Bioinformatics
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Bioinformatics's content profile, based on 1204 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.85% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Muniz-Chicharro, A.; Tanriver, G.; Gora, A.
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Summary: Prot2Surf is a software tool designed for the characterization and prediction of protein association to surfaces. In this application note, Prot2Surf was tested using catalytic domains of the lytic polysaccharide monooxygenases (LPMOs), interacting with native surfaces. The results show that the software can efficiently analyze key binding features, including protein-surface distances, distances between catalytically reactive atoms, and the orientation angle between surface chains and the protein. These features are essential for distinguishing productive binding poses in these protein-surface systems and for understanding interaction patterns that provide guidance on protein engineering. Prot2Surf performs these analyses within seconds to a few minutes, providing a fast and accessible framework to post-process and characterize protein-surface encounter complexes. Availability and implementation: Prot2Surf, which is written in Fortran90, is documented and freely available as open source on GitHub: https://github.com/TUNNELING-GROUP/Prot2Surf. In order to run Prot2Surf, users should also install the SDA software package which is freely available at https://www.h-its.org/downloads/sda7/.
Zeng, Z.; Wang, Y.
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Motivation: The Interactive Tree of Life (iTOL) is widely used to display and annotate phylogenetic trees, but managing its format-sensitive annotation files impede reproducible high-throughput analyses. Among the maintained Python packages and versions evaluated, none combined template generation, taxonomic monophyly assessment and iTOL batch operations. Results: PyiTOL validates inputs, generates 31 iTOL template schemas (22 accepted by the live batch uploader), performs LCA-based monophyly classification with nested-monophyly detection, sampling-completeness states and polyphyletic subgroup decomposition, plus API upload and session replay. On a topology-constructed benchmark, all calls matched prespecified labels for 4,389 groups; on a 700-genome tree, binary mono/non-mono calls agreed with ETE4 for 409 genera; 17,294 GTDB R232 genera were processed in about 17 s. Availability and Implementation: PyiTOL 1.0.3 (Python [≥]3.10; Linux, macOS and Windows) is MIT-licensed at https://github.com/ZengZichao/PyiTOL and archived with test data at Zenodo (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22106806).
Bui, T.-C.; Lee, J.; Ko, J.
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Scoring biomolecular complexes is central to structure assessment and drug discovery, yet the complexes themselves vary widely in pose, size, and molecular composition. A scoring function tuned for one interaction type rarely carries over to another, and most existing methods compound the problem by leaning heavily on task-specific labels. We introduce OmniScore, a universal structure-based framework that learns a shared geometry-aware representation of complexes once and then adapts it to downstream scoring through lightweight task-specific heads. OmniScore couples a graph view and a sequence view of each structure, encodes its three-dimensional geometry, and compresses representations into a compact latent space that a reconstruction module and prediction heads can reuse. We pretrain this backbone on diverse datasets including complexes, monomers, and small molecules with complementary objectives: coordinate recovery, correcting corrupted input tokens, predicting molecular identity, and grounding the representation in structure-level physical quantities. Across the evaluated benchmarks, OmniScore gave the best antibody-antigen and nanobody-antigen quality assessment on all reported metrics compared to state-of-the-art baselines. Its frozen residue embeddings matched the state-of-the-art protein-tokenization method with an average functional-site accuracy of 71.8% on a standard residue-level benchmark. On protein-ligand scoring and ranking benchmarks, it performed on par with methods built specifically for that single task. These results suggest that geometry-aware pretraining can provide a reusable scoring backbone for tasks that depend on interfacial and residue-level structure, within the evaluated settings.
Bresnahan, S. T.; Xiong, C.; Head, T.; Chang, Y.-H.; Bhattacharya, A.; Huang, J. Y.
