Back

Eurosurveillance

77 training papers 2019-06-25 – 2026-03-07

Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.

1
Outburst of serotype 4 IPD after COVID-19 is driven by ST15063/GPSC162 lineage associated with high-risk behaviors and greater virulence linked to influenza H3N2 virus coinfection and cigarette smoke
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.02.27.26346872
Top 2% (3.3%)
Show abstract

The emergence of vaccine covered serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a serious concern worldwide. We investigated the unexpected rise of serotype 4 causing IPD primarily in non-vaccinated young adults after the COVID-19 pandemic that further spread to adults [≥] 65 years in recent years. For this purpose, we conducted a retrospective study of serotype 4 IPD cases (n=827) reported in Spain between 2009 and 2024. Whole-genome sequencing was performed to assess clonal lineag...

2
Modelling the impact of long-acting monoclonal antibody, maternal vaccine and hybrid programs of RSV immunisation in temperate Western Australia
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347477
Top 2% (2.7%)
Show abstract

BackgroundTwo RSV immunisations products: a maternal vaccine, Abrysvo, and a long-acting monoclonal antibody, nirsevimab, both designed to prevent RSV illness in infants, have recently become available. Modelling evidence is required to inform how to optimally use these products in immunisation programs to reduce the burden of RSV in young children. MethodsWe extend a dynamic transmission model calibrated to RSV-hospitalisation data of children aged < 5 years in temperate Western Australia (WA)...

3
Novel transposon Tn8026 acts as a global driver of transmissible linezolid resistance in Enterococcus via a linear plasmid
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347163
Top 2% (2.5%)
Show abstract

Linezolid is a critical last-resort antimicrobial for multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecium, particularly against vancomycin-resistant lineages where therapeutic options are severely limited. While resistance has historically arisen through de novo chromosomal mutations, the global emergence of transferable resistance mechanisms threatens to render more infections untreatable. Here, we characterise a recent (2023-2024) hospital-associated outbreak of linezolid-resistant E. faecium in Queensla...

4
High burden of maternal and congenital syphilis in Lima, Peru: an epidemiological analysis from 2023-2025
2026-03-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347675
Top 3% (2.0%)
Show abstract

ObjectiveCongenital syphilis remains a preventable cause of fetal and neonatal morbidity and mortality, despite the availability of inexpensive diagnostics and effective treatment. We aimed to evaluate the maternal and congenital syphilis burden at the Instituto Nacional Materno Perinatal, Perus national referral center for maternal and perinatal care. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of aggregated, de-identified surveillance data from January 2023 to December 2025. Maternal prevale...

5
Insights from the second season of collaborative influenza forecasting in Italy with updated targets incorporating virological information
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347601
Top 5% (1.5%)
Show abstract

We present results from the second season of Influcast, a multi-model collaborative forecasting hub focused on influenza in Italy. During the 2024/25 winter season, Influcast collected one-to four-week-ahead probabilistic forecasts of influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence alongside influenza A and B ILI+ incidence signals. New ILI+ targets were constructed integrating syndromic surveillance data with virological detections collected weekly by the Italian National Institute of Health. Forecasts ...

6
Risk mapping novel respiratory pathogens with large-scale dynamic contact networks
2026-03-06 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347790
Top 5% (1.5%)
Show abstract

Background: Human-to-human transmission of pathogens fundamentally depends on interactions among infectious and susceptible individuals, yet traditional population-scale models often overlook the stochastic, behaviour-driven, and highly heterogeneous nature of these interactions. Methods: Here, we develop a large-scale actor-based model capturing early epidemic dynamics of a novel respiratory pathogen on dynamic contact networks. We build these networks upon explicitly integrating detailed demog...

