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Schizophrenia

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Schizophrenia's content profile, based on 19 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Predicting PANSS symptoms in schizophrenia spectrum disorders using speech only: an international, multi-centre, retrospective, computational study across multiple languages

He, R.; Kirdun, M.; Palominos, C.; Navarrete Orejudo, L.; Barthelemy, S.; Bhola, S.; Ciampelli, S.; Decker, A.; Demirlek, C.; Fusaroli, R.; Garcia-Molina, J. T.; Gimenez, G.; Huppi, R.; Koelkebeck, K.; Lecomte, A.; Qiu, R.; Simonsen, A.; Tourneur, V.; Verim, B.; Wang, H.; Yalincetin, B.; Yin, S.; Zhou, Y.; Amblard, M.; Ayesa Arriola, R.; Bora, E.; de Boer, J.; Figueroa-Barra, A. I.; Koops, S.; Musiol, M.; Palaniyappan, L.; Parola, A.; Spaniel, F.; Tang, S. X.; Sommer, I. E.; Homan, P.; Hinzen, W.

2026-02-28 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.02.20.26345632 medRxiv
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Backgroundspeech carries cues to variation in mental state in schizophrenia spectrum disorders/psychotic disorders, typically indexed with clinician-rated scales such as the PANSS. Progress in the automation of speech-based symptom modelling has been constrained by data scale and the underrepresentation of low-resource languages. In this study, we aggregate multi-center recordings to assemble a large corpus and assess symptom-prediction models at scale, to enable more objective and efficient assessments and the early detection of relapse-related signals from speech. MethodsWe compiled data from 453 patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorders, recruited from ten global sites, and clipped their speech recordings into 6,664 segments. Across three feature sets, acoustic-prosodic profile, pretrained multilingual embeddings, and their concatenation, we compared 16 algorithms to predict eight relapse-related PANSS items, including three positive (P1, P2, P3), three negative (N1, N4, N6), and two general (G5, G9) items, on speaker-disjoint splits (80% train, 10% test, and 10% validation). Performance was assessed by root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) at both segment and participant (median aggregation) levels. Best model per item underwent bias checks for age, sex, education, and symptom severity. OutcomesBest-performing models predicted symptoms with prediction errors of 1{middle dot}5 PANSS points or lower: P1 1{middle dot}494/1{middle dot}527, P2 1{middle dot}318/1{middle dot}107, P3 1{middle dot}407/1{middle dot}542, N1 1{middle dot}029/1{middle dot}030, N4 1{middle dot}452/1{middle dot}430, N6 0{middle dot}860/0{middle dot}855, G5 0{middle dot}850/0{middle dot}882, G9 1{middle dot}213/1{middle dot}282 (segment/participant). Performance of the pretrained multilingual embeddings surpassed acoustic-prosodic features and their concatenation. Results were comparable in low-resource languages (e.g., Czech). We found no bias by age, sex, or education, aside from reduced N4 accuracy in males; but performance degraded with higher symptom severity. InterpretationSpeech can support automatic assessment of schizophrenia symptoms using pretrained multilingual embeddings, even without the use of transcripts. Such models show promise as clinically meaningful, efficient, and low-burden tools for real-time monitoring of symptom trajectories. FundingEU Horizon research and innovation programme. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSAutomatic assessment of disease severity is a key issue in schizophrenia research, for which spontaneous speech offers a cost-effective, automatable solution. To evaluate existing evidence for speech-based symptom assessment, two reviewers (RHe, MK) searched PubMed, IEEE Xplore, arXiv, bioRxiv, and medRxiv for publications from inception to Aug 25, 2025, using the terms: ("symptom" OR "PANSS" OR "Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale") AND ("psychosis" OR "schizophrenia") AND ("language" OR "speech" OR "spontaneous speech") AND ("prediction" OR "machine learning" OR "deep learning" OR "algorithm" OR "neural network" OR "AI" OR "artificial intelligence"). Fourteen studies on symptom-level modelling were identified. Ten studies dichotomized clinical scores (e.g., PANSS) into low vs high for classification: five used conventional ML (e.g., random forests) and five used neural networks, with F1 scores ranging from 0{middle dot}60-0{middle dot}85. The remaining four studies, and two of the ten studies as mentioned above, modelled raw scores directly as regression tasks. Two relied solely on conventional regressors and the rest used neural networks, with errors from 0{middle dot}487 for single items (scale 1-7) to 8{middle dot}04 for summed scores (scale 18-126). All studies used free speech for elicitation, except one study, which used a reading task. Three studies incorporated additional tasks, such as picture description and immediate recall. None were multilingual: nine were in English, three in Chinese, one in Swiss German, and one in Brazilian Portuguese. Features spanned a wide range, including acoustic-prosodic profiles, morpho-syntactic structure, semantic organization, pragmatics (including sentiments), and even visual features capturing movement during talking. Representations from pretrained language models were also widely employed. Sample sizes (counting patients with schizophrenia) were generally small: eleven studies enrolled <50 patients, one had 65, and only two exceeded 100 patients. Some increased their effective sample size via multiple recordings per patient or by adding healthy controls and/or patients with other psychiatric disorders (e.g., depression). Added value of this studyTo our knowledge, this is the first multilingual, speech-based study modelling schizophrenia symptom severity with machine learning approach, and it includes the largest cohort of patients with schizophrenia to date. We further increased effective sample size by using diverse elicitation tasks and segmenting recordings into clips. This multilingual corpus empowers the usage of complex models and supports transfer learning from high-resource languages (e.g., English) to low-resource ones (e.g., Czech). For each of eight selected relapse-related PANSS items, the best audio-only models achieved RMSE < 1{middle dot}5, underscoring clinical relevance. We assessed potential biases: no effects were found for age, sex, or education (except poorer N4 performance in males), though performance declined at higher symptom severity. Trained models are released for use. Implications of all the available evidenceWe show that speech is a powerful signal for automatic assessment of schizophrenia symptom severity and holds promise for relapse prediction, even without transcripts. The approach readily extends to incorporate textual features (from manual or automatic transcripts) and more advanced models. Prospective studies with repeated recordings across relapse episodes are needed to validate the utility of our models on relapse prediction, for the sake of supporting precision psychiatry while reducing clinician burden.

