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Oncogene

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Oncogene's content profile, based on 76 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.07% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Widespread Hyperalgesia Predicts Mortality in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Faghih, M.; Damm, M.; Kassik, M.-T.; Cheesman, L.; Rauschenberg, S.; Olesen, S. S.; Laheru, D. A.; Zheng, L.; Phillips, A. E.; Yadav, D.; Drewes, A. M.; Rosendahl, J.; Singh, V. K.; International Pancreatic Pain Consortium,

2026-05-27 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353594 medRxiv
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Pain in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is associated with poor survival, but whether altered pain processing carries prognostic significance is unknown. We analyzed a prospective cohort of 143 patients with PDAC who underwent pancreatic quantitative sensory testing (PQST) after diagnosis. Patients were classified as having normal pain processing (n=84), segmental hyperalgesia (n=30), or widespread hyperalgesia (n=29). Survival was measured from the date of P-QST assessment. During follow-up, 70 deaths occurred. Widespread hyperalgesia was associated with increased mortality in unadjusted Cox analysis (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.14,3.35) and after adjustment for age, sex, tumor stage, comorbidity, opioid treatment, and body mass index (adjusted HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.30,4.15). Segmental hyperalgesia was not associated with mortality. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated lower survival probability in the widespread hyperalgesia group (log rank p=0.025). These findings suggest that widespread hyperalgesia, reflecting altered central pain processing, identifies a subgroup of PDAC patients at increased risk of mortality independent of conventional clinical factors.

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Connecting Baseline Immune Exhaustion in Hot Tumors to Oral Cancer Recurrence and Nodal Metastasis

Shaikh, S.; Basu, S.; Hajihosseini, M.; Nandy, S. K.; Moorthy, M.; Arun, I.; Lali, B. S.; Arun, P.; Mukherjee, G.; Pyne, S.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354295 medRxiv
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Background: The use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in the treatment of cancer has rapidly expanded over the last decade. However, there are several knowledge gaps in understanding how tumor cells evade the immune system. There is paucity of data in HPV negative oral cancer, particularly of the gingivobuccal region. Understanding the mechanism of immune system evasion in this cancer is vital for improving patient outcomes. Methods: We characterized the baseline immune milieu of oral cancer using immunohistochemistry (IHC) on whole tumor sections from 124 cases. Tumors were classified as hot or cold and further stratified into high-risk and low-risk groups. High-risk patients included those with lymph node metastasis at diagnosis/recurrence or distant metastasis within 2 years of treatment completion. Patients without these features were categorized as low risk. Validation by RNA-Seq and Joint Enrichment Analysis of Oncogenic and Immunologic Pathways was carried out in a subset of 46 cases. Results: Hot high-risk tumors (by IHC) were distinguished by elevated PD-L1 expression and reduced NK-cell, PD1, and CTLA-4 expression. There was no difference in the expression levels of CD3+, CD8+, granzyme, or perforin compared to hot low-risk tumors, findings that align with the definition of hot tumors. RNA-Seq revealed a gene signature associated with exhausted T-cells in hot high-risk tumors. Gene and pathway analyses identified differential upregulation of isoform-specific TOX, TCF, CXCR, RUNX, IRF, BRD and BCL6 genes, implicating immune cell exhaustion and tumor aggressiveness. Significantly downregulated genes included PDCD1, HAVCR2, ZAP70, and STAT, indicative of a disabled immune microenvironment. These findings support that a state of immune exhaustion in HHR tumors is driven by progenitor exhausted T-cells and terminally exhausted T-cells; independent of PD1-TIM3. Conclusion: These findings suggest that combining TOX/TCF/BCL6 inhibitors with immune checkpoint inhibitors in the adjuvant setting might benefit patients with hot high-risk tumors. Given the results, testing for a targeted exhaustion-related gene panel at diagnosis is recommended for oral cancers to stratify tumors as high-risk or low-risk. Larger validation studies and clinical trials are now warranted.

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T cell transcriptional and receptor signatures predict response to telomerase vaccination in prostate cancer

Hoye, E.; Natkin, R.; Sajnani, K.; Engedal, N.; Simensen, J. E.; Hakkola, S.; Kiviaho, A.; Ballesio, F.; Cecchetto, T.; Ellingsen, E. B.; Westhrin, M.; Hovig, E.; Mathelier, A.; Visakorpi, T.; Tammela, T. L.; Murtola, T. J.; Eerola, S.; Nykter, M.; Lilleby, W.; Urbanucci, A.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354038 medRxiv
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While prostate cancer (PC) is defined as immunologically cold, limiting the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors, therapeutic vaccination targeting tumor-associated antigens represents an attractive strategy to promote disease control in low volume metastatic patients. The UV1 cancer vaccine is based on immunization with tripeptide fragments from human telomerase reverse transcriptase (hTERT) and a phase II clinical trial demonstrated induction of robust T cell response in men with de novo metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC). Comparison with long-term survival data of non-metastatic CSPC patients as reference showed that despite metastatic disease at diagnosis, UV1-treated patients who mounted an early vaccine-induced immune response achieved progression-free and overall survival comparable to non-metastatic patients. We examined biological determinants of clinical benefit following UV1 vaccination including tumor transcriptome and T cell receptor (TCR) profiling from circulating and tissue resident T-cells of the 22 men enrolled. Analysis of diagnostic and post-UV1 treatment biopsies revealed that low baseline exhaustion of T cells and higher CD8+ T cell abundance are associated with early immune response to the vaccine and longer survival. Moreover, we identified specific TCR motifs relative to early responders, that can indicate potential benefit from UV1 vaccination. These findings indicate that baseline intratumoral T cell exhaustion state and repertoire shape responsiveness to hTERT vaccination and long-term outcome. Overall, our study underlines how baseline immune profiling may be used as a companion biomarker to predict mCSPC patients most likely to benefit from therapeutic vaccination.

