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PeerJ

PeerJ

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match PeerJ's content profile, based on 261 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.42% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Efficacy and Safety of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Obesity Management: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Zhang, Y.; Wang, Y.

2026-06-08 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354905 medRxiv
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Background: Obesity is a global health crisis, contributing to chronic diseases such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and metabolic syndrome. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) has been used in East Asia to manage obesity, but evidence on its efficacy and safety remains limited. This systematic review and meta-analysis assess clinical evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on TCM for obesity treatment. Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science from inception to April 2026. Eligible RCTs compared TCM interventions with placebo or conventional treatments in obese patients. Two reviewers independently conducted screening, data extraction, and quality assessment. Meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model to calculate pooled weighted mean differences (WMD) and odds ratios (OR) for body weight, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), lipid profiles, and adverse events. Results: A total of 33 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving 3,053 participants were included in the analysis. TCM significantly reduced body weight (WMD = -5.86 kg, 95% CI: -7.51 to -4.21), BMI (WMD = -2.82 kg/m{superscript 2}, 95% CI: -3.38 to -2.25), and WHR (WMD = -0.04, 95% CI: -0.06 to -0.02). Lipid profiles improved, with reductions in total cholesterol (WMD = -0.82 mmol/L), triglycerides (WMD = -0.65 mmol/L), LDL-C (WMD = -0.39 mmol/L), and increased HDL-C (WMD = 0.29 mmol/L) (all p < 0.001). Adverse events were infrequent, with no significant difference observed between TCM and control groups (OR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.24 to 1.08). Funnel plots indicated no publication bias. Conclusion: TCM appears effective in reducing body weight and improving lipid profiles in obese patients, with a low incidence of adverse events. It may serve as a complementary treatment for obesity, though further high-quality RCTs are needed to confirm these findings and assess long-term outcomes.

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Technology acceptance of machine learning in life sciences: the role of hype perception and journal impact factor.

Serrano, A. E.

2026-06-09 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354262 medRxiv
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Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a transformative technology across biomedical and life science sectors, with applications spanning drug discovery, medical imaging, genomics, and clinical decision support (Goecks et al., 2020; Patel et al., 2020). Despite exponential growth in ML-related publications, from fewer than 100 articles in 2003 to nearly 25,000 by 2021 (NCBI, 2022), adoption among industry professionals remains uneven and sector-dependent. Understanding what drives or inhibits this adoption is critical for organisations seeking to leverage ML capabilities in research and clinical practice. Technology adoption in organisational contexts has been extensively studied through the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), originally proposed by Davis (1989) and subsequently extended to incorporate external variables influencing perceived usefulness (PU) and perceived ease of use (PEU) (Venkatesh & Davis, 1996). While TAM has been applied across multiple industries, its application within biomedical and life science contexts remains limited, and the industry-specific factors that shape ML acceptance in this sector have not been systematically examined. Two external variables are particularly relevant to life science professionals. First, the bibliometric journal impact factor (JIF) functions as a cognitive signal of scientific credibility, a sector where evidence-based decision-making is culturally embedded, and publication quality serves as a proxy for technological legitimacy (Garfield, 1996). Second, technology hype, operationalised through the Gartner Hype Cycle framework, represents a social influence variable that shapes organisational expectations and investment decisions around emerging technologies (Gartner Inc., 2018). Whether these variables influence ML acceptance among life science professionals, alongside individual knowledge and experience, has not been empirically tested. This study addresses that gap by investigating ML technology acceptance among 213 biomedical and life science professionals across EMEA, LATAM, and North America, using a cross-sectional quantitative survey and PLS-SEM analysis. The TAM model is extended with three external variables, JIF, technology hype, and prior knowledge and experience, to test their influence on PU and PEU in this specific professional context. Additionally, the study examines demographic and regional differences in ML acceptance, with particular attention to variation between academic researchers and healthcare professionals. The findings contribute a validated, sector-specific extension of TAM for life sciences, provide actionable insights for organisations seeking to accelerate ML implementation, and establish a framework for future subsector-specific research.

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Efficacy of the PragmaVAC Manual Negative Pressure Wound Therapy Device to Treat Acute Traumatic Wounds in a Conflict Setting: A Retrospective Cohort Study from Gaza

Ramadan, I.; Hariri, M.; Shalakhti, O.; Alawa, J.; Godier-Furnemont, A.; Traboulsi, A. A.-R.; MOWAFI, H.

