Pain
○ Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Pain's content profile, based on 78 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.09% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Virtanen, T.; Brinck, E. C. V.; Engstrom, M.; Kurkela, M. J.; Tarkkila, P.; Backman, J.; Tornio, A.; Kontinen, V.; Peltoniemi, M.; Saari, T. I.
Show abstract
Background: Opioids remain the cornerstone of acute postoperative pain management but are associated with potentially serious adverse effects. We aimed to investigate the effect of oxycodone patient-controlled analgesia with adjunctive S-ketamine on pain after lumbar fusion surgery. Methods: In this secondary analysis, we examined oxycodone and S-ketamine exposure and PCA behaviour during the first 24 h. We assessed current pain versus subsequent PCA activity and whether the association between plasma oxycodone and adequate analgesia changed with postoperative time. Results: Plasma concentrations of administered drugs rose rapidly after PCA initiation, but variation was large. Metabolite concentrations accumulated over time. PCA attempt and delivered-dose rates decreased over postoperative time (RR 0.965 and 0.966 per hour, respectively; both P<0.001). Older age was associated with a lower delivered-dose rate (RR 0.905 per 10 years, 95% CI 0.829-0.987). Each 1-point higher current pain score was associated with more subsequent PCA attempts (RR 1.09, 95% CI 1.04-1.14) and delivered doses (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.03-1.11). The oxycodone-analgesia association weakened over time [interaction P <0.001; odds ratios (Ors) per 10 ng/mL 1.16, 1.13, and 1.00 at 1, 4, and 24 h, respectively]. In active S-ketamine groups, including S-ketamine, norketamine, and 6-hydroxynorketamine concentrations left the pain-PCA association unchanged (RR 1.09 and 1.07) and preserved the time-dependent oxycodone association (ORs 1.30, 1.26, and 1.02). Conclusions: During PCA, drug exposure develops from patient-generated dosing histories while pain and recovery change. Current pain was associated with subsequent PCA activity, and the oxycodone-analgesia association was time-dependent.
Barbosa, M. M.; Pentiado, J. A. M.; Kubota, G.; Martins, P. N.; Moreira, L. I.; Fernandes, A. M.; da Silva, V. A.; Junior, J. R.; Figueiredo, E. G.; Yeng, L. T.; Teixeira, M. J.; de Andrade, D. C.
Show abstract
Background: Although opioids are frequently prescribed for refractory chronic neuropathic pain, few data are available on baseline factors that may identify individuals more likely to respond and inform individually tailored practice. Methods: This was a post hoc, exploratory analysis of individual-level data from a placebo-controlled trial of methadone for chronic neuropathic pain (NCT05235191). Baseline clinical, psychological, psychophysical and radiological variables were tested for association with 30% or more pain reduction in the methadone group. The correlation between expectation of improvement and pain reduction was examined in both groups. Results: Of the 81 participants completing the 8-week follow-up, 28 (70%) on methadone and 14 (34.1%) on placebo achieved 30% or more pain reduction. In the methadone group, responders had higher baseline expectation of improvement (median 100 [80-100] vs. 55 [50-81]; p=0.004), which correlated moderately with percentage pain reduction (rs=0.508; p<0.001). Neither finding was observed in the placebo group (p=0.211 and p=0.161, respectively), although the correlation did not differ significantly between groups (p for interaction=0.728). Other clinical, sociodemographic, psychological and psychophysical variables were not associated with response. In the subsample with peripheral neuropathic pain and structural MRI (n=37), lower left precentral cortex volume was associated with response to methadone (p=0.041), and lower right paracentral volume with response to placebo (p=0.003). Conclusions: Baseline expectation may influence treatment outcomes, supporting its inclusion as a covariate to improve the precision of treatment effect estimates in trials, and its use in clinical practice to help tailor treatment to individual patients. These exploratory findings require confirmation in larger studies.
Mason, K. J.; Jordan, K. P.; Thomas, M. J.; Bailey, J.; Mughal, F.; Protheroe, J.; Jowett, S.; Saxne Jöud, A.; Snell, K. I.; Dunn, K. M.
Show abstract
Objective: to estimate reconsultation risk and trajectories after a new episode of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people (CYP), and to determine routinely recorded prognostic factors associated with reconsultation. Design: Population based retrospective cohort study. Setting: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum, 2005-2021. Participants: CYP aged 8-18 years consulting primary care for a new musculoskeletal pain episode (no musculoskeletal consultation in prior 12-months). Main Outcome Measures: Musculoskeletal pain reconsultation within 12-months, and 3-year musculoskeletal reconsultation trajectories derived using latent class growth analysis. Prognostic factors selected from a literature search and two-year symptom histories (sample prevalence >1%) were examined using regression models (conditional logistic; multinomial). Results: Among 313,830 CYP with >12 months' follow-up, 32% reconsulted for musculoskeletal pain within 12 months. Among 240,384 CYP with >3 years' follow-up, three trajectories were observed: single episode (62%), early reconsultation (18%), and persistent reconsultation (20%). Older age; female gender; hip, knee, multisite and back pain on index; previous headache; previous abdominal pain; and analgesic prescribing were associated with higher reconsultation risk. Asian or Black ethnicity, and residing in more deprived areas, were associated with lower recorded reconsultation. Conclusion: Most CYP had no further recorded consultation, but 38% followed early or persistent reconsultation trajectories. Routinely recorded prognostic factors, particularly index pain side and prior pain/symptom history, may differentiate groups who could benefit from proactive follow-up. Lower recorded reconsultation among Asian and Black individuals, and living in more deprived areas, should not imply lower need and warrants equity-sensitive monitoring of access, health-seeking, and coding.
