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Atherosclerosis

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Atherosclerosis's content profile, based on 29 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.08% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Epitranscriptomic profiling of VSMC phenotypes reveals uridine modifications linked to post-transcriptional regulation

Reinberger, T.; Ismail, A.; Falk, T.; Fuss, J.; Wiechert, A.; Hammer, E.; Zeller, T.; Wohlers, I.

2026-03-28 molecular biology 10.64898/2025.12.19.694735 medRxiv
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Background: Vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs) phenotypic plasticity can modulate atherosclerosis progression. Although several gene regulatory steps towards pro-inflammatory phenotypes have been well-studied, epitranscriptomic changes during this transition and their regulatory roles remain unexplored. Methods and Results: Primary human VSMCs were stimulated with TGF-{beta}1 to induce an atheroprotective, contractile, and matrix-producing state and with IL1-{beta} plus PDGF-BB to induce a highly energetic, pro-inflammatory state, confirmed by Illumina bulk RNA sequencing and proteomics. Untargeted screening of mRNA base modifications using Oxford Nanopore Technologies direct RNA sequencing and xPore analysis revealed enhanced uridine modification within a GUUUU motif in pro-inflammatory VSMCs. Modified uridines were enriched in 3'-UTR and accessible RNA structures, with implications on Poly(A) tail dynamics and miRNA binding. Conclusions: Atheroprotective and pro-atherogenic treatments induce distinct epitranscriptomic landscapes composed of different modification types, often co-localized in the same transcript. Modified uridines in mRNAs are abundant in a high-energy, pro-inflammatory VSMC state and associated with post-transcriptional regulation. In summary, epitranscriptomics adds a novel regulatory layer to VSMC phenotypic transitions critical for atherosclerosis development and progression.

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Liver Biomarker Improves AHA/ACC 10-year ASCVD Risk Prediction in US and China Cohorts with ML

Peng, T.; Liu, C. l.

2026-04-23 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351466 medRxiv
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Introduction: Accurate stratification of hard atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk remains challenging despite advances in prevention. Liver function biomarkers (LFBs), particularly gamma - glutamyl transferase (GGT), have been linked to cardiovascular outcomes, yet their contribution to hard ASCVD risk prediction is not well defined. Methods: This study analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2005 - 2018) to assess cross - sectional associations between LFBs and 10 - year hard ASCVD risk estimated by the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations. Multivariable regression, restricted cubic splines, and mediation analyses were applied to examine independent and dose - response relationships. External validation was performed in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and NHANES using machine learning models (CoxBoost, Naive Bayes and Random Forest). Results: Among 5,731 NHANES participants, GGT showed an independent linear association with hard ASCVD risk (P - trend = 0.003), partly mediated by systolic blood pressure (44.8%), HbA1c (19.0%), and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (13.4%). Machine learning (ML) models incorporating GGT, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and globulin alongside traditional risk factors improved predictive accuracy, with Naive Bayes achieving an AUC of 0.751 in NHANES validation. Conclusions: GGT is an independent and biologically plausible biomarker of hard ASCVD risk, acting through cardiometabolic pathways. Incorporating LFBs into risk prediction models, particularly with machine learning, enhances risk stratification and may facilitate early identification of high - risk individuals.

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Dual Control of LDL-cholesterol Levels by ANGPTL3 and ANGPTL8

Xu, Y.; Luo, F.; Fletcher, J.; Inigo, M. M.; Burgess, S.; Liang, G.; Kinch, L. N.; Cohen, J. C.; Hobbs, H.

2026-04-01 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.03.30.715445 medRxiv
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BACKGROUNDInactivation of ANGPTL3 (angiopoietin-like protein 3, A3) is a proven therapeutic strategy for lowering plasma lipid levels independently of the LDL receptor (LDLR), yet the optimal approach to inactivate A3 remains unclear. A3 is proteolytically cleaved and circulates as full-length (A3-FL), N-terminal (A3-Nter) and C-terminal (A3-Cter) fragments. The specific contribution of each form of A3, and of its paralog, ANGPTL8 (A8), in modulating circulating levels of ApoB-Containing Lipoproteins (ABCLs) remain poorly defined. Clarifying these relationships will inform next-generation A3-directed therapies. METHODSWe performed liver perfusion studies to directly compare the number and composition of VLDL particles secreted from mice with and without A3. To amplify effects on cholesterol metabolism, we generated Ldlr-/- mice expressing wildtype A3 (A3-WT), A3-FL or A3-Nter, with or without co-expression of A8, and analyzed plasma lipids, circulating A3 and A8 complexes, and intravascular lipase activities. Complementary in vitro assays and structural modeling were used to assess relative endothelial lipase (EL) inhibition by A3 alone or in complex with A8. RESULTSLiver perfusion studies revealed that A3 inactivation does not alter the rates of hepatic secretion of VLDL in wildtype or Ldlr-/- mice. Inactivation of A8 alone lowered plasma LDL-cholesterol (C) levels by [~]20%, an effect dependent upon the expression of both EL and A3. Maximal inhibition of lipoprotein lipase (LPL) required co-expression of A8 plus both A3-FL and A3-Nter, indicating that A3 cleavage, in addition to A8 expression, is essential for maximal LPL inhibition. In contrast, A8 expression, but not A3 cleavage, was required for optimal EL inhibition. CONCLUSIONSA8 acts in concert with A3 to differentially modulate LPL- and EL-mediated lipolysis, which antagonizes hepatic clearance of newly-secreted atherogenic ABCLs. This mechanistic framework refines our understanding of A3-targeted lipid lowering and highlights the therapeutic potential of dual A3- plus A8-directed strategies to treat dyslipidemia and prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Clinical perspectiveO_ST_ABSWhat is new?C_ST_ABSO_LIInactivation of A3 lowers circulating ABCL levels without altering hepatic secretion rates of VLDL-ApoB or -TG. C_LIO_LIProteolytic cleavage of A3 is required for maximal inhibition of LPL. C_LIO_LIInactivation of A8 lowers LDL-C levels through an A3- and EL-dependent, but LDLR-independent, mechanism. C_LI What are the clinical implications?O_LICombining A8 inhibition with A3-inactivating therapies offers a strategy to achieve greater reduction in LDL-C levels and atherosclerotic cardiovascular risk. C_LI

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Shared Genetic Architecture and Causal Relationship Between Diabetes, Glycemic Traits, and Cerebral Small Vessel Disease

Lee, K.-J.; Lee, J.-Y.; Lee, S. J.; Bae, H.-J.; Sung, J.