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Unmeasured confounding threatens causal inference and replicability in observational multi-omic studies across variable environments. Genetic instrumental variables (Mendelian randomization) and negative-control calibration each address complementary sources of unmeasured confounding, yet no existing framework unifies them for omics-scale mediation analysis. We introduce ICONIC, an R package that embeds genetic instruments and negative controls within a proximal causal inference framework for total-effect and mediation analysis. ICONIC implements eight estimators spanning five confounding-control strategies, supports continuous, binary, and time-to-event outcomes, and provides extensive diagnostics including sensitivity analyses that map estimator performance across plausible assumptions. Ground-truth benchmarks are calibrated to real-omics covariance structures via a hybrid generative model (GAN + feature-level Gaussian copula) rather than parametric simulation, and a companion planning tool predicts performance gains from collecting additional omic data. We demonstrate ICONIC in two case studies: identifying placental transcriptomic mediators of gestational diabetes on birth weight (n = 164), and tumor-expression mediators of smoking intensity on lung cancer survival (n = 494). Notably, ICONIC's diagnostics recommended different estimation strategies across the two scenarios, reflecting differences in the likely influence of unmeasured confounding. ICONIC is freely available at https://github.com/sbresnahan/iconic/.
Bohnenkaemper, L.; Stoye, J.
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The study of evolution between species (phylogenetics) and the study of evolution within a species (population genetics) are highly related, as the same biological mechanisms are fundamental to both fields. Although both have been studied for a long time, their joint study in a unified setting has been prevented by the different time scales they consider and the different data types they employ. A similar discrepancy holds for their whole-genome specializations, comparative genomics and pangenomics. Two active areas in these fields are genome rearrangement studies and graphical pangenomics, respectively. Since the emergence of graphical pangenomics, these have existed as separate fields, despite observations that central data structures representing genomic variants in both fields are highly similar. While there exists a wealth of theoretical results for various rearrangement models in comparative genomics, the application to pangenomic data is hampered by the limitations of rearrangement problem formulations. On the practical side, pangenomes typically contain too many individual genomes for classical problems, such as the often NP-hard parsimony problems, to be solved, or for all-vs-all comparisons using rearrangement distances to be performed. On the theoretical side, some assumptions in the formulation of rearrangement problems, such as the assumption of an underlying tree, are inadequate for many pangenomes. In this work, we propose the Complete Ancestral Reconstruction for Pangenomes (CARP) problem, which overcomes these limitations while retaining intuitive relationships to both classical rearrangement problems and pangenome graphs.
De Luca, S.; Fava, C.; Rizzo, G.; Visconti, A.; Berchialla, P.
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Background. Patient stratification from multi-omics and clinical data is essential for uncovering disease heterogeneity and moving toward more personalized treatment strategies. However, integrating heterogeneous data layers while identifying robust patient strata remains challenging. Methods. We introduce Reduced Fusion of Multi-Omics Stratification (RedFuMOS), a novel three-step approach for patient stratification based on mixed-type multi-omics data. RedFuMOS extends Similarity Network Fusion to accommodate mixed-type data layers and layer-specific similarity measures for data integration, includes a dimensionality reduction step to mitigate the curse of dimensionality, and performs patient stratification using density-based hierarchical clustering with HDBSCAN. It also implemented an automated optimization procedure to identify the best set of hyperparameters, minimizing the need for manual tuning. Results. RedFuMOS outperformed six state-of-the-art tools for multi-omics patient stratification in a comprehensive simulated benchmarking study, which also confirmed that, although computationally expensive, the dimensionality reduction step is crucial for achieving good stratification performance. Additionally, RedFuMOS identified two clinically relevant patient strata in a small real-world cohort of patients with Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic myeloid leukaemia. Conclusion. RedFuMOS provides a flexible framework for integrating heterogeneous multi-omics and clinical data. RedFuMOS is available as an R package at http://github.com/delucasara/RedFuMOS.
Bou Dagher, L.; Han, Z.; Zhou, S.; Fülöp, T.; Desroches, M.; Rodrigues, S.
