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eClinicalMedicine

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match eClinicalMedicine's content profile, based on 55 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Vision, hearing, and intellectual disabilities in school-age children (5-19 years) in Latin America and the Caribbean

Coelho, J. A. P. d. M.; Nascimento da Paixao, A.; Guimaraes Almeida, B.; Näslund-Hadley, E.

2026-04-23 health economics 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351429 medRxiv
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Background Childhood sensory and intellectual disabilities represent significant yet under-recognized barriers to learning and human capital development. This study analyzes prevalence and severity of these conditions among 149.3 million children aged 5-19 years across 25 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data. Methods We extracted GBD 2023 estimates for vision loss, hearing loss, and intellectual disability across 25 LAC countries, stratified by age, sex, and severity. Regional estimates were calculated using population-weighted averages. Severity distributions were compared with OECD countries to contextualize regional patterns. Results: These conditions are estimated to affected 9,282,921 children (6.22%; 95% UI: 5.89-6.54%). Hearing loss was predominant, affecting an estimated 5.42 million (3.63%, 3.41-3.86), with 87.6% mild-to-moderate. Intellectual disability estimated to affected 2.56 million (1.71%, 1.58-1.85), with 61.7% borderline-to-mild. Vision loss estimated to affected 1.30 million (0.87%, 0.79-0.96), with 89% that can be effectively addressed with spectacles. Prevalence increased with age across all conditions. Male predominance was consistent for intellectual disability (2.00% vs 1.42%). Annual economic cost totaled US$19.3-29.0 billion, while comprehensive interventions would require US$9.45-14.23 billion with benefit-cost ratios of 2:1 to 15:1. Conclusions The distribution of children across milder levels of difficulty underscores the opportunity for education and public health systems to provide timely and accessible support. With approximately 88% of sensory impairments addressable through established technologies, investments in inclusive services can yield strong social and economic returns.

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Incident psoriasis in atopic dermatitis: A large-scale cohort study of disease- and treatment-associated risks

Thaqi, F.; Bieber, K.; Kerniss, H.; Kridin, K.; Curman, P.; Ludwig, R.

2026-04-20 dermatology 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351181 medRxiv
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BackgroundClinical and genetic evidence on the association between atopic dermatitis (AD) and subsequent psoriasis remains conflicting, and it is unclear whether this risk is modified by systemic treatments. Recent reports suggest type 2-targeted biologics may unmask psoriasis in AD patients, but data are limited. We thus aimed to assess whether AD is associated with incident psoriasis and whether this risk differs by systemic treatment, particularly biologics versus conventional systemic immunosuppressants (cvIS). MethodsScoping analyses informed a locked analytic design, preregistration at OSF, and confirmatory execution. Propensity score-matched analyses compared AD with non-AD controls and biologics with cvIS. Sensitivity analyses, Cox model triangulation, and control outcomes assessed robustness. FindingsAmong [~]300,000 matched pairs, AD was associated with increased psoriasis risk (primary HR 3.81, 95% CI 3.35-4.34), consistent across all 8 sensitivity analyses and model triangulation. Biologic treatment was associated with reduced psoriasis risk versus cvIS (primary HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.11-0.35), consistent across 6 of 7 evaluable sensitivity analyses and Cox triangulation. Positive and negative control outcomes showed expected directional patterns. InterpretationAcknowledging limitations including residual confounding and coding misclassification, AD was associated with increased psoriasis risk and biologics with lower psoriasis risk than cvIS. FundingDFG (EXC2167, SFB1526, LU877/25-1), Schleswig-Holstein Excellence-Chair Program, Swedish Society for Dermatology and Venereology, and the Tore Nilson Foundation. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSAtopic dermatitis (eczema) and psoriasis are the two most common chronic inflammatory skin diseases worldwide. For a long time, doctors and researchers assumed these two conditions could not occur in the same person, as they were thought to involve opposing immune responses. However, this view has been challenged over the past decade. Some large studies, including population-based cohorts from Taiwan and the United Kingdom, have found that people with eczema may be at higher risk of developing psoriasis over time, while other studies, including genetic analyses, have suggested the opposite: that the two diseases may actually protect against each other. This conflicting picture has left clinicians uncertain about the true relationship between the two diseases in everyday clinical practice. A separate but related concern has emerged with the introduction of a new class of highly effective treatments for eczema, biologics, particularly dupilumab. Case reports and observational studies, including a large study published in JAMA Dermatology in 2025, have raised the possibility that these medications might trigger psoriasis in some patients, potentially by shifting the immune system from one inflammatory pattern to another. However, prior studies on this question had important methodological limitations: they were not pre-planned and registered before data collection, they did not always tightly link treatment use to an eczema diagnosis, and critically, none compared biologic treatment directly against conventional immunosuppressant medications, the most relevant clinical comparator. Added value of this studyThis study is a large and methodologically rigorous investigation of both questions: whether eczema itself increases the risk of developing psoriasis, and whether the type of systemic treatment used for eczema influences that risk. Using a database of over 110 million electronic health records from across the United States, we matched approximately 300,000 patients with eczema to 300,000 patients without eczema and followed them for up to seven years. We also compared nearly 5,500 patients treated with biologics to an equal number treated with conventional immunosuppressants. Crucially, our study was pre-registered before any data were analyzed, meaning the research questions, methods, and analyses were locked in advance and could not be adjusted based on what the data showed. We also used a range of additional analyses to test whether our findings were robust, including checks using outcomes that should not be affected by eczema or its treatment (such as appendectomy and hearing loss), which confirmed that our results were not likely explained by bias alone. We found that eczema was associated with an increased risk of developing psoriasis, but that this risk was substantially influenced by the choice of comparison group, ranging from approximately 1.4-fold to nearly 4-fold depending on the analytical approach. More strikingly, we found that patients treated with biologics had a markedly lower risk of developing psoriasis compared with those treated with conventional immunosuppressants, the opposite of what prior reports had suggested. This finding was consistent across nearly all additional analyses performed. Implications of all the available evidenceTaken together with existing evidence, these findings suggest two important conclusions. First, clinicians should be aware that eczema, particularly moderate-to-severe eczema requiring systemic treatment, may carry an elevated risk of developing psoriasis over time. This does not mean that all patients with eczema need to be screened for psoriasis routinely, but it does support clinical awareness and monitoring in higher-risk patients. Second, and perhaps most importantly for treatment decisions, biologics do not appear to increase the risk of psoriasis compared with conventional immunosuppressants and may in fact be associated with a lower risk. This provides reassurance for patients and clinicians considering biologic therapy and challenges the narrative that these medications trigger psoriasis. Future research should aim to confirm these findings in other populations, investigate the biological mechanisms underlying the relationship between eczema and psoriasis, and examine whether specific biologic agents differ from one another in their effects on psoriasis risk.

