eClinicalMedicine
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match eClinicalMedicine's content profile, based on 55 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Fleet, D.; Messenger, A.; Bryden, A.; Harris, M. J.; Holmes, S.; Farrant, P.; Leaker, B.; Takwale, A.; Oakford, M.; Kaur, M.; Mowbray, M.; MacBeth, A.; Gangwani, P.; Gkini, M. A.; Jolliffe, V.
Show abstract
Background There are no licensed treatments for patients with mild to moderate patchy alopecia areata (AA). Objectives To evaluate the efficacy, safety and dose response of STS01, a novel nanoparticle controlled release, topical formulation of dithranol/Prosilic. Methods In a phase 2, double blind study, adult patients with mild to moderate AA (guideline 10% to 50% of scalp hair loss) were randomly assigned to STS01 at doses of 0.25%, 0.5%, 1%, 2% or placebo, daily for 6 months. The primary endpoints included the proportion of patients achieving a >=30% improvement in Severity of Alopecia Tool (SALT) score, and percentage change from baseline in SALT score. This minimum level of improvement is generally accepted as an indicator of the population likely to progress to complete regrowth Results A total of 155 patients were randomized and treated (placebo, n=32; STS01 groups, n=30 to 31). STS01 1% met the primary efficacy endpoint of >=30% SALT score improvement compared to placebo: 75.9% (95% CI, 60.3 to 91.4%) vs 36.7% (95% CI, 19.4 to 53.9%) at 6 months; p=0.0037. The least squares (LS) mean percentage change in SALT score from baseline to end of treatment showed a clear dose response relationship; STS01 0.5% was the minimally effective dose and 2% the maximum tolerated dose, and there was a statistically significant improvement in the STS01 1% group (minus 55.0% vs +0.6% with placebo; p<0.01). Significant improvements (p<0.05) in LS mean percentage changes from baseline in SALT scores were demonstrated in the STS01 1% group at 2 months (-28.6% vs 12.8%), 4 months (-57.2% vs 1.5%), and 6 months (minus 67.0% vs 0.6%). Clinical Global Impression improvement was reported in 72.0% of patients with STS01 1% vs 41.7% with placebo (p<0.05). The most commonly reported treatment emergent adverse events were skin irritation reactions, but were mostly mild (STS01: 56.7% to 71.0%; placebo: 21.9%) or moderate (STS01:13.3% to 35.5%; placebo: 0%) and manageable by reduced frequency of application. There were 15 skin-related discontinuations with STS01 (12.2%) and 2 (6.3%) with placebo. Conclusions STS01 demonstrated a clear dose response, with STS01 1% dose optimally more effective than placebo for hair regrowth with minimal tolerance concerns in mild to moderate patchy AA. Skin irritation reactions were generally manageable and there were no new safety signals. Further characterisation of the STS01 1% dose is planned in a phase 3 study. Chief Investigator AGM reports fees from Soterios Ltd. Chief Statistician DMF is an employee of Soterios Ltd. All other authors were Principal Investigators in the trial and their clinics were reimbursed for the work involved. Most also had sponsorship in the form of consultancies, investigational roles or lecturing roles on behalf of other Dermatological pharmaceutical companies
Coelho, J. A. P. d. M.; Nascimento da Paixao, A.; Guimaraes Almeida, B.; Näslund-Hadley, E.
Show abstract
Background Childhood sensory and intellectual disabilities represent significant yet under-recognized barriers to learning and human capital development. This study analyzes prevalence and severity of these conditions among 149.3 million children aged 5-19 years across 25 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data. Methods We extracted GBD 2023 estimates for vision loss, hearing loss, and intellectual disability across 25 LAC countries, stratified by age, sex, and severity. Regional estimates were calculated using population-weighted averages. Severity distributions were compared with OECD countries to contextualize regional patterns. Results: These conditions are estimated to affected 9,282,921 children (6.22%; 95% UI: 5.89-6.54%). Hearing loss was predominant, affecting an estimated 5.42 million (3.63%, 3.41-3.86), with 87.6% mild-to-moderate. Intellectual disability estimated to affected 2.56 million (1.71%, 1.58-1.85), with 61.7% borderline-to-mild. Vision loss estimated to affected 1.30 million (0.87%, 0.79-0.96), with 89% that can be effectively addressed with spectacles. Prevalence increased with age across all conditions. Male predominance was consistent for intellectual disability (2.00% vs 1.42%). Annual economic cost totaled US$19.3-29.0 billion, while comprehensive interventions would require US$9.45-14.23 billion with benefit-cost ratios of 2:1 to 15:1. Conclusions The distribution of children across milder levels of difficulty underscores the opportunity for education and public health systems to provide timely and accessible support. With approximately 88% of sensory impairments addressable through established technologies, investments in inclusive services can yield strong social and economic returns.
Blythe, R.; Graves, N.; Iyer, N. G.; Peres, M. A.
Show abstract
Introduction The link between Human Papillomavirus (HPV) and cancer is well-established. In Singapore, bivalent HPV vaccines are subsidised for females, but not males. Economic analysis of HPV vaccination has generally assessed the costs to the health system, but this may not be as relevant to individual decision-making as potential lost income. We estimated the impact of bivalent HPV 16/18 vaccination on sick leave, unemployment, and premature mortality as a function of age and sex to understand the broader impact of HPV-related cancers. Methods We developed a population-level economic model to estimate lifetime income losses by diagnosis age, sex and cancer type. We applied sex- and cancer-specific Cox regressions to the Singapore Cancer Registry for annual predicted survival from 1992 to 2022. These were combined with census and employment data to estimate HPV-associated income losses in Singapore. Attributable fractions and vaccine effectiveness data for HPV 16/18 from the literature were used to estimate the effectiveness of bivalent HPV vaccination. Structural sensitivity analysis examined the role of 80% population coverage conferring herd immunity. Results The registry contained 17,294 individuals with an HPV-associated cancer diagnosis. Lost income was greatest for cervical cancer due to its high prevalence, however the losses per diagnosis were highest for oropharyngeal cancer. Bivalent HPV vaccination led to income benefits of $SGD1,397 [$895 to $1,838] in girls and -$62 [-$76 to -$48] in boys. A gender-neutral HPV vaccination of 80% of 15-year-old Singaporeans, conferring herd immunity, would have lifetime income protective benefits of $24.4m [$14.2m, $33.7m] per cohort, a five-fold return on investment. Conclusions In addition to avoiding healthcare costs and lost quality of life, parents should consider vaccination as a means of avoiding potential income losses. A national policy of gender-neutral HPV vaccination could deliver substantial income protection due to both individual vaccine protection and herd immunity.
