eClinicalMedicine
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match eClinicalMedicine's content profile, based on 55 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
de Barros, B.; Maximus, N.; Sultana, F.; Acharya, B.; Pai, V. V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Alinda, M. D.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Nigusse, S. D.; Deanna, D. A.; Napit, I.; Mahesh, M.; Darlong, J.; Nicholls, P.; Genser, B.; Lambert, S.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.
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BACKGROUND Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of leprosy associated with disability, morbidity and mortality. Impairment of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in ENL has been reported using the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) and the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36), the latter validated in people affected by leprosy. Understanding the correlation between these measures is important to determine whether the shorter dermatology-specific DLQI provides a valid and practical measure of HRQoL in ENL. OBJECTIVES To examine the relationship between DLQI and SF-36 scores in individuals with ENL using data from the Methotrexate and Prednisolone study in ENL (MaPs in ENL). METHODS A post-hoc analysis of prospectively collected HRQoL data from the trial sites in India, Indonesia, and Nepal of the MaPs in ENL multicentre randomised clinical trial was performed. HRQoL was assessed using the DLQI and SF-36 at enrolment and at weeks 24, 48 and 60. Associations between DLQI and SF-36 physical (PCS) and mental (MCS) component summary scores were evaluated using correlation analyses and multivariable linear regression at enrolment, and linear mixed-effects models during follow-up adjusted for age, sex, recruiting centre and enrolment SF-36 scores. RESULTS A total of 383 paired HRQoL assessments from 129 participants were analysed. At enrolment, HRQoL impairment was substantial (median DLQI 19, IQR 15-21; mean PCS 30.3 + - 7.3; mean MCS 33.3 + - 8.4). DLQI scores improved markedly during follow-up. Across all timepoints, DLQI was strongly inversely correlated with PCS and MCS (both p<0.001). In adjusted analyses, higher DLQI scores were consistently associated with lower PCS and MCS. At enrolment, each 1-point increase in DLQI was associated with a 0.66-point reduction in PCS and a 0.51-point reduction in MCS (both p<0.001). These associations remained strong during follow-up, with no evidence that they varied over time. CONCLUSIONS DLQI scores were strongly and consistently associated with SF-36 physical and mental health scores. These findings support the use of the DLQI as a practical patient reported outcome measure to assess the HRQoL associated with ENL and its change following treatment.
Yu, S.; Pollard, J.; Reardon, T.; Creswell, C.; Wadman, R.; Violato, M.
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Mental health problems, including emotional problems, are linked to adverse educational outcomes among children and adolescents. This study examines the association between early onset of mental health problems generally, and emotional problems specifically, at ages 5-14, and outcomes from the General Certificate of Secondary Education (GCSE), a secondary education qualification, at age 16 for 4,783 students in England, using the Millennium Cohort Study dataset linked to the National Pupil Database. We found that the onset of mental health problems at ages 5, 7, 11 and 14 had a significant and negative association with all GCSE outcomes. We also found negative associations between early onset emotional problems and GCSE outcomes, although results were most stark for emotional problems that onset at age 11, with statistically significant negative associations with all GCSE outcomes. School absence was identified as a potential mediator of the negative association. Furthermore, this study found that the potential loss of productivity related to mental health problems in general and emotional problems in particular was over 23,000 sterling and 11,000 sterling per affected individual, respectively, which could translate into approximately 2.57 billion sterling and 1.6 billion sterling, respectively at the population level for England. These findings highlight the importance of early intervention for children and adolescents with mental health problems to improve educational and future outcomes.
Wagner, A. P.; Risebro, H.; Clark, A.; Stirling, S.; Sims, E.; Bion, V.; Blacklock, J.; Birt, L.; Bryant, R.; Cook, L.; Dean, T.; Wyn Griffiths, A.; Guillard, C.; Holland, R.; Jones, A. P.; Jones, L.; Katangwe-Chigamba, T.; Pitcher, J.; Scott, S.; Wright, D.; Patel, A.
