Rheumatology

BackgroundDespite advances in therapy, optimal management of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) remains challenging. The ability to predict disease progression in JIA can improve personalized treatment decisions, but few reliable clinical predictors have been identified. We developed machine learning approaches to predict disease trajectories in children with JIA. MethodsUsing data from the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Registry (years 2015-2024), we developed machine learning models to predict attainment of inactive disease in children with non-systemic JIA. We applied Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) to model temporal dependencies and causal relationships, and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to capture complex non-linear patterns. Model input included demographic factors, longitudinal clinical factors, and medication use in the preceding 12 months. FindingsA total of 8,093 participants were included. When tested on an independent test cohort, both DBN (AUC:0.76; precision:0.73; recall:0.83; F1-score:0.78; accuracy:0.71) and CNN (AUC:0.76; precision:0.71; recall:0.63; F1-score:0.67; accuracy:0.70) models achieved comparable performance in predicting inactive disease. Disease activity levels in the preceding 12 months, presence of enthesitis and uveitis were the strongest predictors. Causal relationships captured in the DBN model revealed suboptimal care patterns, likely shaped by insurance constraints and a predominantly reactive approach to JIA management. InterpretationOur study demonstrates that machine learning approaches can predict disease trajectories in JIA with good discriminative performance. Unlike prior studies that predict outcomes at single timepoints, our models are the first to predict inactive disease longitudinally. However, suboptimal care patterns in retrospective data limit models capacity to learn treatment-outcome relationships, underscoring critical opportunities to improve JIA care and the need for prospective comparative studies to better inform prediction models. FundingPatient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI) Award (ME-2022C2-25573-IC). RESEARCH IN CONTEXT Evidence before this studyNumerous studies have sought to identify clinical predictors of JIA progression and outcomes. However, few reliable predictors have emerged and existing prediction models demonstrate limited performance. As a result, our ability to personalize treatment decisions based on individual risk of severe disease course remains limited. Added value of this studyWe developed novel machine learning models that predict individualized disease trajectories in children with polyarticular and oligoarticular JIA using data from their preceding 12-month clinical course. These models demonstrated strong discriminative performance and outperformed previously published machine learning approaches in JIA. Unlike prior studies limited to single time-point predictions, our models are the first to predict inactive disease longitudinally, enabling a patient-specific projection of disease progression over time. Importantly, our findings also bright to light patterns of suboptimal care, likely driven by insurance constraints and a reactive treatment paradigm, underscoring critical opportunities to improve JIA management. Implications of all the available evidenceOur models have the potential to support clinical decision-making by enabling early identification of children with JIA at risk for unfavorable disease trajectories. In addition, the suboptimal care patterns and systems-level barriers identified through our analyses highlight priority areas for quality improvement initiatives and policy interventions to reduce gaps in JIA care delivery.

Abstract Background Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is a well-recognised cause of acute coronary syndrome particularly among women without conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Increasing evidence indicates a genetic contribution; however, the underlying genetic architecture of SCAD remains insufficiently understood. Objective The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of rare variants in previously reported SCAD associated genes and to explore the potential presence of novel genetic alterations in well-characterised Swedish patients with SCAD. Methods The study comprised 201 patients enrolled in SweSCAD, a national project examining the clinical characteristics, aetiology, and outcomes of SCAD. All individuals had a confirmed diagnosis based on invasive coronary angiography. Comprehensive exome sequencing was performed to identify rare variants contributing to disease susceptibility. Results Genetic variants that have been associated with SCAD according to current clinical genetics practice for variant reporting were identified in approximately 4 % of patients. In addition, rare potentially relevant variants were detected in almost 60 % of patients in genes associated with vascular integrity and vascular remodelling. Conclusion This study supports SCAD as a genetically complex arteriopathy, driven by rare high?impact variants together with broader polygenic susceptibility. Variants in collagen, vascular extracellular matrix, and oestrogen?responsive pathways provide biologically plausible links to female?predominant disease. Although the diagnostic yield of clearly actionable variants is modest, these findings support broader genomic evaluation beyond overt syndromic presentations and highlight the need for larger integrative genomic and functional studies to refine risk stratification and management.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a heritable and common autoimmune condition. To date, most genetic associations were derived from individuals with either European or East Asian ancestries. Here, we applied a multimodal automated phenotyping strategy to define RA and performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of RA in the Million Veteran Program (MVP), including underrepresented African American (AFR) and Admixed American (AMR) populations. Meta-analyses with previous RA cohorts identified 152 autosomal genome-wide significant loci, of which 31 were novel. Inclusion of multi-ancestry data dramatically improved fine-mapping resolution. Functional characterization of these loci using single-cell transcriptomic and chromatin data suggested new RA genes such as CHD7 and CD247. We identified underappreciated functional roles of fine-grained immune cell states other than T cells, such as B cell and myeloid cell states. We observed that multi-ancestry polygenic risk scores using our data demonstrated better predictive ability, especially for AFR and AMR populations.