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Non-inferiority of a red-blood-cell--only transfusion strategy compared with balanced resuscitation in adults with massive gastrointestinal haemorrhage: a propensity-score-weighted cohort study

Bahar, B.; Sweeney, J. D.; Nixon, C.

2026-05-26 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354037 medRxiv
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Background. Balanced (1:1:1) transfusion of red blood cells (RBCs), plasma, and platelets is the standard of care in trauma-induced massive haemorrhage, where early coagulopathy is a defining feature. In gastrointestinal (GI) haemorrhage this physiology is non-prominent, and whether plasma and platelets provide benefit when [≥] 10 RBC units are required within 24 hours is unknown. Objective. To test whether a red-blood-cell-only (RBC-only) transfusion strategy is non-inferior to a balanced (Balanced) strategy for in-hospital mortality in adults meeting massive-transfusion criteria for GI haemorrhage. Design. Single-centre retrospective cohort of 559 adult massive-transfusion encounters (536 patients; 2021-2025) with a primary admitting diagnosis of upper, lower, or unspecified GI haemorrhage. Exposures were RBC-only versus Balanced (RBCs with any plasma and/or platelets). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, with a pre-specified 5-percentage-point (pp) non-inferiority margin on the absolute risk difference and a 3-pp sensitivity margin. Analysis used augmented inverse-probability-of-treatment weighting (AIPTW) with bootstrap inference (2,000 resamples by patient). Five pre-specified sensitivity analyses were performed. Results. 505 encounters (90.3%) received RBC-only and 54 (9.7%) received Balanced transfusion. The AIPTW risk difference for in-hospital mortality (RBC-only - Balanced) was -19.8 pp (95% CI -68.1 - -2.2 pp). Non-inferiority was demonstrated at both the primary 5-pp and the more stringent 3-pp margins. Five pre-specified sensitivity analyses, (1) a propensity-score matched cohort, (2) a complete-case model incorporating INR, (3) a broader GI diagnosis set (n = 749), (4) a first encounter per patient restriction, and (5) E-value bound analysis were concordant with the primary estimate. Conclusion. In this propensity-score-weighted cohort of adults with massive GI haemorrhage, an RBC-only transfusion strategy was non-inferior to a balanced strategy for in-hospital mortality at both 5-pp and 3-pp margins. The findings support individualized use of plasma and platelets in GI haemorrhage rather than reflexive application of the 1:1:1 trauma protocol; prospective confirmation is warranted.

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Translational bioinformatics and machine learning framework for biomarker discovery, disease prediction, and patient profiling for precision medicine

Ahmed, Z.; Govindareddy, P.; DeGroat, W.; Narayanan, R.; Peker, E.; Zeeshan, S.

2026-05-27 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353961 medRxiv
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Precision medicine aims to advance our ability from a "one-size-fits-all" approach to personalized and predictive healthcare across diverse populations. It promotes integration of multi-omics and phenotypic data to understand disease mechanisms and discover novel biomarkers and risk factors, which could be used to predict and prevent critical diseases in individual patients across diverse populations. The potential implications of precision medicine approach can accelerate our ability to classify patients at higher risk of developing critical diseases, improve diagnostic capabilities, develop deeper understanding of individual risk, investigate racial differences and demographic characteristics, and find relationships between genetic variants, expressions, and diseases. This study focuses on implementing an innovative and data driven framework of translational bioinformatics and Machine Learning (ML) techniques to analyze multi-omics, including RNA-seq and Whole-Genome Sequencing (WGS) data, generated using blood samples of randomly consented patients. First, we utilized bioinformatics pipelines to identify differentially expressed genes and their pathogenic and likely pathogenic variants for the downstream data analysis, annotation, and visualization. Then, applied a nexus of ML models for multi-omics biomarker discovery, disease prediction, density-based clustering, single-patient profiling, and pathogenicity classification. WGS data analysis supported the exploration of genetic variation and diversity among patients to identify known and novel biomarkers, whereas RNA-seq data analysis improved our understanding of functional and biological pathways that underlying disease states. We classified and clustered pathogenic variants and expressions across various genes and discovered numerous diseases leading risk factors. Our results include gene-disease associations and captured common pathways across the broader population, demonstrating a level of sensitivity and accuracy that has broad clinical implications. We validated our results through clinical records, and state of the science literature. This study delves into the strengths of multi-omics data integration and capabilities of ML application in genetically diverse and complex patient cohorts. Our approach has the potential to elucidate complex gene-disease interactions for genetically diverse populations, which can support earlier diagnoses for patients in many disease realms.