2026-06-10 surgery 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354740 medRxiv
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Abstract: Background: Acute war-related traumatic wounds present significant challenges due to significant soft-tissue damage/loss, risk of contamination, limited access to antimicrobial therapy, need for delayed closure, and limited access to surgical and wound care. Negative Pressure Wound Therapy (NPWT) has been used effectively to reduce the volume of soft-tissue defects, edema, and infection in traumatic wounds, and to promote growth of healthy granulation tissue. However, conventional NPWT devices are costly and electricity-dependent, limiting their utility in conflict settings. Methods: This retrospective cohort study evaluated the use of PragmaVAC, a manually operated, electricity-independent NPWT device, in patients across three hospitals in Gaza with conflict-related wounds that were deemed by the treating surgeon to be unsuitable for primary closure. Secondary analysis was performed of clinical records of patients treated with the PragmaVac NPWT device to assess ability to achieve a primary outcome of wound bed with healthy granulation tissue, time to primary outcome, and rates of adverse effects. Secondary outcome of wound closure and closure method was also assessed. Results: Treatment with PragmaVAC manual NPWT was prescribed to 88 patients. Of those, 27 (31%) had incomplete documentation of their wound healing or were lost to follow up. The remaining 61 (69%) had complete documentation of their wound healing, complications, and final outcome with 59 (67%) successful closure and 2(2%) failure. Conclusion: The use of the PragmaVAC NPWT device provided a safe, effective wound care option to achieve wound closure for large conflict-related traumatic wounds in resource-limited settings. Future studies may further evaluate such use through prospective trials, evalutions of patients' experiences with manual NPWT, and evaluating outcomes beyond primary wound closure to include medium- and long-term complications, cosmesis, and cost of therapy.

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Precision Imaging to Evaluate Kaposi Sarcoma (PRIME-KS): protocol for a multicountry novel artificial intelligence-based imaging device

Odeny, T. A.; Adhiambo, H. F.; Mangale, D.; Makanga, P. K.; Odeny, B.; Okuku, F.; Zhou, C.; Geng, E.; Carson, J.; Mudhune, V.; Bukusi, E.; Semeere, A.

2026-06-04 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354815 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Kaposi sarcoma (KS) is the most common cancer among men in several Eastern African countries, yet treatment monitoring relies on imprecise, time-consuming ruler-based measurements defined by the AIDS Clinical Trial Group (ACTG). This method suffers from inter-observer variability, fails to capture lesion height or true geometric area, and performs poorly on dark skin. SkinScan3D (SS3D) is a portable, low-cost, AI-enabled 3D imaging device that provides objective measurements of KS skin lesion area, height, volume, and color. The Precision Imaging to Evaluate Kaposi Sarcoma (PRIME-KS) study evaluates whether SS3D provides more reproducible and accurate lesion measurements than the standard method, and validates its integration into routine clinical workflows in Kenya and Uganda. Methods: PRIME-KS is a multicountry prospective mixed-methods study with two clinical objectives. Objective 1 is a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study comparing SS3D with ruler-based measurement in 50 adults with KS (150 lesions) across sites in Kenya and Uganda. Two clinicians independently measure three lesions per participant using both methods. The primary outcomes are concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) for inter-rater reproducibility, and co-efficient of determination for accuracy. Objective 2 is a non-randomized before-and-after pilot study in 100 patients at three sites, evaluating device usability, acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility using validated instruments, along with time-and-motion studies and activity-based micro-costing. Prior to these clinical objectives, a formative study used focus group discussions, discrete choice experiments, and human-centered design workshops to refine the SS3D device and protocols with end-user input. Discussion: PRIME-KS will provide the first rigorous evaluation of a 3D imaging device for monitoring KS treatment response in routine clinical settings. If SS3D demonstrates superior reproducibility and clinical utility, it could reduce unnecessary chemotherapy exposure and associated toxicities by enabling earlier, more objective assessment of treatment response. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06898203, registered 27 March 2025. Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR202603523439856. Keywords Kaposi sarcoma, SkinScan3D, 3D imaging, treatment monitoring, diagnostic accuracy, implementation science, usability, human-centered design, Kenya, Uganda

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A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials examining the effect of ultra-processed food on energy intake and weight gain

Robinson, E.; Jones, A.; Evans, R.; Finlay, A.; Brealey, J.; Gough, T.; Cummings, J.; Fisher, E.; Jutla, M.; Morenikeji-Ibilola, E.; Norton, V.

2026-06-05 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354787 medRxiv
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Ultra-processed food (UPF) may contribute to increased energy intake and weight gain, but evidence synthesis from randomised controlled trials (RCT) is lacking. A pre-registered systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs was conducted comparing UPF with less processed food (LPF) on energy intake and/or body weight in humans. Secondary analyses (meta-regression and sub-group) examined effects of UPF on appetite sensations, eating rate, palatability and considered the role of nutrient profile in explaining results. Ten eligible studies were included. UPF trial arms tended to have higher energy intake (standardised mean differences [SMDs]=0.18-0.44), but statistical significance varied between analytic models. Weight gain (SMD=0.65) and eating rate (SMD=0.96) were significantly greater in UPF trial arms. No significant differences in palatability, appetite sensations or energy intake later in the day were observed. Diets (UPF vs. LPF) used in trials were not matched for nutrient profile. Effects on energy intake varied if UPFs were higher (SMD=0.71) or similar (SMD=0.02) in energy density. Current RCTs are suggestive that UPFs may increase energy intake and body weight; however, results may be explained by energy density of foods used. Further research is needed to understand whether the level of processing impacts health outcomes independent to nutrient profile.