2026-04-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351065 medRxiv
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Background: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has long been considered a risk factor for cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD), yet the exact relationship between glycemic markers and cSVD remains unclear. This study explores the genetic overlap and causal associations between T2DM, glycemic indices, and cSVD phenotypes using genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Methods: Using large consortium-based GWAS data, we examined relationships between T2DM, glycemic indicators (glycated hemoglobin, fasting glucose, 2-hour glucose after oral challenge, and fasting insulin), and cSVD phenotypes (white matter hyperintensity volume, lacunar stroke, cerebral microbleeds, and enlarged perivascular spaces). Our multi-level genomic strategy included: 1) identifying pleiotropic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) through PLEIO and eQTL analysis, 2) assessing genome-wide genetic correlations using LDSC and GNOVA, and 3) determining causal relationships with two-sample and multivariable Mendelian randomization analyses. Results: We identified 14 pleiotropic SNPs with significant shared associations among T2DM, glycemic indicators, and cSVD phenotypes. Notably, MICB gene expression was elevated in brain, vascular, and pancreatic tissues, while three HLA genes (HLA-DQA1, HLA-DRB1 and HLA-DRB5) showed reduced expression. Genetic correlation analysis revealed positive correlations between T2DM, fasting glucose, and postprandial glucose with multiple cSVD phenotypes including WMH, lacunar stroke, and perivascular spaces. Mendelian randomization demonstrated that T2DM, 2-hour glucose, and HbA1c level causally increased lacunar stroke risk (OR 1.16 [1.09-1.23], OR 1.46 [1.20-1.77], OR 1.52 [1.04-2.23], respectively). Multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis confirmed that T2DM and postprandial glucose maintained a robust direct effect on lacunar stroke independent of other cSVD phenotypes, while HbA1c did not retain significance after conditioning on cSVD imaging markers. Conclusions: Our multi-level genomic analysis reveals links between T2DM, glycemic traits, and cSVD through specific genetic variants, genome-wide correlations, and causal relationships. The involvement of immune-related genes suggests potential biological mechanisms. The causal effect of postprandial glucose on lacunar stroke suggests that impaired glucose tolerance may be a relevant therapeutic target for lacunar stroke prevention.

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Association of coronary artery bypass with cognitive impairment in coronary artery disease across APO (ε) genotypes in AllofUS

Hariharan, P.; Bagheri, M.; Asamoah, E.; Voiculescu, I.; Singh, P.; Machipisa, T.; Pottinger, T.; Opekun, A.

2026-04-17 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350734 medRxiv
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STRUCTERED ABSTRACTO_ST_ABSBACKGROUNDC_ST_ABSCoronary artery bypass graft (CABG) is a widely performed procedure for coronary artery disease (CAD), yet its association with Impaired Cognition (IC), i.e., mild-cognitive impairment or all-cause dementia, while accounting for APO ({varepsilon}) genotype, remains unclear. METHODSWe analyzed AllofUS participants with CAD (Age[≥]60 yrs) from 2017-2023. We defined CAD as a history of angina/myocardial infarction/chronic ischemic heart disease or having percutaneous coronary intervention/CABG, and IC as mild cognitive impairment or all-cause dementia using ICD/SNOMED codes. We performed logistic regression analyses to assess the association between CABG and IC, adjusting for clinical factors (age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, depression, stroke, smoking, alcohol use, statin/antihypertensive/antidiabetic use), social determinants (self-reported race/ethnicity, income, employment), and APO ({varepsilon}) genotypes. We further performed stratified analyses across APO ({varepsilon}) genotypes ({varepsilon}2/{varepsilon}2, {varepsilon}2/{varepsilon}3 {varepsilon}3/{varepsilon}3, {varepsilon}2/{varepsilon}4, {varepsilon}3/{varepsilon}4, {varepsilon}4/{varepsilon}4). We defined significance at p [≤] 0.05. RESULTSWe included 22,349 with CAD and identified 908 with IC after CAD till 2023. 40% were females, 70% were White, 12% were Black, and 9% were Hispanic. The proportion of IC was higher (5.1% vs 3.5%, p=1e-08) in CABG (n=8,135) vs non-CABG (n=14,214). After adjusting for clinical factors, social determinants, and APO ({varepsilon}) genotypes, CABG (1.23;1.06-1.41, p = 0.005) was associated with IC. In APO ({varepsilon}) stratified analysis, the association of CABG with IC was strongest in the APO {varepsilon}2/{varepsilon}3 group (1.91;1.21-3.02, p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONIn the AllofUS cohort, we observed an association between CABG and IC in CAD participants, with the strongest association in the APO {varepsilon}2/{varepsilon}3 group. Key MessageO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSCoronary artery disease (CAD) and Impaired Cognitive (IC) disease, i.e., mild cognitive impairment and all-cause dementia, share genetic, sociodemographic, and clinical factors, including cardiovascular conditions like coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) procedure. What this study addsWe observed an association between CABG and IC in CAD participants after adjusting for sociodemographic, clinical factors, and APO ({varepsilon}) effects. Further, when CAD participants were stratified across APO ({varepsilon}) groups, CABG was significantly associated with IC in the APO {varepsilon}2/{varepsilon}3 group. How this study might affect research, practice or policyOur observations highlight the role of APO ({varepsilon}) genotype evaluation in CAD patients for IC risk assessment.

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Estrogen-Nitric Oxide Signaling Modulates Mitochondrial Dynamics and Endothelial Lipid Handling to Protect Against Early Atherosclerosis

Spry, E.; Strcula, H.; Mascoli, G. A.; Sobejana, C. P.; Zingales, M.; Krieger, M. H.; Salerno, A. G.; Wanschel, A.