Genome-wide association studies of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have identified 35 common genetic risk loci associated with IPF susceptibility. In this study, we evaluated the effects of the reported variants in clinically curated non-European individuals. Despite limited sample sizes, we observed partial replication, limited transferability of some variants and evidence of ancestry-specific effects. The MUC5B promoter variant rs35705950 emerged as the dominant and most consistent signal across ancestries. Our findings highlight the need for larger, well-characterised studies in understudied populations to support robust discovery and translation.

BackgroundPsoriasis is a chronic immune-mediated inflammatory disease (IMID) with systemic involvement. In mild-to-moderate disease, circulating cytokines may inadequately capture systemic inflammatory burden. Composite haematological indices derived from complete blood counts, such as the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), have emerged as sensitive prognostic markers of systemic inflammation, including in psoriasis. This exploratory post hoc analysis investigated the effects of orally administered herring roe oil (HRO), a phospholipid-rich marine oil, on systemic inflammation in patients with mild-to-moderate psoriasis utilizing these biomarkers. MethodsData were analysed from a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled 26-week clinical study which investigated HRO supplementation in patients (N = 64) with mild-to-moderate psoriasis (NCT03359577). SII, SIRI, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were calculated at baseline, week 12, and week 26 for patients where baseline complete blood counts (CBCs) were available (n = 60). Patients missing baseline CBCs were excluded from the analysis. Continuous changes were assessed using ANCOVA with baseline adjustment. Categorical responder analyses were performed with 25% and 30% reduction thresholds and stratification by baseline biomarker medians were performed to evaluate treatment responses and impact of baseline inflammation. ResultsCompared with placebo, HRO treatment resulted in significant mean reductions in SII, SIRI, and PLR at week 26, with supportive trends and responder effects observed as early as week 12 compared to placebo. Patients with elevated baseline inflammatory indices showed the greatest reductions in systemic inflammation. Stratification by baseline SII further revealed enhanced clinical benefit, with statistically significant PASI50 response rates in the HRO arm at week 26 among patients with lower baseline SII. ConclusionHRO supplementation was associated with a time{square}dependent reduction in systemic inflammatory biomarkers in mild{square}to{square}moderate psoriasis patients. These findings support the utility of composite inflammatory indices for monitoring systemic inflammation and suggest that baseline SII may have utility in predicting treatment response and may be a useful tool for stratification in clinical trials in mild to moderate psoriasis patients. These results could also suggest platform-potential of HRO for resolution{square}oriented interventions across several inflammatory conditions.

ImportanceEmerging data show that B-cell depleting chemotherapies, which are increasingly used to treat autoimmune disorders and multiple sclerosis, can be associated with mucosal side effects such as inflammatory vaginitis. ObjectiveEvaluate the impact of rituximab treatment on vaginal mucosal immune markers, endocervical immune cell populations and vaginal microbiome. DesignCross-sectional observational study conducted between 2022 - 2024. SettingAcademic medical center, Boston Massachusetts. ParticipantsWe enrolled women aged >18 years who were either 1) receiving rituximab for autoimmune renal disease or were 2) healthy controls ExposureTreatment with rituximab, an anti CD20 monoclonal antibody. Main outcome and measureWe compared endocervical immune cell populations, vaginal fluid immune markers, vaginal fluid immunoglobulins and vaginal microbiome composition between individuals being treated with rituximab and healthy controls. ResultsWe enrolled 26 women treated with rituximab for autoimmune renal disease and 26 healthy controls. Median circulating and endocervical B-cell and plasma cell proportions were significantly lower in treated participants compared to controls. Median vaginal fluid IgA concentrations were significantly lower in participants treated with rituximab, while ILE, IgM, IgG1, IgG2, IgG3 and IgG4 were not different between groups. Total T cell frequencies were similar between groups, but the proportion of activated T cells (CD4+CD38+HLADR+) was significantly lower in people treated with rituximab. Concentrations of IL10, IL13, IL17, IL21, IL23, IL4, ITAC and TNFa were elevated in vaginal fluid from the rituximab group, while IL-8 was lower. A CST-IV-C, low-Lactobacillus pattern of vaginal microbiota was more common in the rituximab group. Conclusions and RelevanceSystemic B-cell depletion is associated with reduced vaginal fluid IgA, a more diverse microbiome composition, and increases in many vaginal fluid immune markers compared to healthy controls. The reduction in vaginal fluid IgA may provide opportunities for vaginal bacteria to induce inflammation. Key pointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSHow does circulating B-cell depletion impact the vaginal microenvironment? FindingsIn this cross-sectional study of 52 women, B cell and plasma cell proportions were significantly lower in both blood and vaginal mucosa among rituximab-treated participants compared to healthy controls. Vaginal IgA concentrations, but not other immunoglobulins, were significantly lower in rituximab treated participants. In treated participants, vaginal cytokine concentrations were elevated, and microbiome composition shifted toward non-Lactobacillus-dominant communities. In six people with inflammatory vaginitis, both circulating and endocervical B cells were lowest in people with the most severe symptoms. MeaningSystemic B cell depletion is associated with alterations in vaginal mucosal immune markers and microbiome composition which increase local inflammation.