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Assessment of the accuracy of lung lesions diagnosis in adolescents with osteosarcoma using artificial intelligence

Uskova, N. G.; Gombolevskiy, V. A.; Chernina, V. Y.; Burenchev, D. V.; Akhaladze, D. G.; Panina, E. V.; Karachunskiy, A. I.; Tereschenko, G. V.; Goncharov, M. Y.; Soboleva, E. A.; Konopleva, E. I.; Bydanov, O. I.; Plekhov, S. Y.; Grachev, N. S.

2026-06-10 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.08.26354011 medRxiv
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Background. Lung metastases in osteosarcoma (OS) are the main cause of the death. The accuracy of the diagnosis of nodules by computed tomography (CT) of the lungs is critically important for determining the disseminated stage of the disease and planning surgical treatment. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in the search for lung nodules increases the accuracy of diagnosis and reduces the chance of missing metastases. Objective: to evaluate the accuracy of lung nodules diagnosis in adolescents with OS using AI. Methods. A retrospective assessment of CT scans of adolescents with OS was performed. A pathological nodule with an average size of [&ge;]4 mm was considered a target finding. The diagnostic accuracy of an AI algorithm previously trained on an adult dataset was evaluated, and the number of false positives (FP) and false negatives (FN) was determined. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1-measure were calculated. Based on the obtained results, the effectiveness of the algorithm was assessed. Results. 248 CT scans of adolescents with OS were evaluated. The following results were obtained: in 5 cases, the AI algorithm showed a FP result (2.02%), in 34 cases, it showed a FN result (13.71%), and in 209 cases, a correct result (both true positive and true negative) (84.27%). The diagnostic accuracy of the algorithm was 0.843 (95% CI 0.794-0.887). The application of the AI algorithm in the practice of an X-ray doctor in a specific clinical task would allow to increase the sensitivity from 0.805 to 0.891, while ensuring an absolute decrease in the number of FN results by 8.59% and a relative decrease by 44%. Conclusion. The obtained results confirm the practical value of the application of the AI algorithm and justify the implementation of AI-assisted systems in the diagnostic protocols for lung metastases in adolescents with OS.

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Investigation of the continuous spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the post pandemic time - Insights into the reason for the sustained spread despite the establishment of population immunity

Yi, B.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355009 medRxiv
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In spite of well-established global immune landscape, SARS-CoV-2 is still able to further spread and continue causing infection waves. The current understanding about the reason behind is limited, and it is still difficult to predict the evolution or spreading tread of SARS-CoV-2. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate whether the establishment of population immunity has changed the virus evolution or spreading pattern. In this investigation, one overall analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 spreading in the past several years have been carried out through one thorough genomic epidemiology study, with Germany being chosen as one representative location in view of the systemic efforts for genomic surveillance. The growth advantage of a few predominant variants in its early spreading period has been evaluated through a logistic regression model. The results have revealed that the major circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants since 2023 are mainly derived from the Omicron BA.2 family. Since middle of 2024, most predominant variants were produced primarily through recombination, indicating that the evolution derived from recombination might be the major driving force for the continuous spread of SARS-CoV-2 despite the existence of population immunity. Furthermore, the lower growth advantage of recently emerged variants might possibly lead to a tread of reduction in the frequency of infection wave. The information revealed from this investigation suggests that although short-term spreading tread can be affected by specific virus feature as well as local immunity landscape, the long-term spreading tread is mainly decided by the genomic diversity of the viruses, and can be predicted through phylogenetic and genomic epidemiology investigation. The results have emphasized the importance of maintaining the efforts for genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2, which is essential from both medical and research perspectives.

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Association of body composition, daily physical activity and handgrip strength with mortality, cardiovascular events and cancers in Japanese patients with diabetes

Hamasaki, H.