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Estimation of cancer cases in transgender and gender diverse people in England

Pasin, C.; Jackson, S. S.; Thynne, L.-E.; McWade, B.; Westerman, T.; Ball, R.; Kavanagh, J.; O'Callaghan, S.; Ring, K.; Orkin, C.; Berner, A. M.

2026-04-22 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351378 medRxiv
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ObjectivesTo estimate current, and 5- and 10-year projected, number of cases of cancer per year in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England, overall and by tumour type, accounting for uptake of gender affirming care (GAC). DesignPopulation-based epidemiological modelling study using an age-stratified Monte Carlo simulations approach and the NORDPRED method for predictions. SettingModels estimating cancer case numbers for TGD people in England based on publicly available 2023 cancer surveillance data and survey-based 2025 GAC access, and predicted at 5 and 10 years hence. ParticipantsTGD people aged 15 years and above. Main outcome measuresPrimary cancer cases per year overall, by gender, age group, tumour type, and current and planned GAC. ResultsThe estimated TGD population size in England is 441547 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 429207- 452890). Total cases per year of cancer in TGD people is expected to be 966 (95% UI 882-1069) excluding non-melanoma skin. Most cases are expected to occur in people aged 60-64. The top 5 expected cancers in TGD people are breast (19%, n = 187, 95% UI 149-241), colorectal (12%, n = 117, 95% UI 106-129), lung (11%, n = 108, 95% UI 96-122), melanoma (7.1%, n = 69, 95% UI 64-74) and urinary (6.2%, n = 60, 95% UI 54-67). Total cases of cancer in TGD people are estimated to be 1740 (95% UI 1584-1934) in 5 years and 2258 (95% UI 2066-2507) in 10 years (excluding non-melanoma skin). If TGD people were able to access their planned level of GAC, this would reduce these figures to 1555 (95% CI 1386-1766) and 2012 (95% CI 1797-2282) respectively. ConclusionsThis study provides prediction of cancer cases in TGD people in England, supporting the planning of service provision and training. This is vital, as with increasing disclosure, and long wait times for GAC, cancer cases in TGD people are predicted to increase. Summary BoxesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSThe annual number of cases of cancer in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England is currently unknown as gender incongruence is not collected as part of the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service. Some gender-affirming care (GAC) interventions are known to modulate cancer risk. Use of testosterone and chest reconstruction for transmasculine people is known to reduce their incidence of breast cancer compared to cisgender women. Use of oestradiol alongside medical or surgical androgen suppression has been shown to reduce the incidence of prostate cancer in transfeminine people while increasing their risk of breast cancer, compared to cisgender men. What this study addsThis study found that there are likely to be approximately 966 cases of cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin) in TGD people per year in the UK. Though total annual cases of cancer in TGD people are expected to be 2258 in 10 years, improved access to gender-affirming care could reduce total cases to 2012 (a 11% reduction). These figures provide additional justification for funding to improve access to GAC via the National Health Service (NHS), as well as for training on the oncological needs of this population.

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Effects of Mindfulness-Based Interventions on Executive Function in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Li, N.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351184 medRxiv
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BackgroundMindfulness-based interventions (MBIs) have been increasingly adopted in educational settings to support cognitive development in youth. Executive function (EF)--encompassing inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility--is a plausible target of MBI given its reliance on attention regulation. However, prior reviews have yielded mixed conclusions, partly due to inconsistent construct definitions and the pooling of heterogeneous outcome measures. ObjectivesTo (1) estimate the pooled effect of MBI on EF in youth aged 3-18 years using only construct-validated, direct EF measures, (2) examine potential moderators including age group, EF domain, and risk of bias, and (3) test dose-response relationships via meta-regression on intervention duration. MethodsWe searched PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception to March 2026, supplemented by reference-list searches from two existing systematic reviews and a scoping review. Only English-language publications were eligible. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or quasi-RCTs of MBI (excluding yoga-only interventions) in typically developing youth, with at least one direct behavioural or computerised EF outcome. Risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane RoB 2. Hedges g was computed for each study, and pooled using a DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. Subgroup analyses by age group, EF domain, and risk of bias were conducted, alongside leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, Eggers regression test, trim-and-fill, and Knapp-Hartung-adjusted meta-regression on intervention duration. Evidence certainty was rated using GRADE. ResultsThirteen RCTs (nine school-age, four preschool; total N = 1,560) met inclusion criteria. The pooled effect was g = 0.365 (95% CI 0.264 to 0.465; p < .00001), with negligible heterogeneity (I2 = 0.0%; Q = 6.76, p = .87). Effects were consistent across age groups (school-age g = 0.389; preschool g = 0.318) and EF domains (inhibitory control, working memory, cognitive flexibility; pbetween = .60). Meta-regression on intervention duration (4-20 weeks) was non-significant (p = .79). The effect was robust in leave-one-out analyses, in the low risk-of-bias subgroup (g = 0.361; k = 8), and after trim-and-fill adjustment (g = 0.354). The 95% prediction interval (0.252 to 0.477) was entirely positive. GRADE certainty was rated MODERATE, downgraded once for risk of bias. ConclusionsMBIs appear to produce a small, statistically significant improvement in EF in youth aged 3-18 years, with moderate certainty of evidence per the GRADE framework. The effect is consistent across preschool and school-age samples and across EF domains, with no significant dose-response relationship within the 4-20 week range studied. Emerging mediation evidence suggests that EF improvement may serve as an important pathway through which MBI supports emotion regulation, though this requires replication. Further large-scale, pre-registered RCTs with active control conditions and longitudinal follow-up are warranted.

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Violence exposure and mental health problems among school-aged children in a South African birth cohort

Bailey, M.; Hammerton, G.; Fairchild, G.; Tsunga, L.; Hoffman, N.; Burd, T.; Shadwell, R.; Danese, A.; Armour, C.; Zar, H. J.; Stein, D. J.; Donald, K. A.; Halligan, S. L.

