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Kidney360

Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Kidney360's content profile, based on 22 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Cross-System Meta-Analysis of Machine Learning Predictors Identifies Value-Specific Risk Drivers and Interactions Underlying Acute Kidney Injury

Chan, H. Y.; Li, D.; Yu, A. S. L.; Kellum, J. A.; Fuhrman, D. Y.; Xu, Q.; Chrischilles, E. A.; Cowell, L. G.; Chandaka, S.; Anzalone, A. J.; Kean, J.; McTigue, K. M.; Mosa, A. S. M.; Taylor, B.; Syed, M.; Waitman, L. R.; Hu, Y.; Liu, M.

2026-09-02 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361849 medRxiv
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Background: Current understanding of acute kidney injury (AKI) risk factors remains largely descriptive, offering limited precision into how specific biomarker values or physiologic thresholds influence susceptibility. We aimed to synthesize knowledge from machine learning models trained across multiple health systems to identify generalizable, value-specific risk drivers and biomarker interactions contributing to AKI risk. Methods: We analyzed electronic health records (EHRs) from 785,497 adult inpatients between 2010 and 2019 across nine U.S. academic medical centers within PCORnet. Interpretable gradient boosting machine models were independently developed at each health system to quantify predictor-outcome associations. Meta-regression was applied to integrate these site-level results, characterize nonlinear value-risk relationships, and identify bivariate interactions between predictors. Results: Meta-analysis revealed consistent, value-specific risk drivers across health systems. An increase in glucose from 100 mg/dL to 140 mg/dL was associated with a 1.46-fold higher risk of AKI. Chloride and anion gap also demonstrated elevated AKI risk with risk increases overlapping portions of their reference ranges, with anion gap showing a 1.14-fold increase across 4-12 mmol/L and chloride a 1.28-fold increase across 96-100 mEq/L. Electrolytes including potassium, calcium, and sodium showed quadratic associations with AKI risk. Bivariate meta-regression identified interactions between key predictors, highlighting pathways that jointly modulate AKI risk. Conclusion: This cross-system meta-analysis synthesizes machine learning-derived evidence into clinically interpretable knowledge, revealing how specific biomarker ranges and interactions modulate AKI risk. By moving beyond surface-level associations to quantitative, generalizable physiologic thresholds, these findings provide actionable insights to enhance risk stratification and personalized prevention in hospital care.

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Urinary collagen type I degradation products as common fibrosis biomarkers in chronic diseases

Mina, I. K.; Hussain, Y.; Siwy, J.; Catanese, L.; Rupprecht, H.; Beige, J.; Staessen, J. A.; Metzger, J.; Persson, F.; Rossing, P.; Delles, C.; Schanstra, J. P.; Bannaga, A.; Vlahou, A.; Mischak, H.; Arasaradnam, R. P.; Latosinska, A.

2026-08-31 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361420 medRxiv
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Background: Fibrosis, characterised by excessive accumulation of collagen type I (COL1), is a common feature of chronic diseases, including liver diseases (LDs), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and heart failure (HF). COL1 degradation products can be detected in urine by proteomics/ peptidomics analyses and may serve as non-invasive biomarkers of fibrosis. We aimed to identify a common molecular signature of fibrosis across these diseases that may ultimately guide interventions to slow disease progression and prevent organ damage. Methods: Using capillary electrophoresis coupled to mass spectrometry (CE-MS), naturally occurring COL1 degradation products (peptides) in the urine of patients with fibrotic disease, LDs (n=127), CKD (n=263) or HF (n=187), were investigated and compared with the same number of matched controls. Disease-associated COL1 peptides were identified separately for each condition, and peptides showing consistent associations across the three diseases were selected to define a common fibrosis signature. A support vector machine model based on the selected peptides was developed and validated in independent cohorts of patients with LDs (n=110), CKD (n=93), HF (n=32) and controls (n=643). Results: We identified a common fibrotic signature consisting of 50 COL1 degradation products, mainly downregulated in fibrosis. A model based on these peptides achieved a strong performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.935 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.917-0.953, p<0.0001) in an external validation cohort comprising pooled disease groups (LDs, CKD, and HF) and controls. Performance was maintained in LDs, CKD and HF, with AUCs of 0.917 (95% CI 0.890-0.944, p<0.0001), 0.951 (95% CI 0.931-0.971, p<0.0001) and 0.950 (95% CI 0.903-0.997, p<0.0001), respectively. The model scores were significantly associated with fibrosis stage in LDs (p=0.0097) and with interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in CKD (p=0.045). Conclusion: A model of urinary COL1 peptides captures a shared collagen degradation signature across organs and diseases, enabling the non-invasive assessment of fibrosis irrespective of its origin. As these peptides exclusively reflect collagen degradation, the findings suggest impaired collagen degradation as a driver in fibrosis. Future clinical studies are warranted to evaluate the utility of this model for early fibrosis detection and earlier implementation of anti-fibrotic interventions.

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Robustness Gap of Large Language Models in Nephrology

Soejima, A.; Kitano, F.; Ichikawa, D.; Shibagaki, Y.; Noda, R.