2026-06-10 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355239 medRxiv
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Aims: Sarcopenia and sarcopenic obesity are associated with increased risks of cardiovascular (CV) disease and mortality. This study examined the associations of body composition and daily physical activity with mortality, CV events and cancer in patients with diabetes. Methods: This prospective cohort study included patients with diabetes treated at a specialised clinic in Japan between January 2018 and March 2023. Body composition, including visceral adipose tissue (VAT), was assessed by bioelectrical impedance analysis. Daily physical activity was evaluated using the non-exercise activity thermogenesis (NEAT) questionnaire, and handgrip strength (HGS) was measured by dynamometry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess associations with mortality, CV events, and cancer. Results: Among 2,024 patients (mean age 63.0 years, BMI 24.6 kg/m^2, HbA1c 7.8%), NEAT, HGS, and VAT were not independently associated with all-cause mortality. Higher VAT was associated with increased cancer risk (HR 1.485; 95% CI 1.101-2.003; p = 0.009). Higher HGS was inversely associated with CV event risk (HR 0.951; 95% CI 0.919-0.984; p = 0.004). NEAT was not associated with any outcome. Conclusions: Higher VAT was associated with increased cancer risk, whereas higher HGS was protective against CV events. Incorporating body composition and HGS assessments into clinical practice may improve risk stratification and management in patients with diabetes.

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Comparative Thermal Effects of Single Shot Pulsed Field Ablation Systems using a Thermochromic Hydrogel

Gill, J.; Saija, C.; Sagar, V.; Zuberi, Z.; Bajpai, A.; Rhode, K.; Leung, L. W.; Gallagher, M. M.

2026-06-04 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354772 medRxiv
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Background Pulse-field ablation (PFA) is regarded as a non-thermal ablation modality, but there is an increasing range of complications that could be due to thermal effects. Methods The hydrogel undergoes permanent colour change when a target temperature is reached allowing direct visualisation of the surface thermal footprint and depth. Comparative lesion sets using a variable loop circular catheter (VP), circular over-the-wire catheter (PS) and pentaspline catheter (FP) were performed. Protocols included single and stacked applications with variation of force, irrigation, and voltage. The hydrogel lesions were analysed en-face and by section using digital image analysis. Results All 3 PFA catheters tested had significant thermal footprints. The VP catheter had the largest mean surface footprint (156.1mm2) and thermal depth (1.31mm) compared to the other two catheters (PS 55.4mm2 & 1.1mm, FP 29.8mm2 & 1.05mm, p<0.005). Increasing irrigation showed a trend to reduce thermal footprint but did not achieve statistical significance. Increasing voltage increased thermal footprint, but increasing force had negligible effect. Stacked lesions incrementally increased thermal lesion footprint and depth in all catheters. Thermal depths of up to 2.4mm were observed. Areas of darkening and degradation of the hydrogel were observed with the VP and FP catheters, consisting of up to 47% of lesion area. No darkening was observed with the PS catheter. Conclusions There are significant thermal footprints in all the systems tested. Temperatures exceeding 60oC have been demonstrated, comparable to radiofrequency ablation, and this may explain the mechanism of injury in some reports of collateral damage during PFA.

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Prevalence and factors associated with peripheral artery disease among patients with diabetes mellitus: A cross-sectional study at tertiary hospital in Eastern Uganda

Imalingat, J.; Muyinda, A.; Iraguha, D.; Katuramu, R.; Masaba, P.; Apio, E.; Kebesu, J.; Nankunda, O.; Kirabo, E.; Epuitai, J.; Bwayo, D.

2026-06-05 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354843 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a major contributor to morbidity and mortality, particularly among individuals with diabetes mellitus (DM), in whom its prevalence is markedly increased. PAD is often asymptomatic and under-diagnosed, especially in low-resource settings. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of PAD and associated factors among adults with DM in Eastern Uganda. Methods We conducted a hospital-based cross-sectional study at Mbale Regional Referral Hospital from 10th/12/ 2024 to 30th/4/2025. A total of 300 adult patients with DM were consecutively enrolled. Data on sociodemographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, comorbidities, and behavioural risk factors were collected using an interviewer-administered data tool. PAD was assessed using the ankle-brachial index (ABI), defined as [&le;] 0.90. Modified Poisson regression was used to identify factors associated with PAD. As a secondary measure for PAD, we administered the Edinburgh Claudication Questionnaire (ECQ) to capture symptomatic PAD. Results The majority of the participants had a low fruit intake (68%), physical inactivity (54%), and elevated low-density lipoprotein (60%). The prevalence of PAD as measured by ABI was 42.3% (127/300; 95% CI 0.38-0.48), while the magnitude of PAD as measured by ECQ, combining participants with possible claudication and definite claudication was 37.3% 95% CI 31.9 - 42.8). Out of participants with PAD, 15.8% (20/127) were classified as having severe PAD (ABI <0.4). Socio-demographic and clinical factors were assessed for association with PAD. We found no evidence of association between the examined factors such as age (aPR 1.24 95% CI 0.73 - 2.09), sex (aPR 1.46 95% CI 0.84 - 2.55), cholesterol level (aPR 1.39 95% CI 0.86 - 2.25), glycemic control (aPR 1.35 95% CI 0.72 - 2.53), and sedentary behaviour (aPR 1.28 95% CI 0.79-2.08) and PAD. Conclusion The prevalence of PAD was high among adults with DM in Eastern Uganda. Routine health education, and ABI screening of PAD should be done for patients living with DM. The absence of significant associations despite high prevalence of PAD may reflect unmeasured factors e.g. chronic inflammation that may be unique to this population, future prospective studies with larger sample size and more detailed objective measures e.g. inflammatory markers are needed to determine locally relevant modifiable risk factors.