In multiple sclerosis (MS), autoreactive B cells play a central role in driving CD4 T cell-mediated inflammatory damage to myelin (1). Here we investigated how disrupting Brutons tyrosine kinase (BTK) signaling exclusively in B cells shapes the course of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), a model for MS, through alterations in B cell development and activity. B cell-specific BTK deletion significantly ameliorated both human MOG (hMOG) induced EAE (p = 0.0087) as well as spontaneous disease in 2D2+IgHMOG mice (p = 0.0004). Additionally, MOG-specific cells were found to be more sensitive to loss of BTK than tolerant clones (p = 0.0002) and production of anti-MOG immunoglobulins was also found to be diminished (p < 0.004) while overall IgG was unchanged (p = 0.44). B cells isolated from conditional knockout mice did not upregulate expression of co-stimulatory receptors or MHC II to the same extent as controls when cultured alongside MOG-specific CD4 T cells (p < 0.005) and were inferior at driving T cell proliferation (p < 0.0001) in vitro. Lastly, while BTK deletion diminished the proliferative and survival response of B cells following mitogen stimulation, B cell trafficking to the leptomeninges and organization into ectopic lymphoid tissues (ELTs) in 2D2+IgHMOG mice continued unabated. We identified that BTK signaling regulates several features adopted by autoreactive B cells that contribute to EAE pathogenesis. This study provides mechanistic insights into the therapeutic benefits of BTK inhibitors observed in clinical trials exploring BTK as a therapeutic target in the context of MS. Significance statementAutoreactive B cells contribute to the neuroinflammation that drives multiple sclerosis (MS) and related diseases, yet the molecular mechanisms enabling their pathogenicity remain incompletely understood. This study demonstrates that B cell-specific deletion of Brutons tyrosine kinase (BTK) markedly reduces disease severity in two complementary versions of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), a widely used animal model for MS. Loss of BTK impairs autoreactive B cell survival, antibody production, antigen presentation to encephalitogenic T cells, and T cell activation, while leaving meningeal ectopic lymphoid tissue formation intact. These findings provide direct mechanistic evidence that BTK signaling in B cells promotes neuroinflammatory damage and supports the therapeutic targeting of BTK to limit B cell-driven pathology in MS.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a debilitating disease affecting more than 1 million Americans, and today is assessed primarily through magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and observational clinical symptoms. Given the autoimmune nature of MS, we hypothesized that high-dimensional gene expression data from peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs), when analyzed with the assistance of AI, may collectively serve as valuable biomarkers for the real-time risk and progression of MS. Here, we present PBMC RNA sequencing (RNAseq) results from N=997 samples, including 540 MS, 221 neuromyelitis optica (NMO), and 149 healthy controls. We constructed and optimized ensemble models for three clinical outcomes: (1) discrimination of early MS (EDSS [&le;] 2.0) from healthy individuals with 74% AUC at 100% coverage, (2) differential diagnosis of MS from NMO with 91% AUC at 80% coverage, and (3) subtyping RRMS from progressive MS with 79% AUC at 80% coverage. To our knowledge, no prior molecular test has been reported for any of these three MS clinical tasks, and these results may have immediate impact on clinical management of MS patients. Two innovations that improved the stratification accuracy of our models: selection of gene sets based on expression variance in disease states, and use of non-linear rank sort and conviction weighting in the ensemble score calculation.

Abstract / SummarySurvival outcomes for pediatric Burkitt lymphoma (BL) substantially vary depending on geography (50-90%), which also serves as a proxy for the prevalence of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) within the tumors. Although BL is considered an immunologically "cold" tumor with few tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), their functional status has not been fully evaluated, especially for EBV-positive disease. Here, we characterize the exhaustion and activation profiles of T cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME) of EBV-positive BL using orthogonal methods, single-cell gene expression analysis, spectral flow cytometry, and immuno-histochemistry staining (IHC). We found that CD8+ TILs displayed a mosaic of immune inhibitory gene expression encoding, PD1, TIGIT, LAG3 and HAVCR2/TIM3. IHC validated the expression of PD1 and TIGIT on CD8+ TILs, as well as their respective ligands, PDL-1, PVR, and Nectin-2 on malignant B cells. Despite exhaustion-associated signatures, CD8+ TILs retain cytotoxic potential, expressing granules (i.e. Granzyme A, Perforin) and cytokines (i.e. IFN{gamma}) and demonstrate an increased uptake of metabolites such as glucose, arginine, and methionine. In peripheral blood, pediatric BL patients exhibited a significantly higher abundance of PD1+TIGIT+ CD8+ T cells compared to healthy children. Notably, these circulating T cells from BL patients express significantly lower levels of TOX, suggesting they are not irreversibly dysfunctional. Together, our results indicate that CD8+ T cells both in the TME and in circulation of children with BL are not terminally exhausted but remain poised for functional re-invigoration. These findings support the potential integration of immune checkpoint inhibitors into combination chemotherapeutic regimens to improve outcomes for these children. SignificanceEBV-positive BL tumors contain functional, metabolically active CD8+ T cells. Circulating PD1+TIGIT+CD8+ T cells found in BL patients blood are a biomarker for those in the tumor microenvironment.