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Introduction Care home (CH) influenza vaccination of staff improves resident health, yet uptake remains low at just over 11% (England, 2025/2026). We report an economic evaluation (EE) of "FluCare", an intervention to increase staff influenza vaccination through: vaccination clinics at CHs; promotional materials; and CH financial incentives. Method Seventy-five CHs were randomised to FluCare or control. A cost-consequence analysis took the influenza vaccination programme funder perspective, but also extended to the National Health Service (NHS) and CH perspective. Costs included: influenza vaccination; administration fee; FluCare components; CH resident NHS utilisation. Outcomes were: staff influenza vaccination rates; staff sickness; and resident mortality. Sensitivity analyses excluded intervention CHs that did not host vaccination clinics. Results Compared to control CHs, adjusted analysis found intervention homes with a mean absolute increase in vaccination rates of 1.8% (95% CI: -6.0%, 10.8%; p=0.572) at an increased cost of {pound}451 (95% CI: {pound}239, {pound}675; p<0.001) to the vaccination programme funders: {pound}249 per additional percentage point (PAPP) per CH. Vaccination clinics were delivered late in the influenza season, with 80% taking place from February 2023. Including only intervention CHs that hosted staff flu vaccination clinics (23/35), increases the mean difference to 10.1% (95% CI: 0.9%, 21.9%; p=0.018) and costs to {pound}805 (95% CI: {pound}603, {pound}1,079; p<0.001): {pound}79 PAPP per CH. Differences between trial arms in other costs and outcomes were marginal and generally non-significant. Conclusions FluCare delivered little improvement when staff flu vaccination clinics did not occur and had little impact on other costs/outcomes. Cost-effectiveness depends on willingness-to-pay for increased staff vaccination, but cost PAPP per CH improved from {pound}249 to {pound}79 when only CHs hosting clinics were considered. Late implementation, likely reduced impact by limiting clinic delivery, as reflected in sensitivity analysis. Future evaluations should implement FluCare earlier in the season.
John, J.; Khambhayta, A.; Lange, M.; Maher, F.; Localleti, C.; Kalk, N.; Carter, B.
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Background Smartphone ownership among UK adolescents is near universal. Teachers report phones increasingly being involved in classroom disruption, and misuse during school hours is among the more common serious behavioural issues in secondary schools. Evidence on whether restrictive policies improve behaviour, attainment, or wellbeing remains limited. Objectives The primary objective is to assess the impact of a lockable smartphone pouch on educational attainment and behaviour. Secondary objectives are to assess impacts on general functioning, psychological wellbeing, and school level indicators such as exclusions, and to examine whether effects differ for pupils who may be most at risk. Methods We will conduct a mixed methods cohort study in secondary schools across Northern Ireland and England during the 2025 to 2026 academic year. The quantitative component uses a serial cross sectional design. Students will complete an online questionnaire at 0, 4 weeks, and 8 weeks, covering homework completion, classroom disruption, participation in PE and extracurricular activities, peer interaction during break, and patterns of smartphone use. Measures include the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ), the Revised Child Anxiety and Depression Scale (RCADS), the short form of the Smartphone Addiction Scale (SAS SV), and the Bergen Social Media Addiction Scale (BSMAS). Each participating school will also supply half termly aggregate data on exclusions, detentions, CAMHS referrals, counsellor visits, and parent visits between September 2023 and May 2026. Assuming 90% power, a two-sided type 1 error of 0.05, an intracluster correlation of 0.02, and 25% loss to follow up, we aim to recruit a minimum of 3,200 students from six or more schools to detect a small effect (Cohen's d = 0.2) on SDQ hyperactivity score. Continuous outcomes will be analysed with linear regression and binary outcomes with logistic regression. Prespecified subgroup analyses cover SEN or neurodivergent status, area level deprivation, and which phone policy is in place at each school. Qualitative analyses comprise focus groups with students and staff at each participating school and semi-structured interviews with school leads. Transcripts will be coded both inductively and deductively and analysed thematically with Braun and Clarke's six phase approach. Ethics and Dissemination The study has been approved by the King's College London Research Ethics Committee. A Data Protection Impact Assessment has been agreed with the Northern Ireland Department of Education. Findings will be published in peer reviewed journals and shared with participating schools, parents, and policy makers to inform smartphone policy in schools.
Dixon, P.; Stewart, H.; Onyimadu, O.; Lim, D. B.; Davis, N.
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Background Early onset obesity in children, almost always accompanied by significant health complications, may be driven by rare genetic variants that influence appetite, metabolism, and nutrient absorption. Traditional treatment approaches are usually insufficient for those with monogenic obesity of this type. Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists, such as semaglutide, and related drugs such as melanocortin 4 receptor agonists, have emerged as promising first-line treatments for severe obesity. There is no established protocol or pathway in England for identifying children with monogenic obesity who could benefit from these and similar treatments Methods We undertook early economic modelling to examine the cost-effectiveness, from a health service perspective, of implementing a new pharmacotherapeutic care pathway for the identification and treatment of monogenic obesity in children. We modelled a hypothetical population of children with hyperphagia and body mass index (BMI) three standard deviations above mean values for age and sex. We evaluated the clinical decision to initiate the pathway using a decision tree model with patient quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and NHS healthcare costs 12 months from an initial clinic visit as outcomes, and calculated incremental cost effectiveness ratios and a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. Results Both costs and QALYs were higher under further investigation (GBP3,247 and 0.47 QALYs) compared to no further investigation (GBP1,589 and 0.24 QALYs). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio in the base case was GBP7,133 per QALY. Further examination of these children was therefore likely to be cost effective in this model. Conclusion A decision-tree model suggested that further investigation of severely obese children potentially eligible for treatment with semaglutide is likely to be cost-effective for the NHS. However, this result is associated with uncertainty arising from a lack of evidence for many key model parameters.
