Circadian syndrome and incident non-neoplastic digestive disease in middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study

Background: Circadian syndrome (CircS) comprises metabolic abnormalities, short sleep, and depressive symptoms, and is associated with cardiovascular, liver, and lung diseases and mortality; evidence on digestive disease is scarce. We assessed its association with incident non-neoplastic digestive disease in Chinese adults. Methods: In this prospective analysis of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), we included 2011 baseline participants aged >=45 years free of digestive disease, with follow-up to 2018. CircS (>=4 of 7 components) was analysed as a continuous score and as a binary exposure. Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) adjusting for demographic factors, BMI, smoking, and alcohol use. We did dose-response, component, subgroup, and sensitivity analyses; hs-CRP mediation was explored. Findings: 907 (19.0%) of 4 771 participants developed digestive disease over a median 84 months. Each additional CircS component raised the risk by 9.1% (HR 1.091, 95% CI 1.041-1.144, P<0.001); CircS positivity (36.1%) was associated with a 25.7% higher risk (HR 1.257, 1.084-1.456, P=0.002). Risk rose approximately linearly to about 70% higher at 5-7 components. Short sleep (HR 1.178, 1.017-1.365) and depressive symptoms (HR 1.570, 1.367-1.803) were the only independently associated components; no metabolic component was associated. Results were robust across sensitivity analyses; hs-CRP did not mediate the association. Interpretation: CircS is associated with incident non-neoplastic digestive disease, driven by its circadian-emotional rather than metabolic components. Sleep and mood may be targets for prevention. Funding: This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. Keywords: circadian syndrome; digestive diseases; cohort study; sleep; depression; brain-gut axis