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Phenome-Wide Association Study of Pre-Cancer Diagnosis Electronic Health Records Identifies Risk and Inverse Associations in the All of Us Research Program

Rich, C. C. D.; Bang, E. J.; Bair, A. B.; Richardson, B. E.; Millington, J. L.; Bates, B. A.; Davis, M. F.; Bailey, M. H.

2026-05-28 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353823 medRxiv
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Background: The All of Us Research Program represents a rich resource for cancer epidemiology research, with over 400,000 participants with whole genome sequences linked to electronic health records (EHR). Large cancer datasets often focus exclusively on cases without controls and neglect pre-diagnosis healthcare occurrences. Here, we perform a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) of EHR data at least 1 year pre-diagnosis between cancer cases and matched controls, revealing co-occurring and mutually exclusive phenotypes. Methods: We identified 55,000+ cancer cases across 21 cancer types in All of Us version 8. To eliminate age-related confounding, we implemented a two-stage matching and censoring strategy: loose matching on demographics to establish index dates and cohort comparability, followed by right-censoring of EHR data (excluding 1 year pre-diagnosis/index), then 1:2 matching to address residual demographic imbalance. We tested associations between 23,193 cancer cases, 46,386 matched controls and approximately 1,600 clinical phenotypes using logistic regression adjusted for sex at birth, self-reported race, age at diagnosis/index date, and two censored EHR metrics: observation window and unique condition count, with Bonferroni correction for multiple testing. Results: Our analysis identified 232 significantly associated phenotypes, confirming established cancer risk factors including elevated prostate specific antigen (OR = 2.92, 95% CI: 2.65-3.23; p-value=1.8x10-101) and multinodular goiter (OR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.56-1.91; p-value=6.7x10-27). Further investigation into the relationship between several phenotypes with seeming inverse effects is warranted. Conclusions: This PheWAS of EHR data at least 1 year pre-diagnosis leveraged the diversity of All of Us to examine how clinical phenotypes prior to cancer diagnosis vary across cancer types and racial groups. Our findings validate All of Us as a robust platform for cancer epidemiology research, confirming established risk factors at scale across diverse populations. This work provides methodological insights for EHR-based susceptibility analyses and demonstrates the value of agnostic phenome-wide approaches for generating hypotheses in precision medicine.

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Immune Checkpoint Response Profiles and Resistance Mechanisms in NSCLC Revealed by Circulating Extracellular Vesicle Proteomics

Taylor, C.; Davey, M.; Allain, E. P.; Cheema, A. S.; Crapoulet, N.; Finn, N.; Abd, M.; Ouellette, R.

2026-05-26 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354042 medRxiv
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Background: Immune-oncology has revolutionized cancer treatment, but some patients fail to benefit due to primary resistance and tumour-immune evasion. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are secreted by both tumour and immune cells and mediate communication between cancer cells and the immune system. Our study used proteomic profiling of circulating EVs collected from NSCLC patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) to identify predictive biomarkers of response as well as immune evasion mechanisms related to treatment resistance. Methods: EVs were isolated from plasma collected prior to ICI treatment using peptide-affinity purification and high-throughput proteomics was performed using Proximal Extension Assay. Differentially expressed EV proteins between durable (DR) and non-durable responders (NDR) were identified and evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression, survival analysis, sex-stratified analysis, as well as pathway and network analysis. Results: Proteomics analysis identified 116 differentially expressed EV proteins between DR and NDR. NDR was characterized by enrichment of inflammatory, angiogenic, and immune-suppressive EV proteins, such as IL1RL1, TFRC, IL6ST, galectins, TNF superfamily death receptors, chemokines, and PCSK9. Pathway analysis revealed enrichment of angiogenesis, chemotaxis, ECM remodeling, and neutrophil degranulation associated with poor progression-free survival (PFS). In contrast, DR to ICI treatment was associated with EV proteins related to T- and B-cell activation and adaptive immunity. Sex-related differences in abundance and association with PFS was observed for certain EV proteins, including IL1RL1 and TFRC. A six protein EV model (IL1RL1, TFRC, ERI1, CCN5, IGFBPL1, and TNFRSF13C) demonstrated good prognostic performance for identifying NDR (AUC = 0.907) and stratified patients into three discrete risk groups. Conclusions: High-plex EV proteomics revealed biologically coherent tumour-immune signaling programs that are associated with ICI treatment resistance. Profiling circulating EVs may improve our understanding of EV-mediated immune evasion mechanisms and identify protein signatures that reflect the tumour immune microenvironment and predict response to immune checkpoint blockade.

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Cell-Free DNA Genomic and Fragmentomic Features for Early Outcome Prediction in Large B-Cell Lymphoma.

