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OncoImmunology

Informa UK Limited

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match OncoImmunology's content profile, based on 22 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Sensitive Glioma Detection and Recurrence Monitoring Using a Machine Learning Model Based on Circulating Monocytes

Wu, W.; Chai, R.; Xia, P.; Wu, L.; Yu, B.; Chen, X.; Pang, B.; Chen, D.; Wang, Y.; Wang, N.; Li, X.; Liu, H.; Deng, Q.; Wan, F.; Lyu, F.; Wang, L.; Zhang, W.; Zhang, J.; Jiang, T.; Wang, Q.

2026-06-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354409 medRxiv
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Background: Non-invasive diagnosis, reliable recurrence surveillance remain critical unmet needs in gliomas. Glioma induces profound systemic immune alterations despite its anatomical confinement to the central nervous system. Circulating immune cells, particularly monocytes, are key mediators of tumor-host crosstalk and may retain tumor-induced transcriptional imprints. However, their potential clinical utility as blood-based biomarkers for detection and monitoring, remain largely unexplored. Methods and findings: In this study, we performed integrated single-cell RNA sequencing of blood immune cells and demonstrated that circulating CD14+ monocytes are significantly expanded in glioma patients, exhibiting features of differentiation arrest and increased transcriptional plasticity. These cells harbor glioma-specific molecular signatures distinct from those observed in healthy controls and patients with other tumors. Leveraging these findings, we developed an ensemble machine learning diagnostic model based on transcriptomic profiles of circulating CD14+ monocytes (training cohort, n=107), which achieved a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.971 during cross-validation. In an independent cohort of 567 participants, the model maintained high diagnostic accuracy, yielding an AUC of 0.877 for distinguishing glioma from controls and other tumors. And it achieved a recurrence detection AUC of 0.969 in 51 postoperative samples. Moreover, in a prospective follow-up study involving 30 glioma patients, lower model-derived scores of postoperation were significantly associated with prolonged progression-free survival (log-rank test, P=0.043), supporting its prognostic utility. Conclusion: We demonstrate circulating CD14+ monocytes undergo glioma-specific transcriptional reprogramming, generating systemic tumor-associated signal captured via transcriptomic profiling. This blood-based diagnostic model provides non-invasive, scalable approach for glioma detection, recurrence surveillance, outcome prediction.

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Deep Learning Spatial Profiling of CD103+CD8+ T Cells and Survival in Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Abe, T.; Yamashita, K.; Nagasaka, T.; Fujita, M.; Ueda, Y.; Miyake, S.; Ito, R.; Adachi, Y.; Ando, M.; Tsuneki, T.; Okazoe, Y.; Konaka, R.; Takahashi, T.; Kagiyama, H.; Tachibana, T.; Imai, M.; Yoshida, T.; Saito, M.; Mukohyama, J.; Kanayama, K.; Koma, Y.-I.; Otowa, Y.; Hasegawa, H.; Ikeda, T.; Koterazawa, Y.; Aoki, T.; Harada, H.; Urakawa, N.; Goto, H.; Kanaji, S.; Yanagimoto, H.; Matsuda, T.; Takamura, S.; Yamashita, T.; Sasaki, R.; Fukumoto, T.; Kakeji, Y.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353629 medRxiv
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Background: CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are established prognostic markers in colorectal cancer, yet the clinical significance of CD103+CD8+ tissue-resident memory-like (TRM-like) T cells in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) remains unknown. Methods: We quantified CD8+ and CD103+CD8+ T-cell densities in stromal and intratumoral compartments of post-NACRT resection specimens from 40 LARC patients using Cu-Cyto, a deep learning-based imaging cytometry platform. Associations with survival, pathological response, and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) were examined. Treatment-induced T-cell dynamics were assessed in paired pretreatment biopsies and post-NACRT resections (n = 9). Results: High stromal CD103+CD8+ density independently predicted better 5-year RFS (67.4% vs. 12.1%, p < 0.001) and OS (80.0% vs. 26.6%, p = 0.016); intratumoral density showed no prognostic significance. Pathological response correlated with stromal CD8+ but not CD103+CD8+ density. Paired analysis revealed a selective non-expansion of the CD103+ subset: stromal CD8+ T cells increased significantly after NACRT while CD103+CD8+ density remained unchanged. AC may preferentially benefit patients with low stromal CD103+CD8+ density. Conclusions: Stromal CD103+CD8+ T-cell density is a robust independent prognostic biomarker in rectal cancer after NACRT that appears to reflect pre-existing rather than treatment-induced immunity. Given its stability across NACRT, pretreatment biopsy assessment may provide equivalent prognostic information, with potential implications for patient stratification before treatment initiation.