Thaqi, F.; Bieber, K.; Kerniss, H.; Kridin, K.; Curman, P.; Ludwig, R.
Show abstract
BackgroundClinical and genetic evidence on the association between atopic dermatitis (AD) and subsequent psoriasis remains conflicting, and it is unclear whether this risk is modified by systemic treatments. Recent reports suggest type 2-targeted biologics may unmask psoriasis in AD patients, but data are limited. We thus aimed to assess whether AD is associated with incident psoriasis and whether this risk differs by systemic treatment, particularly biologics versus conventional systemic immunosuppressants (cvIS). MethodsScoping analyses informed a locked analytic design, preregistration at OSF, and confirmatory execution. Propensity score-matched analyses compared AD with non-AD controls and biologics with cvIS. Sensitivity analyses, Cox model triangulation, and control outcomes assessed robustness. FindingsAmong [~]300,000 matched pairs, AD was associated with increased psoriasis risk (primary HR 3.81, 95% CI 3.35-4.34), consistent across all 8 sensitivity analyses and model triangulation. Biologic treatment was associated with reduced psoriasis risk versus cvIS (primary HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.11-0.35), consistent across 6 of 7 evaluable sensitivity analyses and Cox triangulation. Positive and negative control outcomes showed expected directional patterns. InterpretationAcknowledging limitations including residual confounding and coding misclassification, AD was associated with increased psoriasis risk and biologics with lower psoriasis risk than cvIS. FundingDFG (EXC2167, SFB1526, LU877/25-1), Schleswig-Holstein Excellence-Chair Program, Swedish Society for Dermatology and Venereology, and the Tore Nilson Foundation. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSAtopic dermatitis (eczema) and psoriasis are the two most common chronic inflammatory skin diseases worldwide. For a long time, doctors and researchers assumed these two conditions could not occur in the same person, as they were thought to involve opposing immune responses. However, this view has been challenged over the past decade. Some large studies, including population-based cohorts from Taiwan and the United Kingdom, have found that people with eczema may be at higher risk of developing psoriasis over time, while other studies, including genetic analyses, have suggested the opposite: that the two diseases may actually protect against each other. This conflicting picture has left clinicians uncertain about the true relationship between the two diseases in everyday clinical practice. A separate but related concern has emerged with the introduction of a new class of highly effective treatments for eczema, biologics, particularly dupilumab. Case reports and observational studies, including a large study published in JAMA Dermatology in 2025, have raised the possibility that these medications might trigger psoriasis in some patients, potentially by shifting the immune system from one inflammatory pattern to another. However, prior studies on this question had important methodological limitations: they were not pre-planned and registered before data collection, they did not always tightly link treatment use to an eczema diagnosis, and critically, none compared biologic treatment directly against conventional immunosuppressant medications, the most relevant clinical comparator. Added value of this studyThis study is a large and methodologically rigorous investigation of both questions: whether eczema itself increases the risk of developing psoriasis, and whether the type of systemic treatment used for eczema influences that risk. Using a database of over 110 million electronic health records from across the United States, we matched approximately 300,000 patients with eczema to 300,000 patients without eczema and followed them for up to seven years. We also compared nearly 5,500 patients treated with biologics to an equal number treated with conventional immunosuppressants. Crucially, our study was pre-registered before any data were analyzed, meaning the research questions, methods, and analyses were locked in advance and could not be adjusted based on what the data showed. We also used a range of additional analyses to test whether our findings were robust, including checks using outcomes that should not be affected by eczema or its treatment (such as appendectomy and hearing loss), which confirmed that our results were not likely explained by bias alone. We found that eczema was associated with an increased risk of developing psoriasis, but that this risk was substantially influenced by the choice of comparison group, ranging from approximately 1.4-fold to nearly 4-fold depending on the analytical approach. More strikingly, we found that patients treated with biologics had a markedly lower risk of developing psoriasis compared with those treated with conventional immunosuppressants, the opposite of what prior reports had suggested. This finding was consistent across nearly all additional analyses performed. Implications of all the available evidenceTaken together with existing evidence, these findings suggest two important conclusions. First, clinicians should be aware that eczema, particularly moderate-to-severe eczema requiring systemic treatment, may carry an elevated risk of developing psoriasis over time. This does not mean that all patients with eczema need to be screened for psoriasis routinely, but it does support clinical awareness and monitoring in higher-risk patients. Second, and perhaps most importantly for treatment decisions, biologics do not appear to increase the risk of psoriasis compared with conventional immunosuppressants and may in fact be associated with a lower risk. This provides reassurance for patients and clinicians considering biologic therapy and challenges the narrative that these medications trigger psoriasis. Future research should aim to confirm these findings in other populations, investigate the biological mechanisms underlying the relationship between eczema and psoriasis, and examine whether specific biologic agents differ from one another in their effects on psoriasis risk.
Pasin, C.; Jackson, S. S.; Thynne, L.-E.; McWade, B.; Westerman, T.; Ball, R.; Kavanagh, J.; O'Callaghan, S.; Ring, K.; Orkin, C.; Berner, A. M.