Varney, B.; Gillies, M. B.; Huybrechts, K. F.; Hernandez-Diaz, S.; Pearson, S.-A.; Shand, A.; Tran, D.; Brett, J.; Camacho, X.; Bruno, C.; Zoega, H.; Havard, A.
Show abstract
Summary Background We used sequential target trial emulation (TTE) to examine associations between opioid analgesic initiation and adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes while accounting for gestational timing, time at risk, and potential confounding. Methods Using the Early Life Course platform, comprising linked population-based data for births in New South Wales, Australia (2013-2019), we emulated a new trial at each gestational week, comparing women who initiated a prescribed opioid analgesic with eligible non-initiators. Baseline covariates were balanced using inverse probability weighting. Weighted logistic regression estimated odds ratios (ORs) for neonatal outcomes, postpartum haemorrhage, and severe maternal morbidity. Pooled logistic regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for other maternal outcomes, combined across gestational weeks using fixed-effects meta-analysis. Sensitivity analyses assessed unmeasured confounding, exposure misclassification, and potential reverse causation. Findings Among 511,357 pregnancies, over 80% of opioid initiators received only one dispensing. Opioid initiation was not associated with increased risks of placental abruption (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.75-1.16), severe maternal morbidity (OR 1.05, 0.97-1.11), postpartum haemorrhage (OR 0.98, 0.95-1.02), low Apgar score (OR 0.99, 0.87-1.08), small for gestational age (OR 0.90, 0.85-0.95), or neonatal abstinence syndrome (OR 0.98, 0.72-1.30). Risks were elevated for PPROM (HR 1.10, 0.98-1.23), preterm birth (HR 1.26, 1.19-1.33), severe neonatal morbidity (OR 1.08, 1.02-1.17), and perinatal death (OR 1.29, 1.10-1.52). Perinatal death estimates attenuated in analyses addressing potential reverse causation. Interpretation Using a TTE approach that accounted for gestational timing and time at risk, we found no appreciable increase in most maternal or neonatal outcomes following predominantly short-term opioid initiation. Elevated risks of preterm birth, perinatal death, and third-trimester PPROM may reflect causal effects or confounding by pregnancy-related indications. Studies using time-appropriate designs and detailed information on prescribing indications and their timing are needed to clarify these associations.
Asiaee, A.; Aryan, K.
Show abstract
Importance: Conditions that are hard to diagnose, several more common in women, may be missing from electronic health records (EHRs), hiding patients from research cohorts and case finding. Objective: To measure how often the EHR contains a diagnosis code for chronic conditions that participants report, and to compare this with national survey benchmarks. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used the All of Us Research Program Registered Tier Dataset v9. Participants were adults with EHR visits in both 12-month periods from July 2021 to June 2023 who completed a health history survey. We analyzed the data in October 2026. Exposures: Self-reported clinician diagnosis of 10 conditions with ongoing visits or treatment, as well as sex at birth, race and ethnicity, age, and years of EHR records. Main Outcomes and Measures: Share of participants reporting current care who had a qualifying diagnosis code, alone and relative to hypertension and type 2 diabetes, and the ratio of age-standardized coded shares to national survey prevalence. Results: Of 161,480 respondents, 114,610 (73,870 female [64.5%], median [IQR] age 63 [50-72] years) had at least 5 years of EHR records before the survey. Among those reporting current care, 84.6% (95% CI, 84.2%-85.0%) with hypertension and 87.0% (95% CI, 86.5%-87.6%) with type 2 diabetes had a code, compared with 41.3% (95% CI, 38.9%-43.8%) for endometriosis, 39.4% (95% CI, 34.3%-44.8%) for Lyme disease, and 24.4% (95% CI, 23.2%-25.6%) for chronic fatigue. Counting ICD-9-CM and other mapped codes, 55.3%, 51.5%, and 28.3%, respectively, had any qualifying record. Women had lower coded shares than men for hypertension, type 2 diabetes, obesity, depression, and anxiety (crude ratios 0.93-0.96, within-health-system ratios 0.98-1.02) and higher shares for migraine and fibromyalgia (within health systems, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.07-1.15] and 1.41 [95% CI, 1.29-1.57]). Age-standardized coded shares among active patients were 1.1 to 2.4 times national prevalence of the same self-reported diagnoses. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study, fewer than half of participants reporting ongoing care for chronic fatigue, Lyme disease, or endometriosis had a qualifying ICD-10-CM code. Linking each participant's report to their own record measured this gap directly.