2026-04-01 physiology 10.64898/2026.03.30.715353 medRxiv
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BackgroundSex-related differences in cardiovascular disease suggest the presence of intrinsic vasoprotective mechanisms, with estrogen recognized as an important modulator of endothelial function. Building on existing evidence, the present study provides mechanistic insights into how estrogen and nitric oxide (NO) signaling regulate selective pathways of oxLDL uptake, mitochondrial dynamics, and inflammatory responses during early atherogenesis. MethodsWe combined an in vitro endothelial cell-macrophage co-culture model with in vivo studies in low-density lipoprotein receptor-knockout (LDLr-/-) mice to investigate the role of estrogen in early atherosclerotic processes. Human aortic endothelial cells (HAECs) were exposed to oxidized low-density lipoprotein (oxLDL) in the presence or absence of 17{beta}-estradiol (E2) and the nitric oxide (NO*) donor S-nitroso-N-acetylcysteine (SNAC). Key outcomes included oxLDL uptake, mitochondrial oxidative stress, mitochondrial dynamics, and inflammatory signaling. In vivo, male and female LDLr-/- mice were exposed to a short-term high-fat diet with or without SNAC treatment. Plasma lipid levels, blood pressure, aortic lesion formation, and cardiac remodeling were evaluated. ResultsE2 reduced oxLDL uptake and oxidative stress, effects recapitulated by SNAC; however, these responses involved distinct entry pathways, with E2 preferentially modulating lectin-like oxidized low-density lipoprotein receptor-1 (LOX-1) dependent uptake and SNAC targeting caveolae-associated mechanisms. In parallel, both E2 and SNAC reduced Scavenger Receptor Class B Type 1 (SR-B1) expression, suggesting an additional modulation on oxLDL transcytosis via this mechanism. Endothelial cells exposed to oxLDL exhibited altered mitochondrial regulatory proteins, including superoxide dismutase 2 (SOD-2), dynamin-related protein 1 (Drp-1), and optic atrophy protein 1 (OPA-1). Despite reducing oxidative stress, E2 increased the expression of adhesion molecules and enhanced monocyte adhesion in response to oxLDL exposure, particularly when combined with SNAC. Strikingly, E2 also modulated macrophage responses, increasing interleukin receptor antagonist (IL-1ra) expression and reducing GDF15, macrophage inhibitory factor (MIF), macrophage inflammatory protein 3 alfa (MIP-3), and matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP-9) levels, consistent with a less pro-inflammatory macrophage profile. In vivo, HFD increased plasma lipid levels and atherosclerotic lesion area in LDLr-/- mice, whereas SNAC partially attenuated these effects without affecting plasma lipid levels. In vivo, female LDLr-/- mice developed approximately 50% smaller aortic lesions than males, despite comparable or higher plasma lipid levels. A dyslipidemia led to increased blood pressure and a hypertensive phenotype in both males and females. SNAC treatment reduced lesion burden in both sexes and prevented diet-induced hypertension in females. ConclusionEstrogen limits early atherogenic injury by reducing endothelial uptake of oxLDL, preserving mitochondrial homeostasis, and modulating inflammatory signaling. Together, the E2 and NO pathways regulate early atherosclerosis through distinct yet complementary mechanisms, offering a potential framework for vascular-protective strategies.

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H-Type Hypertension and Aneurysm Instability: An Observational and Genetic Study

Huang, J.-W.; Yuan, H.; Liu, R.-Y.; Deng, X.-Y.; Li, C.-H.; Li, Y.-X.; Cai, B.-H.; Dai, L.-L.; Chen, W.-X.; Huang, C.; Huang, M.-S.; wen, z.-h.; Ge, R.-Z.; Li, C.; Lin, J.-C.; Zhang, X.-R.; Liang, S.-Y.; Liu, C.; Tu, Y.; Bi, Y.-M.; Jin, F.; Su, S.; Zhang, X.; Li, X.; Wen, Z.; Duan, C. Z.; Feng, X.

2026-03-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.03.25.26349344 medRxiv
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Background: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) pose a significant risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage. Both hypertension and hyperhomocysteinemia are recognized as independent risk factors for vascular disease; however, their combined impact (H-type hypertension) on aneurysm instability and rupture remains unclear. Methods: We analyzed a prospective cohort of 358 adults with UIAs (475 aneurysms) using high-resolution vessel-wall MRI (HRVWI) for cross-sectional and longitudinal assessment. H-type hypertension was defined as hypertension with plasma homocysteine ?10 ?mol/L. Multivariable logistic regression assessed associations with AWE and aneurysm growth (longitudinal sub-cohort: n = 82, 89 aneurysms). Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses evaluated the causal role of homocysteine in hypertension and aSAH. Proteomic profiling identified potential molecular mechanisms. Results: AWE occurred in 33.7% of aneurysms, which were larger, irregular, and had higher PHASES scores. Elevated homocysteine (10.3 vs 9.5 ?mol/L, p = 0.004) and H-type hypertension (43.8% vs 28.3%, p < 0.001) were associated with AWE. After adjustment, H-type hypertension independently predicted AWE (OR = 3.18) and aneurysm growth (OR = 3.63). MR analyses showed homocysteine increased aSAH (OR = 1.39) and hypertension risk (OR = 1.10), while hypertension increased aSAH risk (OR = 1.58). Mediation analysis did not support hypertension as a mediator (p = 0.20). Proteomic analyses identified key pathways related to inflammation?immune dysregulation, extracellular matrix remodeling, and signaling activation as potential mediators. Conclusions: H-type hypertension amplifies aneurysmal-wall instability and growth. Combined control of blood pressure and homocysteine merits prospective evaluation for UIA prevention.

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Platelet Function Test-Guided Antiplatelet Therapy Reduces Recurrent Stroke in Atherothrombotic and Lacunar Infarction

Nakayasu, S.; Hayashi, H.; Goda, R.; Maeda, M.; Yoshioka, N.; Kobayashi, S.; Ogino, E.; Horikawa, F.; Murai, N.