Wang, S.; Mapar, P.; Moldovan, N.; van der Pol, Y.; Safrastyan, A.; van Werkhoven, E.; Tantyo, N. A.; Snieder, B.; Do Brito Valente, A. F.; de Jong, A. V.; Dinmohamed, A.; Drees, E. E. E.; Roemer, M. G. M.; Ylstra, B.; Klerk, C. P. W.; Strobbe, L.; Sandberg, Y.; Boersma, R. S.; Koene, H.; Pruijt, H.; de Heer, K.; van Rijn, R.; Bilgin, Y. M.; de Jongh, E.; Nijland, M.; van der Poel, M.; Koster, A.; Nieuwenhuizen, L.; Fijnheer, R.; Beeker, A.; Mous, R.; Vergote, V. K. J.; Vermaat, J. S. P.; Pegtel, D. M.; Chamuleau, M. E. D.; Mouliere, F.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26353426 medRxiv
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Curative-intent immunochemotherapy fails in ~30% of patients with large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL), yet no validated molecular tool enables early identification of high-risk individuals to guide treatment intensification. Using shallow whole genome sequencing (sWGS) of plasma cell-free DNA from 190 LBCL patients, we developed and validated the ACT score (Aberrations, fragment Composition, Terminal motifs), a composite classifier integrating genomic and fragmentomic features from a single post-cycle-1 sample. ACT-positive patients had worse 2-year outcomes versus ACT-negative patients: time-to-progression 29% vs. 83% (HR 4.4, 95% CI 1.9 - 10.0; P = 1.5 x 10 - 4) and overall survival 47% vs. 93% (HR 8.7, 95% CI 3.0 - 25.4; P = 1.8 x 10-6). ACT score was independently prognostic of the International Prognostic Index, and their combination identified the highest-risk patients. Unlike mutation-based approaches, this assay requires neither tumor tissue, germline control nor a baseline plasma sample. Built on open-source tools and sWGS, the ACT score offers a feasible scalable strategy for early risk stratification in aggressive LBCL.

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Deep Learning Spatial Profiling of CD103+CD8+ T Cells and Survival in Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Abe, T.; Yamashita, K.; Nagasaka, T.; Fujita, M.; Ueda, Y.; Miyake, S.; Ito, R.; Adachi, Y.; Ando, M.; Tsuneki, T.; Okazoe, Y.; Konaka, R.; Takahashi, T.; Kagiyama, H.; Tachibana, T.; Imai, M.; Yoshida, T.; Saito, M.; Mukohyama, J.; Kanayama, K.; Koma, Y.-I.; Otowa, Y.; Hasegawa, H.; Ikeda, T.; Koterazawa, Y.; Aoki, T.; Harada, H.; Urakawa, N.; Goto, H.; Kanaji, S.; Yanagimoto, H.; Matsuda, T.; Takamura, S.; Yamashita, T.; Sasaki, R.; Fukumoto, T.; Kakeji, Y.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353629 medRxiv
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Background: CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are established prognostic markers in colorectal cancer, yet the clinical significance of CD103+CD8+ tissue-resident memory-like (TRM-like) T cells in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) remains unknown. Methods: We quantified CD8+ and CD103+CD8+ T-cell densities in stromal and intratumoral compartments of post-NACRT resection specimens from 40 LARC patients using Cu-Cyto, a deep learning-based imaging cytometry platform. Associations with survival, pathological response, and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) were examined. Treatment-induced T-cell dynamics were assessed in paired pretreatment biopsies and post-NACRT resections (n = 9). Results: High stromal CD103+CD8+ density independently predicted better 5-year RFS (67.4% vs. 12.1%, p < 0.001) and OS (80.0% vs. 26.6%, p = 0.016); intratumoral density showed no prognostic significance. Pathological response correlated with stromal CD8+ but not CD103+CD8+ density. Paired analysis revealed a selective non-expansion of the CD103+ subset: stromal CD8+ T cells increased significantly after NACRT while CD103+CD8+ density remained unchanged. AC may preferentially benefit patients with low stromal CD103+CD8+ density. Conclusions: Stromal CD103+CD8+ T-cell density is a robust independent prognostic biomarker in rectal cancer after NACRT that appears to reflect pre-existing rather than treatment-induced immunity. Given its stability across NACRT, pretreatment biopsy assessment may provide equivalent prognostic information, with potential implications for patient stratification before treatment initiation.

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Cancer Prevalence and Patterns in Kilifi County: A 10-year Retrospective Descriptive Study

Masha, M.; Mbugua, R. W.; Abdullahi, M.; Sheikh, N. A.; Omar, A.; Abdihamid, O.

2026-06-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353643 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Cancer is an increasing public health challenge in Kenya, particularly in rural and underserved regions where surveillance systems and diagnostic capacity remain limited. Kilifi County, located along the Kenyan coast, lacks a population-based cancer registry, and data on the local cancer burden is not available. This study aimed to characterize the demographic distribution of patients, cancer burden in the county, and management of cancer cases diagnosed at Kilifi County Referral Hospital (KCRH) over ten years. Methods This retrospective study analyzed the patterns of cancer in Kilifi County using patient records from KCRH during the study period (January 1, 2014, to January 1, 2024). Results A total of 101 patients with cancer were identified, 58% female, with a mean age of 54 years. Most patients were from Kilifi North (47%), with a high proportion reporting no formal occupation (41%) or farming (26%). Esophageal and cervical cancers were the most common (18% each), followed by breast and prostate cancers (5% each), with other malignancies occurring infrequently. Histopathology was the primary diagnostic modality (88%). Staging data were incomplete in 70% of cases; among documented cases, the majority presented with advanced disease (21% stage IV). Due to limited local treatment capacity, approximately half of the patients were referred to tertiary centers for chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or surgery. At data cut-off, 43% had died, 25% were on treatment, and 29% were lost to follow-up, with only 2% completing treatment or under follow-up. Conclusions This study demonstrates a substantial cancer burden in Kilifi County and highlights critical gaps in diagnostic capacity, staging, and continuity of care. Strengthening cancer surveillance systems, expanding diagnostic and treatment infrastructure, and establishing a population-based cancer registry are essential to improving cancer outcomes and advancing equitable care in rural Kenya

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Determinants of cancer care delays in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)

Dusingize, J. C.; Zotova, N.; Kabarriti, R.; Sehrawat, K.; Babakazo, P.; Alisho, A. S.; Kasindi, F. L.; Yessoufou, I.; Yotebieng, M.

