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Immunology

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Immunology's content profile, based on 29 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Comprehensive Immunophenotyping of Monocytes and Dendritic Cells Suggests Distinct Pathophysiology in Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and Long COVID

Petrov, S. I.; Bozhkova, M.; Ivanovska, M.; Kalfova, T.; Dudova, D.; Todorova, Y.; Dimitrova, R.; Murdjeva, M.; Taskov, H.; Nikolova, M.; Maes, M.

2026-04-12 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350613 medRxiv
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Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) and long COVID are complex chronic conditions that often follow infectious triggers with overlapping clinical features but poorly defined pathophysiological relationships. This study aimed to identify disease-specific immune signatures through multiparameter immunophenotyping of monocytes, dendritic cells, and T-cell subsets. A total of 207 participants were included (ME/CFS: n = 103; long COVID: n = 63; healthy controls: n = 41). Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were analyzed using multiparameter flow cytometry. Statistical analyses included non-parametric testing, age-adjusted ANCOVA, correlation network analysis, and principal component analysis (PCA). Long COVID was characterized by increased M2-like monocyte polarization, elevated CD80 expression across monocyte subsets, expansion of dendritic cells, and reduced expression of activation markers, indicating persistent immune activation with features of immune exhaustion. In contrast, ME/CFS exhibited reduced costimulatory molecule expression, impaired CCR7-mediated immune cell trafficking, and less coordinated activation patterns, consistent with a state of immune suppression. Correlation network analysis revealed more extensive and integrated immune interactions in long COVID, while PCA identified distinct immunophenotypic components and enabled moderate discrimination between the two conditions. These findings demonstrate that ME/CFS and long COVID are characterized by distinct immune profiles, supporting the concept of divergent immunopathological mechanisms. The identified signatures may contribute to biomarker development and guide targeted therapeutic approaches.

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A conserved grain-associated immunosuppressive niche in Sudanese patients with mycetoma.

Osman, M.; Ashwin, H.; Calder, G.; O'Toole, P.; Bakhiet, S. M.; Musa, A. M.; Kaye, P. M.; Fahal, A. H.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350374 medRxiv
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Mycetoma is a neglected tropical disease caused by various bacterial and fungal pathogens that has a significant health impact across a broad geographically defined "mycetoma belt" spanning South America, Africa and Asia. Histologically, mycetoma is characterised by invasive and destructive granuloma development in the skin, deep tissues and bone, leading to tissue destruction, deformities and high morbidity. The presence of macroscopic, highly compacted pathogen microcolonies, or "grains," is a key diagnostic feature, and the formation of grains supports pathogen persistence and disease chronicity. However, there is a paucity of information on immune responses in mycetoma patients and on the relative importance of phylogeny and/or grains in establishing the local immune landscape. Here, we used spatial proteomics to examine the distribution of 43 immune-related proteins in surgical biopsies from 11 patients with mycetoma of bacterial (Actinomycetoma; Actinomadura pelletierii and Streptomyces somaliensis; n=6) and fungal (Eumycetoma; Madurella mycetomatis; n=5) origin. Using mixed-effects modelling, an exploratory analysis across species and pathogen classes revealed few significant differences in immune marker expression. In contrast, and independently of pathogen class, the cellular infiltrate closest to grain boundaries had higher per-cell expression of CD66b+, ARG1, and VISTA. The preferential accumulation of CD66b+ARG1+VISTA+ cells at grain boundaries was confirmed by quantitative immunofluorescence analysis. Hence, the local tissue microenvironment surrounding the mycetoma grain represents a specialised immunosuppressive niche, with parallels to the tumour microenvironment.

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Predictive Modelling to Differentiate Bacterial and Viral cases of Childhood Pneumonia in Kilifi, Kenya using Protein Markers and Clinical Data

Matuli, C.; Waeni, J. M.; Gicheru, E. T.; Sande, C. J.; Gallagher, K.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350312 medRxiv
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BackgroundTo date, accessible diagnostic tools to identify whether a patients pneumonia is a bacterial, or viral infection, are not accurate or timely enough to prevent preemptive antibiotic administration. Relying on single biomarkers or clinical presentations has been insufficient. We aimed to incorporate a wide range of novel biomarkers and clinical presentations in a multivariable model and validate its capacity to differentiate cases of bacterial and viral pneumonia. MethodsData from 457 children aged 2-59 months, admitted to Kilifi County Referral Hospital, Kenya, with bacterial (n = 229) and viral (n = 228) infections, were used to develop and validate a predictive multivariable Poisson regression model to differentiate pneumonia etiology. The Receiver Operating Characteristic curve was used to assess biomarker performance and validate the model internally. ResultsSixty-three percent (63%) of the children presented with severe pneumonia. 72% with viral pneumonia had severe pneumonia, compared to 54% with bacterial pneumonia who had severe pneumonia. In crude analyses, chest-wall indrawing, cough, convulsions, crackles, angiotensinogen, and Serpin Family A Member 1 were significantly associated with pneumonia etiology, controlling for age. However, only chest-wall indrawing remained significant in multivariable analyses after controlling for age. The model demonstrated fair, but inadequate, discrimination, with an Area Under the Curve of 0.61. ConclusionAmong the children admitted to hospital with WHO defined pneumonia, a wide range of biomarkers and clinical presentations still failed to distinguish bacterial from viral pneumonia.