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351289 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThere is little longitudinal research investigating links between violence exposure and mental disorders among children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite high rates of violence. We examined cross-sectional and longitudinal violence-mental health associations among children in a large South African birth cohort, the Drakenstein Child Health Study, including direct clinical interviews capturing childrens mental disorders. MethodIn this birth cohort (N=974), we assessed lifetime violence exposure and four subtypes (witnessed community, community victimization, witnessed domestic, domestic victimization) at ages 4.5 and 8-years via caregiver reports. At 8-years, caregivers completed the Child Behaviour Checklist; and psychiatric disorders were assessed using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview for Children and Adolescents, a self-report measure. We tested for associations using linear/logistic regressions, adjusted for confounders. ResultsMost children (91%) had experienced violence by 8-years. Cross-sectionally, total violence exposure was associated with total (B =0.49 [95% CI 0.32, 0.66]), internalizing (0.32 [0.17, 0.47]), and externalizing problems (0.46 [0.31, 0.61]), and with increased odds of disorder at 8 years (aOR=1.09 [1.05, 1.13]). Longitudinally, total violence exposure up to 4.5-years was associated with total (B=0.27 [0.03, 0.52]), internalizing (0.24 [0.04. 0.44]), and externalizing scores (0.23 [0.008, 0.45]) at 8-years, but not with increased risk of psychiatric disorders. The strongest and most consistent associations were observed for domestic versus community violence subtypes. ConclusionOur strong cross-sectional but weaker longitudinal findings suggest that recent violence exposures may be more critical than early exposures for childrens mental health. Longitudinal exploration of other violence-affected LMIC populations is urgently needed.

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Resolution of systemic inflammation in psoriasis following herring roe oil treatment: a post hoc analysis on inflammatory biomarkers in non-severe psoriatic patients

Ringheim-Bakka, T. A.; Gammelsaeter, R.; Tveit, K. S.

2026-04-22 dermatology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26350934 medRxiv
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BackgroundPsoriasis is a chronic immune-mediated inflammatory disease (IMID) with systemic involvement. In mild-to-moderate disease, circulating cytokines may inadequately capture systemic inflammatory burden. Composite haematological indices derived from complete blood counts, such as the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), have emerged as sensitive prognostic markers of systemic inflammation, including in psoriasis. This exploratory post hoc analysis investigated the effects of orally administered herring roe oil (HRO), a phospholipid-rich marine oil, on systemic inflammation in patients with mild-to-moderate psoriasis utilizing these biomarkers. MethodsData were analysed from a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled 26-week clinical study which investigated HRO supplementation in patients (N = 64) with mild-to-moderate psoriasis (NCT03359577). SII, SIRI, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were calculated at baseline, week 12, and week 26 for patients where baseline complete blood counts (CBCs) were available (n = 60). Patients missing baseline CBCs were excluded from the analysis. Continuous changes were assessed using ANCOVA with baseline adjustment. Categorical responder analyses were performed with 25% and 30% reduction thresholds and stratification by baseline biomarker medians were performed to evaluate treatment responses and impact of baseline inflammation. ResultsCompared with placebo, HRO treatment resulted in significant mean reductions in SII, SIRI, and PLR at week 26, with supportive trends and responder effects observed as early as week 12 compared to placebo. Patients with elevated baseline inflammatory indices showed the greatest reductions in systemic inflammation. Stratification by baseline SII further revealed enhanced clinical benefit, with statistically significant PASI50 response rates in the HRO arm at week 26 among patients with lower baseline SII. ConclusionHRO supplementation was associated with a time{square}dependent reduction in systemic inflammatory biomarkers in mild{square}to{square}moderate psoriasis patients. These findings support the utility of composite inflammatory indices for monitoring systemic inflammation and suggest that baseline SII may have utility in predicting treatment response and may be a useful tool for stratification in clinical trials in mild to moderate psoriasis patients. These results could also suggest platform-potential of HRO for resolution{square}oriented interventions across several inflammatory conditions.

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International Adaptation of a brief Problem-Solving Skills (the IAPPS trial) training for people in custody with severe mental illness in Poland: an open multicentred, parallel group, feasibility randomised controlled trial.

Perry, A. E.; Zawadzka, M.; Rychlik, J.; Hewitt, C.

2026-04-25 forensic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351654 medRxiv
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Objectives: The primary aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of delivering an adapted problem-solving skills (PSS) intervention by quantifying the recruitment, follow-up and completion rates using a brief problem-solving intervention for people with a mental health diagnosis in two Polish prisons. Design: IAPPS is an open, multi-centred, parallel group feasibility randomised controlled trial (RCT). Setting: Two prisons in Poland. Participants: Men in custody aged 18 years and older, having a mental illness and living within the prison therapeutic unit. Interventions: The intervention consisted of an adapted PSS skills intervention plus care as usual (CAU) or care as usual only. Delivered in groups of up to five people in 1.5-hour sessions over the course of two weeks. Main outcome measures: Primary outcomes - rate of recruitment, follow-up, and feasibility to deliver the intervention. Secondary outcomes included measures of depression, general mental health, and coping strategies. Results: 129 male prisoners were screened, 64 were randomly allocated, with a mean age of 53.5 years (SD 14, range 23-84). 59 (95%) prisoners were of Polish origin. Our recruitment rate was 48%. There was differential follow up with those in the intervention group less likely to complete the post-test battery versus those who received care as usual. Outcome measures were successfully collected at both time points. Conclusions We were able to recruit, retain and deliver the intervention within the prison setting; some logistical challenges limited our assessment of intervention engagement. Our data helps to demonstrate how use of the RCT study design can be implemented and delivered within the complex prison environment. Trial registration number ISRCTN 70138247, protocol registration date May 2021

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Semaglutide Initiation and Treatment Duration On Suicidality Risk in US Veterans With Type 2 Diabetes