2026-05-26 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353550 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: Cancer outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa are driven by delayed diagnosis and treatment initiation. We evaluated the magnitude and determinants of diagnostic and treatment delays among cancer patients in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). METHODS: We conducted a hospital-based cross-sectional study of 460 adults with confirmed cancer at Nganda Hospital Center in Kinshasa, DRC. Two outcomes were assessed: delay from symptom onset to diagnosis and delay from diagnosis to treatment initiation. Log-normal regression models were fitted for each outcome to estimate adjusted geometric mean ratios (aGMRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Covariates included demographic, socioeconomic, clinical, behavioral, and stigma-related factors. RESULTS: The median age was 55 years, and 76.2% of participants were women. Overall, 55.0% of participants experienced symptom-to-diagnosis delays >6 months, and 49.4% experienced diagnosis-to-treatment delays >3 months. Older age was associated with longer diagnostic delay (aGMR 1.55, 95% CI 1.03-2.31) and treatment delay (1.51, 1.07-2.14). Unemployment was strongly associated with both diagnostic delay (1.68, 1.15-2.47) and treatment delay (2.27, 1.54-3.33), as was hepatitis B co-infection (1.88, 1.06-3.34 and 2.42, 1.15-5.11, respectively). Longer diagnostic delay was additionally associated with informal trading (1.99, 1.21-3.28), taxi or motorbike transport (1.92, 1.25-2.94), and smoking history (2.25, 1.03-4.91), while high cancer-stereotype stigma was associated with longer treatment delay (1.56, 1.04-2.34). CONCLUSION: Substantial delays exist across the DRC cancer care continuum, driven by socioeconomic vulnerability, transport barriers, hepatitis B co-infection, and cancer-related stigma. These findings highlight the need for integrated interventions to improve timely diagnosis and treatment initiation, including strengthening financial protection, decentralizing cancer services, and reducing stigma in cancer care.

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Sensitive Glioma Detection and Recurrence Monitoring Using a Machine Learning Model Based on Circulating Monocytes

Wu, W.; Chai, R.; Xia, P.; Wu, L.; Yu, B.; Chen, X.; Pang, B.; Chen, D.; Wang, Y.; Wang, N.; Li, X.; Liu, H.; Deng, Q.; Wan, F.; Lyu, F.; Wang, L.; Zhang, W.; Zhang, J.; Jiang, T.; Wang, Q.

2026-06-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354409 medRxiv
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Background: Non-invasive diagnosis, reliable recurrence surveillance remain critical unmet needs in gliomas. Glioma induces profound systemic immune alterations despite its anatomical confinement to the central nervous system. Circulating immune cells, particularly monocytes, are key mediators of tumor-host crosstalk and may retain tumor-induced transcriptional imprints. However, their potential clinical utility as blood-based biomarkers for detection and monitoring, remain largely unexplored. Methods and findings: In this study, we performed integrated single-cell RNA sequencing of blood immune cells and demonstrated that circulating CD14+ monocytes are significantly expanded in glioma patients, exhibiting features of differentiation arrest and increased transcriptional plasticity. These cells harbor glioma-specific molecular signatures distinct from those observed in healthy controls and patients with other tumors. Leveraging these findings, we developed an ensemble machine learning diagnostic model based on transcriptomic profiles of circulating CD14+ monocytes (training cohort, n=107), which achieved a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.971 during cross-validation. In an independent cohort of 567 participants, the model maintained high diagnostic accuracy, yielding an AUC of 0.877 for distinguishing glioma from controls and other tumors. And it achieved a recurrence detection AUC of 0.969 in 51 postoperative samples. Moreover, in a prospective follow-up study involving 30 glioma patients, lower model-derived scores of postoperation were significantly associated with prolonged progression-free survival (log-rank test, P=0.043), supporting its prognostic utility. Conclusion: We demonstrate circulating CD14+ monocytes undergo glioma-specific transcriptional reprogramming, generating systemic tumor-associated signal captured via transcriptomic profiling. This blood-based diagnostic model provides non-invasive, scalable approach for glioma detection, recurrence surveillance, outcome prediction.

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DKK1 and CKAP4 expression is associated with cervical lymph node metastasis in tongue squamous cell carcinoma

Fujita, H.; Takahashi, O.; Yada, N.; Tanaka, J.; Haraguchi, K.; Morioka, M.; Yaginuma, T.; Sasaguri, M.; Kokabu, S.; Habu, M.