Show abstract
ObjectivesTo estimate current, and 5- and 10-year projected, number of cases of cancer per year in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England, overall and by tumour type, accounting for uptake of gender affirming care (GAC). DesignPopulation-based epidemiological modelling study using an age-stratified Monte Carlo simulations approach and the NORDPRED method for predictions. SettingModels estimating cancer case numbers for TGD people in England based on publicly available 2023 cancer surveillance data and survey-based 2025 GAC access, and predicted at 5 and 10 years hence. ParticipantsTGD people aged 15 years and above. Main outcome measuresPrimary cancer cases per year overall, by gender, age group, tumour type, and current and planned GAC. ResultsThe estimated TGD population size in England is 441547 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 429207- 452890). Total cases per year of cancer in TGD people is expected to be 966 (95% UI 882-1069) excluding non-melanoma skin. Most cases are expected to occur in people aged 60-64. The top 5 expected cancers in TGD people are breast (19%, n = 187, 95% UI 149-241), colorectal (12%, n = 117, 95% UI 106-129), lung (11%, n = 108, 95% UI 96-122), melanoma (7.1%, n = 69, 95% UI 64-74) and urinary (6.2%, n = 60, 95% UI 54-67). Total cases of cancer in TGD people are estimated to be 1740 (95% UI 1584-1934) in 5 years and 2258 (95% UI 2066-2507) in 10 years (excluding non-melanoma skin). If TGD people were able to access their planned level of GAC, this would reduce these figures to 1555 (95% CI 1386-1766) and 2012 (95% CI 1797-2282) respectively. ConclusionsThis study provides prediction of cancer cases in TGD people in England, supporting the planning of service provision and training. This is vital, as with increasing disclosure, and long wait times for GAC, cancer cases in TGD people are predicted to increase. Summary BoxesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSThe annual number of cases of cancer in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England is currently unknown as gender incongruence is not collected as part of the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service. Some gender-affirming care (GAC) interventions are known to modulate cancer risk. Use of testosterone and chest reconstruction for transmasculine people is known to reduce their incidence of breast cancer compared to cisgender women. Use of oestradiol alongside medical or surgical androgen suppression has been shown to reduce the incidence of prostate cancer in transfeminine people while increasing their risk of breast cancer, compared to cisgender men. What this study addsThis study found that there are likely to be approximately 966 cases of cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin) in TGD people per year in the UK. Though total annual cases of cancer in TGD people are expected to be 2258 in 10 years, improved access to gender-affirming care could reduce total cases to 2012 (a 11% reduction). These figures provide additional justification for funding to improve access to GAC via the National Health Service (NHS), as well as for training on the oncological needs of this population.
Leuenberger, L. M.; Shoman, Y.; Romero, F.; Deligianni, X.; Hartung, A.; Mozun, R.; Goebel, N.; Bielicki, J. A.; Burckhardt, M.-A.; Latzin, P.; Saner, C.; Posfay-Barbe, K. M.; Schwitzgebel, V.; Giannoni, E.; Hauschild, M.; Stocker, M.; Righini-Grunder, F.; Lauener, R.; Mueller, P.; Schlapbach, L. J.; Jenni, O. G.; Spycher, B. D.; Kuehni, C. E.; Belle, F. N.; for the SwissPedHealth Consortium,
Show abstract
OBJECTIVE: Anthropometric data are critical in paediatric care, routinely assessed during clinical visits, and available in electronic health records (EHRs). We describe the feasibility of extracting anthropometric data from heterogeneous EHR systems of Swiss childrens hospitals, evaluate their availability and quality, and assess the cohorts representativeness of the general population. METHODS: In this multicentre study (SwissPedGrowth), we retrospectively collected EHRs from patients <20 years who visited hospitals in Basel, Bern, Geneva, Lausanne, Luzern, St. Gallen, or Zurich between 2017-2023. Sociodemographic, administrative, and clinical information from EHRs were provided in a standardized way by a paediatric national data stream (SwissPedHealth), including the Swiss Neighbourhood Index of Socioeconomic Position (Swiss-SEP). We counted anthropometric recordings per visit to describe availability and used a self-developed and an existing (growthcleanr) algorithm to investigate data quality. To assess representativeness, we compared sociodemographic characteristics between SwissPedGrowth and the general paediatric population in Switzerland, computed standardized differences (effect size: 0.2 small, 0.5 medium, 0.8 large), and weighted the study population to reduce differences. RESULTS: We included 477,531 patients and 2,171,633 hospital visits; 54% boys, 71% Swiss, mean Swiss-SEP 65 (SD: 11), and median age at visit 6.3 [IQR: 2.3, 11.8] years. Height recordings were available for 20% of the visits, weights for 43%, and head circumferences for 5%, with better availability for inpatient stays than outpatient or emergency visits. Combining the self-developed and existing algorithm, 4% of heights and 3% of weights were flagged as outliers and 29% of heights and 31% of weights as carried forward from previous visits or same day duplicates. Sociodemographic differences between SwissPedGrowth and the general population were small or small-to-medium and disappeared after weighting. CONCLUSION: SwissPedGrowth demonstrates feasibility of extracting high-quality anthropometric data for paediatric growth research, but challenges regarding completeness and harmonization of EHR data across Swiss hospitals remain.
Santorelli, G.; Cheung, R. W.; Bhopal, S.; Wright, J.
Show abstract
Objective To examine ethnic differences in the incidence and age-related trajectories of childhood health conditions from birth to adolescence within a UK birth cohort. Design Longitudinal population-based birth cohort with linkage to primary care electronic health records. Setting Born in Bradford (BiB), a multi-ethnic birth cohort in Bradford, UK. Participants 13,282 children (36% White British, 44% Pakistani British, 20% other ethnicity) born 2007 to 2011 with linked primary care records and over 1 year follow-up. Main outcome measures Incident diagnoses of atopic conditions (asthma, eczema, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis), overweight/obesity, common mental health disorders (anxiety, depression), and neurodevelopmental disorders (including ADHD and autism). Incidence rates, Kaplan-Meier cumulative incidence, and Cox regression hazards ratios (HRs) were estimated. Results Atopic conditions emerged early (median onset 5 to 6 years) and were more common among Pakistani British children, with higher hazards of eczema (HR 2.29, 95% CI 2.01 to 2.61), allergic rhinoconjunctivitis (HR 2.27, 2.00 to 2.58), and asthma (HR 1.35, 1.22 to 1.50). Overweight/ obesity developed later (median 9 to 10 years) and were also more frequent in Pakistani British children (HR 1.25, 1.16 to 1.35). In contrast, common mental health disorders emerged predominantly in early adolescence (median around 13 years), and both mental health and neurodevelopmental diagnoses were more frequently recorded among White British children; Pakistani British children had lower hazards of neurodevelopmental diagnoses (HR 0.28, 0.23 to 0.35) and mental health disorders (HR 0.53, 0.41 to 0.70). Conclusions Ethnic differences in childhood health are condition-specific and vary by age of onset, emerging at distinct stages. These findings inform the timing of prevention, service planning, and research into underlying mechanism.