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Estimating gender disparities in surgical sterilization uptake in India in 2019-20 and cost savings from equity achievement

Mande, S. u.; Arora, A.; Sharma, P.; Passi, V. R.; Afsar, A.; Nakray, K.; Baxy, H.; Zadey, S.

2026-06-08 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354923 medRxiv
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Background: Qualitative studies have noted that the burden of family planning disproportionately falls on women in India. Our primary objective was to quantify the gender disparity in the uptake of surgical sterilizations. Our secondary objectives were to calculate the costs of tubectomies and vasectomies in India and to estimate the savings of scaling up vasectomy rates. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis using data on the total number of tubectomies and vasectomies performed, postoperative failure, and postoperative mortality due to these procedures, obtained from the Health Management Information System (HMIS) for 2019-20. We calculated the vasectomy (tubectomy) operative rates per 10,000 men (women) of reproductive age (15-49 years). The women-to-men ratio of these rates is used as a proxy for sex-based disparities in uptake. State-specific procedure costs and compensation for failures and postoperative deaths at public hospitals were extracted and aggregated from government data and research studies. To estimate the financial benefit of scaling up vasectomies, the cost of increasing the vasectomy rate to 50% of the total sterilization rate was calculated. All costs were adjusted for inflation to 2022 and presented in United States Dollars (USD). Findings: In 2019-20, the national tubectomy rate was 96.5, the vasectomy rate was 1.4, and the resulting women-to-men rate ratio was 67.5. The cost per tubectomy procedure was 3.5 times that of vasectomy (89.1 USD vs. 25.3 USD). Keeping the overall operative rate constant, the net savings from scaling up vasectomies to at least 50% of total operations (replacing excess tubectomies) range from 62,193,487 to 75,355,777 USD. Interpretation: Our pan-India analysis confirms that the use of surgical family planning methods is disproportionately higher among women. Scaling up vasectomies has finacial benefits and can improve gender equity. Funding: None.

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Acceptability and Perceptions of Artificial Intelligence in Organized Breast Cancer Screening: A Study of French Women

Jean, A.; Merceron, A.; Le Saux, A.; Mercier, E.; Benillouche, P.

2026-06-09 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354883 medRxiv
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This study aims to assess women's perceptions of artificial intelligence (AI) used in breast cancer screening in France by examining their knowledge of AI and the barriers to their participation in organized screening. The results of a survey conducted in June 2025 among a national sample of 2000 women (aged 40-75) reveal limited participation and persistent concerns among women. Nevertheless, despite a low awareness of specific AI applications, a large majority of the women surveyed are very favorable to the use of AI in breast cancer diagnosis, even considering it a lever to increase screening participation.

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Optimisation of steatotic liver disease screening algorithm for resource-poor settings using machine learning

Mettananda, C.; Sivasumithran, K.; Ranaweera, L.; Madhubhashini, A.; Ranawaka, C.; Pathmeswaran, A.; Dassanayake, A.

2026-06-10 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355306 medRxiv
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Background The European Association for the Study of the Liver (ESAL) - Steatotic Liver Disease (SLD) screening algorithm involves two steps; initial screening with FIB-4 followed by referral for vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in patients likely to have significant fibrosis (SF). However, VCTE is not widely available in resource-limited settings. Aim To optimise the EASL SLD screening algorithm for resource-poor settings using machine learning (ML). Methods We analysed data from 964 adults aged [&ge;]35 years who underwent VCTE at a tertiary referral centre in Sri Lanka between November 2024 and 2025. Multiple ML models using different methods and variable combinations were trained on 80% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 20%. Best models were selected based on performance and externally validated using data from 430 patients who underwent VCTE before November 2024. Model performance was compared with the FIB-4 using confusion matrices. Results A Random Forest model incorporating age, AST, ALT, and platelet count separately, rather than using FIB-4, outperformed. The all-variable ML model showed the best predictive performance for SF, with accuracy of 77.2%, recall of 0.762, precision of 0.778, and AUC-ROC of 0.818. The variables used in the model, in descending order of feature importance, were AST, platelet count, BMI, ALT, age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, sex, family history, hypothyroidism, diabetes complication and smoking. External validation demonstrated 75.1% accuracy and an AUC of 0.779. When used as the first step of the SLD screening algorithm, the all-variable ML model identified 37 (17.1%) additional true positives and reduced false-negative diagnoses by 50% compared with FIB-4. Conclusions ML-based models were more effective than the FIB-4 score as the first-line screening tool for VCTE referral, substantially improving the identification of patients with significant fibrosis in this South Asian cohort.