2026-08-18 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360565 medRxiv
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Background: Whether benchmark performance reflects robust clinical reasoning rather than surface-level pattern recognition remains uncertain. We evaluated the robustness of state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs) on nephrology board renewal questions using "None of the other answers" (NOTA) substitution. Methods: From 210 Japanese Society of Nephrology board renewal questions (2014-2023), two nephrologists independently reviewed all items. Questions in which NOTA became the sole correct answer after replacement were included, yielding 145 validated questions. GPT-5, GPT-4o, Gemini 2.5 Pro, and Gemini 2.0 Flash were evaluated via application programming interfaces under default settings. The primary endpoint was accuracy, and paired differences were assessed using the exact two-sided McNemar test. Results: Accuracy was significantly lower after NOTA substitution for all models: GPT-4o, 66.21% to 19.31% (drop, 46.90 percentage points [pp]); GPT-5, 87.59% to 73.10% (14.48 pp); Gemini 2.0 Flash, 58.62% to 31.03% (27.59 pp); and Gemini 2.5 Pro, 86.90% to 55.86% (31.03 pp); all P < .001. GPT-5 showed the smallest decline and the highest accuracy in both versions. Conclusions: All evaluated LLMs showed a significant robustness gap after NOTA replacement. Newer models may be more robust, but multiple-choice accuracy remains an incomplete measure of clinical reasoning robustness.

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Heterozygous truncating variants in BICC1 are a novel cause of autosomal-dominant tubulointerstitial kidney disease

Eylath, N. S.; Kidd, K. O.; Alyea-Herman, P.; Meyersiek, J.; Colombo, D. A.; Rennke, H. G.; Guleserian, A. J.; Adams, V. W.; Bianchi, G.; Maillard, A.; Faguer, S.; Izzi, C.; Bergmann, C.; Lecker, S. H.; Astley, M.; Taylor, A.; Martin, L. M.; Means, S.; Sanchez, A.; Weller, N.; Hodanova, K.; Kmochova, T.; Stranecky, V.; Hartmannova, H.; Svojsova, K.; Sikora, J.; Pavlovicova, L.; Yang, H.; Harris, P. C.; Kmoch, S.; Bleyer, A. J.; Zivna, M.; Czarnecki, P. G.

2026-08-23 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360556 medRxiv
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Introduction: Autosomal-dominant tubulointerstitial kidney disease (ADTKD) is characterized by chronic kidney disease (CKD) with an average age of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) of approximately 45 years, bland urinary sediment, the absence of proteinuria and autosomal dominant inheritance. While several causative genes have been found, there remain families in whom no molecular diagnosis has been identified (ADTKD-NMD). Methods: We identified BICC1 truncating variants in several families with ADTKD-NMD in the Wake Forest Rare Inherited Kidney Disease Registry and then screened families in our database and other referred families for BICC1 truncating variants. We performed segregation analysis and characterized affected individuals for clinical and histopathologic phenotypes. We analyzed oligomer formation of BICC1 mutants with wild-type BICC1-, ANKS3- and ANKS6 proteins through co-immunoprecipitation and Western blotting, and we tested for posttranscriptional regulation of the BICC1 target mRNA, Dand5, in a Luciferase reporter assay. Results: We found 6 heterozygous truncating mutations in BICC1 segregating with the ADTKD phenotype in 8 independent pedigrees worldwide. Affected individuals developed kidney failure in the 6th to 7th decade of life that was characterized pathologically by tubular atrophy and interstitial fibrosis. The truncated gene products localized to cytoplasmic bodies and demonstrated various degrees of self-association or binding to the known interaction partners, ANKS3 and ANKS6. While the wild-type BICC1 gene product acts as a posttranscriptional repressor of target mRNAs, all truncation variants exhibited increased expression of substrate mRNA. Conclusions: Truncating variants in BICC1 are a novel cause of ADTKD, segregating with the disease phenotype and upregulating BICC1 target gene expression through a dominant-negative- or a gain-of-function mode of action.

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The Urine Ammonium-pH Index is a Measure of Kidney Tubular Function

Andersen, J. F.; Soerensen, M. V.; Chrysopoulou, M.; Gullaksen, S.; Nielsen, S. F.; Hummelgaard, S.; Ayasse, N.; Jensen, I. S.; Salomo, L.; Simonsen, N. P.; Atay, J. C.; Poulsen, P. L.; Noerregaard, R.; Vernstroem, L.; Weyer, K.; Demir, F.; Svendsen, S. L.; Weinstein, A. M.; Nielsen, S.; Nielsen, M. B.; Buus, N. H.; Birn, H.; Weiner, D. I.; Rinschen, M.; Leipziger, J.; Berg, P.

2026-08-10 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.06.26359870 medRxiv
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Dysfunction of the tubulointerstitial compartment is a key driver of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. However, tubular function remains largely unaddressed by routine clinical assessment. Here, we show that the urine ammonium-pH index (uAPI), a composite of urinary ammonium and pH, reflects kidney tubular function and predicts kidney function decline. Using acid/base, dietary, and potassium perturbations, segmental disruption of tubular ammonium handling, mathematical modelling, and data from patients with renal tubular acidosis, we identified defective ammoniagenesis as the main uAPI determinant. The uAPI was suppressed across four kidney disease models and dissociated from GFR. Kidney proteomics and single-nucleus RNA sequencing indicated downregulation of ammoniagenesis in proteinuric and diabetic kidney disease. In type 2 diabetes patients with preserved GFR, a reduced uAPI was associated with faster kidney function decline. In three CKD cohorts, low uAPI predicted CKD progression and significantly improved risk prediction. Together, this positions the uAPI as a scalable, non-invasive measure of kidney tubular function.