Heyman, T. D.; Buhimschi, I. A.; Zhao, G.; Medegan Fagla, B.; Buhimschi, C. S.; Ackerman, W. E.
Show abstract
Src family kinases (SFKs) constitute a major non-receptor tyrosine kinase class that regulate processes important for pregnancy. We profiled placental SFKs to assess cell-specific expression, tissue localization, and clinical associations in early-onset preeclampsia (PE). Placental SFK transcripts were analyzed using bulk RNA sequencing discovery (GSE203507; n=15 PE, n=15 controls) and external validation (GSE114691; n=40 PE, n=21 controls) cohorts. Single-cell and single-nucleus RNA sequencing atlases mapped cell-specific expression. Computational deconvolution and causal mediation analyses were applied to bulk datasets. Findings were cross-validated by real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR; n=9 early-onset PE, n=7 controls) and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Transcriptomic data showed that LYN was the sole SFK member consistently elevated in early-onset PE placentas across discovery (1.8-fold, FDR<0.01) and validation cohorts (2.2-fold, FDR<0.001). Elevation was verified by qPCR (p<0.0001) and remained significant after adjusting for clinical covariates. Placental LYN abundance correlated positively with maximum antepartum maternal systolic blood pressure (r=0.63, p<0.01). Single-cell transcriptome atlases demonstrated LYN enrichment in myeloid lineages, extravillous trophoblasts, and syncytiotrophoblast (SCT). Deconvolution and mediation analyses indicated that altered tissue composition and increased per-cell expression each accounted for approximately half of the PE-associated LYN increase. IHC localized Lyn protein to Hofbauer macrophages and the apical microvillar SCT membrane in PE placentas. We conclude that placental LYN expression is selectively elevated in early-onset PE and correlates with maternal blood pressure severity. Lyn localization to trophoblasts and placental immune cells suggests potential roles in mediating inflammation and hypoxia-associated signaling in PE pathogenesis.
Samela, T.; Priori, R.; Colonna, L.; Zozi, L.; Gallo, V.; Assorgi, C.; Garcovich, S.; Paganelli, A.
Show abstract
Introduction: Lichen sclerosus (LS) is a chronic inflammatory dermatosis predominantly affecting the anogenital region of both women and men. Sexual dysfunction remains among the most debilitating and overlooked consequences of the disease, as available patient-reported outcome measures are either restricted to one sex or capture sexual health only partially. The aim of the present work is to validate the Qualisex questionnaire (in its the Italian version) in patients with LS and to evaluate its psychometric properties, factor structure, convergent, discriminant validity, and sex symmetry. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted on 211 patients (167 women, 44 men; mean age 52.9 years) with a confirmed diagnosis of LS. Participants completed the Italian Qualisex, Skindex-29, DASS-21, and sexual-health-specific scales, the Female Sexual Function Index (FSFI) for women, and the International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF) for men. Construct validity was assessed via Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and reliability via Cronbach's alpha. Convergent and discriminant validities were evaluated against standard psychometric batteries. Results: Item 2 was removed due to low communality (0.167). PCA on the remaining 9 items revealed a two-factor structure accounting for 72.5% of total variance: Component 1 (Sexual Functioning and Satisfaction, 59.89%) and Component 2 (Partner Devaluation, 12.66%). Internal consistency was high (alpha= 0.911 overall; alpha= 0.841 in women; alpha= 0.899 in men). Qualisex scores correlated strongly with Skindex-29 Social Functioning (r = 0.582) and Emotions (r = 0.531) subscales, as well as FSFI (r = -0.391) and IIEF (alpha= -0.566). Discriminant validity was supported by low-to-moderate correlations with DASS-21 domains (r < 0.38). While FSFI and IIEF showed significant negative correlations with age (p = 0.002), Qualisex remained age-independent across sexes (p > 0.05). Conclusion. The 9-item Italian Qualisex is a reliable, sex-symmetrical, and age-independent patient-reported outcome measure for assessing sexual health impairment in LS, successfully isolating disease-specific distress from physiological aging and general distress.
Sushentsev, N.; Xu, G.; Li, I. G.; Do, S.; Liu, J.; Kim, M.; Kastner, C.; Fernando, S.; Dale, A. M.; Warren, A. Y.; Dale, A. M.; Liss, M.; Barrett, T.; Seibert, T. M.