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Temporal and climatic drivers of uncomplicated malaria in Ghana: A Region Generalised Additive Model analysis.

Akurugu, E.; Awine, T.; Seidu, B.; Peprah, N. Y.; Mohammed, W.; Boateng, P.; Abiwu, P. H. A. K.; Silal, S. P.

2026-06-09 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355054 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Malaria remains a major public health challenge in Ghana, despite recent reductions in cases due to various interventions. The endemicity of the disease varies across regions, influenced by diverse seasonal and temporal factors that support mosquito proliferation and malaria cases. This study used a Generalised Additive Models to explore the impact of weather conditions on malaria cases in Ghana. Methods Generalised Additive Models were used to examine the nonlinear effects of weather conditions on malaria cases. Monthly aggregated malaria cases from the District Health Information Management System II and average monthly rainfall and temperature data from the Ghana Meteorological Agency were analysed, covering 2012 to 2023. Regional Generalised Additive Models incorporating weather variables were developed, fitted, and validated against observed data using model diagnostics to identify the most suitable model for each region. Results The analysis revealed complex temporal patterns in malaria cases across Ghana, influenced by seasonal and long-term trends. Regions constituting the Coastal and Transitional Forest zones exhibited bimodal peak malaria seasons, while the Guinea Savannah showed a unimodal peak. Significant interactions between rainfall and temperature were identified, particularly in the Eastern region, where higher rainfall combined with temperatures around 27-28 {degrees}C were associated with higher malaria cases, reflecting the complex and region-specific nature of meteorological influences. Conclusions The findings point to the dynamic and heterogeneous nature of malaria caseloads in Ghana, emphasising the need for region-specific control strategies tailored to local climatic conditions. A key recommendation is the systematic integration of meteorological data into the National Malaria Data Repository to enable continuous monitoring of climatic influences and support timely, evidence-based intervention decisions. Future research should incorporate socio-economic factors, intervention coverage data, vector surveillance, and demographic characteristics into mathematical modelling frameworks for a more comprehensive understanding of malaria cases in Ghana.

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Assessing the Reliability of a Controllable Sound Source Driven Bowel Sound Monitoring Device in Physiological Tissue Acoustic Environments

Zhao, J.; Zhao, Z.; Huang, X.; Li, Y.; Wu, J.; Peng, S.; Wang, S.; Sun, G.; Luan, Z.

2026-06-04 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354788 medRxiv
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Objective To verify the reliability of a self developed bowel sound monitoring device under real biological tissue acoustic propagation conditions using a controllable sound source, and to establish quantitative evidence for its translational applicability. Methods Freshly euthanized six month old Bama miniature pigs were used as an experimental model. A high fidelity Bluetooth audio playback device was implanted into the abdominal cavity to deliver manually annotated bowel sound recordings as controllable acoustic stimuli. A self developed bowel sound monitoring device was fixed on the abdominal surface for continuous signal acquisition. Playback timestamps were defined as the ground truth, and event level matching was performed within a predefined temporal tolerance window. Four performance indicators were evaluated: (1) bowel sound acquisition and energy amplification, (2) event matching accuracy, (3) acoustic feature consistency, and (4) subjective agreement assessed by blinded auscultation from gastroenterologists with different levels of clinical experience. Results The monitoring device exhibited stable detection capability and effectively covered the full spectral range of the original signals. It significantly enhanced bowel sound energy while preserving temporal and spectral characteristics, demonstrating high consistency in time and frequency domain features. Blinded clinician assessments showed a subjective agreement rate of 88.9% between original and surface recorded bowel sound events. Conclusions Under real tissue acoustic propagation conditions, the self-developed bowel sound monitoring device reliably captures bowel sound events with high temporal accuracy, acoustic fidelity, and clinical perceptual consistency. This controllable sound source based validation provides robust technical evidence for subsequent in vivo studies and clinical translation, supporting the development of objective and continuous gastrointestinal function monitoring.

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Lung cancer pathway inequalities for adults with severe mental health conditions: A mixed-methods analysis of barriers to screening and care pathways in South East London

Tredget, G.; Milenova, M.; Parkash, R.; McGrath, R.; Edwards, M. J.; Gee, S.; Pigg, W.; Karwacki, D.; Costa, C.; Shafique, S.; Adams, M.; Waghorn, J.; I'Anson, D.; Ronaldson, A.; Haire, K.; Githuku, C.; Beveridge, E.; Williams, J.