BackgroundGenetic studies using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging have identified loci related to cardiac shape, but most focus on static morphology. The value of a dynamic cardiac shape atlas capturing both shape and function remains unknown. MethodsA dynamic shape atlas comprising CMR-derived shape models at end-diastole and end-systole was combined with genetic and outcome data in 36,992 UK Biobank participants. Dynamic shape principal components (PCs) describing >1% of variance were characterized, and tested for associations with prevalent and incident cardiometabolic diseases, including ischemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF), significant atrioventricular block (AVB), and atrial fibrillation (AF), and independent predictive power alongside standard CMR measures. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) were performed to identify candidate genes and biological pathways, and polygenic risk scores (PRS) were assessed for disease associations. Mendelian randomization (MR) was performed to test causality of observed disease associations. ResultsWe identified 14 dynamic cardiac shape PCs capturing 83.3% of total dynamic cardiac shape variance. These PCs captured distinct functional remodeling patterns such as variation in annular plane systolic excursion, while remaining only modestly correlated with standard CMR measures. All 14 PCs were associated with at least one incident cardiometabolic disease, with the strongest associations observed for incident IHD, HF, and AVB. Notably, incorporating dynamic shape PCs improved the prediction of incident IHD beyond standard CMR measures. GWAS identified 75 genetic loci associated with dynamic shape, including 14 variants previously unreported for cardiac traits, and candidate genes demonstrated enrichment in pathways related to cardiac development and contractile function. PRS derived from dynamic shape loci were significantly associated with multiple outcomes, most prominently HF. MR identified significant causal relationships between several PCs and cardiometabolic disease. ConclusionsDynamic cardiac shape features capture aspects of cardiac structure and function not fully represented by standard CMR measures. These features are strongly associated with incident cardiometabolic disease and provide new insights into the genetic architecture of cardiac remodeling. Clinical perspectiveO_ST_ABSWhat is new?C_ST_ABSO_LIGenetic and outcome relationships with a dynamic statistical shape model capturing both left and right ventricles at end-diastole and end-systole. C_LIO_LIDemonstration of incremental value over existing cardiac shape models, through capture of functional remodeling not represented by standard imaging measures. C_LIO_LIIdentification of genetic susceptibility loci for dynamic cardiac shape, including 14 variants not previously reported for cardiac traits. C_LI What are the clinical implications?O_LIThe results enhance our understanding of the genetic architecture of dynamic cardiac shape and function in the general population and clarify their relationships with other cardiovascular endophenotypes and incident cardiometabolic diseases. C_LIO_LINewly identified candidate genes expand the biological pathways implicated in cardiac remodeling and provide targets for future functional and mechanistic studies. C_LIO_LIThe improved prediction of incident cardiometabolic disease, particularly ischemic heart disease, achieved by adding dynamic shape PCs to traditional CMR measures suggests potential value for their inclusion in evaluation of patients. C_LI

Background: The increasing availability of routinely collected health data offers new opportunities for population-level research, yet access to comprehensive, linked, and standardised datasets remains limited. We describe EST-Health-30, a large-scale, population-representative health data resource from Estonia. Methods: EST-Health-30 comprises a random 30% sample of the Estonian population (~500,000 individuals), with longitudinal data from 2012 to 2024 and annual updates planned through 2026. Individual-level records are linked across five nationwide databases, including electronic health records, health insurance claims, prescription data, cancer registry, and cause of death records. A privacy-preserving hashing approach ensures consistent cohort inclusion over time while maintaining pseudonymisation. All data are harmonised to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model (version 5.4) using international standard vocabularies. Data quality was assessed using established OMOP-based validation frameworks. Results: The dataset contains rich multimodal information on diagnoses, procedures, laboratory measurements, prescriptions, free-text clinical notes, healthcare utilisation, and costs, with high population coverage and longitudinal depth. Data quality assessment showed high completeness and consistency, with 99.2% of applicable checks passing. The age-sex distribution closely reflects the national population, supporting representativeness, though coverage is marginally below the target 30% (29.2%), primarily attributable to recent immigrants without health system contact. The dataset enables construction of detailed clinical cohorts, analysis of disease trajectories, and evaluation of healthcare utilisation and outcomes across the life course. Conclusions: EST-Health-30 is a comprehensive, standardised, and population-representative real-world data resource that supports epidemiological, clinical, and methodological research. Its alignment with the OMOP CDM facilitates reproducible analytics and participation in international federated research networks, while secure access infrastructure ensures compliance with data protection regulations.