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Multivariate Classification of First-Episode Schizophrenia Spectrum Psychosis using EEG Microstate Dynamics

Hill, A. T.; Bailey, N. W.; Ford, T. C.; Lum, J. A. G.

2026-02-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.02.18.26346582 medRxiv
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BackgroundEEG microstates provide a window into rapid, large-scale brain network dynamics. Despite showing alterations in schizophrenia, evidence in first-episode schizophrenia spectrum psychosis (FESSP) is limited. We assessed whether microstate temporal and transition features could identify a multivariate signature of FESSP, and whether these dynamics can track symptom severity. MethodsResting-state EEG was analysed in 69 participants (FESSP n=41, mean age: 22.49 years; healthy controls n=28, mean age: 21.33 years). Twenty-eight microstate temporal and transition features were extracted across microstate classes (A-D). Group classification accuracy was assessed using a linear support vector machine with stratified cross-validation and permutation testing. Within the FESSP group, we further assessed associations between microstate features and clinical scores using the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale (BPRS), Scale for the Assessment of Positive Symptoms (SAPS), and Scale for the Assessment of Negative Symptoms (SANS). ResultsMultivariate microstate features provided above-chance discrimination of FESSP from controls (balanced accuracy=0.644; AUC=0.688; p=0.030). However, when comparing individual features between groups, no feature survived multiple-comparison correction consistent with characterisation of FESSP via a distributed multivariate pattern across correlated features. Within the FESSP group, microstate dynamics were most strongly linked to negative symptoms, with higher SANS scores associated with shorter microstate D durations ({rho}=-0.507, pFDR=0.020) and higher occurrence of microstates A and B ({rho}=0.434-0.443, pFDR=0.042). BPRS-18 and SAPS showed no associations with any features. ConclusionsUsing EEG microstate temporal and transition features with multivariate classification, we identified a pattern that differentiated FESSP from controls and showed selective associations with negative symptom severity.

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Accelerated DMN-Targeted cTBS Improves Processing Speed Deficits in Schizophrenia

Connolly, J. G.; Blythe, S. H.; Yildiz, G.; Rogers, B. P.; Vandekar, S.; Halko, M. A.; Brady, R. O.; Ward, H. B.

2026-02-14 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.02.11.26346103 medRxiv
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ObjectiveCognitive deficits are a leading cause of disability in schizophrenia and are linked to poor functional outcomes. There are no first line treatments for these deficits, and their neural basis is poorly understood. While schizophrenia is associated with widespread cognitive deficits, information processing speed is most profoundly impaired. Processing speed deficits have been associated with hyperconnectivity in the Default Mode Network (DMN). We therefore tested if modulating DMN connectivity with single or multiple sessions of transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) applied to an individualized DMN target would affect processing speed. MethodsIn the first study, 10 individuals with schizophrenia received single TMS sessions and underwent resting-state neuroimaging and processing speed assessment (Brief Assessment of Cognition in Schizophrenia digit symbol coding) acutely before and after each session. These sessions included excitatory (intermittent theta burst stimulation, iTBS); inhibitory (continuous theta burst stimulation, cTBS); and sham stimulation sessions. In the second study, 29 individuals (17 schizophrenia, 12 non-psychosis controls) received 5 accelerated sessions of cTBS with resting-state neuroimaging and processing speed assessment before and after the course of TMS sessions. ResultsIn the accelerated, multi-session DMN-targeted TMS trial, cTBS improved processing speed in the schizophrenia group (p=0.0124). In individuals with schizophrenia, reduction in DMN connectivity was linked to improvement in processing speed (p=0.021). These changes were dependent on age, where younger participants experienced greater processing speed improvements than older participants (p=0.006). ConclusionsIn sum, personalized network targeted TMS is a novel method for reducing cognitive impairment associated with schizophrenia.

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Evaluation of the effects of transcranial direct current stimulation on the effectiveness of cognitive function rehabilitation using the RehaCom system in patients with schizophrenia (study protocol)

Wysokinski, A.; Szczakowska, A.