7
Anopheles salivary antibody biomarkers as surrogate outcomes measures to assess the effectiveness of topical repellent in Southeast Myanmar
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.02.26347466
Top 5% (1.5%)
Show abstract

BackgroundMeasurement of human antibodies against Anopheles salivary proteins that are injected during mosquito bites may serve as biomarkers of mosquito biting exposure. These biomarkers have been suggested as surrogate outcomes in trials of vector control intervention effectiveness, however, studies to-date have been largely descriptive and do not directly quantify the instantaneous nor cumulative effects of the intervention on antibody outcomes. In this study, we sought to explore the use of ...

8
Molecular characterisation of a Klebsiella pneumoniae neonatal sepsis outbreak in a rural Gambian hospital: a retrospective genomic epidemiology investigation
2026-03-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347025
Top 6% (1.4%)
Show abstract

BackgroundKlebsiella pneumoniae is a common cause of neonatal sepsis in Africa, and is frequently hospital acquired. We recently reported an outbreak of multidrug-resistant K. pneumoniae sepsis amongst neonates at a rural hospital in The Gambia, West Africa, involving 57 cases and case fatality of 60%. Here we undertook a retrospective pathogen genomic epidemiology study of clinical and environmental K. pneumoniae isolated during the outbreak, to identify the outbreak strain, refine the epidemic...

9
Mapping the Antimicrobial Susceptibility of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Western Ethiopia: A multicenter cross-sectional study
2026-03-06 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347706
Top 6% (1.4%)
Show abstract

From 2021 to 2025, MRSA emerged as a major multidrug-resistant pathogen in the study area. Among 545 S. aureus isolates, 67.2% were MRSA, disproportionately affecting children under five (26.5%) and males (55.5%). Case incidence more than doubled by 2025, suggesting rising transmission or resistance. Most isolates were hospital-associated (85.2%), predominantly from outpatients (88.5%), with middle ear discharge as the main source (67%). Gentamicin showed the highest susceptibility (72.1%), whil...

10
Chronic absenteeism in Canadian kindergarten classes, pre- and post-COVID-19, and its association with concurrent developmental vulnerability
2026-03-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347661
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

Students who frequently miss school are at greater risk for academic difficulty. High levels of absenteeism as early as kindergarten have been associated with long-term consequences, such as low reading proficiency in Grade 3 and low academic achievement in Grade 5, both of which have been associated with lower rates of high school graduation and enrollment in post-secondary education. The prevalence of school absenteeism has increased significantly since the COVID-19 pandemic and there have bee...

11
Effects of atmospheric factors on daily intensive care unit cases in Germany: A Time Series Regression Study
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.27.26347246
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

IntroductionAtmospheric conditions under climate change increase pressure on healthcare systems. Especially, the intensive care units (ICU) are vulnerable due to low buffer capacity and high utilization rates. MethodsDaily ICU cases from 2009 to 2023 were derived from the German statutory health insurance data of eleven regional AOK insurances. Cases were stratified by age and sex. Generalized additive models were used to investigate the associations between daily ICU cases and lagged atmospher...

12
Spatiotemporal Trends in Suicide: Sociodemographic, Economic, and Environmental Factors
2026-03-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347568
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

Suicide is one of the worlds leading public health problems, with more than 720,000 deaths annually. Suicide has traditionally been studied from an individual perspective. However, research has increasingly highlighted the influence of community-level factors on suicide risk. This study aimed to (1) analyse the spatial distribution of suicide mortality at the provincial level in Spain (2018-2022); (2) perform stratified analyses by sex and age group; and (3) compare suicide risk across differen...

13
Antibiotic Use Among Children Under Two Years With Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection at Korle Bu Teaching Hospital, Ghana.
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347638
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

BackgroundRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of lower respiratory tract infections in children, often leading to hospitalisation in infants. In low-resource settings where routine RSV diagnostics are unavailable, clinical overlap with bacterial pneumonia frequently results in unnecessary antibiotic use, contributing to antimicrobial resistance. ObjectiveTo evaluate the frequency and clinical determinants of antibiotic use among RSV-positive children under two years at a tertiary...

