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Epidemiological and clinical features of COVID-19 patients with and without pneumonia in Beijing, China

Yang, P.; Ding, Y.; Xu, Z.; Pu, R.; Li, P.; Yan, J.; Liu, J.; Meng, F.; Huang, L.; Shi, L.; Jiang, T.; Qin, E.; Zhao, M.; Zhang, D.; Zhao, P.; Yu, L.; Wang, Z.; Hong, Z.; Xiao, Z.; Xi, Q.; Zhao, D.; Yu, P.; Zhu, C.; Chen, Z.; Zhang, S.; Ji, J.; Cao, G.; Wang, F.

2020-03-03 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.02.28.20028068 medRxiv
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BackgroundSARS-CoV-2-caused coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is posing a large casualty. The features of COVID-19 patients with and without pneumonia, SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility in asymptomatic carriers, and factors predicting disease progression remain unknown. MethodsWe collected information on clinical characteristics, exposure history, and laboratory examinations of all laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients admitted to PLA General Hospital. Cox regression analysis was applied to identify prognostic factors. The last follow-up was February 18, 2020. ResultsWe characterized 55 consecutive COVID-19 patients. The mean incubation was 8.42 (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.55-10.29) days. The mean SARS-CoV-2-positive duration from first positive test to conversion was 9.71 (95%CI, 8.21-11.22) days. COVID-19 course was approximately 2 weeks. Asymptomatic carriers might transmit SARS-CoV-2. Compared to patients without pneumonia, those with pneumonia were 15 years older and had a higher rate of hypertension, higher frequencies of having a fever and cough, and higher levels of interleukin-6 (14.61 vs. 8.06pg/mL, P=0.040), B lymphocyte proportion (13.0% vs.10.0%, P=0.024), low account (<190/{micro}L) of CD8+ T cells (33.3% vs. 0, P=0.019). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that circulating interleukin-6 and lactate independently predicted COVID-19 progression, with a hazard ratio (95%CI) of 1.052 (1.000-1.107) and 1.082 (1.013-1.155), respectively. During disease course, T lymphocytes were generally lower, neutrophils higher, in pneumonia patients than in pneumonia-free patients. CD8+ lymphocytes did not increase at the 20th days after illness onset. ConclusionThe epidemiological features are important for COVID-19 prophylaxis. Circulating interleukin-6 and lactate are independent prognostic factors. CD8+ T cell exhaustion might be critical in the development of COVID-19.

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