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Comparative LUSZ Therapeutic Study (LUSZ_AVIST) of Antiviral, Antiretroviral, and Immunosuppressive Treatments in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients with High-Risk Factors, Biomarkers, and Disease Progression.

Makdissy, N.; Makdessi, E. W.; Fenianos, F.; Nasreddine, N.; Daher, W.; El Hamoui, S.

2026-04-13 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350587 medRxiv
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COVID-19 has spread rapidly and caused a global pandemic making it one of the deadliest in history. Early identification of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 who may develop critical illness is of immense importance. Therefore, novel biomarkers were needed to identify patients who will suffer rapid disease progression to severe complications and death. Many treatments were adopted including the antiviral Remdesivir, the antiretroviral Lopinavir /Ritonavir and Tocilizumab. Our study aimed not only to specify high-risk factors and biomarkers of fatal outcome in hospitalized subjects with coronavirus but also to compare the efficacy of the three considered treatments to help clinicians better choose a therapeutic strategy and reduce mortality. We divided the population (n=711) into four main groups based according to the WHO ordinal severity scale. The percentage of mortality, in and out the hospital, the length of stay in the hospital, the pulmonary inflammatory lesion and its distribution, the SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG variations at admission, the inflammatory markers, the complete blood count, the coagulation factors and enzymes, proteins and electrolytes profile, glucose and lipid profile, and other relevant markers were measured. The significance of the observed variation was assessed by multivariate and ANOVA analyses. We succeeded to establish a novel predictive scoring model of disease progression based on a cohort of Lebanese hospitalized patients relying on the pulmonary inflammatory lesions, inflammation biomarkers such as LDH, D-Dimer, CRP, IL-6 and the lymphocyte count, the number of comorbidities and the age of the patient which all were significantly correlated with the illness severity showing best outcomes with immunomodulatory and anticoagulant treatments by the results. As top tier, Tocilizumab was more efficient than the two other treatments in non-severe cases but none of the used treatments was insanely effective alone to reduce mortality in severe cases.

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Validation of Immunoscore for Prognostic Stratification in HPV-associated Oropharyngeal Cancer: An International Multicenter Study

Nguyen, D. H.; Majdi, A.; Marliot, F.; Houtart, V.; Kirilovsky, A.; Hijazi, A.; Fredriksen, T.; de Sousa Carvalho, N.; Bach, A.- S.; Gaultier, A.- L.; Fabiano, E.; Kreps, S.; Tartour, E.; Pere, H.; Veyer, D.; Blanchard, P.; Angell, H. K.; Pages, F.; Mirghani, H.; Galon, J.

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350238 medRxiv
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BackgroundTreatment optimization in HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (OPSCC) remains challenging, as recent de-escalation trials have shown limited success. Current patient selection strategies based on smoking history and TNM classification are insufficient, highlighting the need for robust, standardized prognostic biomarkers. We report the first validation of the Immunoscore (IS) for prognostic stratification in HPV-associated OPSCC. Patients and methodsWe analyzed 191 HPV-associated (p16+ and HPV DNA/RNA+) OPSCC patients from an international multicenter cohort (2015-2024), comprising a French monocentric retrospective training cohort (N = 48) and three validation cohorts: French monocentric retrospective (N = 48), French multicenter prospective (N = 50), and US multicenter retrospective (N = 45). IS is a standardized digital pathology assay quantifying CD3lJ and CD8lJ densities in tumor cores and invasive margins, with cut-offs defined in the training cohort and validated across cohorts. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS) were assessed, alongside 3RNA-seq and sequential immunofluorescence profiling of immune composition. ResultsMedian age 65; 80% male; 74% smokers; 66% T1-2; 82% N0-1 (AJCC8th). IS-High patients demonstrated superior 3-year DFS in the training and validation cohorts 1-3 (all log-rank P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified IS-Low as the strongest independent risk factor for DFS (HR 9.03; 95% CI: 4.02-20.31; P < 0.001). The model combining IS with clinical factors showed higher predictive accuracy for DFS (C-index 0.82) than clinical variables alone (0.7; P < 0.0001). Similar findings were observed for TTR and OS. IS-High tumors showed markedly higher enrichment of lymphoid and myeloid immune cell populations, contrasting with immune-poor signatures in IS-Low tumors. ConclusionsIS is a robust biomarker that outperforms standard clinical variables in both prognostic and predictive accuracy. The enriched cytotoxic immune infiltrate in IS-High tumors explains favorable outcomes and supports their suitability for treatment de-escalation. Prospective validation is warranted.