Sex specific differences in stroke are recognized. Whether differences in incident stroke risk persists in recent periods needs further elucidation to aid public health preventive efforts. Aim: To determine long-term sex specific trends in stroke and stroke risk factors at different epochs among Framingham Heart Study participants. Methods: We examined age-adjusted 10-year stroke incidence using Cox regression in women and men in five epochs: 1962-1969 (epoch 1, reference), 1971-1976 (epoch 2), 1987-1991 (epoch 3), 1998-2005 (epoch 4), 2015-2021 (epoch 5). We compared stroke incidence by sex across epochs, estimated decade-wise linear trends overall and by sex. We compared risk factors in successive epochs to the first, and estimated sex-specific trends in risk factors. Interactions between baseline risk factors with epoch and trends were assessed by sex. Secondary analyses were repeated in participants <60 years old. Results: Incident stroke occurred in 4.5% (178/3996) in epoch 1, 3.9% (227/5786) in epoch 2, 3.9% (199/5137) in epoch 3, 2.7% (207/7642) in epoch 4, 2.2% (119/5534) in epoch 5. Men had higher risk of incident stroke in each epoch with significant difference in epochs 2 (HR 1.41, 95% CI [1.08, 1.84]) and 4 (HR 1.46, 95% CI [1.11, 1.91]) overall, and in epoch 4 (HR 2.13, 95% CI [1.17, 3.87]) among those <60 years. Stroke incidence declined by 16% per decade in men (HR 0.84, 95% CI [0.79, 0.89]) and 19% per decade in women (HR 0.81, 95% CI [0.76, 0.86]). Among those <60 years, stroke incidence declined by 22% per decade in women (HR 0.78, 95% CI [0.67, 0.95]). Hypertension declined by 8% per decade in women only ([OR] 0.92, 95% CI [0.90, 0.94]), while Atrial fibrillation and diabetes increased in both. Conclusion: Stroke incidence continues to decline in recent periods for women and men. Among participants <60 years, decline was observed only in women, possibly related to decline in hypertension in women.

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a major and growing public health problem, and prior studies support a meaningful genetic contribution to HF susceptibility. Clinically, HF is commonly categorized into the major clinical sub-types of HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), which differ in pathophysiology and clinical profiles. However, previous genome-wide association studies have focused on autosomal variation and have routinely excluded the X chromosome, leaving X-linked genetic contributions to HF and its subtypes under-characterized. Methods: We performed X-chromosome wide association study (XWAS) utilizing directly genotyped data from 590,568 Million Veteran Program participants, including 90,694 HF cases across European, African, Hispanic, and Asian Americans. Sex- and ancestry-stratified logistic regression was used with XWAS quality control measures, adjusting for age and population structure, followed by fixed-effects multi-ancestry meta-analysis. Functional annotation, gene-based testing, fine-mapping, and colocalization were performed. We replicated genetic associations with all-cause HF in the UK Biobank. Results: In the multi-ancestry meta-analysis, we identified five X-chromosome-wide significant loci for all-cause HF, five for HFrEF, and one locus for HFpEF in males. No loci reached significance in female-specific analyses. In sex-combined analyses, we identified six loci for all-cause HF and four for HFrEF. The strongest and most emphasized signals mapped to genes were BRWD3, FHL1, and CHRDL1. Ancestry-specific analyses revealed additional loci, including NDP and WDR44 in African ancestry and PHF8 in Hispanic ancestry. One locus, BRWD3, was replicated in UK Biobank HF cohort. Integrated post-GWAS analyses (fine-mapping, colocalization and pleiotropy trait association studies) reinforced the biological plausibility of the X-linked signals. Conclusions: This multi-ancestry, sex-stratified XWAS identifies X-linked genetic contributions to HF and its subtypes and highlights the role of X-chromosome in heart failure pathogenesis.