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Efficacy and Safety of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors in the Very Elderly with Chronic Kidney Disease: a Retrospective Cohort Study Using Real-World Data

Willerding, J. M.; Melk, A.; Schmidt-Ott, K.; Greite, R.; Gwinner, W.; Doricic, J.; Schmidt, B. M. W.

2026-08-12 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.11.26360158 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT Importance: The prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is increasing, with aging being a major contributor. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are well established therapies for CKD; however, adults aged 80 years or older have been underrepresented in previous large-scale trials. Consequently, evidence regarding effects of SGLT2i therapy in this cohort remains limited. Objective: To evaluate the association of SGLT2i initiation with mortality, kidney outcomes and cardiovascular outcomes among patients over 80 years of age and CKD. Design, Setting, Participants: This retrospective cohort study used data from TriNetX Research Network, a multicenter electronic health record database. To ensure comparable standard of care and SGLT2i eligibility, the period for the occurrence of the index event was restricted to January 1, 2021, until January 1, 2025. Propensity score matching was performed to balance comorbidities, laboratory parameters, concomitant medications, and frailty-associated factors between groups. Exposures: Initiation of SGLT2i therapy vs. non-use Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcome analysis focused on all-cause mortality, major adverse kidney events (MAKE) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals; following propensity score matching, results were considered as adjusted hazard ratios (aHR). Results: After propensity score matching, 5,038 patients were included in each group. During two years of follow-up, SGLT2i initiation was associated with lower all-cause mortality (aHR 0.818; 95% CI 0.746 - 0.896, p<0.0001) and fewer MAKE events (aHR 0.779; 95% CI 0.0.715 - 0.850, p<0.0001). No significant difference in MACE was observed (aHR 1.007; 95%CI 0.938 - 1.082, p=0.84). Results were generally consistent across subgroups. Risk of acute kidney injury was higher in the SGLT2i group, while incident dialysis and end-stage renal disease were significantly reduced. Acute myocardial infarction and acute heart failure were increased in the SGLT2i group. Conclusion and Relevance: Regarding survival and kidney endpoints, even the oldest CKD patients seem to benefit from SGLT2i treatment, which was associated with reduced mortality as well as improved long-term renal outcomes. MACE showed no significant differences, while specific cardiac events were increased, reflecting possible safety concerns requiring further investigation in this specific age group.

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The Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet score and its association with the Risk of Kidney Function Decline and Mortality among Veterans in the Million Veteran Program

Bowers, J. E.; Yu, Z.; Triozzi, J. L.; Terker, A. S.; Ikizler, T. A.; Wilson, O.; Cho, K.; Gaziano, J. M.; Giri, A.; Perez, L.; Tao, R.; Roumie, C. L.; Ivey, K. L.; Hung, A. M.

2026-08-12 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.11.26360178 medRxiv
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Background: The dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) diet is often recommended to patients with chronic kidney disease, although evidence regarding its efficacy in this population is limited. Our study tested the hypothesis that increased adherence to the dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) diet score would be associated with longer time to kidney function decline among Veterans. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 251,921 Veterans enrolled in the Million Veteran Program (MVP). The DASH diet score was calculated from the food frequency questionnaire and categorized into tertiles. The primary outcome was a composite of: Kidney event or death, where a kidney event was defined as a sustained 40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Cox regression models compared the hazard for both outcomes by DASH score tertiles. We examined modification by ancestry, sex and other clinical characteristics Results: The median age was 67 years and 90% of Veterans were men. There were 59,269 (23.5%) who experienced the primary composite outcome, during the maximum follow-up of 10 years (median 6.1 years). Crude incidence rates for the kidney event and death outcome were 43.3, 40.4, and 36.8 per 1000 person-years of DASH score by tertiles. DASH score was associated with a lower hazard ratio (HR) for the primary composite outcome; third vs first tertile 0.81 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.80 - 0.83) and second vs first tertile HR 0.90 [95% CI 0.88 - 0.92]. In subgroup analysis for individuals of African ancestry, Admixed American, and Females, only the third tertile of the DASH score was associated with a statistically significant reduction in composite outcome. Conclusion: Beneficial associations of the DASH diet were observed across subgroups. Future research is needed to understand gene and environmental factors that influence the observed subgroup differences

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Serial Immunohistochemistry for High-Dimensional Single-Cell Spatial Analysis of Human Kidney Biopsies

Yang, X.; Marlin, M. C.; Celia, A. I.; Lee, C.-Y.; Cammarata-Mouchtouris, A.; Stephens, T.; Haddad, M.; Bradshaw, L.; Saksena, D.; Buyon, J.; Izmirly, P. M.; Putterman, C.; Kamen, D.; Petri, M.; Accelerating Medicines Partnership: RA/SLE Network, ; James, J. A.; Guthridge, J. M.; Fava, A.; Rosenberg, A. Z.

