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Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match COVID's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Does Parental Migration Affect a Child's Immunization Coverage? A Cross-sectional Analytical Study of India

Dhalaria, P.; Kumar, P.; Kapur, S.; Verma, A. K.; Singh, A. K.; Priyadarshini, P.; Singh, K.; Tripathi, B.; Ray, A.

2026-05-20 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.14.26353222 medRxiv
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Introduction-India's immunization initiatives are among the largest globally, characterized by a substantial birth cohort of 27 million children annually, and have achieved significant progress in increasing coverage through the UIP. However, there are still challenges that persist, and multiple determinants contribute to the existing challenges; parental migration is one of them. Migration has always been a key driver of socio-economic and demographic changes, particularly in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). Specifically, there is a need to better understand the vulnerabilities of immunization among recent migrants. To examine this, the study explores the association between a mother's recent migration and the full immunization coverage of children aged 12-23 months in India. Data & Methods-Our study utilized data from the National Family Health Survey-5 (2019-21). The outcome variable of interest in this study is the receipt of all basic vaccinations (full immunization) for children. The primary predictor variable in this study is the children's migration status. We used a series of multivariate logistic regression models to examine the relationship between full Immunization and recent migration of children, with some data restrictions in the models. Results - The results show a 17% difference in full immunization between migrant and non-migrant children. The odds ratios for children who had recently migrated were lower for full immunization (OR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.35-0.43) compared to children who had not recently migrated. Even across the household wealth quintile and social groups, the recent migration of children was associated with being less likely to be fully immunized among children 12-23 months. Conclusion- The findings of this study provide significant quantitative evidence that recent migration (less than 3 years) of children is a key factor influencing Immunization coverage and is a predictor of full vaccination among children aged 12-23 months in India. The recent migration was consistently linked to a lower likelihood of full immunization coverage across different household wealth levels and social groups. This study suggests that recently migrated children are a vulnerable subgroup of the population at risk of not receiving all basic vaccinations by their first birthday.

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Spatial Patterns and Determinants of Climate Change Awareness and Implications for Humanitarian Health Response in Nigeria: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of a Nationally Representative Survey

Ogunetimoju, A. M.; Bisiriyu, O. L.; Ajewole, K. P.; Oyelakin, E. T.

2026-05-15 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.12.26352814 medRxiv
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Objectives To explore the prevalence, spatial aggregation, and demographic correlates of climate change awareness among adults in Nigeria, as well as impacts on humanitarian health preparedness. Design Nationally representative cross-sectional survey with multivariate logistic regression and Global Moran's I and LISA techniques of spatial autocorrelation analyses was applied. Setting All 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria. Participants 1,600 adults drawn from the Afrobarometer Round 9 nationally representative survey. Interventions None. Main Outcome Measures Prevalence, spatial aggregation, and demographic correlates of climate change awareness among adults in Nigeria, and impacts on humanitarian health preparedness. Results Less than one in three Nigerians (30.1%) was aware of climate change, significantly lower than the 65% found in the continent, and education is the most predictive factor, with tertiary-educated Nigerians more than ten times more likely to be aware of climate change than those with no formal education. Most critically, the poor performance in government climate policies is not found in low-awareness states, but in two geographically distinct risk corridors based on a different mechanism and requiring a different policy response. Conclusions The finding shows that the gap in climate awareness is not a communication problem, it is a structural problem - one that requires a national intervention to reduce and close, but that might not be enough because of educational inequality, gender disparity and geographic marginalization. To prepare the country for humanitarian needs, targeted state-level, gender-responsive programming based on Nigeria's Climate Change Act 2021 is required, and effective intervention to make adaptation to the health impacts of climate change happen will need to start with triggering awareness into adaptive health action before climate hazards surpass the country's humanitarian response capacity. Registration Not applicable. Keywords: Climate change awareness; spatial autocorrelation; humanitarian health preparedness; educational inequality; Nigeria

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Determinants, Barriers, and Completion Patterns of Routine Childhood Immunization in Bayelsa State, Nigeria

Promise, V. I.; Raimi, M. O.