Trkulja, V.
Show abstract
Background. Recent meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) claimed efficacy of higher-dose fluvoxamine (2 x 100 mg/day, as opposed to 2 x 50 mg/day) in prevention of disease deterioration in adults with mild - moderate COVID-19 disease. Objectives. Investigate whether such claims are supported by the data. Methods. Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs evaluating higher-dose fluvoxamine in this indication. Results. Seven studies declared as RCTs were identified, one of which was severely biased (open-label, non-standardized and unreported standard of care as a control), and eventually ended as non-randomized (huge attrition). Composite endpoints of deterioration in the 6 included placebo-controlled trials contained elements susceptible to error and bias. Three trials were small (<100 patients/arm), three were larger (270 - 750 patients/arm). Deaths and need for mechanical ventilation were sporadic and observed in only one trial. Hospitalizations were also sporadic in 5/6 trials. Frequentist methods generally appropriate for random-effects analysis of low number of trials with rare outcomes (generalized linear mixed models, beta-binomial or binomial-normal) greatly underestimated heterogeneity, but still did not document benefits regarding the composite endpoints or hospitalizations. Bayesian hierarchical models revealed huge heterogeneity and indicated no benefit regarding: (i) composites of deterioration, large trials OR = 0.78 (95% CrI 0.55 - 1.21); multiplicity corrected OR = 0.87 (0.64 - 1.21); (ii) hospitalizations, small trials OR = 0.88 (0.45 - 1.72); large trials OR = 0.94 (0.52 - 1.75); all trials OR = 0.81 (0.47 - 1.43). Heterogeneity was unlikely due to clinical particulars (vaccination status, treatment duration, time horizon), and more likely due to unidentified bias. Conclusions. RCTs do not support efficacy of higher-dose fluvoxamine in prevention of disease deterioration in adults with mild - moderate COVID-19 disease.
Blythe, R.; Senanayake, S.; Bylstra, Y.; Roberts, J.; Choi, C.; Yeo, M. J.; Goh, J.; Graves, N.; Koh, A. L.; Jamuar, S. S.
Show abstract
BackgroundCarrier screening for inherited genetic disorders can reduce the burden of conditions that lead to childhood morbidity and mortality, including thalassaemia, cystic fibrosis, and spinal muscular atrophy. To be successful, national carrier screening programs should aim to maximise uptake, which may depend on population preferences for screening characteristics. In this study, we aimed to determine how expanded carrier screening in Singapore should be designed based on operational factors including suggested copayments, wait times, and disorders included in screening panels. MethodsWe elicited stated preferences for the design of a hypothetical national carrier screening program with seven attributes from 500 Singaporeans of reproductive age (18 to 54). A discrete choice experiment was applied using 30 choice tasks with 3 alternatives per task, divided between 3 blocks. The mixed multinomial logit model was used to estimate willingness-to-pay for each attribute level. Predicted uptake for three plausible screening programs was assessed, with copayment amounts from $0 to $1,200 in increments of $30. Impact on the annual national budget was calculated as a function of 25,000 expected eligible couples per year. All costs were reported in 2026 SGD. ResultsRespondents showed the strongest preferences for cost, followed by the number of diseases included in the panel, then wait times, with limited impact of remaining attributes. With no copayments, predicted uptake ranged from 85% [95% CI: 83% to 87%] to 90% [88% to 92%] for the basic and utility-maximising screening programs, respectively. This declined to 61% [56% to 66%] and 69% [65% to 73%] and, respectively, at a copayment of $1,200 per test. The model predicted higher uptake if a selection of screening alternatives were available, compared to a single program. The budget impact was highly dependent on population eligibility, copayments, and couples decision-making processes, but was unlikely to exceed $22.5m [$19.0m to $26.6m] per year unless expanded beyond married couples. ConclusionsThere was high predicted demand for carrier screening even as copayments increased. Successful strategies to improve uptake may include reducing copays and wait times, increasing the number of screening options available to prospective parents, and increasing program eligibility beyond pre-conception married couples.
Scanlon, I.; Rawlings, A.; Tucker, D.; Thayer, D. S.; Evans, H. T.; Given, J.; Jones, S.; Loane, M.; Morgan, C.; Morris, J. K.; Jordan, S.
Show abstract
Background Education outcomes predict life chances. However, poverty, ill-health and disability are barriers to achievement. We examined determinants of academic attainment of children with and without major congenital anomalies in state-funded mainstream schools at ages 11 and 16 (key stages [KS] 2 and 4). Methods and Findings Routinely collected electronic records for children born in Wales 01/01/1998-31/12/2007 until 31/12/2019 were linked in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. Education outcomes were explored using logistic regression, adjusting for: anomalies, maternal and child deprivation, prescribing, hospitalisation, gestation length, childs sex, and special education needs (SEN) provision. Children with anomalies were less likely to achieve academic standards: however, attainment was more closely associated with affluence. At age 11, 81.87% (7167/8754) with and 93.80% (232,450/247,814) without anomalies passed (odds ratio [OR] 0.30, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.28-0.32). At age 16, 46.76% (2070/4427) with and 56.10% (69,732/124,300) without anomalies achieved 5 General Certificates of Secondary Education (GCSEs) at grades C-A* including English/Welsh, Maths and Science (EWMS) (OR 0.69, 0.65-0.73). Discrepancies narrowed in adjusted analyses, particularly when SEN provision was accounted: aOR 0.72 (0.66-0.78) at KS2, and aOR 0.93, (0.87-1.00) for 5 GCSEs C-A* with EWMS. These GCSEs were achieved by 29.65% (307/1034) children with anomalies and 38.42% (10,875/28,305) of unaffected children in the most deprived quintile{dagger}: in the most affluent quintile, figures were 67.57% (547/810) and 74.98% (16,978/22,644). Children with anomalies, receiving maximum SEN support, eligible for Free School Meals (FSM) were the least successful: 5/192 (2.6%) passed 5 GCSEs C-A* with EWMS, as did 37/354 (10.4%) ineligible for FSM. The strongest associations with these GCSEs were SEN statements (aOR 0.07, 0.06-0.07), FSM eligibility (aOR 0.39, 0.37-0.41), and epilepsy (aOR 0.60, 0.45-0.80). However, data were unavailable for 15-18% of children, mainly those educated outside mainstream schools, and some co-morbidities. Generalisation of findings to other countries rests with readers. Conclusions Many children with anomalies from affluent households succeeded. The children left behind lived with poverty and ill-health from congenital anomalies and/or epilepsy. SEN provision mitigated the impact of disadvantage, but poor children with anomalies were unlikely to succeed. {dagger}taking maternal Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) 2014 at birth.