2026-06-09 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355143 medRxiv
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Background: Adults with severe mental health conditions (often referred to as severe mental illness, SMI) experience 15 to 20 year mortality gap relative to the general population, with lung cancer a significant contributor. National cancer policy targets earlier diagnosis but does not explicitly address how pathways function for this group. Aims: This study aimed to describe lung cancer risk, prevalence, screening eligibility, referral activity and diagnostic pathway performance for adults with SMI in South East London (SEL), and to examine where along the pathway inequalities arise. Methods: Co-designed with experts with lived experience and voluntary sector, this exploratory mixed-methods service evaluation combined quantitative analysis of routinely collected data from the Quality Outcomes Framework (QOF), SMI Register and Cancer Waiting Times Record (April 2023-March 2024) with semi-structured qualitative interviews (n=11 clinical staff) and focus groups (n=6 adults with lived experience of SMI). Quantitative and qualitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics and framework-based thematic analysis respectively, and findings were integrated using a joint display approach, organised by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). Results: Lung cancer prevalence was approximately double among adults with SMI (0.17% vs 0.09% in the general population). Despite Urgent Suspected Cancer (USC) referral rates being more than twice as high in the SMI population (63 vs 28 per 100,000), fewer cancers were detected via planned general practice (GP) routes (11% vs 20%), the 28-day Faster Diagnosis Standard was not met for any SMI patient diagnosed with lung cancer during the study period; overall FDS performance was 76% in the SMI population compared with 84% in the general population; and appointment non-attendance was more than double that in the general population (6% vs 3%). Qualitative findings identified individual, service and system-level mechanisms, including stigma, diagnostic overshadowing, fragmented coordination, and rigid pathway protocols, that compound disadvantage across lung cancer pathway stages. Conclusions: Inequality in lung cancer outcomes for adults with SMI accumulates across the pathway rather than arising at a single point of failure. Addressing this requires proportionate adaptations within existing cancer pathways, alongside routine reporting of cancer outcomes stratified by SMI population. Keywords: severe mental health conditions, lung cancer, health inequalities, cancer screening, diagnostic pathway, mixed methods

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Serum Cotinine and Wrist-Worn Ambient Light Exposure Patterns in U.S. Adults: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of NHANES 2011-2014

Wong, A.; Lee, C. W.; Park, A.; Yin, L.; Choi, Y.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354759 medRxiv
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Background. Tobacco smoke exposure, quantified by serum cotinine, is associated with cardiovascular, metabolic, and sleep-related health risks. The relationship between biomarker-verified tobacco smoke exposure and objectively measured, free-living wrist-worn ambient light patterns has not been examined in a nationally representative U.S. adult sample. Methods. We analyzed NHANES 2011-2014 cross-sectional data from 6,937 adults aged >20 years with valid serum cotinine and wrist-worn Physical Activity Monitor (PAM) ambient light data. Seven light outcomes were modeled using survey-weighted linear regression with log2(cotinine+1) as the continuous exposure across four covariate adjustment levels. Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) correction was applied across the 7 outcomes within each model. Results. In Model 2 (adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, poverty-income ratio, BMI, and survey cycle; N = 6,350), higher serum cotinine was associated with significantly higher nighttime light (beta = +0.024, 95% CI: 0.010, 0.038; p-FDR = 0.014) and lower evening light (beta = -0.031, 95% CI: -0.055, -0.008; p-FDR = 0.042). In exploratory behavioral models without alcohol (Model 3a; N = 5,766), both nighttime and evening associations remained FDR-significant. After additional adjustment for alcohol, which substantially reduced the sample due to 37.6% missingness (Model 3b; N = 3,866), the nighttime association attenuated below the FDR threshold, while the evening association remained FDR-significant. Categorical analyses showed progressively higher nighttime light across cotinine groups, and a hypothesis-generating sex interaction was identified (p-interaction = 0.001). Conclusions. Higher serum cotinine concentrations were associated with higher nighttime and lower evening ambient light after sociodemographic adjustment. Attenuation after behavioral adjustment and the cross-sectional design preclude causal inference. Longitudinal studies with formal mediation analyses are needed to clarify the temporal ordering and mechanisms linking tobacco smoke exposure, smoking-related behaviors, and personal light-dark cycle patterns.

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Development of an Open-Access Action Observation Video Library for Upper Limb Motor Rehabilitation

Madison, M.; Wheaton, L. A.; Rowe, V.