2026-04-07 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.06.26350274 medRxiv
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Bakground and Purpose Antiplatelet resistance is a recognized risk factor for recurrent ischemic stroke, yet evidence supporting platelet function test?guided antiplatelet therapy modification in stroke prevention remains limited. We investigated whether VerifyNow-guided antiplatelet therapy modification reduces recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with atherothrombotic or lacunar infarction. Methods This retrospective observational study enrolled consecutive patients with atherothrombotic or lacunar infarction at a single center (April 2023-March 2025). Of 302 patients, 243 were analyzed: 122 in the modified group, whose antiplatelet agent was selected based on VerifyNow Aspirin Reaction Units and P2Y12 Reaction Units, and 121 in the unmodified group, whose agent was empirically selected. The mean follow-up period was 1.62 {+/-} 0.61 years. In the modified group, when both aspirin and clopidogrel showed inadequate inhibition, prasugrel or cilostazol was selected. The primary endpoint was recurrent ischemic stroke; the secondary endpoint was intracranial hemorrhage. Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability weighting were used to adjust for confounders. Results Recurrent ischemic stroke occurred in 1 patient (0.8%) in the modified group versus 8 (6.6%) in the unmodified group (log-rank P=0.018). After adjustment, the modified group had a significantly lower risk of recurrent stroke (HR, 0.10; 95% CI, 0.012-0.84; P=0.033). Intracranial hemorrhage occurred in 0 (0%) and 1 (0.8%) patients, respectively. Conclusions In Japanese patients with atherothrombotic or lacunar infarction, VerifyNow-guided antiplatelet therapy modification was associated with a significantly lower incidence of recurrent ischemic stroke without increased hemorrhagic risk. Given the single-center retrospective design and small sample size, validation in a multicenter randomized controlled trial is warranted.

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A Biphasic Effect of Alcohol on Endothelial Plasticity Through Regulation of Endothelial-to-Mesenchymal Transition

Liu, W.; Gusti, Y.; Athar, F.; Rajendran, N. K.; Cahill, P. A.; Redmond, E. M.

2026-04-16 cell biology 10.64898/2026.04.14.718463 medRxiv
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BackgroundAlcohol consumption influences cardiovascular disease, but whether it does so by affecting endothelial plasticity is unknown. We tested whether alcohol regulates endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EndMT) to influence arterial pathology. MethodsHCAEC and HUVEC were exposed to inflammatory cytokines (TGF{beta} {+/-} IL1{beta}) or hypoxia in the presence of ethanol (0-100 mM). EndMT was assessed by changes in cell marker expression, SNAIL levels, and migration assays. In vivo, carotid ligation was performed in mice gavaged with/without either daily moderate ethanol (2-drink equivalent/d) or episodic binge exposure (7-drink equivalent, 2 days/week) and myo-endothelial cell population assessed. ResultsCytokines and hypoxia induced EndMT in vitro, characterized by loss of endothelial markers, increased mesenchymal markers, elevated SNAIL, and enhanced migratory capacity. Low-to-moderate dose ethanol (5-25 mM) attenuated these changes, preserving endothelial phenotype, whereas high dose ethanol (50-100 mM) either had no effect or exacerbated EndMT. The inhibitory effect of moderate ethanol on cytokine- and hypoxia-induced changes in SMA and Cdh5 expression was abrogated by {gamma}-secretase inhibition, consistent with involvement of Notch signaling. Carotid ligation induced neointimal formation and accumulation of myo-endothelial cells indicative of EndMT. Daily moderate ethanol significantly attenuated neointimal hyperplasia and diminished the myo-endothelial cell population, whereas in contrast, episodic binge ethanol exposure increased pathologic remodeling and myo-endothelial cell abundance. ConclusionsAlcohol modulates endothelial trans-differentiation in a biphasic manner. Low-to-moderate alcohol exposure suppresses EndMT and limits pathological remodeling, whereas binge-level exposure promotes these processes. These findings identify regulation of endothelial plasticity as a potential novel mechanism linking alcohol consumption patterns to vascular disease risk. NEW AND NOTEWORTHYWe identify a previously unrecognized biphasic effect of alcohol on endothelial phenotypic plasticity. Low-to-moderate dose alcohol suppresses endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EndMT), whereas high-level (binge) exposure promotes this pro-atherogenic process. Given the central role of EndMT in vascular remodelling and atherosclerosis, these findings provide a mechanistic framework linking alcohol consumption patterns and cardiovascular disease risk - potentially explaining both the protective effect at low/moderate levels, and the detrimental impact of heavy alcohol use. Graphical abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=142 SRC="FIGDIR/small/718463v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (26K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1febae2org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@9f5ff1org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@153ea69org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@42b1ed_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG Injurious stimuli can trigger endothelial cells (EC) to undergo endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EndMT) that contributes to arterial remodeling and disease. EndMT is regulated in a biphasic manner by alcohol with low-to-moderate levels (1-3 drink equivalent) suppressing EndMT and attenuating vascular remodeling, whereas higher level/binge exposure (7 drink equivalent) promotes these processes. Graphic created using Biorender.

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Precision Anti-Inflammatory Therapy in Atherosclerosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Colchicine Timing and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

Puri, P.; Yadav, H.; Kachhadia, M.

2026-03-30 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.03.25.26348968 medRxiv
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Background: Despite optimal lipid-lowering and antithrombotic therapy, substantial residual cardiovascular risk persists in established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), partly driven by chronic vascular inflammation. Methods: Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs comparing colchicine to placebo or no treatment in adults with established ASCVD. Searches on March 21, 2026 (PubMed, Embase, CENTRAL, ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO ICTRP). PROSPERO CRD420261346516. Primary outcome: 4-point MACE (CV death, MI, stroke, urgent revascularization). DerSimonian-Laird random-effects with HKSJ adjustment. Exploratory trial-level meta-regression: time-to-initiation (TTI) and cumulative dose as continuous moderators. Results: DL pooled HR for 4-point MACE: 0.68 (95% CI 0.51-0.89; p=0.0060). HKSJ-adjusted HR: 0.68 (95% CI 0.27-1.70; p=0.3018). Substantial heterogeneity (I2=81.4%; 95% prediction interval 0.29-1.57, crossing 1.0). Exploratory meta-regression: TTI (beta=-0.00187/day, p=0.003) and cumulative dose (beta=-0.00163/mg-day, p=0.0003; k=5, explicitly underpowered). Non-CV mortality: HR 1.07 (0.76-1.50; p=0.694). GI discontinuation: pooled RR 1.95 (1.09-3.48; p=0.024). GRADE certainty: Moderate (4-point MACE). Conclusions: Low-dose colchicine is associated with reduced 4-point MACE in ASCVD (DL HR 0.68; HKSJ HR 0.68). The substantial heterogeneity and wide prediction interval indicate that effect size varies substantially across clinical settings. The divergence between CLEAR SYNERGY (acute; HR 0.99) and sub-acute/chronic trials (HR 0.33-0.77) drives heterogeneity. Meta-regression suggests TTI and cumulative exposure may be key moderators but is underpowered. The non-CV mortality signal is not confirmed. This analysis informs precision anti-inflammatory prescribing in ASCVD.