Papi, A.; Halpin, D. M. G.; Feldman, R. G.; Ison, M. G.; Schwarz, T. F.; Lee, D.-G.; Incalzi, R. A.; Fissette, L.; Xavier, S.; David, M.-P.; Michaud, J.-P.; Kotb, S.; Marechal, C.; Olivier, A.; Hulstrom, V.; Van der Wielen, M.; the AReSVi-006 study group,
Show abstract
BackgroundWe explored the efficacy of AS01E-adjuvanted respiratory syncytial virus prefusion F protein-based vaccine (adjuvanted RSVPreF3) in subpopulations of participants with underlying medical conditions in the multi-country, phase 3 AReSVi-006 trial (conducted May/2021-May/2024). MethodsMedically stable [≥]60-year-olds were 1:1-randomised to receive one adjuvanted RSVPreF3 or placebo dose pre-RSV season 1. In exploratory post-hoc analyses in subgroups of participants with underlying conditions (including COPD, asthma, diabetes, obesity [BMI[≥]30 kg/m2]), we evaluated efficacy of one vaccine dose against RSV-related lower respiratory tract disease (RSV-LRTD), acute respiratory illness (RSV-ARI), and RSV-ARI-related complications (e.g., pneumonia, COPD/asthma exacerbation, cardiovascular events). We also evaluated (post-hoc) RSV-ARI-related systemic corticosteroid and antibiotics use in participants with COPD or asthma. ResultsThe efficacy analyses comprised 12,468 vaccine and 12,498 placebo recipients. Efficacy against RSV-LRTD over three RSV seasons was similar among participants with COPD (75.1%, 95% CI: 40.2-91.4), asthma (65.8%, 31.0-84.7), diabetes (69.8%, 37.5-87.1), and obesity (74.1%, 56.4-85.5) as in the overall study population (62.9%, 97.5% CI: 46.7-74.8). Efficacy was also observed against RSV-ARI in these subgroups. Efficacy against RSV-ARI-related complications was 74.4% (95% CI: 11.2-95.2) in participants with COPD and 60.8% (-9.9-88.7) in those with asthma. Among participants with COPD, 15.4% (1.9-45.4) of RSV-ARI episodes in vaccine vs 22.4% (12.5-35.3) in placebo recipients were treated with systemic corticosteroids, and 46.2% (19.2-74.9) vs 56.9% (43.2-69.8) with antibiotics. ConclusionsPost-hoc analyses of the AReSVi-006 trial suggest that adjuvanted RSVPreF3 may help prevent RSV-ARI, RSV-LRTD, and RSV-related complications in medically stable older adults with underlying medical conditions like COPD and asthma. Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04886596 SummaryPost-hoc analyses of the AReSVi-006 trial suggest that 1 dose of adjuvanted RSVPreF3 may help prevent RSV-related illness and complications over 3 consecutive RSV seasons in subgroups of [≥]60-year-olds with chronic medical conditions, e.g., COPD and asthma.
Mutibwa, S.; Wandiembe, S.; Mbonye, K.; Nsimbe, D.
Show abstract
Background: Preterm births contribute to approximately 35% of neonatal deaths globally, with an estimated 13.4 million infants born prematurely each year. Despite this substantial burden, limited evidence exists on time to discharge and its determinants among preterm neonates admitted to Neonatal Intensive Care Units (NICUs), particularly in rural Ugandan settings. This study aimed to investigate time to discharge and associated factors among preterm neonates admitted to Kiwoko Hospital in Nakaseke District, Uganda. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from Kiwoko Hospital on preterm neonates admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) between 2020 and 2021 (n = 847). The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the probability of discharge within 28 days of admission, accounting for competing events. A Fine and Gray sub-distribution hazard regression model was fitted to identify factors associated with time to discharge. Results: Of the 847 preterm admissions, 70.1% were discharged alive within 28 days. The median time to discharge was 14 days. The cumulative incidence of discharge by 28 days was 68%, accounting for competing events. During follow-up, 165 neonates did not complete the 28-day period, including 88 deaths. Factors significantly associated with time to discharge included place of delivery (SHR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.53-0.73; p<0.001), maternal residence in other districts (SHR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.48-0.99; p=0.044), extreme preterm (SHR: 0.05; 95% CI: 0.03-0.09; p<0.001), very preterm (SHR: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.14-0.25; p<0.001), moderate preterm (SHR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.76; p<0.001), triplet births (SHR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.23-0.68; p=0.001), 2-4 ANC visits (SHR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.56-0.87; p=0.002), <=1 ANC visit (SHR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49-0.85; p=0.002), respiratory distress syndrome (SHR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.48-0.74; p<0.001), and birth trauma (SHR: 2.62; 95% CI: 1.60-4.29; p<0.001). Conclusions: Respiratory distress syndrome, fewer antenatal care visits, out-of-district residence, and higher degrees of prematurity were associated with prolonged time to discharge among preterm neonates. Strengthening antenatal care utilization and improving access to quality neonatal care in underserved areas may enhance discharge outcomes.