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Connecting Baseline Immune Exhaustion in Hot Tumors to Oral Cancer Recurrence and Nodal Metastasis

Shaikh, S.; Basu, S.; Hajihosseini, M.; Nandy, S. K.; Moorthy, M.; Arun, I.; Lali, B. S.; Arun, P.; Mukherjee, G.; Pyne, S.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354295 medRxiv
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Background: The use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in the treatment of cancer has rapidly expanded over the last decade. However, there are several knowledge gaps in understanding how tumor cells evade the immune system. There is paucity of data in HPV negative oral cancer, particularly of the gingivobuccal region. Understanding the mechanism of immune system evasion in this cancer is vital for improving patient outcomes. Methods: We characterized the baseline immune milieu of oral cancer using immunohistochemistry (IHC) on whole tumor sections from 124 cases. Tumors were classified as hot or cold and further stratified into high-risk and low-risk groups. High-risk patients included those with lymph node metastasis at diagnosis/recurrence or distant metastasis within 2 years of treatment completion. Patients without these features were categorized as low risk. Validation by RNA-Seq and Joint Enrichment Analysis of Oncogenic and Immunologic Pathways was carried out in a subset of 46 cases. Results: Hot high-risk tumors (by IHC) were distinguished by elevated PD-L1 expression and reduced NK-cell, PD1, and CTLA-4 expression. There was no difference in the expression levels of CD3+, CD8+, granzyme, or perforin compared to hot low-risk tumors, findings that align with the definition of hot tumors. RNA-Seq revealed a gene signature associated with exhausted T-cells in hot high-risk tumors. Gene and pathway analyses identified differential upregulation of isoform-specific TOX, TCF, CXCR, RUNX, IRF, BRD and BCL6 genes, implicating immune cell exhaustion and tumor aggressiveness. Significantly downregulated genes included PDCD1, HAVCR2, ZAP70, and STAT, indicative of a disabled immune microenvironment. These findings support that a state of immune exhaustion in HHR tumors is driven by progenitor exhausted T-cells and terminally exhausted T-cells; independent of PD1-TIM3. Conclusion: These findings suggest that combining TOX/TCF/BCL6 inhibitors with immune checkpoint inhibitors in the adjuvant setting might benefit patients with hot high-risk tumors. Given the results, testing for a targeted exhaustion-related gene panel at diagnosis is recommended for oral cancers to stratify tumors as high-risk or low-risk. Larger validation studies and clinical trials are now warranted.

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Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model to Predict Prognosis in Patients with Advanced Head and Neck Cancer

Zhang, K.; Gao, L.; John, D.; Li, W. T.; Hogarth, M.; Coffey, C. S.; Ongkeko, W. M.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354194 medRxiv
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Importance Prognostic tools beyond staging are needed to guide treatment and counseling in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Objective To develop and externally validate a machine learning model predicting survival in advanced HNSCC using routinely collected clinical and biomarker data. Design, Setting, and Participants Retrospective, multi-institutional cohort study including 2,385 patients with stage III-IV HNSCC diagnosed from 2012-2022 in the University of California Health Data Warehouse (UCHDW). Patients were randomly split into training (n = 1,908) and test (n = 477) sets. Partial external validation used 7,749 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry (2010-2020). Exposures Demographic, tumor, treatment, comorbidity, and biomarker variables recorded at or before diagnosis. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 70 months. Cox proportional hazards models included all predictors. Discrimination was assessed with Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration with predicted vs observed survival, and stratification with Kaplan-Meier curves. A Random Survival Forest (RSF) was trained for benchmarking and interpretability using Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Results Among 2,385 patients in UCHDW (median age, 63 years; 29.0% mortality), the Cox model achieved a C-index of 0.735 in the internal test set. Risk quartiles showed clear separation on Kaplan-Meier curves (log-rank p < 0.0001). In the SEER cohort (n = 7,749), where only demographic, staging, subsite, and treatment variables were available, the reduced Cox model achieved a C-index of 0.688, with calibration showing modest underestimation of survival in high-risk groups. Age, T stage, Charlson Comorbidity Index, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet count were among the strongest predictors, while surgery was associated with improved survival. The RSF achieved a C-index of 0.758 internally, with SHAP highlighting nonlinear effects of albumin, BMI, and inflammatory markers. Conclusions and Relevance A machine learning model using routine clinical and biomarker data demonstrated good prognostic performance in advanced HNSCC, with partial external validation. Such approaches may support individualized survival estimates, risk stratification, and treatment discussions, but broader validation is required before clinical adoption.

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Pre-infusion Exhaled breath volatile organic compounds predict severe CRS and ICANS after CAR T-cell therapy

Berna, A.; Fahrmann, J.; Irajizad, E.; Rudsari, H.; Liu, Y.; Logan, J.; Murtada, K.; Grandy, J.; Edwards, M.; Ayers, A.; Ahmed, S.; Neelapu, S.; Saini, N.; John, A.; John, T.

