Immune responses after twofold SARS-CoV-2 immunisation in elderly residents and Health Care Workers in nursing homes and homes with assisted living support - Proposal for a correlate of protection

In the present study, we were interested in the decline over time of anti SARS-CoV-2 antibodies and SARS-CoV-2 specific T-cell responses after two doses of mRNA vaccines in total and by age group and comorbidity. The second goal was to suggest an immunological correlate for protection on an individual basis and to describe the probability of protection over time after second vaccination. We analysed blood samples from 228 residents (median age 83.8 years) and from 273 Health Care Workers (HCW; median age 49.7 years) of five nursing homes and one home for the elderly with assisted living support. Participants had received two vaccinations. The blood samples were analysed for SARS-CoV-2 specific antibody and T-cell responses. We compared outcomes in the HCW and residents in the respective institutions. No breakthrough infections occurred during the study period. The initial immune responses in the younger participants were about 30 % higher than in the older ones. Over time, all parameters dropped continuously in all groups within the maximum observation period of 232 days. Comorbidities such as coronary heart disease or diabetes mellitus reduced the initial immune responses, regardless of age. In contrast to an almost linear decline in antibody levels, we observed that the interferon-gamma response remained at a constant level between about day 120 and 180, only to decline further thereafter. Based on our data, we propose on an individual level a correlate of protection: Persons who have a neutralizing capacity of 75 % (which would correspond to approx. 200 BAU/ml) and an interferon-gamma response above 200 mIU/ml should be considered to be protected resp. sufficiently immunized.