2026-04-02 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.01.26349996 medRxiv
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Background Cognitive impairment is a core feature of schizophrenia and a major determinant of functional disability. Executive deficits affect approximately 85% of patients and are associated with reduced activity in the prefrontal cortex (hypofrontality). Current pharmacological treatments show limited efficacy in improving cognition, highlighting the need for alternative therapeutic approaches. Combining non-invasive brain stimulation with cognitive remediation may enhance neuroplasticity and improve cognitive outcomes. Methods This prospective, randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled, parallel-group superiority clinical trial. A total of 120 adults aged 18-65 years with clinically stable schizophrenia diagnosed according to DSM-5 criteria will be enrolled at a single clinical center. Participants will be randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either active transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) targeting the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex followed by cognitive remediation therapy (CRT) using the RehaCom system, or sham stimulation followed by the same cognitive training. Assessments will be conducted at three time points: prior to the intervention (V1), immediately after the intervention (V2), and during the follow-up visit 8 weeks after the intervention (V3). The primary outcome is change in cognitive performance measured with the CANTAB battery. Secondary outcomes include symptom severity assessed with the PANSS, global clinical status (CGI-S), and neurophysiological changes measured by EEG. Written informed consent will be obtained from all participants, and the study has received ethics committee approval. Discussion This trial will evaluate whether tDCS administered prior to cognitive training enhances cognitive improvement compared with cognitive training alone. The findings may inform the development of more effective interventions targeting cognitive deficits in schizophrenia. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT07273175. Registered on 25 November 2025.

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The 40 Hz auditory steady state response is associated with antipsychotic treatment outcome in acute patients with schizophrenia

DE PIERI, m.; Rochas, V.; Petignat, C.; Apostolopoulou, D.; Godel, M.; Kirschner, M.; Kaiser, S.

2026-01-28 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.01.26.26344882 medRxiv
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BackgroundPrediction of response to antipsychotic medications remains elusive, and a biomarker assisting in treatment selection would drastically improve prognosis. The 40 Hz auditory steady state response (ASSR) is an EEG biomarker, mirroring the GABA-glutamate signaling and the excitation/inhibition balance, consistently been reported to be impaired in schizophrenia, on, with inconsistent evidence of an association with specific symptoms. MethodsN=69 schizophrenia inpatients with an acute psychotic episode underwent an EEG recording to assess event related spectral perturbation (ERSP), intertrial phase coherence (ITC) and phase amplitude coupling (PAC) during the ASSR task, aimed to assess their relationship with response to antipsychotics and with positive, negative, disorganized, excited and depressive symptoms. Moreover, patients were compared with controls (N=36), to delineate schizophrenia acute phase ASSR dynamics. ResultsResponders to treatment showed a decreased 40 Hz ERSP in both the early (0-0.2s post-stimulus; P=0.0013; d=-0.936) and late (0-2-1.2s post-stimulus; P=0.0022; d=-0.932) time windows compared to non-responders. Using logistic regression and bootstrap optimism correction, ERSP classified the two groups with 70% accuracy. Responders but not non-responders showed a reduced ERSP compared to controls (P=0.0211; d=-0.558). Patients had reduced early ITPC (P=0.0001; d=-1.015) vs controls. responders compared to non-responders had increased PAC in the early (P=0.0215; d00.65) and in patients vs controls, in both the early (P=0.0002; d=0.57) and the late (P=0.0006; d=0.74) windows. No association emerged between ASSR metrics and symptoms severity. ConclusionsASSR is a candidate biomarker for antipsychotic treatment personalization. Only responders to treatment presented a significant gamma-band impairment, in line with previous literature on stabilized outpatients, but not non-responders, indicating that a distinct neurobiology could exist.

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Moderate to severe negative symptoms predict low risk of symptoms worsening in schizophrenia patients in CATIE

Speyer, H.; Rabinowitz, J.; Luthringer, R.; Tamba, B. I.; Davidson, M.

2026-02-10 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.02.07.26345806 medRxiv
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Understanding factors that predict the course of schizophrenia remains essential for improving long-term clinical management. Rate and severity of symptom exacerbations vary widely across individuals, and although prior studies have examined potential predictors, findings have been inconsistent and often limited by small samples, infrequent assessments, and non-standardized measures. Using data from phase 1 of the Clinical Antipsychotic Trials of Intervention Effectiveness (CATIE), which includes a large cohort with monthly standardized evaluations, this study investigated whether baseline negative symptom severity predicts risk of symptom exacerbation over time. Participants were 1139 adults aged 18-65 years meeting DSM-IV criteria for schizophrenia. Symptoms worsening or exacerbation was defined as a [&ge;]12-point increase from baseline on the PANSS total score. Cox regression survival models examined the association between baseline PANSS negative symptom tertiles and time to exacerbation, adjusting for age, sex, PANSS positive and general psychopathology subscales, and CGI-Severity. Overall, 25.5% of participants experienced exacerbation over a 18-month period of follow-up. Survival curves demonstrated significant separation across negative symptom tertiles (p=0.047), with higher baseline negative symptoms associated with longer time to exacerbation. Compared with the lowest tertile, medium and high negative symptom groups showed reduced exacerbation risk (HR=0.73 and HR=0.69, respectively; both p=0.03). Findings indicate that greater baseline negative symptom severity is associated with a lower likelihood of short-term symptom worsening, suggesting a relatively stable illness course among individuals with more severe negative symptoms. These results have implications for prognosis and treatment planning, while underscoring the persistent functional burden imposed by negative symptoms despite lower exacerbation risk.

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A norm-anchored framework for characterizing cognitive heterogeneity in schizophrenia

Chen, C.