2026-06-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354352 medRxiv
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Background: Severe cytokine release syndrome (CRS) and immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome (ICANS) are major dose-limiting toxicities of chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy. Existing pre-infusion biomarkers offer modest discrimination, motivating non-invasive alternatives. Methods: We prospectively enrolled 26 patients with relapsed/refractory large B-cell lymphoma receiving axicabtagene ciloleucel. Pre-infusion (day -1) exhaled breath samples were analyzed by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry for 40 volatile organic compounds (VOCs). Candidates with univariate AUC > 0.65 for severe (grade >=2) CRS or ICANS were carried forward to sensitivity-maximization-at-given-specificity with LASSO regularization (SMAGS-LASSO), which selected separate panels for each outcome. Model performance was assessed by leave-one-out cross-validation with permutation p-values and Harrell bootstrap optimism correction. Results: The 4-VOC CRS panel (heptanal, benzaldehyde, 2-butanone, ethylbenzene) achieved LOOCV AUC 82.5% (80% sensitivity at 88% specificity) and the 3-VOC ICANS panel (nonanal, allyl methyl sulfide, levomenthol) achieved AUC 86.3% (67% sensitivity at 86% specificity). By tertile, severe CRS occurred in 8/9 (89%) high-risk versus 2/9 (22%) low-risk patients (Cox HR 6.82, 95% CI 1.41-32.9, p=0.017) and severe ICANS occurred in 8/9 (89%) versus 2/9 (22%) (HR 8.28, 95% CI 1.73-39.6, p=0.008). Each 1-SD score increase corresponded to a 3.80-fold higher hazard of severe CRS (p<0.001) and 4.36-fold higher hazard of severe ICANS (p<0.001). In head-to-head comparison, the 3-VOC ICANS panel outperformed the modified Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (mEASIX) (delta-AUC +0.36, DeLong 1-sided p=0.008). The 4-VOC CRS panel had numerically higher AUC than mEASIX (delta-AUC +0.19, p=0.150). Conclusions: Pre-infusion exhaled breath VOC panels stratify CAR T-cell recipients by severity and timing of severe CRS and ICANS, providing a non-invasive complement to existing serum biomarkers. Multi-institutional validation is warranted.

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Antibiotic Timing and Survival After Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Initiation in Patients With Cancer

Zhang, K.; John, D.; Li, W. T.; Hogarth, M.; McKay, R. R.; Ongkeko, W. M.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354193 medRxiv
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Importance: While gut dysbiosis is known to impair response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), the relative clinical impact of antibiotic timing (pre- vs. post-ICI initiation) remains unclear. Objective: To evaluate whether antibiotic timing differentially influences overall survival (OS) in a large, multi-institutional pan-cancer cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study utilized deidentified electronic health record data from six academic medical centers within the University of California Health system. We included 21,108 adults with any malignancy who received PD-1, PD-L1, or CTLA-4 inhibitors between January 2014 and December 2024. Exposures: Antibiotic exposure windows were categorized as pre-only (-60 to -1 days), post-only (+1 to +60 days), both windows, or none. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) calculated from the first ICI dose. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, tumor type, line of therapy, and baseline health indicators (albumin, NLR, and recent hospitalization). Results: Among 21,108 patients, 17.3% had pre-only exposure, 13.3% had post-only exposure, and 60.6% had no exposure. In the multivariable model, post-only exposure (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.20-1.35) and combined pre- and post- exposure (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.23-1.40) were significantly associated with higher mortality. Pre-only exposure was not significantly associated with OS (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.10). Subgroup analyses by tumor type showed consistent trends across major malignancies, including head and neck (Post HR, 1.46) and renal cell carcinoma (Post HR, 1.26). Conclusions and Relevance: In contrast to some smaller studies, this large-scale analysis indicates that antibiotic exposure after ICI initiation carries a greater risk than exposure prior to treatment. These findings highlight the need for rigorous antibiotic stewardship strategies specifically during the early phases of immunotherapy treatment.

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T cell transcriptional and receptor signatures predict response to telomerase vaccination in prostate cancer

Hoye, E.; Natkin, R.; Sajnani, K.; Engedal, N.; Simensen, J. E.; Hakkola, S.; Kiviaho, A.; Ballesio, F.; Cecchetto, T.; Ellingsen, E. B.; Westhrin, M.; Hovig, E.; Mathelier, A.; Visakorpi, T.; Tammela, T. L.; Murtola, T. J.; Eerola, S.; Nykter, M.; Lilleby, W.; Urbanucci, A.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354038 medRxiv
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While prostate cancer (PC) is defined as immunologically cold, limiting the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors, therapeutic vaccination targeting tumor-associated antigens represents an attractive strategy to promote disease control in low volume metastatic patients. The UV1 cancer vaccine is based on immunization with tripeptide fragments from human telomerase reverse transcriptase (hTERT) and a phase II clinical trial demonstrated induction of robust T cell response in men with de novo metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC). Comparison with long-term survival data of non-metastatic CSPC patients as reference showed that despite metastatic disease at diagnosis, UV1-treated patients who mounted an early vaccine-induced immune response achieved progression-free and overall survival comparable to non-metastatic patients. We examined biological determinants of clinical benefit following UV1 vaccination including tumor transcriptome and T cell receptor (TCR) profiling from circulating and tissue resident T-cells of the 22 men enrolled. Analysis of diagnostic and post-UV1 treatment biopsies revealed that low baseline exhaustion of T cells and higher CD8+ T cell abundance are associated with early immune response to the vaccine and longer survival. Moreover, we identified specific TCR motifs relative to early responders, that can indicate potential benefit from UV1 vaccination. These findings indicate that baseline intratumoral T cell exhaustion state and repertoire shape responsiveness to hTERT vaccination and long-term outcome. Overall, our study underlines how baseline immune profiling may be used as a companion biomarker to predict mCSPC patients most likely to benefit from therapeutic vaccination.

