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Epidemic Situation of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia in China mainland

youbin, L.; bao hong, L.

2020-02-18 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.02.17.20024034 medRxiv
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ObjectiveAnalyze the occurrence of novel coronavirus pneumonia(NCP) in China mainland, explore the epidemiological rules, and evaluate the effect of prevention and control. MethodsFrom December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, Analysis of 80,409 confirmed cases of NCP in China mainland. ResultsFrom December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, a total of 80,409 cases of NCP were confirmed in China mainland, a total of 67,466 cases were confirmed in Hubei Province, a total of 49,671 cases were confirmed in Wuhan city. From December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, a total of 3,012 cases of NCP deaths in China mainland, the mortality was 3.75% (3012/80,409); A total of 52045 cases of cured in China mainland; The turning point of the epidemic have been reached since February 18.2020 in China mainland; The spread index of NCP gradually declined since January 27. 2020, and the extinction index of NCP rose little by little since January 29, 2020. ConclusionFrom December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, NCP is under control, and the trend of the epidemic will eventually disappear; The turning point of an epidemic that Ive created is a great indicator that can calculate the turning date of an outbreak and provide a basis for scientific prevention.

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