Ponce, L. J.; Xu, B.; Choo, E. L. W.; Chow, J. Y.; Rayapati, R.; Ling, B. Z. M.; Wee, L. E.; Li, R.; Lye, D. C. B.; Ooi, E. E.; Tan, K. B.; Lim, J. T.
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Background Post-acute sequelae are well described following COVID-19 but may also occur after other respiratory infections and Aedes-borne infections. Evidence remains fragmented due to heterogeneity in study design, populations, and exposure, outcome, and follow-up definitions. Methods We synthesized and compared post-acute sequelae across influenza, RSV-ARI, dengue fever, chikungunya, Zika, and yellow fever. We searched five databases from inception to 25-08-2025 for articles quantifying risk, incidence, or rates of post-acute sequelae following these diseases. Eligible non-randomized observational studies assessed post-acute neurological, psychiatric, gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, musculoskeletal, autoimmune, or endocrine outcomes after confirmed infection. Risk of bias was assessed using ROBINS-E. Random-effects meta-analyses with restricted maximum likelihood estimation were conducted when comparable effect estimates were available (PROSPERO #CRD420251124994). Findings 51 studies were included, predominantly from high-income regions. Most were retrospective cohorts using ICD-coded diagnoses; prospective studies used laboratory-confirmed infections. Data sources, comparator groups, exposure definitions, outcome ascertainment, and follow-up periods varied substantially. Meta-analyses were feasible for RSV, influenza, and dengue fever. All RSV-ARI studies were pediatric and assessed infections during infancy, which were associated with higher pooled odds of physician-diagnosed asthma (OR:2.93 [95%CI: 2.12-4.06]). Influenza studies used COVID-19-positive comparators; pooled estimates showed lower risk for neurological (HR:0.82 [0.76-0.89]) and composite outcomes (RR:0.88 [0.82-0.95]), with other organ systems non-significant. Dengue fever studies spanned all ages and showed increased risks of anxiety (HR:1.34 [1.01-1.78]), dementia (HR:1.61 [1.10-2.35]), autoimmune (RR:1.39 [1.17-1.67]), cardiovascular (HR:1.51 [1.27-1.80]), psychiatric (HR:1.17 [1.07-1.28]), and any sequelae (HR:1.19 [1.13-1.25]) versus those without prior infection. Interpretations Post-acute sequelae contribute to overall disease burden following RSV-ARI and dengue fever. The evidence remains limited by heterogeneity in study design, exposure and outcome definitions, comparator selection, and follow-up duration. Greater standardization in study design and reporting is needed to improve comparability and strengthen causal inference.
Faux-Nightingale, A.; Woodcock, C.; Walker, C.; Smith, H. E.; Welsh, V. K.
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Background Chronic pain is common in adults aged 85 years and older (85+) and is associated with detrimental outcomes. Chronic pain guidelines advise first line management with non-pharmacological measures; paracetamol and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs are the preferred analgesics. Challenges in accessing non-pharmacological therapies for adults aged 85+, and the presence of multimorbidity and polypharmacy, mean that opioid medication is often prescribed for chronic pain despite the potential for opioid-related adverse effects and guidance identifying long-term opioids for chronic pain as a potentially inappropriate prescription. Aim This study aims to explore patient, caregiver, and healthcare professional perspectives on the prescription of opioid medications for pain management for chronic pain in adults aged 85+ to support development of resources for optimising opioid prescribing. Design and Setting In this qualitative study, participants were recruited through primary care, in the community or in care home settings. Method 36 semi-structured interviews were conducted with care home residents and community dwellers aged 85+ (n=12), caregivers (informal and care home staff) (n=12), and healthcare professionals (n=12). Interviews were transcribed and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. Results Four themes were developed: contextual complexity, satellite influences, balancing act, and pragmatic prescribing. Using opioids in adults aged 85+ is a balancing act to support patients best possible quality of life within their unique circumstances whilst using the pain management tools available. Conclusion Opioids continue to have an important role in pain management in adults aged 85+ largely due to paucity of alternatives and the drive to support quality of life.