Show abstract
Purpose To assess whether follow-up MRI, biopsy status, and timing of cribriform disease detection predict active surveillance (AS) failure in a contemporary transatlantic cohort. Materials and Methods. Retrospective MRI-driven AS cohort of 619 men at two academic centers (UK/USA), 2012-2024. Primary outcome: AS failure (disease-specific mortality, metastasis, grade group [GG] [≥]4 progression, or post-treatment biochemical recurrence). Key exposures: final MRI and biopsy status, timing of cribriform [≥]GG2 detection. Cumulative incidence was derived; independent predictors used multivariable Fine-Gray models. Results. Over median follow-up of 6.4 years, 39/619 men (6%) experienced AS failure. Cribriform [≥]GG2 was detected in 82/619 (13%) on follow-up biopsy versus 24/619 (4%) at baseline, comparably in baseline GG1 (10%) and non-cribriform GG2 (9%), and only in MRI-visible tumors. Three-year AS failure after final biopsy was 31% in men with cribriform [≥]GG2 versus 0-2% with stable or non-cribriform disease; 44% of failures had stable MRI. On Fine-Gray analysis, cribriform [≥]GG2 was the only independent predictor of AS failure in re-biopsied men (SHR 30; 95% CI 5.2-167; P<0.001); no type of MRI progression category was independently predictive. Among 595 men cribriform-negative at baseline, 6-year AS failure after a second biopsy was 34% if cribriform [≥]GG2 was detected versus 7% if still cribriform-negative. Conclusions. Cribriform status at follow-up biopsy independently predicts AS failure, whereas MRI progression does not. The three-fold higher cribriform prevalence at follow-up likely reflects baseline sampling error. Because newly detected cribriform tumours were exclusively MRI-visible, early repeat biopsy of patients with MRI-visible disease may considerably improve risk stratification.
Kim, D. S.; Lobelo, F.; Durieux, J. C.; Colovos, C.
Show abstract
OBJECTIVE: To describe (1) US emergency department-treated pickleball injury burden and the injury-to-participation measure among total players, with burden among adults aged 60 to 79 years as a descriptive subgroup, and (2) determine whether general internet search interest for 'pickleball' is also associated with total pickleball-related injuries. DESIGN: Ecological time series study, United States, 2014 to 2023. DATA SOURCES: National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS) emergency department microdata yielded 1,738 adjudicated pickleball cases, 921 of them orthopedic, weighted to an estimated 101,450 injuries nationally. Google Trends, English Wikipedia pageviews, and GDELT news volume served as general pickleball attention signals, with the Trends index for 'sourdough' as a negative control. Sports and Fitness Industry Association (SFIA) participation estimates supplied a total player denominator. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Annual national injury estimates with design-based 95 percent confidence intervals; injury-to-participation measures; and correlations between total pickleball-related injuries and general pickleball attention signals before and after removing trend and seasonality. RESULTS: Estimated emergency department-treated pickleball injuries rose 17.5-fold, from 1,391 in 2014 (highly unstable) to 24,294 in 2023. 70 percent of adjudicated cases involved adults aged 60 to 79. During 2017-2023, injury estimates rose 4.0-fold and participation rose about 4.4-fold. No temporal trend was detected in the injury-to-participation measure (P=0.59). Search interest looked like an excellent proxy: in annual levels it correlated with total pickleball-related injuries at R=0.96, and Pickleball Wikipedia pageviews at R=0.98. However, so did searches for "sourdough", at R=0.76. Removing trend and seasonality left little (monthly residual R=0.084; year-on-year R=0.28 over 96 months, 2015-2023), and the seasons ran opposite, with injuries peaking in February and searches in July, such that, on 12-month mean profiles, the sourdough negative control fitted the injury season (R=0.96) while pickleball ran against it (R=-0.40). General pickleball search interest and pickleball news coverage remained correlated in year-on-year changes in 2017-2023 (R=0.64), whereas their corresponding correlations with total pickleball-related injuries in 2017-2023 were 0.25 and 0.20. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute burden of emergency department-treated pickleball injury has grown substantially, but the available surveillance data cannot resolve whether the sport has become more hazardous per participant. The observed rise is consistent with growth in exposure alone. The strong correlation between search interest and injury counts was not specific, the association was substantially attenuated after detrending, and the seasonal patterns were opposed. These descriptive results do not establish that search interest can substitute for injury surveillance, and series that rise together should not be assumed to be related.
Aguilera, S. M.; Sthanam, V. L.; Nakhmani, A.; Dransfield, M. T.; Bhatt, S. P.; Bodduluri, S.