Maldonado, A.; Heberer, K.; Lynch, J.; Cogill, S. B.; Nallamshetty, S.; Chen, Y.; Shih, M.-C.; Bress, A. P.; Lee, J.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351118 medRxiv
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ImportanceSemaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA), is a highly effective medication to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity. However, concerns about potential suicidality persist, creating clinical uncertainty about its neuropsychiatric safety. ObjectiveTo assess risks of suicidality after initiating semaglutide compared to initiating SGLT2i and by duration of continuous semaglutide treatment. DesignActive-comparator, new-user target trial emulation to estimate inverse probability-weighted marginal cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs). For duration-of-treatment analyses, we used clone-censor-weight methods to estimate exposure-adjusted effects. SettingVeterans Health Administration. ParticipantsU.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes receiving care from March 1, 2018 to September 1, 2025. ExposureInitiation of semaglutide vs SGLT2i; duration of semaglutide use ([&le;]6, 7-12, >12 months). OutcomesIncident suicidal ideation; suicide attempt or death; and a composite outcome. ResultsA total of 102,361 Veterans met inclusion criteria, including 11,478 new initiators of semaglutide and 90,883 new initiators of an SGLT2i. After overlap weighting, baseline characteristics were well balanced between treatment groups (mean [SD] age, 60.1 [11.7] years; BMI, 37.8 [6.8] kg/m2; hemoglobin A1c, 7.0% [1.4]; 85.5% male; 61.9% non-Hispanic White). During a median follow-up of 2.2 years, 9077 incident suicidal ideation events and 696 suicide attempts or deaths occurred. The incidence rate of suicidal ideation was 56.3 and 37.7 per 1000 person-years among semaglutide initiators and SGLT2i initiators, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.93-1.06; P = 0.86). For suicide attempts or deaths, the incidence rates were 4.30 and 2.64 per 1000 person-years, respectively (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.84-1.31; P = .86). In adherence-adjusted analyses, sustained semaglutide treatment for more than 12 months, compared with 6 or fewer months, was associated with a 74% lower risk of suicide attempts or deaths (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.14-0.54; P<.001). ConclusionAmong U.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes, initiators of semaglutide were not observed to have an increased risk of suicidality compared with initiators of SGLT2i. Those with longer semaglutide treatment (beyond 12 months) had decreased risk of suicide attempt or death, suggesting longer term treatment is safe and may protect against for those outcomes.

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Impact of surveillance colonoscopy on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in Lynch syndrome - a national observational cohort study of patients in the English NHS 2010-2022

Huntley, C.; Loong, L.; Mallinson, C.; Rahman, T.; Torr, B.; Allen, S.; Allen, I.; Hassan, H.; Fru, Y. W. J.; Tataru, D.; Paley, L.; Vernon, S.; Houlston, R.; Muller, D.; Lalloo, F.; Shaw, A.; Burn, J.; Morris, E.; Tischkowitz, M.; Antoniou, A. C.; Pharoah, P. D. P.; Monahan, K.; Hardy, S.; Turnbull, C.

2026-04-22 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351020 medRxiv
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BackgroundLynch syndrome (LS) is a cancer susceptibility syndrome caused by germline pathogenic variants in DNA mismatch repair (MMR) genes. Due to increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), enhanced colonoscopic surveillance is recommended for heterozygote MMR-carriers. ObjectiveUsing a registry of English LS patients linked to digital National Health Service records, we aimed to assess adherence of MMR-carriers to national surveillance guidelines, and to determine the impact of surveillance on CRC incidence and mortality. DesignWe described the frequency of colonoscopies in 4,732 MMR-carriers and used logistic regression to determine predictors of surveillance adherence. For MMR-carriers with a record of surveillance and those without, we: estimated age-specific annual CRC incidence rates (AS-AIRs) and cumulative lifetime risks, assessed for stage-shift by comparing CRC stage distributions and stage-specific AS-AIRs, and estimated risks of death from CRC and any cause using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox Proportional Hazards regression. ResultsSurveillance at a mean interval of [&le;] 3 years (n=3028) was associated with a decrease in CRC-specific and all-cause mortality, without an associated change in total CRC incidence, even after multivariate adjustment. No strong evidence of stage-shift was observed. Colonoscopic surveillance at a mean interval of [&le;] 2 years (n=1569) was associated with an increase in total CRC incidence. Incidence of early-stage cancers was also higher, with no corresponding decrease in late-stage cancers, which may reflect the short follow-up period or the impact of overdiagnosis. ConclusionThe observed reduction in all-cause mortality amongst regularly-surveilled MMR-carriers may indicate an impact of surveillance on CRC-specific mortality, though in the context of a non-randomised study likely reflects the influence of selection bias. KEY MESSAGES OF ARTICLEO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSRegular surveillance colonoscopy is recommended in Lynch syndrome, though evidence to support this remains mixed. We searched PubMed for articles published from inception to 01/05/2024 using the terms "Lynch syndrome", "HNPCC", "colonoscopy", "sigmoidoscopy", "surveillance", and "screening". We found one controlled trial and several small analytical studies dating from the early 2000s which compared surveilled and non-surveilled populations and found surveillance to be associated with reduced colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and improved survival. More recent longitudinal observational studies, most without comparator groups, found a high incidence of CRC in LS populations despite being resident in countries where surveillance was recommended. A small number of studies directly assessed time since last colonoscopy against CRC incidence and stage with mixed findings. Finally, cross-sectional comparisons between countries of CRC incidence rates and surveillance interval recommendations found no relationship between the two1,2. What this study addsHere, we conduct an observational cohort study on a large national cohort of MMR germline pathogenic variant (GPV) carriers (MMR-carriers) in England (n=4,732), comparing CRC incidence and mortality in individuals with a record of regular surveillance to those without. Through linkage of the English National Lynch Syndrome Registry to Hospital Episodes Statistics data, we are uniquely able to study a comprehensive national population of MMR-carriers and identify the dates on which colonoscopies were undertaken over time, allowing assessment of adherence to national surveillance guidelines and the impact this has on CRC outcomes. Notably, receipt of regular colonoscopy was strongly associated with deprivation as well as ethnicity. The results show that regular surveillance at an average interval of 3 years (or less) is not associated with a reduction in CRC incidence when compared to less frequent surveillance, but an apparent decrease in both CRC-specific and overall mortality is observed, even after adjustment for confounding variables. Conversely, regular surveillance at an average interval of 2 years (or less) is associated with an increase in CRC incidence when compared to less frequent surveillance, which may suggest increased diagnosis of early-stage cancers or, due to the absence of a reduction in late-stage cancers, overdiagnosis. The observed impact of surveillance on overall mortality may demonstrate the impact of surveillance on CRC-specific mortality, or, in the context of an observational (non-randomised) study, indicate that the results are subject to selection bias. How this study might affect research, practice, or policyEvidence for the benefit of surveillance colonoscopy remains mixed. Whilst polypectomy would be anticipated to prevent CRC development (thus reducing CRC incidence), several studies have observed increased frequency of CRCs in MMR-carriers undergoing frequent surveillance colonoscopy, which may reflect overdiagnosis. The selection bias inherent to observational studies of surveillance renders mortality outcomes challenging to interpret. Randomised controlled trials of colonoscopic surveillance in MMR-carriers are required for effectiveness of this intervention to be accurately assessed. Given ethical and feasibility challenges, randomised controlled trials might be complemented by quasi-experimental designs using advanced observational methods for assessing effectiveness.

