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FACETS

● Canadian Science Publishing

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match FACETS's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Physical Frailty Accelerates Multimorbidity Accumulation Across Distinct Disease Patterns

Huang, Y.; Hu, Z.; Hao, M.; Li, X.; Tang, Y.; Jiang, S.; Wang, X.; Han, L.; Wang, J.; Li, Y.; Zhang, H.

2026-10-16 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365629 medRxiv
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Background Emerging evidence has linked frailty to individual chronic diseases, but whether it predicts a broad disease spectrum and accelerates multimorbidity accumulation over time remains unknown. This study aimed to systematically evaluate the associations of physical frailty with the burden of incident disease across a wide range of chronic conditions, and with the long-term rates of multimorbidity accumulation. Methods In this prospective cohort study of 466,864 UK Biobank participants , frailty status was assessed using the Fried frailty phenotype and categorized as robust, pre-frailty, or frailty. Chronic diseases were defined based on International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes, and disease patterns were identified using network analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of frailty status with incident chronic diseases, and linear mixed models were used to assess the annual rate of chronic disease accumulation. Results During a median follow-up of 13.8 years (IQR: 13.1-14.5), 536 incident chronic diseases across multiple systems were recorded. Physical frailty was associated with a significantly increased risk of 458 incident diseases (Bonferroni-corrected P < 0.05/536). In the overall cohort, compared with robust participants, those with pre-frailty ({beta} = 0.266, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.264-0.267) and frailty ({beta} = 0.941, 95% CI: 0.936-0.946) exhibited significantly faster rates of multimorbidity accumulation. This accelerated multimorbidity accumulation was consistently observed across strata of baseline disease burden, including participant with 0 ({beta} = 0.644, 95% CI: 0.635-0.653), 1 ({beta} =0.748, 95% CI: 0.727-0.768), [&ge;] 2 ({beta} =0.940, 95% CI: 0.933-0.947) chronic conditions at baseline. Similar associations were also found across distinct disease patterns, including neurodegenerative, metabolic, and psychiatric patterns. Conclusions Physical frailty predicts a broad range of incident diseases and is associated with accelerated multimorbidity accumulation. Incorporating frailty assessment into prevention strategies may help mitigate the growing burden of multimorbidity.

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Plasma Neurofilament Light Chain is Markedly Elevated in General Hospital Inpatients with Delirium

Kang, M. J.; Eratne, D.; Borchard, T.; Patel, K.; Malpas, C. B.; Dang, C.; Storer, M.; Bhalala, O. G.; Yu, J. J.; Santillo, A. F.; Forbes, M.; Zetterberg, H.; Farrand, S.; Loi, S. M.; Mitchell, P. B.; Hopwood, M.; Smith, J.; Chiang, C.; Velakoulis, D.

2026-10-20 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365854 medRxiv
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Objective: To determine whether plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are elevated in hospitalised patients with delirium relative to patients with dementia and primary psychiatric disorders (PPD). Methods and analysis: This was a cross-sectional observational study conducted at the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, between April and October 2024, with comparator samples from a research biobank. In Phase 1 (Delirium Discovery Cohort), we measured plasma NfL and GFAP using the Single molecule array (Simoa) platform in hospitalised patients with delirium and compared them with dementia and PPD groups. Biomarker concentrations were the primary outcome and were compared using general linear models adjusted for age, sex, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, with bootstrapped confidence intervals. Discriminative performance was assessed as a secondary outcome using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. In Phase 2, we applied this threshold to independent dementia and PPD groups. Results: In Phase 1 (n =176), inpatients with delirium showed higher concentrations of both NfL and GFAP than patients with dementia ({beta} = 0.78; 95% CI [0.37, 1.20] and {beta} = 0.39 [0.07, 0.73] respectively) or PPD groups ({beta} = 1.17; [0.69, 1.66] and {beta} = 0.83 [0.51, 1.24] respectively). ROC curve analysis for differentiating delirium from dementia and PPD groups yielded an optimal NfL threshold of 24.1 pg/mL (AUC = 0.89, 96% sensitivity, 70% specificity). In comparison, GFAP showed lower accuracy (AUC = 0.85), and combining NfL with GFAP (AUC = 0.90) did not significantly improve performance. In Phase 2 (n = 154), the NfL threshold of > 24 pg/ml maintained strong performance (AUC = 0.95, 96% sensitivity, and 77% specificity). Conclusions: Plasma NfL shows promise as a biomarker for delirium in hospitalised patients, distinguishing it with high sensitivity from patients with dementia and PPD. Larger multicentre studies are needed to refine cut-offs, evaluate temporal dynamics, and determine integration into acute hospital delirium pathways.