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A priority index-based computational medicine framework (PimRNA) for prioritising personalised mRNA cancer vaccines

Fang, H.; Tan, T.

2026-05-29 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354114 medRxiv
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Background: The development of personalised mRNA cancer vaccines holds considerable promise for oncology, yet a significant translational gap persists between neoantigen identification and the selection of therapeutically impactful targets. Current approaches predominantly prioritise human leukocyte antigen (HLA) binding affinity and immunogenicity, often overlooking the systems-level biological context of the target. This can inadvertently favour immunogenic but biologically peripheral peptides that exert limited influence on tumour signalling networks, thereby constraining vaccine efficacy. Furthermore, mRNA therapeutics must satisfy additional design requirements, including favourable codon usage and favourable secondary-structure stability, which directly affect in vivo translation and half-life. A unified computational framework that integrates neoantigen discovery with network biology is therefore critically needed. Results: Here, we present PimRNA, a Priority index (Pi)-centric computational medicine framework that bridges this gap by unifying neoantigen identification, mRNA sequence optimisation, and gene interaction network analysis. First, high-confidence tumour-specific HLA class I and II neoantigenic peptides are identified from paired tumour-normal genomic and tumour transcriptomic data using NeoDisc. Second, the coding sequences of these peptides are optimised for stability and translational efficiency with LinearDesign, yielding a core set of neoantigen-encoding mRNAs. Third, a random walk with restart algorithm is applied to a knowledgebase of gene interactions to identify peripheral genes exhibiting significant network connectivity to core genes, generating a gene-predictor matrix in which each gene is assigned an affinity score reflecting its network proximity to immunogenic neoantigens. These scores are consolidated into a single, unified priority rating (0-5) for each gene, followed by subnetwork analysis that reveals therapeutically relevant gene modules. Application of PimRNA to breast cancer and melanoma datasets demonstrates that it successfully selects high-confidence immunogenic neoantigen candidates embedded within biologically meaningful tumour-specific networks. Conclusion: PimRNA provides a systems biology foundation for mRNA vaccine design, moving beyond isolated immunogenicity to prioritise targets that are both highly presented and central to tumour-relevant biological networks. This framework offers a generalisable strategy for the rational discovery and prioritisation of mRNA therapeutics, significantly advancing the field of computational medicine towards personalised cancer vaccines.

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Cell-Free DNA Genomic and Fragmentomic Features for Early Outcome Prediction in Large B-Cell Lymphoma.

Wang, S.; Mapar, P.; Moldovan, N.; van der Pol, Y.; Safrastyan, A.; van Werkhoven, E.; Tantyo, N. A.; Snieder, B.; Do Brito Valente, A. F.; de Jong, A. V.; Dinmohamed, A.; Drees, E. E. E.; Roemer, M. G. M.; Ylstra, B.; Klerk, C. P. W.; Strobbe, L.; Sandberg, Y.; Boersma, R. S.; Koene, H.; Pruijt, H.; de Heer, K.; van Rijn, R.; Bilgin, Y. M.; de Jongh, E.; Nijland, M.; van der Poel, M.; Koster, A.; Nieuwenhuizen, L.; Fijnheer, R.; Beeker, A.; Mous, R.; Vergote, V. K. J.; Vermaat, J. S. P.; Pegtel, D. M.; Chamuleau, M. E. D.; Mouliere, F.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26353426 medRxiv
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Curative-intent immunochemotherapy fails in ~30% of patients with large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL), yet no validated molecular tool enables early identification of high-risk individuals to guide treatment intensification. Using shallow whole genome sequencing (sWGS) of plasma cell-free DNA from 190 LBCL patients, we developed and validated the ACT score (Aberrations, fragment Composition, Terminal motifs), a composite classifier integrating genomic and fragmentomic features from a single post-cycle-1 sample. ACT-positive patients had worse 2-year outcomes versus ACT-negative patients: time-to-progression 29% vs. 83% (HR 4.4, 95% CI 1.9 - 10.0; P = 1.5 x 10 - 4) and overall survival 47% vs. 93% (HR 8.7, 95% CI 3.0 - 25.4; P = 1.8 x 10-6). ACT score was independently prognostic of the International Prognostic Index, and their combination identified the highest-risk patients. Unlike mutation-based approaches, this assay requires neither tumor tissue, germline control nor a baseline plasma sample. Built on open-source tools and sWGS, the ACT score offers a feasible scalable strategy for early risk stratification in aggressive LBCL.