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Antenatal Screening for Sexually Transmitted Infections to Reduce Preterm Birth or Low Birthweight (Philani Ndiphile Study): A Randomized Three-Group Trial

Babalola, C. M.; Medina-Marino, A.; Mdingi, M. M.; Wilson, M. L.; Mukomana, F.; Muzny, C. A.; Taylor, C. M.; Gigi, R. M.; Jung, H.; Low, N.; Peters, R. P.; Klausner, J. D.

2026-04-21 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.04.15.26350805 medRxiv
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BackgroundChlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis are curable sexually transmitted infections (STIs) associated with adverse birth outcomes. Most infections are asymptomatic. Whether antenatal STI screening improves birth outcomes remains uncertain. MethodsIn a randomized three-group trial in South Africa, pregnant women aged 18 years or older were assigned before 27 weeks gestation to: (1) screening and treatment for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis at enrollment, with tests-of-cure (One-Time Screening); (2) screening and treatment at enrollment, repeated at 30 to 34 weeks (Two-Time Screening); or (3) Standard-of-Care (Syndromic management). The primary outcome was a composite of preterm birth (<37 weeks gestation) or low birthweight (<2500 g), analyzed in the modified intention-to-treat population of participants with live births. Components of the composite outcome were evaluated individually as the main secondary outcomes. The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04446611. FindingsOf 2247 enrolled participants, 1910 had live births. The composite outcome occurred in 22{middle dot}9% of the One-Time Screening group (risk ratio [RR] 0{middle dot}99; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0{middle dot}81-1{middle dot}21), 20{middle dot}6% of the Two-Time Screening group (RR 0{middle dot}89; 95% CI 0{middle dot}72-1{middle dot}09), compared with 23{middle dot}2% of the Standard-of-Care group. Preterm birth occurred in 18{middle dot}9% of the One-Time Screening group (RR 1{middle dot}00; 95% CI 0{middle dot}80-1{middle dot}26), 14{middle dot}5% of the Two-Time Screening group (RR 0{middle dot}77; 95% CI 0{middle dot}60-0{middle dot}99), and 18{middle dot}8% of the Standard-of-Care group. Low birthweight occurred in 14{middle dot}1% of the One-Time Screening group (RR 1{middle dot}10; 95% CI 0{middle dot}83-1{middle dot}46), 12{middle dot}9% of the Two-Time Screening group (RR 1{middle dot}01; 95% CI 0{middle dot}76-1{middle dot}35), and 12{middle dot}8% of the Standard-of-Care group. InterpretationNeither screening strategy for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis reduced the primary composite outcome of preterm birth or low birthweight, or low birthweight alone. The Two-Time antenatal STI screening strategy, however, reduced preterm birth by 23%.

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Design and preliminary safety validation of a hybrid deterministic-AI triage system for multilingual primary healthcare: a WhatsApp-based vignette study in South Africa

Nkosi-Mjadu, B. E.

2026-04-22 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.21.26349781 medRxiv
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BackgroundSouth Africas public healthcare system serves most of the population through approximately 3,900 primary healthcare clinics characterised by long waiting times and high volumes of repeat-prescription visits. No published pre-arrival digital triage system operates across all 11 official South African languages while aligning with the South African Triage Scale (SATS). This paper reports the design and preliminary safety validation of BIZUSIZO, a hybrid deterministic-AI WhatsApp triage system. MethodsBIZUSIZO delivers SATS-aligned triage via WhatsApp, combining AI-assisted free-text classification (Claude Haiku 4.5) with a Deterministic Clinical Safety Layer (DCSL) that overrides AI output for 53 clinical discriminator categories (14 RED, 19 ORANGE, 20 YELLOW) coded in all 11 official languages and independent of AI availability. A five-domain risk factor assessment can only upgrade triage level. One hundred and twenty clinical vignettes in patient language (English, isiZulu, isiXhosa, Afrikaans; 30 per language) were scored against a developer-assigned gold standard with independent blinded nurse review. A 121-vignette multilingual DCSL safety consistency check across all 11 languages and a 220-call post-hoc framing sensitivity evaluation (110 paired vignettes) were also conducted. ResultsUnder-triage was 3.3% (4/120; 95% CI: 0.9%-8.3%) with no RED under-triage; exact concordance was 80.0% (96/120) and quadratic weighted kappa 0.891 (95% CI: 0.827-0.932). One two-level under-triage was observed on a non-RED presentation (V072, isiXhosa burns vignette, ORANGEGREEN); one two-level over-triage was observed (V054, isiZulu deep laceration, YELLOWRED). In the framing sensitivity evaluation, AI-only classification achieved 50.9% RED invariance under adversarial framing; full-pipeline classification achieved 95.0% in four validated languages, with the DCSL rescuing 18 of 23 AI drift cases. ConclusionsA hybrid deterministic-AI triage system with DCSL-based emergency detection achieved zero RED under-triage and consistent RED detection across all 11 official languages. The 16.7% over-triage rate falls within published South African SATS ranges (13.1-49%). A single two-level under-triage event was observed on an isiXhosa burns vignette (ORANGEGREEN) and is discussed in Limitations. Findings are preliminary; prospective validation against independent nurse triage is the necessary next step.

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Ethnic inequalities in respiratory virus epidemics in England: a mathematical modelling study

Robert, A.; Goodfellow, L.; Pellis, L.; van Leeuwen, E.; Edmunds, W. J.; Quilty, B. J.; van Zandvoort, K.; Eggo, R. M.

