Vaccine
Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.
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BackgroundHigh-dose inactivated influenza vaccination (HD-IIV) demonstrates superior effectiveness versus standard-dose vaccination (SD-IIV) in adults aged [≥]60 years. A recent meta-analysis integrated complementary evidence sources of representing over 85 million individuals across 14 influenza seasons. MethodsA previously developed model was updated using life-time horizon and societal perspective. Updated parameters included demographics, costs, hospitalization rates, and relative vaccin...
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COVID-19 remains a substantial public health challenge in the Netherlands. Next-generation COVID-19 vaccine, mRNA-1283, is approved in the European Union, with potential for higher relative vaccine efficacy compared with originally-licensed COVID-19 vaccines. Its potential public health and economic impact, in adults [≥]60 years and high-risk 18-59 years, was modelled versus no vaccination and originally-licensed mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2, adapting a published static Markov model with 1-year tim...
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BackgroundInitial reports from the Netherlands indicate a decline in routine childhood vaccination uptake during and after the COVID-19 pandemic, with emerging evidence of reduced parental vaccine confidence. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on routine childhood vaccination uptake. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective nationwide cohort study including all children born in the Netherlands in 2016-2024. First-dose DTaP-IPV vaccination status by age six mon...
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BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVESSeasonal influenza vaccination has been shown to reduce the risk of influenza and severe complications among children 6 months and older. Since 2010, reported numbers of influenza-associated pediatric deaths among children aged <18 years have ranged from 37 during the 2011-2012 season to 289 during 2024-2025. We estimated influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against pediatric death from 2016-2017 through 2024-2025. METHODSWe conducted a case-cohort analysis comparing cu...
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BackgroundRotavirus remains a leading cause of childhood diarrhoeal hospitalisation globally. Malawi introduced the monovalent G1P8 rotavirus vaccine (Rotarix(R)) in October 2012 and in April 2016 switched from trivalent to bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine (tOPV to bOPV). More than a decade after Rotarix(R) introduction, evidence on sustained vaccine effectiveness and population-level impact in high-transmission, low-income settings remains limited, and it is uncertain whether programme changes ...
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Since the cessation of real-time monitoring of COVID-19 hospitalizations in early 2024, the burden of and vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe COVID-19 in the Netherlands was largely unknown. Recently, hospitalization data from 2024 were made available for the purpose of monitoring and evaluating the COVID-19 vaccination campaigns. These data were linked to the population registry, vaccination registry and healthcare use data (for classification into medical risk groups). We analyzed the n...
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A number of vaccines and long-acting monoclonal antibodies have been shown to be effective in the prevention of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease. However, an immune correlate of protection for RSV has not yet been identified. We conducted a systematic review to identify published reports of immunogenicity and/or efficacy in vaccines and long-acting monoclonal antibodies against RSV and performed a meta-analysis on extracted data to identify any relationship between antibody increase and...
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BackgroundSerotype 3 (S3) has remained a major cause of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) despite its inclusion in 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV). In October 2023, a 15-valent PCV (PCV15) including S3 was introduced into the Catalan universal childhood immunization program. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective pre-post surveillance study to compare pediatric IPD incidence in Catalonia during a pre-PCV15 period (October 1, 2022-September 30, 2023) and two post-PCV15 periods (Oct...
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BackgroundThe SARS-CoV-2 LP.8.1 subvariant was incorporated into the 2025-2026 U.S. COVID-19 vaccines (mRNA-1273.251 and mRNA-1283.251). We evaluated immunogenicity and safety of these vaccines against vaccine-matched and emerging variants in individuals aged [≥]65 and those aged 12-64 years at high-risk of severe COVID-19. MethodsData were generated from: (1) two independent, ongoing, phase 3b/4, open-label, single-arm studies in which participants received a single dose of 50-{micro}g mRNA...
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BackgroundTwo RSV immunisations products: a maternal vaccine, Abrysvo, and a long-acting monoclonal antibody, nirsevimab, both designed to prevent RSV illness in infants, have recently become available. Modelling evidence is required to inform how to optimally use these products in immunisation programs to reduce the burden of RSV in young children. MethodsWe extend a dynamic transmission model calibrated to RSV-hospitalisation data of children aged < 5 years in temperate Western Australia (WA)...