2026-02-27 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.02.25.26347062 medRxiv
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Cognitive heterogeneity is a core feature of schizophrenia (SCZ). Conventional approaches examine this heterogeneity using domain-specific scores, which may not fully reflect the underlying cognitive structure. In this study, a norm-anchored cognitive structural deviation (NCSD) framework was developed to examine such heterogeneity from a structure-informed perspective. The HC-derived latent cognitive structure (N-LCS) captured performance across the assessed tasks and remained stable under external validation in an independent cohort. Patients with SCZ showed greater global deviation from the N-LCS, along with altered loading directions of Wisconsin Card Sorting Test (WCST)-derived executive indicators which were consistent across robustness analyses, and altered correlation patterns among cognitive measures relative to HC. These features were quantified using three NCSD-derived indices: the cognitive normative deviation index (CNDI), loading pattern divergence (LPD), and correlation structure discrepancy (CSD). CNDI discriminated SCZ from HC with stable performance under cross-validation. LPD and CSD were associated with anxiety ratings, with LPD also showing a trend-level association with positive symptoms. Exploratory clustering identified a three-cluster solution with clear separation and moderate stability. Together, these findings show that cognitive heterogeneity in SCZ involves both global deviation from the N-LCS and structural alteration. NCSD provides a refined framework to characterize such heterogeneity and may inform precision psychiatry and functional recovery.

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Striatal dopamine synthesis in schizophrenia decreases from psychosis to psychotic remission

Schulz, J.; Thalhammer, M.; Bonhoeffer, M.; Neumaier, V.; Knolle, F.; Sterner, E. F.; Yan, Q.; Hippen, R.; Leucht, S.; Priller, J.; Weber, W. A.; Mayr, Y.; Yakushev, I.; Sorg, C.; Brandl, F.

2026-04-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351256 medRxiv
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Schizophrenia frequently follows a chronic relapsing-remitting course, comprising alternating episodes with and without psychotic symptoms (hereafter: psychosis and psychotic remission). One potential neurobiological correlate of this course is aberrant dopamine synthesis and storage (DSS) in the striatum, which can be estimated by 18F-DOPA positron emission tomography (PET). We hypothesised that striatal DSS in patients with schizophrenia decreases from psychosis to psychotic remission, with lower striatal DSS in patients during psychotic remission compared to healthy subjects. Additionally, we explored whether striatal DSS is associated with psychotic relapse after remission. 18F-DOPA PET scans and clinical assessments were conducted in 28 patients with schizophrenia at two timepoints, first during psychosis and second during early psychotic remission 6 weeks to 12 months after the first timepoint, as well as in 21 healthy controls, assessed twice in a comparable time interval. The averaged influx constant kicer as proxy for DSS was calculated for striatal subregions (i.e., nucleus accumbens, caudate, and putamen) using voxel-wise Patlak modelling with a cerebellar reference region. Mixed-effects models and post hoc analyses were used to test for longitudinal changes in kicer and cross-sectional group differences. An exploratory clinical follow-up 12 months after the second scan was conducted to assess psychotic relapse, and post hoc ANCOVAs were used to test for differences in kicer at each session between relapsing and non-relapsing patients. Kicer in both caudate and nucleus accumbens significantly changed from psychosis to psychotic remission compared to healthy controls, with a significant longitudinal decrease of caudate kicer in patients. Furthermore, kicer in both caudate and accumbens was significantly lower in patients during early psychotic remission compared to controls. At the exploratory clinical follow-up, 32% of patients had experienced a psychotic relapse; they showed higher caudate kicer compared to non-relapsing patients during psychosis, with no difference during psychotic remission. These findings provide evidence for the link between striatal, particularly caudate, DSS and the relapsing-remitting course of psychotic symptoms in schizophrenia, with lower caudate DSS during early psychotic remission. Data suggest altered striatal dopamine synthesis together with impaired DSS dynamics along the course of psychotic symptoms in schizophrenia.

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A Novel Therapeutic Mechanism for Nicotine Craving in Schizophrenia

Ward, H. B.; Connolly, J.; Blyth, S. H.; Vandekar, S.; Rogers, B. P.; Halko, M. A.; Chang, C.; Tindle, H. A.; Hong, L. E.; Evins, A. E.; Heckers, S.; Brady, R. O.

2026-03-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.03.14.26348404 medRxiv
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ObjectiveTobacco use is a leading cause of mortality in schizophrenia, but treatments are partially effective. Default mode network (DMN) pathology is linked to tobacco use in schizophrenia, and transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) applied to the DMN affects craving in schizophrenia. To advance TMS therapeutics for tobacco use in schizophrenia, we used TMS experiments to 1) determine optimal stimulation parameters then 2) compare our optimal parameters against a well-established, effective TMS intervention for craving. MethodsIn Protocol Optimization TMS, nicotine-using individuals with schizophrenia (n=10) received single sessions of DMN-targeted TMS with pre/post neuroimaging and craving assessment. Neuroimaging analysis revealed bilateral parietal DMN connectivity was associated with craving change. In Comparative Effectiveness TMS (n=62), nicotine-using individuals with schizophrenia and non-psychosis controls participated in a crossover study comparing DMN-targeted and left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLFPC)-targeted TMS with pre/post neuroimaging and craving assessment. Mixed effects models were used to determine effects of target, group, and relationship between craving change and connectivity change. ResultsIn Protocol Optimization TMS, increased craving was associated with increased bilateral parietal DMN connectivity (mean pFDR<0.012, r=0.60). In Comparative Effectiveness TMS, both interventions reduced craving (DLPFC: p=0.0015; DMN: p=0.0054) and bilateral parietal DMN connectivity (DLPFC: p=0.024; DMN: p=0.022). There was an interaction of bilateral parietal DMN connectivity change, group, and age (p=0.001) where connectivity change was associated with craving change in older individuals with schizophrenia (p=0.041) but not other groups. ConclusionsBilateral parietal DMN connectivity is a novel mechanism underlying craving in schizophrenia that can be engaged for therapeutic benefit.