2026-04-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.18.26350858 medRxiv
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BackgroundIn England, the burden of respiratory infections varies by ethnicity, contributing to health inequalities, but the role of additional demographic factors remains underexplored. We quantified how differences in social mixing and demographic characteristics between ethnic groups cause inequalities in transmission dynamics. MethodsWe analysed the association between the ethnicity and the number of contacts of 12,484 participants in the 2024-2025 Reconnect social contact survey, using a negative binomial regression model. We simulated respiratory pathogen epidemics using a compartmental model stratified by age, ethnicity, and contact levels, at a national level and in major cities in England. FindingsAfter adjusting for demographic variables, participants of Black and Mixed ethnicities had more contacts than those of White ethnicity (rate ratios (RR): 1.18 [95% Credible Interval (CI): 1.11-1.26], and 1.31 [95% CI: 1.14-1.52]). Participants of Asian ethnicity had fewer contacts (RR: 0.85 [95% CI: 0.79-0.91]). In national-level simulations, individuals of White ethnicity had the lowest attack rates due to demographic differences and mixing patterns. Local demographic structures changed simulated dynamics: attack rates in individuals of Black and Mixed ethnicities were approximately double those of White ethnicity in Birmingham, but less than 60% higher in Liverpool. InterpretationDemographic characteristics and mixing patterns create inequalities in transmission dynamics between ethnicities, while local demographic characteristics and pathogen infectiousness change the expected relative burden. To ensure mitigation strategies are effective and equitable, their evaluation must explicitly account for inequalities arising from local context. FundingMedical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Wellcome Trust Research in context Evidence before this studyWe searched PubMed for population-based studies quantifying differences in respiratory infections between ethnic groups, up to 1 April 2026, with no language restrictions. Keywords included: (respiratory pathogens OR influenza OR COVID-19) AND (ethnic* OR race) AND (inequ*) AND (compartmental model OR incidence rate ratio OR hazard ratio). We excluded studies that focused on non-respiratory pathogens (e.g. looking at consequences of COVID-19 on incidence of other pathogens). A population-based cohort study showed that influenza infection risk was higher in South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups compared to White ethnicity in England. Another population-based cohort study highlighted that during the first wave of COVID-19 in England, the South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups were more likely to test positive and to be hospitalised than the White ethnic group. Census data in England showed that the distributions of age, household size, household income and employment status differed between ethnic groups, and the recent Reconnect social contact surveys highlighted the impact of each demographic factor on the participants number of contacts. Added value of this studyOur study shows that social contact patterns, mixing, and demographic structure all lead to unequal infection risk between ethnic groups in respiratory pathogen epidemics. Using the largest available social contact survey in England, we show that both the average number of contacts and the proportion of high-contact individuals varied by ethnic group, even after adjusting for participants demographics. These differences, together with mixing patterns and age structure, led to lower expected incidence among individuals of White ethnicity than in all other ethnic groups in simulated outbreaks. The level of inequality between ethnic groups changed when we used different values of pathogen transmissibility. Finally, as ethnic composition and population structure differ between cities in England, our results show differences in expected inequalities at a local level. Implications of all the available evidenceInequalities in infection risk between ethnic groups are context- and pathogen-dependent. They arise from both local population structure and contact patterns. Detailed information on mixing between groups and population structure is needed to accurately measure group-specific infection risk. These findings indicate that public health interventions based only on national-level estimates conceal regional variation in risk and may ultimately increase inequalities. Public health interventions need to be tailored to local contexts to be equitable and effective. Finally, our findings provide a foundation for understanding the progression from infection-risk inequalities to disparities in disease presentation and clinical outcomes.

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A Return-on-Investment Analysis of a Community-Based Diabetes Self-Management Program In New York City

Goldwater, J. C.; Harris, Y.; Das, S. K.; Fernandez Galvis, M. A.; Maru, D.; Jordan, W. B.; Sacaridiz, C.; Norwood, C.; Kim, S. S.; Neustrom, K.

2026-04-23 health economics 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351481 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the return on investment (ROI) of a community based Diabetes Self Management Program (DSMP) enhanced with health related social needs (HRSN) screening and referrals, implemented by the New York City (NYC) Department of Health and Mental Hygiene with three community based organizations in highly impacted, under resourced neighborhoods. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cost benefit analysis from a public sector payer perspective was conducted among 171 adults with type 2 diabetes who completed a six week, peer led DSMP delivered by community health workers (CHWs) in English, Spanish, and Korean during 2018 2019. A time driven, activity based costing model captured direct implementation costs, CHW workforce turnover, and administrative overhead. Monetized benefits included avoided diabetes related complications, reductions in self reported emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations, and quality adjusted life year (QALY) gains from improved medication adherence. Univariate sensitivity analyses tested robustness under conservative assumptions. RESULTS: Total program costs were $179,224; monetized benefits totaled $1,824,213, yielding a net benefit of $1,644,989 and an ROI of 918%, approximately $10 returned per $1 invested. Excluding QALY gains, ROI remained 551%. Self reported ED visits declined from 149 to 82 and hospitalizations from 93 to 24 in the six months following intervention. Over 80% of participants reported housing instability; 72% were Medicaid covered and 16% uninsured. Sensitivity analyses confirmed a positive ROI under all conservative scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: A CHW led, community based DSMP integrated with HRSN screening and referrals delivered substantial economic and public health value among adults facing housing instability and structural barriers to care. Findings support inclusion of DSMP as a covered benefit in Medicaid managed care, value based payment arrangements, and housing access initiatives to advance equitable diabetes outcomes.

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Effect mechanisms of different malaria chemoprevention regimens in pregnancy on infant growth outcomes: causal mediation analysis of a randomized controlled trial

Nguyen, A. T.; Nankabirwa, J. I.; Kakuru, A.; Roh, M. E.; Aguti, M.; Adrama, H.; Kizza, J.; Olwoch, P.; Kamya, M. R.; Dorsey, G.; Jagannathan, P.; Benjamin-Chung, J.

2026-04-25 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351121 medRxiv
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Introduction: Intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy (IPTp) with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) has become less effective at preventing malaria due to rising parasite resistance. IPTp with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP) alone or in combination with SP (DP+SP) dramatically lowers the risk of malaria in pregnancy compared to SP but is associated with lower birthweight and early life wasting. We estimated the effect of IPTp-DP, DP+SP, and SP on infant growth outcomes and assessed possible treatment mechanisms through a causal mediation analysis. Methods: We used infant follow-up data (N=761) from a trial (NCT04336189) that randomized pregnant women to receive monthly IPTp-DP, SP, or DP+SP. We compared weight-for-length (WLZ) and length-for-age (LAZ) z-scores between treatment arms. We assessed possible mediation through pregnancy, birth, and infancy factors using interventional indirect effect models. Results: Compared to IPTp-SP, IPTp-DP+SP decreased mean WLZ by 0.18 [95% confidence interval (CI) -0.03, 0.39] between 1-3 months and 0.28 (95% CI 0.07, 0.49) between 4-6 months, with the largest differences among primigravidae. Lower risk of active placental malaria in IPTp-DP+SP helped reduce differences in mean WLZ vs IPTp-SP (+0.06, 95% CI 0.02, 0.10). The IPTp-DP+SP arm had up to 0.28 lower mean LAZ between 7-13 months compared to IPTp-DP, particularly among children who were wasted between 0-6 months; low birthweight had a persistent, mediating effect on linear growth. Conclusion: Adverse birth outcomes contributed to early growth faltering among children born to mothers receiving IPTp-DP+SP vs IPTp-SP, but the prevention of placental malaria partially counteracted the negative effects of IPTp-DP+SP on ponderal growth.