Li, N.
Show abstract
BackgroundMindfulness-based interventions (MBIs) have been increasingly adopted in educational settings to support cognitive development in youth. Executive function (EF)--encompassing inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility--is a plausible target of MBI given its reliance on attention regulation. However, prior reviews have yielded mixed conclusions, partly due to inconsistent construct definitions and the pooling of heterogeneous outcome measures. ObjectivesTo (1) estimate the pooled effect of MBI on EF in youth aged 3-18 years using only construct-validated, direct EF measures, (2) examine potential moderators including age group, EF domain, and risk of bias, and (3) test dose-response relationships via meta-regression on intervention duration. MethodsWe searched PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception to March 2026, supplemented by reference-list searches from two existing systematic reviews and a scoping review. Only English-language publications were eligible. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or quasi-RCTs of MBI (excluding yoga-only interventions) in typically developing youth, with at least one direct behavioural or computerised EF outcome. Risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane RoB 2. Hedges g was computed for each study, and pooled using a DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. Subgroup analyses by age group, EF domain, and risk of bias were conducted, alongside leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, Eggers regression test, trim-and-fill, and Knapp-Hartung-adjusted meta-regression on intervention duration. Evidence certainty was rated using GRADE. ResultsThirteen RCTs (nine school-age, four preschool; total N = 1,560) met inclusion criteria. The pooled effect was g = 0.365 (95% CI 0.264 to 0.465; p < .00001), with negligible heterogeneity (I2 = 0.0%; Q = 6.76, p = .87). Effects were consistent across age groups (school-age g = 0.389; preschool g = 0.318) and EF domains (inhibitory control, working memory, cognitive flexibility; pbetween = .60). Meta-regression on intervention duration (4-20 weeks) was non-significant (p = .79). The effect was robust in leave-one-out analyses, in the low risk-of-bias subgroup (g = 0.361; k = 8), and after trim-and-fill adjustment (g = 0.354). The 95% prediction interval (0.252 to 0.477) was entirely positive. GRADE certainty was rated MODERATE, downgraded once for risk of bias. ConclusionsMBIs appear to produce a small, statistically significant improvement in EF in youth aged 3-18 years, with moderate certainty of evidence per the GRADE framework. The effect is consistent across preschool and school-age samples and across EF domains, with no significant dose-response relationship within the 4-20 week range studied. Emerging mediation evidence suggests that EF improvement may serve as an important pathway through which MBI supports emotion regulation, though this requires replication. Further large-scale, pre-registered RCTs with active control conditions and longitudinal follow-up are warranted.
Abdolahnejad, M.; Kyremeh, M.; Smith, J.; Fang, G.; Chan, H. O.; Joshi, R.; Hong, C.
Show abstract
Background: Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a prevalent chronic inflammatory skin disease associated with clinical, psychosocial, and economic burden. Accurate severity assessment is essential for guiding treatment escalation and monitoring disease activity, yet clinician-based scoring systems such as the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI) are limited by subjectivity and considerable inter- and intra-rater variability. Erythema, a key driver of AD severity grading, is particularly prone to inconsistent evaluation due to differences in ambient lighting, device quality, skin tone, and rater experience, underscoring the need for objective, reproducible assessment tools. Objective: To develop and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) pipeline for grading erythema, excoriation, and lichenification severity in AD from clinical photographs. The study evaluated the level of agreement between AI severity ratings in each category against dermatologists, non-specialists, and a consensus reference standard, with erythema as the primary outcome of interest. Methods: A two-stage AI pipeline was developed using EfficientNet B7 convolutional neural networks (CNNs). The first CNN was trained as a binary AD classifier on 451 AD and 601 non-AD images for lesion detection and segmentation. The second CNN was trained on 173 dermatologist-annotated AD images which were scored on a 0-3 ordinal scale for erythema, excoriation, and lichenification. This CNN had a downstream feature extraction algorithms such red channel contrast for erythema, Law's E5L5 for excoriation, and S5L5 texture maps for lichenification. In a cross-sectional validation study, 41 independent test images were scored by two blinded dermatologists and two blinded physicians. AI predictions were compared to individual rater groups and mode-derived consensus scores using weighted Cohen's kappa, classification accuracy, confusion matrices, and error direction analyses. Results: On internal validation, the severity CNN achieved 84% overall accuracy (averaged across all three attributes), 86% sensitivity, 87% specificity, and a macro-averaged area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.90. In the external comparison with blinded human raters, erythema agreement between the AI and dermatologist consensus was substantial (accuracy 80.7%; kappa = 0.68), with no large (>2-point) misclassifications. Physician consensus agreement was lower (accuracy 54.8%; kappa = 0.34), reflecting greater variability among primary care physicians (non-specialists). For excoriation, AI-dermatologist agreement was moderate (accuracy 72.4%; kappa = 0.62); for lichenification, agreement was similar (accuracy 71.4%; kappa = 0.59). Across all features, disagreements were predominantly between adjacent severity categories. The AI was able to generate erythema severity grades for images of darker skin tones that dermatologists typically would not rate and were marked as "unable to assess". Limitations: The validation set was small (41 images), severe cases (score 3) were underrepresented, one rater participated in both training annotation and validation scoring, and sample size was insufficient for robust stratification by skin tone or body site. Conclusion: The AI pipeline demonstrated dermatologist-level accuracy for erythema scoring, consistent moderate agreement for excoriation and lichenification, and a potential advantage in assessing erythema on darker skin tones. These findings support its potential as a standardized, objective tool for AD severity assessment. Prospective validation in larger, more diverse cohorts is warranted.
Fleet, D. M.; Messenger, A.; Bryden, A.; Harris, M. j.; Holmes, S.; Farrant, P.; Leaker, B.; Takwale, A.; Oakford, M.; Kaur, M.; Mowbray, M.; Macbeth, A.; Gangwani, P.; Gkini, M. a.; Jolliffe, V.