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Restoring Physical Resilience: Consistent Functional and Sarcopenia Gains Across Two Vivifrail Cohorts

Fernandez-Ortega, J.; Loza-Herbella, J.; Rangel-Garcia, J. A.; Fernandez-Revelles, A. B.

2026-10-16 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365508 medRxiv
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Objectives: To evaluate change in physical function and probable sarcopenia following a 36-week community multicomponent exercise programme (Vivifrail model) across two consecutive cycles, and to assess the consistency of this change between cohorts. Study design: Quasi-experimental, single-arm, repeated-measures service evaluation. Ninety-two older adults (2025-2026 cohort; mean age 75.9 years, 88.0% women) completed baseline and post-intervention assessments; an independent 2024-2025 cohort (n = 86) was analysed jointly for replication (n = 178). Main outcome measures: Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) score (primary); Timed Up and Go (TUG), handgrip strength, 6-metre walk time and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) (secondary); probable sarcopenia (EWGSOP2), SPPB-based frailty category, and a fall-risk indicator computed identically in both cohorts. Results: SPPB improved by a mean of 1.33 points (Cohen's d = 0.96; p < .001), with concordant improvement in all four secondary outcomes (all q < .005). 72.8% reached the substantial minimal clinically important difference. Probable sarcopenia fell from 17.4% to 5.4% (p = .006), and frailty category shifted toward higher functional levels (p < .001). Effect sizes were consistent between cohorts for SPPB, handgrip and 6-metre walk; the Time x Cohort interaction was significant for TUG only. In the pooled sample, elevated fall risk fell from 19.7% to 11.2% (p = .002). Conclusions: A 36-week multicomponent exercise programme was associated with clinically meaningful, reproducible improvement in physical function and a reduction in probable sarcopenia across two independent cohorts. The single-arm design precludes causal inference.

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Patient-Reported Shared Decision-Making and Documented Advance Care Planning Among Adults With Alzheimer Disease and Related Dementias

Wang, X.; Macieira, T. G. R.; Hong, Y.-R.; Revere, L.; Xie, Z.

2026-10-19 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365674 medRxiv
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Objective To examine the association between patient-reported shared decision-making (SDM) and documented advance care planning (ACP) among adults with Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD), and to assess whether this association differed between adults with and without ADRD. Design Retrospective observational study using linked survey and electronic health record (EHR) data. Setting and Participants Participants aged [&ge;]50 years in the All of Us Research Program who completed a patient-reported SDM measure and had linked EHR records. The primary analytic cohort included 3,635 adults with ADRD; 123,681 adults without ADRD comprised a secondary comparison cohort. Methods SDM was measured by how often clinicians asked participants about their opinions or preferences regarding medical care or treatment and was categorized as high (always/most of the time) or low (some of the time/ None of the time). Documented ACP was identified within 3 years before or after the SDM assessment. Modified Poisson regression with robust variance estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) and adjusted PRs (aPRs). Results Among adults with ADRD, 60.6% reported high SDM. Documented ACP prevalence was 5.1% among participants with high SDM and 3.6% among those with low SDM (P=0.027). High SDM was associated with greater ACP prevalence in the unadjusted model (PR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.04-1.99); the association remained positive but was attenuated after full adjustment (aPR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.93-1.77). Among adults without ADRD, high SDM was associated with documented ACP (aPR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.03-1.33). Conclusions and Implications Among adults with ADRD, high SDM was associated with greater ACP prevalence in unadjusted analyses, although the fully adjusted association was not statistically significant. In contrast, higher SDM remained significantly associated with ACP among those without ADRD. The low prevalence of ACP highlights an important opportunity to expand discussions of current and future care preferences as a routine component of patient-centered care.

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Longitudinal associations between neuropsychiatric symptoms, structural and perfusion MRI changes in older adults with Mild Cognitive Impairment

Lombardi, G.; Leung, C. C.-Y.; Burge, R.; Zelaya, F.; Bhattacharyya, S.; Velayudhan, L.