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The seasonal circulation of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in countries such as Japan, together with the transient nature of passive immunity conferred to infants via maternal vaccination or monoclonal antibody administration, may warrant a differential strategy for those born during the RSV inter-seasonal period. Maximal effectiveness may be achieved by deferring immunisation of this cohort from birth until entry into their first RSV season using catch-up administration of monoclonal antibod...
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The resurgence of measles in the United States, driven by declining childhood vaccination coverage, poses a substantial public health and economic threat. Using county-level MMR vaccine coverage data and spatial incidence models, we quantified the economic burden of measles in 2025 and projected the impact of continued declines in vaccine uptake. In 2025, the estimated cost per measles case was $104,629 (50% High-Density Interval [HDI]: $100,729-$110,140), yielding a national burden of $244.2 mi...
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BackgroundMaternal immunization (MI) can prevent major infectious diseases in mothers and children by boosting the immunity of pregnant women. Antenatal care (ANC) delivery platforms could be leveraged to effectively provide MI. Adding MIs into ANC could potentially enhance ANC services, positively influencing both maternal and infant health outcomes and yielding broader benefits. We model these potential ANC-mediated health benefits in five low- and middle-income countries: Ethiopia, Ghana, Ken...
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Embedding equity into vaccine eligibility is essential for reducing health inequalities. Yet, adult vaccine eligibility in most European countries is primarily based on fixed age thresholds, prioritising cost-effectiveness. This approach risks excluding the most vulnerable populations living in deprived communities with poorer health and shorter survival into older age. Extending eligibility based on clinical risk partially addresses this gap. Higher rates of underdiagnosis and delayed diagnosis...
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BackgroundRoutine immunization (RI) is widely used to increase population immunity against measles. In low-resource settings, achieving immunity goals using RI alone has proved challenging and supplemental immunization activities (SIAs), large community-based vaccination campaigns conducted every few years, have been used to close immunity gaps. Although effective at covering the population unreached by RI and boosting the population immunity, SIAs are labor-intensive and expensive, allowing for...
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ObjectivesDespite the availability of effective vaccines, achieving the seroprevalence thresholds recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) for eliminating measles, rubella, and mumps remains a public health challenge. MethodsA retrospective, cross-sectional serological survey was conducted, including 9,587 serum samples collected from 31 of the 32 federal entities of Mexico between September and December 2024. IgG antibody levels against measles, rubella, and mumps were quantified usi...
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Infection with pnuemococcus bacteria is generally mild but can be more severe in the young and elderly, causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Although paediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) programmes and elderly pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV) programmes have reduced cases, we estimate that pneumococcal infection still leads to direct health care costs of around {pound}68M and approximately 16 thousand QALY losses in England per y...
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BackgroundMeasles is a highly contagious infectious disease and a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality worldwide. In developing country like Ethiopia, effective immunization is a proven strategy for reducing measles related illness and deaths. However, measles second dose vaccination drop out has become a major public health concern. In a densely populated city such as Addis Ababa drop rate tends to be higher than the minimum acceptable threshold, leading to increased number of cas...
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Vaccination frequently elicits suboptimal immunogenicity in organ transplant recipients, particularly those on long-term immunosuppressive therapy, highlighting the need for improved understanding of immunosuppression mechanisms and optimized vaccination strategies. This study enrolled a cohort of 132 individuals and observed significantly lower antibody levels in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) compared to non-transplant controls (non-KTRs). Antibody levels were inversely associated with bo...
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BackgroundZero-dose children, defined as those who have not received a first dose of a diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus (DPT)-containing vaccine, represent one of the sharpest manifestations of inequity in immunisation systems. Nigeria remains one of the largest contributors to the global zero-dose burden, with North-East Nigeria facing intersecting crises of conflict, population displacement, governance fragility, and weakened primary health care. Existing research has largely focused on structural...