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Proteomic Insights into Lp(a) Cardiovascular Mechanisms: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Tomasi, J.; Xu, H.; Zhang, L.; Carey, C. E.; Schoenberger, M.; Yates, D. P.; Casas, J.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351299 medRxiv
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Background: Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a known risk factor for several cardiovascular-related diseases established from multiple genetic and observational studies. However, the underlying mechanisms mediating the effects of Lp(a) levels on cardiovascular disease risk and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) are unclear. The aim of this study was to identify proteins downstream of Lp(a) using mendelian randomization (MR) - a genetic causal inference approach. Methods: A two-sample MR was performed by initially identifying Lp(a) genetic instruments based on data from genome wide association studies (GWAS) of Lp(a) blood concentrations. These instruments were then tested for association with proteins from proteomic pQTL data (Olink from UK Biobank, 2940 proteins and SomaScan from deCODE, 4907 proteins). Results: A total of 521 proteins associated with Lp(a) were identified. Using pathway enrichment analysis, the following MACE-relevant pathways were identified comprising a total of 91 Lp(a) downstream proteins: oxidized phospholipid-related, chemotaxis of immune cells and endothelial cell activation, pro-inflammatory monocyte activation, neutrophil activity, coagulation, and lipid metabolism. Conclusion: The results suggest that the influence of Lp(a) treatments is primarily through modifying inflammation rather than lipid-lowering, thus providing insight into the mechanistic framework which mediates the effects of elevated Lp(a) on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

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miR-100-5p modulates postprandial triglyceride response by targeting PCSK9

VANDUYSE, A.; MOTTE, A.; NEVES, C.; DACLAT, R.; GALIER, S.; BLUTEAU, O.; MATERNE, C.; FRISDAL, E.; DURAND, H.; GIRAL, P.; SALEM, J.-E.; LACORTE, J.-M.; RESIST-PP Consortium, ; LE MAY, C.; LE GOFF, W.; LESNIK, P.; GUERIN, M.

2026-03-30 physiology 10.64898/2026.03.26.713909 medRxiv
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BackgroundElevated postprandial hypertriglyceridemia (PP-HTG) is a significant risk factor for development of cardiovascular diseases, however, the mechanisms underlying its exaggerated rise remains poorly understood. MicroRNAs (miRs) are known to be implicated in the regulation of lipid metabolism, thus identifying them as potential key players. We presently investigated whether miRs may control postprandial triglyceride (PP-TG) response. MethodsPostprandial changes in circulating miR expression as a function of the degree of postprandial TG response were evaluated in non-dyslipidemic healthy subjects (n=32). The impact of miR-100-5p on hepatic gene expression was evaluated in differentiated Caco2 and HepG2 cells by analysis of hepatic transcriptome (RNAseq), western blot and ELISA. In vivo studies were conducted in C57BL/6J mice overexpressing mimic miR-100-5p. ResultsPostprandial variation in circ-miR-100-5p levels inversely correlate with PP-TG response. Cir-miR-100-5p was preferentially associated with TGRL particles of intestinal origin in subjects exhibited a low PP TG response. Differential analysis of transcriptome from HepG2 cells transfected by either mimic miR-100-5p or scrambled mimic miR as control allowed us to identify PCSK9 as a down-regulated gene. Overexpression of miR-100-5p in HepG2 cells significantly decreased PCSK9 mRNA levels by 52% (p<0.0001), cellular protein content by 28 % (p<0.0001) as well as PCSK9 secretion by 39% (p<0.0001). In vivo systemic delivery of mimic miR-100-5p induced a two-fold reduction (p<0.0001) on PP-TG in mice, such effect being abolished by blocking the circulating form of PCSK9 with alirocumab. Finally, we revealed a significant inverse relationship between circulating miR-100-5p expression levels and both PCSK9 levels and the magnitude of postprandial hypertriglyceridemia. ConclusionTaken together, our observations reveal that miR-100-5p regulates postprandial hypertriglyceridemia by targeting PCSK9, thus enhancing hepatic triglyceride-rich lipoproteins (TGRL) uptake. Our findings allow us to propose circ-miR-100-5p as a potential biomarker for early identification of subjects at high cardiovascular risk, prior to appearance of classical clinical features of metabolic disorders. Postprandial clinical study, HDL-PP (NCT03109067) Lay summaryThis study examined whether miRs may control postprandial triglyceride response Key findingsOur data reveal that miR-100-5p regulates postprandial hypertriglyceridemia by targeting PCSK9 Our observations allow us to propose miR-100-5p as a potential biomarker for early identification of subjects at high cardiovascular risk

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Inverse association between dietary fiber intake and asymptomatic intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis in older adults: The YAHABA Study

Yamaguchi, T.; Itabashi, R.; Hirai, E.; Kudo, M.; Akasaka, H.; Ishizuka, N.; Maeda, T.