2026-10-19 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26364284 medRxiv
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Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are highly prevalent in Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), conceptualized as an intermediate clinical state between normal aging and dementia. Although neuroimaging studies have reported associations between NPS and brain alterations in MCI, longitudinal evidence on NPS and their relationship with multimodal MRI measures remains limited. We aimed to investigate (1) longitudinal changes in NPS, volumetric assessment and measurement of regional cerebral blood flow (CBF) within the medial temporal lobe (MTL); (2) associations between longitudinal changes in MRI measures and NPS; (3) whether baseline MRI measures predicted longitudinal changes in NPS. Thirty individuals with MCI aged over 65 years were recruited, of whom eighteen followed up for a mean period of 29 {+/-} 8.9 months. There were significant reductions in total grey matter and white matter volumes, together with volume loss in the bilateral hippocampus, bilateral parahippocampal gyrus and right entorhinal cortex (pFDR[&le;]0.05) over the follow up period. Volume loss in the right parahippocampal gyrus was associated with increase in aggression (pFDR<0.01), and CBF increase in the right hippocampus and parahippocampal gyrus was associated with worsening in agitation (pFDR<0.01). Furthermore, lower baseline volume of the right entorhinal cortex was associated with increase in aggression, and lower baseline CBF in the right hippocampus and parahippocampal gyrus was associated with worsening of agitation (pFDR<0.05). Our findings highlight the importance of identifying NPS in individuals with MCI and the role of structural and perfusion MRI measures as promising biomarkers for monitoring disease progression and improving risk prediction of conversion to dementia.

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Four Years of Continuous Weekly Wastewater Analysis Reveals Sequencing as a Robust Alternative to PCR for Respiratory Virome Surveillance.

Prakash, H.; Avadhanula, V.; Tisza, M. J.; Cormier, J.; Ross, M. C.; Perez, R. K.; Chang, J. D.; Mazurek, C. R.; Deegan, J.; Petrosino, J. F.; Piedra, P.; Clark, J. R.; Boerwinkle, E.; Maresso, A. W.

2026-10-15 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.13.26364774 medRxiv
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Wastewater-based epidemiology uses both targeted and non-targeted bioanalytical approaches to detect and track disease-causing microbes in wastewater. Targeted approaches such as quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) remain widely used while sequencing-based approaches have slowly gained popularity. However, concordance between established targeted molecular assays and sequencing approaches remains incompletely characterized. To assess the validity of sequencing as an alternative to qPCR, we compared outcomes of both methods targeting five respiratory viruses in wastewater samples collected across 16 Texas cities over 4 years (May 2022-July 2026) of continuous sampling. We found positive correlations between qPCR and sequencing measurements, with both methods independently correlating with statewide clinical emergency department visits. qPCR positivity also increased with genomic sequencing coverage, and sequencing demonstrated greater potential than qPCR as an early respiratory virus outbreak detection method. Our findings support metagenomic sequencing as a sensitive and highly specific alternative to targeted qPCR for wastewater surveillance, and reinforce its utility towards long-term longitudinal monitoring of respiratory viruses.

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Change in the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio after a 3-day orbital flight: A preregistered secondary analysis of NASA open data from the Inspiration4 civilian crew

GODINEZ VAZQUEZ, V. J.

2026-10-19 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365757 medRxiv
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Background: Commercial spaceflight now carries civilians on short missions, yet their stress-axis physiology is poorly described. Earlier shuttle data suggest that sympathetic responses predominate after short flights and glucocorticoid responses after long ones. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a low-cost readout of both. Methods: Preregistered secondary analysis of open clinical laboratory data (NASA Open Science Data Repository OSD-569 and OSD-575) from the four Inspiration4 crew members, each sampled seven times: three draws before launch, one the day after return (R+1) and three during recovery (R+45 to R+194). Log-transformed NLR was modelled with a linear mixed model with a random intercept per crew member and Kenward-Roger inference. Lymphocyte and eosinophil counts and C-reactive protein were secondary outcomes with false discovery rate correction. Results: All 28 draws were analysed. NLR at R+1 did not differ from pre-flight (fold change 1.04; 95% CI 0.81 to 1.34; p = 0.73); two crew members increased (+25% and +46%) and two decreased (-27% and -11%). During recovery NLR was 23% lower than pre-flight (fold change 0.77; 95% CI 0.64 to 0.92; p = 0.005). No secondary outcome changed after correction; lymphocytes were 18% lower at R+1 (95% CI -35% to +4%; q = 0.31). Between-person differences explained 58% of the variance. An ordinary regression ignoring repeated measures missed the recovery effect (p = 0.08). Conclusions: A 3-day orbital flight produced no consistent leukocyte stress signature one day after return. The lower NLR during recovery suggests that pre-flight values, not recovery values, deviate from the resting state, which has implications for how baselines are defined in short-duration spaceflight studies.

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The Effect of Regionalization of Thoracic Surgery on Blood Transfusion at the Ottawa Hospital

Smith, J.; Smith, B.; Pittman, T.

