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Brain

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Brain's content profile, based on 168 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.16% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Dopaminergic therapy selectively amplifies hallucination susceptibility in patients with Parkinson's disease with cortico-striatal hyperconnectivity

Bernasconi, F.; Stampacchia, S.; Burget, L.; Potheegadoo, J.; Maradan, M.; Habiby Alaoui, S.; Catalano Chiuve, S.; Van De Ville, D.; Krack, P.; Fleury, V.; Blanke, O.

2026-09-03 neurology 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361921 medRxiv
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Dopamine replacement therapy (DRT) alleviates motor symptoms in Parkinson's disease (PD) but can trigger hallucinations in a subset of patients, yet the neural basis of this selective vulnerability is unknown. Hallucinations are among the most disabling non-motor symptoms of PD, linked to social isolation, dementia and institutionalization. Using a validated robotic paradigm to induce and quantify hallucinations in real-time, combined with resting-state fMRI in a crossover On/Off DRT design, we studied patients with PD with (PD-H) and without (PD-nH) hallucinations. DRT selectively amplified sensitivity to robot-induced hallucinations in patients with pre-existing hallucinatory phenotype (PD-H, but not PD-nH) and was accompanied by cortico-striatal and large-scale network hyperconnectivity. Rather than supporting a uniform hallucinogenic effect of dopamine in PD, these findings indicate that DRT interacts with an intrinsic neural vulnerability that varies in patients. Prospective studies will establish whether this pharmacological-behavioural signature identifies patients at risk before clinical hallucinations emerge.

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Clinical deep sequencing to diagnose pathogenic mosaic variants in malformations of cortical development and epilepsy

Stone, K.; Prinzing, G.; Lai, A.; Smith, L.; Sheidley, B. R.; Corliss, M. M.; Bowling, K.; Cao, Y.; Wiltrout, K.; Stone, S. S. D.; Lidov, H.; Yang, E.; Poduri, A.; D'Gama, A. M.

2026-09-03 neurology 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361943 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Deep sequencing of brain tissue in the research setting has established that mosaic variants are a major cause of malformations of cortical development (MCDs) and epilepsy. However, genetic testing in the clinical setting primarily detects germline variants using clinically accessible samples. We aimed to determine the diagnostic yield and clinical utility of deep sequencing in the clinical setting to identify pathogenic mosaic variants for this population. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of individuals at Boston Children's Hospital with MCDs with or without epilepsy who received clinical deep sequencing between September 2017 and February 2026. Demographic, clinical, and genetic testing data were abstracted from the medical record. For individuals without systemic features, we classified brain tissue as an affected tissue sample. For individuals with systemic features, we classified brain or relevant non-brain tissue as affected. The primary outcome was the diagnostic yield of clinical deep sequencing performed using affected vs unaffected tissue samples. The secondary outcome was the clinical utility of genetic diagnoses. Results: Our cohort included 37 individuals (19/37 (51%) female, 18/37 (49%) male) with MCDs, of whom 35/37 (95%) had epilepsy (25 with brain tissue samples available from epilepsy surgery) and 8/37 (22%) had systemic features. Most (35/37 (95%)) had dysplasia phenotypes on MRI and 12/27 (44%) with pathology available had Focal Cortical Dysplasia Type I or II. The diagnostic yield was 53% (17/32; 16 mosaic and 1 germline variant) when clinical deep sequencing was performed using an affected tissue sample vs 0% (0/6) using an unaffected tissue sample (p=0.016). Of the diagnosed cases, 13/17 (76%) had testing performed on brain tissue (1 with systemic features) and 4/17 (24%) on non-brain tissue (3 buccal and 1 duodenal tissue, all with systemic features). All but one diagnosis involved the mTOR pathway. All diagnoses had clinical utility. Discussion: Clinical deep sequencing, when performed using an affected tissue sample, has high diagnostic yield and clinical utility for individuals with MCDs, especially dysplasia phenotypes, and epilepsy. Our findings support implementation of clinical deep sequencing for this population, especially as the genetic diagnoses have implications for emerging precision therapies.

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Convergent Innate Immune and Metabolic Signatures in Parkinson's Disease and Viral Infection

Belyea, M. M.; Shafiq, M.; Lass, J.; Much, C.; Liu, Z.; Kruse, N.; Haendler, K.; Sreenivasan, V.; Gelpi, E.; Siebels, B.; Ondruschka, B.; Spielmann, M.; Klein, C.; Trinh, J.; Glatzel, M.

2026-09-01 pathology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361092 medRxiv
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Viral infections have long been proposed as environmental contributors to neurodegenerative diseases, including Parkinson's disease (PD), yet the molecular mechanisms linking infection and neurodegeneration are not well defined. Neuroinflammation and disruption of central nervous system (CNS) homeostasis have emerged as potential mediators. In this study, we used severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causative agent of COVID-19, as a model pathogen to investigate convergent molecular pathways between viral infection and PD. Single-nucleus RNA sequencing (snRNA-seq) was performed on post-mortem striatal tissue from 14 individuals stratified into four groups: COVID-19 only (COVID-19), PD only (PD), comorbid PD with COVID-19 (PD/COVID-19), and controls (Control). The PD/COVID-19 group exhibited an expanded astrocytic population and a pronounced interferon-associated molecular signature characterized by increased expression of canonical interferon-stimulated genes, including IFI44L (average log2FC= 3.9; adjusted p=2.3 x 10-373), IFI44 (average log2FC=2.9; adjusted p=8.0 x 10-266), ISG15 (average log2FC=3.1; adjusted p=1.2 x 10-197), and RSAD2 (average log2FC= 3.5; adjusted p=8.6 x 10-111). Pathway analyses demonstrated activation of innate immune and antiviral signaling pathways, particularly within microglia and astrocytes, including interferon signaling, pattern-recognition receptor pathways, and complement-associated responses. In parallel, genes involved in lipid metabolism, cholesterol homeostasis, synaptic maintenance, and neuronal signaling were reduced across disease groups. Proteomic analyses independently confirmed enrichment of antiviral and interferon-associated pathways and identified convergent suppression of sterol, cholesterol, and lipid metabolic processes. Our findings identify a convergent molecular signature linking PD and COVID-19, pronounced in comorbid individuals and characterized by interferon-driven innate immune activation, glial inflammatory responses, and dysregulation of lipid metabolic homeostasis. Collectively, the data support a model in which severe viral infection amplifies biological pathways already implicated in PD pathogenesis.