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Nationwide Trends and Outcomes in Major Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgery

espinoza, r. e. d. a.; Bastos, L. S. L.; Hamacher, S.; Salluh, J. I. F.; Bozza, F. A.

2026-05-27 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354087 medRxiv
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Background Complex gastrointestinal (GI) oncologic surgeries carry substantial perioperative risk, and nationwide outcomes in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are underreported. This study aimed to evaluate national trends in surgical volume, in-hospital mortality, and intensive care unit (ICU) utilization for major GI cancer surgery in Brazils Unified Health System (SUS) over a 14-year period. Methods A population-based analysis was performed using national administrative databases to identify all adult patients undergoing colectomy, gastrectomy, pancreatic resection or esophagectomy for cancer in the SUS from 2010-2023. Annual rates were age-standardized according to the WHO standard population. Temporal trends were assessed using Poisson regression to estimate average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results A total of 179,337 hospital admissions were analyzed (median age 63 years; 48% female). Colectomies accounted for 72% of cases, followed by gastrectomies (19%), pancreatic resections (5%), and esophagectomies (3%). Although crude surgical volume increased, population-adjusted rates declined overall (AAPC -2.09%; 95% CI -2.58 to -1.59), mainly due to reductions in gastrectomies and esophagectomies. Median hospital stay decreased from 9 to 7 days (AAPC -1.93%; 95% CI -2.79 to -1.06). Overall in-hospital mortality declined from 8.1% to 5.7% (AAPC -2.88%; 95% CI -4.15 to -1.59). ICU utilization rose from 37% to 43% of admissions (AAPC +1.31%; 95% CI 0.91 to 1.71). Conclusion Over 14 years, in-hospital mortality and length of stay for major gastrointestinal cancer surgery declined within Brazils universal public health system. These temporal trends occurred alongside expansion of accredited oncology services and increased ICU utilization, although causal relationships cannot be established from administrative data. These findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating and highlight the need for more granular hospital-level data in LMIC settings.

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Diabetes, impaired fasting glucose, and cognitive trajectories: a multi-cohort study

Lo, J. W.; Crawford, J. D.; Samaras, K.; Lipton, R. B.; Katz, M. J.; Derby, C. A.; Preux, P.-M.; Guerchet, M.; d'Orsi, E.; Quialheiro, A.; Rech, C. R.; Ritchie, K.; Rolandi, E.; Davin, A.; Rossi, M.; Shahar, S.; Rajab, N.; Rivan, N. F. M.; Ganguli, M.; Jacobsen, E.; Snitz, B. E.; Brodaty, H.; Chen, Y.-C.; Chen, J.-H.; Lennon, M.; Lipnicki, D. M.; Sachdev, P. S.

2026-05-28 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354185 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Cognitive trajectories may clarify how type 2 diabetes (T2D) and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) relate to dementia risk, but longitudinal associations remain unclear, particularly in the context of stroke. METHODS: Data from 5,631 dementia- and stroke-free older adults (mean age 75 years) from 7 international population-based cohorts were analyzed. Linear mixed-effects models estimated cognitive trajectories during stroke-free and post-stroke follow-up. Glucose status was defined by fasting glucose and prior T2D diagnosis. RESULTS: Over 6.6 years of follow-up (4.5% with incident stroke), T2D was associated with lower baseline cognitive performance compared with normal fasting glucose (-0.14 SD, 95% CI -0.21 to -0.07), but not with faster cognitive decline during stroke-free or post-stroke follow-up. IFG was not associated with lower cognitive performance or faster decline. DISCUSSION: In older adults, T2D was associated with persistently lower cognitive performance but not faster decline, suggesting adverse cognitive effects may be established before late life.

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Intravital mid-infrared biosensing by normalized spatial probing of self-referenced optothermal signals

Berger, C. G.; Puttfarcken, B.; Qiu, J.; Hauer, I.; Herr, S.; Juestel, D.; Pleitez, M. A.

2026-05-28 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354202 medRxiv
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We present a compact pump-and-probe mid-infrared Optothermal Spectrometer (OTHES) equipped with Spatial Probing and Autocorrection (SPAC) optimized for robust intravital application in humans. SPAC-OTHES facilitates alignment stability and spectral comparability across different measurement sessions involving different skin types. Contrary to state-of-the-art, SPAC-OTHES uses camera-based beam detection and an auto-calibration mechanism that enables ca. 73% better spectral reproducibility in intravital measurements in human volunteers than non-calibrated readouts. Moreover, SPAC-OTHES has the potential to lower the glucose quantification error, as demonstrated here in artificial skin phantoms, where an improvement of 52% compared to conventional diode-based detection was observed. The compactness of OTHES, combined with reliable SPAC-readout, has the potential to accelerate commercialization and broad application of biosensors based on mid-infrared spectroscopy.