2026-10-19 health economics 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365639 medRxiv
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This paper examines the impact of Cancer Care Ontario's regionalization of lung cancer surgery on blood transfusion use for thoracic surgery at The Ottawa Hospital. Using aggregate data scraped from the paper ''Changing trends in blood transfusion: an analysis of 244,013 hospitalizations'' by Shehata et al. (2014) we estimated the effect regionalization on the log mean number of blood transfusions among thoracic surgeons (who treat lung cancer), utilizing other surgical specialties as controls. We found that the average number of blood transfusions increased significantly among thoracic surgeons following the opening of a new cancer care centre at the hospital in December 2009, while control specialties showed no parallel change. Contextualizing these results in a modified ''population level'' treatment threshold model, it is argued that the main driver of this increase in blood transfusions among thoracic surgeons was due to the influx of less skilled thoracic surgeons to The Ottawa Hospital, and the closing of thoracic surgery units at smaller hospitals which was part of the broader regionalization process.

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Geospatial assessment of Japanese encephalitis virus infection risk in Australia

Harrison, L. E.; Duncan, D. H.; Flegg, J. A.; Price, D. J.; Kurucz, N.; Tolosa, X.; Neville, P. J.; Jansen, C. C.; Potter, A.; Brockway, C.; Miller, K. L.; Hobby, M.; Burns, V.; Glasgow, K. M.; Draper, A. D.; Schmidt, J.; Weerasinghe, G.; van den Hurk, A. F.; Williams, D. T.; Doggett, S. L.; Golding, N.; Shearer, F. M.

2026-10-19 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365607 medRxiv
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Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is a leading cause of viral encephalitis in humans in Asia. Prior to 2021, only sporadic outbreaks had been detected in Australia's tropical northern extremes. However, during 2021-23, JEV infection was identified in 45 people and in more than 85 piggeries, together with many detections in feral pigs, mosquitoes, and other livestock across Australia, including in the temperate far south. Here we estimated the spatial extent of virus transmission during the outbreak (the realised niche) and the area environmentally suitable for transmission (the potential niche). We collated a national dataset of JEV surveillance and detection in humans, mosquitoes, domestic pigs, feral pigs, and sentinel chickens from 2021-23. We combined these data with (1) previously published predictions of habitat suitability for vertebrate host and vector species, and (2) estimated densities of humans, domestic pigs, and feral pigs, in a multipart assessment of spatial risk. Our model projected broad potential environmental suitability over much of northern and eastern Australia during the outbreak period, but floodplain wetland areas in the north and the inland east of Australia had both the highest estimated environmental suitability for transmission, and the strongest evidence for virus circulation.

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Neighborhood socioeconomic status and environmental burden show diverging associations with cognitive impairment in community-dwelling older adults

Bonta, K. M.; Corbett, E.; Alemu, M. K.; Darge, B. D.; HIlderbrand, L. K.; Richardson, K. A.; Ogonuwe, S. S.; Blum, I. M.; Shen, K.; McGuire, M. K.; Pandhi, D. H.; Gallagher, L. W.; Hunter, J. M.; Grant, F.; Simmons, W.; Davis, L.; Shields, P.; Cooper, S.; Rouse, M.; Wilson-Lawson, K. S.; Hughes-Culp, C.; Howard, M.; Monroe, M.; Coleman, M.; Leath, D.; Butsch, J.; Davis, N.; Henry, J.; Gregory, P.; Scharre, D.; Grant, J. G.

2026-10-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365488 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Research on neighborhood context and cognitive health often relies on composite indices that collapse neighborhood socioeconomic status (SES) and aspects of the built environment into a single score. This study examined the extent to which neighborhood SES and built environment were associated with late-life cognitive impairment. METHOD: Participants were 281 predominantly Black older adults who completed the Self-Administered Gerocognitive Exam (SAGE), a brief cognitive screening measure. Participants also provided their home address to obtain four neighborhood metrics: Two composite measures of neighborhood disadvantage, the Environmental Justice Index (EJI) and the EJI Social-Environmental Rank, as well as the EJI Social Vulnerability Rank as a measure of neighborhood SES, and the EJI Environmental Burden Rank to measure exposure to hazardous aspects of the built environment. RESULTS: Lower neighborhood SES was associated with higher odds of cognitive impairment. In contrast, greater environmental burden was associated with lower odds of impairment, with years of education as a moderator; the association was strongest among individuals with high levels of education. The two composite scores were not associated with cognitive impairment. CONCLUSION: Composite measures of neighborhood features may obscure distinct pathways of their effects on cognition.

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Biological aging measured from electronic health records is associated with recovery following cardiothoracic surgery

Ryan, C. P.; Jung, J.; Kurlansky, P. A.; Marella, W.; Wang, H.; Moitra, V. K.; Belsky, D. W.

