workflows. These findings support the Paradevice and Mini Parasep SF as efficient, analytically equivalent systems that are compatible with traditional and AI-assisted O&P workflows.

17
Comparative Evaluation of Mosquito Repellent Products in South Asia and North America: Efficacy, Safety, and Public Health Implications

Sahal, K.; Amin, S. M. A.; Mostafa, T.; Wang, S.; Colucci, B.; Shafoyat, M. U.; Yuan, Z. -m.; Cheng, G.

2026-06-08 toxicology 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355094 medRxiv
Top 9%
0.3%
Show abstract

Mosquito-borne diseases continue to pose significant public health challenges worldwide, particularly in densely populated regions of South Asia and parts of North America experiencing increasing vector prevalence due to climate and environmental changes. Commercial mosquito repellents are widely used as a primary preventive measure; however, their efficacy, safety, and public health impacts vary depending on formulation, active ingredients, environmental conditions, and user practices. This study presents a comparative evaluation of commonly used mosquito repellent products in South Asia and North America, including coils, vaporizers, sprays, creams, and Natural repellents. The research aims to assess repellent efficacy against major mosquito vectors, evaluate potential health and respiratory effects associated with prolonged exposure, and analyze consumer awareness and usage patterns across different regions. Laboratory-based efficacy testing and field observations were conducted to compare protection duration, repellency rate, and environmental performance under varying climatic conditions. Safety assessments included analysis of chemical composition, indoor air quality impact, and reported adverse health symptoms among users. The findings indicate significant differences in effectiveness and safety profiles among product categories and geographical regions. Synthetic repellents generally demonstrated higher repellency duration, while herbal formulations showed improved safety and environmental compatibility. The study highlights the importance of standardized evaluation protocols, regulatory oversight, and public awareness in promoting safe and effective mosquito control strategies. These findings may support policymakers, healthcare professionals, and manufacturers in improving mosquito repellent technologies and reducing the burden of mosquito-borne diseases globally.

18
Cytoplasmic staining of T cell receptor components enables efficient assessment of lineage and clonality in surface CD3-negative T cell neoplasms

Wilk, A. J.; Gitana, G.; Oak, J.

2026-06-04 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354783 medRxiv
Top 10%
0.3%
Show abstract

Flow cytometry can establish T cell clonality by detecting a restricted expression pattern of the T cell receptor (TCR) {beta} constant region (TRBC), expressed in association with CD3. However, T cell neoplasms frequently lose surface expression of the CD3/TCR complex, posing a challenge to demonstrating T cell lineage and clonality. To address this challenge, here we present a 12-color flow cytometry panel, called cytoTCR, to characterize cytoplasmic expression of CD3/TCR complex components. We apply cytoTCR to 38 patient specimens with immunophenotypically abnormal T cell populations, demonstrating this approach can efficiently establish T cell lineage and clonality in challenging T cell neoplasms that have lost surface CD3 expression. While we show that natural killer (NK)-lineage neoplasms can express cytoplasmic CD3 at similar levels to T cells, we show that absent expression of cytoplasmic TCR components by mature lymphocytes can help confirm NK cell lineage. We demonstrate that cytoTCR can detect cytoplasmic TRBC-restriction in challenging cases of null-phenotype anaplastic large cell lymphoma, which lack surface expression of pan-T cell antigens. In cases of T-lymphoblastic leukemia, cytoTCR shows that cytoplasmic TRBC expression matches the expected developmental stage of the leukemia. Finally, we use cytoTCR to characterize atypical cCD3-CD7- T cells in a patient with a history of T-lymphoblastic leukemia as well as recent CAR-T therapy, showing that this atypical population is polytypic and represents CAR-T product rather than residual disease. Our study presents a broadly applicable flow cytometric approach to simultaneously assess T cell lineage and clonality in suspected T lineage populations with absent surface CD3 expression.

19
Insights from Wastewater Surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in Skilled Nursing Facilities: Comparing Virus Concentration Methods for Wastewater and Correlating Wastewater Virus Concentrations with Clinical Infections, Georgia, USA, 2022

Whitehill, F.; Lyons, A. K.; Abera, B.; Adler, C.; Burgos-Garay, M.; Campbell, M.; Santiago, A. J.; Ganim, C.; Moore, J.; Cahela, Y.; Lenz, S.; Gable, P.; Medrzycki, M.; Walters, M. S.; Keaton, A.; Cook, P. W.; Li, Y.; Tao, Y.; Zhang, J.; Malapati, L.; Retchless, A. C.; Tong, S.; Williams, M.; Donlan, R.; Coulliette-Salmond, A.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354622 medRxiv
Top 10%
0.3%
Show abstract

To understand the utility of healthcare facility-level wastewater surveillance (WWS) for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), it is important to correlate wastewater SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection with the number of clinical infections. WWS for SARS-CoV-2 was performed at three skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) over 25 weeks. Electronegative membrane filtration (enMF) and Nanotrap(R) Magnetic Virus Particles (NP) virus concentration methods were compared. Extracts were tested by droplet digital polymerase chain reaction. Spearman's correlations ({rho}) between wastewater virus RNA concentrations and infection counts were calculated. From split wastewater samples, enMF recovered higher SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations than NP. Combining data from all facilities, the median concentrations were 53.0 versus 38.6 gc/100 mL for enMF and NP, respectively (p=0.001). Using enMF, correlations were moderate to strong at SNF A ({rho} ranged 0.67 to 0.86, all p-values <0.001). Weak to moderate correlations can be explained by the sampled manhole not representing the entire facility (SNF B, {rho} ranged 0.47 to 0.72, p-values ranged <0.001 to 0.12) and longitudinal data gaps from summer heat and equipment maintenance (SNF C, {rho} ranged 0.14 to 0.59, p-values ranged 0.52 to <0.01). WWS can be a valuable tool for tracking dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infections in healthcare facilities.

20
Compositional microbiome-based signatures associate with general health status: findings from a large population-based cohort study

Pujolassos, M.; Kurilshikov, A.; Weersma, R. K.; Yang-Fu, J.; Zhernakova, A.; Calle, M. L.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354796 medRxiv
Top 11%
0.3%
Show abstract

While microbiome is increasingly recognized as crucial for human health, translating this knowledge into effective healthcare and preventive strategies remains challenging. Many studies focus on identifying changes in microbiome composition associated with disease and evaluating the potential of such disease-associated microbial profiles as biomarkers for disease diagnosis. Under the hypothesis that microbiome dysbiosis may reflect physiological alterations present long before disease onset, in this work, we analyse the potential of disease-specific microbial signatures not as a diagnostic tool when the disease is already present, but as a means of health assessment in the general population. Moreover, instead of trying to define a single health measure, we believe it is necessary to consider several ways in which the microbiome departs from health, according to different disease-related physiological changes. To evaluate our assumptions, we designed a two-stage study: the identification of disease-specific microbial signatures (discovery stage) and, subsequently, the study of their distribution in the general population to assess associations with general health (external validation stage). Specifically, in the discovery phase we characterized 16 disease-specific bacterial signatures from large public microbiome data using a compositional data analysis methodology. In the second phase, we quantified these microbial signatures in the Lifelines-DMP cohort, a large population-based cohort, and evaluated their association with self-reported health status. Results indicate that most disease-specific microbial signatures associate with health status, supporting our assumption that microbial composition can capture physiological alterations before disease onset, and highlighting the importance of considering multiple ways in which microbiome departs from a healthy state. These findings reaffirm the potential of microbial information as an additional tool in preventive medicine.