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A high-throughput Epstein-Barr virus nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) serology test strip for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk screening

Warner, B. E.; Patel, J.; Satterwhite, R.; Wang, R.; Adams-Haduch, J.; Koh, W.-P.; Yuan, J.-M.; Shair, K. H. Y.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350329 medRxiv
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PurposeAntibodies to Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) proteins can predict nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) risk. We previously defined a prototype EBNA1 protein panel and multiplex immunoblot assay that distinguishes NPC risk several years pre-diagnosis. Assay throughput and specificity are critical to effectively implement a population-level screening program. Here, we developed a strip test assay - EBNA1 SeroStrip-HT - with an objective to increase throughput and maximize specificity. Experimental DesignEBNA1 full-length (FL) and glycine-alanine repeat deletion mutants (dGAr) were purified from insect and mammalian cells to screen serum IgA/IgG from prospective cohorts in Singapore and Shanghai, China, with known time intervals to NPC diagnosis. Twenty pre-diagnostic sera within 4 years to diagnosis were compared to 96 healthy controls using a nested case-control study design. ResultsIgA to mammalian-derived EBNA1 dGAr achieved 85.0% sensitivity and 94.8% specificity (AUC, 0.939) for NPC status. IgA to insect-derived EBNA1 dGAr showed the same sensitivity (85.0%) and similar specificity (93.8%) (AUC, 0.941). IgA to insect-derived EBNA1 FL had a higher 90% sensitivity, but lower 91.7% specificity (AUC, 0.940). Combining EBNA1 FL and dGAr results showed that subjects positive for both proteins had a 243.67 odds ratio for NPC incidence compared to double-negative scores. ConclusionThis study demonstrated the efficacy of EBNA1 SeroStrip-HT for NPC risk assessment and stratification in high- and intermediate-risk populations, yielding high accuracy and a 12-fold increased throughput over the prototype. The insect system was appropriate for large-scale production of purified EBNA1. Larger, geographically diverse cohorts are warranted to confirm these results, especially in low-incidence populations.

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Prioritising determinants of systemic inflammation across molecular, physiological and disease phenotypes.

Shepherd, F.; Slaney, C.; Jones, H. J.; Dardani, C.; Stergiakouli, E.; Sanderson, E. C. M.; Hamilton, F.; Rosoff, D. B.; Rek, N.; Gaunt, T. R.; Davey Smith, G.; Richardson, T. G.; Khandaker, G. M.

2026-04-14 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350510 medRxiv
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Systemic inflammation is implicated in various diseases, yet its upstream determinants remain poorly examined. We conducted a large scale two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) study to systematically evaluate the potential causal effects of 3,213 molecular (metabolomic, proteomic), physiological and disease traits on circulating interleukin-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. Genetic instruments were derived from genome wide association studies and analysed using inverse variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, and MR-Egger methods with multiple testing correction. Bidirectional MR was performed to assess reverse causation. After Bonferroni correction, evidence of potential causal effects was observed for 72 traits on CRP and 9 traits on IL-6. CRP was predominantly influenced by metabolomic traits, especially lipid and fatty acid measures. Genetically proxied adiposity (body mass index and obesity), triglyceride rich lipoproteins, glycoprotein acetyls (GlycA), and apolipoprotein E increased CRP levels, whereas HDL-related cholesterols, polyunsaturated fatty acids, and glutamine decreased CRP. Most associations were consistent across MR methods, supporting the robustness of these results. As expected, IL-6 had a large effect on CRP. IL-6 was influenced by primarily adiposity and HDL-related lipid measures, with generally smaller effect sizes and limited support across sensitivity analyses. Bidirectional analyses indicated little evidence that CRP directly drives metabolic traits when restricting to cis-acting instruments, whereas genetically proxied IL-6 signalling showed consistent downstream effects on HDL particle concentration and composition. Adiposity is a shared upstream determinant of both inflammatory biomarkers, with stronger and broader effects on CRP. These findings suggest that CRP acts as an integrated downstream readout of systemic inflammatory burden, whereas IL-6 reflects a more tightly regulated and context-dependent process. Our work clarifies traits that may causally influence systemic inflammation and highlights biological pathways linking inflammation to cardiometabolic and inflammatory diseases. By mapping upstream determinants of IL-6 and CRP, we also provide a resource to prioritise key drivers for mechanistic study and therapeutic targeting.