2026-10-19 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365756 medRxiv
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Biological aging, the decline in physiological resilience that increases our vulnerability to disease and death as we grow older, can be measured from standard clinical-laboratory panels. Measurement of biological aging from laboratory data embedded in electronic health records (EHRs) could enhance precision healthcare. However, suitability of EHR-embedded laboratory records for this purpose is uncertain. We evaluated feasibility of EHR biological age measurement in a cohort of n=4,313 cardiothoracic-surgery patients at a large US Hospital and tested whether measured biological aging was associated with patient outcomes. Patients who were biologically older prior to surgery more often died or experienced adverse outcomes as compared to those measured to be biologically younger. Postoperative biological-aging trajectories were associated with length of intensive-care-unit (ICU) stays and in-hospital death. EHR laboratory data provide an opportunity for scalable implementation of biological aging measurement within healthcare systems, with potential to enhance patient monitoring and risk stratification.

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Association between Resilience and Financial Toxicity: The Moderating Role of Age, Race and Socioeconomic Factors

Zhan, Y.; Wells, R.; Knobf, T.; Shan, L.; Lustberg, M. B.; Wang, H.-L.

2026-10-21 nursing 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365649 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: Women with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) are at risk of developing financial toxicity due to prolonged treatment. Resilience has been identified as a key protective factor associated with better quality of life among cancer populations. However, it is unknown if resilience is associated with financial toxicity. We sought to examine the relationship between resilience and financial toxicity among women with MBC and explore whether socioeconomic factors moderate this association. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our sample included 209 women with MBC who completed self-reported questionnaires of the Resilience Scale Specific to Cancer (RS-SC) and the Comprehensive Score for Financial Toxicity (COST). Participants (n=2) with missing data were excluded from analysis. We conducted multiple linear regression to examine the association of resilience with financial toxicity. Interaction terms were used to test moderating effects of age (18-39, 40-64 and > =65 years), race, education, health insurance, household income and employment status. RESULTS: Of the sample, 56.5% were aged 40-64 years, 76.6% were White, and 79.9% had a college or master degree or above. Women reported moderately high resilience with mean RS-SC score of 34.49 (SD = 6.67), and moderate financial toxicity (mean COST score =21.01 [SD = 10.51]). Adjusting for covariates, higher resilience was linked to better financial well-being (b = 0.37, SE= 0.11, 95% CI [0.14, 0.59], P < 0.01). Age, education and health insurance moderated this relationship, with resilience more strongly associated with better financial well-being among those aged 40-64 years, with college/master degree or above and private insurance. Race, household income, and employment status did not moderate the association between resilience and financial toxicity. CONCLUSION: Women with MBC who reported higher resilience are more likely to experience better financial well-being, but the strength of this association varied by socioeconomic factors. Further research is needed to confirm these findings. Our results have important implications for incorporating resilience into financial toxicity interventions and tailoring such interventions based on individual socioeconomic characteristics.

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Why Have Drug Names Become So Weird? A Retrospective Analysis of the Orthographic Distinctiveness of Proprietary and Generic Names Across Four Decades of FDA Approvals

Lambert, B. L.

2026-10-16 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365645 medRxiv
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Background. Regulatory pressure to avoid confusingly similar drug names appears to have pushed manufacturers to coin more distinctive proprietary names, but no one has quantitatively analyzed this trend. Objective. To determine whether proprietary drug names became more orthographically distinctive (unusual in spelling) over time. Methods. We examined 1,321 US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) new molecular entity (NME) names (1985-2024), 2,769 FDA Orange Book trade names (1982-2026), 177,337 US pharmaceutical trademarks (1980-2026), and 1,273 generic names (1982-2025). Compared to prior names (including those already marketed) and ordinary English, we scored each name's character trigram (three-letter sequence) surprisal (statistical unexpectedness) and its edit-distance similarity to the closest existing names. Linear regression tested time trends, controlling for name length. Results. Mean NME trigram surprisal rose in every decade between the 1980s and 2020s, from 7.21 to 8.50 nats (natural-logarithm units, higher meaning less predictable), an 18% increase (b = 0.038, p < .001, R2 = 0.34). Half of 2020s names (7% in the 1980s) contained a letter sequence found in no common English word (e.g., Jesduvroq, Omvoh). Nearest-neighbor similarity fell after the early 1990s. Trademark data showed the same trend (b = 0.016, p < .001). Generic names showed a weaker trend (b = 0.011, R2 = 0.063). Conclusions. Over four decades, drug names became more orthographically distinctive, consistent with namespace crowding, deliberate efforts to avoid confusing names, and branding strategy. Because unfamiliar letter sequences can introduce other error pathways, increased distinctiveness does not necessarily imply improved safety.