BackgroundClinical and genetic evidence on the association between atopic dermatitis (AD) and subsequent psoriasis remains conflicting, and it is unclear whether this risk is modified by systemic treatments. Recent reports suggest type 2-targeted biologics may unmask psoriasis in AD patients, but data are limited. We thus aimed to assess whether AD is associated with incident psoriasis and whether this risk differs by systemic treatment, particularly biologics versus conventional systemic immunosuppressants (cvIS). MethodsScoping analyses informed a locked analytic design, preregistration at OSF, and confirmatory execution. Propensity score-matched analyses compared AD with non-AD controls and biologics with cvIS. Sensitivity analyses, Cox model triangulation, and control outcomes assessed robustness. FindingsAmong [~]300,000 matched pairs, AD was associated with increased psoriasis risk (primary HR 3.81, 95% CI 3.35-4.34), consistent across all 8 sensitivity analyses and model triangulation. Biologic treatment was associated with reduced psoriasis risk versus cvIS (primary HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.11-0.35), consistent across 6 of 7 evaluable sensitivity analyses and Cox triangulation. Positive and negative control outcomes showed expected directional patterns. InterpretationAcknowledging limitations including residual confounding and coding misclassification, AD was associated with increased psoriasis risk and biologics with lower psoriasis risk than cvIS. FundingDFG (EXC2167, SFB1526, LU877/25-1), Schleswig-Holstein Excellence-Chair Program, Swedish Society for Dermatology and Venereology, and the Tore Nilson Foundation. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSAtopic dermatitis (eczema) and psoriasis are the two most common chronic inflammatory skin diseases worldwide. For a long time, doctors and researchers assumed these two conditions could not occur in the same person, as they were thought to involve opposing immune responses. However, this view has been challenged over the past decade. Some large studies, including population-based cohorts from Taiwan and the United Kingdom, have found that people with eczema may be at higher risk of developing psoriasis over time, while other studies, including genetic analyses, have suggested the opposite: that the two diseases may actually protect against each other. This conflicting picture has left clinicians uncertain about the true relationship between the two diseases in everyday clinical practice. A separate but related concern has emerged with the introduction of a new class of highly effective treatments for eczema, biologics, particularly dupilumab. Case reports and observational studies, including a large study published in JAMA Dermatology in 2025, have raised the possibility that these medications might trigger psoriasis in some patients, potentially by shifting the immune system from one inflammatory pattern to another. However, prior studies on this question had important methodological limitations: they were not pre-planned and registered before data collection, they did not always tightly link treatment use to an eczema diagnosis, and critically, none compared biologic treatment directly against conventional immunosuppressant medications, the most relevant clinical comparator. Added value of this studyThis study is a large and methodologically rigorous investigation of both questions: whether eczema itself increases the risk of developing psoriasis, and whether the type of systemic treatment used for eczema influences that risk. Using a database of over 110 million electronic health records from across the United States, we matched approximately 300,000 patients with eczema to 300,000 patients without eczema and followed them for up to seven years. We also compared nearly 5,500 patients treated with biologics to an equal number treated with conventional immunosuppressants. Crucially, our study was pre-registered before any data were analyzed, meaning the research questions, methods, and analyses were locked in advance and could not be adjusted based on what the data showed. We also used a range of additional analyses to test whether our findings were robust, including checks using outcomes that should not be affected by eczema or its treatment (such as appendectomy and hearing loss), which confirmed that our results were not likely explained by bias alone. We found that eczema was associated with an increased risk of developing psoriasis, but that this risk was substantially influenced by the choice of comparison group, ranging from approximately 1.4-fold to nearly 4-fold depending on the analytical approach. More strikingly, we found that patients treated with biologics had a markedly lower risk of developing psoriasis compared with those treated with conventional immunosuppressants, the opposite of what prior reports had suggested. This finding was consistent across nearly all additional analyses performed. Implications of all the available evidenceTaken together with existing evidence, these findings suggest two important conclusions. First, clinicians should be aware that eczema, particularly moderate-to-severe eczema requiring systemic treatment, may carry an elevated risk of developing psoriasis over time. This does not mean that all patients with eczema need to be screened for psoriasis routinely, but it does support clinical awareness and monitoring in higher-risk patients. Second, and perhaps most importantly for treatment decisions, biologics do not appear to increase the risk of psoriasis compared with conventional immunosuppressants and may in fact be associated with a lower risk. This provides reassurance for patients and clinicians considering biologic therapy and challenges the narrative that these medications trigger psoriasis. Future research should aim to confirm these findings in other populations, investigate the biological mechanisms underlying the relationship between eczema and psoriasis, and examine whether specific biologic agents differ from one another in their effects on psoriasis risk.

BackgroundThe Toto Bora trial tested whether a course of azithromycin reduced rates of re-hospitalization or death in the 6 months following hospitalization among Kenyan children. We hypothesized that azithromycin would reduce enteric bacteria and increase carriage of macrolide resistance in the subsequent 3 months. MethodsKenyan children (1-59 months) hospitalized and subsequently discharged for non-traumatic conditions provided fecal samples before and 3 months after randomization to a 5-day course of azithromycin or placebo. Quantitative PCR identified enteropathogens and AMR-conferring genes in fecal samples. Generalized estimating equations assessed the impact of the randomization arm on pathogen and resistance gene detection, accounting for baseline presence and site. ResultsAmong 1,393 baseline stools, 12.4% had at least one bacterial enteropathogen, 94.7% had at least one macrolide-resistance gene, and 92.6% had at least one beta-lactamase-resistance gene identified. At month 3, children randomized to azithromycin had a 6.1% higher likelihood of carrying a macrolide resistance gene compared to placebo (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.04-1.08; P<0.001). Specifically, azithromycin randomization was associated with a higher relative prevalence of erm(B) (aPR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.04-1.15]; P=0.001), erm(C) (aPR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.14-1.31]; P<0.001), msr(A) (aPR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.04-1.25]; P=0.007), and msr(D) (aPR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.03-1.11]; P=0.001). There was no difference in overall bacterial pathogen prevalence (18.9% vs 17.3%) between randomization arms, but a slightly lower proportion of children had Shigella after randomization in the azithromycin arm (3% vs. 5%, aPR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62, 1.01]; P=0.063). InterpretationAzithromycin at hospital discharge was associated with higher carriage of macrolide-resistance-conferring genes in the post-discharge period compared with placebo, without significant declines in enteric pathogen carriage other than modest changes to Shigella. The potential benefits and risks of empiric azithromycin need to be considered, as children are increasingly exposed to this broad-spectrum antibiotic.