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Alzheimer's disease is characterized by the accumulation and aggregation of amyloid-{beta}(A{beta}), but the molecular mechanisms linking environmental and infectious factors to A$\beta$ conformational changes remain incompletely understood. Herpes simplex virus type 1 (HSV-1) has been proposed as a potential contributor to AD pathology, and interactions between the viral glycoprotein B (gB) and A$\beta$ may influence the conformational behaviour of the peptide. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations provide atomic-scale information on such interactions, but conventional structural descriptors may not fully capture changes in the organization of residue interaction networks. Here, we introduce a graph-geometric framework based on Forman-Ricci curvature to characterize the evolution of residue interaction networks during MD simulations. Each simulation frame is represented as a residue interaction graph based on C--C contacts, and residue-wise curvature profiles are analysed across time. We apply the framework to A{beta}1-42 in isolation and in complex with HSV-1 gB. Conventional MD analyses indicate stable association of the simulated complex, favourable interaction energetics, and conformational changes in A{beta}, including a transition from -helical structure toward {beta}-turn-rich conformations over the simulated timescale. Forman-Ricci curvature reveals pronounced and spatially localized remodelling of the A{beta} residue interaction network in the complex, with the strongest changes concentrated in the C-terminal region. These regions also exhibit reduced temporal curvature fluctuations and progressively distinct geometric behaviour throughout the simulation. Hierarchical clustering further identifies cooperative groups of residues with coordinated curvature dynamics, including a prominent C-terminal domain. Together, these results demonstrate that Forman-Ricci curvature provides a complementary description of biomolecular dynamics by capturing changes in the geometric organization of residue interaction networks that are not directly represented by conventional structural descriptors. The framework provides a general computational approach for studying network-level structural remodelling in protein molecular dynamics and offers a quantitative perspective on the conformational consequences of HSV-1 gB--A{beta} association.
Subramanian, G.; Thiel, W.; Singh, R.
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Aptamers are structured nucleic acid ligands capable of high affinity, high specificity molecular recognition generated using variations of the SELEX (Systematic Evolution of Ligands by Exponential Enrichment) process. However, SELEX often produces sequences that enrich yet may lack binding efficacy. We propose a measure called the Ruggedness Composite Index (RCI) along with a method for computing it, that can be used to distinguish binding-competent ('active') aptamers from weak or non-binding ('inactive') aptamers. Given a set of aptamers, RCI incorporates information on their fragmentation (landscape partitioning), basin entropy (metastable state distribution), cumulative density irregularity (non-uniform occupancy), and structural energy correlation length (structure-energy coupling scale). We test whether secondary-structure folding energy landscape topology distinguishes active from inactive aptamers using a multiscale level set framework across six datasets. Active aptamers show lower RCI values and occupy smoother, funnel-like conformational spaces, while inactive aptamers show higher RCI values, reflecting fragmented, high-entropy landscapes. By contrast, classical thermodynamic features, such as minimum free energy, show limited discrimination between active and inactive aptamers. In all datasets, sequences that exhibit enrichment which is not monotonic but lack specificity exhibit elevated ruggedness, indicating landscape topology can predict non-specific enrichment. These results indicate that folding landscape organization can be used as a predictor of aptamer activity and establish RCI as a simple, mechanistically interpretable measure for improving candidate prioritization, especially in therapeutic aptamer discovery.
Zhu, J.; Baousi, A.; Morris, A. P.; Guo, H.
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Standard polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are constructed based on additive genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics. Nonlinear machine learning methods have been increasingly applied to construct PRSs directly from individual-level data, with the aim of improving predictive performance over standard PRSs through their ability to model non-additive genetic effects. However, their superiority across studies has been inconsistent, and the conditions under which they provide meaningful improvements remain unclear. We combined theoretical analysis, simulations and a real-world application to investigate when two widely used nonlinear machine learning methods, random forest and XGBoost, outperform standard PRSs. Theoretical analysis showed that standard PRSs can implicitly capture part of the genetic variance attributable to nonadditive genetic effects through their contributions to marginal SNP effects, thereby losing less information than commonly assumed. Although nonlinear models have a higher theoretical potential, their greater flexibility incurs a bias-variance trade-off that can limit predictive gains at finite sample sizes. Simulations showed that XGBoost outperformed the standard PRS only when the genetic architecture involves a sufficiently large proportion of interaction genetic variance concentrated across relatively few interaction effects and large training samples were available. Random forest consistently underperformed the standard PRS. In an application to ischemic heart disease prediction using UK Biobank data, XGBoost showed no meaningful improvement in predictive performance over the standard PRS, whereas random forest again performed worse. Together, these findings suggest that nonlinear machine learning do not uniformly outperform standard PRSs; rather, their relative performance depends jointly on genetic architecture and training sample size. Our study helps to reconcile the inconsistent results reported across previous studies and provides a framework for identifying settings in which more complex PRS models are likely to be beneficial.