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Vaccine-induced antibody and T cell responses in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Shapiro, J. R.; Dorogy, A.; Science, M.; Gupta, S.; Alexander, S.; Bolotin, S.; Watts, T. H.

2026-04-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350531 medRxiv
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Children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) are treated with multiagent chemotherapy that causes profound changes to the immune system. There are limited data on how disease and therapy impact antigen-specific immune memory, leading to inconsistent guidelines on best practices for revaccination of this population. Here, to inform vaccine guidance, we investigated whether immunity derived from routine childhood measles and varicella zoster virus (VZV) vaccines is maintained during and after therapy for childhood ALL. We report that antibodies against measles and VZV were significantly reduced in children with ALL (n=45) compared to healthy controls (n=13), particularly in older children in whom a longer time had passed since their most recent vaccine dose. However, the avidity of the measles and VZV-specific antibodies was indistinguishable between groups. Despite changes to the composition of the T cell compartment, both overall and antigen-specific T cell function were preserved in children with ALL. These data provide compelling evidence for revaccination of children following ALL treatment. Intact T cell responses suggest that post-treatment revaccination would be effective.

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Comparable safety and humoral immunogenicity of delayed versus delayed fractional boosting with blood-stage malaria RH5.1/Matrix-M vaccine

Holliday, K.; Nielsen, C. M.; Roberts, T. W.; Baker, E. C.; Marshall, B.; Jarman, C.; Odongo, I.; Salkeld, J.; Diouf, A.; Marchevsky, N. G.; Ashfield, R.; King, L. D. W.; Cowan, R. E.; Lata, P.; Nugent, F. L.; Cho, J.-S.; Carnot, C.; Long, C. A.; Hope, P.; Schutter, J.; Kay, L.; Winks, T.; Skinner, K.; Silk, S. E.; Draper, S. J.; Minassian, A. M.; Payne, R. O.

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.10.26348898 medRxiv
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An efficacious blood-stage malaria vaccine would serve as a highly useful public health tool alongside licensed vaccines targeting the pre-erythrocytic life cycle stage of the Plasmodium falciparum parasite. RH5 is the leading blood-stage malaria vaccine candidate antigen due to its highly-conserved sequence and non-redundant role in merozoite invasion of red blood cells. Following encouraging immunogenicity data in UK and Tanzanian Phase Ia/b vaccine trials, RH5-based vaccines have progressed to Phase IIb evaluation in Burkina Faso in recent years. Here, we report a Phase Ia clinical trial in malaria-naive UK adults to assess the safety and immunogenicity of the malaria vaccine candidate RH5.1 soluble protein with Matrix-M adjuvant using two different booster dosing regimens: 10-10-10 micrograms versus 50-50-10 micrograms RH5.1, both delivered in a 0-1-6-month schedule with 50 micrograms Matrix-M adjuvant per dose (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06141057). A total of n=24 participants were recruited to this study, with n=23 completing all follow-up visits through to 1 year following final vaccination. The RH5.1/Matrix-M formulation was well-tolerated in this population, with injection site pain, myalgia and fatigue being the most commonly reported symptoms up to 7 days post-vaccination. There were no serious adverse events, adverse events of special interest, or suspected unexpected serious adverse reactions reported over the course of the trial. Both vaccination regimens were similarly immunogenic; no differences were observed in peak anti-RH5.1 serum IgG concentrations, in vitro functional anti-parasitic activity, avidity, or durability. Our findings build on other observations from clinical trials of adjuvanted RH5.1 indicating that humoral immunogenicity can be enhanced by delaying the final booster vaccination, but that there is limited impact of fractionation of the final dose. These insights can help to guide the next steps of multi-antigen, multi-stage malaria vaccine development in malaria-endemic settings.

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Understanding community knowledge, attitudes and practices related to participation in household transmission investigations during infectious disease outbreaks