14
PerTexP: scenario-based exploration of pertussis dynamics under maternal and infant vaccination
2026-03-06 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347721
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

We introduce PerTexP (Pertussis Time Exploration), an interactive modelling tool designed to investigate pertussis transmission dynamics and to support the evaluation of vaccination strategies and short-term projections. PerTexP allows users to explore and compare maternal, infant, and non-infant booster vaccination scenarios and to assess their potential impact on disease transmission, with a particular focus on the Italian epidemiological context. The tool is based on a discrete-time, stage-st...

15
Genomic surveillance of Lassa virus in Guinea through in-country sequencing
2026-03-05 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347418
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

Strengthening in-country sequencing capacity generated 28 Lassa virus genomes from human clinical cases, expanding our knowledge of Lassa fever in Guinea. Phylogeographic analysis revealed cross-border exchange between Liberia and the NZerekore region, and a Sierra Leone introduction into the Gueckedou area. Enhanced genomic surveillance is crucial to guide future public health actions.

16
Utilisation And Determinants Of Blood Culture In Managing Sepsis Among Hospitalised Children <5 Years: A Mixed-Method Study At Four Amr Surveillance Sites In Uganda, 2024-2025.
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347550
Top 7% (1.3%)
Show abstract

Sepsis caused by drug-resistant pathogens remains a major contributor to under-five mortality in low- and middle-income countries, threatening progress toward Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.2. Blood culture, the gold standard for sepsis diagnosis and antimicrobial stewardship, remains underutilised in routine pediatric care. This study assessed the extent and determinants of blood culture utilisation among hospitalised children under five years with suspected sepsis at four antimicrobial r...

17
Temporal trends in Plasmodium vivax diversity in eastern Cambodia evidence declining transmission
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26346840
Top 9% (1.1%)
Show abstract

BackgroundElimination of Plasmodium vivax is challenging due to its dormant liver stages (hypnozoites), which can reactivate weeks or months after the primary infection, causing relapses and ongoing transmission of the parasite. Despite these challenges, P. vivax clinical case numbers have declined over the past decade in Cambodia. We used parasite genotyping to assess whether the decline in case numbers was reflected in parasite diversity and relatedness as a proxy to transmission. MethodsGeno...

18
Challenges in Plasmodium diagnostics in countries nearing malaria elimination: a cross-sectional survey among treatment-seeking patients in health facilities in malaria endemic provinces of Cambodia with contrasted transmission intensity
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347480
Top 10% (0.9%)
Show abstract

BackgroundCambodia has made great progress in reducing malaria transmission and is targeting elimination. While this progress is particularly marked for Plasmodium falciparum, the situation is different for Plasmodium vivax. It is generally assumed that symptomatic patients are effectively diagnosed using rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs), regardless of transmission intensity. MethodsIn 2023 we conducted a cross-sectional survey among 986 treatment-seeking patients in 6 provinces of Cambodia with v...

19
Stroke burden in the Philippines (1990-2023): Temporal trends and risk factors from the GBD study
2026-03-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.26347658
Top 11% (0.9%)
Show abstract

BackgroundStroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability globally. However, information about stroke burden in the Philippines is limited. We sought to analyze stroke burden in the Philippines from 1990 to 2023. MethodsIncidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 data were used as indicators to analyze the burden of stroke by sex and age. Temporal trends in both crude and age-standardized rates were an...

20
Prospective Multicenter Evaluation of the QuickNavi-Campylobacter Assay in Stool Specimens
2026-03-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.03.03.26346362
Top 12% (0.9%)
Show abstract

The rapid diagnosis of Campylobacter infections is important for the management of infectious gastroenteritis. Although stool culture is considered the gold standard, its sensitivity is limited and it requires prolonged incubation times. We performed a prospective multicenter study at nine healthcare facilities in Japan to evaluate a Campylobacter rapid antigen test using stool specimens between March 2024 and August 2025. Patients with suspected infectious gastroenteritis were consecutively enr...