Potter, L. A.; Trull, A.; Kumar, N.; Drake, O. R.; Nogueira, M.; Peters, J.; Heinsbroek, J. A.; Day, J. J.; Worthey, E. A.; Ianov, L.
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Recent advances in spatial transcriptomics have enabled the profiling of increasingly larger numbers of genes while retaining single-cell and subcellular resolution in situ. However, standardized bioinformatics workflows for analyzing these datasets have lagged behind, with existing pipelines focusing primarily on image processing and cell segmentation. To address this gap, we present nf_xpatial, a best-practices Nextflow pipeline for the downstream analysis of 10x Genomics Xenium data. The pipeline performs quality control, filtering, log and cell area normalization, multi-sample integration, and both expression-driven and spatially informed clustering across systematic parameter sweeps, allowing users to evaluate and compare clustering resolutions and spatial modeling parameters within a single reproducible run. Overall, nf_xpatial streamlines the processing of Xenium data from platform outputs to integrated single-cell and spatial clustering datasets, providing a standardized starting point from which biologists can fine-tune parameters and proceed to hypothesis-driven spatial analyses.
Tindall, C.; Long, R. A.; Naughton, B.; Mapes, B. M.; Vismer, D.; Skinner, H. G.; Malenfant, J.; Maurya, M. R.; Nalls, M. A.; Ramachandran, S.; Nguyen, T.; Peters, M. A.; Scheuermann, R. H.
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SysBio FAIRplex is a Common Fund Venture Program that catalogs and indexes data from the Accelerating Medicines Partnership(R) (AMP(R)) Program through a federated model in which data hosts retain custody of their datasets. The central piece of this work is the SysBio Common Data Model (SysBio CDM). AMP is a precompetitive public-private partnership started in 2014 that unites the resources of NIH and private partners to improve our understanding of disease pathways and transform current models for developing new treatments by: - identifying new targets, biomarkers, and development paradigms; - developing leading-edge tools and technologies; - collecting large-scale datasets and supporting analytics for open analysis by the public; and - generating consensus platforms and procedures. A multidisciplinary Task Force was chartered to design the SysBio CDM by extending the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model into the -omics domain. The Task Force produced a Minimum Viable Product comprising nine OMOP tables; four extension tables for assay and file metadata; and a Common Data Element (CDE) Registry to specify field semantics. This manuscript describes the deliverable: the underlying design choices, the criteria applied in selecting and constructing the extension tables, how the extended model supports multimodal data integration across AMP projects, and what further work to support additional -omics modalities would entail. As an auxiliary methodology, the paper also describes the AI-assisted CDE harmonization workflow used to populate the model.
Zhao, C.; Ji, Z.
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Spatial domain detection is a central task in spatial transcriptomics, yet existing methods exhibit highly variable performance across datasets. We introduce L-STAR, a visual LLM-guided, consensus-based framework that leverages the visual reasoning capacity of large language models to adaptively rank and integrate spatial domain detection methods. L-STAR achieves robust and consistently improved performance, outperforming single spatial domain detection methods across diverse datasets.
Yelgi, A.; Tavangari, S.; Shakarami, Z.; Janfaza, S.