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Family Constellations for All Clinical Conditions: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Showing a Lack of Supporting Evidence

Souza, F. L.; Cabral Souza, N.; Mendes, J. A. d. A.

2026-04-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351231 medRxiv
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IntroductionFamily Constellation Therapy (FCT) has been widely disseminated in clinical, public health, and judicial settings despite persistent concerns regarding its theoretical basis, safety, and the limited availability of rigorous randomised evidence supporting its clinical use. ObjectiveThe aim of this systematic review is to assess the effects of FCT across all clinical conditions, explicitly considering both benefits and harms; and summarise the characteristics of studies and intervention settings used in randomised controlled trials of FCT. MethodsFollowing a prospectively registered protocol (CRD420251136190), we conducted a systematic search of seven databases (PubMed, EMBASE, APA PsycInfo, CENTRAL, BVS, Web of Science, and CINAHL) and grey literature (ICTRP and ProQuest database) without language or date restrictions to identify published and unpublished randomised controlled trials of FCT. Study selection, data extraction, risk of bias (RoB 2), and certainty of evidence (GRADE) were performed in duplicate. Statistical analyses followed a prospectively registered analysis plan with prespecified criteria for data pooling and for handling analytical limitations. ResultsNo reliable evidence was found to support the use of FCT for any condition across both clinical and non-clinical samples. All trials included were judged to be at high risk of bias and all comparisons were rated as very low-certainty evidence. Concerns regarding potential adverse effects were identified, and the available data was insufficient to establish the effectiveness of the intervention, precluding any clinical recommendation. ConclusionClinicians, policymakers, and consumers should reconsider adopting FCT while reliable evidence is not available.

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Global burden of stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351490 medRxiv
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Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

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The epidemiological transition in Vietnam, 1990-2023: a Global Burden of Disease 2023 analysis

Bui, L. V.; Nguyen, D. N.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351624 medRxiv
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Background. Vietnam's disease burden has shifted from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes to non-communicable diseases (NCDs), but the tempo, drivers, and regional positioning of this transition have not been jointly quantified. We characterised Vietnam's epidemiological transition 1990-2023 against ten Southeast-Asian (SEA) peers. Methods. Using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data, we computed joinpoint-regression AAPC with 95% CI (BIC-penalised, up to three break-points) for age-standardised DALY rates and cause-composition shares. We applied Das Gupta three-factor decomposition to 1990-2023 absolute DALY change (population-size, age-structure, age-specific-rate effects) and benchmarked Vietnam's NCD share against an SDI-conditional peer trajectory via leave-one-out quadratic regression. Premature mortality was quantified as WHO 30q70 under both broad NCD and strict SDG 3.4.1 definitions, using Chiang II life-table adjustment identically across all eleven countries. Findings. The CMNN age-standardised DALY rate fell from 13,295.9 to 4,022.1 per 100,000 (AAPC -4.63%/year; 95% CI -4.80 to -4.46); the NCD rate fell only from 21,688.2 to 19,282.8 (AAPC -0.37; -0.45 to -0.30). NCD share of total DALYs rose from 52.99% to 70.67% (+17.67 pp; AAPC +1.09). Vietnam ranked fourth of eleven SEA countries in 2023 (up from sixth in 1990) and sat 5.3% above the SDI-expected trajectory. Das Gupta decomposition attributed the +10.63 million NCD DALY increase to population growth (+6.26 M) and ageing (+6.08 M); rate change removed only 1.71 M. Premature NCD mortality fell from 25.02% to 21.80% (broad, 12.9% reduction) and from 22.17% to 19.50% (SDG 3.4.1, 12.0%; Vietnam sixth of eleven) - far short of the SDG 3.4 one-third-reduction target. Interpretation. Vietnam has entered a disability- and ageing-dominated NCD phase. Meeting SDG 3.4 by 2030 requires population-scale primary prevention sized to demographic momentum.

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Prevalence and Risk Factors of Respiratory Tract Infections Following Medically-Attended-Diarrhea in Children Aged 6-35 Months: Enterics for Global Health (EFGH)-Shigella Surveillance Study, 2022-2024.

Conteh, B.; Galagan, S. R.; Badji, H.; Secka, O.; Bar, B. T.; Rao, S. I.; Atlas, H.; Omore, R.; Ochieng, J. B.; Tapia, M.; Cornick, J.; Cunliffe, N.; Zegarra Paredes, L. F.; Colston, J.; Islam, M. T.; Mosharraf, M. P.; Qamar, F. N.; Fatima, I.; Pavlinac, P. B.; Hossain, M. J.

2026-04-20 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351078 medRxiv
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Globally, respiratory tract infections (RTI) are the main cause of morbidity, and in Low-middle-income countries (LMICs) RTI including pneumonia are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in children <5 years. Diarrheal illness increases RTI risk in young children through micronutrient depletion, and immune stress, yet data on post-diarrhea RTI burden in LMICs are limited. We determined the prevalence and risk factors of RTI within three months following medically-attended diarrhea (MAD) in children aged 6-35 months enrolled in seven EFGH country sites in Asia, Africa and South America. The EFGH study prospectively enrolled children aged 6-35 months with MAD in selected health facilities during a 24-month period from 2022 to 2024 and followed them for three months. RTI was defined as cough or difficulty breathing and the presence of one of the following symptoms at any scheduled or unscheduled visit during follow-up: stridor; fast-breathing; oxygen saturation <90%; or chest indrawing. The period prevalence and 95% confidence intervals of RTI were calculated, and correlates of RTI were assessed using modified-Poisson regression. From June 2022 to August 2024, 9,476 children aged 6-35 months presenting with MAD in the EFGH study sites were screened: 9,116 (96.2%) included in the current study. Nearly half were female (46.7%), and median age was 15 months. Overall, 48.5% received all age-appropriate vaccines, and 87.6% received the pneumococcal vaccine, with significant variation across countries. Nearly one-quarter of children were stunted, 17.2% wasted, and 21.9% underweight. RTI occurred in 3.8% of children during the three-month follow-up, mostly within the first month. Higher prevalence of RTI occurred among children aged 12-23 months (8.7%), those undernourished (16.1%), unvaccinated (4.0%) or living in poor sanitation settings (4.1%). While children who received all age-appropriate or pneumococcal vaccinations had a lower crude prevalence of RTI, these associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for age, sex and study site. RTI was infrequently observed in the three months following MAD presentation, with significant variability by site and with the highest prevalence in Malawi. RTI risk was highest in 12-23-month-olds and among children with undernutrition, and those living in poor sanitation conditions.