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Reliance on Prior Expectations in Psychosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Perceptual Tasks

Miller-Silva, C.; Illingworth, B. J.; Martey, K.; Mujirishvili, T.; de Beer, F.; Siskind, D.; Murray, G. K.

2026-04-01 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.03.31.26349835 medRxiv
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Background: The highly influential predictive processing theory of psychosis posits that symptoms arise from imbalances in the weighting of predictions (priors) and sensory evidence. Despite this theory's increasing prominence, studies often present conflicting results. This is particularly problematic as findings from single tasks with modest sample sizes are frequently used to advance a theory for a generalised altered reliance on priors in psychosis. Methods: This study presents a random-effects, multi-level meta-analysis (PROSPERO CRD42024574379) evaluating evidence for aberrant reliance on priors in psychosis across perceptual tasks. The search identified articles in Embase, MEDLINE, APA PsycINFO, and APA PsycArticles published between 1st January 2005 and 31st October 2024, with risk of bias assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Included articles (34 results from 27 studies) compared adults with schizophrenia-spectrum psychosis (SZ; n = 904) to healthy controls (n = 1,039) on behavioural measures representing reliance on priors. Results: Results provided no evidence for atypical reliance on priors in psychosis (g = .03, 95% CI [-0.27, 0.34]; p = .818) or associations with delusions (6 results; SZ = 183; r = -.16, 95% CI [-0.51, 0.19]; p = .293) or hallucinations (10 results; SZ = 370; r = .04, 95% CI [-0.28, 0.36]; p = .780). In contrast with the theory that psychosis may differentially affect priors at different levels of the cognitive hierarchy, a sub-group analysis indicated that a two-level hierarchical model of priors did not account for conflicting results (F(1,32) = 0.1, p = .758). Conclusion: These findings do not suggest that psychosis is associated with a generalised predictive processing deficit spanning multiple aspects of perception. Key words: psychosis, schizophrenia, predictive processing, prior expectations, perception

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Predicting clozapine initiation among patients with schizophrenia via machine learning trained on electronic health record data

Perfalk, E.; Damgaard, J. G.; Danielsen, A. A.; Ostergaard, S. D.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351083 medRxiv
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Background and HypothesisClozapine is the only medication with proven efficacy for treatment-resistant schizophrenia, yet many patients experience delays of several years before initiation. Our aim was to develop and validate a dynamic prediction model for clozapine initiation among patients with schizophrenia trained solely on electronic health record (EHR) data from routine clinical practice. Study DesignEHR data from all adults ([&ge;] 18 years) with a schizophrenia (ICD10: F20) or schizoaffective disorder (ICD10: F25) diagnosis who had been in contact with the Psychiatric Services of the Central Denmark Region between 1 January 2013 and 1 June 2024 were retrieved. 179 structured predictors were engineered (covering, e.g.,diagnoses, medications, coercive measures) and 750 predictors derived from clinical notes. At every psychiatric hospital visit, we predicted if an incident clozapine prescription occured within the next 365 days. XGBoost and logistic regression models were trained on 85% of the data with 5-fold stratified cross-validation. Performance was evaluated on the remaining 15% of the data (held out) using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Study ResultsThe training/test set comprised of 194,234/35,527 hospital visits, distributed on 4928/878 unique patients. In the test set, the best XGBoost model achieved an AUROC of 0.81, sensitivity of 32%, positive predictive value of 23% at a 7.5% predicted positive rate. ConclusionsA dynamic prediction model based solely on EHR data predicts clozapine initiation with high discrimination. If implemented as a clinical decision support tool, this model may guide clinicians towards more timely initiation of clozapine treatment.

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Fronto-Temporal Dysconnectivity and Cortical Excitability in High Schizotypy: Associations with Symptom Dimensions

Hauke, D. J.; Iseli, G. C.; Rodriguez-Sanchez, J.; Stone, J. M.; Coynel, D.; Adams, R. A.; Schmidt, A.

2026-04-17 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.04.16.718911 medRxiv
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BackgroundPsychosis has been conceptualised as a continuum extending from healthy individuals with psychotic-like experiences to clinical populations with schizophrenia. It is unclear which biological mechanisms found in chronic schizophrenia extend across the psychosis continuum to healthy individuals with high positive schizotypy (HS). In this study, we used computational modeling to test whether changes in effective connectivity and excitation/inhibition (E/I) balance reported in schizophrenia are also found in HS. MethodsA total of 2425 individuals from the general population were screened for HS. A subset (N=141) was invited for in-depth phenotyping. Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rsfMRI) and proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy (1H-MRS) were recorded in n=69 HS individuals and n=72 group-matched controls with low schizotypy (LS). We used dynamic causal modeling to estimate effective connectivity between bilateral primary auditory cortex (A1), superior temporal gyrus (STG), and inferior frontal gyrus (IFG). ResultsBilateral backward connectivity from IFG to STG was significantly reduced in HS compared to LS. Widespread cortical disinhibition in the auditory cortex-IFG network correlated with more severe positive schizotypy scores and impulsive nonconformity. Reduced excitability in the same network was correlated with stronger cognitive disorganisation. ConclusionsOur results favour a psychosis-continuum hypothesis, suggesting that reduced top-down drive from frontal cortex and compensatory allostatic upregulation of cortical excitability, as observed in chronic schizophrenia, also extend to groups with sub-clinical psychotic symptoms. Frontal cortex dysfunction may serve as a biologically interpretable biomarker of psychosis risk and a target for preventative interventions.