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Accurate epigenetic age prediction from DNA methylation profiles is intrinsically high-dimensional, creating a need for parsimonious models that preserve predictive performance while reducing the number of assayed cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) loci. This study introduces MOSurvivor, a population-based multi-objective search framework that jointly optimizes a weight-threshold CpG selector and eight XGBoost hyperparameters. Experiments used the GSE40279 whole-blood cohort (656 individuals profiled on the Illumina HumanMethylation450 platform). After retaining 1,000 age-correlated CpGs, five strategies were evaluated on the same 30 seeded 80:20 train/test splits: fixed-parameter XGBoost using all 1,000 CpGs, random search, a genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization, and MOSurvivor. Internal fitness was estimated using three-fold cross-validation on each training set. Across the 30 held-out test sets, MOSurvivor achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.149 {+/-} 0.300 years, root mean squared error of 5.545 {+/-} 0.392 years, and R2 of 0.855{+/-} 0.027 while retaining 211.6 {+/-} 54.8 CpGs. Relative to full-feature XGBoost (MAE 4.095 {+/-} 0.285 years), MOSurvivor reduced the feature set by 78.8% at an MAE increase of only 0.054 years (1.3%). Paired Wilcoxon tests found no significant accuracy difference between MOSurvivor and any comparator (all unadjusted p > 0.05; all Holm-adjusted p [≥] 0.476). The most recurrent locus, cg16867657, appeared in 29 runs, whereas mean pairwise Jaccard similarity was 0.124, indicating a small stable core embedded in multiple near-equivalent feature subsets. MOSurvivor thus offers a competitive accuracy-parsimony trade-off rather than superior absolute accuracy. External validation and leakage-free nested feature preselection remain necessary before biological or clinical translation. Keywords: epigenetic clock, DNA methylation, feature selection, multi-objective optimization, XGBoost, metaheuristics, biological aging.
Shi, Z.; Budhkar, A.; Amin, W.; Pollok, K. E.; Su, J.; Huang, K.
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Improvements in data availability, sharing, and integration, together with the development of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques, are advancing precision medicine for pediatric cancer by facilitating diagnosis, biomarker discovery, and drug development. Data sharing commons and initiatives like the Childhood Cancer Data Initiative (CCDI) provide access to pediatric-specific genomic and clinical data cohorts and improve data availability for pediatric cancer research. Based on CCDI, a scalable AI platform, Graph Artificial Intelligence for Pediatric Oncology (GAIPO), integrates various data modalities from bulk and single-cell omics data to clinical information. Such multi-modal data facilitates the training and development of advanced XAI models for pediatric cancers. We then developed an end-to-end multi-modality framework, PCGS, for pediatric cancer by incorporating omics-specific representation learning via GNN models with cross-attention fusion and multi-objective learning for downstream tasks such as classification, clustering, and survival analysis. This framework outperforms previous supervised multi-omics integration baseline approaches based on glioma and Wilms tumor cohorts and enables GNN model explainability via Shapley value-based feature attribution approaches to explain the contributions of gene-level features across various biomedical tasks, including classification and survival. Given specific background samples (e.g., age groups, sex, grades) as baselines, this explainable GNN model estimates and ranks the importance scores for input features from each omics modality. It identifies background-specific key features for biomarker discovery, risk group identification, and survival analysis in glioma and Wilms tumor, with potential applicability to other pediatric cancers.
Kouam, C.; Mingle, J.; Alvarez Jerez, P.; Evans, A.; Moller, A.; Baker, B.; Weller, C.; Paquette, K.; Brooks, J.; Grant, S. M.; Ayuketah, A.; Meredith, M.; Palade, J.; Malik, L.; Hise, K.; Raphael Gibbs, J.; Anderson, J.; Ding, J.; Harbert, R.; Fu, Y.; Zheng, X.; Garcia-Ruiz, S.; Gustavsson, E. K.; Blauwendraat, C.; Ryten, M.; Sedlazeck, F.; Ferrucci, L.; Reed, X.; Nalls, M. A.; Cookson, M. R.; Van Keuren-Jensen, K.; Hutchins, E.; Jain, M.; Billingsley, K. J.