Mohebbi, D.; Vomhof, M.; Montalbo, J.; Winkels, A. K.; Gontscharuk, V.; Chernyak, N.; Dintsios, C.-M.; Kairies-Schwarz, N.; Stark, R.; Emmert-Fees, K. M. F.; Fan, M.; Schick, R.; Schürmann, A.; Bornstein, S.; Heni, M.; Stefan, N.; Jumpertz von Schwartzenberg, R.; Blüher, M.; Lechner, A.; Clavel, J.; Kopf, S.; Szendrödi, J.; Roden, M.; Wagner, R.; Fritsche, A.; Birkenfeld, A. L.; Icks, A.
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Background Lifestyle interventions can increase the probability of remission of prediabetes to normal glucose tolerance, but their economic value remains unclear. We assessed the within-trial and lifetime-horizon modeled cost-effectiveness of intensive and conventional lifestyle interventions in risk-stratified participants with prediabetes. Methods A health economic evaluation was conducted alongside the 12-month multicenter PLIS trial (n=1,105). High-risk participants were randomized to intensive (HR-INT) or conventional (HR-CONV); low-risk participants to conventional lifestyle intervention (LR-CONV) or control (only short single consultation; LR-CTRL) with risk stratification based on insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity, and liver fat content. Within-trial analyses estimated incremental costs per additional remission to normoglycemia and per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Lifetime cost-effectiveness was modelled using a four-state Markov Model. Findings At 12 months, HR-INT and LR-CONV increased remission compared with their respective comparators. The incremental cost per additional remission was {euro}7,081 (95% CI: dominated-47,277) for HR-INT and {euro}4,278 (1,312-11,793) for LR-CONV from a health insurance perspective. A willingness-to-pay of {euro}22,000 (HR-INT) and {euro}7,500 (LR-CONV) per additional remission corresponded to 90% probability of cost-effectiveness. Neither intervention was cost-effective in terms of QALYs gained within the 12-months period. Lifetime modelling suggested that both HR-INT and LR-CONV are not only cost-effective, but also cost-saving, relative to HR-CONV and LR-CTRL, respectively. Also in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, most simulations indicated dominance (71.7% for HR and 88% for LR). Interpretation Based on short-term economic evaluation, the interventions assessed were cost-effective regarding additional participants with remission, not for incremental QALYs gained. Lifetime modelling suggests cost savings for both risk groups. Targeting populations with lifestyle interventions to achieve prediabetes remission seems to generate good value for money in the long term.
de Barros, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Medhi, M.; Sultana, F.; Acharya, B.; Pai, V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Hagge, D.; Napit, I.; Shah, M.; Maximus, N.; Darlong, J.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Doni, S.; Nicholls, P.; Genser, B.; Lambert, S. M.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.
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Background Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of lepromatous leprosy characterised by recurrent inflammatory episodes often requiring prolonged immunosuppression. The severity of ENL can be quantified using the validated and reliable ENLIST ENL Severity Scale (EESS). The longitudinal course of ENL and how it is captured using standardised severity measures has not been well described. We prospectively evaluated the changes in ENL severity over time using the EESS in a randomised clinical trial. Methods We conducted a post-hoc analysis of participants enrolled in the Methotrexate and Prednisolone Study in ENL, an international multicentre randomised controlled trial conducted in Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, and Nepal. Adults with severe ENL (EESS score [≥]9) were followed for 60 weeks with repeated EESS assessments. Longitudinal trajectories were analysed using mixed-effects regression models. Item-level analyses characterised the clinical phenotype captured by the scale. Associations between EESS score, prednisolone exposure, and dermatology-specific health-related quality of life measured using the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) were examined. Findings A total of 135 participants contributed 1,958 EESS assessments. Mean EESS declined rapidly during the first four weeks of treatment (-2.10 points/week; 95% CI -2.36 to -1.84; p<0.001), increased modestly during reduction in corticosteroid dose (weeks 4-20), and gradually declined thereafter. Severe ENL (EESS score [≥]9) occurred in 20.6% of visits and was characterised primarily by pain and cutaneous inflammatory manifestations. Participants who required additional prednisolone had persistently higher EESS scores and showed limited improvement compared with those who did not receive additional prednisolone. Longitudinal EESS scores were strongly correlated with the DLQI score (Spearmans {rho}=0.75; p<0.001). Conclusion The EESS captures clinically meaningful changes in ENL severity, aligns with treatment decisions, and reflects patient-reported severity over time. These findings support the use of the EESS as a robust tool for monitoring ENL severity in both clinical research and routine care.
de Barros, B.; Sultana, F.; Maximus, N.; Pai, V. V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Acharya, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Alinda, M. D.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Nigusse, S. D.; Hagge, D. A.; Napit, I.; Shah, M.; Darlong, J.; Nicholls, P.; Bernd, B.; Lambert, S. M.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.