Meagher, N.; Hettiarachchi, D.; Hawkins, M. R.; Tavlian, S.; Spirkoska, V.; McVernon, J.; Carville, K. S.; Price, D. J.; Villanueva Cabezas, J. P.; Marcato, A. J.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350464 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe World Health Organization has developed several global template protocols for epidemiological investigations, including for household transmission investigations (HHTIs). These investigations facilitate rapid characterisation of novel or re-emerging respiratory pathogens and support evidence-based public health actions. Beyond technical readiness, community buy-in is central to the feasibility and acceptability of HHTIs. Research is needed to determine the perceived legitimacy among the community to inform local protocol adaptation and development of implementation plans that consider community attitudes and needs. MethodsIn 2025, we conducted a convenience survey of community members living in Victoria, Australia to explore: their understanding of emerging respiratory diseases; their willingness to take part in public health surveillance activities such as HHTIs; the acceptability of clinical and epidemiological data collection and respiratory/blood sample collection as main components of HHTIs, and; participant comfort towards including their companion animals in HHTIs. ResultsWe received 282 survey responses, of which 235 were included in the analysis dataset. Compared to the general Victorian population, our participants included a higher proportion of participants who reported being female, tertiary-educated, of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage, born in Australia and speaking only English at home. Participants indicated overall high levels of comfort and acceptability towards participation in HHTIs, particularly in relation to clinical and epidemiological data collection, with lesser but still high levels of comfort with providing multiple respiratory specimens in a 14-day period. Participants were least comfortable with other specimens such as urine and blood. Involving companion animals in HHTIs was similarly acceptable as human-focused components. ConclusionsDespite our survey population being non-representative of the general Victorian population, our findings provide valuable descriptive insights into the acceptability of HHTIs in Victoria, Australia from which to benchmark future local and international surveys and community engagement activities.

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Culture-independent identification and serotyping of Streptococcus pneumoniae by targeted metagenomics in pleural fluid samples

Smith, S. A. M.; Rockett, R. J.; Oftadeh, S.; Tam, K. K.-G.; Payne, M.; Golubchik, T.; Sintchenko, V.

2026-04-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350812 medRxiv
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Streptococcus pneumoniae is the leading cause of empyema and pneumonia in children, and monitoring of effectiveness of polyvalent pneumococcal vaccines has been essential for controlling invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in children and elderly adults. Conventional serotyping of pneumococci has relied on Quellung reaction following laboratory culture, however more recently whole genome sequencing (WGS) has been implemented in many reference laboratories to enhance traditional typing. Pleural fluid samples from cases with empyema are often culture negative, limiting the utility of WGS and requiring polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or 16S rRNA sequencing to detect S. pneumoniae. These molecular methods have limited sensitivity and capacity to characterise pneumococcus in clinical samples, especially in specimens with a low pathogen abundance. This study applied capture-based enrichment (tNGS) to identify and characterise S. pneumoniae directly from pleural fluid samples. A total of 51 pleural fluid samples were subjected to tNGS with a custom probe panel, for 39 known positive fluids collected from IPD cases between 2018-2025 in New South Wales, Australia. tNGS results were benchmarked against molecular-based serotyping. Our tNGS achieved 100% sensitivity and specificity in detecting S. pneumoniae. Serotyping results were concordant with PCR and 95% (37/39) of S. pneumoniae PCR positive pleural fluid cases could be serotyped using tNGS. Standard molecular methods however could only determine serotype in 56% (22/39) of samples. This tNGS enabled 39% improvement in ability to directly identify and serotype IPD-associated serotypes of S. pneumoniae in difficult-to-culture pleural fluids can significantly enhance laboratory surveillance of IPD as well as our understanding of vaccine effectiveness.

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Novel risk models based on screening history results and timing of lung cancer diagnosis: Post hoc analysis of the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial

Haddan, S.; Waqas, A.; Rasool, G.; Schabath, M. B.

2026-04-14 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350705 medRxiv
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Background: Our group previously reported that lung cancer (LC) screening history results and subsequent timing of diagnosis are associated with significant differences in survival outcomes. As a follow-up study, we sought to develop novel personalized risk models that considered screening history for incidence cancers, interval LCs, and prevalence LCs. Methods: Using data from the CT-arm of the NLST, four independent case-control analyses were conducted to develop parsimonious risk models. Controls (n=26,038) were those never diagnosed with LC. The four LC case groups were 270 prevalence LCs, 44 interval LCs, 206 screen-detected LCs (SDLCs) that had a baseline positive screen, and 164 SDLCs that had a baseline negative screen. For each case-control analysis, univariable analyses identified statistically significant covariates from 48 variables and then significant covariates were included into a stepwise backward selection approach to identify a model with the most informative covariates. Results: For prevalence LCs, the model (AUC=0.711) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, smoking onset age, personal history of cancer, family history of LC, alcohol consumption, and milling occupation. For interval LCs, the model (AUC=0.734) included age, smoking status, smoking onset age, cigar smoking, marital status, and asbestos occupation. For baseline positive SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.685) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, emphysema, chemicals/plastics exposure, and milling occupation. For baseline negative SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.701) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, emphysema, sarcoidosis, and sandblasting occupation. Conclusions: Besides smoking and age, which are inclusion criteria for screening, these models identified other important risk factors which could be used to provide personalized LC risk assessment and screening management.