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Nigro-striatal deficits capture phenoconversion risk in isolated REM sleep behavior disorder

Johansson, M.; Baron, A.; Gaurav, R.; Ruze, A.; Dodet, P.; Kas, A.; Radhakrishnan, V.; Valabregue, R.; Villain, N.; Mangone, G.; Vidailhet, M.; Corvol, J.-C.; Arnulf, I.; Lehericy, S.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361210 medRxiv
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Isolated rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is characterized by nigro-striatal deficits, comprising dopaminergic denervation of the striatum and loss of dopaminergic cells in the substantia nigra (SN), that may herald phenoconversion to clinically manifest synucleinopathy. While phenoconversion has repeatedly been shown to relate to pre-synaptic dopaminergic deficits in the striatum, potential involvement of loss of dopaminergic cells in the SN remain unclear. In addition, phenoconversion may independently relate to noradrenergic deficits, stemming from cell loss in the locus coeruleus/subcoeruleus (LC/LsC) complex. Fifty-six iRBD patients were included and clinically followed over an 11-years as part of the ICEBERG study. Putamen dopamine denervation was quantified using 123I-FP-CIT single-photon emission computed tomography. Cell loss in the SN and LC/LsC was quantified using neuromelanin-sensitive magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). SN cell loss was additionally characterized as free water, derived from diffusion-weighted MRI. The primary outcome was time to phenoconversion. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to investigate relationships between phenoconversion risk and imaging predictors, estimated as hazard ratios (HRs). Out of 56 patients, 24 (41%) converted to a clinically manifest synucleinopathy [PD=14 (58%), DLB=8 (33%), MSA=2 (8%)] over a maximum period of 11 years. We replicated the well-established finding that reduced putamen DaT confers an increased phenoconversion risk [HR (95%CI)=3.1 (1.7-5.5), P<0.001]. We extend on this by showing a similar relationship for SN neuromelanin [HR (95%CI)=2.5 [1.3-4.6], P=0.004], SN free water [HR (95%CI)=1.54 (1.06-2.24), P=0.025], and LC/LsC neuromelanin [HR (95%CI)=2.1 (1.2-3.7), P=0.011], demonstrating involvement of the broader nigro-striatal dopaminergic system along with potential involvement of noradrenergic neurotransmission. When adjusting for putamen DaT, the relationship between phenoconversion risk and SN neuromelanin was attenuated [P=0.16], suggesting partial overlap between the metrics. In contrast, when modelled together, SN neuromelanin [HR (95%CI)=2.8 (1.4-5.6), P=0.003] and LC/LsC neuromelanin [HR (95%CI)=2.3 (1.1-4.8), P=0.037] contributed to phenoconversion risk independently of each other, indicating a differential contribution of dopaminergic and noradrenergic neurotransmitter deficits to iRBD phenoconversion. We demonstrate that phenoconversion in iRBD relates similarly to dopaminergic denervation of the putamen and cell loss in the SN. This opens possibilities for using NM-MRI, which can simultaneously capture dopaminergic and noradrenergic deficits, as an alternative to nuclear imaging techniques when estimating phenoconversion risk in iRBD.

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Burr-Hole Intersection of Middle Meningeal Artery Branches and Recurrence in Chronic Subdural Haematoma: a Multicentre Retrospective Cohort Study

Saba, T. M.; Moudgil-Joshi, J.; Pandit, A. S.; Penn, J.; Mallon, D.; Marcus, H. J.; Grover, P.

2026-08-31 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361348 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Recurrence following burr-hole drainage of chronic subdural haematoma (cSDH) occurs in 10-25% of cases, sustained by neovascularisation of the subdural neomembrane supplied by the middle meningeal artery (MMA). MMA embolisation reduces recurrence; whether incidental burr-hole intersection of MMA branches during drainage confers similar benefit is unknown. Methods: We performed a multicentre retrospective cohort study of consecutive adults undergoing burr-hole drainage for cSDH at two UK tertiary neurosurgical centres. Postoperative thin-slice CT was used to classify burr-hole intersection of the underlying MMA groove (no hit, distal-branch hit or main-branch hit) and measure perpendicular burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance. Co-primary outcomes were radiological recurrence and recurrence requiring intervention. Patient-clustered multivariable logistic regression adjusted for prespecified clinical covariates and treating site. Results: 227 patients (284 operated hemispheres) were included. Radiological recurrence decreased from 34.4% with no branch hit to 22.9% with main-branch intersection, with the gradient confined predominantly to unilateral cSDH. Main-branch intersection was associated with lower adjusted odds of radiological recurrence in unilateral cSDH (adjusted OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.11- 0.81; P = .018), with a similar but non-significant association in the overall cohort (adjusted OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.26-1.07; P = .075). Burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance demonstrated a more consistent association: in the overall cohort, each 5-mm increase independently increased the odds of radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.04-1.82; P = .025). In unilateral cSDH, each 5-mm increase was independently associated with both radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.03-2.04; P = .034) and recurrence requiring intervention (adjusted OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.05-2.20; P = .027). Conclusion: Main-branch intersection of the middle meningeal artery during routine burr-hole surgery is associated with lower recurrence of unilateral cSDH, while the accompanying burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance gradient provides biologically plausible support for a dose-response relationship. Together, these findings provide mechanistic rationale for prospective evaluation of intentional neuronavigation-guided MMA targeting (BURR-MMA; NCT07549893).