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Background Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of leprosy that often requires prolonged corticosteroid therapy which is associated with adverse effects. Methotrexate is an affordable immunomodulatory agent with limited evidence for its use in ENL treatment. We evaluated whether weekly oral methotrexate in additional to prednisolone reduces the need for additional prednisolone in adults with severe ENL. Methods and Findings We performed an international, multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial conducted at five leprosy referral centres in Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, and Nepal. Adults aged 18-60 years with severe ENL were randomised to receive oral methotrexate and prednisolone, or matching placebo and prednisolone. All participants received an identical prednisolone regime over 20 weeks and were followed for 60 weeks. The primary outcome was time to first ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone, assessed over 24 and 48 weeks. Between January 2023 and June 2024, 231 individuals were screened and 137 were randomised (68 methotrexate and prednisolone; 69 placebo and prednisolone). By 24 weeks, 85/137 (62.0%) participants experienced an ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone; the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for methotrexate versus placebo was 0.98 (95% CI 0.62-1.54). By 48 weeks, 102/137 (74.5%) experienced an ENL flare; adjusted HR 0.95 (95% CI 0.62-1.43). Secondary outcomes were similar: methotrexate did not reduce ENL severity at first flare, flare frequency, or severity of subsequent flares. Health-related quality of life improved substantially in both groups with no evidence of a differential treatment effect. Methotrexate was generally well tolerated. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03775460). Conclusions Oral methotrexate added to prednisolone did not reduce the requirement for additional prednisolone or delay ENL flares compared to placebo and prednisolone, and our study does not support the use of methotrexate for severe ENL.
Bonilla, K.; Sherman, V. M.; Arbaiza, A. S.; Dougherty, M.; Olson, L. E.
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In some countries, melatonin is sold without a physician prescription and dosage is unregulated. Transdermal products have become popular including those marketed for children. We measured consumer assumptions about these products among adult residents of the United States, analyzed lot-to-lot variability, and compared the pharmacokinetics of melatonin administered in oral, lotion, and bath product forms. Survey respondents (n=199) believed oral melatonin was more effective than transdermal products and that all melatonin products were relatively safe. Melatonin lotion products analyzed by HPLC displayed lot-to-lot variability as well as changes in formulation and product claims. To determine pharmacokinetics, three different treatments (oral tablets, lotion, and bath immersion) were administered to twelve undergraduate participants in a randomized, crossover design. Five additional participants completed bath product treatment only. Participants collected saliva samples up to 48 hours after administration, which were analyzed for melatonin by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Oral (n=11) and lotion formulations (n=12) caused maximum salivary melatonin levels within 30 minutes after administration, but bath immersion did not cause increases in saliva melatonin (n=17). The half-life of oral melatonin was 1.17 [0.69 -- 1.65] hours versus 5.72 [3.75 -- 7.68] hours for lotion treatment (p = 0.011, effect size r = 0.770). Melatonin lotion may pose a risk to consumers who assume it is safe and less effective than oral tablets, when in fact it may be very potent and remain at high physiological levels into the following day. This study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov (NCT06382610) and was funded by the Sleep Research Society.
Bode, M.; Lydecker, A.; Robinson, G.; Roghmann, M.-C.; Kalan, L.
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Background: Microbiota dysbiosis of the skin has been implicated in ulcer formation. Individuals with diabetes remain at high risk for diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs) even after ulcer healing. Topical chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) is a broad-spectrum antiseptic commonly used to reduce microbial burden. In a prior randomized clinical trial comparing daily CHG foot treatment with soap-and-water treatment, no statistically significant reduction in new DFUs was observed, prompting evaluation of whether CHG produced durable changes in the skin microbiota. Objective: To compare changes in foot skin microbiota (including bacterial bioburden, diversity, and community composition) associated with daily CHG versus soap-and-water use over one year in people with diabetes and prior foot complications. Methods: In a single-center, double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized trial, 87 participants were randomized to daily CHG wipes or soap-and-water wipes for 12 months. Foot swabs were collected at baseline, 3 and 12 months, and 4 weeks post-treatment. Bacterial bioburden was quantified. Microbiota composition was assessed using 16S rRNA and ITS amplicon sequencing. Key Results: CHG treatment significantly reduced bacterial bioburden, increased microbial diversity, and altered community composition, including sustained reductions in Staphylococcus abundance. Several microbiota changes persisted more than 4 weeks after treatment cessation. Soap-and-water treatment showed similar but smaller and largely nonsignificant trends. Conclusions: Daily CHG use durably modifies foot skin microbiota in high-risk individuals with diabetes. However, this alone may be insufficient to prevent new foot complications, highlighting the need for additional interventions. These findings have implications for long-term CHG use in populations at risk for staphylococcal infections.