Show abstract
Rationale: Conventional CT-derived pulmonary vascular metrics quantify vascular pruning but do not assess the spatial heterogeneity of vascular architecture. In COPD, peripheral microvascular pruning coexists with compensatory central vessel dilation, paradoxically preserving total vessel volume while reducing effective vascular penetration into lung parenchyma. Objectives: To develop and evaluate Vascular Proximity Coverage (VPC), a distance-based CT biomarker quantifying the spatial efficiency of pulmonary vascular distribution. Methods: This retrospective analysis included 7,881 COPDGene participants [PHASE] with complete vascular segmentations. VPC was estimated by integrating the area under the cumulative lung tissue coverage curve at distances of 0-10 mm from segmented vessel voxels. Multivariable models assessed associations with lung function, six-minute walk distance (6MWD), St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score, mMRC dyspnea score, and all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of [10.8] years, adjusting for demographics, smoking, emphysema, scanner type, and BV5. The cohort was stratified at median BV5 and VPC into concordant (high/high, low/low) and discordant (high-BV5/low-VPC, low-BV5/high-VPC) vascular phenotypes. Results: VPC declined across disease severity (5.82 {+/-} 0.50 [UNITS] in non-smokers to 5.21 {+/-} 0.64 in GOLD 4; p < 0.001). Among spirometrically normal smokers, current smokers had lower VPC than former smokers (5.31 vs. 5.68; p < 0.001). Each standard deviation decrease in VPC was independently associated with reduced 6MWD ({beta} = -16.8 m, 95% CI: -19.5 to -14.0), worse SGRQ ({beta} = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4 to 2.4), and greater dyspnea (RR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.08; all p < 0.001). The lowest VPC quartile was associated with 38% higher mortality than the reference quartile (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.62; p < 0.001). The high-BV5/low-VPC phenotype showed 24% higher mortality than high-BV5/high-VPC (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.42; p = 0.002) despite preserved vessel volume. Conclusions: VPC captures spatial heterogeneity of vascular architecture independent of vessel volume, is reduced in smokers without airflow obstruction, and identifies excess mortality risk among individuals whose total vessel volume appears preserved.
Lukander, V. M.; Kaprio, J. M.; Wang, X.; Ollikainen, M.; Drouard, G.
Show abstract
Despite recent evidence of the ability of systemic and organ-specific proteomic aging clocks to predict a large range of age-related diseases, their utility in cancer research remains largely underexplored. In this study, we evaluated the predictive ability of systemic and organ-specific proteomic aging clocks for (i) all-cause mortality, (ii) cancer-related mortality, and (iii) cancer incidence in a sample of Finnish twins (N = 401, mean age at baseline 62.3 years) with Olink proteomic data. Participants were followed for a mean of 10.6 years (SD +- 1.6), with estimates from four systemic and 18 organ-specific proteomic aging clocks calculated at baseline. Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for sex and age at baseline identified 15 proteomic aging clocks as significant predictors of all-cause mortality (Ncases = 28) after multiple testing correction (FDR < 0.05), with 11 remaining significant after lifestyle adjustment (Ncases = 27). For several clocks, effect sizes were large, with hazard ratios (HR) approximately doubling per one standard deviation (SD) increase in clock estimates. In predicting cancer-related deaths among participants without a prior cancer diagnosis at baseline (Ncases = 9), only the Immune clock showed a significant positive association after multiple testing correction in basic (HR = 2.94, 95% CI: 1.88-4.59) and lifestyle-adjusted models (HR = 3.31, 95% CI: 1.78-6.17). No associations with cancer incidence (Ncases = 34 basic, Ncases = 31 adjusted) survived multiple testing correction, although several nominal associations were observed. In conclusion, our findings suggest that proteomic aging clocks are strong predictors of all-cause and cancer-specific mortality, independent of lifestyle factors. Proteomic aging clocks may further serve as valuable tools for stratifying cancers by mortality risk.
Dzi, K. T.; Jox, R.; Bodenmann, P.
Show abstract
Background: Workplace discrimination and violence against health workers including sexual harassment is a societal problem worldwide. We aimed to assess the frequency, predictive factors, and effects of sexual harassment using a nationwide survey of physicians working in Switzerland. Materials and Methods: We conducted a self-administered questionnaire survey of physicians working in Swiss healthcare institutions. The questionnaire assessed experiences of sexual harassment at work, including frequency, types, and sources of harassment. It also asked about the impact of sexual harassment, whether incidents were reported, and what actions were taken following a report. Results: Among the 1837 physicians that participated in the survey, 575 (31.3%) had experienced sexual harassment at least once during their career. Among those reporting sexual harassment, 39.1% of women and 13.2% of men had experienced harassment at least once in their job. Women reported more verbal harassment, while men reported more physical harassment. Women were also more likely to face both forms combined. The main sources of harassment were colleagues of the same profession (46.7%), patients (42.3%), and superiors (41.0%). The most frequently reported impacts included stress (60.1%), emotional exhaustion (34.7%), reduced motivation at work (30%), and considering leaving the job (7.5%). Gender-men was associated with a lower likelihood of experiencing harassment 0.24 (0.18 to 0.31), whereas working in the German-speaking region was associated with a slightly higher likelihood of having experienced sexual harassment at least once (OR 1.35, 95% CI:1.02-1.81). Conclusions: Sexual harassment is common among physicians in Swiss healthcare institutions. It adversely affects the mental health and career trajectories of both men and women yet remains widely underreported due to fears of reprisals and inaction. Institutions should effectively intervene to ensure that reported incidents result in appropriate actions, and that those who report them receive adequate protection from reprisals.
Ding, H.; Cox, M.; Qiu, Q.; Mirabadi, N.; Bobrovnikov, D.; Gerbino, K.; Scherler, K.; Walters, K.; O'Keefe, G.; Brakenridge, S.