2026-05-22 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353707 medRxiv
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Background: Incomplete childhood vaccination undermines individual and herd immunity and increases vulnerability to vaccine-preventable diseases. Understanding local determinants of vaccination adherence is essential for targeted interventions. This study assessed routine immunization completion and dropout patterns among children aged 0-15 months in Bayelsa State, Nigeria. Objectives: To determine vaccination completion rates, identify factors influencing adherence, analyze temporal patterns across immunization milestones, and provide evidence-based recommendations for improving coverage. Methods: A comparative longitudinal study was conducted from March 2023 to July 2024 across three Local Government Areas (LGAs), representing each senatorial district. A total of 369 mother-child pairs (123 per LGA) were enrolled. Data were obtained from health facility immunization registers and supplemented with semi-structured questionnaires. Children were followed through the 6th week, 10th week, 14th week, 9th month, and 15th month immunization visits. Completion rates were analyzed using descriptive statistics and chi-square tests. Ethical approval was obtained from the State Ministry of Health, and informed consent was obtained from all mothers. Results: Completion rates varied across LGAs, with the highest in LGA C (86.2%) and lowest in LGA B (61.0%). Phone-based reminders achieved the highest adherence, outperforming routine and home visit strategies. Progressive attrition was observed along the immunization schedule, with dropout exceeding completion by the 15th month. Principal reasons for non-completion included forgetfulness, travel, and caregiver busyness. Maternal age, education, and occupation significantly influenced adherence, indicating disparities across LGAs. Conclusion: Vaccination adherence is shaped by maternal characteristics and operational strategies. While early-stage coverage is high, attrition increases at later milestones, particularly in LGAs with lower resource engagement. Recommendations: Implement targeted phone-based reminders, milestone-specific outreach, and community engagement programs to reduce dropout, enhance timely completion, and strengthen childhood immunity.

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Evidence of thermal selection from experimental evolution in the arboviral vector Aedes albopictus

Khorramnejad, A.; Palatini, U.; Da Re, D.; Lozada-Chavez, I.; Bahrami, R.; Perdomo, H. D.; Di Castri, S.; Rosa, R.; Aronson, H.; Lahondere, C.; Bonizzoni, M.

2026-05-26 evolutionary biology 10.64898/2026.05.22.727092 medRxiv
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Whether global warming drives thermal adaptation in arboviral vectors is an open question with direct consequences for forecasting transmission risk and informing effective vector control strategies. We subjected Aedes albopictus to experimental evolution (EE) under a tropical thermal regime (32{degrees}C/26{degrees}C) for three years and tracked fitness and behavioral traits, energy reserves and the fat body transcriptional profile across replicate lines at defined generational intervals. We show that mosquitoes strongly acclimate, trading longevity for accelerated development and increased reproduction. Over 15-20 generations of EE, mosquitoes gradually adjusted adult longevity to values of controls, reproductive traits reduced while maintaining values higher than those of controls, and the transcriptome converged to a distinct metabolic state. Upon relaxing thermal selection, half of the transcriptional changes of warm-evolved mosquitoes, along with traits of juvenile development and adult lifespan, reversed to values of controls, indicating a plastic basis. In contrast, progeny per female and egg freeing point maintained warm-evolved values upon relaxing thermal selection. Moreover, the mean and variance of 250 differentially expressed genes showed a significant correlation in warm-evolved mosquitoes, with a considerable reduction of expression variance upon relaxing thermal selection, signatures consistent with selection acting on a polygenic trait architecture. Modelling of the net reproductive rate across generations showed that egg-to-adult viability, not fecundity or longevity, is the primary driver of reproductive success under warm evolution. Our findings have immediate methodological and ecological implications: clinal studies or single-generation exposures risk attributing to adaptation changes driven by phenotypic plasticity, acclimation, genetic drift or population structure.

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Epidemiology of Cervical Precancerous Lesions: Prevalence and Predictors from Pap Smear Screening in Hawassa City Hospitals, Sidama Region, Ethiopia. Institutional-Based Cross-sectional Study

Fisshatsion, A. B.; Zewude, Y. A.; Nisro, A. M.; Abebe, R. F.

2026-06-10 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355254 medRxiv
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Background: Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer in women worldwide and remains a major public health challenge. In Ethiopia, it is the second leading cause of cancer deaths, with around 8,000 new cases and 6,000 deaths each year. Region?specific data on the prevalence and predictors of precancerous lesions remain scarce, yet such information is vital for guiding targeted reproductive health strategies. This study therefore examined the prevalence and predictors of cervical precancerous lesions among women aged 21-60 years undergoing Pap smear screening in public hospitals in Hawassa City, Sidama Region. Methods: An institution-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 241 women attending Pap smear screening at public hospitals in Hawassa City from March to August 2025. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected via interviews and medical records. Lesions were classified based on the standardized international framework for reporting cervical cytology results from Pap smears per the Bethesda system. Multivariable logistic regression identified predictors p<0.05). Result: Of 241 women screened (mean age 35.3 years), cervical epithelial abnormalities were detected in 52 (prevalence 21.6%). Atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance was the most common abnormality (16.6%). Multivariable analysis showed HIV infection was significantly associated with precancerous lesions (AOR = 3.7, 95% CI: 1.69-8.12, p<0.05), while hormonal contraceptive use was protective (AOR = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.11-0.67, p<0.05). Conclusion: These results underscore the urgent need to strengthen cervical cancer prevention through targeted screening and early intervention. Integrating routine HIV testing with Pap smear programs would be especially valuable. Health authorities should expand accessible screening for women aged 21-60, with particular attention to those living with HIV, to help reduce the burden of precancerous lesions.

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Intention of UK residents to wear facemasks and practise social distancing during the next respiratory virus pandemic

Smith, D. R.; Buckell, J.; Hancock, T. O.; Morrell, L.; Pouwels, K.

2026-05-30 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353824 medRxiv
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Background: Wearing facemasks and practising social distancing slow the spread of respiratory pathogens. However, in the event of a new pandemic emerging, the willingness of populations to voluntarily adopt these behaviours is unclear. Methods: A discrete choice experiment was conducted among 2,006 UK-based adults. Participants were presented with hypothetical scenarios describing the emergence of a respiratory virus pandemic and were asked to choose when they would wear facemasks and practise social distancing. A mixed multinomial logit model was used to jointly estimate how disease severity and prevalence, uncertainty in these quantities, and individual-level characteristics influence behavioural choices. Findings: Participants were averse to facemasks and social distancing in the absence of pandemic risk. For each ten-unit increase in severity (10 additional hospitalisations/1,000 infections), the odds of always wearing a facemask outside the home increased by 15.9% (95%CI: 14.3%, 17.5%), relative to rarely/never, and the odds of avoiding all people as much as possible increased by 16.4% (14.6%, 18.2%), relative to not avoiding anyone. Greater disease prevalence, uncertainty in disease severity or disease prevalence, a university education, prior COVID-19 vaccination and non-white ethnicity were also associated with choosing to always wear facemasks and avoid all people as much as possible. The probability of participants choosing to rarely/never wear facemasks varied from 13.4% (11.9%, 14.9%) in the lowest-risk scenario to 1.4% (1.2%, 1.7%) in the highest-risk scenario. Interpretation: Perceived risks of disease and associated uncertainty drive intention of UK adults to adapt their behaviour in a future pandemic.

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Meningitis vaccination campaign in the context of COVID-19 in Cameroon

Mbang, M. A.; Cheuyem, F. Z. L.; Tchamani, R.; Debnet, J.; Ebongo, Z. N.; Fouda, A. A. B.

2026-06-04 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354702 medRxiv
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Objective: The study aimed to describe the challenges, best practices, and lessons learned during meningitis vaccination campaigns conducted in the context of COVID-19 in Cameroon in 2020. Results: During the prevention campaigns, 3,460 individuals were selected. All were tested before the campaign (100%). Eight cases were positive, representing a positivity rate of 0.23% (8/3,460). The campaign was carried out using a fixed strategy in health facilities and prisons and a fixed-temporary strategy in communities. Most health areas received sufficient quantities of COVID-19 equipment for some items and insufficient quantities for others. No screening was done during or after the campaign. The main difficulties encountered were compliance with social distancing and the continuous wearing of gowns. The challenges faced were the screening of actors and the use of personal protective equipment. Lessons learned: aspects related to COVID-19 impacted the speed of the campaign. Vaccination coverage ranged from 91% to 140% in prisons on the one hand, and from 35% to 112% in the health areas surrounding prisons on the other. The campaign in the context of COVID-19 was effective. Compliance with barrier measures was not optimal due to difficulties encountered with aspects such as social distancing, continuous wearing of gowns, screening of participants during and after the campaign, and insufficient personal protective equipment.

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A Study To Analyse The Demographics And Injury Pattern Of Dog Bite Cases In Emergency Department Of A Tertiary Care Hospital In Chennai

Vinoth, D.; kumar, A.; jenifer, E.

2026-05-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353645 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT Background Dog bite injuries are a major yet largely preventable public health concern worldwide. They contribute significantly to morbidity, healthcare burden, and economic costs, particularly in emergency department .The present study aims to analyse the demographics and injury pattern of dog bite cases presenting to the emergency department of a tertiary care hospital in Chennai. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study with dog bite injured participants attending the Causality from November 2025 to April 2026 data was collected using a structured tool including details on demographics (Age, Gender, Education) injury related characteristics , history of pure bite site of dog bite injury type, WHO bitten criteria and information to management etc. We used here non probability statistical analysis and age specific dog bite cases and independent variables were analysed using SPSS (2.0 version). Result A total of Two hundred sixteen dog bite cases were analysed in the study by period of 6 months The majority of participants were 172 (79.6%) were above 18 years and 44 (20.4) were below 18 year, 130 (60%) from rural areas and 86 (39.8%) from urban areas, 136 (63.0%) of Victims presented within a day of the bite, 61( 28.2) next day and 19 (8.8%) in after one week 66 (30.6) were bitten by own dog and 150(69.4%)were bitten by neighbour / friended dog. 124(57.4) were bitten by stray dog 92(42.6) bitten by pet dog. 117(54.2) were vaccinated dog and 99(45.8%) were not vaccinated .110(50.9) victims were injured by laceration. 26(12.0%) were injured by puncture wound.46(21.3) were injured by abrasion 10(4.6) were injured by avulsion 15(6.9%) were injured by crush injury. 156(72.2%) were had minor wound.45(20.8%) victims had moderate wound and 15(6.9%) victims had severe wound. 112(51.9%) victims were taken antibiotics.104(48%) were not taken antibiotics. 185(85.6%) victims received tetanus toxoid, 31(14.4%) were not received tetanus toxoid. CONCLUSION There is a high burden of dog bite injuries from stray dogs in India. Despite early hospital presentation in many cases gaps in first aid practices and rabies post exposure prophylaxis were evident and highlighting inadequate awareness. Key words Rabies immunoglobulin, Dog bite, WHO criteria, Anti rabies vaccine, stray Dog, wound

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Magnitude and factors associated with missed Human Papillomavirus vaccination opportunities among adolescents in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

Mtandika, M.; Kilindo, F. J.; Fransiscko, F.; Kapesa, A.; Namanya, B.; Matovelo, D.

2026-05-20 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.15.26353360 medRxiv
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Background: Tanzania introduced the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine in 2018 for girls aged 9-14 years; however, coverage remains suboptimal. Missed opportunities (MOs) for vaccination are an important but understudied barrier, particularly in urban settings. This study assessed factors associated with MOs and explored healthcare providers perspectives on barriers and potential solutions in Dar es Salaam. Methods: An embedded mixed-methods study was conducted in public health facilities in Temeke Municipal Council from June - July 2025. The quantitative component involved a cross-sectional survey of 252 parents or caregivers of eligible adolescent girls using structured exit interviews. The qualitative component included in-depth interviews with 20 healthcare providers using a phenomenological approach. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with MOs. Qualitative data were analyzed thematically using Braun and Clarkes framework. Results: The prevalence of MOs for HPV vaccination was 71.4%. Factors independently associated with MOs included caregiver age [&ge;]40 years (aOR 1.87, 95% CI: 1.02-3.42), female caregiver gender (aOR 1.61, 95% CI: 1.00-2.59), primary education (aOR 2.14, 95% CI: 1.03-4.45), married status (aOR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.01-2.94), and receiving care at health centers or dispensaries versus hospitals (aOR 1.83, 95% CI: 1.05-3.19). Qualitative findings identified key drivers of MOs, including limited caregiver knowledge, vaccine hesitancy, time constraints, failure to routinely offer vaccination, stock-outs, poor documentation, high workload, and limited outreach. Proposed strategies included routine eligibility screening, reminder systems, community engagement, and supportive supervision. Conclusion: MOs for HPV vaccination are highly prevalent and driven by both caregiver and health system factors. Strengthening routine screening, reminder systems, community engagement, and supervision may improve vaccine uptake.

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HIV-HPV Syndemic and Anal Precancerous Lesions Among MSM and Transgender Women in Pakistan: A Biological Continuum in High-Risk Sexual Networks

Ejaz, M.; Ahmed, A.; Rizvi, S. H.; Rizvi, A. A.; Ali, F.; Haroon, A.

2026-06-01 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354356 medRxiv
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Background: Sexual and gender minorities (SGM), including men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women, often face stigma, legal constraints, and limited access to sexual and reproductive health services. These conditions restrict prevention and care, increasing vulnerability to HIV and human papillomavirus (HPV) infections. While strong HIV-HPV interaction is documented in high-income settings, evidence from low- and middle-income countries remains limited. This study examines the burden, co-infection dynamics, and progression of HPV infection and anal dysplasia among MSM and transgender women in Pakistan. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted between September 2015 and October 2016 among men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women recruited from sexual health and antiretroviral therapy centers in Karachi. Eligible participants were aged [&ge;]18 years and self-reported anal sex within the past 6 months (N=298). Two anal specimens were collected for HPV DNA detection and genotyping using PCR, and anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (ASIL) were assessed cytologically using the Bethesda classification. Associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression algorithms to derive prevalence ratios (PRs). Results: Among participants, 44% (n=133) were living with HIV. Overall HPV prevalence was 65.1%, rising to 87% among HIV-positive individuals compared to 48% among those without HIV ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001). Likewise 28.9% of participants living with HIV were infected with two or more than two types of HPV as compared with 18.8% participants without HIV ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001). HIV infection was strongly associated with HPV acquisition (adjusted PR 2.81, 95% CI 2.16-3.82). Among HPV-positive participants (n=194), 58.8% were co-infected with HIV. High-risk HPV was highly prevalent among those living with HIV (83.2% vs. 35.3% ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001)), with HPV16 as the dominant oncogenic type. Multiple HPV infections were more common among HIV-positive individuals ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001), and HIV seropositivity was 3.43 (95% CI: 2.55-3.51) times higher among those with high-risk HPV. Co-infected participants demonstrated prolonged smoking, longer duration of sex work, high-intensity sex work with limited condom negotiation, and higher prevalence of anal warts (all p<0.05). Anal dysplasia (ASIL) was present in 35% of participants and was higher among HIV-positive individuals (42.4% vs. 28.1%, p<0.001). HIV-HPV co-infection was independently associated with ASIL (adjusted PR 1.75, 95% CI 1.07-2.88), while high-risk HPV further amplified this risk (PR 3.04, 95% CI 1.75-5.26). Conclusion: These findings demonstrate a biological continuum in HIV-positive MSM and transgender women, where HIV increases HPV acquisition, persistence, and multiplicity, accelerating progression to anal dysplasia. This reflects a syndemic shaped by biological interaction and structural vulnerability. Integrating HPV screening and vaccination within HIV services is essential to interrupt progression to cancer in this high-risk population.

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Correlates of time to presentation for stroke care among patients at a tertiary hospital in Ondo State, Nigeria: A retrospective records review

Ogunsemoyin, O.; Fayehun, O.

2026-06-09 health policy 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355064 medRxiv
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Introduction: Early hospital presentation after stroke onset is necessary for rapid assessment and access to time-dependent acute management. This study examined the correlates of late presentation for stroke care among patients recorded at a tertiary hospital in Ondo State, Nigeria. Methods: A retrospective records review was conducted using secondary data from the Stroke Registry of the University of Medical Sciences Teaching Hospital, radiology department records, referral notes, and ambulance records. Records of stroke cases documented within the preceding 24 months were reviewed. Late presentation was defined as hospital presentation more than four hours after symptom onset. Frequencies, chi-square tests, and modified Poisson regression with robust standard errors were used to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios. Results: The analysis included 371 stroke cases. Of these, 317 (85.4%) presented after four hours, and the median time to presentation was 24 hours (interquartile range: 9-72 hours). Late presentation differed significantly by employment status, first-contact route, and pathway complexity at bivariate analysis. After adjustment, non-hospital first contact remained strongly associated with late presentation: patients whose first documented contact was non-hospital-based had almost 3 times the prevalence of delay compared with those whose first contact was hospital-based (adjusted prevalence ratio = 2.89; 95% confidence interval: 2.15-3.90; p < 0.001). Conclusion: Late presentation was pervasive in this tertiary hospital record cohort and was primarily associated with the initial direction of care-seeking. Stroke response interventions should emphasise immediate hospital presentation and strengthen urgent referral from non-hospital first-contact points.

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Knowledge, attitudes and practices regarding risk factors for cardiovascular disease among women in an urban slum of Kathmandu, Nepal: A cross-sectional study.

Kasaju, M.; Shrestha, A. P.; Oli, N.; Vaidya, A.

2026-06-08 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354909 medRxiv
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Introduction: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause for death and disability worldwide accounting for 75% of deaths in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) like Nepal. Urbanization and globalization remains the major cause of rise in CVDs among urban poor population along with growth in slum settlements. This study aims to assess the knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) of CVDs and its risk factors among women of one such urban poor community in Nepal. Methodology: This cross-sectional study (n=388) in the Sinamangal-Minbhawan slum area was conducted using semi structured questionnaire based on STEPs survey and HARDIC study among the participants selected through convenient sampling. Descriptive analysis was done using SPSS version 21 and KAP scores were further categorized based on median score to perform multivariate logistic analysis. Additionally, Anthropometric and blood pressure measurements were also recorded and analyzed. Results: The median age (Interquartile range) of participants was 33 years (17) with majority of them being Dalit by ethnicity, housewives, with up to primary level education belonging to upper lower socioeconomic class. More than half (53.3%) of the participants were obese and over 23% were hypertensive. While half of the hypertensive women were aware of their status, only 3% had their blood pressure under control.The median knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) scores were 12, 60 and 10 respectively. The KAP scores were positively associated with socioeconomic status of the participants. Conclusion: The study revealed low knowledge with high prevalence of behavioral risk factors of CVDs along with high prevalence of other metabolic risk factors like high body mass index, high waist hip ratio and hypertension among women of slum area with a positive attitude to prevent CVDs and its risk factors.

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Morphological feature remodeling of intracranial arteries in the context of inflammation and HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Hoang, N.; Yang, H.; Uddin, M. N.; Zhong, J.; Faiyaz, A.; Singh, M. V.; Boodoo, Z. D.; Sutton, K. R.; Wang, H. Z.; Sahin, B.; Khan, M. W.; Weber, M. T.; Yuan, C.; Chen, L.; Schifitto, G.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353071 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), vascular comorbidities, including cerebrovascular disease, are more prominent in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to people without HIV (PWOH). However, quantitative assessments of cerebrovascular morphometry and their associations with cognitive outcomes in the context of HIV are still limited. In this study, we explore this missing link. Methods: Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) data, blood markers, and neurocognitive assessments were collected from 73 PWOH subjects (male: 57, female: 16; age: 53 {+/-} 16) and 99 PLWH subjects (male: 66, female: 30, age: 53 {+/-} 11). Vessel morphometric features were quantified using intraCranial Artery Feature Extraction (iCafe) to investigate associations between vessel morphometry, markers of monocytes, endothelial cell activation, and cognitive performance. Results: HIV status predicted a lower total number of branches ({beta} = -0.224, p = 0.001, d = -0.517) and shorter total distal length ({beta} = -0.173, p = 0.021, d = -0.370) with a moderate effect size. Total branch number was found to be negatively associated with plasma levels of monocyte markers (sCD14: r = -0.167, p = 0.033; sCD163: r = -0.157, p = 0.045) and positively correlated with white matter cerebral blood flow (r = 0.550; p [&le;] 0.05). HIV status was the strongest predictor of overall cognitive performance in ANCOVA model ({beta} = -0.219, p = 0.006, d = -0.453). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cognitive impairment in PLWH is associated with vessel morphology metrics. Monocyte immune activation may contribute to changes in vessel morphology.

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Investigation of the continuous spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the post pandemic time - Insights into the reason for the sustained spread despite the establishment of population immunity

Yi, B.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355009 medRxiv
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In spite of well-established global immune landscape, SARS-CoV-2 is still able to further spread and continue causing infection waves. The current understanding about the reason behind is limited, and it is still difficult to predict the evolution or spreading tread of SARS-CoV-2. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate whether the establishment of population immunity has changed the virus evolution or spreading pattern. In this investigation, one overall analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 spreading in the past several years have been carried out through one thorough genomic epidemiology study, with Germany being chosen as one representative location in view of the systemic efforts for genomic surveillance. The growth advantage of a few predominant variants in its early spreading period has been evaluated through a logistic regression model. The results have revealed that the major circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants since 2023 are mainly derived from the Omicron BA.2 family. Since middle of 2024, most predominant variants were produced primarily through recombination, indicating that the evolution derived from recombination might be the major driving force for the continuous spread of SARS-CoV-2 despite the existence of population immunity. Furthermore, the lower growth advantage of recently emerged variants might possibly lead to a tread of reduction in the frequency of infection wave. The information revealed from this investigation suggests that although short-term spreading tread can be affected by specific virus feature as well as local immunity landscape, the long-term spreading tread is mainly decided by the genomic diversity of the viruses, and can be predicted through phylogenetic and genomic epidemiology investigation. The results have emphasized the importance of maintaining the efforts for genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2, which is essential from both medical and research perspectives.

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Translation and Cross-cultural Validation of Leprosy Case Detection Delay Questionnaire Among Persons Affected by Leprosy in Southeast Nigeria

Eze, C. C.; Murphy-Okpala, N. N.; Ekeke, N.; Nwafor, C.; Egbule, D.; Njoku, M.; Ezeakile, O.; Meka, A.; Iyama, F. S.; Ogbuefi, E.; Ugwu, O.; Solomon, M.; Adesigbin, C.; Chukwu, J.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355058 medRxiv
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Introduction Reducing delays in leprosy case detection is essential for achieving global leprosy targets. Accurate measurement of these delays and their determinants relies largely on patient-reported data, as routine health records are often inadequate. The leprosy case detection delay (CDD) questionnaire, developed under the Post Exposure Prophylaxis for Leprosy (PEP4LEP) project, has been validated in Ethiopia, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Indonesia. However, it has not been adapted or validated for Nigeria or any major Nigerian indigenous language. This study aimed to culturally adapt and validate the CDD questionnaire for Igbo-speaking populations in Nigeria. Methodology/Principal Findings The CDD questionnaire underwent a standardized cross-cultural adaptation process. Content validity was assessed using item- and scale-level content validity indices, while construct validity was evaluated through hypothesis testing. Reproducibility was assessed using test-retest and inter-rater reliability; agreement using the Bland-Altman method and the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test; reliability using Spearmans rank correlation coefficient and the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC); and internal consistency using Cronbachs alpha. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews with persons affected by leprosy at two time points separated by at least two weeks. Participants (n=100) had a mean age of 45.1 years (SD=18.7). Mean CDD was 77.2 months at baseline and 77.9 months at retest. The instrument demonstrated excellent content validity (I-CVI/S-CVI: 0.90-1.00), good internal consistency (Cronbachs =0.77), and excellent test-retest reliability (ICC=0.996, 95% CI: 0.994-0.997). Test and retest measurements were highly correlated ({rho}=0.985, p<0.001), with no evidence of systematic change over time (p=0.864). Seventy-two percent of participants reported identical CDD values across assessments. All items from the original English version were retained without modification. Conclusion/Significance The Igbo version of the CDD questionnaire demonstrated good validity and reliability and is suitable for assessing leprosy case detection delay among Igbo-speaking populations in Nigeria

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Predictors of Road Safety behaviors among Boda-Boda Operators and their passengers in Kampala: A Mixed-Methods Study

Ainembabazi, R.; Kimuli, D.; Murami, T.; Wafula, S. T.; mgeyi, E.; Kwesiga, J. B.; Kibingo, P.; Mugumya, I.; Atulomah, N. O.; Nsubuga, D.

2026-06-07 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354085 medRxiv
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Background Despite existing road safety regulations, commercial motorcycle riders commonly referred to as "Boda Bodas" in Uganda continue to experience high rates of injuries due to road traffic accidents resulting from unsafe riding behaviours, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality among both riders and passengers. Safe riding behaviours are less well documented, as well as factors associated with the observance of those behaviours. This study aimed to determine factors associated with safe riding behaviors for both boda-boda riders and their passengers in Kampala Central Division. Methods A cross-sectional survey study design was conducted using a convergent parallel mixed-methods design guided by the PRECEDE model. Quantitative data were collected from 424 riders through structured questionnaires administered by trained research assistants. Binary Logistic regression was used to determine the independent predictors of safe road riding behaviors, and Adjusted Odds ratios (AORs) have been reported. Data were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics, with a p-value <0.05 considered statistically significant. Qualitative data were collected simultaneously with quantitative data through in-depth semi-structured interviews with 10 passengers to capture perceptions of rider behaviors and safety practices. Thematic analysis was applied, and results were triangulated to highlight convergences and divergences between quantitative and qualitative findings, providing a comprehensive understanding of safety determinants for both riders and passengers. Results Of the 424 riders (mean rider age was 29.56 {+/-} 5.71), overall, 276 (65.1%) of riders exhibited unsafe riding behaviors. In the bivariate analysis with Logistic regression, predisposing factors (education, marital status, religion, and willingness to obey traffic regulations), and reinforcing factors (family encouragement) were significantly associated with safe riding behaviors. However, in the adjusted model, secondary (AOR=0.50; 95% CI:0.30-0.85) and post-secondary education (AOR=0.57; 95% CI:0.33-0.98), being married (AOR=0.56; 95% CI:0.34-0.91), Christian religion (AOR=2.98; 95% CI:1.63-5.47), willingness to obey traffic regulations (AOR=0.41; 95% CI:0.24-0.70), union advocacy (AOR=1.76; 95% CI:1.03-3.01), and well-maintained roads (AOR=1.65; 95% CI:1.07-2.55) were significant predictors of safe riding behaviors. Qualitative interviews further highlighted barriers to safety, including a lack of helmets, over-speeding, disregard for traffic regulations, and poor road infrastructure. Conclusions Rider and passenger safety is still low, interdependent, and influenced by multiple factors. Integrated interventions focusing on education, stronger families, religious affiliations, union safety advocacy, and stricter enforcement of traffic regulations are vital for enhancing safety for both riders and passengers.

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A risk-of-contagion index using a Bayesian based model for the COVID-19 epidemic in Mexico

Corona-Moreno, R.; Acuna-Zegarra, M. A.; Santana-Cibrian, M.; Velasco-Hernandez, J. X.

2026-06-10 health policy 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355274 medRxiv
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During the COVID-19 pandemic, limited testing capacity and reporting delays complicated epidemic surveillance and decision-making in Mexico. We calibrated \textit{covidestim}, a Bayesian nowcasting model, to estimate the total SARS-CoV-2 infections from reported cases and deaths using Mexican surveillance data. Disease-progression distribution priors were calibrated using Mexico City records and validated through comparisons with national seroprevalence surveys, hospitalization data, and annual reported severe-case rates across all states. Using the reconstructed estimates of active infections, we implemented an event-based risk framework that quantifies the probability of encountering at least one infectious individual in gatherings of different sizes. This probability was subsequently translated into a four-level epidemiological traffic-light indicator and computed at both state and municipality levels. The resulting estimates revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity that is obscured by state-level aggregation, particularly in states with marked differences between urban and rural municipalities. To evaluate consistency with public-health indicators, we compared the proposed risk classification with the official Mexican epidemiological traffic-light system, considering interpretable gathering sizes relevant to public-health decision making. Weekly reports derived from this framework were delivered to policymakers in the State of Queretaro in Mexico, as an anticipation tool for school reopening and public-space management. This demonstrates that this Bayesian reconstruction of infections combined with event-based risk metrics can provide an interpretable and generalizable municipality-level complement to routine surveillance systems, particularly in regions with limited testing capacity and heterogeneous local transmission dynamics.

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A Global Health Quality Improvement Project: Enhancing Cervical Cancer Awareness and screening in Nigeria

Umar, I. A.; Shehu, N.; Nagib, N.; Sulley, S.; Idris-Saeed, Z. O.

2026-06-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355311 medRxiv
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Background Cervical cancer remains a significant global public health challenge, ranking as the fourth most common cancer among women worldwide. According to The World Health Organization (WHO) 604,000 women were diagnosed with cervical cancer globally in 2020, with over 342,000 deaths amongst this group [1]. Despite its high mortality, cervical cancer is largely preventable through early detection and vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV), which causes nearly all cases of cervical cancer [1,2] In Nigeria, it is the second most common cancer among women in Nigeria and a leading cause of cancer-related deaths, with low screening rates exacerbating late diagnoses and poor outcomes [1]. Despite global commitments to elimination with Pap smear screening and HPV vaccination, less than 10% of women in Nigeria have undergone screening due to misconceptions, stigma, and limited awareness. Educational interventions may improve awareness and promote screening behaviors. This global health quality improvement (QI) project aimed to enhance cervical cancer awareness and increase Pap smear uptake at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Clinic in Abuja, Nigeria. Methods In November 2024, we conducted a health education intervention at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) through a structured educational session for male and female CBN staff members. The session focused on cervical cancer prevention, risk factors, and screening guidelines. Additionally, cervical cancer awareness was raised via email, social media, and electronic bulletin board. Participants completed pre and post-interventions surveys assessing cervical cancer knowledge across 10 key items and demographic characteristics. Pap smear uptake was assessed using the CBN clinic records for three months before and after the intervention. Institutional approval was obtained from CBN and external institutional review board approval was not required. Results 188 participants attended the health education session with 124 survey responses (70 pre-event, 54 post-event). Participants were mostly women aged 30-39. Post-intervention, eight of ten survey questions showed improved knowledge, with five demonstrating statistically significant gains: understanding Pap smear frequency (p<.001), HPV infection prevention (p=.042), early symptoms of cervical cancer (p=.019), smoking as a risk factor (p=.002), and availability of Pap smears at the CBN clinic (p=.035). Pap smear uptake increased from 5 screenings in three months pre-intervention to 32 screenings in the three months post-intervention. Participants reported that the sessions provided a safe space to ask questions and address cultural myths and misconceptions. Conclusion This QI initiative demonstrates the positive impact of targeted health education in improving awareness and screening uptake. Recommendations include increasing awareness through public health talks, updating clinicians on current guidelines, and removing unnecessary barriers to HPV vaccination. These findings align with global health efforts to reduce cervical cancer mortality and underscore the potential of QI projects to improve health outcomes in resource-limited settings.

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Food insecurity as a determinant of adolescent mental health in Francophone and Anglophone Africa: A multilevel analysis

Fonta, C. L.; Elgar, F.; Gordon, D.; Toumpakari, Z.

2026-05-25 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353168 medRxiv
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Food insecurity (also called, simply, FI) levels in sub-Saharan Africa are rising among its growing adolescent population, the world's fastest-growing teenage population. This study examines food insecurity and its role as a social determinant of poor mental health among African adolescents. The study utilised the Gallup World Poll data between 2014 and 2019, including adolescents aged 15 -19 (n=25,368). Poor mental health was measured using five validated responses about negative experiences. We employed a two-level binary logistic regression model to determine the associations between food insecurity and poor mental health. At the individual level, the primary explanatory variable, food insecurity, was measured using the FAO (2015) Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). The odds of poor mental health exhibited a dose-response relationship with food insecurity severity, with mild (OR=1.70; 95% CI (1.57-1.84), moderate (OR=2.35; 95% CI (2.17-2.54) and severe food insecurity (OR=3.19; 95% CI (2.96-3.54) being associated with poorer mental health. Other assessed covariates showed that residing in a Francophone state increased the odds of poor mental health experiences, whereas positive experiences reduced the chances of poor mental health, as did residing in rural areas. There was no difference in the relationship between mental health and food insecurity across the two colonial origins. Food insecurity remains an important determinant of adolescent mental health in Francophone and Anglophone Africa. Investing in cost-effective agricultural and nutrition-sensitive interventions that boost food production could improve adolescent mental well-being while reducing long-term social and economic burdens on families and health systems in sub-Saharan Africa.

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The Verification Gap: Artificial Intelligence Adoption, Hallucination Awareness, and Verification Practices Among Early Career Medical Researchers in Pakistan

Sajjad, M.

2026-05-30 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354373 medRxiv
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Artificial intelligence (AI) tools have been rapidly adopted by medical researchers, yet whether early career researchers in low and middle income countries possess the awareness and habits needed to use these tools safely remains poorly documented. This study characterized AI adoption patterns, hallucination awareness, and verification and disclosure practices among early career medical researchers in Pakistan. A cross sectional anonymous online survey was conducted among medical students, house officers, residents, physicians, and faculty involved in research or academic work across Pakistan (May 2026). Descriptive statistics and chi square tests were applied to 373 eligible responses. AI use was near universal (99.7%), with 60.3% using AI tools daily. The most commonly reported tool in this sample was Claude (40.5%), followed by ChatGPT (29.2%) and Perplexity (26.0%), though this ranking likely reflects sampling characteristics. Despite high adoption, 59.2% typically did not verify AI outputs before use, and 40.2% had never heard that AI can generate fabricated scientific references. In behavioral vignettes, 36.5% assumed convincing AI generated references were authentic, and 54.2% would continue using remaining AI content after discovering one fabricated reference. Formal research training was strongly associated with consistent disclosure (51.7% vs. 17.1%; chi square=48.43, p less than 0.001). Role, daily use frequency, and research training were not significantly associated with verification behavior. Early career medical researchers in Pakistan demonstrate high AI adoption alongside incomplete hallucination awareness and infrequent verification, a pattern that may carry implications for research integrity. Formal training was the only factor significantly associated with consistent disclosure. Integration of AI literacy into medical curricula and institutional governance frameworks merits consideration.