Back

Correlation Between Adult Tobacco Smoking Prevalence and Mortality of Coronavirus Disease-19 Across The World

Magfira, N.; Helda, H.

2020-12-03 public and global health
10.1101/2020.12.01.20241596 medRxiv
Show abstract

Background and aimCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic spreading worldwide. Limited studies showed that smokers were at higher risk of having severe complications and higher mortality. This study aims to analyze the possible correlation between adult tobacco smoking prevalence and COVID-19 mortality all over the world. MethodsThis is a correlation study, we conducted a linear regression to analyse the correlation between smoking prevalence data in adults and COVID-19 Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) in countries with 1000 confirmed COVID-19 cases on May 3, 2020. ResultsSeventy-five country included with median CFR 3.66%. There are no relationships between adult male or female smoking prevalence with COVID-19 mortality in all over the countries. The multivariate analysis showed p-values of 0.823 and 0.910 for male and female smoking prevalence respectively. However, in lower-middle-income countries (LMIC), there is a positive correlation between the prevalence of adult male smoking with the lethality of COVID-19. Each percentage point increase in adult male smoking prevalence caused a CFR of COVID-19 increase by 0.08% (95% CI 0.00%-0.15%, p=0.041). ConclusionsA correlation was found between the prevalence of adult male smoking and the CFR of COVID-19 in lower middle-income countries. Based on these findings, strengthening tobacco control policies is needed to reduce the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic especially in LMIC. Further researches are still needed.

Matching journals

The top 8 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

50% of probability mass above

"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.