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Geospatial Analysis of Antenatal Care Utilization and Its Determinants Among Women in Ghana: Evidence from 2022 Demographic and Health Survey

Opoku, S. Y.; Weyori, E. W.; Ampon-Wireko, S.; Nawaane, P.; Asaarik, M. J. A.; Fiavor, F.; Owusua, T.

2026-05-28 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354191 medRxiv
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Background: Antenatal care (ANC) utilization is critical for improving maternal and neonatal health outcomes. Despite the World Health Organization recommendation of at least eight ANC contacts during pregnancy and the implementation of free maternal healthcare policies in Ghana, significant geographic and socioeconomic disparities in ANC utilization persist. This study therefore assessed the spatial distribution and geographically varying determinants of ANC utilization among women in Ghana. Methods: A cross sectional analytical study was conducted using women data from the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey. The analysis included women aged 15 to 49 years with an index child younger than five years preceding the survey. Descriptive statistics were computed using Stata version 18, while spatial analyses were conducted in QGIS version 3.44. Global Morans I was used to assess spatial autocorrelation, whereas Local Morans I and Getis Ord Gi analyses identified spatial clusters, hotspots, and coldspots of ANC utilization. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models were fitted to assess global and local determinants of ANC utilization. Results: Overall, only 26.0% of women achieved adequate ANC utilization, while 74.0% reported inadequate ANC attendance. Adequate ANC utilization was higher among women with higher education (42.0%) and those from the richest households (41.3%) compared with women without formal education (19.1%) and those from the poorest households (17.6%). Regional disparities were observed, with Western (48.8%), Eastern (48.0%), and Greater Accra (47.3%) regions recording the highest ANC utilization, whereas Savannah (24.7%), Northern (25.8%), and North East (26.8%) regions recorded the lowest utilization levels. Global Morans I demonstrated significant positive spatial autocorrelation (Morans I = 0.457, p = 0.044), indicating geographic clustering of ANC utilization across Ghana. Getis Ord Gi analysis identified significant coldspots within Northern, Savannah, and North East regions, while Central Region demonstrated significant hotspot clustering. OLS regression showed that maternal education (B = 0.284, p = 0.003) and household wealth (B = 0.191, p = 0.011) positively influenced ANC utilization, whereas distance to health facility negatively influenced utilization (B = -0.156, p = 0.019). The GWR model demonstrated improved explanatory performance (Adjusted R-squared = 0.71), confirming substantial spatial heterogeneity in ANC determinants across Ghana. Conclusion: Adequate ANC utilization in Ghana remains low and geographically unequal. Maternal education, household wealth, and geographic accessibility significantly influence ANC utilization, with pronounced disparities concentrated within Northern Ghana. Spatially targeted maternal health interventions aimed at improving education, reducing socioeconomic inequalities, and enhancing healthcare accessibility are required to improve equitable ANC utilization across Ghana.

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Quantifying longitudinal gait changes in ALS using wearable digital health technology metrics

Burke, K. M.; Calcagno, N.; Mandepudi, S.; Premasiri, A.; Hall, K. C.; Vieira, F. G.; Berry, J. D.; Straczkiewicz, M.

2026-05-28 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354200 medRxiv
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Wearable digital health technologies may complement traditional gait assessments in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) by sensitively capturing real-world mobility changes. In this study, we validated six digital gait metrics derived from ankle-worn sensors in a natural history cohort of 182 individuals with ALS. Investigated metrics correspond to various aspects of gait, including volume, speed, intensity, similarity, variability, and fragmentation. Longitudinal analyses showed significant declines in step count, peak cadence, stride intensity, and stride similarity, with increasing stride duration variability and walking fragmentation over 52 weeks. Many participants exhibited greater relative change in the gait metrics than the self-reported ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-RSE). Stratified analyses revealed that digital metrics captured significant functional decline even in participants with stable walking scores on the ALSFRS-RSE. These findings support the potential utility of these metrics for disease monitoring in ALS clinical care and trials.

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Cancer Medicine Prices, Availability, and Affordability in Kisumu County, Kenya

OKETCH, J. O.; Amolo, S. A.; Onguru, D. O.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354206 medRxiv
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Background: The rising prices of cancer medicines have intensified concerns about treatment access and health system sustainability particularly in low- and middle-income settings. Systematic facility level evidence on what medicines is actually available, at what prices, and at what cost to patients remains scarce, constraining evidence-based policy reform. Methods: Using adapted WHO/Health action international methodology, we conducted a cross-sectional survey of 52 cancer medicines across five therapeutic classes at five health facilities in Kisumu County, Kenya. Availability was measured as the proportion of facilities stocking each medicine. Affordability was assessed using days' wages required for the lowest-paid government worker to purchase standard treatment regimens, calculated per one chemotherapy cycle and maximum possible cycles. Results: Overall medicine availability was 48.1%, with marked inter-facility variation. Affordability analysis revealed severe financial barriers. The breast cancer AC regimen required 19.6-47.4 days' wages per full course; cervical cancer cisplatin, 19.8-49.2 days' wages; colorectal FOLFOX, 80.0-303.6 days' wages; and prostate docetaxel reached 437 days' wages at the highest-cost facility. The Social Health Authority's (SHA) KES 550,000 annual ceiling adequately covered cytotoxic regimens for common cancers at competitive prices but was exceeded by 24-116% for HER2-positive breast cancer requiring trastuzumab, with further strain for recurrent cervical and metastatic prostate cancers. Conclusions: Cancer medicines in Kisumu County are inconsistently available and highly variable in price resulting in inequitable access. We call for urgent retail price markup regulation, expanded pooled procurement through KEMSA, inclusion of priority targeted therapies on the Kenya Essential Medicines List, and SHA benefit packages redesigned around full-course regimen costs.