2026-08-12 pathology 10.64898/2026.08.06.743188 medRxiv
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BackgroundTraditional immunohistochemistry (IHC) with chromogen detection has limited multiplex capacity, detecting at most 4 protein markers per tissue section simultaneously, thereby restricting comprehensive spatial analysis of valuable human biopsies. We developed and validated a robust serial IHC (sIHC) staining method to detect multiple antigens on a single kidney biopsy slide, maximizing data yield for diagnosing and studying complex kidney diseases. MethodsFormalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded kidney biopsy sections were subjected to repeated IHC/imaging cycles with antibody removal using an optimized sodium dodecyl sulfate-glycerol buffer stripping protocol. Images were then co-registered, and analysis was performed using a variety of methodologies, including color deconvolution, cell segmentation, and spatial clustering. ResultsThis optimized sIHC method successfully detected up to 20 antigens on a single slide. Combining image analysis and artificial intelligence software, for example with HALO (Indica Labs), the assay assembles high-dimensional images and enables quantitative histology and single-cell spatial analysis. Using this advanced method, we were able to identify rare cell populations, such as double-negative T cells, that are challenging to detect conventionally. ConclusionWe have developed a validated, high-capacity sIHC protocol that uses standard IHC procedures with commercially available, clinically validated off-the-shelf antibodies. This method is a valuable, cost-effective tool for obtaining extensive, high-dimensional single-cell-resolved spatial data from limited pathology samples, such as a human kidney biopsy.

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Practices and Perceptions Regarding Hyperkalemia in Clinical Practice: A Survey Study in Central America and the Dominican Republic

Ortiz, D. W.; Gonzalez, J.; Sanchez Polo, J. V.; Avellan, M.; Gonzalez, P.

2026-08-06 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.04.26359744 medRxiv
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Background: Hyperkalemia is a clinically relevant disorder across the cardiorenal continuum. In Central America and the Dominican Republic, there are no published systematic descriptions of real-world clinical practices or the degree of alignment of these practices with the most recent hyperkalemia management guidelines. Objective: To characterize physicians perceptions and therapeutic behaviors regarding hyperkalemia, including diagnostic thresholds, criteria for intervention and referral, management strategies, and access to potassium monitoring. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted using an online survey administered between April and June 2025 to physicians from multiple specialties across seven countries. Absolute and relative frequencies were calculated overall and stratified by specialty and country. Results: A total of 362 responses were collected. Participants were primarily from Costa Rica (32.3%), Honduras (27.9%), and Guatemala (21.0%). 37.8% of respondents reported hyperkalemia in 10% to 30% of their patients, with the most reported diagnostic threshold being serum potassium 5.5 mEq/L. Outpatient intervention was most frequently initiated at 5.5 mEq/L (55.2%), while referral to the emergency department was reported at a potassium level of 6.0 mEq/L (35.6%). Regarding management strategies, 67.0% favored an electrocardiogram prior to deciding on intervention; 93.0% reported reduction or discontinuation of drug causing hiperkalemia; and 74.0% prescribed therapies increasing potassium excretion. Access to potassium monitoring differed substantially by setting reported as 55.5% in the public versus 90.3% in the private sector. Among cardiologists, frequently used strategies for hyperkalemia in heart failure were reduction or discontinuation of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists and increased use of loop diuretics. Nephrologists favored strict dietary modifications, loop diuretics, and the use of cation-exchange resins. Conclusions: Substantial heterogeneity was observed in hyperkalemia definitions, action thresholds, and referral criteria, along with frequent modification of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone inhibitors, and reduced access to potassium monitoring in the public sector.

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Transcriptomics of independent CRISPR-edited cell lines reveal ciliary-specific ARL13B dependent changes

Morrison, O.; Caspary, T.

2026-08-18 genetics 10.64898/2026.08.13.744725 medRxiv
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Primary cilia coordinate signaling pathways that regulate tissue homeostasis and development, and defects in cilia contribute to numerous ciliopathies. However, the transcriptional consequences of disrupting ciliary protein localization remain poorly defined. ARL13B is a cilia-enriched regulatory GTPase required for ciliary trafficking and signaling. The ARL13BV358A variant is undetectable in cilia yet retains known biochemical functions, providing a unique model to investigate the functions of ciliary ARL13B independently of ciliogenesis. To define transcriptional programs associated with loss of ciliary ARL13B, we generated two independent Arl13bV358A/V358A kidney epithelial cell lines and matched rescue lines. The ARL13BV358A mutation did not affect ciliation frequency or cilia length but altered ciliary protein composition, including loss of ARL3 and INPP5E localization and increased accumulation of GPR161 and TULP3. RNA sequencing revealed expression changes in genes associated with ciliary biology, mechanotransduction, epithelial organization, and kidney-related phenotypes. Despite similar ciliary phenotypes, the independently-derived, mutant clones displayed substantial transcriptomic heterogeneity, highlighting a potential source of variation in CRISPR-based transcriptional studies. By integrating data from the independent mutant and rescue clones, we identified a high-confidence set of 131 genes whose expression reproducibly tracked with loss and restoration of ciliary ARL13B. Together, these findings demonstrate that ciliary ARL13B is required to maintain normal ciliary composition and gene expression programs and underscores the value of multi-clone, rescue-based experimental designs for robust transcriptomic analyses. Summary for ReviewersThis study examined how excluding the protein ARL13B from primary cilia affects kidney epithelial cells. The researchers created two independent cell lines carrying a modified form of ARL13B,along with matched rescue cell lines. The findings show that ciliary ARL13B helps maintain normal ciliary composition. By comparing the cell lines, the researchers identified a high-confidence set of genes associated with loss of ciliary ARL13B. By highlighting the importance of using independent gene-edited clones and rescue-based controls, these results advance understanding of how cilia regulate kidney cell function and provide guidance for designing robust transcriptomic analyses.