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Isoform-resolved transcriptomics is fundamental to decoding the molecular complexity of the human brain, yet population-scale long-read RNA sequencing has remained inaccessible due to labor-intensive library preparation, sensitivity to RNA degradation in postmortem tissue, and the absence of integrated, reproducible analysis pipelines. Here we present SALRR (Scalable Analysis of Long-Read RNA-seq), an integrated wet-lab and computational platform designed to overcome these barriers. Automated ONT long-read cDNA library preparation on the Hamilton Microlab NGS STAR platform reduces hands-on time by 67% and enables 24 libraries per operator per day while maintaining performance across RNA integrity values. A modular, Snakemake-based pipeline performs end-to-end processing from ONT signal data to isoform-level quantification, incorporating SIRV spike-in calibration, multi-stage quality control, and stringent isoform validation. Applied to 10 postmortem frontal cortex samples from the North American Brain Expression Consortium, SALRR identified 31,607 high-confidence isoforms from 10,075 genes, including 8,532 novel splice variants absent from GENCODE v49, and complex splicing events systematically missed by short-read sequencing at neurodegeneration-relevant loci, including GBA1, CCNF, CHCHD10, and TREM2. All protocols and code are openly available, providing a scalable, community-ready framework for isoform-resolved transcriptomics in neurodegeneration, aging, and complex brain disease.
de Araujo Morais, J. H.; Dias Ferreira, C.; Saraceni, V.; Medeiros de Oliveira Cruz, D.; Mateus Oliveira Aguilar, G.; Cruz, O. G.
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Motivation: With the scaling frequency and intensity of extreme heat events across the globe, it is critical for public institutions to develop early detection systems and continuous monitoring of these events and their impacts. In Brazil, Rio de Janeiro was the first city to publish its heat protocol, with the Rio Heat Dashboard as a central component of this system. Implementation: The dashboard was implemented using R/Shiny and integrates climatic and health data from multiple sources. General features: The application comprises real-time heat exposure monitoring and automatic alert level classification, which is monitored daily by multiple municipal actors and supports activation of actions specified in the heat protocol. It also features a health impact module, which lists each heat event and its impact on mortality, and primary care and emergency visits. Availability: The source for full reproducibility is available through https://github.com/joaohmorais/RioHeatDashboard.
Ivankovic, F.; Ko, A.; Aster, M. M.; Balaconis, M. K.; Banks, E.; Bemis, M.; Cibulskis, K. R.; Degatano, K.; Gauthier, L. D.; Grant, G.; Hatcher, A.; Kachulis, C.; Karczewski, K. J.; Labrecque, S. M.; Lawson, J.; Liao, C.; Magner, R.; Munshi, R.; Schatz, M. C.; Schultz, P. M.; Shah, S. P.; Sheets, E. A.; Tibbetts, K.; Vernest, K. A.; Ye, R.; Gabriel, S.; Lennon, N. J.; Neale, B. M.; Browning, B. L.; Lichtenstein, L. T.
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Genotype imputation remains essential for large-scale human genetics studies, but its performance is limited by the size and ancestral diversity of available reference panels, reducing accuracy for rare variants and underrepresented populations. Here, we present a cloud-based imputation service built on a multi-ancestry reference panel derived from 515,579 jointly phased genomes from the All of Us (N=414,830) and National Human Genome Research Institute's Analysis, Visualization, and Informatics Lab-space (AnVIL, N=100,749) datasets. The All of Us + AnVIL reference panel is highly diverse and includes 261,163 participants most genetically similar to non-European reference populations, spanning 665,398,839 high-quality autosomal sites, representing a nearly 50% increase over TOPMed, the previous largest imputation service. Across multiple ancestry groups, the panel enables accurate imputation (empirical R2 0.8) for variants with allele frequencies as low as 0.2%, extending reliable imputation into the rare-variant frequency spectrum, including allele frequencies down to 0.002% and 0.006% for samples with European ancestry and African ancestry in the United States, respectively. Compared with TOPMed, the panel improves imputation accuracy across all ancestry groups except Africans, and recovers additional trait-associated variants not represented in existing reference panels. To facilitate broad community access while preserving participant privacy, we deploy the panel through a secure cloud-based imputation platform using privacy-preserving recombined haplotypes. This resource establishes a new foundation for genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and fine-mapping, especially in previously underrepresented populations.
Hendrickx, N.; Mentre, F.; Karlsson, M. O.; Hooker, A. C.; Traschütz, A.; Schüle, R.; PROSPAX Consortium, ; EVIDENCE-RND Consortium, ; Synofzik, M.; Comets, E.