Desmoid fibromatosis (DF) is a rare mesenchymal neoplasm with an unpredictable clinical course, where spontaneous regression or progression occurs in a significant subset of patients through largely undefined mechanisms. The use of active surveillance (AS) offers the opportunity to investigate whether tumor- or host-driven systemic and local immune features may explain these divergent outcomes, improving patient management. A prospective observational study enrolled 55 patients with primary sporadic DF managed with AS. Clinical evolution was categorized as progression, regression, or stable disease according to RECIST 1.1. Immunomonitoring with multicolor flow cytometry identified distinct systemic T-helper polarization states stratifying clinical trajectories: regressors showed a Th2-skewed profile, while progressors displayed activated T-helper cells and Th1/Th9/Th17 subsets. Higher baseline Th2 levels associated with regression and longer progression-free survival. Plasma proteomic and whole-blood transcriptomic analyses confirmed coordinated IL-4/IL-13-linked pro-resolving programs in regressors and inflammatory, early T-cell activation signatures in progressors. Tumor transcriptomics revealed adaptive, antigen-presentation and restrained immune programs in regressing lesions versus innate inflammatory, interferon and TGF-{beta}-driven fibrotic pathways in progressing tumors. These findings identify systemic T-helper polarization as a biomarker of DF behavior and highlight coordinated systemic-tumoral immune programs underlying clinical outcomes, supporting more precise clinical management.

The spinocerebellar ataxias (SCAs) are a clinically heterogenous group of neurodegenerative disorders that affect movement, vision, speech and balance. Here, we reassign the linkage of SCA30 to 14q32.13 based on a cumulative LOD score >12. Within this interval we identified a 331 kb duplication, absent in population controls and not observed in >800 unrelated individuals with genetically unresolved cerebellar ataxia. RNASeq analysis of patient-derived lymphoblastoid cell lines revealed a splice-mediated chimeric transcript resulting from the duplication event. This transcript joined exon 1 of CLMN to exon 2 of SYNE3. In silico translation predicted that this chimeric transcript would produce a short N-terminal peptide corresponding to exon 1 of CLMN and the usually untranslated region of exon 2 of SYNE3 fused to the complete and in-frame SYNE3 protein. Transient overexpression of SYNE3 or the CLMN::SYNE3 fusion protein, in both HeLa cells and mouse primary cortical neurons, resulted in equivalent cellular outcomes including altered nuclear morphology and chromosomal DNA fragmentation. SYNE3 forms part of the linker of nucleoskeleton and cytoskeleton complex and is not usually expressed in cerebellar Purkyn[e] neurons while, CLMN has a Purkyn[e] specific expression pattern within the brain. Our data suggests that ectopic expression of SYNE3 in cerebellar Purkyn[e] neurons, mediated by the CLMN promoter, leads to cerebellar atrophy and causes spinocerebellar ataxia in the SCA30 family. This is an example of Mendelian disease arising from a novel, chimeric transcript with a likely dominant negative effect. Chimeric transcripts are commonly associated with cancers, but they are not often associated with monogenic disorders. Detection of chimeric transcripts as part of structural variant analysis could increase the genetic diagnostic yield of Mendelian disorders.

BackgroundPolygenic embryo screening (PES) has recently become available to in-vitro fertilization (IVF) patients, allowing them to evaluate the genetic risk of each of their embryos for polygenic conditions such as heart attack or diabetes. Initial modeling predicted that transferring the embryo with the lowest genetic risk for one or more diseases would substantially reduce prevalence in the next generation, with relative risk reductions up to 50%. However, these models assumed the availability of a prespecified number of embryos and that the embryo with the most favorable polygenic risk is born once transferred to the uterus. In reality, a large percentage of embryo transfers do not lead to live births, and IVF frequently results in no or only a single live birth. MethodsTo quantify the expected risk reduction in the context of IVF, we used two datasets: 6944 ovarian stimulation cycles from 4452 Italian infertility patients and 2138 stimulation cycles of egg donors. In both datasets, we simulated the hypothetical application of PES in these cycles by assigning patients and their embryos randomly drawn polygenic risk scores for a given disease, assuming that embryos have been transferred in increasing order of their risk, and tracing their birth outcomes. We then compared the risk of the embryo born after hypothetical PES to the risk of an embryo born without PES. We either considered only completed cycles or integrated over possible birth outcomes of non-transferred embryos in incomplete cycles. ResultsIn stimulation cycles in infertility patients in which all embryos have been transferred and at least one child was born, we estimate that PES will result in relative risk reductions of just {approx}1-3%. In an intention-to-screen analysis of all completed cycles (regardless of birth outcomes), relative risk reductions are under 0.5%. The risk reductions increase, as expected, with more euploid blastocysts and with younger maternal age. Including incomplete cycles (in which not all embryos have been transferred) increases risk reductions to {approx}2-5%, due to the availability of more euploid blastocysts and a higher live birth rate per transfer in these cycles. Pooling all embryos from all cycles of the same patient increases risk reductions to {approx}5-10%. Relative risk reductions in egg donor cycles reach {approx}20% even with a single stimulation cycle per donor. ConclusionsWith the exception of particularly good-prognosis patients or cycles, typical infertility patients would benefit little from PES. In fertile patients, as represented by egg donors, PES is predicted to achieve greater relative risk reductions. However, even though these reductions are still substantially lower than prior estimates that did not account for realistic live birth rates. Ethical, social, and clinical issues associated with offering PES in the general population should be prioritized in future research.