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IgA1 hinge-region O-glycoform signatures associated with disease phase and kidney involvement in pediatric IgA vasculitis: a cross-sectional mass-spectrometry study

Vialaret, J.; Filleron, A.; Cezar, R.; Pastore, M.; Fila, M.; Reynes, C.; Kindermans, J.; Schvartz, A.; Chevallier, T.; Corbeau, P.; Hirtz, C.; Tran, T.-A.

2026-08-24 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.21.26361008 medRxiv
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Background IgA vasculitis (IgAV) is the most common systemic vasculitis in children, and its prognosis is largely determined by renal involvement (IgAV nephritis). No routine blood test identifies IgAV or stratifies the risk of nephritis, although aberrant O-glycosylation of the IgA1 hinge region is central to its pathogenesis. We developed a mass-spectrometry assay to profile IgA1 hinge O-glycoforms and define signatures of disease activity and renal involvement. Methods IgA was affinity-purified from 5 uL of plasma from 91 children (27 with acute IgAV, 26 in remission, and 38 age-matched healthy controls; 24 with and 29 without nephritis), trypsin-digested, and hinge-region O-glycopeptides were quantified by LC-MS. Sixty-nine glycoforms were normalized to a total-IgA1 tryptic peptide. Duplicate measurements showed good analytical repeatability, with a median coefficient of variation of 6%. Groups were compared using Mann-Whitney and Kruskal-Wallis tests (Benjamini-Hochberg FDR). Discrimination was assessed by ROC analysis and cross-validated logistic regression panels. Results Acute IgAV showed broad remodeling of the hinge glycoform profile (35 glycoforms differed with excellent discrimination (AUC 0.93-0.95) for the best ones), with an increase in low-sialylated, agalactosylated species and a decrease in complex sialylated species. The profile was normalized in remission (no glycoform differed from the controls). Two distinct renal patterns emerged: disease-associated glycoforms already altered without nephritis and renal-specific glycoforms altered only in nephritis (H2N2S1, H3N3S5, H3N4S4, and H4N4S3). A four-marker panel discriminated nephritis among IgAV children with a cross-validated AUC of 0.86 (IC95 % 0.75-0.94). Conclusions A single mass-spectrometry assay, from a small blood volume, captures an IgAV-associated IgA1 hinge O-glycoform signature that normalizes in remission, together with a distinct renal involvement associated signature. These findings identify candidate IgA1 O-glycoform signatures associated with IgAV activity and documented renal involvement. Prospective longitudinal studies are required to determine whether the renal-associated panel can predict subsequent nephritis.

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Detecting early loss of kidney function in a Sri Lankan cohort study of working age adults

Chulasiri, P.; Rutter, C. E.; Gunawardena, N.; Wickramasinghe, S.; Niyas, R.; Pearce, N.; Caplin, B.; Ruwanpathirana, T.

2026-08-19 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.18.26360601 medRxiv
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Background: Chronic kidney disease of undetermined cause (CKDu) is a form of kidney disease not associated with traditional risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes or heavy proteinuria. 11.2% of men and 3.7% of women demonstrated low eGFR (a surrogate for CKDu) in the absence of these risk factors in a 2017 cross-sectional population-representative survey of adults in North Central Province, Sri Lanka. We therefore established a longitudinal cohort to track changes in kidney function over time and to identify risk factors for developing poor kidney health. Methods: This was a 6-year study of adults aged 20-60 years conducted in Puhudivula, Anuradhapura district. Exclusions included evidence of diabetes, hypertension or pre-existing CKD. We fitted hidden Markov models (HMMs) to estimate underlying state of kidney health and examine risk factors associated with departure from a healthy state. Results: We identified four kidney health trajectories in the population (n=425): always healthy (74%); unhealthy throughout (5%); transition from health to unhealthy (10%); and reversion from unhealthy to healthy (11%). Using smokeless tobacco, including betel quid, was associated with being in an unhealthy category (2.29 [1.17, 4.49]). Lagged exposure to smoking (2.26 [1.25, 4.10]), smokeless tobacco (1.98 [1.13, 3.48]) and weedkiller (1.72 [1.15, 2.59]) were associated with the point of transition to an unhealthy state. Conclusions: Almost a quarter of working age adults in this population demonstrated eGFR changes consistent with poor kidney health. Smokeless tobacco use was associated with both pre-existing evidence of poor kidney health and transitioning to the unhealthy category.

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Change of prognostic nutritional index after three months of initial hemodialysis is a predictor of long-term outcomes for patients with uremia

Fu, S.; Zhang, H.; Xie, H.; Wang, F.; Bai, L.; Zhao, F.; Yang, L.; Zhang, Q.; Lv, M.; Xue, Y.; Liu, X.; Gao, S.; Zhang, X.; xu, p.; Jia, J.

2026-08-07 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.05.26359770 medRxiv
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Nutritional status and immune function have a significant impact on the prognosis of patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD). Previous studies have shown that the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) at the initiation of dialysis can be used to assess the prognosis of MHD. However, as the physical status of patients are usually unstable in the early stage of dialysis, we hypothesized that the nutritional status and immune function after a certain period of stable dialysis might be more closely related to the prognosis. This study conducted a retrospective analysis of patients who started MHD between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2021. A total of 200 patients were included, with 66 patients succumbing during follow-up. Both initial PNI and initial GNRI exhibited a negative correlation with all-cause mortality (p=0.019 and p=0.046, respectively). After three months of MHD, both PNI and GNRI increased in most patients; however, only the PNI measured after three months was significantly associated with prognosis and higher PNI was associated with a better prognosis (p<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that only PNI after three months of MHD was linked to prognosis (p=0.004). Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated patients experiencing a decrease in PNI following three months of MHD had poorer prognoses compared to those whose PNI increased (p=0.004). Furthermore, the predictive value of PNI after three months of MHD was evident in both younger (<60 years old; p=0.024) and older (>60 years old; p=0.022) patient groups. Both the PNI and GNRI showed a downward trend before death, but only PNI had a significant decline (p=0.03, compared with PNI after three months of MHD). In conclusion, for patients undergoing MHD, the correlation between PNI and prognosis is closer than that of GNRI, and the PNI after three months of MHD is a statistically significant but moderate predictor of long-term outcomes.