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Face Identity Recognition with Interference of Unusual Features by People with Schizophrenia

Miranda-Lima, M. M. d.; Lacerda, A. M.; de Bustamante Simas, M. L. M.; Torro-Alves, N.

2026-02-09 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.02.07.26345453 medRxiv
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Schizophrenia is a serious mental disorder characterized by enhanced sensory-perceptual alterations. We investigated face identity recognition in people with schizophrenia with the Facial Identity Recognition Structured Task (FIRST) develop at our laboratory. This was created with natural interference features (beard, makeup and mask). This task consists in six block-trails of six images for identity recognition. Forty three adult volunteers divided into two groups: a Health Control (HC) and a group of hospitalized patients with Schizophrenia (SchG) participated in the study. We measured the total number of correct answers as well as the average reaction time for each block. We observed significant losses in recognition of identity faces with interferences such as make up, beard and facial-mask.

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EEG-based Schizophrenia Detection Using Spectral, Entropy, and Graph Connectivity Features with Machine Learning

Ahmadi Daryakenari, N.; Setarehdan, S. K.

2026-04-10 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.04.08.717137 medRxiv
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Schizophrenia is a serious mental disorder that changes the way people think, perceive, and manage daily life. Getting the diagnosis right is critical for proper treatment, but in practice it is often difficult. Current evaluations depend mostly on a clinicians judgment, and the overlap of symptoms with bipolar disorder or major depression makes the task even harder. EEG offers a safe and noninvasive way to study brain activity, yet no single EEG feature has been reliable enough to stand on its own. This makes it important to look at integrative approaches that bring together different aspects of brain dynamics. In this study, we analyzed EEG features to distinguish patients with schizophrenia from healthy controls. Spectral power was measured across {delta}, {theta}, , {beta}, and {gamma} bands. Temporal irregularity was quantified with Multiscale Permutation Entropy (MPE), which to our knowledge represents the first application of MPE to EEG in schizophrenia. Functional connectivity was estimated with the weighted Phase Lag Index in {theta}, , and {beta} bands, followed by extraction of graph measures including global efficiency, clustering coefficient, characteristic path length, and mean strength. These features were used to train Random Forest, Multi-Layer Perceptron, and Support Vector Machine classifiers. Among the models, Random Forest achieved the most reliable performance, reaching 99.7% accuracy under stratified 5-fold validation and 99.6% under leave-one-subject-out validation. Feature analysis showed that connectivity in {theta} and bands contributed most strongly to classification. Topographic maps of {theta}, , and {beta} activity also revealed regional group differences. Overall, the results suggest that combining spectral, entropy, and connectivity measures offers a promising framework for EEG-based detection of schizophrenia. Nevertheless, these findings are preliminary given the limited sample size (N=28), and replication in larger and more diverse cohorts is required before clinical translation.

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Medium-term Prediction of Clinically-relevant Outcomes in First-episode Schizophrenia Patients

Bakstein, E.; Kudelka, J.; Schneider, J.; Slovakova, A.; Fialova, M.; Ihln, M.; Furstova, P.; Hlinka, J.; Spaniel, F.

2026-03-25 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.03.23.26349083 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND: Predicting long-term outcomes in first-episode schizophrenia (FES) remains difficult, despite being especially important early in the illness, when timely intervention is most critical. Many potential predictors have been studied, but few are reliable enough to guide early treatment decisions. It also remains unclear how much data from the initial phase of illness is required to improve prognostic accuracy. METHODS: We analysed 68 patients with first-episode schizophrenia (FES) assessed at baseline (V1; mean 0.5 years post-onset, YPO), one-year follow-up (V2; mean 1.2 YPO), and outcome (V3; mean 4.9 YPO). We trained elastic-net models to predict three V3 outcomes-negative symptoms (PANSS Negative factor; Wallwork/Fortgang), global functioning (GAF), and quality of life (WHOQOL-BREF psychological domain)-using either 23 V1 predictors alone or V1 predictors plus V2 data (43 predictors). Performance was evaluated with nested cross-validation on held-out data. RESULTS: Using predictors from the first year (V1+V2), we achieved statistically significant out-of-sample prediction for all three V3 outcomes: PANSS Negative factor (Wallwork/Fortgang) R2=0.22 driven mainly by log(DUP), PANSS Negative at V1/V2, and PANSS Disorganized at V2; WHOQOL-BREF Psychological Health R2=0.22 driven mainly by WHOQOL Psychological Health at V2 and GAF at V2; and GAF R2=0.14 driven mainly by GAF at V2, PANSS Positive at V2, WHOQOL Psychological Health at V2, and hospitalization burden (before V1 and between V1-V2). With baseline-only predictors (V1), only PANSS Negative showed meaningful predictive power (R2=0.15); GAF and WHOQOL-BREF did not outperform the intercept-only baseline. CONCLUSION: In FES, long-term functioning (GAF) and quality of life (WHOQOL-BREF) can not be predicted well from first-episode (V1) measures; at least an additional 1 year of follow-up is needed, implying these outcomes are driven by changes after onset that V1 misses. Negative symptoms differ: they are comparatively stable after initial antipsychotic treatment, and duration of untreated psychosis is their strongest predictor beyond baseline severity-consistent with early biology and treatment timing shaping their level and persistence. These contrasting patterns indicate different outcome phenotypes.