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A rights-based intervention integrating social work and ophthalmic care for people experiencing or at risk of homelessness

Hassani, A.; Pecar, K.; Soliman, M.; Bunyon, P.; Ellinger, C.; Tulysewskid, G.; Croft, J.; Carillo, C.; Wewegama, G.; du Plessis-Schneider, S.; Estevez, J. J.

2026-04-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351525 medRxiv
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Background Individuals experiencing or at risk of homelessness face substantial barriers to preventive eye care that are poorly addressed by standard service models. Interdisciplinary optometry-social work collaboration offers a rights-based approach to improving engagement and continuity of care. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study was conducted between February and August 2024 at a multidisciplinary community centre. Clients experiencing or at risk of homelessness received integrated optometry and social work assessment and were prioritised as high, medium, or low based on combined clinical and social risk. Social work follow-up was guided by the Triple Mandate and W-Questions framework. Quantitative data were summarised using mean (SD), median [IQR], or n (%). Qualitative case notes were analysed using content analysis with inductive coding and secondary review for consistency. Results A total of 165 clients had priority categories coded (high: 68; medium: 47; low: 154). Demographic data were available for 132 clients (60% male; mean age 49.5 years [SD 16]); 27% had not completed high school, 89% reported weekly income below AUD 1000, and 28% had vision impairment. Two hundred forty-five case-note entries were consolidated into 146 unique records. SMS (46%) and phone calls (38%) were the most documented contact methods, although only 21% of calls were answered; missed calls (13%) and disconnected numbers (7%) were common. Multi-modal contact was more frequently documented for higher-priority clients. Appointment assistance was the most recorded facilitator (71%), while rights-based supports, including interpreter and transport assistance, were infrequently documented (<=5%). Qualitative analysis identified unstable communication, reliance on informal supports, and service fragmentation as key influences on recall outcomes. Conclusion This study supports an interdisciplinary, rights-based optometry-social work model to address barriers to preventive eye care among people experiencing or at risk of homelessness. Embedding structured handovers and tiered recall processes within community-based services may strengthen continuity and accountability for high-priority clients. Future implementation should evaluate outcomes related to equity of reach, service integration, and sustained engagement in care.

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Differences in tuberculosis prevalence among people living with and without HIV in low-and-middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Swartwood, N.; Can, M. H.; Mortazavi, S. A.; Cui, H.; Singh, N.; Ryuk, D. K.; Horton, K.; MacPherson, P.; Menzies, N. A.

2026-04-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351343 medRxiv
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are leading causes of infectious disease deaths, with disproportionate impact in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Despite well-established biological relationships between these diseases, there is limited information on how TB prevalence differs between people living with and without HIV. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of TB prevalence surveys conducted in LMICs and published during January 1st 1993-October 13th 2025 (PROSPERO CRD42024503853). We extracted bacteriologically-confirmed TB prevalence estimates stratified by participant HIV status. Surveys that offered HIV testing to all, sputum-collection-eligible, or TB-positive participants were included in the primary analysis. We applied Bayesian meta-regression to estimate pooled risk ratios (RR) of bacteriologically-confirmed TB prevalence among participants living with versus without HIV. Additionally, we estimated country-level and overall TB notification-to-prevalence (N:P) ratios by HIV status. FindingsOf 10,211 potentially relevant publications, 12 TB prevalence surveys--representing 264,530 participants within nine countries in Southern and Eastern Africa--were used in the primary analysis. Reported TB prevalence was higher among participants living with versus without HIV in 11/12 surveys, with an overall pooled RR of 3{middle dot}86 (95% credible interval: 2{middle dot}41-5{middle dot}53). N:P ratios were higher among participants living with HIV in all examined countries. The overall pooled N:P ratios were 1{middle dot}74 (0{middle dot}59-4{middle dot}56) and 0{middle dot}48 (0{middle dot}17-1{middle dot}20) among participants living with versus without HIV, respectively. InterpretationIn Southern and Eastern Africa, bacteriologically-confirmed TB prevalence is three- to six-times higher among people living with HIV. Comparison of prevalence and notification data suggest higher rates of TB diagnosis for people living with versus without HIV, but also indicates substantial delays in the detection of untreated TB cases for both populations. FundingWellcome Trust, UK National Institute for Health and Care Research, UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, NIH. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSThere is limited systematic evidence on how the prevalence of TB disease differs between people living with HIV and without HIV. Multiple observational cohorts have described substantially elevated TB incidence among populations with HIV, but disease prevalence will also be affected by differences in mortality and treatment uptake rates. We searched PubMed from inception through January 21, 2026 using the search string ((HIV AND TB) OR HIV/TB) AND (prevalence AND (systematic review OR meta-analysis)) without any restrictions on language. We also reviewed investigators personal libraries. This search yielded 506 publications; however few of these included prevalence data. An analysis conducted in 2020 synthesized HIV status-stratified data from seven national TB prevalence surveys in Africa and found that HIV prevalence was lower among prevalent TB cases than among notified cases. This study did not include subnational surveys and did not distinguish between survey participants with self-reported or test-confirmed HIV status. Added value of this studyThis study synthesized TB prevalence data, stratified by participant HIV status, from national and subnational surveys conducted in LMICs and published between January 1st 1993 and October 13th, 2025. Collated data represented 681,402 survey participants across ten countries. All but one study were conducted in Southern and Eastern Africa. We limited our primary analysis to surveys that systematically tested participants for HIV and bacteriologically-confirmed TB. The prevalence of bacteriologically-confirmed TB was estimated to be three to six times higher than among people living with versus without HIV. Ratios of TB notifications to TB prevalence were higher for people living with HIV compared to people without HIV, suggesting higher rates of TB case detection (and likely shorter duration of disease) for people living with HIV and untreated TB than those without HIV. Implications of all available evidenceFew estimates of community-representative TB prevalence stratified by participant HIV status exist. These surveys have been concentrated in Southern and Eastern Africa, despite TB-HIV burden being distributed globally. Our findings highlight the elevated burden of TB among people living with HIV in these settings, as well as the limited data on the intersection of TB and HIV epidemiology in other world regions. Furthermore, our comparison of notification and prevalence data demonstrate substantial shortfalls in TB case detection, regardless of an individuals HIV status.