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Renal Outcomes in Survivors of Neonatal and Pediatric Renal Vein Thrombosis

Oseguera, M. A.; Bercz, L. S.; Stanek, J. R.; Khalid, M.; Kerlin, B. A.

2026-08-27 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361338 medRxiv
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Introduction: Pediatric renal vein thrombosis is a rare but well-recognized form of venous thromboembolism. While long-term renal outcomes of neonatal cases are well-described, they are relatively unknown in cases affecting older children. Moreover, the ability of anticoagulation treatment to prevent these outcomes remains unknown. The objective of this study was to assess adverse long-term renal outcomes and determine if anticoagulation reduced their likelihood. Methods: Administrative data analysis utilizing the Pediatric Health Information System database. Renal vein thrombosis occurring in patients under 18 years were assessed. Cases involving tumor thrombus were excluded to focus the analysis only on thrombotic disease. Demographics, co-morbid conditions, anticoagulant therapies, and renal outcomes were assessed over a 9-year period. In sub-analyses, neonatal ([&le;]28 days) and non-neonatal renal vein thromboses were assessed to determine how their characteristics may differ. Results: 383 eligible renal vein thrombosis cases with 796 patient-years of follow-up were identified for analysis. 48.8% of the cases occurred in neonates. 25.3% of the cases occurred in children with pre-existing complex chronic conditions and 9.1% were associated with the onset of nephrotic syndrome. Mortality followed 15.1% of the cases, but causality cannot be assigned from administrative data. Most (80.2%) of the cases were treated with anticoagulation. Acute kidney injury occurred in 24% of cases, chronic kidney disease developed in 22.2%, hypertension in 26.9%, and proteinuria in 3.1%. Anticoagulation did not have a discernable effect on the likelihood of these long-term renal outcomes. Conclusion: Acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease, and hypertension are prevalent in survivors of childhood renal vein thrombosis. Anticoagulation does not appear to reduce the incidence of long-term renal outcomes, but the low percentage of non-anticoagulated patients suggests treatment bias. Long-term kidney health surveillance is warranted in pediatric renal vein thrombosis survivors.

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Genetic and environmental risk factors for intracranial aneurysm and subarachnoid haemorrhage among patients with Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

Urpa, L.; Osman, S.; Visser, T.; Sadeghi-Alavijeh, O.; shanmugam, a.; fung, w.; Elhassan, E. A. E.; Teltsh, O.; Asikainen, A.; Gilbert, E. H.; Cavalleri, G.; Sebastian, K.; Lavin, S.; Rodosthenous, R.; Estrada, K.; Raj, R.; Palotie, A.; Niiranen, T.; Martola, J.; Korja, M.; Javadpour, M.; Nicholson, P.; Gale, D. P.; Simola, U.; Finne, P.; Conlon, P. J.; Gordin, D.

2026-08-10 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.07.26359892 medRxiv
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Intracranial aneurysms (IA) and their rupture (subarachnoid haemorrhage, SAH) are a rare but serious complication of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Both genetic and environmental risk factors contribute to the pathogenesis of IA and SAH, but specific information on risk factors in the ADPKD population are limited and international clinical guidelines mainly recommend screening for ADPKD patients with a family history of IA or SAH. We assessed the associations of monogenic variants, polygenic risk, and clinical factors with the diagnosis of IA or SAH in 2,200 adult ADPKD patients from three cohorts: the Irish Kidney Gene Project (IKGP, n=475), FinnGen (n=826), and Genomics England (GEL, n=899). Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for IA, hypertension, and smoking intensity were derived from previously published GWAS summary statistics and additionally conditioned using mtCOJO to account for their genetic correlation. IA or SAH was diagnosed in 158 of 2,200 patients (7.2%; mean age at diagnosis 51.1 years). Female sex (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.50-3.25, p=6.52x10^-5) and smoking (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.43-2.96, p=9.49x10^-5) were associated with IA or SAH in univariate Cox proportional hazards models, while diabetes was protective (HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.22-0.70, p=1.37x10^-3). Monogenic variant status was not found to associate with increased risk of IA or SAH. Polygenic score for IA was associated with increased risk of IA or SAH, with a 1 standard deviation increase in PRS associated with a pooled hazard ratio (HR) of 1.30 (95% CI 1.09-1.57, p=4.66x10^-3), and the association of the conditioned IA PRS remained in multivariate Cox proportional hazards models accounting for clinical factors and monogenic variants (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.03-1.55, p=0.02). The addition of polygenic scores added significant prognostic information for IA or SAH beyond clinical risk factors in FinnGen (p=3.61x10^-3) and GEL (p=8.84x10^-3) but not in IKGP, as assessed by the likelihood ratio test. Overall, our study shows that the strongest risk factors for IA or SAH in ADPKD patients are smoking history, female sex, and polygenic risk for IA. Hypertension was not associated with IA (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.24-1.00, p=0.051), likely due to the high prevalence of hypertension in this population across cohorts (69.6-85.3%). While family history may be considered a proxy of genetic risk, this study suggests that family history itself may be of limited utility in discriminating individuals with ADPKD at risk of IA or SAH. Keywords: Intracranial Aneurysms, subarachnoid haemorrhage, Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease, Polygenic Risk Scores, Hypertension, Family History

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Social Determinants of Health and GLP-1 RA Use Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Stage 2 CKM: Insights from NHANES 2005?2020

Jian, Q.; Segal, M. S.; Shao, H.; Singh-Ospina, N.; Jiao, T.