Show abstract
Background In clinical trials for alopecia areata (AA) the treatment effect (percentage of hair loss) is estimated using the Severity of Alopecia Tool (SALT) score. Trials in patients with severe AA (>=50% hair loss) employed a local rating of the SALT score performed at trial sites by different investigators. However, in mild-to-moderate AA (<= 50% hair loss) where SALT scores are lower, potential inter rater variability and margin of error may compromise the results. Objectives To compare Centralised and Local measurement of hair loss in mild moderate AA. Methods In a Phase 2 clinical trial a centralised measurement of hair loss was performed from photographic images taken using a standardised protocol and professional camera equipment. Local scoring was also undertaken at screening/baseline for eligibility. We assessed: the repeatability of the central system (screening vs baseline values), the reproducibility of the central versus the local rating system and the potential impact of each method on the endpoints using a Monte-Carlo simulation method. Results There was good agreement and consistency of scoring with Central rating. This provided much smaller margins of error, 50% lower than Local rating. The simulations demonstrated that substituting Local rating for Central rating would result in a reduction of the likelihood of a statistically significant outcome by at least 50% depending on the SALT score defined clinical response endpoint. Conclusions Central rating is most appropriate in the Phase 2 learning stage of clinical development and provides an accurate representation of the quantity of hair loss, minimising error and ensuring consistency in measurements.
Shet, A.; Raj, M. B.; Sannigrahi, S.; Seenappa, B.; Reddy, L.; Sharma, A. A.; Narayanan, A. G.; Satish Kumar, S.; Ganapathi, L.
Show abstract
BackgroundAdolescents and young adults with perinatally acquired HIV (APHIV) face complex psychosocial and structural challenges that may undermine resilience, a modifiable psychosocial determinant of treatment engagement, and health outcomes. Evidence on peer-led interventions targeting resilience among APHIV in South Asia remains limited. We evaluated resilience and its correlates among participants in the ImPossible Fellowship, a peer-led mentorship intervention in India. MethodsWe conducted a cross-sectional evaluation of 216 APHIV following completion of the 24-month ImPossible Fellowship in southern India in 2024. Surveys administered by trained youth investigators assessed sociodemographic, educational, and clinical characteristics. Resilience was measured using the Child and Youth Resilience Measure-Revised (CYRM-R), a validated multidimensional tool capturing personal and relational resilience dimensions. Low resilience was defined as CYRM-R threshold score [≤]33rd percentile. Multivariate logistic regression identified independent correlates of low resilience, and sensitivity analyses explored alternative CYRM-R thresholds. ResultsParticipants had a mean age of 18.7 years (range 9-24); 50% had no surviving parents, and 43% lived in child care institutions. Median resilience scores were high (74, Interquartile range [IQR] 69-78), and 91% achieved viral suppression. In multivariate analyses, three factors were independently associated with low resilience: loss of both parents (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.35, 95% CI 2.09-9.06), school discontinuation (aOR 2.43, 95% CI 1.10-5.34), and self-reported communication barriers at HIV clinics (aOR 5.83, 95% CI 2.69-12.64). These associations were consistent across sensitivity analyses at alternative resilience thresholds. At the most stringent threshold of low resilience (CYRM-R score [≤]15th percentile), unsuppressed viral load also emerged as a significant correlate, suggesting that treatment failure may be concentrated among those with the most severely compromised resilience. ConclusionsAPHIV participating in a peer-led mentorship program demonstrated high overall resilience and viral suppression, but also revealed addressable vulnerabilities mapping to specific programmatic priorities. Peer-led models offer a promising foundational platform; however, complementary structural and psychosocial enhancements targeting these modifiable determinants are essential to optimize outcomes for those facing the greatest cumulative adversity.
Bailey, M.; Hammerton, G.; Fairchild, G.; Tsunga, L.; Hoffman, N.; Burd, T.; Shadwell, R.; Danese, A.; Armour, C.; Zar, H. J.; Stein, D. J.; Donald, K. A.; Halligan, S. L.
Show abstract
ObjectiveThere is little longitudinal research investigating links between violence exposure and mental disorders among children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite high rates of violence. We examined cross-sectional and longitudinal violence-mental health associations among children in a large South African birth cohort, the Drakenstein Child Health Study, including direct clinical interviews capturing childrens mental disorders. MethodIn this birth cohort (N=974), we assessed lifetime violence exposure and four subtypes (witnessed community, community victimization, witnessed domestic, domestic victimization) at ages 4.5 and 8-years via caregiver reports. At 8-years, caregivers completed the Child Behaviour Checklist; and psychiatric disorders were assessed using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview for Children and Adolescents, a self-report measure. We tested for associations using linear/logistic regressions, adjusted for confounders. ResultsMost children (91%) had experienced violence by 8-years. Cross-sectionally, total violence exposure was associated with total (B =0.49 [95% CI 0.32, 0.66]), internalizing (0.32 [0.17, 0.47]), and externalizing problems (0.46 [0.31, 0.61]), and with increased odds of disorder at 8 years (aOR=1.09 [1.05, 1.13]). Longitudinally, total violence exposure up to 4.5-years was associated with total (B=0.27 [0.03, 0.52]), internalizing (0.24 [0.04. 0.44]), and externalizing scores (0.23 [0.008, 0.45]) at 8-years, but not with increased risk of psychiatric disorders. The strongest and most consistent associations were observed for domestic versus community violence subtypes. ConclusionOur strong cross-sectional but weaker longitudinal findings suggest that recent violence exposures may be more critical than early exposures for childrens mental health. Longitudinal exploration of other violence-affected LMIC populations is urgently needed.
Liu, Y.; Levinson, S. L.; Kowalik, E.; Pronchik, J.; Kobzik, L.; DiNubile, M. J.