2026-03-31 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.29.26349674 medRxiv
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Background: Intracranial atherosclerosis is a major cause of ischemic stroke. Asymptomatic intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS) represents a subclinical and potentially modifiable stage preceding ischemic stroke, yet the nutritional factors associated with asymptomatic ICAS remain poorly defined. This study aimed to identify dietary factors associated with asymptomatic ICAS in community-dwelling older adults. Methods: This cross-sectional, population-based study included 962 Japanese adults aged {greater than or equal to}65 years from the Yahaba Active Aging and Healthy Brain study, conducted in Yahaba town, Japan, between July 2016 and July 2017. Asymptomatic ICAS was defined as {greater than or equal to}50% intracranial arterial stenosis evaluated by magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) without a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack. All participants underwent dietary assessment using a food frequency questionnaire. We examined the association between nutritional factors and ICAS using multivariable logistic regression models with adjustment for age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, body mass index, smoking, and alcohol use. Results: After exclusions, 850 participants were analyzed. The mean age was 73.4 {plus minus} 6.5 years, and 52% were female. ICAS was identified in 135 participants (15.9%). Participants in the highest quartile of dietary fiber intake had lower odds of ICAS than those in the lowest quartile (OR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26-0.80). Potassium intake showed a similar inverse association (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.27-0.89). When both nutrients were included in the multivariable model as continuous variables, neither remained significant, with moderate collinearity (variance inflation factor, 4.16). Conclusions: Higher dietary fiber intake was inversely associated with asymptomatic ICAS among community-dwelling older Japanese adults. Potassium intake also showed an inverse association, although this relationship was less consistent after accounting for collinearity with dietary fiber.

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Plasma proteomics improves prediction of recurrent cardiovascular events

Liu, Y.; Foguet, C.; Ben-Eghan, C.; Persyn, E.; Richards, M.; Wu, Z.; Lambert, S. A.; Butterworth, A. S.; Wood, A.; Di Angelantonio, E.; Inouye, M.; Ritchie, S. C.

2026-04-15 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350861 medRxiv
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Background and Aims Despite treatment, patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) are at high risk of recurrent events. Existing clinical risk scores for recurrence provide only moderate predictive performance and rely largely on the same conventional risk factors used to predict disease onset. Proteomics is a promising source of new biomarkers but the technologies need focused use cases in order to achieve utility and implementation. We aimed to determine whether plasma proteomics improves prediction of recurrent cardiovascular events beyond established clinical risk models in secondary prevention in a population-scale cohort. Methods Plasma proteomic profiles from ~9,300 participants in the UK Biobank with established ASCVD at baseline were analysed using machine learning methods to derive and evaluate proteomic predictors of recurrent cardiovascular events. The top performing model comprised proteins with non-zero weights (full protein score). Predictive performance of the proteomic predictors, an established clinical risk score (SMART2), and their combination was evaluated across six pre-defined testing datasets representing multiple ethnic and geographic groups. A parsimonious set of proteins with existing clinical-grade enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) available was then derived. Results The full protein score achieved higher performance for recurrent ASCVD than the SMART2 risk score across all ethnic and geographic subgroups (mean C-index 0.743 vs 0.653). Adding the full protein score to SMART2 improved discrimination, with the largest increase in White Irish participants ({Delta}C-index, 0.140; 95% CI, 0.074-0.205; P<0.001). However, adding SMART2 to the protein score provided minimal additional value. The parsimonious score preserved most of the discrimination of the full protein model with C-indices of the recurrent ASCVD risk model comprising age, sex and the parsimonious protein score being nearly identical to the full protein model in the largest testing set (0.723 vs 0.728 for White British in England and Wales). The parsimonious protein score showed a marked gradient of risk with the top, middle and bottom quintiles showing 10-year recurrent ASCVD rates of ~27.4%, ~9.6% and ~2.4%, respectively. Conclusions In patients with established ASCVD, plasma protein measurements substantially improved prediction of recurrent events beyond conventional clinical risk factors, supporting their potential as a complementary tool to guide secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

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The Gut-Vascular Axis in Intracranial Aneurysm Rupture: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Human Microbiome Evidence

Fahim, F.; Hemmati, M.; Heshmaty, S.; Sharvirani, A.; Shahini, A.; Hosseini, A.; Hosseini Marvast, S. M.; Mojtahedzadeh, A.; Konarizadeh, M.; Dorisefat, F.; Maham, N.; Omranisarduiyeh, A.; Oveisi, S.; Fadaei Juibari, F.; Malekipour Kashan, B.; Sharifi, G.; Zali, A.

2026-04-07 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.05.26350207 medRxiv
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Background Intracranial aneurysm rupture is the leading cause of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage and is associated with substantial mortality and long term neurological disability. Emerging evidence suggests that the gut microbiome may influence vascular inflammation and endothelial integrity through immune and metabolic pathways, yet human evidence linking gut microbial alterations to intracranial aneurysm remains fragmented and inconsistent. Objective This systematic review and meta analysis aimed to synthesize available human evidence on the association between gut microbiome alterations and intracranial aneurysm formation or rupture, with a primary focus on microbial dysbiosis and differences in gut microbial alpha diversity. Methods This study was conducted according to PRISMA 2020 guidelines and the protocol was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD420261360785). A comprehensive search of PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL was performed from database inception until April 1, 2026, with additional screening of grey literature sources. Observational human studies evaluating gut microbiome characteristics in patients with intracranial aneurysm were included. Mendelian randomization (MR) studies investigating genetically predicted microbial taxa and aneurysm outcomes were also reviewed. Random effects meta analysis using standardized mean differences (SMD) was performed for alpha diversity outcomes. MR taxa reported in at least two independent studies were quantitatively synthesized using inverse variance weighting of log odds ratios. Results The systematic search identified 396 records. After removal of duplicates and eligibility screening, 20 studies met inclusion criteria, including 12 observational clinical studies and 8 Mendelian randomization analyses. Meta analysis of three microbiome sequencing studies demonstrated significantly reduced gut microbial alpha diversity in patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms compared with controls. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of pooled estimates. In addition, MR evidence identified several microbial taxa, including Ruminococcus1, Bilophila, Fusicatenibacter, and Porphyromonadaceae, as potentially protective factors against aneurysm related outcomes. Across observational studies, gut dysbiosis was frequently associated with inflammatory pathways and alterations in microbial metabolites implicated in vascular dysfunction. Conclusion Current human evidence suggests a potential association between gut microbiome dysbiosis and intracranial aneurysm pathophysiology, particularly in relation to aneurysm rupture. Reduced microbial diversity and specific microbial taxa may influence vascular inflammation and aneurysm wall stability. However, existing evidence remains limited and heterogeneous. Large prospective cohorts and mechanistic studies are required to clarify causal relationships and evaluate whether microbiome targeted interventions could contribute to aneurysm risk stratification or prevention strategies.

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Cardiac Rehabilitation is Associated with Improved Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Chronic Total Occlusions: A Large-Scale, Propensity-Matched Analysis

Shukla, C. R.; Miks, C. D.; Puri, P.; Ozaki, G. K.; Cuskey, A.; Frederiksen, H.; Phillips, J. P.; Horwitz, P. A.; Dominic, P.; Sharma, V.

2026-03-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.03.25.26349342 medRxiv
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Background: Chronic total occlusions (CTOs) are a common manifestation of coronary artery disease (CAD) and are associated with increased long-term mortality. While successful CTO revascularization improves symptoms and quality of life, a consistent mortality benefit has not been demonstrated in randomized trials. Outpatient cardiac rehabilitation (CR) has proven benefits in improving functional status, exercise capacity, and quality of life in patients with CAD, yet its impact on CTO patients has not been well studied. Objective: To evaluate the association between CR and long-term outcomes in CTO patients. Methods: Using the TriNetX Research Network, we analyzed de-identified patient data from 75 healthcare organizations using ICD codes. The study population included patients with CTO who started CR within 3 months of diagnosis vs patients with CTO who did not engage in CR. A secondary analysis was also conducted, which excluded patients with other indications for CR, including prior coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and prior or concurrent percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI). Results: Of 167,176 CTO patients, 10,021 enrolled in CR, including 1,608 without another CR indication. Patients were propensity-matched for independent risk factors for mortality. After 5 years, CR participation was associated with a significant reduction in mortality (HR 0.68; 95% CI, 0.61-0.75; p < 0.0001). This benefit was preserved even after excluding prior revascularization (HR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.99; p < 0.036). Conclusion: This study demonstrates that cardiac rehabilitation is associated with improved long-term survival in patients with CTOs.

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Machine learning-based advanced coronary artery disease pretest probability model: Comparison with conventional pretest probability models

Hong, Y.; Lee, J.; Park, H.-B.; Kim, W.; Yoon, Y. E.; Jeong, H.; Kim, G.; So, B.; Lee, J.; Dalakoti, M.; Sung, J. M.; Kook, W.; Chang, H.-J.

2026-03-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.03.25.26348861 medRxiv
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Background: Pretest probability (PTP) models using clinical risk factors guide decision-making for coronary artery disease (CAD). Existing models (Updated Diamond-Forrester [UDF] and CAD Consortium [CAD2]) exhibit suboptimal predictive efficacy in Asian populations due to ethnic differences in atherosclerosis and risk profiles. We developed an advanced CAD-specific PTP model using ridge-penalized logistic regression and validated its reliability. Methods: Utilizing data from 4,696 Korean patients (3 trials and 2 cohorts), we employed ridge regression to develop an advanced PTP model (K-CAD) for identifying patients with CAD with >=50% diameter stenosis, determined using coronary computed tomography or invasive coronary angiography. External validation used datasets from another tertiary center (External Validation Cohort 1, n=428) and a nationwide health checkup cohort (External Validation Cohort 2, n=117,294). We compared K-CAD with existing models using continuous receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and ternary net reclassification improvement (NRI) analyses. Findings: Continuous ROC analysis in External Validation Cohort 1 revealed areas under the curves (AUCs) for UDF, 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.73); CAD2, 0.71 (95%CI 0.67-0.76), and K-CAD, 0.76 (95%CI 0.71-0.80). K-CAD significantly outperformed UDF (p <0.001) and CAD2 (p <0.05). NRI analysis demonstrated that K-CAD improved reclassification of non-obstructive patients into low-risk categories. External validation using the nationwide dataset (surrogate endpoint: ICD-10 I20) yielded AUCs for UDF, 0.61 (95% CI 0.58-0.64); CAD2, 0.66 (95%CI 0.63-0.69); and K-CAD, 0.67 (95%CI 0.64-0.70). Interpretation: The study demonstrated K-CAD's utility employing extensive high-quality datasets, highlighting its potential for predicting CAD risk in the Korean population.

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Safety and Efficacy of Bridging Intravenous Thrombolysis Versus Direct Endovascular Therapy in Acute Ischemic Stroke Treated in the 6- to 24-Hour Time Window: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

Chen, Y.; Law, Z. K.; Zhou, X.; Dai, Q.; Xiang, S.; Xiao, X.; Ma, J.; Feng, M.; Peng, W.; Zhou, S.; Chen, L.; Zhou, Y.; Lai, Y.; Yeo, L.; An, S.; He, Y.; Pan, S.-Y.

2026-04-23 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351431 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: To compare the safety and efficacy of bridging intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) plus endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) versus direct EVT in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) due to anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (LVO) treated within the 6- to 24-hour time window. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis of prospective EVT registry from 10 comprehensive stroke centers in China and Singapore between 2019 and 2024. Eligible patients had anterior circulation LVO, underwent EVT within 6-24 hours of onset, had ASPECTS 6, NIHSS 6, and pre-stroke mRS 2. Patients were stratified into bridging IVT + EVT (IVT group) versus direct EVT alone (non-IVT group). Propensity score matching (1:2 ratio) was performed to balance baseline covariates. The primary outcome was 3-month favorable functional outcome (mRS 0-2). Secondary outcomes included successful recanalization (mTICI 2b-3), symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and 3-month mortality. In the matched cohort, binary outcomes were compared using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test. Results: Of 772 included patients, 110 (14.2%) received bridging IVT and 662 (85.8%) received direct EVT. After propensity score matching, 202 non-IVT patients were matched to 101 IVT patients, with all covariates well-balanced (absolute SMD <0.10). In the matched cohort, bridging IVT was not associated with a significant difference in 3-month favorable outcome (44.55% vs. 47.03%; common OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.56-1.46), successful recanalization (91.09% vs. 90.10%; OR 1.11; 0.51-2.44), sICH (5.94% vs. 9.41%; OR 0.61; 0.24-1.58), HT (23.76% vs. 23.27%; OR 1.03; 0.57-1.85), or 3-month mortality (15.84% vs. 13.37%; OR 1.22; 0.62-2.37). Conclusion: In this large multicenter propensity score-matched analysis, bridging intravenous thrombolysis before endovascular thrombectomy in the 6- to 24-hour time window was not significantly associated with improved efficacy or increased safety risks compared with direct endovascular therapy alone.