2026-08-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.18.26360763 medRxiv
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Background Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome encompasses interconnected conditions such as type 2 diabetes (T2D), hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, metabolic syndrome (MetS), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). As CKM progresses, cardiorenal risks increase. Although Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) have demonstrated cardiorenal and cardiometabolic benefits, offering an opportunity to slow CKM progression, their use may vary across social determinants of health (SDoH) and stage 2 CKM subgroups. Objective To evaluate the influence of SDoH on access to GLP-1 RA among patients with T2D and other stage 2 CKM conditions. Methods This cross-sectional study used data from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), 2005?2020. Adults aged [&ge;]30 years with T2D and/or other stage 2 CKM conditions were included. Weighted descriptive analysis, multivariable logistic regression and LASSO were applied to assess associations between SDoH and GLP-1 RA use. Results Among 4,520 participants (representing approximately 84.0 million U.S. adults), weighted mean age was 61.4 years, 48.9% were female, and 61.5% were non-Hispanic White. Among participants with T2D, GLP-1 RA use was higher among individuals with higher education (3.39% vs 1.43%), private insurance (3.00% vs 0.58%), and higher income (4.70% vs 1.87%), while no use was observed among those without routine places for care. In adjusted analyses, individuals with lower income, less than high school education, lack of insurance, and being unmarried had 64%, 51%, 81%, and 40% lower likelihood of GLP-1 RA use, respectively. LASSO identified income, education, insurance, and access to care as predictors. Lower income, lower educational attainment, and lack of insurance were associated with 48%, 34%, and 79% lower likelihood of GLP-1 RA use, respectively, adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Conclusion SDoH-driven disparities limit GLP-1 RA access. Expanding GLP-1 RA access by addressing socioeconomic barriers is critical to slowing CKM progression, reducing cardiovascular risk, and mitigating health disparities.

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Automated Detection of Extrahepatic Bile Duct Stones on Intraoperative Cholangiography Using Deep Learning

He, Y.; Bloom, M.; Mirshojae, S.; Noel, L.; Qureshi, T.; Xie, Y.; Phillips, E.; Li, D.; Huang, X.

2026-08-24 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360965 medRxiv
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Objective: To evaluate the case-level performance of deep-learning segmentation models for detecting extrahepatic bile duct stones on representative intraoperative cholangiography images (IOC) and to characterize the completeness of individual-stone localization. Background: Retained bile duct stones can cause biliary obstruction, cholangitis, and pancreatitis. However false-positive interpretation of filling defects may prompt additional downstream procedures. Computer vision has been applied to biliary anatomy recognition and IOC adequacy assessment, but patient-level stone detection and individual-stone localization remain insufficiently studyed. Methods: Representative IOC images were annotated for extrahepatic biliary anatomy and stones, with case-level stone status established using a composite clinical reference standard. Two deep-learning models were developed to delineate the common bile duct and common hepatic duct and to detect and localize stones. Case-level diagnostic performance was evaluated against the composite clinical reference standard, and individual-stone localization was evaluated against expert-reviewed annotations. Results: On the held-out 125 patients test set, MiT-B2-UNet identified 23 of 25 stone-positive cases and 95 of 100 stone-negative cases, corresponding to a sensitivity of 0.920, specificity of 0.950, and AUC of 0.986. nnU-Net identified 19 of 25 stone-positive cases and 98 of 100 stone-negative cases, corresponding to a sensitivity of 0.760, specificity of 0.980, and AUC of 0.959. At the individual-stone level, MiT-B2-UNet and nnU-Net localized 31 of 59 and 25 of 59 annotated stones, respectively; all annotated stones were localized in 13 of 25 and 12 of 25 stone-positive cases. Conclusions: Deep-learning models can identify stone-positive IOC cases and localize individual stones. This technology may help inte

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Validation of individualized flow simulations for determining the pressure gradient in patients with renal artery stenosis

Bouwmeester, T. A.; Collard, D.; Zijlstra, I. A. J.; van Hulst, E.; Lamers, A. G. B. H.; Vogt, L.; van den Born, B.-J. H.; van de Velde, L.