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Stratified evaluation of blood RNA sequencing in a rare disease cohort

Duzenli, T.; Durmus, S.; Kaya, H. E.; Sevilgen, F. E.; Kayhan, G.; Cakir, T.; Ergun, M. A.

2026-05-28 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26353804 medRxiv
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Background: RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) is increasingly recognized as a complementary tool to DNA-based sequencing for improving the diagnostic yield in Mendelian disorders. However, how the diagnostic performance of RNA-seq varies across molecularly and phenotypically distinct patient subgroups remains poorly defined. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the diagnostic utility of RNA-seq across three stratified groups of patients with non-diagnostic exome sequencing. Methods: We performed RNA-seq on whole blood samples from 90 patients with suspected Mendelian disease in whom clinical exome or whole-exome sequencing had failed to establish a molecular diagnosis. Patients were prospectively stratified into three groups of 30: (i) patients with a candidate variant of uncertain significance (VUS) with predicted splicing impact (Group 1), (ii) patients with a specific clinical pre-diagnosis but no identified pathogenic variant (Group 2), and (iii) patients without a specific pre-diagnosis or candidate variant (Group 3). Aberrant splicing, gene expression outliers, and allele-specific expression were analyzed using multiple bioinformatic tools and compared against a GTEx-derived control cohort. Results: RNA-seq contributed to a molecular diagnosis in 29 of 88 evaluable patients (32.9%). Diagnostic yield differed substantially across groups: 82.8% (24/29) in Group 1, 6.9% (2/29) in Group 2, and 10% (3/30) in Group 3. In Group 1, RNA-seq enabled reclassification of candidate VUS through direct demonstration of aberrant splicing events. In Group 2, RNA-seq identified a somatic mosaic ACTB variant missed by exome sequencing and reclassified a previously deprioritized APPL1 VUS. In Group 3, a deep intronic pseudoexon-activating variant in IGBP1 was identified in two siblings with severe microcephaly, providing evidence for a candidate X-linked microcephaly gene, and a pathogenic RNU4-2 variant was detected in a patient with ReNU syndrome, a non-protein-coding gene not captured by standard exome sequencing. Conclusions: RNA-seq has the highest diagnostic utility when applied to evaluate candidate splice variants identified by prior DNA testing but also provides independent diagnostic value in patients without candidate variants. The systematic comparison across stratified patient groups supports the integration of RNA-seq into clinical genomic workflows and highlights the need for standardized analytic frameworks.

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Generation and Evaluation of Realistic Synthetic Clinical Progress Notes for Prostate Cancer using Large Language Models.

Rey-Blanes, A.; Veredas-Morente, J.; Vivas-Vargas, E.; Gil-Garcia, F.; Moreno-Barea, F. J.; Veredas, F. J.

2026-05-28 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354027 medRxiv
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Background and Objective: Access to real-world electronic health records (EHRs) remains limited by privacy, governance and annotation constraints, hindering the development of clinical natural language processing models. Realistic synthetic progress notes may provide EHR-like corpora that preserve clinically rigorous information on diagnoses, treatments, symptoms, imaging, laboratory findings and therapeutic trajectories without relying directly on sensitive patient records. This study evaluates whether large language models (LLMs) can generate realistic Spanish prostate cancer progress notes from published case reports, preserving clinical content, temporality and hospital-style conventions.

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Development and validation of a multiplexed quantitative PCR assay for clinical detection and surveillance of Oropouche virus