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Paradoxical relief after seizures: a diagnostic signal distinguishing functional/dissociative from epileptic seizures

Masharani, A.; Koreki, A.; Marcelo, M.; Shalfrooshan, K.; Diamos, M.-A.; Santucci, C.; Pillai, K.; Bindman, D.; O'Sullivan, S.; Rugg-Gunn, F.; Sidhu, M.; Yogarajah, M.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26360607 medRxiv
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Objective: To determine whether paradoxical relief, feeling unusually better after a seizure compared to before it, is more common after functional/dissociative seizures (FDS) than epileptic seizures (ES), quantify its diagnostic accuracy, and explore its relationship with preictal symptoms. Methods: Consecutive patients admitted to a tertiary epilepsy unit for prolonged inpatient EEG monitoring underwent a structured clinical interview on admission, before final multidisciplinary diagnostic classification. Preictal dissociative and autonomic/somatic symptom burden was assessed using items adapted from established questionnaires. Diagnostic classification incorporated clinical history, seizure semiology, video electroencephalography findings, and collateral information. Patients with dual or indeterminate diagnoses were excluded. Associations with paradoxical relief were examined using logistic regression, followed by an exploratory mediation analysis. Results: Of 176 patients assessed, 66 with FDS and 65 with ES were included. Paradoxical relief was reported by 46/66 patients with FDS (69.7%) and 10/65 with ES (15.4%; unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 12.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.57 to 31.09). As a diagnostic signal for FDS, paradoxical relief had 69.7% sensitivity (95% CI 57.1 to 80.4), 84.6% specificity (95% CI 73.5 to 92.4), a positive likelihood ratio of 4.53 (2.51 to 8.19), and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.36 (0.24 to 0.52). FDS diagnosis remained independently associated with paradoxical relief after adjustment (OR 10.59, 95% CI 3.42 to 38.06). In a parallel mediation analysis, dissociative symptom burden showed a significant indirect effect, accounting for 19.5% of the association between diagnostic group and relief, whereas the indirect effect through somatic/autonomic symptom burden was not significant. Significance: Paradoxical relief is substantially more common after FDS than ES and may provide a simple, clinically useful diagnostic signal. Its absence does not exclude FDS, and the finding requires external validation. The association with dissociative symptoms is exploratory and supports prospective investigation of whether relief reflects transient resolution of a disturbed, disembodied preictal state.

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Cerebrospinal Fluid Myeloperoxidase Is Associated With Putamen Volume Beyond Neurofilament Light in Huntington's Disease

Clemsen, J. D.; Bockholt, H. J.; Adams, W. H.; Baker, B. T.; Bolton, J. L.; Calhoun, V. D.; Paulsen, J. S.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361663 medRxiv
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Background: The primary neuroanatomical site of Huntington-s disease (HD) pathology resides in the striatum and its atrophy identifies important disease progression from HD-ISS Stage 0 to Stage 1. Immune-associated proteins may capture variation in HD that is incompletely represented by markers of neuroaxonal injury. Objectives: To determine whether cerebrospinal-fluid myeloperoxidase contributes information about striatal volume loss beyond genetic disease burden and neurofilament light. Methods: Cross-sectional data from 88 persons with HD were analyzed. Cerebrospinal-fluid myeloperoxidase and neurofilament light were measured with a nucleic acid-linked immunosandwich assay. Normalized putamen volume was derived from structural magnetic resonance imaging. Linear regression adjusted for genetic disease burden and sex. Results: Higher neurofilament light was associated with smaller normalized putamen volume (standardized {beta} = -0.322, (P=.0066)). Higher myeloperoxidase was associated with larger normalized putamen volume after adjustment for genetic disease burden, sex, and neurofilament light (standardized {beta} = 0.183, (P=.0386)). Adding myeloperoxidase increased explained variance in striatal loss. Conclusions: Cerebrospinal fluid myeloperoxidase contributed modest incremental information about striatal volume in this cross-sectional sample. Independent longitudinal studies are needed to determine its biological source, temporal behavior, and potential biomarker value. Findings advance efforts to characterize multicomponent biological markers of HD.

8
Loss of RUBCN causes autophagy overdrive in a neurodevelopmental disorder with age-dependent neurodegeneration

Efthymiou, S.; Tabata, K.; Dafsari, H. S.; Schober, E.; Latza, C.; Isaoglu, M.; Abuelrub, A.; Rad, A.; Firoozfar, Z.; Turchetti, V.; Lin, R. Q.; Maroofian, R.; Wiethoff, S.; Afzal, E.; Zafar, F.; Rana, N.; McRae, A. M.; Kaiyrzhanov, R.; Guliyeva, U.; Gulieva, S.; Melikishvili, G.; Lespinasse, J.; Vitobello, A.; Denomme-Pichon, A.-S.; Wentzensen, I. M.; Mefford, H. C.; Briere, L. C.; A Walker, M.; A High, F.; Sweetser, D. A.; Kendall, M.; Franchi, M.; Brown, M.; Latner, D.; Joset, P.; Ivanovski, I.; Alfadhel, M.; Alluhaydan, I.; Frederiksen, A. S.; Arriens, V.; Hanker, B.; Mankad, K.; Guerin, J

2026-09-01 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26360298 medRxiv
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Pathogenic variants in RUBCN, encoding the Run domain Beclin-1 interacting and cysteine-rich domain-containing protein (Rubicon) have been implicated in autosomal recessive spinocerebellar ataxia 15 (SCAR15). However, the molecular mechanisms underlying disease pathogenesis remain poorly understood. Here, we report 18 individuals from 15 unrelated families harbouring biallelic RUBCN variants, who present with an aggressive neurodevelopmental disorder variably characterized by seizures, developmental delay, intellectual disability and movement abnormalities that cause regression, progressive brain atrophy and neurodegenerative features. Through functional characterization, we demonstrate that a subset of disease-associated putative truncating variants disrupt autophagy regulation. In Caenorhabditis elegans models, loss-of-function RUBCN variants result in an increased autophagic flux and impaired neuronal function, recapitulating key features in humans. Correspondingly, cellular assays reveal that nonsense and frameshift RUBCN variants lead to defective autophagy inhibition, underscoring a crucial role for RUBCN as a key negative autophagy regulator. Molecular dynamics simulations rank the eleven missense variants by structural effect, with p.Arg813Trp alone altering the target protein at both the local and the regional level and lying within the RAB7A-binding module that the truncating alleles remove altogether. Our findings establish and expand the RUBCN-related disorders as a clinically and molecularly distinct subset of autophagy-related diseases. By delineating both the genetic landscape and cellular consequences of Rubicon dysfunction, this study enhances our understanding of autophagy-related neurodevelopmental disorders and provides a foundation for future therapeutic investigations.

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Genomic Architecture of Migraine: A Multi ancestry GWAS Meta analysis of 2.5 Million Participants

Overstreet, C.; Galimberti, M.; Harsan, K. T.; Beck, S. E.; Hirsch, J.; Sariya, S.; Ferolito, B. R.; Zhou, Y.; Zhang, Y.; Weinheimer, E. I.; Lacobelle, A.; Nunez, Y.; The VA Million Veteran Program, ; Kranzler, H. R.; Gaziano, J. M.; Stein, M.; Gottschalk, C.; Choi, K. W.; Pereira, A. W.; Deak, J. D.; Pathak, G. A.; Levey, D. F.; Gelernter, J.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361638 medRxiv
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Migraine is a leading cause of disability, yet preventive treatment remains largely empirical despite the availability of several mechanistically distinct therapies. Genetic data can clarify mechanisms and therapeutic hypotheses when association signals are integrated with molecular and clinical data. We meta-analyzed migraine GWAS data from 12 European ancestry cohorts (206,893 cases and 2,093,175 controls) and four African ancestry cohorts (22,115 cases and 178,626 controls). We identified 311 lead variants in European-ancestry analyses and 316 lead variants in trans-ancestry analysis. Fine-mapping and transcriptome-wide analyses prioritized variants and genes implicated in sensory neuronal signaling, vascular tone, and immune regulation, with convergent evidence at several established loci including TRPM8 and PHACTR1. Drug-repurposing analyses identified therapeutic targets and compounds, including established migraine treatments and candidates requiring experimental validation. Genetic correlations, Mendelian randomization, and a phenome-wide scan linked migraine liability to psychiatric, pain, and gastrointestinal phenotypes. Together, these findings expand the known genetic architecture of migraine across ancestries and provide a genetics-led map connecting association signals with biological pathways, multimorbidity and candidate therapeutic mechanisms, providing a foundation for future functional and translational studies.

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Antiseizure Medication Administration Gaps Across the ICU-to-Floor Transfer: A Matched Within-Patient Comparison

Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Srour, A.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361462 medRxiv
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Objective: Whether a scheduled antiseizure medication (ASM) continues on schedule across the ICU-to-floor transfer has not been characterized. We quantified ASM administration-gap frequency across this transfer and compared it with gap frequency during matched non-transfer intervals in the same patient and drug. Methods: In this retrospective MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) cohort study, we identified epilepsy and status-epilepticus admissions with an ICU stay followed by floor transfer and a scheduled ASM order active at ICU departure. A gap was defined as an interval exceeding 1.5 times the expected dosing interval between the last ICU dose and first floor dose, or no further dose before discharge, and compared with a matched non-transfer control interval in the same patient and drug (paired McNemar test). A multivariable model evaluated six prespecified clinical predictors; sociodemographic variables were summarized descriptively. Results: Among 2,469 ASM transition-by-drug observations (1,583 admissions, 1,335 patients), an administration gap occurred in 251 (10.2%; 95% CI, 8.7%-11.7%). Gap frequency across the transfer exceeded frequency during matched non-transfer control intervals in the same patient and drug: a paired rate difference of 5.8 percentage points (95% CI, 4.4-7.1; 7.5% vs 1.7%; P = 7.3 x 10^-22) before the transfer and 6.4 percentage points (95% CI, 4.9-7.9; 8.9% vs 2.5%; P = 1.9 x 10^-23) after. Gap rates were similar for intravenous-available (9.9%) and oral-only (11.4%) drugs (rate difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% CI, -1.6 to 4.5; P = .34). None of six prespecified predictors reached significance after correction. Significance: An antiseizure medication administration gap occurred in approximately 1 of every 10 drug-transition observations at the ICU-to-floor transfer, exceeding matched non-transfer gap rates by 5.8 to 6.4 percentage points. This transfer-associated excess, rather than any single medication or patient characteristic, supports a structured medication-continuity check.

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Serial neoGFAP outperforms total GFAP for monitoring and 6-month outcome discrimination after moderate to severe traumatic brain injury: an exploratory single-site cohort study

Wang, K. K.; Cai, G.; Boukholda, K.; Kobeissy, F.; Elbayoumi, E.; Jackson, D.; Tehas, K.; Radeker, K.; DeLizza, A.; Popper, C.; Tsetsou, S.; Robertson, C.; Haskins, W. E.

2026-09-03 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361862 medRxiv
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Background: Serial glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) trajectories have become an important framework for contextualizing evolving secondary-injury pathophysiology after moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (msTBI). However, total GFAP pools release and clearance signals that may be less useful for longitudinal bedside decisions than a proteoform-resolved assay. We compared total GFAP with neoGFAP, defined here as calpain-generated GFAP proteoforms intended to index active astroglial proteolysis during the subacute phase. Methods: We analyzed 651 serial serum samples from 95 msTBI patients from a previously described single-site cohort. Total GFAP and neoGFAP were measured on the same MSD platform from 6 to 240 hours after injury. Early (6 to 72 h) and late (96 to 240 h) windows, data-derived tertiles, and serial trajectory summaries were calculated directly from serial samples. Models were benchmarked against age plus admission post-resuscitation Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and the admission IMPACT extended risk score using five-fold stratified cross-validation. Outcomes were unfavorable outcome (GOSE 1 to 4), less-than-good recovery (GOSE 1 to 6), Disability Rating Scale (DRS) [&ge;]15, mortality, and neuroimaging worsening at 6 months. Results: The cohort contributed 95 serial biomarker profiles, with 90 participants evaluable for 6-month GOSE and 89 for DRS. Unfavorable outcome occurred in 57/90 (63.3%), and less-than-good recovery in 79/90 (87.8%). For unfavorable outcome, IMPACT plus early neoGFAP reached AUROC 0.85 versus 0.84 for IMPACT plus early total GFAP and 0.81 for IMPACT alone. For less-than-good recovery, IMPACT plus late neoGFAP achieved AUROC 0.90 versus 0.84 for late total GFAP and 0.82 for IMPACT alone. Secondary analyses for DRS, mortality, and neuroimaging worsening showed smaller differences. Conclusions: In this retrospective analysis, neoGFAP provided clearer incremental value than total GFAP for recovery-oriented monitoring, especially when late-window reassessment of patients who remained at risk for less-than-good recovery was required. Results support prospective testing of neoGFAP as a pathophysiology-informed adjunct to serial bedside decision making, repeat-assessment thresholds, and recovery stratification.

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Incremental Value of CSF Biomarker-Integrated Classification of Cerebral Amyloid Angiopathy

Losa, M.; Cotta Ramusino, M.; Gandoglia, I.; Mazzacane, F.; Orso, B.; Lorenzini, L.; Donniaquio, A.; Massa, F.; Sentieri, E.; Gualco, L.; Perini, G.; De Franco, V.; Costa, A.; Bax, F.; Greenberg, S. M.; Kozberg, M. G.; Piazza, F.; Uccelli, A.; Schenone, A.; Del Sette, M.; Farina, L. M.; Roccatagliata, L.; Pardini, M.

2026-09-03 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361511 medRxiv
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Background: The Boston Criteria v2.0 represent the gold standard for diagnosing Cerebral Amyloid Angiopathy (CAA), but their application is currently precluded in mixed small vessel disease (SVD), where deep and lobar hemorrhages coexist. The aims of this study are: (i) to determine which cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarker (A{beta}42, A{beta}40, A{beta}42/40 ratio) is the best candidate to support the CAA diagnosis; (ii) to define a data-driven cut-off, and (iii) to explore if a biomarker-integrated classification significantly improves the phenotypical concordance with the suspected predominant SVD (CAA vs. arteriosclerosis). Methods: We analyzed data from a retrospective multicenter cohort of patients with suspected CAA, defined as probable CAA (Boston criteria v2.0) but allowing deep hemorrhagic lesions, and with available CSF biomarkers. We visually quantified MRI-visible SVD markers (e.g., cerebral microbleeds [CMB], cortical superficial siderosis [cSS], lacunes) and their association with MRI-visible SVD features. We employed a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to identify a data-driven threshold for amyloid positivity (A+). Then, we compared the prevalence of MRI-visible manifestations of SVD between subgroups applying different frameworks, namely the current MRI-based classification (probable CAA vs. mixed SVD) and a CSF biomarker-integrated classification (A+ vs. A-). Results: We enrolled 121 patients (age: 72 [66-77] years; 60% probable CAA, 40% mixed SVD with suspected CAA). The CSF A{beta}42/40 ratio showed a bimodal distribution and consistent associations with all CAA-specific radiological features. The CSF biomarker-integrated reclassification, particularly using the GMM cut-off, significantly improved the distinction between subgroups regarding CAA- and arteriosclerosis-related MRI features (e.g., cSS presence: probable CAA vs. mixed SVD: aOR=2.84 [95%CI 1.27-6.39], p=0.011; A+ vs. A-: aOR=12.68 [95%CI 4.31-37.32], p<0.001; deep lacunes presence: probable CAA vs. mixed SVD: aOR=0.20 [95%CI 0.08-0.50], p<0.001; A+ vs. A-: aOR=0.04 [95%CI 0.01-0.11], p<0.001). Notably, patients classified as A+ never demonstrated more than four deep CMBs. Discussion: A CSF biomarker-integrated classification may improve the classification of CAA compared with the current MRI-based framework. These findings are cohort-specific and would benefit from further validation, especially with a neuropathological reference. Still, these results support a future transition toward an integrated biological-radiological framework, which may refine in vivo CAA diagnosis, particularly in mixed SVD.

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Treatment response biomarkers in early Alzheimers disease: longitudinal trajectories, sample size estimates, and the impact of progression variability

Oosthoek, M.; Leistra, A.; Hok-A-Hin, Y. S.; Tanck, M. W. T.; Okuda, T.; in 't Veld, L.; Aladdin, A.; van Bokhoven, P.; Tijms, B.; Jutten, R. J.; Scheltens, P.; Vijverberg, E. G. B.; Teunissen, C. E.; Vermunt, L.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361425 medRxiv
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Background Fluid biomarkers enable the demonstration of the biological effects of novel therapies in Alzheimers disease (AD). However, longitudinal biomarker data are sparse and sample size calculations for fluid biomarkers are often lacking. Here, we provided longitudinal CSF and plasma AD biomarkers measured in samples collected in a placebo arm in a 1.5-year phase 2b trial, allowing us to study natural trajectories, required sample sizes and heterogeneity in early AD clinical trials. Methods We studied individuals from the placebo group (MCI due to AD (n=65) and AD dementia (n=41)) of the T-817MA trial (NCT04191486) with positive CSF AD biomarkers (mean age=69(7) years, Female=63%). Longitudinal biomarker changes in CSF (A{beta}42, A{beta}40, A{beta}42/40, pTau181, pTau217, NFL, tTau, YKL40, NRGN, ABL1, CHIT1, CLEC5A, ITGB2, MMP10, SDC4, SPON2, THBD) and plasma biomarkers (A{beta}42, A{beta}40, A{beta}42/40, pTau181, pTau217, NFL, GFAP) were analyzed with linear mixed-effect models. Required sample size estimates for predefined treatment effects were generated. Lastly, we investigated the influence of between person variability in biomarker change by simulating a randomized clinical trial (1:1) 10000 times, and assessed the group differences at 1.5 years. Findings Fourteen biomarkers changed over time, with the largest annual changes observed for plasma pTau217 (+9.8%), CSF MMP10 (+7.1%), and CSF NFL (+6.9%), and CSF A{beta}40 by (-4.0%), CSF pTau217 (-3.0%), and CSF NRGN (-2.5%). To show a 30% change, similar to biomarker effects of approved AD drugs, almost all markers required less than 45 patients per trial arm. To reach normalized levels, established CSF markers required lower sample sizes than plasma markers. The effects of heterogeneity over time were approximately twice as large in plasma compared to CSF. Interpretation These findings offer insights into the biomarker trajectories and power in early AD, supporting more informed endpoint selection and forming a frame of reference for the interpretation of treatment effects in clinical trials.

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Proteoform-resolved neoGFAP as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker across the TBI--MCI--AD continuum in Veterans

Haskins, W. E.; Wang, K. K.; Cai, G.; Boukholda, K.; Elbayoumi, E.; Bajpai, R.; Jackson, D.; Tehas, K.; Radeker, K.; DeLizza, A.; Popper, C.; Kiendl, M.; Badrnya, S.; Miholits, M.; Jellbauer, S.; Kilbaugh, T.; Okumu, F.; Puccio, A.; Gardner, R. C.; Manley, G.; Williamson, J. B.; Waters, A. B.; Li, G. G.; Peskind, E. R.

2026-09-03 neurology 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361845 medRxiv
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Service members with traumatic brain injury are at approximately two- to four-fold higher risk of Alzheimer's disease or related dementias than those without such an injury, with risk increasing with injury severity. The amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration biomarker framework treats amyloid, tau, and neurodegeneration as independent axes but omits astroglial injury, despite evidence that reactive astrogliosis (indexed by glial fibrillary acidic protein, GFAP) must be elevated for cognitive decline to occur in amyloid-positive individuals. Total GFAP immunoassays aggregate intact protein with multiple calpain- and caspase-cleaved proteoforms, blurring the biological signal. We compared a calpain-cleaved GFAP neoepitope, the glial fibrillary acidic protein neoepitope (neoGFAP), against total GFAP across the full traumatic brain injury--mild cognitive impairment--Alzheimer's disease continuum in Veterans using a two-stage plasma-to-cerebrospinal-fluid biomarker approach. A plasma triage gate combining phosphorylated tau 217 and amyloid beta 42 was applied to 367 unique subjects; a cerebrospinal-fluid benchmarking cohort of 57 subjects (controls, chronic blast traumatic brain injury, mild cognitive impairment, and Alzheimer's disease) received head-to-head neoGFAP and total GFAP measurement. In the whole benchmarking cohort, neoGFAP discriminated mild cognitive impairment plus Alzheimer's disease from non-Alzheimer subjects with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.81 versus 0.73 for total GFAP, a trend-level advantage that did not reach nominal significance. Within the gate-positive, amyloid-committed subset of 23 subjects, neoGFAP dominance became significant by McNemar's exact test (six discordant subjects favored neoGFAP, none the reverse). Across diagnostic contrasts, neoGFAP outperformed total GFAP for Alzheimer's disease versus control and, importantly for Veterans, for mild cognitive impairment versus chronic blast-exposed Veterans without cognitive impairment. In chronic blast injury, neoGFAP was paradoxically depleted relative to controls, consistent with tissue sequestration of aggregated proteoform fragments. Unbiased proteomic profiling confirmed coordinated elevation across astrocytic, neuronal, mitochondrial, and microglial compartments. An exploratory subject-level reclassification improved accuracy from 71.1 percent using plasma alone to 79.5 percent with added cerebrospinal-fluid markers and age. In a same-cohort ProQuantum replication (n=57), CSF neoGFAP preserved its discrimination advantage over total GFAP for MCI+AD versus non-AD (AUROC 0.76 vs 0.72; cross-platform Spearman {rho}=0.84), while plasma neoGFAP achieved AUROC 0.90, comparable to pTau217 (0.92) and exceeding A{beta}42/40 (0.84). In this small sample, neoGFAP is a superior proteoform-resolved diagnostic and prognostic biomarker across the continuum and supports adding an astroglial-proteoform axis to amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration biomarker frameworks in high-risk populations.

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The LRRK2 R1441G+M1646T haplotype is associated with slower motor symptom progression in Parkinson's disease

Schumacher, J. G.; Zhang, X.; Wang, J.; Chen, X.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361428 medRxiv
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Background: Mutations in leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) are the most common genetic risk factor for Parkinson's disease (PD). G2019S, the most common pathogenic variant, has been linked to milder motor symptoms, but the effects of other LRRK2 variants on disease trajectory remain incompletely characterized. R1441G, the second most common pathogenic variant, co-occurs with the PD risk variant M1646T on a shared haplotype. Whether this haplotype confers a distinct rate of motor progression has not been established. Methods: We analyzed up to 12 years of longitudinal data from 603 participants in the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) with PD and available whole-genome sequencing data: 394 sporadic PD, 169 G2019S carriers, 20 R1441G+M1646T carriers, and 20 M1646T carriers. Motor symptom progression (MDS-UPDRS III) was assessed using linear mixed-effects models with genotype-by-time interactions, adjusted for age at onset, disease duration at baseline, sex, race, baseline score, and levodopa equivalent daily dose. Results: R1441G+M1646T carriers exhibited 76% slower progression in OFF-state MDS-UPDRS III than sporadic PD (0.50 vs. 2.04 points/year; {beta}=-1.54 [95% CI: -2.48, -0.60]; p=0.001). G2019S carriers exhibited 26% slower progression (1.52 points/year; {beta}=-0.52 [-0.99, -0.06]; p=0.03). M1646T carriers did not differ from sporadic PD (p=0.60). Slower progression in R1441G+M1646T carriers was characterized by attenuated bradykinesia (64% slower; p=0.008), axial decline (76% slower; p=0.002), and a lack of orofacial symptom progression (p<0.001). R1441G+M1646T carriers also exhibited 55% slower self-reported motor decline (MDS-UPDRS II; p=0.04) Conclusions: R1441G+M1646T carriers exhibit substantially slower motor progression than sporadic PD while M1646T carriers do not.

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From genes to pathways: genetic convergence in early-onset Parkinsons disease in India

Menon, R.; Khan, A. I.; Elangovan, D.; Kandadai, R. M.; Goyal, V.; Desai, S. D.; Joshi, D.; Kumar, H.; Wadia, P. M.; Mukherjee, A.; Kumar, N.; Mehta, S.; Geetha, T. S.; Sandeep, C.; Murugan, S.; Ayathu Venkat, M.; Shah, H. S.; Paramanandam, V.; Chandarana, M. v.; Yadav, R.; Dhamija, R. K.; Pal, P. K.; Biswas, A.; Gupta, R.; Borgohain, R.; Vedam, R. L.; Kukkle, P. L.

2026-09-03 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361762 medRxiv
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Parkinsons disease (PD) arises through disruption of multiple interconnected cellular processes, but the genetic contributions to these processes may differ across ancestries. We investigated functional convergence among genes harboring pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants and variants of uncertain significance (VUS) in a multicenter Indian cohort recruited through the Genetics of Parkinsons Disease in India Young Onset Parkinsons Disease project (GOPI YOPD). The cohort included 668 participants (463 males 69.3%) with a mean age at motor onset of 39.4+/-8.8 years. P/LP variants and VUS identified through previously reported whole-exome or whole genome sequencing were retained as separate evidential categories. The P/LP-associated gene set comprised 11 unique genes and the VUS associated set comprised 40 unique genes. Separate STRING functional-enrichment analyses evaluated Gene Ontology Biological Process, Molecular Function and Cellular Component terms, KEGG pathways, WikiPathways and STRING local network clusters. Terms meeting a Benjamini Hochberg false discovery rate threshold of <0.05 were organized into eight non-mutually-exclusive ontology/pathway categories. Gene to pathway mappings were subsequently projected to individual participants to estimate pathway representation and examine clinical associations. At least one reportable P/LP variant or VUS was identified in 336/668 participants (50.3%): 35 had a P/LP variant alone, 282 had VUS alone and 19 had a P/LP variant together with VUS in one or more additional genes. The most frequently represented categories were mitochondrial organization (247/336, 73.5%), autophagy related processes (228/336, 67.9%) and regulation of synaptic vesicle transport (201/336, 59.8%). PRKN was the most frequent P/LP-associated gene, occurring in 29/54 P/LP carriers, followed by PLA2G6 and PINK1. Lysosomal transport was represented exclusively by VUS-associated genes, particularly GBA1, VPS13C and LRRK2. Among P/LP carriers, additional VUS in distinct genes were not associated with age at onset (P = 0.81) or family history (52.6% versus 31.4%; P = 0.15). No pathway phenotype association remained significant after correction for multiple testing. Genetic findings in this Indian cohort converged across an interconnected mitochondrial autophagic lysosomal vesicular network, with different contributions from P/LP-associated and VUS associated gene sets. This study provides the first pathway resolved South Asian genetic profile and a framework for comparative studies across populations.

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Big tau and brain-derived tau reveal peripheral and central nervous system involvement in neuropathies

Martin-Aguilar, L.; Gonzalez-Ortiz, F.; Zetterberg, H.; Karikari, T. K.; Suarez-Calvet, M.; Casasnovas, C.; Gutierrez-Gutierrez, G.; Sedano-Tous, M. J.; Pardo-Fernandez, J.; Marquez-Infante, C.; Rojas-Marcos, I.; Jerico-Pascual, I.; Martinez-Hernandez, E.; Moris de la Tassa, G.; Dominguez-Gonzalez, C.; Sevilla, T.; Pelayo, A. L.; Rojas-Garcia, R.; Collet-Vidiella, R.; Codes-Mendez, H.; Caballero-Avila, M.; Tejada-Illa, C.; Lleixa, C.; Riesco-Navarro, G.; Blanco-Sanroman, N.; Mederer-Fernandez, T.; Panicot-Buj, L.; Pascual-Goni, E.; Vidal-Jordana, A.; Blennow, K.; Kvartsberg, H.; Querol, L.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361202 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Biomarkers for monitoring disease activity and treatment response in peripheral neuropathies remain limited. Big tau, a high-molecular-weight isoform of tau, is predominantly expressed in the peripheral nervous system (PNS). We investigated serum levels of big tau, brain-derived tau (BD-tau), and neurofilament light chain (NfL) in peripheral neuropathies, multiple sclerosis (MS), Alzheimer disease (AD), and healthy controls (HC). METHODS: Ultra-sensitive blood-based assays run on an HD-X Single Molecule Array analyser (Quanterix) were used to measure big tau and BD-tau in serum from patients with Guillain-Barr&eacute syndrome (GBS, n=81), Miller Fisher syndrome (MFS, n=20), Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease (CMT, n=102), chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP, n=43), MS (n=159), AD (n=20), and HC (n=41). NfL was measured in patients with neuropathies using an SR-X Single Molecule Array analyser (Quanterix). RESULTS: Serum big tau levels were higher in GBS than in AD (11.4 vs 2.4 pg/mL, p<0.0001) and MS (11.4 vs 9.0 pg/mL, p=0.01), and similar to CIDP and CMT. Contrarily, serum BD-tau levels in GBS were higher than in CIDP (3.0 vs 2.3 pg/mL, p=0.006) and MS (3.0 vs 1.7 pg/mL, p<0.0001), but similar to CMT, and lower than in AD (3.0 vs 9.8 pg/mL, p<0.0001). Serum NfL levels were higher in GBS than in CIDP (32.5 vs 13.0 pg/mL, p=0.0002), CMT (32.5 vs 12.3 pg/mL, p<0.0001), and HC (32.5 vs 7.6 pg/mL, p<0.0001). Compared with GBS, MFS patients showed higher BD-tau (12.7 vs 3.0 pg/mL, p=0.003), lower big tau (5.4 vs 11.4 pg/mL, p=0.002), and higher NfL levels, although the latter did not reach statistical significance (118.3 vs 32.5 pg/mL, p=0.16). The NfL/big tau ratio was significantly higher in MFS than in GBS, CIDP, and CMT. In GBS, BD-tau correlated with early clinical severity (MRC at 1 week; I-RODS at 4 weeks; maximum GBS-DS and GBS-DS at 4 weeks), whereas neither tau biomarker showed long-term clinical correlations. Higher BD-tau and big tau levels were associated with the need for mechanical ventilation (BD-tau: 8.6 vs 2.9 pg/mL, p=0.019; big tau: 19.7 vs 10.7 pg/mL, p=0.007), while higher BD-tau levels were associated with mortality (10.9 vs 2.9 pg/mL, p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Higher big tau levels in peripheral neuropathies than in CNS diseases support its role as a PNS-specific biomarker. In MFS, increased serum BD-tau, reduced big tau, and an elevated NfL/big tau ratio suggest CNS involvement with relative preservation of the PNS.

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Temporal Clustering of Acute Neurological Disorders: Testing the Clinical Impression of Diagnostic 'Theme Shifts'

Haertel, L. A. L.; Jaeger, A.; Riethues, F.; von Itter, J.; Lee, H.; Hause, S.; Meuth, S.; Schmidt-Pogoda, A.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361586 medRxiv
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Background: On-call clinicians frequently report the anecdotal impression of 'theme shifts' during which specific acute neurological diagnoses appear to cluster. Whether such clustering reflects a statistically true and reproducible phenomenon has not been systematically investigated; the present paper examines seasonality and temporal clustering within six different acute neurological conditions. Methods: In this retrospective, single-center cohort study, we identified all patients admitted to a tertiary neurological department between July 2016 and June 2026 with acute unilateral vestibulopathy, cerebral artery dissection, generalized epileptic seizures, primary intracerebral hemorrhage, peripheral facial nerve palsy, or transient global amnesia (TGA) (n = 2,140). Monthly and seasonal distributions were assessed using chi-squared goodness-of-fit and cosinor analysis. Short-term temporal clustering was tested by Monte Carlo permutation across time windows from 24 hours to 90 days, and endogenous cluster dynamics were characterized using Hawkes self-exciting point process modeling. Results: Admissions for generalized epileptic seizures showed a statistically significant deviation from a uniform monthly distribution with a winter distribution (p<0.001 and q = 0.002), and a significant temporal clustering across time windows from 72 hours to 90 days (all q < 0.05). Peripheral facial nerve palsy presented significant clustering at the 90-day window (q = 0.029) and TGA at 60-day time window (q = 0.041) without seasonality; the diagnostic groups of acute unilateral vestibulopathy, cerebral artery dissection and primary intracerebral hemorrhage showed neither seasonality nor clustering after correction for multiple comparison. No diagnostic group showed clustering within a 24-hour window, statistically significant self-excitation in Hawkes process modelling, or a significant linear trend in monthly case counts over the study period. Conclusion: The anecdotal impression of diagnostic 'theme shifts' among on-call neurologists appears to have a measurable basis, although clustering is confined to specific conditions and rather on a time scale of weeks to months. Generalized epileptic seizures were the only diagnostic group that uniquely combined seasonality with temporal clustering, suggesting a shared trigger, while facial palsy and TGA showed episodic, yet non-seasonal clustering.

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RGC-specific reversal of lipid peroxidation drives neuroprotection and vision restoration in optic nerve ischemia by targeting GPX4

Yang, M.; Pan, J.; Modgil, S.; Pujari, R.; Pan, C.; Alkhabaz, A.; Ren, X.; Liu, L.; Shariati, M. A.; Ahmed, T.; Wu, H.; Dalal, R.; Liao, Y. J.

2026-08-29 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.25.747113 medRxiv
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Nonarteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION) is the leading cause of acute optic nerve related vision loss in older adults, yet no disease modifying therapy exists. Although ischemia is a defining feature of NAION, prior therapeutic efforts targeting vascular insufficiency or nonspecific oxidative stress have failed to prevent irreversible retinal ganglion cell (RGC) degeneration, underscoring an unresolved mechanistic gap between ischemic insult and permanent axonal failure. In this endeavour, we identify lipid peroxidation as an important driver of neurodegeneration in NAION. Analyses of human NAION retina, together with a rigorously validated mouse model, demonstrated a remarkable activation of phospholipid peroxidation within the retina following ischemic injury. RGC-specific overexpression of glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4), the only known enzyme capable of directly detoxifying phospholipid hydroperoxides within biological membranes, confers striking protection of RGC survival, axonal integrity, and visual function. We further demonstrate that mitochondrial-targeted GPX4 provides superior protection, suggesting mitochondria as a critical locus of lipid peroxidation-driven vulnerability in NAION. Leveraging real-time multiparametric in vivo imaging to directly interrogate axonal metabolism and function, we demonstrate that RGC-specific GPX4 overexpression robustly restores axonal and retinal mitochondrial abundance, improves ATP bioenergetics, and suppresses superoxide stress following optic nerve ischemia. Mitochondria-targeted GPX4 expression further restores axonal transport and retinofugal projections to central visual targets, thereby stabilizing visual pathway connectivity. Notably, these neuroprotective effects are recapitulated by Ebselen, a clinically tested GPX mimetic, identifying lipid peroxide detoxification as a translatable and imaging-validated therapeutic strategy. Collectively, this work establishes ischemia-induced lipid peroxidation as an essential driver of neurodegeneration in NAION and identifies GPX4 as a key molecular determinant of retinal ganglion cell resilience.

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Revascularisation versus amputation for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical outcomes and patient characteristics

Green, J. L.; Davies, H.; Russell, D. A.

2026-08-31 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361311 medRxiv
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Background: The relative merits of infrainguinal bypass and primary major lower limb amputation (MLLA) for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) remain uncertain, and the baseline profiles of patients selected for each strategy are poorly described. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and prospectively registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022356094). MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL were searched from inception to March 2025. Prospective studies of adults with CLTI undergoing primary infrainguinal bypass or primary MLLA were eligible. Mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and subsequent amputation outcomes were synthesised using random-effects meta-analysis of proportions. Baseline comorbidity profiles were also extracted. Results: Twenty-seven studies involving 6,576 patients were included: 5,779 underwent infrainguinal bypass and 797 underwent MLLA. After bypass, pooled mortality was 3.7% at 30 days (95% CI 2.8%-4.9%, I2 = 49.4%), 18.5% at 1 year (95% CI 15.6%-21.9%, I2 = 62.3%), and 54.3% at 5 years (95% CI 50.5%-58.0%, I2 = 0%). After MLLA, pooled mortality was 9.2% at 30 days (95% CI 4.1%-19.3%, I2 = 73.5%), 28.5% at 1 year (95% CI 13.3%-51.0, I2 = 70.8%), and 39.9% at 2 years (95% CI 0.3%-99.3, I2 = 90.5%), although longer-term estimates were limited by sparse data and marked heterogeneity. Thirty-day MACE was 6.5% (95% CI 4.3%-9.7, I2 = 63.5%) after bypass and 2.8% after MLLA (95% CI 0.1%-37.6%, I2 = 0%). Early subsequent major amputation after bypass occurred in 3.9% of patients (95% CI 2.0%-7.7%, I2 = 91.2%), rising to 16.2% at 1 year (95% CI 12.6%-20.5%, I2 = 82.0%) and 33.3% at 3 years (95% CI 20.1%-49.8%, I2 = 0%). Early re-amputation after MLLA occurred in 10.9% of patients (95% CI 4.5%-24.4%, I2 = 40.3%). Baseline comorbidity burden was high in both groups, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. Conclusions: CLTI carries a poor prognosis regardless of treatment strategy. Infrainguinal bypass is associated with lower early mortality and better early limb preservation than primary MLLA, but long-term survival remains poor and later limb failure is common. Primary MLLA is not a low-risk alternative. Better contemporary comparative evidence utilising modern causal inference approaches is needed to support individualised decision-making.