2026-06-01 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354440 medRxiv
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Objective: To identify Dickkopf-1 (DKK1) as a prognostically relevant candidate in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and to evaluate whether DKK1 and cytoskeleton-associated protein 4 (CKAP4) expression is associated with cervical lymph node metastasis in tongue squamous cell carcinoma (TSCC). Methods: DKK1 was screened using the Human Protein Atlas Pathology Atlas. Immunohistochemical expression of DKK1 and CKAP4 was examined in 54 patients with primary TSCC (cT1-4N0) treated surgically between 2015 and 2020. Nine cases were excluded because of insufficient tissue blocks or inadequate staining quality, leaving 45 evaluable cases. Associations with delayed cervical lymph node metastasis were assessed together with conventional clinicopathological factors, including infiltrative growth pattern (INF) and pathological depth of invasion (pDOI). Results: In public database analysis, high DKK1 expression was associated with poorer overall survival in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. In the TSCC cohort, pDOI [&ge;]5 mm and INF pattern c were significantly associated with cervical lymph node metastasis. Positive DKK1 and CKAP4 expression were also significantly associated with cervical lymph node metastasis. Furthermore, combined DKK1/CKAP4 positivity, when incorporated with INF and pDOI, provided additional risk stratification, and cases with all 3 factors showed a markedly increased likelihood of cervical lymph node metastasis. Conclusions: Expression of DKK1 and CKAP4 was associated with cervical lymph node metastasis in TSCC. Combined assessment of DKK1/CKAP4 expression with INF and pDOI may improve pathological risk stratification and may help identify patients who require closer neck evaluation and postoperative management.

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Disposable versus reusable gastroscope in observation and endoscopic mucosal resection performance: a non-inferiority trial.

Wei, M.; Liang, C.; Ruan, H.; Liao, G.; Peng, P.; Li, X.; Zou, J.; Liu, S.; Cao, G.; Yan, X.; Qin, M.; Huang, J.

2026-05-27 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354082 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND & AIMS Conventional reusable endoscopes incur significant expenses in the form of purchase, maintenance, reprocessing, and disinfection. Reprocessing is frequently ineffective even following the use of high-level disinfectants (HLDs). Disposable gastroscopy might be a strategy to decrease infectious outbreaks associated with reusable endoscope. The aim of this study was to analyze and evaluate the performance, efficiency and safety in gastroscopy observation and subsequent potential EMR procedure via the disposable gastroscope in a clinical setting. METHODS Patients who required gastroscopies and met the criteria were recruited to this prospective, open-label, non-inferiority study. After obtaining the written informed content, the enrolled subjects selected themselves independently to the disposable group or reusable group. The primary measure was to evaluate the acceptable image quality and whether the disposable endoscope devices could meet the basic clinical demands with a noninferiority margin of -8%. The second measures were to analyze and evaluate the image conditions, accepted endoscopic maneuverability, efficiency and safety of observation and advanced potential EMR procedure. Appropriate statistical methods were conducted via PASS software and SAS 9.4. A two-tailed P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS A total of 90 individuals (the number of those in disposable group and reusable group was both 45) were recruited to this study. The success rate of acceptable image quality via photographing iconic anatomical sites between two groups was 100.0% (45/45, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.9213,1.0000) and the lower limit of the 95%CI (-7.8654%, 7.8654%) was larger than the noninferiority margin of -8% (Newcombe-Wilson score method). Significant differences were showed in the measures of image conditions (image acquisition, image quality, brightness, contrast and sharpness) and accepted endoscopic maneuverability (endoscopy body rigidity). No significant differences were observed in the field of knob operation, sharp angle adaptability, and the auxiliary features including air supply, water supply and suction. In terms of efficiency, the total operating time, insertion time and withdrawal time were longer in the disposable group. The En-bloc resection rate of those observed polyps and required to EMR procedure due to relatively larger diameter (5mm-15mm) was the same 100% in both groups (26/26 vs 23/23, 95%CI: 0.8713,1.0000). Nevertheless, the procedure time of EMR for each polyp was significantly longer in the disposable group. This study showed no intraoperative bleeding, delayed bleeding, perforation or other study-related adverse events among 90 patients. No dramatic fluctuations in vital signs were showed in perioperative period. CONCLUSIONS In consideration of the efficiency, efficacy and safety evaluation, the disposable gastroscopes might represent an alternative to conventional reusable gastroscopes in routine examination and endoscopic mucosal resection.

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Cancer Medicine Prices, Availability, and Affordability in Kisumu County, Kenya

OKETCH, J. O.; Amolo, S. A.; Onguru, D. O.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354206 medRxiv
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Background: The rising prices of cancer medicines have intensified concerns about treatment access and health system sustainability particularly in low- and middle-income settings. Systematic facility level evidence on what medicines is actually available, at what prices, and at what cost to patients remains scarce, constraining evidence-based policy reform. Methods: Using adapted WHO/Health action international methodology, we conducted a cross-sectional survey of 52 cancer medicines across five therapeutic classes at five health facilities in Kisumu County, Kenya. Availability was measured as the proportion of facilities stocking each medicine. Affordability was assessed using days' wages required for the lowest-paid government worker to purchase standard treatment regimens, calculated per one chemotherapy cycle and maximum possible cycles. Results: Overall medicine availability was 48.1%, with marked inter-facility variation. Affordability analysis revealed severe financial barriers. The breast cancer AC regimen required 19.6-47.4 days' wages per full course; cervical cancer cisplatin, 19.8-49.2 days' wages; colorectal FOLFOX, 80.0-303.6 days' wages; and prostate docetaxel reached 437 days' wages at the highest-cost facility. The Social Health Authority's (SHA) KES 550,000 annual ceiling adequately covered cytotoxic regimens for common cancers at competitive prices but was exceeded by 24-116% for HER2-positive breast cancer requiring trastuzumab, with further strain for recurrent cervical and metastatic prostate cancers. Conclusions: Cancer medicines in Kisumu County are inconsistently available and highly variable in price resulting in inequitable access. We call for urgent retail price markup regulation, expanded pooled procurement through KEMSA, inclusion of priority targeted therapies on the Kenya Essential Medicines List, and SHA benefit packages redesigned around full-course regimen costs.