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Cognition and Electrophysiology Clustering in Clinical High Risk for Psychosis Delineates Distinct Dimensions of Heterogeneity: Implications for Multimodal Clustering

Yassin, W.; Green, J. B.; Cai, M.; Ansari, D.; Kong, X.-J.; Re, E. C. d.; Hamilton, H. K.; Nicholas, S.; Roach, B.; Bachman, P. M.; Belger, A.; Carrion, R. E.; Duncan, E.; Johannesen, J. K.; Light, G. A.; Loo, S.; Niznikiewicz, M. A.; Addington, J. M.; Bearden, C. E.; Cadenhead, K. S.; Cannon, T. D.; Perkins, D. O.; Walker, E. F.; Woods, S. W.; Keshavan, M.; Mathalon, D. H.; Stone, W. S.

2026-03-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.03.14.26347633 medRxiv
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Individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR) are cognitively and neurobiologically heterogeneous, which encourages the use of a clustering approach to parse this heterogeneity. Multimodal approaches are assumed to be superior to unimodal approaches in identifying subgroups. With the success of the use of cognition and electrophysiological measures collectively in established psychotic disorders, and the lack of such an approach in CHR, we were motivated to address this gap. Using the North American Psychosis-Risk Longitudinal Study (NAPLS) 2 consortia (CHR (N=764)), we applied unsupervised cluster analysis on the combined cognitive and electrophysiology measures to identify CHR subgroups and assess their relationship with clinical and functional outcomes. A two-cluster solution with modest separability was found, which prompted the use of an alternative probabilistic, rather than discrete, clustering approach. Individuals who were more likely to be in Cluster 1 exhibited poorer cognitive performance, larger N100, mismatch negativity, and P300 amplitudes, and worse functioning, as well as a younger age of onset. These findings were largely replicated in NAPLS 3 (CHR (N=628)). Taken together, the results of our previous study of cognition-only clustering and the current study of combining cognition and electrophysiology indicate that multimodal clustering, if not developmentally informed, may obscure meaningful subtyping.

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Investigating Pathway-Partitioned Polygenic Risk Scores for Schizophrenia: Insights into Clinical Variability in Two Patient Cohorts

Zhu, J.; Boltz, T. A.; Nuechterlein, K. H.; Asarnow, R. F.; Green, M. F.; Karlsgodt, K. H.; Perkins, D. O.; Cannon, T. D.; Addington, J. M.; Cadenhead, K. S.; Cornblatt, B. A.; Keshavan, M. S.; Mathalon, D. H.; Conomos, M. P.; Stone, W. S.; Tsuang, M. T.; Walker, E. F.; Woods, S. W.; Bigdeli, T. B.; Ophoff, R. A.; Bearden, C. E.; Forsyth, J. K.

2026-04-13 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26349671 medRxiv
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Background: Differences in age of psychosis onset (AOO) in schizophrenia (SCZ) are associated with different illness trajectories. Determining whether AOO differences can be explained by genome-wide or pathway-partitioned polygenic risk for SCZ (SCZ-PRS) may elucidate mechanisms underlying clinical variability. This study examined relationships between AOO, genome-wide SCZ-PRS, and pathway-partitioned SCZ-PRS in a harmonized, multi-ancestry North American dataset (SCZ-NA) and in UK Biobank (SCZ-UKBB). Methods: For each cohort, we computed one genome-wide SCZ-PRS and 18 mutually-exclusive pathway-based PRS derived from previous published and validated neurodevelopmental gene-sets. We evaluated 13 SNP-to-gene mapping strategies, including comparing non-coding SNP-to-gene mappings informed by functional annotations versus distance-based windows. SCZ case-control prediction and AOO associations were tested using logistic and linear mixed models, respectively, controlling for sex, ancestry principal components, and genetic relatedness. Results: Genome-wide SCZ-PRS robustly predicted SCZ case-control status in both cohorts but not AOO. In contrast, pathway-based analyses identified AOO associations for a fetal angiogenesis and a postnatal synaptic signaling and plasticity gene-set across both cohorts (p < .05), alongside nominal cohort-specific associations in other gene-sets. Associations depended on SNP-to-gene mapping definitions; experimentally informed strategies, particularly those incorporating brain expression Quantitative Trait Locus (eQTL) annotations performed best. Conclusion: Findings suggest that neurovascular and postnatal synaptic signaling and refinement mechanisms contribute to AOO variation in SCZ, and that pathway-informed PRS, especially with brain-specific non-coding SNP-to-gene mappings, can help identify mechanisms contributing to variability in AOO. Replication in larger, prospectively phenotyped cohorts with harmonized AOO definitions will further clarify genetic mechanisms underlying clinical variability in SCZ.

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Individual Brain Structure Deviations and its Gene Expression Signatures in Early-Onset Schizophrenia

Fan, Y.-S.; Xu, Y.; Xu, Y.; Liu, L.; Yang, M.; Guo, J.; Chen, H.