Show abstract
BACKGROUND Traditional organ dysfunction classifications after severe trauma rely on binary categories (e.g., chronic critical illness [CCI] versus rapid recovery), which likely oversimplify the true heterogeneity of postinjury organ dysfunction trajectories and their underlying immune-biologic drivers. We hypothesized that severely injured trauma patients demonstrate multiple, distinct organ dysfunction phenotypes distinguished by unique immune signatures. METHODS We performed a prospective, longitudinal, observational cohort study of severely injured trauma patients at high risk for multiple organ dysfunction at a single Level 1 trauma center. Organ dysfunction was quantified daily through 28 days, death, or discharge using a trauma-specific modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score excluding the neurologic subdomain to isolate systemic organ dysfunction from traumatic brain injury. We utilized group-based trajectory modeling to identify longitudinal mSOFA phenotypes. Plasma immune protein trajectories were compared across phenotypes using mixed-effects models with time interaction. RESULTS Sixty-nine patients were enrolled. Trajectory modeling identified five mSOFA phenotypes (c1-c5) with differences in resuscitation requirements, shock severity, and 28-day mortality, but not baseline demographics, injury severity, or early physiologic parameters. The phenotypes revealed organ dysfunction heterogeneity not fully captured by CCI/rapid recovery classification. Forty of 92 measured immune markers showed phenotype-differentiated trajectories (FDR<0.1). The most fulminant phenotype (c5) was distinguished by IL-17C, CXCL5, and CXCL6, implicating epithelial-barrier and neutrophil-trafficking mechanisms. The phenotype with highest CCI incidence (c3) was distinguished by rising CXCL9, ARTN, and TWEAK, implicating Th1 polarization and tissue-inflammation/repair signaling. The clinically distinct, older-age phenotype (c4) carried the largest differentiating signature (29 proteins), spanning renal injury/repair, endothelial activation, and adaptive lymphocyte modulation. CONCLUSIONS Organ dysfunction after severe trauma is more biologically heterogeneous than traditional clinical classifications suggest. Distinct mSOFA trajectory phenotypes correspond to distinct immune signatures, supporting separable pathobiology rather than a single axis of injury severity, with implications for phenotype-targeted precision immunomodulatory approaches in critical illness.
Lee, S. h.; Karimah, P. D.; KIM, K.; Kim, S. I.; Hwang, W. Y.; Kim, M. K.; Kim, J.-H.; Choi, C. H.; Lee, Y.-K.
Show abstract
Objective: Current guidelines recommend different adjuvant treatment strategies for women with endometrioid early stage endometrial cancer exhibiting a p53 abnormal pattern. We aimed to evaluate recurrence patterns and explore the clinical implications for adjuvant therapy in this population. Materials and methods: This multicenter retrospective study included 86 patients with endometrioid, p53 abnormal, FIGO stage I, II endometrial cancer treated between 2013 and 2023 at six hospitals in the Republic of Korea. Clinicopathologic data were collected through medical record review. Progression free survival (PFS) was estimated using the Kaplan Meier method, and prognostic factors were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: The 12, 24, and 36 month PFS rates were 91%, 78%, and 76%, respectively. Among the 16 patients who experienced recurrence, 12 (75%) had distant metastases. Adjuvant chemotherapy showed a trend toward improved PFS compared with adjuvant radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy (p=0.10). In multivariable analysis, the p53 overexpression pattern was independently associated with worse PFS compared with the p53 null pattern (HR 8.59, 95% CI 1.61 to 45.79, p=0.01). Conclusion: Given the poor PFS, the predominance of distant recurrence and the observed trend toward improved PFS with chemotherapy, adjuvant chemotherapy may be considered in women with endometrioid early stage endometrial cancer exhibiting a p53 abnormal pattern. Further studies are warranted to clarify the prognostic impact of p53 abnormality subtypes.
Tay, J. H.; Barros, D.; Dong, J.; Choudhury, S.; Bakulaite, A.; Wang, W.; Maier, A. B.
Show abstract
This systematic review aimed to synthesize evidence on the association between DNA methylation (DNAm) age and all-cause and disease-specific mortality risks in adults. A systematic search of six databases from Jan 1 2011 to April 15 2026 identified articles assessing the association of DNAm age measures and all-cause or disease-specific mortality in adults from general or disease-specific populations. Effect sizes were pooled as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using inverse-variance random-effects models. Of 42 023 records screened, 125 articles (380 705 participants) met the inclusion criteria, with 53 included in meta-analyses. Overall, 48 distinct DNAm clocks were evaluated. Higher DNAm ages were associated with higher risks of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality risks. In general populations, GrimAge epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) showed consistent associations across mortality outcomes, with each 1 year higher GrimAge EAA associated with ~6-10% higher all-cause (31 cohorts, n=53 642, HR per SD: 1.46 [95% CI 1.38, 1.55], HR per 1-year: 1.09 [95% CI 1.08, 1.11], I^2=84.1%, p-value=1.21 x 10^(-14)), cardiovascular (6 cohorts, n=30 751, HR per SD: 1.55 [95% CI 1.38, 1.73], HR per 1-year: 1.10 [95% CI 1.07, 1.13], I^2=28.0%, p-value=1.71 x 10^(-4)), and cancer (5 cohorts, n=27 187, HR per SD: 1.31 [95% CI 1.15, 1.50], HR per 1-year: 1.06 [95% CI 1.03, 1.10], I^2=33.6%, p-value=4.76 x 10^(-3)) mortality. Clocks incorporating additional surrogates and technical refinements showed numerically larger pooled associations than their original counterparts. GrimAge2 (HR per SD: 1.65 [95% CI 1.53, 1.77] vs 1.46 [1.38, 1.55]) and PCGrimAge (1.56 [1.36, 1.78] vs 1.51 [1.32, 1.74]) showed higher pooled HR association with all-cause mortality than GrimAge. Further work is warranted to evaluate the responsiveness of DNAm clocks to interventions and potential clinical utility.