2026-08-31 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361537 medRxiv
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Objectives To validate two computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models derived from computed tomography angiography (CTA) for estimating trans-stenotic pressure gradients, using invasive intra-arterial pressure measurements as the reference standard in patients with renal artery stenosis (RAS). Background We assessed whether non-invasive assessment of the pressure gradient using CFD could be a reliable alternative to intra-arterial measurements for identifying hemodynamically significant RAS. Methods We performed intra-arterial measurements at rest and during dopamine-induced hyperemia to assess the trans-stenotic pressure gradient in 28 patients with RAS. A pre-intervention CTA scan was used to simulate the pressure gradient with a CFD model using a strategy based on Murray's law (CFD-Mu) and cortical volume (CFD-C). The agreement between the simulated and measured pressure gradients was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC), Bland-Altman analysis and diagnostic agreement on the presence of a hemodynamically significant stenosis. Results In 20 patients, successful measurements and simulations were obtained. The ICC between measured pressure gradient and the CFD pressure gradient was 0.78 and 0.94 during baseline and 0.86 and 0.72 during hyperemia, for CFD-Mu and CFD-C, respectively. The sensitivity of CFD-Mu and CFD-C was 70% for both models at rest and 100% compared to the hyperemic measurements, whereas the specificity was 90% and 70% at rest and 79% and 72% during hyperemia, respectively. Conclusions The results support the use of individualized CFD simulations for hemodynamic assessment of RAS using CTA as input. The CFD models demonstrated high accuracy for the identification of a hemodynamically significant stenosis.

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Individual-Level Counterfactual Analysis of SGLT2 Inhibitors Versus DPP4 Inhibitors in Diabetic Kidney Disease Using Causal Machine Learning

Yano, Y.; Nagasu, H.; Hiroshi, K.; Ohashi, M.; Isaka, Y.; Okada, H.; Nangaku, M.; Kashihara, N.

2026-09-03 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361750 medRxiv
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Background: Traditional real-world studies comparing SGLT2 and DPP4 inhibitors on renal outcomes rely on propensity score matching, which causes high-dimensional data loss. We used causal machine learning (Causal ML) to unmask heterogeneous treatment effects in diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Methods: Using data from 4,588 patients within the Japanese J-CKD-DB-Ex registry, we implemented a doubly robust (DR) learning framework (Linear DR-learner with XGBoost) to compare SGLT2 and DPP4 inhibitors. Outcomes included the chronic eGFR slope and a composite renal endpoint ([&ge;] 50% eGFR decline or end-stage kidney disease). Heterogeneity was explored via causal SHAP and decision trees. Results: At the population level, SGLT2 inhibitors modestly slowed chronic eGFR decline (average treatment effect [ATE] = 0.14 [95% CI: -0.86, 1.15] mL/min/1.73m^2/year) and reduced composite endpoint risk by 9% (ATE: -0.09 [-0.11, -0.08]) versus DPP4 inhibitors. However, individual-level counterfactual analysis suggested that for the chronic eGFR slope, non-glinide users with stable pre-treatment trajectories who were also taking ACE inhibitors had a greater benefit from SGLT2 inhibitors (ATE: 2.95 [-0.68, 6.58]). Conversely, glinide users with steep pre-treatment decline had a greater benefit from DPP4 inhibitors (ATE: -8.98 [-16.11, -1.85]). For composite renal events, SGLT2 inhibitors had a 28% absolute risk reduction within the algorithmically identified high-risk subgroup (eGFR [&le;] 28.1 mL/min/1.73 m^2 and positive proteinuria; ATE: -0.28 [-0.33, -0.23]). Even non-proteinuric decliners demonstrated a 8% risk reduction with SGLT2 inhibitors (ATE: -0.08 [-0.10, -0.06]). Conclusion: Causal ML advances precision medicine in DKD, shifting from uniform prescribing to individualized, data-driven therapy targeting distinct intrarenal pathways.

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Belimumab with rituximab for the treatment of primary membranous nephropathy

Chung, S. A.; Stelzig, L.; Sherman, M. A.; Gao, W.; Tosta, P.; Cooney, L. A.; Adler, S.; Aslam, N.; Ayoub, I.; Bomback, A. S.; Coppock, G.; Derebail, V. K.; Kamal, F.; Rizk, D. V.; Tuttle, K. R.; Waldman, M.; Barry, W. T.; Nachman, P. H.

2026-08-31 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26360913 medRxiv
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Introduction: B cell depletion with rituximab leads to complete or partial remission (CR/PR) in only ~60% of patients with primary membranous nephropathy (PMN). Adding belimumab to rituximab may result in greater depletion of memory B cells, limit the re-emergence of autoreactive B cells, and improve clinical responses. Methods: REBOOT Part A (NCT03949855) is a single arm, open-label, pharmacokinetic study where all participants had proteinuria [&ge;] 4g/day and detectable serum anti-phospholipase A2 receptor (anti-PLA2R) antibodies. Participants received belimumab 200 mg subcutaneously weekly for 52 weeks and rituximab 1000 mg intravenously at weeks 4 and 6. Assessments included belimumab exposure at week 4 and CR/PR at week 104. Results: Seventeen participants started belimumab. Belimumab exposure was not significantly reduced in those with high (> 9 g/day) proteinuria at week 4. Among all treated participants, 59% (10/17) achieved CR/PR at week 104, while in per protocol analyses, 91% (10/11) achieved CR/PR at week 104. All participants in per protocol analyses had normal serum albumin and undetectable serum anti-PLA2R by week 104. Circulating memory B cells increased before rituximab and were depleted by rituximab. B cell re-constitution occurred after week 52 with primarily naive and transitional B cells. Belimumab with rituximab was well-tolerated, with one participant discontinuing belimumab due to infection. Conclusion: In this study, a high proportion of participants receiving belimumab with rituximab achieved CR/PR. Thus, a multi-targeted approach to B cell depletion may improve immunologic and clinical outcomes in PMN and is being studied in a larger, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial.