A novel DNA methylation-based surrogate biomarker for chronic systemic inflammation (InfLaMeS): results from the Health and Retirement Study

Chronic low-grade systemic inflammation is a risk factor for chronic diseases and mortality and is an important biomarker in health research. DNA methylation (DNAm) surrogate biomarkers are valuable exposure, risk factor and health outcome predictors in studies where the measures cannot be measured directly and often perform as well or better than direct measure. We generated a DNAm surrogate biomarker for chronic, systemic inflammation from a systemic inflammation latent variable of seven inflammatory markers and evaluated its performance relative to measured inflammatory biomarkers in predicting several age-associated outcomes of interest, including mortality, activities of daily living and multimorbidity in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). The DNAm surrogate, Inflammation Latent Variable Methylation Surrogate (InfLaMeS), correlated with seven individual inflammation markers (r= -0.2-0.6) and performed as well or better to the systemic inflammation latent variable measure when predicting multimorbidity, disability, and 4-year mortality in HRS. Findings were validated in an external cohort, The Irish Longitudinal Study of Ageing. These results suggest that InfLaMeS provides a robust alternative to measured blood-chemistry measures of inflammation with broad applicability in instances where values of inflammatory markers are not measured but DNAm data is available.