Wang, Z.; Asokan, G.; Zhang, B.; Werdin, S.; Bojorquez-Ramirez, P.; Suharwardy, S. H.; Onnela, J.-P.; Williams, M. A.; Coull, B. A.; Mahalingaiah, S.
Show abstract
Polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS) and early-life irregular cycles (ELIC) carry higher metabolic risks, but real-world glycemic patterns remain inadequately characterized. We analyzed 247,316 continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) days from 716 consented and enrolled participants (11/2019-08/2026) in the Apple Women's Health Study, using cluster-weighted generalized estimating equations to evaluate associations between PMOS, ELIC, and glycemic metrics. Same-day wearable-assessed physical activity, digital dietary logs, and medication health records were assessed as effect modifiers. Compared to participants without PMOS and with regular cycles, those with PMOS had higher mean glucose (6.81 mg/dL; 95% CI: -0.70, 14.72) and %observations above target range (3.77%; 95% CI: 0.04, 8.14). Estimates were smaller-in-magnitude for participants without PMOS but with ELIC, and larger for PMOS with androgen excess. Meeting activity goals, consuming protein-/fiber-rich diets, or using metformin/GLP-1 receptor agonists attenuated these associations. PMOS/ELIC were associated with unfavorable glycemic profiles, suggesting opportunities for risk identification and modification.
Liang, J.
Show abstract
Although physical activity is associated with better physical functioning, the effects of initiating regular physical activity among older adults with persistent inactivity remain unclear. We conducted a sequential target trial emulation using Health and Retirement Study (HRS) data to estimate the effect of physical activity initiation versus noninitiation on incident mobility difficulty. Participants were included in the analysis if they were aged [≥]65 years at the previous wave, reported no regular physical activity at the previous two waves, and had no mobility, activities of daily living (ADL), or instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) difficulties at baseline. Stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to adjust for measured confounding. Weighted cumulative incidence was then estimated with death treated as a competing event, and risk differences were calculated at approximately 2, 4, and 6 years. At 2 years, the cumulative incidence of mobility difficulty was 32.75% among initiators and 39.73% among noninitiators, with a risk difference of -6.98 percentage points (95% CI, -13.11 to -0.88). At 4 and 6 years, risk differences were -2.90 percentage points (95% CI, -9.77 to 4.29) and -5.44 percentage points (95% CI, -12.27 to 1.99), respectively. Initiating regular moderate or vigorous physical activity was associated with a lower risk of incident mobility difficulty at approximately 2 years among older adults with persistent inactivity. This difference was less evident at later follow-up, and no clear differences were observed for incident ADL or IADL difficulty.
Bou Ali, M. N.; Lassoued, N.; Ben Amor, B.; Nasr, S.; Aouididi, M. A.
Show abstract
Background. In people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), postprandial glucose weighs on glycaemic control, and carbohydrate counting is difficult. Patients can describe their meal but rarely quantify it. Objective. To assess (1) whether a small open large language model (LLM), fine-tuned on public data, estimates the carbohydrate content of a meal described in words, and (2) what this carbohydrate adds to the prediction of the postprandial glucose rise in two public cohorts. Methods. Step 1: the Qwen3-4B LLM was fine-tuned with QLoRA on Nutrition5k dishes and compared with an automatically matched USDA food composition table and with Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B used without training, on test dishes (internal control) and on 100 real meals of ShanghaiT2DM patients, whose reference carbohydrate was computed from the recorded quantities. Step 2: the maximum glucose rise between 0 and 120 minutes ({Delta}Gmax) was predicted by personalised gradient boosting (M2), compared with a spline linear regression and with the Chronos-2 foundation model, using only information available at meal start and person-level cross-validation, in ShanghaiT2DM (people with T2D recruited in two Shanghai hospitals; carbohydrate estimated by the LLM) and CGMacros (free-living adults in Santa Barbara, California; carbohydrate entered in the dataset, no text). Step 3: the model was transferred between datasets. 