2026-06-10 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355108 medRxiv
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Background: Occupational therapists can improve stroke survivors hand and arm movement and participation in daily activities through action observation (AO). AO involves watching another persons hand or arm complete a movement or task. While research generally supports the use of AO with stroke survivors, there are limited AO videos are available to occupational therapists which makes applying AO challenging. Objective: The purpose of this work is to develop structured and widely accessible tool to support access to AO for stroke survivors, occupational therapists, and researchers. Methods: To develop an AO video library for stroke rehabilitation, functional and non-functional upper limb task deficits were first identified through clinical observations and clinician interviews to establish a prioritized list of daily activities. In collaboration with media production specialists, healthy adult volunteers were recruited and filmed performing these tasks from both first- and third-person perspectives. The recorded videos were then systematically edited, enhanced with instructional title slides, and distributed via a public YouTube channel for clinical application and a categorized digital repository for research purposes. Results: Initial assessments revealed a complete lack of familiarity, awareness, and utilization of AO resources among local occupational therapists, despite high perceived clinical utility. To address this gap, a final library of 150 tasks was established, resulting in the production of 419 finalized, standardized videos featuring six healthy volunteers. For clinical application, these videos were hosted on a free, public YouTube channel organized into 18 functional playlists, while a parallel set was structured into distinct movement categories for research repository storage. Conclusion: By providing a structured and highly accessible tool, this repository enables clinicians, researchers, and caregivers to readily implement evidence-based action observation interventions in both clinical and home settings.

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Compositional microbiome-based signatures associate with general health status: findings from a large population-based cohort study

Pujolassos, M.; Kurilshikov, A.; Weersma, R. K.; Yang-Fu, J.; Zhernakova, A.; Calle, M. L.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354796 medRxiv
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While microbiome is increasingly recognized as crucial for human health, translating this knowledge into effective healthcare and preventive strategies remains challenging. Many studies focus on identifying changes in microbiome composition associated with disease and evaluating the potential of such disease-associated microbial profiles as biomarkers for disease diagnosis. Under the hypothesis that microbiome dysbiosis may reflect physiological alterations present long before disease onset, in this work, we analyse the potential of disease-specific microbial signatures not as a diagnostic tool when the disease is already present, but as a means of health assessment in the general population. Moreover, instead of trying to define a single health measure, we believe it is necessary to consider several ways in which the microbiome departs from health, according to different disease-related physiological changes. To evaluate our assumptions, we designed a two-stage study: the identification of disease-specific microbial signatures (discovery stage) and, subsequently, the study of their distribution in the general population to assess associations with general health (external validation stage). Specifically, in the discovery phase we characterized 16 disease-specific bacterial signatures from large public microbiome data using a compositional data analysis methodology. In the second phase, we quantified these microbial signatures in the Lifelines-DMP cohort, a large population-based cohort, and evaluated their association with self-reported health status. Results indicate that most disease-specific microbial signatures associate with health status, supporting our assumption that microbial composition can capture physiological alterations before disease onset, and highlighting the importance of considering multiple ways in which microbiome departs from a healthy state. These findings reaffirm the potential of microbial information as an additional tool in preventive medicine.

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QiC3: A novel automated quantitative immunohistological disease activity index for ileocolonic Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis

Kadivar, M.; Alyamani, M.; Mori, M.; Kadivar, M.; Jonsson, J.; Hertervig, E.; Grip, O.; Svensson, L.; Erjefalt, J. S.; Marsal, J.

2026-06-09 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354902 medRxiv
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Background: Histological examination of mucosal tissue in inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) is a sensitive tool to measure disease activity, and histological remission is emerging as a potentially important treatment target. There are several existing histopathological indices, but they often encompass caveats such as not primarily having been designed to measure the degree of inflammation, encompassing subjective components with poor intra- and interindividual reproducibility, and requiring expert pathologists who are scarce, thus resulting in extended response times. Aim: To construct a new computerized, automated index to objectively measure histological disease activity in the ileal and colonic mucosa, applicable to both Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Materials and methods: Ileocolonic biopsies were collected from control subjects and patients with CD or UC. A group of CD patients was sampled before and after 12 weeks of anti-TNF therapy. Another group of CD and UC patients functioned as a small validation cohort. Epithelial cells, neutrophils, macrophages, and T cells were immunohistochemically stained, followed by digitalization of the color signal and computerized delineation of the epithelial and lamina propria compartments. The various immune cell types within the epithelium and the lamina propria, respectively, were enumerated, and the numbers were compared between control subjects and patients with CD or UC. Results: The numbers of neutrophils and macrophages in the epithelium, and neutrophils in the lamina propria, showed the highest sensitivity and specificity for distinguishing control-subject tissues from CD and UC tissues. These three parameters were thus chosen to construct a new index, named QiC3 1.0, that could separate tissues from control subjects and patients with CD or UC with high precision. It performed equally well in a small validation cohort of patients. The QiC3 index correlated well with previously described histopathological indices, fecal calprotectin, and endoscopic scores in UC, but showed worse correlation with endoscopic scores in CD and symptomatic scores. When applying the new index to tissues from CD patients before and after therapy, it showed good responsiveness, demonstrating a distinct amelioration in the microscopic inflammatory status that corresponded well to improvements in histopathological scores. Conclusion: We describe a new quantitative, computerized, automated, non-subjective, and response-sensitive immunohistological index (QiC3) for measuring disease activity in ileal and colonic mucosal biopsies, suitable for both CD and UC.