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EGP1K: Whole-Genome Sequencing of 1,024 Egyptians Characterizes Population Structure and Genetic Diversity

Amer, K.; Moustafa, A.; Hassan, W. A.; Adel, E.; AbdElaal, K. R.; Ghanim, T. A.; Abd El-Raouf, A.; El-Hosseiny, A.; El-Sayed, A. F.; Badr, A. H.; Hassan, A.; Kotb, A.; Ragheb, A.; Muhammad, A. M.; Ali, A.; Abdelaal, A.; Ramadan, E.; El-Garhy, F. M.; El Shehaby, H.; Ali, M. A.; Albarbary, M.; Zahra, M. A.; Amer, M.; Elmonem, M. A.; Fahmy, N. T.; Abdel-Haseeb, O. M.; Hassan, T. M.; Daoud, Y. A.; Howeedy, Y.; Farouk, Y. K.; Soror, S.; El-Feky, G.; Sakr, M.; Soliman, N. A.; Gad, Y. Z.; Abdel-Ghaffar, K. A.; Egypt Genome Consortium,

2026-04-06 genomics 10.64898/2026.04.02.715521 medRxiv
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Middle Eastern and North African populations remain underrepresented in genomic databases, comprising less than 1% of genome-wide association study participants despite representing approximately 6% of the global population. Here we present the Egypt Genome Project (EGP1K), in which we performed whole-genome sequencing on 1,024 unrelated Egyptian individuals originating from 21 of Egypts 27 governorates, recruited through eight clinical and research centers across Upper and Lower Egypt. We identified over 51.3 million variants, of which 17.1 million (33.4%) were absent from dbSNP. Allele frequency comparisons across 6.5 million shared variants showed the strongest concordance with Middle Eastern populations ({tau} = 0.977). Principal component analysis and ADMIXTURE modeling at K = 7 revealed that Egyptians share a dominant ancestry component (71.8%) with Middle Eastern populations and carry a smaller Egyptian-enriched component (18.5%) that distinguishes them from neighboring groups. Runs of homozygosity varied substantially across subregions, with Upper Egypt showing the highest burden, paralleling elevated consanguinity rates. Carrier frequency analysis identified MEFV (Familial Mediterranean Fever) at 9.1% as the most prevalent pathogenic carrier state; when adjusted for the national consanguinity rate, MEFV carrier status alone projects approximately 6,600 affected births per year. HLA class I typing identified allele frequencies placing Egyptians within the Levantine-Eastern Mediterranean cluster, providing baseline immunogenetic data currently absent from international databases. Analysis of polygenic risk score distributions revealed substantial differences in threshold-based risk stratification between Egyptians and European reference populations. When the Europeanderived 90th percentile threshold was applied, 83.3% of Egyptians were assigned to high-risk strata for stroke, 76.4% for chronic kidney disease, and 72.8% for gout, compared to the intended 10% high-risk proportion. These distributional shifts were observed across several cardiometabolic traits (Cohens d = 1.55-1.61), while other traits showed closer cross-population concordance, indicating that the degree of threshold miscalibration varies by trait. Together, these findings establish EGP1K as a genomic reference for Egypt and indicate that European-derived risk stratification thresholds may not be directly transferable to the Egyptian population, supporting the need for population-specific calibration of polygenic risk scores.

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Sex-specific trends in incident stroke: The Framingham Heart Study

Ekenze, O.; Scott, M. R.; Himali, D.; Lioutas, V.-A.; Seshadri, S.; Howard, V. J.; Fornage, M.; Aparicio, H. J.; Beiser, A. S.; Romero, J. R.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351536 medRxiv
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Sex specific differences in stroke are recognized. Whether differences in incident stroke risk persists in recent periods needs further elucidation to aid public health preventive efforts. Aim: To determine long-term sex specific trends in stroke and stroke risk factors at different epochs among Framingham Heart Study participants. Methods: We examined age-adjusted 10-year stroke incidence using Cox regression in women and men in five epochs: 1962-1969 (epoch 1, reference), 1971-1976 (epoch 2), 1987-1991 (epoch 3), 1998-2005 (epoch 4), 2015-2021 (epoch 5). We compared stroke incidence by sex across epochs, estimated decade-wise linear trends overall and by sex. We compared risk factors in successive epochs to the first, and estimated sex-specific trends in risk factors. Interactions between baseline risk factors with epoch and trends were assessed by sex. Secondary analyses were repeated in participants <60 years old. Results: Incident stroke occurred in 4.5% (178/3996) in epoch 1, 3.9% (227/5786) in epoch 2, 3.9% (199/5137) in epoch 3, 2.7% (207/7642) in epoch 4, 2.2% (119/5534) in epoch 5. Men had higher risk of incident stroke in each epoch with significant difference in epochs 2 (HR 1.41, 95% CI [1.08, 1.84]) and 4 (HR 1.46, 95% CI [1.11, 1.91]) overall, and in epoch 4 (HR 2.13, 95% CI [1.17, 3.87]) among those <60 years. Stroke incidence declined by 16% per decade in men (HR 0.84, 95% CI [0.79, 0.89]) and 19% per decade in women (HR 0.81, 95% CI [0.76, 0.86]). Among those <60 years, stroke incidence declined by 22% per decade in women (HR 0.78, 95% CI [0.67, 0.95]). Hypertension declined by 8% per decade in women only ([OR] 0.92, 95% CI [0.90, 0.94]), while Atrial fibrillation and diabetes increased in both. Conclusion: Stroke incidence continues to decline in recent periods for women and men. Among participants <60 years, decline was observed only in women, possibly related to decline in hypertension in women.