Rothman, J. E.; Castro, K. G.; Lopman, B.; Gandhi, N. R.; Nelson, K.
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We estimated the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) with an M72/AS01E-like vaccine to prevent one tuberculosis case in U.S. high-risk groups. Targeted vaccination of Mycobacterium tuberculosis-infected persons yielded NNVs of 217 (persons with HIV) to 2,486 (U.S.-born), within the range of established adult vaccines.
Tredget, G.; Milenova, M.; Parkash, R.; McGrath, R.; Edwards, M. J.; Gee, S.; Pigg, W.; Karwacki, D.; Costa, C.; Shafique, S.; Adams, M.; Waghorn, J.; I'Anson, D.; Ronaldson, A.; Haire, K.; Githuku, C.; Beveridge, E.; Williams, J.
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Background: Adults with severe mental health conditions (often referred to as severe mental illness, SMI) experience 15 to 20 year mortality gap relative to the general population, with lung cancer a significant contributor. National cancer policy targets earlier diagnosis but does not explicitly address how pathways function for this group. Aims: This study aimed to describe lung cancer risk, prevalence, screening eligibility, referral activity and diagnostic pathway performance for adults with SMI in South East London (SEL), and to examine where along the pathway inequalities arise. Methods: Co-designed with experts with lived experience and voluntary sector, this exploratory mixed-methods service evaluation combined quantitative analysis of routinely collected data from the Quality Outcomes Framework (QOF), SMI Register and Cancer Waiting Times Record (April 2023-March 2024) with semi-structured qualitative interviews (n=11 clinical staff) and focus groups (n=6 adults with lived experience of SMI). Quantitative and qualitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics and framework-based thematic analysis respectively, and findings were integrated using a joint display approach, organised by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). Results: Lung cancer prevalence was approximately double among adults with SMI (0.17% vs 0.09% in the general population). Despite Urgent Suspected Cancer (USC) referral rates being more than twice as high in the SMI population (63 vs 28 per 100,000), fewer cancers were detected via planned general practice (GP) routes (11% vs 20%), the 28-day Faster Diagnosis Standard was not met for any SMI patient diagnosed with lung cancer during the study period; overall FDS performance was 76% in the SMI population compared with 84% in the general population; and appointment non-attendance was more than double that in the general population (6% vs 3%). Qualitative findings identified individual, service and system-level mechanisms, including stigma, diagnostic overshadowing, fragmented coordination, and rigid pathway protocols, that compound disadvantage across lung cancer pathway stages. Conclusions: Inequality in lung cancer outcomes for adults with SMI accumulates across the pathway rather than arising at a single point of failure. Addressing this requires proportionate adaptations within existing cancer pathways, alongside routine reporting of cancer outcomes stratified by SMI population. Keywords: severe mental health conditions, lung cancer, health inequalities, cancer screening, diagnostic pathway, mixed methods
Mollayeva, T.; SantAna, T. T.; Shaikh, U.; Spouge, R.; Hanafy, S.; Fuller-Thomson, E.; McDonald, M.; Colantonio, A.; Cee, D.; McGettrick, G.; Lawlor, B.
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The impact of social parameters on brain health among people with traumatic brain injury (TBI) has been extensively documented. However, translation of this evidence into policy and clinical practice remains limited. This may reflect a lack of coordinated and equity-driven approaches to brain health that integrate diverse stakeholder perspectives, limiting progress toward equity-oriented research and service delivery models. We conducted a convergent parallel mixed-methods study guided by the REporting guideline for PRIority SEtting of health research (REPRISE). We utilized the PROGRESS-Plus framework (Place of residence, Race/ethnicity, Occupation, Gender/sex, Religion, Education, Socioeconomic status, Social capital, and context-specific parameters) to ensure systematic consideration of social parameters in the study. For Objective 1, we synthesized existing evidence on social parameters and brain health outcomes. For Objective 2, we surveyed people with lived experience of TBI, family members/friends, clinicians, researchers, and community leaders across the globe to assess their prioritization of social parameters relevant to brain health. For Objective 3, we integrated evidence synthesis and stakeholder input through a structured Round Robin consensus activity to prioritize actionable areas for feasibility and impact. The activity culminated in the development of a knowledge mobilization agenda designed to inform equity-centred policy, research, and clinical practice. In Objective 1, we identified 59 publications with evidence on the effect of PROGRESS-Plus parameters on brain health outcomes following TBI. Meta-research highlighted that education, age, and country-level indicators are prognostic for brain health after TBI. In Objective 2, the highest-ranked priorities of 113 stakeholders across four continents (North America, Europe, Africa, and Oceania) were education, access to benefits, and income. These priorities were at the centre of discussion in Objective 3, which comprised idea sharing, refinement and thematic clustering, and a final prioritization poll. The resulting final 15 priorities were organized into two tracks: Track A, actions feasible in the short term, and Track B, longer-term implementation priorities. Building on this priority-setting process, co-created with stakeholders around the globe, the findings provide a roadmap for integration of social parameters in TBI research, knowledge exchange, policy, and practice.