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Risk of Post-acute Symptoms and Conditions After SARS-CoV-2 Compared to Other Respiratory Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Pinto, T. F.; Santoro, A.; Oliveira, A. L. G.; Tavares, T. S.; Almeida, A.; Incardona, F.; Marchetti, G.; Cozzi-Lepri, A.; Pinto, J.; Caporali, J. F. M.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350682 medRxiv
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Background: How post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) differs from post-acute infection syndromes (PAIS) caused by other respiratory viruses remains uncertain. Comparing these conditions may clarify whether post-acute symptoms reflect specific consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection or broader post-viral mechanisms. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies comparing persistent symptoms or conditions in adults after SARS-CoV-2 infection with those following other acute respiratory viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched. Random-effects models were used to estimate pooled risks. Results: Among 9,371 records screened, 22 studies were included and 14 contributed to the meta-analysis. Increased risk after SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed for pulmonary embolism, abnormal breathing, fatigue, hemorrhagic stroke, memory loss/brain fog, and palpitations; heart rate abnormalities showed borderline significance. For most other outcomes pooled estimates were inconclusive. Conclusions: Only a subset of outcomes appears more frequent after SARS-CoV-2 infection, suggesting many symptoms attributed to PCC may reflect broader post-viral syndromes.

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Mediating Role of Depression and Anxiety in the Association Between Food Insecurity and Delayed TB Treatment in Botswana

Sakyi, E.; Molebatsi, K.; Modongo, C.; Shin, S. S.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350465 medRxiv
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BackgroundDelayed tuberculosis (TB) treatment remains a major challenge to TB control and is associated with increased mortality, drug resistance, and onward transmission. Food insecurity may contribute to delayed TB treatment through economic, physical, and psychosocial pathways. Depression and anxiety are also associated with delayed TB treatment and may mediate the relationship between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment. This study examined the association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation and assessed the mediation roles of depression and anxiety for this relationship among people newly diagnosed with TB. MethodsWe recruited 180 participants newly diagnosed with TB in Gaborone, Botswana. Food insecurity, depression, and anxiety were measured using the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale, PHQ-9, and Zung Self-Rating Anxiety Scale, respectively. Delayed TB treatment was defined as > 2 months since first TB symptoms. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment. Causal mediation analysis was conducted to assess the mediating roles of depression and anxiety. ResultsAmong the 180 participants, 45 (25%) experienced delayed TB treatment initiation. Participants with delayed TB treatment had slightly higher median scores for food insecurity (2 vs. 1, p = 0.11), depression (9 vs. 6, p = 0.001), and anxiety (37 vs. 34, p = 0.05). There was insufficient evidence of an overall association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.98-1.11, p = 0.20). Mediation analysis found insufficient evidence of total and direct effects through depression and anxiety. However, there was evidence of significant indirect effect through depression (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08, p < 0.001) and a borderline indirect effect through anxiety (OR = 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, p = 0.05). ConclusionMediation analysis revealed associations between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation mediated by depression and anxiety which were not evident in total effects analysis. These findings highlight the importance of considering both socioeconomic and psychological factors in addressing delayed TB treatment. Further studies are needed to confirm these pathways.

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The Association Between Social Determinants of Health and Alzheimer Disease Blood Biomarkers in Midlife

Dintica, C.; Porwal, G.; Caunca, M.; Flemming, N.; Bryan, R. N.; Yaffe, K.

2026-04-15 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350798 medRxiv
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Background: Social determinants of health (SDOH) are increasingly recognized as contributors to Alzheimer disease (AD) risk, yet the impact of multidimensional social disadvantage early AD-related pathophysiology remains poorly understood. Methods: We studied 1,466 participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort with SDOH assessed in early midlife (mean age 40, SD 3.6 years) and plasma AD biomarkers measured 20 years later. A comprehensive SDOH index was constructed from 12 indicators spanning five domains (economic stability, education, neighborhood and physical environment, community and social context, and health care access). We examined associations between SDOH quartile and log-transformed, standardized plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (p-tau217), neurofilament light chain (NfL), and amyloid-lower case Greek beta42/40 (Alower case Greek beta42/40) using linear regression adjusted for age, sex, race, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Linear trends across SDOH quartile were also evaluated. Results: Participants in the most disadvantaged SDOH quartile had higher p-tau217, higher NfL and lower Alower case Greek beta42/40 level compared with those in the least disadvantaged quartile (p-tau 217: lower case Greek beta = 0.12, 95% CI 0.03-0.21, p = 0.008; NfL: lower case Greek beta = 0.20, 95% CI 0.05-0.35, p = 0.009; lower case Greek beta42/40: lower case Greek beta = -0.15, 95% CI -0.30-0.00, p=0.05). There was also a significant trend across quartile (p-tau 217: p for trend = 0.012; NfL: p for trend= 0.001). Analyses of individual SDOH domains indicated that lower economic stability, poorer health care access, and lower education were associated with higher NfL, and poorer health care access was associated with higher p-tau217. Conclusions: Greater SDOH disadvantage in early midlife was associated with higher levels of plasma AD biomarkers reflecting AD pathology and neurodegeneration decades later. These findings suggest that social disadvantage during midlife may contribute to early AD-related biological changes and highlight potentially modifiable social factors relevant for dementia prevention.