Stachler, E.; McMahon, K.; Gopal, N.; Knoll, H.; Baillargeon, K. R.; Mora, A. C.; Wondrash, H. A.; Sullivan, E. M.; Rush, S.; Gratalo, D.; Ozonoff, A.; Sabeti, P. C.; Springer, M.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354109 medRxiv
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Background Oropouche virus (OROV) is an emerging vector-borne virus with rapidly expanding geographic range, increasing case counts, and growing evidence of severe outcomes including neuroinvasive disease and vertical transmission. Because OROV infection presents with nonspecific febrile illness that overlaps clinically with other viruses including dengue, zika, and chikungunya, accurate molecular diagnostics are essential for patient care and surveillance. Yet existing assays rely on single genomic targets and are vulnerable to detection failure as the virus evolves and reassorts. Methodology/Principal Findings To support diagnostic capacity, we developed and clinically validated a multiplexed qPCR assay targeting three regions of the OROV S segment, incorporating redundancy to preserve sensitivity across viral diversity while enabling robust clinical interpretation. The multiplex also includes an assay targeting RNaseP as an internal sample control to ensure adequate sample processing. We evaluated assay performance using both historical and contemporary OROV strains and validated the assay on contrived serum, plasma, and cerebrospinal fluid samples, assessing linearity, limit of detection (LOD), accuracy, specificity, precision, and sample stability. The assay met or exceeded all predefined acceptance criteria for clinical testing and achieved an LOD as low as 6 copies per reaction for contemporary outbreak strains. We further implemented a logic-based interpretation matrix that reduced false-positive risk while maintaining sensitivity near the analytical LOD. Conclusions/Significance Our assay sensitively and specifically detects OROV RNA in serum, plasma, and cerebrospinal fluid while incorporating safeguards against viral evolution and reassortment. The assay has been approved for use by CLIA at Nexus Medical Labs in 49 U.S. states, expanding access to timely OROV diagnostics in the United States and providing a durable framework for molecular detection of reassorting, rapidly evolving viruses as OROV continues to spread into new regions.

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Establishing a framework for human dose prediction in anti-tuberculosis drug development

Patel, A.; Li, A. T.; Solans, B.; Savic, R.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354063 medRxiv
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Rationale: Efficacious dose selection for anti-tuberculosis drugs has traditionally relied on achieving plasma exposures above the minimum inhibitory concentration, but this approach has not consistently aligned with clinical outcomes. Objectives: We sought to identify early pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic targets most predictive of clinical efficacious dose. Methods: We conducted a back-translational, pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic simulation-based analysis of 15 anti-tuberculosis drugs. Using pharmacokinetic data from multiple biological matrices and a range of pharmacodynamic metrics, we established candidate exposure-response targets for attainment. We systematically evaluated the predictive accuracy of each target pair against established clinical doses to formulate a decision-making framework linking key drug properties to the most predictive targets. Measurements and Main Results: Depending on the target used, projected clinical doses varied widely - both within and across compounds - highlighting the importance of target selection for dose projection and go/no-go decisions. In general, targeting cellular lesion-level drug exposures relative to in vivo preclinical potency provided an effective approach for early dose selection. However, for highly penetrating drugs, targeting site-of-action therapeutic exposures in the caseum was more predictive of clinical dose. Based on these findings, we developed a preliminary dose prediction tool that enables drug developers to estimate clinically relevant dose ranges of compounds using in vitro and early in vivo data. Conclusions: This work establishes and validates a simple, evidence-based framework to standardize early translational decision-making on dose selection of anti-tuberculosis candidates in development.

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A Lasting Legacy: Long-Term Effects of Exercise Training on Cardiometabolic Health in the STRRIDE-Prediabetes Reunion Study

Ross, L. M.; Sudnick, A. M.; Collins-Bennett, K. A.; Bo, N.; Counts, J. D.; Johnson, J. L.; Bennett, W. C.; Saldana, A. A.; Kennedy, K. G.; Aliferis, C. F.; Ma, S.; Huffman, K. M.; Peskoe, S. B.; Kraus, W. E.

2026-05-28 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26352907 medRxiv
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Background: Regular exercise is a highly effective yet underutilized strategy to reduce cardiometabolic disease burden. Whether brief structured exercise programs confer lasting cardiometabolic benefits remains unclear. The STRRIDE-Prediabetes Reunion study examined legacy effects of exercise training on cardiorespiratory fitness, body composition, and cardiometabolic health. Methods: Seventy-three participants (71.3 {+/-} 7.2 years; 64% women; 77% White) completed Reunion assessments ~11 years after completing one of four 6-month interventions differing in exercise amount, intensity, and inclusion of diet-induced weight loss. Linear mixed effects models evaluated longitudinal trajectories; secondary analyses examined baseline-adjusted associations among short-term intervention response and Reunion outcomes. Results: Abdominal adiposity improved across all groups from baseline to Reunion, with waist circumference decreasing ~3 cm over the follow-up period. In contrast, cardiorespiratory fitness and fat-free mass declined significantly. A significant group by time interaction was observed for total fat mass (p=0.01), with continued fat mass reductions observed in women randomized to high amount exercise. After baseline adjustment, greater short-term intervention response was associated with more favorable Reunion outcomes across fitness, body composition, and cardiometabolic domains; fat-free mass showed the strongest association ({beta}=0.84, p<0.0001). Conclusions: In older adults with prediabetes, the STRRIDE-Prediabetes interventions produced several legacy health effects persisting more than a decade later. Legacy effects differed by sex and exercise dose, and short-term intervention response relative to baseline was associated with long-term outcomes, supporting targeted exercise strategies to preserve cardiometabolic health and functional independence with aging.