Show abstract
Background Plasma gelsolin (pGSN) is a non-immunosuppressive anti-inflammatory immunomodulator with demonstrated efficacy in animal models of acute lung injury. Its potential role in moderate-to-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is currently under investigation. Methods We conducted a phase 1, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study to evaluate the safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics of recombinant human pGSN (rhu-pGSN) following intravenous (IV) administration to healthy volunteers. Thirty-two participants were assigned to 4 sequentially ascending dose cohorts (6, 12, 18, 24 mg/kg of body weight) to receive five IV infusions of rhu-pGSN or saline placebo. Each cohort includes 8 subjects randomized 3:1 with rhu-pGSN or placebo. Doses were administered at 0 hours, 12 hours, 36 hours, 60 hours, and 84 hours. The primary outcome is the incidence and severity of clinical and laboratory AEs regardless of causality. Secondary outcomes include the pharmacokinetics of IV rhu-pGSN and the presence of anti-rhu-pGSN antibodies at Day 28. Results Overall, 10 subjects (41.7%) who received rhu-pGSN reported a total of 13 adverse events (AEs), and 1 subject (12.5%) who received placebo reported an AE. All AEs were mild or moderate. AEs in system organ classes that were reported by 2 or more subjects in either arm were skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders (12.5% rhu-pGSN; 0% placebo), gastrointestinal disorders (8.3% rhu-pGSN; 0% placebo), and nervous system disorders (12.5% rhu-pGSN; 12.5% placebo). No AEs by preferred term were reported by more than 1 subject in either arm. Three subjects (12.5%) experienced an AE assessed as related to study drug. No serious AEs occurred, and no AEs led to study discontinuation, dose interruption/reduction, or death. There were no apparent between-treatment differences in laboratory abnormalities, vital signs, or electrocardiogram findings. Conclusions Overall, in this study, IV rhu-pGSN (up to 24 mg/kg daily) appeared safe and well tolerated compared to placebo. The median half-life of rhu-pGSN exceeded 14 h across all dosing regimens, supporting once daily IV dosing in healthy subjects. Trial registration This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov on 2023-03-29 under the registration identifier NCT05789745.
Maphosa, T.; Machekano, R.; Denoeud-Ndam, L.; Makonokaya, L.; Chilikutali, L.; Kalitera, L. U.; Matiya, E.; Mayi, A.; Musarandega, R.; Matola, B. W.; Berhan, A. Y.; Ahimbisibwe, A.; Tiam, A.
Show abstract
BackgroundTo promote sustainability and strengthen national ownership of Advanced HIV Disease (AHD) services, a transition was implemented across 22 health facilities in Central Malawi. This transition involved shifting responsibility for key AHD program elements, including clinical service delivery, diagnostics, provider mentorship, and reporting systems, from implementing partner-led implementation to full Ministry of Health (MoH) leadership. This evaluation assessed the impact of this transition on diagnostic coverage, TB preventive therapy (TPT) uptake, and 12-month survival outcomes. MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted involving all children and adults enrolled in AHD care during the pre-MoH transition (January 2020-December 2021) and post-MoH transition (January 2023-December 2024) periods. Eligibility followed national AHD criteria: CD4 count <200 cells/mm3, WHO stage 3 or 4 illness, or age <5 years. AHD clients data were abstracted from clinical records and linked across routine facility registers to assess diagnostic and treatment indicators. Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox proportional hazards, and Fine and Gray competing risk models were used to evaluate 6 and 12-month mortality and retention as primary outcomes. ResultsA total of 1,044 AHD clients were included (553 pre-transition; 491 post-transition) in the evaluation. Median age increased post-transition (35.9 to 38.5 years, p<0.001). CD4 testing declined (80.7% to 46.0%, p<0.001) testing uptake, while WHO staging and TB diagnostic coverage improved. TB diagnoses decreased (44.5% to 31.2%, p=0.002). TPT uptake dropped from 46.4% to 31.6% (p<0.001). Twelve-month mortality significantly declined from 9.4% to 5.5% (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=0.59, 95% CI: 0.37-0.94, p=0.026). Retention in care remained stable (HR=0.86, 95% CI: 0.62- 1.20, p=0.384). ConclusionsTransitioning AHD services to MoH leadership sustained key program outcomes and significantly reduced mortality. Continued mentorship and government ownership were key drivers of success. However, declines in CD4 testing and TPT coverage highlight the need for strengthened diagnostics and preventive care integration. These findings support scaling nationally-led AHD models in high-burden HIV settings.
Ringheim-Bakka, T. A.; Gammelsaeter, R.; Tveit, K. S.
Show abstract
BackgroundPsoriasis is a chronic immune-mediated inflammatory disease (IMID) with systemic involvement. In mild-to-moderate disease, circulating cytokines may inadequately capture systemic inflammatory burden. Composite haematological indices derived from complete blood counts, such as the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), have emerged as sensitive prognostic markers of systemic inflammation, including in psoriasis. This exploratory post hoc analysis investigated the effects of orally administered herring roe oil (HRO), a phospholipid-rich marine oil, on systemic inflammation in patients with mild-to-moderate psoriasis utilizing these biomarkers. MethodsData were analysed from a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled 26-week clinical study which investigated HRO supplementation in patients (N = 64) with mild-to-moderate psoriasis (NCT03359577). SII, SIRI, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were calculated at baseline, week 12, and week 26 for patients where baseline complete blood counts (CBCs) were available (n = 60). Patients missing baseline CBCs were excluded from the analysis. Continuous changes were assessed using ANCOVA with baseline adjustment. Categorical responder analyses were performed with 25% and 30% reduction thresholds and stratification by baseline biomarker medians were performed to evaluate treatment responses and impact of baseline inflammation. ResultsCompared with placebo, HRO treatment resulted in significant mean reductions in SII, SIRI, and PLR at week 26, with supportive trends and responder effects observed as early as week 12 compared to placebo. Patients with elevated baseline inflammatory indices showed the greatest reductions in systemic inflammation. Stratification by baseline SII further revealed enhanced clinical benefit, with statistically significant PASI50 response rates in the HRO arm at week 26 among patients with lower baseline SII. ConclusionHRO supplementation was associated with a time{square}dependent reduction in systemic inflammatory biomarkers in mild{square}to{square}moderate psoriasis patients. These findings support the utility of composite inflammatory indices for monitoring systemic inflammation and suggest that baseline SII may have utility in predicting treatment response and may be a useful tool for stratification in clinical trials in mild to moderate psoriasis patients. These results could also suggest platform-potential of HRO for resolution{square}oriented interventions across several inflammatory conditions.