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Alpha-gal Syndrome Symptom Profiles and Diagnostic Experiences Among Farmer and Ranchers

Welch, A. M.; Beseler, C. L.; Cross, S. T.

2026-04-16 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26349898 medRxiv
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Purpose: Alpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is an emerging health issue. This syndrome, caused by the bites of ticks, induces allergic reactions to the sugar molecule galactose-alpha-1,3-galactose after exposure to non-primate mammalian meat and other byproducts. Agricultural workers spend significant time outdoors placing them at an increased risk for tick bites and tick-borne diseases, like AGS. This study aimed to characterize farmers and ranchers' prior knowledge, symptomology, and diagnostic experiences with AGS. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of more than 200 farmers and ranchers with a self-reported AGS diagnosis. The survey captured farmers and ranchers' experiences related to prior knowledge and experience with tick bites and AGS, reported symptoms, and obtaining a diagnosis. Findings: A total of 201 respondents across 26 states participated in the survey, with the majority from Missouri and Oklahoma. We identified four distinct symptom clusters, with the most reported symptoms being abdominal cramping, diarrhea, itchy skin, and nausea. Women more often reported gastrointestinal discomfort, and men were more likely to be in the mild symptom category. On average, participants reported 2.98 medical provider visits before receiving a diagnosis, most being diagnosed by general practitioners and allergists. Conclusions: No previous studies have focused on the symptom and diagnostic experiences of farmers and ranchers with AGS. Capturing such data is essential as these workers may experience unique occupational challenges following AGS diagnosis. The diagnostic experience data support a continuing need to educate and empower AGS patients and providers, especially agricultural workers and providers serving rural communities.

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Virtual Spectral Decomposition with Dendritic Binary Gating Detects Pancreatic Cancer Tissue Transformation on Standard CT: Multi-Institutional Validation Across Three Independent Datasets with a 3.8-Year Pre-Diagnostic Detection Window

Chandra, S.

2026-04-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350418 medRxiv
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Background. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a five-year survival rate of approximately 12%, largely because it is typically diagnosed at an advanced stage. CT-based computational methods for early detection exist but rely on black-box deep learning or large texture feature sets without tissue-specific interpretability. Methods. We developed Virtual Spectral Decomposition (VSD), which applies six parameterized sigmoid functions S(HU) = 1/(1+exp(-alpha x (HU - mu))) to standard portal-venous CT, decomposing each pixel into tissue-specific response channels for fat (mu=-60), fluid (mu=10), parenchyma (mu=45), stroma (mu=75), vascular (mu=130), and calcification (mu=250). Dendritic Binary Gating identifies structural content per channel using morphological filtering, enabling co-firing analysis and lone firer identification. A 25-feature signature was extracted per patient. Three independent datasets were analyzed: NIH Pancreas-CT (n=78 healthy), Medical Segmentation Decathlon Task07 (n=281 PDAC, paired tumor/adjacent tissue), and CPTAC-PDA from The Cancer Imaging Archive (n=82, multi-institutional, with DICOM time point tags). The same six sigmoid parameters were used across all datasets without retraining. Results. VSD achieved AUC 0.943 for field effect detection (healthy vs cancer-adjacent parenchyma) and AUC 0.931 for patient-stratified tumor specification on MSD. On CPTAC-PDA, VSD achieved AUC 0.961 (6 features) and 0.979 (25 features) for distinguishing healthy from cancer-bearing pancreas on scans obtained prior to pathological diagnosis. All significant features replicated across datasets in the same direction: z_fat (d=-2.10, p=3.5e-27), z_fluid (d=-2.76, p=2.4e-38), fire_fat (d=+2.18, p=1.2e-28). Critically, VSD severity did not correlate with days-from-diagnosis (r=-0.008, p=0.944) across a range of day -1394 to day +249. Patient C3N-01375, scanned 3.8 years before pathological diagnosis, had VSD severity 1.87, well above the healthy mean of 0.94 +/- 0.33. The tissue transformation signature was temporally stable, indicating an early, persistent tissue state rather than a progressively worsening process. Conclusions. VSD with Dendritic Binary Gating detects a stable pancreatic tissue composition signature on standard CT that is present years before clinical diagnosis, validated across three independent datasets without parameter adjustment. The six sigmoid channels map to biologically meaningful tissue components through a fully transparent interpretability chain. The temporal stability of the signal implies a detection window of 3-7 years, consistent with known PanIN-3 microenvironment transformation timelines. VSD functions as a single-scan screening tool applicable to any abdominal CT performed during the pre-clinical window.