Lee, J. H.; Jinsi, M.; Feldman, M. J.; Hobgood, S.
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Burn trauma disproportionately impacts older adults, yet existing burn severity models emphasize age, total body surface area (TBSA), and inhalation injury without accounting for geriatric-specific vulnerabilities such as frailty. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 326 geriatric patients admitted with burn injuries between 2020 and 2024 to evaluate how TBSA, burn location, inhalation injury, renal insufficiency, comorbidities, and functional dependence in activities of daily living (ADLs) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) affect in- hospital mortality and discharge disposition. Based on multivariable logistic regression and chi- square analyses, TBSA, as expected, emerged as the strongest predictor across models. Each 1% increase in TBSA was associated with a 7% increase in the odds of in-hospital mortality (p=0.006) and a 12 to 19% increase in odds of post-acute care placement (p<0.001). Inhalation injury and renal insufficiency were also independently associated with increased odds of both mortality and post-acute care disposition, whereas respiratory comorbidity predicted mortality alone. Functional status demonstrated outcome-specific prognostic value: ADL dependence predicted mortality, while IADL dependence predicted discharge disposition. Patients with some ADL dependence had five-fold higher odds of in-hospital mortality (p=0.011), while some (OR=2.48, p= 0.039) and full IADL dependence (OR=2.61, p=0.025) were associated with higher odds of post-acute care placement. Integrating structured functional assessments that distinguish basic from instrumental limitations alongside established burn severity metrics may enhance prognostication and guide individualized care planning for older adults with burn injuries.
Jia, E.; Omar, M.; Barash, Y.; Brook, O. R.; Ahmed, M.; Kruskal, J. B.; Gorenshtein, A.; Klang, E.
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AI-assisted clinical care may compound, rather than correct, existing health inequities. We applied Omar and colleagues' validated four-domain emergency-medicine benchmark to OpenEvidence (OE), a literature-grounded clinical LLM used by tens of thousands of US physicians daily, across 100 emergency-department cases and 20 sociodemographic labels. OE was consistent on the codified clinical decisions, triage, workup, and treatment, but diverged sharply on mental-health screening, where it flagged many historically marginalized groups between three and ten times more often than demographically unmarked cases. Cases labeled as unhoused received recommendations in 78 to 87 percent of responses (versus a 9 percent no-identifier-control rate); cases labeled as transgender in 22 to 24 percent; and Black transgender women specifically in 47 percent. A pre- registered audit of 193 free-text rationales localized the differential to the inner layer of the response, in the structure and tone of the rationale rather than the recommendation itself. Literature grounding may redistribute sociodemographic disparity in clinical AI rather than remove it. As clinical LLMs move toward agentic deployment, equity audits should examine how evidence is applied to each patient, not only whether citations are present.
Mason, A. C.; Ballabio, G.; Dale, C. E.; Garfield, V.; Sofat, R.
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Background: GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RAs) are an established treatment for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and obesity. Their widespread use is set to increase through both indication expansion and patent expiry. As well as efficacy, it is crucial to understand the safety of this drug class to enable optimal use. Here we demonstrate how a genetic approach can augment signal-detection and post-market authorization surveillance. Methods: We used single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in GLP1R to recapitulate the effect of agonism with GLP1RAs on circulating glucose, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), body mass index (BMI) and risk of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) using Mendelian randomisation. We then tested if the adverse effect highlighted by medicines regulators of pancreatitis and the emerging effect of sarcopenia were causally related to GLP1R agonism, using this approach. Analyses were conducted in UK biobank and replicated in FinnGen and All of Us, results being combined using meta-analysis. Analyses were further stratified by a priori risk factors of age and alcohol consumption. Results: Genetically proxied GLP-1R agonism was associated with a reduction in glucose (exp({beta}) = 0.95 95% CI [0.94, 0.97]), HbA1c (exp({beta}) = 0.94 95% CI [0.92, 0.95]), and BMI (exp({beta})=0.98 95% CI [0.97, 0.99]); and a reduced risk of T2DM (OR = 0.82 95% CI [0.79 to 0.86]). Risk of acute and chronic pancreatitis was however increased (OR = 1.10 95% CI [1.01 to 1.20] and OR = 1.05 95% CI [0.95, 1.17], respectively), which varied as a function of age with risk most pronounced in those aged 50-59 years-old (OR = 1.79 95% CI [1.43, 2.24], OR = 1.57 95% CI [1.16, 2.12]) and in drinkers (OR = 1.32 95% CI [1.12, 1.54], OR = 1.36 95% CI [1.12, 1.65]). Risk of sarcopenia also increased (OR 1.34; 95% CI 1.05,1,71). Conclusions: Genetically proxied agonism with GLP-1RAs recapitulated the pharmacological effects of GLP1-1RAs on glycaemic traits, BMI and T2DM risk. This approach supports a causal effect of GLP-1RAs on the well reported adverse effects of pancreatitis and further indicates age and alcohol consumption as risk modifying effects. The less well reported but emerging effect of sarcopenia appears to also be casually related to agonism at GLP-1R. These analyses suggest a genetic approach could be used as an adjunct to signal detection studies to enhance safety regulation as well as personalisation of the use of these drugs.