ObjectivesTo evaluate the effect of surgical hubs on the volume of surgeries, patient waiting times, and length of hospital stay for elective hip and knee replacements in the English NHS. DesignA retrospective longitudinal study using a difference-in-differences approach to compare changes in outcomes at NHS trusts that opened surgical hubs with those that did not. SettingThe study was set in the English NHS, using administrative data from NHS acute trusts providing elective hip and knee replacements between April 2014 and September 2024. ParticipantsThe study included 76 NHS trusts. The treatment group consisted of 29 trusts that opened a surgical hub for trauma and orthopaedic surgery during the study period. The control group consisted of 47 trusts that did not. 48 trusts that performed fewer than 1,000 relevant procedures over the ten-year period or that reported data for fewer than 41 of the 42 quarters in the sample period were excluded. InterventionThe phased introduction of surgical hubs dedicated to elective procedures at 29 NHS trusts between Q1 2020 and Q3 2024. Main outcome measuresThe three main outcomes were, measured at the trust-quarter level: the total number of elective primary hip and knee replacements (surgical volume), the average length of stay in hospital, and the average waiting time from being added to the waiting list to hospital admission. ResultsThe opening of a surgical hub was associated with an increase of 43.75 hip and knee replacement surgeries per quarter (95% CI: 22.22 to 65.28), which represents a 19.1% increase compared to the pre-hub mean. Length of stay was reduced by 0.32 days (95% CI: - 0.48 to -0.16), a 7.8% reduction. There was no statistically significant effect on average waiting times (-14.96 days, 95% CI: -33.11 to 3.19). ConclusionsSurgical hubs appear to be effective at increasing the number of hip and knee replacements and reducing the time patients spend in hospital. However, in this study, they did not lead to a statistically significant reduction in waiting times overall.

Disability worsening is the critical long-term outcome in multiple sclerosis, yet the Expanded Disability Status Scale incompletely captures neurological deterioration and has limited sensitivity in the short time windows of clinical trials. Composite endpoints incorporating functional measures have been proposed to address these limitations, but whether they reliably improve detection of treatment effects has not been established across trials. We conducted a post-hoc analysis of individual patient data from ten phase III randomised controlled trials (ASCEND, BRAVO, CONFIRM, DEFINE, EXPAND, INFORMS, OLYMPUS, OPERA I/II, and ORATORIO; n = 9,369), spanning relapsing-remitting and progressive multiple sclerosis. Confirmed disability worsening was defined using harmonised criteria with the msprog package and confirmed at 24 weeks. Treatment effects were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models and combined across trials in a one-stage individual patient data framework. Composite endpoints were constructed from the Expanded Disability Status Scale, the timed 25-foot walk test, and the nine-hole peg test using logical unions (OR-type), intersections (AND-type), and majority-vote structures. Sensitivity to treatment effect was quantified using Z-scores (the ratio of the pooled log-hazard ratio to its standard error) and compared to the Expanded Disability Status Scale reference using interaction tests. Event rates varied across components: the timed walk test generated the highest rates (up to 46.8%) while the nine-hole peg test generated the lowest (as low as 2.1%). OR-type composite endpoints showed weaker treatment effects than the Expanded Disability Status Scale alone, with the largest reductions in sensitivity observed for endpoints incorporating the timed walk test ({Delta}Z up to +2.26; interaction p = 0.004). These findings were confirmed across disease subtypes and were pronounced in relapsing-remitting trials, where no composite endpoint outperformed the Expanded Disability Status Scale. In progressive multiple sclerosis, the combination of the Expanded Disability Status Scale and the nine-hole peg test showed numerically stronger treatment effects ({Delta}Z = -1.65), though interaction tests did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.051). Composite endpoints do not systematically improve treatment effect detection in multiple sclerosis trials. Increased event capture driven by the timed walk test introduces noise that dilutes the treatment signal rather than amplifying it, highlighting that event rate and endpoint quality are not interchangeable. Upper limb function assessed by the nine-hole peg test provides complementary and specific information, particularly in progressive disease. The combination of global disability and upper limb measures represents a promising direction for future endpoint development in progressive multiple sclerosis trials, warranting validation.