Globalized low-income countries may experience higher COVID-19 mortality rates
Jaffe, R.; Ortiz Vera, M. P.; Jaffe, K.
Show abstract
Understanding the factors underpinning COVID-19 infection and mortality rates is essential in order to implement actions that help mitigate the current pandemic. Here we evaluate how a suit of 15 climatic and socio-economic variables influence COVID-19 exponential growth-phase infection and mortality rates across 36 countries. We found that imports of goods and services, international tourism and the number of published scientific papers are good predictors of COVID-19 infection rates, indicating that more globalized countries may have experienced multiple and recurrent introductions of the virus. However, high-income countries showed lower mortality rates, suggesting that the consequences of the current pandemic will be worse for globalized low-income countries. International aid agencies could use this information to help mitigate the consequences of the current pandemic in the most vulnerable countries.
Matching journals
The top 12 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Recommended distances for physical distancing during COVID-19 pandemics reveal cultural connections between countries 93%
- Valuing conservation and natural wealth: The blue economy of manta ray watching in the Maldives 92%
- Multiple drivers of the COVID-19 spread: role of climate, international mobility, and region-specific conditions 92%
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Statistical Modeling of deaths due to COVID-19 influenced by social isolation in Latin American countries 93%
- Spatiotemporal tools for emerging and endemic disease hotspots in small areas--an analysis of dengue and chikungunya in Barbados, 2013 - 2016 90%
- Risk assessment of vector-borne disease transmission using spatiotemporal network model and climate data with an application of dengue in Bangladesh 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- The Role of Societal Aspects in the Formation of Official COVID-19 Reports: A Data-Driven Analysis 93%
- Using A Socio-Ecological System (SES) Framework to Explain Factors Influencing Countries’ Success Level in Curbing COVID-19 92%
- How the COVID-19 pandemic is shaping research in Africa: inequalities in scholarly output and collaborations and new opportunities for scientific leadership 92%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.