Badmos, A. O.; AbdulKareem, A. O.; Mills, J.; Gawne, A.; Idris, T.
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Introduction: Blackpool, England's most deprived local authority, has the highest drug-related death rate in the country. People in police custody with problem substance use are a key Core20PLUS5 inclusion-health group, yet referral from the police into structured drug and alcohol treatment is fragmented and relies heavily on self-report. We evaluated the current police-to-treatment route in Blackpool and designed an evidence-informed unified pathway. Materials and Methods: A mixed-methods service evaluation and pathway-design project was conducted during a six-month General Practice / Public Health rotation. Routinely collected referral data from Horizon (the local specialist drug and alcohol service) covering the 47-month period from December 2019 to October 2023 were analysed. Findings were triangulated with national policy, the Project ADDER and Liaison and Diversion evaluations, and the international evidence on police-led pre-arrest diversion. Results: Of 5,900 total referrals into Horizon over 47 months, only 269 (4.56%) originated from the police. Police referrals accounted for fewer than 5% of monthly referrals in 30 of 47 months, for 5 to 9.9% in 16 months, and for >/= 10% in only one month (10.8%, December 2022). Blackpool recorded 76 drug-misuse deaths in 2019-21 (19.4 per 100,000, approximately four times the England rate). A six-step unified pathway is proposed: Initiate Referral (opt-out, from ADDER Police and Liaison and Diversion); Initial Assessment; Tailored Treatment Plan; Continuous Support; Collaboration and Monitoring; and Evaluation and Adjustment. Conclusions: Police contact is markedly under-used as a gateway to treatment despite Blackpool having the highest drug-related mortality in England. An opt-out, multi-agency pathway anchored in Core20PLUS5 has the potential to narrow the treatment gap, reduce re-offending, and address the structural health inequalities that drive premature mortality.
Sajjad, M.
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Smartphone use among medical students has become pervasive. While existing literature links excessive smartphone use to poor sleep quality, the specific behavioral pattern most strongly associated with sleep disruption remains insufficiently characterized. This study investigated whether the timing of smartphone cessation relative to sleep onset is more strongly associated with poor sleep quality than total daily screen time among medical students in Punjab, Pakistan, and examined the moderating role of exam period status. A cross-sectional anonymous online survey was conducted among medical students across Punjab, Pakistan (May 2026). Sleep quality was assessed using items informed by Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) response formats. Descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and binary logistic regression were applied to 369 eligible responses, reported in accordance with STROBE guidelines. Of 369 respondents (49.9% female, 48.2% male), 74.8% reported using smartphones 6 or more hours daily and 61.2% used their smartphone until falling asleep. Overall, 75.7% reported poor sleep quality. Students using smartphones until sleep onset had 95.1% poor sleep quality compared to 44.8% in those who ceased use before sleeping (p<0.001). In logistic regression with both variables entered simultaneously, bedtime use until sleep onset remained independently associated with poor sleep quality (OR 15.3, 95% CI 5.7-41.2, p<0.001), while total daily screen time lost significance (OR 1.8, 95% CI 0.7-4.7, p=0.228). Outside exam periods, 99.0% of students using smartphones until sleep onset reported poor sleep quality versus 24.2% of those who stopped before sleeping, a difference of 74.8 percentage points (p<0.001). During exam periods, no significant association was observed (p=0.075), suggesting exam-related stress may attenuate the bedtime behavior effect. Hostel-dwelling students showed the highest prevalence of bedtime smartphone use, with 79.0% using smartphones until sleep onset compared to 23.2% of family-living students (p<0.001). Bedtime smartphone use until sleep onset is more strongly associated with poor sleep quality than total daily screen time among Pakistani medical students. Medical institutions should consider integrating targeted digital wellness education specifically addressing bedtime cessation timing into student health programs, with particular attention to hostel-dwelling students.