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We propose two new tests to detect drug effects (DE) in trials of one to very few patients followed during two periods (before and after initiation of a treatment). Both methods use longitudinal natural history data to inform the estimation of each patient's DE. The first method uses a non linear mixed effect model (NLMEM) reflecting an expected natural history with a hypothetical drug effect, to estimate the Conditional Distribution of the Drug Effect (CDDE). The second method trains a Pareto Depth Analysis (PDA) algorithm, a machine learning based approach based on outlier detection, that we implement using data simulated under the NLMEM. We evaluated the two tests with a simulation study. We used data from the PROSPAX study in Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCAs, to derive a NLMEM for the Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia score. The CDDE method provided controlled type I error and, in some scenarios, adequate corrected power, though sensitivity analyses showed vulnerability to misspecification. The PDA method demonstrated lower statistical power except with high score precision. These results highlight different strategies for quantifying treatment effects in ultra rare, patient' specific trials. They can inform methodological design for future ARCA precision therapies.
Yano, Y.; Nagasu, H.; Hiroshi, K.; Ohashi, M.; Isaka, Y.; Okada, H.; Nangaku, M.; Kashihara, N.
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Background: Traditional real-world studies comparing SGLT2 and DPP4 inhibitors on renal outcomes rely on propensity score matching, which causes high-dimensional data loss. We used causal machine learning (Causal ML) to unmask heterogeneous treatment effects in diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Methods: Using data from 4,588 patients within the Japanese J-CKD-DB-Ex registry, we implemented a doubly robust (DR) learning framework (Linear DR-learner with XGBoost) to compare SGLT2 and DPP4 inhibitors. Outcomes included the chronic eGFR slope and a composite renal endpoint ([≥] 50% eGFR decline or end-stage kidney disease). Heterogeneity was explored via causal SHAP and decision trees. Results: At the population level, SGLT2 inhibitors modestly slowed chronic eGFR decline (average treatment effect [ATE] = 0.14 [95% CI: -0.86, 1.15] mL/min/1.73m^2/year) and reduced composite endpoint risk by 9% (ATE: -0.09 [-0.11, -0.08]) versus DPP4 inhibitors. However, individual-level counterfactual analysis suggested that for the chronic eGFR slope, non-glinide users with stable pre-treatment trajectories who were also taking ACE inhibitors had a greater benefit from SGLT2 inhibitors (ATE: 2.95 [-0.68, 6.58]). Conversely, glinide users with steep pre-treatment decline had a greater benefit from DPP4 inhibitors (ATE: -8.98 [-16.11, -1.85]). For composite renal events, SGLT2 inhibitors had a 28% absolute risk reduction within the algorithmically identified high-risk subgroup (eGFR [≤] 28.1 mL/min/1.73 m^2 and positive proteinuria; ATE: -0.28 [-0.33, -0.23]). Even non-proteinuric decliners demonstrated a 8% risk reduction with SGLT2 inhibitors (ATE: -0.08 [-0.10, -0.06]). Conclusion: Causal ML advances precision medicine in DKD, shifting from uniform prescribing to individualized, data-driven therapy targeting distinct intrarenal pathways.
Xiang, S.; He, H.; Xie, Z.; Cheng, C.-Y.; Li, H.; Liu, D.
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Agentic workflows can coordinate modelling, but balancing predictive performance, measurement burden and reproducibility is unclear. We developed DXA Agent, an agentic workflow for dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) outcomes integrating planning, feature-model refinement, tools, provenance and hypothesis-generating interpretation. Models were independently developed and tested in UK Biobank (5,318 participants) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; 3,777 participants), using cost-efficient and no-limit strategies. Across 20 UK Biobank and three NHANES bone mineral density sites, cost-efficient models achieved lower RMSE and higher R2 than the best conventional comparator, with median relative RMSE reductions of 10.9% and 9.9%, respectively. Classification was task dependent: UK Biobank osteoporosis averaged AUROC 0.839 and PR-AUC 0.182, whereas NHANES performance was comparable with conventional models. Higher-burden features did not consistently improve prediction. These retrospective, cohort-internal findings position DXA Agent as an inspectable, measurement-burden-aware research workflow requiring independent prospective validation.