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Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model to Predict Prognosis in Patients with Advanced Head and Neck Cancer

Zhang, K.; Gao, L.; John, D.; Li, W. T.; Hogarth, M.; Coffey, C. S.; Ongkeko, W. M.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354194 medRxiv
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Importance Prognostic tools beyond staging are needed to guide treatment and counseling in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Objective To develop and externally validate a machine learning model predicting survival in advanced HNSCC using routinely collected clinical and biomarker data. Design, Setting, and Participants Retrospective, multi-institutional cohort study including 2,385 patients with stage III-IV HNSCC diagnosed from 2012-2022 in the University of California Health Data Warehouse (UCHDW). Patients were randomly split into training (n = 1,908) and test (n = 477) sets. Partial external validation used 7,749 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry (2010-2020). Exposures Demographic, tumor, treatment, comorbidity, and biomarker variables recorded at or before diagnosis. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 70 months. Cox proportional hazards models included all predictors. Discrimination was assessed with Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration with predicted vs observed survival, and stratification with Kaplan-Meier curves. A Random Survival Forest (RSF) was trained for benchmarking and interpretability using Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Results Among 2,385 patients in UCHDW (median age, 63 years; 29.0% mortality), the Cox model achieved a C-index of 0.735 in the internal test set. Risk quartiles showed clear separation on Kaplan-Meier curves (log-rank p < 0.0001). In the SEER cohort (n = 7,749), where only demographic, staging, subsite, and treatment variables were available, the reduced Cox model achieved a C-index of 0.688, with calibration showing modest underestimation of survival in high-risk groups. Age, T stage, Charlson Comorbidity Index, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet count were among the strongest predictors, while surgery was associated with improved survival. The RSF achieved a C-index of 0.758 internally, with SHAP highlighting nonlinear effects of albumin, BMI, and inflammatory markers. Conclusions and Relevance A machine learning model using routine clinical and biomarker data demonstrated good prognostic performance in advanced HNSCC, with partial external validation. Such approaches may support individualized survival estimates, risk stratification, and treatment discussions, but broader validation is required before clinical adoption.

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Nationwide Trends and Outcomes in Major Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgery

espinoza, r. e. d. a.; Bastos, L. S. L.; Hamacher, S.; Salluh, J. I. F.; Bozza, F. A.

2026-05-27 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354087 medRxiv
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Background Complex gastrointestinal (GI) oncologic surgeries carry substantial perioperative risk, and nationwide outcomes in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are underreported. This study aimed to evaluate national trends in surgical volume, in-hospital mortality, and intensive care unit (ICU) utilization for major GI cancer surgery in Brazils Unified Health System (SUS) over a 14-year period. Methods A population-based analysis was performed using national administrative databases to identify all adult patients undergoing colectomy, gastrectomy, pancreatic resection or esophagectomy for cancer in the SUS from 2010-2023. Annual rates were age-standardized according to the WHO standard population. Temporal trends were assessed using Poisson regression to estimate average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results A total of 179,337 hospital admissions were analyzed (median age 63 years; 48% female). Colectomies accounted for 72% of cases, followed by gastrectomies (19%), pancreatic resections (5%), and esophagectomies (3%). Although crude surgical volume increased, population-adjusted rates declined overall (AAPC -2.09%; 95% CI -2.58 to -1.59), mainly due to reductions in gastrectomies and esophagectomies. Median hospital stay decreased from 9 to 7 days (AAPC -1.93%; 95% CI -2.79 to -1.06). Overall in-hospital mortality declined from 8.1% to 5.7% (AAPC -2.88%; 95% CI -4.15 to -1.59). ICU utilization rose from 37% to 43% of admissions (AAPC +1.31%; 95% CI 0.91 to 1.71). Conclusion Over 14 years, in-hospital mortality and length of stay for major gastrointestinal cancer surgery declined within Brazils universal public health system. These temporal trends occurred alongside expansion of accredited oncology services and increased ICU utilization, although causal relationships cannot be established from administrative data. These findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating and highlight the need for more granular hospital-level data in LMIC settings.