2026-02-09 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.02.06.704304 medRxiv
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BackgroundSchizophrenia is a highly heritable mental disorder associated with widespread anatomical alterations during neurodevelopment. Converging evidence suggests transcriptomic architecture underlying brain abnormalities in schizophrenia, while how individualized brain morphological deviations relate to gene expression levels remains unclear. MethodsTo investigate individual-level brain deviations and its transcriptomic signatures in schizophrenia, this study collected T1-weighted MRI data from 95 early-onset schizophrenia (EOS) patients and 99 typically developing (TD) controls. Normative modeling was used to measure individual deviations in cortical thickness and subcortical volume. Partial least squares regression was calculated to capture covarying patterns between structural deviations and whole-brain gene expression levels. Clustering analysis was performed on latent brain-gene covarying components, and the results were further functionally decoded through gene enrichment analyses. ResultsGroup-level comparisons suggested patients with EOS showed consistently decreased z-scores of cortical thickness in the frontal and temporal lobe regions, while increased inter-individual variability in the lingual gyrus. Clustering analysis of z-scores with transcriptomic signatures identified two distinct brain-gene covarying subtypes. Subtype 1 showed thickening cingulate gyrus, thinning occipital pole, and atrophic subcortical nuclei. Subtype 2 exhibited widespread cortical thinning across the frontal, parietal, temporal, and limbic regions, but enlarged subcortical nuclei. Genes underlying two subtypes were both enriched for neurodevelopmental diseases. However, subtype 1 was associated with synaptic transmission, and subtype 2 was related to cytoskeletal and neuronal connectivity. ConclusionThis study reveals individual-level anatomical deviations and transcriptomic heterogeneity in early-onset schizophrenia. The findings provide an individualized brain-gene coupling framework for understanding pathophysiology of schizophrenia during brain development.

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Disrupted Coupling of Heart Rate Dependent Brain Network Switching and Attentional Task Performance in Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders

Kundert-Obando, K.; Kittleson, A.; Wang, S.; Pourmotabbed, H.; Provancher, E.; Machado, A.; Park, S.; Sheffield, J. M.; Ward, H. B.

2026-04-07 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.06.26350241 medRxiv
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Cognitive deficits are a core feature of schizophrenia, yet their neural mechanisms remain poorly understood. Network switching, a measure of how frequently brain networks change their interactions over time, has been linked to cognitive performance in healthy individuals and has been reported to be altered in schizophrenia. Recent evidence further suggests that the relationship between network switching and cognition depends on arousal, which is itself disrupted in schizophrenia. However, whether arousal-related alterations in network switching contribute to cognitive impairment in schizophrenia remains unclear. Here, we used concurrent resting-state functional MRI (fMRI) and pulse oximetry data from 39 healthy controls (HC), 27 psychiatric controls (PC), and 39 individuals with schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD) to examine whether network switching relates to indices of autonomic arousal. Additionally, in HC and SSD participants, we tested whether arousal moderated the association between network switching and performance on an attention task. We observed no group differences in autonomic arousal. However, PC exhibited higher dorsal default mode and anterior salience network switching rates compared to SSD participants. Additionally, autonomic arousal significantly moderated the relationship between network switching and cognitive performance in HC, an effect that was absent in SSD. Notably, these findings implicate network switching as a potential neural biomarker that differentiates PC from SSD. They also suggest that disrupted coupling between arousal state and network switching, rather than switching alone, may underlie cognitive dysfunction in SSD.

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NeuroMark-SZ: A Holistic Resting-State-fMRI-Based Model for Divergent Functional Circuitry in Schizophrenia

Jensen, K. M.; Ballem, R.; Kinsey, S.; Andres-Camazon, P.; Fu, Z.; Chen, J.; Haas, S. S.; Diaz-Caneja, C. M.; Bustillo, J. R.; Preda, A.; van Erp, T. G. M.; Pearlson, G.; Sui, J.; Kochunov, P.; Turner, J. A.; Calhoun, V. D.; Iraji, A.

2026-03-14 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.03.12.710902 medRxiv
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BackgroundSchizophrenia is a severe neuropsychiatric disorder. Efforts to describe the underlying biology and establish diagnostic markers through non-invasive neuroimaging methods are ongoing, resulting in a range of theoretical brain-based frameworks. Prominent frameworks for aberrant schizophrenia-associated functional connectivity in resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rsfMRI) include the dysconnectivity hypothesis, theory of cognitive dysmetria, and triple network theory. Although informative, prior work can be improved by increasing sample size, avoiding confirmation bias, and accounting for individual variability and the effects of medication and chronicity. MethodsWith these recommendations in mind, we employed a data-driven, whole-brain approach using a large multi-site rsfMRI dataset (N = 2,656; schizophrenia = 1,248). We used reference-guided independent component analysis (ICA) to generate subject-specific whole-brain functional network connectivity (FNC) and extract imaging markers of similarity to schizophrenia patterns. We modeled the relationship between medication dosage, age of onset, chronicity, symptom severity, and cognitive performance and FNC. ResultsOur analysis identified a reliable schizophrenia-FNC signature characterized by aberrantly stronger negative cerebellothalamic and positive thalamocortical connectivity, implicating sensory, motor, and associative cortical circuits. While medication and chronicity were significantly associated with these signatures, the core cerebellothalamic disruptions remained a robust marker of schizophrenia. ConclusionsThis work represents the largest schizophrenia-specific rsfMRI study to date, refines existing theoretical frameworks with a more nuanced map of how clinical variables interact with brain connectivity, and provides a high-fidelity template of schizophrenia-related connectivity. We have released this template as an open-source resource to facilitate reproducibility and accelerate the development of reliable rsfMRI-based schizophrenia biomarkers.