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained by cluster BCa bootstrap (2,000 resamples). Results. On the 100 real meals, the carbohydrate mean absolute error (MAE) of the fine-tuned model was 12.2 [9.9, 15.2] g, almost half that of the table (22.6 g; paired difference -10.5 [-16.8, -6.0] g) and nearly a third of that of the same model without fine-tuning (34.3 g), with a bias of -10.3 g; on test dishes it was 2.2 [2.0, 2.5] g. Personalised gradient boosting (M2) reached a correlation between predicted and observed rises of r = 0.63 [0.55, 0.69] in CGMacros (1,286 meals, 45 adults) and 0.49 [0.42, 0.54] in ShanghaiT2DM (2,339 meals, 99 people with T2D), about twice the linear reference (r = 0.32 and 0.23); for a rise above 50 mg/dL, its area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was 0.80 and 0.74, versus 0.64 and 0.68 with pre-meal glucose alone. Adding carbohydrate to pre-meal glucose changed r by 0.095 [0.068, 0.128] in CGMacros and by 0.004 [-0.010, 0.017] in ShanghaiT2DM; difference between datasets: 0.091 [0.060, 0.126]. Applied from one dataset to the other, the model lost correlation ({Delta}r = -0.11 [-0.17, -0.05] towards ShanghaiT2DM and -0.12 [-0.19, -0.04] towards CGMacros). The full "text [->] LLM [->] glucose" chain was evaluated in ShanghaiT2DM only. Conclusion. An open 4-billion-parameter LLM, fine-tuned with QLoRA on public data and usable offline, almost halves the error of carbohydrate counting for real meals described in words compared with an automatically matched table, with an underestimation of large meals. Personalised gradient boosting, based on pre-meal glucose and the person's usual response, doubles the correlation of a linear reference for predicting the glucose rise in both cohorts. Carbohydrate improved this prediction in CGMacros but not in ShanghaiT2DM; the two datasets differ in many respects, and the cause of this gap is not established.
Ling, Y.; Tsung, S.; Alarid-Escudero, F.; Goldhaber-Fiebert, J. D.; Brandeau, M. L.; Reitsma, M. B.
Show abstract
People experiencing homelessness (PEH) have substantially lower quality-adjusted life expectancy and substantially higher healthcare spending compared to housed populations. California has the largest population of PEH in the United States, and an estimated ten percent of PEH have co-occurring opioid use disorder (OUD). We developed a lifetime, individual-level microsimulation of the 18,928 PEH with OUD in California to evaluate the health and economic effects of expanding access to housing through a Housing First approach, which does not require OUD treatment or abstinence. Increases in permanent housing and shelter access were based on Los Angeles County's Measure A goals, and we accounted for both housing and healthcare costs. Expanding housing access increased mean age at death by 0.34 years, reduced fatal overdoses for the cohort by 39, and produced an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $31,083 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, well below conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds. We provide evidence that housing is a high-value health intervention for PEH with OUD in California. Policymakers should support Housing First programs as part of integrated responses to the intertwined crises of homelessness and opioid use.
Hoffman, K. L.; Weil, A. A.; Wetzler, E. A.; Akinola, B. O.; Beauge, A.; Andy, C.; Adams, A.; Frivold, C.; Cox, S. N.; Ehmen, B.; Hatchie, T.; Clark, E. L.; Drummond, M.; Englund, J.; Han, P. D.; Kuntz, J. L.; Lo, N. C.; Lockwood, C.; Starita, L.; Mularski, R. A.; Naleway, A. L.; Carone, M.; Chu, H. Y.
Show abstract
Background: The relationship between recent viral infection and subsequent susceptibility to, or protection against, other viruses remains unclear, particularly across ages and symptom status. Methods: A prospective cohort study enrolled participants aged 6 months to 49 years in Washington and Oregon, USA, 2022-2024. Weekly nasal swabs were tested for SARS-CoV-2, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and influenza A/B; additional swabs were collected during symptomatic illness and were also tested for parainfluenza (PIV) 1-4, endemic human coronaviruses (hCOV), adenovirus, human metapneumovirus, human rhinovirus (hRV), and enteroviruses. Proportional hazards regression models were used to characterize associations between incident symptomatic infection (illness) and history of recent illness due to other viruses (within 1-7, 8-14, 15-30, 31-60, 61-90, 91-180 days), adjusted for geographic region, age, sex, daycare/school/work attendance, household size, and number of children in the household. For SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and RSV, these analyses were repeated to study incidence of infection (including asymptomatic cases). Findings: Of 3,560 participants, 2,969 (83%) had [≥]1 illness over 4,299 person-years. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) in the short term ([≤]2 weeks) after an illness were predominantly below 1, indicating that recent viral illness was often associated with lower risk of subsequent illness with other viruses. Across age groups, recent hRV illness was associated with lower risk of hCOV, PIV, and RSV illness (aHRs 0.07-0.27). SARS-CoV-2 illness was associated with a higher short-term risk of adenovirus and PIV illness (aHRs 3.20-3.33). In children aged 6 months-4 years, recent influenza illness was associated with higher short-term risk of SARS-CoV-2 illness. Including asymptomatic infections generally attenuated these associations. Interpretation: Some viral illnesses may alter short-term susceptibility to subsequent viral illnesses. Interactions may differ by age and symptom status. Funding: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Washington State Department of Health.