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Genome-wide discovery reveals 30 loci for choroidal thickness and uncovers potential causal links with angle-closure glaucoma

Lee, S. S.-Y.; Wang, C. A.; de Vries, V. A.; van Hemert, D. J.; Schulze, A.; Brandl, C.; Aman, A. M.; Alonso-Caneiro, D.; Choquet, H.; Gorski, M.; Hammond, C. J.; Heid, I. M.; Hunter, M. L.; Hysi, P.; Jiang, C.; Jonas, J.; Klaver, C. C.; Kneepkens, S.; Konig, S.; Lingham, G.; Luber, C.; Melton, P. E.; Pennell, C. E.; Ramdas, W. D.; Read, S. A.; Schuster, A. K.; Wang, Y. X.; Zimmermann, M. E.; International Glaucoma Genetics Consortium, ; Khawaja, A. P.; Gharahkhani, P.; MacGregor, S.; Guggenheim, J. A.; Mackey, D. A.

2026-05-27 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354075 medRxiv
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The choroid is critical for maintaining vision and implicated in several ocular diseases, being the sole source of nutrients and waste removal for the outer retina. Genetic discovery can help elucidate the pathways through which choroidal features influence disease risk. Our meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (n= 78,682 participants) identified 30 genomic regions, including 20 novel loci, associated with choroidal thickness. Findings suggest inflammatory and vascular processes drive choroidal thickness, with overlapping mechanisms shared with refractive error. Genome-wide independently significant SNPs accounted for 18.7% of the genetic variance in choroidal thickness. Mendelian randomisation analyses showed a causal effect of age-related macular degeneration on choroidal thickness, and suggest a bidirectional causal effect between choroidal thickness and primary angle-closure glaucoma. These findings provide insight into the shared genetic architecture and biological pathways linking choroidal thickness and related diseases.

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Association of a polygenic risk score with coronary atherosclerotic burden in clinical CT angiograms

Hartmann, K.; Gannon, M.; Natarajan, P.; Greenland, P.; Biobank, P. M.; Levin, M.

2026-05-27 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353801 medRxiv
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Background: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for coronary artery disease (CAD) are associated with cardiovascular events, but the relationship between inherited risk and routinely reported coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) findings has not been studied. Objectives: To evaluate associations between a genome-wide PRS for angiographic coronary disease burden and coronary CTA-derived measures of atherosclerotic severity in a real-world clinical cohort. Methods: We studied Penn Medicine BioBank participants with available genotypes and clinically obtained coronary CTA reports. A previously published PRS for angiographic CAD burden was calculated using pgsc_calc. CAD-RADS scores and coronary artery calcium (CAC) values were extracted from radiology reports using the large language model Llama 3.1 8B. Associations between PRS and CAD-RADS severity were evaluated using Bayesian cumulative ordinal logit regression, while associations with log-transformed CAC burden were assessed using Bayesian linear regression. Results: Among 630 participants, median age was 59 years (IQR 49 - 68), 53% were female, 62% were genetically similar to a European reference population, and 34% to an African reference population. LLM-extracted CAD-RADS and CAC values demonstrated near-perfect agreement with manual abstraction. Higher PRS was associated with greater coronary atherosclerotic burden on CTA. Each 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in PRS was associated with a 20% higher odds of belonging to a more severe CAD-RADS category (cumulative OR 1.20, 95% credible interval 1.06-1.44). Higher PRS was also associated with greater CAC burden ({beta} 0.38, 95% credible interval 0.15 - 0.61). Conclusions: Polygenic risk for angiographic coronary disease burden is reflected in clinically reported coronary CTA severity measures, including CAD-RADS and CAC. These findings demonstrate that inherited susceptibility to CAD manifests as greater anatomic atherosclerotic burden at the time of clinical presentation and support further investigation of genetic risk integration into imaging-based cardiovascular risk assessment.

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Antibiotic Timing and Survival After Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Initiation in Patients With Cancer

Zhang, K.; John, D.; Li, W. T.; Hogarth, M.; McKay, R. R.; Ongkeko, W. M.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354193 medRxiv
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Importance: While gut dysbiosis is known to impair response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), the relative clinical impact of antibiotic timing (pre- vs. post-ICI initiation) remains unclear. Objective: To evaluate whether antibiotic timing differentially influences overall survival (OS) in a large, multi-institutional pan-cancer cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study utilized deidentified electronic health record data from six academic medical centers within the University of California Health system. We included 21,108 adults with any malignancy who received PD-1, PD-L1, or CTLA-4 inhibitors between January 2014 and December 2024. Exposures: Antibiotic exposure windows were categorized as pre-only (-60 to -1 days), post-only (+1 to +60 days), both windows, or none. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) calculated from the first ICI dose. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, tumor type, line of therapy, and baseline health indicators (albumin, NLR, and recent hospitalization). Results: Among 21,108 patients, 17.3% had pre-only exposure, 13.3% had post-only exposure, and 60.6% had no exposure. In the multivariable model, post-only exposure (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.20-1.35) and combined pre- and post- exposure (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.23-1.40) were significantly associated with higher mortality. Pre-only exposure was not significantly associated with OS (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.10). Subgroup analyses by tumor type showed consistent trends across major malignancies, including head and neck (Post HR, 1.46) and renal cell carcinoma (Post HR, 1.26). Conclusions and Relevance: In contrast to some smaller studies, this large-scale analysis indicates that antibiotic exposure after ICI initiation carries a greater risk than exposure prior to treatment. These findings highlight the need for rigorous antibiotic stewardship strategies specifically during the early phases of immunotherapy treatment.