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Pickleball injuries, search interest, and participation in the United States, 2014-2023: an ecological time series study

Kim, D. S.; Lobelo, F.; Durieux, J. C.; Colovos, C.

2026-10-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365555 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: To describe (1) US emergency department-treated pickleball injury burden and the injury-to-participation measure among total players, with burden among adults aged 60 to 79 years as a descriptive subgroup, and (2) determine whether general internet search interest for 'pickleball' is also associated with total pickleball-related injuries. DESIGN: Ecological time series study, United States, 2014 to 2023. DATA SOURCES: National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS) emergency department microdata yielded 1,738 adjudicated pickleball cases, 921 of them orthopedic, weighted to an estimated 101,450 injuries nationally. Google Trends, English Wikipedia pageviews, and GDELT news volume served as general pickleball attention signals, with the Trends index for 'sourdough' as a negative control. Sports and Fitness Industry Association (SFIA) participation estimates supplied a total player denominator. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Annual national injury estimates with design-based 95 percent confidence intervals; injury-to-participation measures; and correlations between total pickleball-related injuries and general pickleball attention signals before and after removing trend and seasonality. RESULTS: Estimated emergency department-treated pickleball injuries rose 17.5-fold, from 1,391 in 2014 (highly unstable) to 24,294 in 2023. 70 percent of adjudicated cases involved adults aged 60 to 79. During 2017-2023, injury estimates rose 4.0-fold and participation rose about 4.4-fold. No temporal trend was detected in the injury-to-participation measure (P=0.59). Search interest looked like an excellent proxy: in annual levels it correlated with total pickleball-related injuries at R=0.96, and Pickleball Wikipedia pageviews at R=0.98. However, so did searches for "sourdough", at R=0.76. Removing trend and seasonality left little (monthly residual R=0.084; year-on-year R=0.28 over 96 months, 2015-2023), and the seasons ran opposite, with injuries peaking in February and searches in July, such that, on 12-month mean profiles, the sourdough negative control fitted the injury season (R=0.96) while pickleball ran against it (R=-0.40). General pickleball search interest and pickleball news coverage remained correlated in year-on-year changes in 2017-2023 (R=0.64), whereas their corresponding correlations with total pickleball-related injuries in 2017-2023 were 0.25 and 0.20. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute burden of emergency department-treated pickleball injury has grown substantially, but the available surveillance data cannot resolve whether the sport has become more hazardous per participant. The observed rise is consistent with growth in exposure alone. The strong correlation between search interest and injury counts was not specific, the association was substantially attenuated after detrending, and the seasonal patterns were opposed. These descriptive results do not establish that search interest can substitute for injury surveillance, and series that rise together should not be assumed to be related.

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Phosphorylated Tau 217 Varies With Kidney Function Even Without Chronic Kidney Disease

Kang, M. J. Y.; Borchard, T.; Mielke, M. M.; Zetterberg, H.; Hopwood, M.; Mitchell, P. B.; Eratne, D.; Velakoulis, D.

2026-10-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365853 medRxiv
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Importance. Plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (p-tau217) is entering clinical use with fixed diagnostic threshold that do not account for kidney function. Chronic kidney disease (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2), raises plasma p-tau217 concentrations and can produce false positive results. It remains unclear whether milder reductions in kidney function, above the CKD threshold, have the same effect. Objective. To determine whether plasma p-tau217 is elevated with mildly reduced kidney function, above the chronic kidney disease threshold, in adults without neurological disease. Design. Cross-sectional analysis of a cohort enrolled between 2023 and 2025 and biomarker analysis blinded to clinical data. Setting. Two private psychiatric inpatient facilities in Australia. Participants. Adults admitted with psychiatric disorders and free of neurological disease. Exposures. eGFR calculated from serum creatinine using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Main Outcomes and Measures. Plasma p-tau217, neurofilament light chain (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), measured on the Simoa platform. Multivariable linear regression compared eGFR groups (< 60, 60 to 90, and [&ge;] 90 mL/min/1.73 m2), adjusted for age, BMI, and sex. Results. Among 180 participants (median age, 50.5 years [IQR, 38.0-61.5]; 94 [52%] female), eGFR was [&ge;] 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 in 106 (59%), 60 to 90 in 61 (34%), and < 60 in 13 (7.2%). Compared with an eGFR [&ge;] 90, plasma p-tau217 was 36% higher in both the 60 to < 90 group ({beta} = 0.42 [95% CI: 0.11, 0.74]; P = .008) and 116% higher in the < 60 group ({beta} = 1.05 [95% CI: 0.43, 1.72]; P = .002). Plasma NfL and GFAP were elevated in the < 60 group but differences in the 60 to < 90 group did not reach significance. Modelled continuously, plasma p-tau217 was 9.5% lower per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 higher eGFR (95% CI: 3.3%, 15.4%). Conclusions and Relevance. Plasma p-tau217 was elevated in adults with mildly reduced kidney function, above the CKD threshold, in a cohort free of neurological disease. Kidney function across its full range should be incorporated into plasma p-tau217 reference ranges and clinical interpretation to reduce false positive and false negative results.

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Interpreting changes in reported case fatality in endemic zoonoses: an analytical framework and ecological analysis of Lassa fever surveillance in Nigeria, 2017-26

Simons, D.

2026-10-15 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365510 medRxiv
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Background. Nigeria's reported Lassa fever case fatality ratio (CFR) rose from 18.9% at week 23 of 2025 to 25.0% in 2026, prompting concerns over failing clinical care. Because surveillance artefacts can also alter CFRs, candidate mechanisms that published data can resolve were identified and evaluated. Methods. This ecological study extracted weekly state-level counts from 474 Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention situation reports (2017-2026). Per a pre-specified plan, years were compared at phase-matched points, year-on-year CFR changes were decomposed into within-state and between-state components, and tipping-point ascertainment shifts calculated. Weekly incident and cumulative published totals were compared post hoc. Findings. Of 11 candidate mechanisms, 2 could be evaluated fully and 5 in part. On weekly incident counts, 2026 did not differ from 2025 at the phase-matched midpoint (+0.3 percentage points, 95% CI -5.0 to 7.6); within-state (-1.1, 95% CI -4.7 to 3.0) and between-state (+0.5, -2.0 to 2.9) components spanned zero. Conversely, the published cumulative CFR was 5.4 to 6.2 percentage points higher because 70 deaths were added retrospectively by week 36 outside weekly reports. Reconciling cumulative figures would require 279 missed survivors (6% of suspected cases not confirmed). Interpretation. The 2026 CFR rise came from deaths added to cumulative totals outside the weekly counts, and published data cannot attribute it to care. Endemic zoonotic CFRs cannot serve as clinical outcome measures unless testing volumes, deaths added late, and post-mortem sampling are published alongside case counts. Funding. US NSF-NIH-NIFA EEID; UK BBSRC; Birgitta Sintring Fellowship (Uppsala University).

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How should doctors manage workplace interruptions? A qualitative study in UK hospital outpatient departments

Boustani, S.; Staras, C.; Rich, A.; Griffin, A.

2026-10-15 medical education 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365522 medRxiv
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Background Interruptions are common in hospital outpatient departments (OPDs) and are linked to error. Many are clinically necessary, so the aim is to regulate them. Most interventions target the individual clinician. Little is known about how doctors manage interruptions in practice or what makes their strategies work. Methods Qualitative study using focus groups and interviews with 42 doctors working in UK National Health Service OPDs (19 sessions, September to November 2025). Participants were purposively sampled by clinical experience and self-reported patient complexity. Data were analysed using Framework Analysis, informed by Cognitive Load Theory and Social Identity Theory. Results We developed four themes. (1) Pre-emptive protection of attention. Doctors withdrew, signalled unavailability and set thresholds for interrupting. These depended on colleagues learning and sharing the norm, which staff rotation eroded. (2) Sharing the burden through team coordination. Designated roles and time-limited rotas moved interruptions to colleagues with capacity set aside for them and made interrupting legitimate. (3) Real-time cognitive repair. Doctors asked interrupters to wait while they secured the task, and rebuilt the consultation on return, sometimes with the patient's help. Asking a colleague to wait depended on seniority or team membership; some trainees described difficulty doing this with senior colleagues. (4) Organisational recognition as the precondition for sustainable regulation. Where supervision was built into job plans, the interruptions it generated were expected and doctors held capacity in reserve for them. Advice, vetting and telephone queries were rarely counted as work. Conclusions Each strategy served a cognitive purpose, and social and organisational conditions decided whether it was perceived to work. Interventions could make norms shared and roles explicit, count interruption work in job plans and keep routes open for junior staff to raise concerns. Evaluations should ask who is able to use them.

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From Gut to Brain: A Longitudinal Assessment of Intestinal Permeability and Immune Activation Markers in Early-Stage Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders

Jakob, L.; Mahayri, T. M.; Koutrouli, I. R. A.; Kekrtova, K.; Novakova, D.; Totkova, T.; Spaniel, F.

2026-10-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.10.16.26364494 medRxiv
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Schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD) have been linked to immune dysregulation and altered intestinal barrier function, although findings across studies remain inconsistent. The present study investigated circulating markers of intestinal permeability and immune activation in individuals with early-stage SSD and healthy controls and examined their associations with clinical outcomes. Serum concentrations of intestinal fatty acid-binding protein (iFABP), zonulin, soluble CD14 (sCD14), bactericidal/permeability-increasing protein (BPI), and lipopolysaccharide-binding protein (LBP) were measured in 36 patients with SSD at baseline and one-year follow-up and in 36 matched healthy controls. Linear mixed-effects models adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index (BMI) were used to evaluate group differences and longitudinal changes. No biomarker differences between patients and controls, and no longitudinal changes within patients, remained statistically significant after correction for multiple testing. Similarly, biomarker concentrations were not associated with symptom severity, global functioning, or neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Exploratory analyses identified a robust positive association between BMI and zonulin concentrations and additional associations among iFABP, LBP, and sCD14. Exploratory mixed-effects models identified a negative non-significant association between iFABP and sCD14 after adjustment for age, sex, and BMI. Overall, the findings do not support a generalized alteration of gut permeability or immune activation markers in SSD. Instead, they suggest that variation in gut-related biomarkers may be more strongly influenced by metabolic and individual factors than by diagnosis or current symptom severity.

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Spectral power and functional connectivity of resting EEG in people exposed to armed conflict and controls

Nitola-Pulido, L.; Bonilla, D. S.; Herrera Murcia, E.; Reyes Gavilan, P. A.; Santamaria-Garcia, H.

2026-10-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365676 medRxiv
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Exposure to armed conflict can leave persistent effects on mental health, yet its neurophysiological correlates remain poorly characterized, particularly in populations exposed to prolonged violence outside narrowly defined post traumatic stress disorder samples. Here we examined resting state electroencephalographic activity in 122 Colombian adults, including 74 participants exposed to armed conflict and 48 controls. Eyes closed EEG was analysed for 240 seconds per participant. We quantified absolute and relative spectral power across delta, theta, alpha and beta bands and regional functional connectivity using weighted phase lag index in theta, alpha and beta. Group comparisons were adjusted for age, education, sex and assessment year, with correction across 78 EEG contrasts. Median occipital and global alpha power was lower in exposed participants, although adjusted estimates were close to the null and confidence intervals were broad. Temporal theta relative power was lower in exposed participants at nominal significance, but this association did not survive Holm correction. No spectral power or regional connectivity contrast remained significant after multiple testing correction. Exploratory associations between EEG measures and MoCA performance were modest in participants with confirmed scores. These findings provide a systematic characterization of resting EEG after exposure to armed conflict in a population shaped by prolonged violence and displacement. They also indicate that large or widespread alterations in resting spectral power and connectivity were not detectable with the current sample and analytical framework, while defining candidate signals and methodological priorities for larger studies of conflict related brain health.

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Heart rate variability and electrocardiographic parameters among workers exposed to chronic intermittent hypobaric hypoxia in the Peruvian Andes: A cross-sectional study Cardiac autonomic function in Andean workers

Montes-Madariaga, E. S.; Ortiz-Saavedra, J. B.; Mamani Castillo, J. S.; Valencia-Pacheco, A. I.; Ballon Echegaray, J. A.; Paz Torres, I. L.; Leon Vasquez, R. A. J.

2026-10-16 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365599 medRxiv
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Chronic intermittent hypobaric hypoxia is an occupational exposure experienced by workers who alternate between high-altitude worksites and lower-altitude resting locations. Its effects on cardiac autonomic modulation and electrocardiographic parameters remain insufficiently characterized in Andean workers. This study aimed to compare heart rate variability and electrocardiographic parameters between workers exposed to chronic intermittent hypobaric hypoxia and controls working permanently at lower altitude in Arequipa, Peru. An observational cross-sectional study was conducted in 96 male workers aged 20-60 years. The exposed group included 53 workers performing rotational shifts at altitudes [&ge;]3,000 m above sea level with rest periods at <2,500 m, while the control group included 43 workers working permanently at <2,500 m. Heart rate variability was assessed during the morning rest period in Arequipa, at approximately 2,300 25 m above sea level, using a Polar(R) H10 heart rate sensor after 15 minutes of rest. Participants also underwent standard 12-lead electrocardiography. Vital signs were clinically similar between groups. No statistically significant differences were observed in PR interval, corrected QT interval, time-domain heart rate variability parameters, or frequency-domain heart rate variability parameters. In this sample of apparently healthy male workers evaluated during their rest period at moderate altitude, exposure to chronic intermittent hypobaric hypoxia was not associated with significant differences in resting heart rate variability or standard electrocardiographic parameters.