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A Multi-Cohort Study of Immunoglobulin G Glycans in Newly Diagnosed Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients Reveals Accelerated Biological Aging

Flevaris, K.; Trbojevic-Akmacic, I.; Goh, D.; Lalli, J. S.; Vuckovic, F.; Capin Vilaj, M.; Stambuk, J.; Kristic, J.; Mijakovac, A.; Ventham, N.; Kalla, R.; Latiano, A.; Manetti, N.; Li, D.; McGovern, D. P. B.; Kennedy, N. A.; Annese, V.; Lauc, G.; Satsangi, J.; Kontoravdi, C.

2026-04-11 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26349930 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Alterations in immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation are implicated in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the robustness of IgG glycan signatures across IBD cohorts with diverse demographics and geographic origins remains underexplored. We aimed to determine whether compositional data analysis (CoDA) and machine learning (ML) can identify IBD-related IgG N-glycan signatures and whether these signatures capture disease-associated acceleration of biological aging. Methods: We analyzed the IgG glycome profiles of 1,367 plasma samples collected from healthy controls (HC), symptomatic controls (SC), and people with newly diagnosed Crohn's (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) across four cohorts (UK, Italy, United States, and Netherlands). IgG glycosylation was analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography, yielding 24 total-area-normalized glycan peaks (GPs). Analyses were performed using cross-sectional data obtained at baseline. CoDA-powered association analyses were used to identify disease-related effects on GPs while controlling for demographic covariates. ML models were trained and evaluated to assess generalizability to unseen cohorts and demographic subgroups, with a focus on discrimination and reliability. Results: Across all cohorts, people with IBD demonstrated accelerated biological aging as quantified by the GlycanAge index. This was accompanied by consistent reductions in IgG galactosylation, with effects partially modulated by age. Classification models trained on glycomics and demographics achieved robust discrimination (AUROC~0.80) between non-IBD (HC+SC) and IBD across cohorts. Conclusion: These findings reveal accelerated biological aging in people with IBD and support the translational potential of IgG glycans as biomarkers and a novel route toward clinically interpretable personalized risk estimates.

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Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential and Risk of Major Age-Related Eye Diseases

Xie, R.; Schöttker, B.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350756 medRxiv
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ImportanceAge-related eye diseases, such as cataract, glaucoma, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and diabetic retinopathy (DR), are leading causes of irreversible vision loss globally. Chronic inflammation is a shared pathogenic pathway, but the role of systemic inflammatory drivers like clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is unknown. ObjectiveTo investigate the association of CHIP, including its major genetic subtypes and clone sizes, with the risk of four major age-related eye diseases. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis was a prospective cohort study conducted using data from the UK Biobank, a large-scale, population-based cohort. A total of 436,469 participants free of the four eye diseases at baseline were included in the analysis. Data were collected from 2006 to 2010, with follow-up extending to March 2022. ExposuresCHIP status was ascertained from whole-exome sequencing data, defined by the presence of a somatic driver mutation with a variant allele fraction of 2% or greater. Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary outcomes were incident cases of cataract, glaucoma, AMD, and DR, identified through linked electronic health records. Associations were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models. ResultsOf 436,469 participants (mean [SD] age, 56.4 [8.1] years; 54.5% women), 14,110 (3.2%) had CHIP. Over a median follow-up of 13.1 years, CHIP was significantly associated with an increased risk of incident cataract (Hazard Ratio [HR], 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.14), AMD (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.21), and DR (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.20-1.64). No significant association was found with glaucoma (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.99-1.17). The risk for AMD was primarily associated with smaller clones (VAF <10%), while the risk for DR was highest with non-DNMT3A mutations. Systemic inflammation, particularly neutrophil count, partially mediated the associations. Conclusions and RelevanceIn this study, CHIP was independently associated with a higher risk of developing cataract, AMD, and DR, but not glaucoma. These findings establish a link between hematopoietic somatic mutations and the pathogenesis of several major age-related eye diseases, suggesting that CHIP-driven inflammation is a potential target for risk stratification and prevention. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSIs clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) associated with the risk of major age-related eye diseases? FindingsIn this cohort study of 436,469 participants, CHIP was associated with an increased risk of incident cataract (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.14), age-related macular degeneration (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.21), and diabetic retinopathy (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.20-1.64), but not glaucoma. MeaningThese findings identify CHIP as an independent, non-ocular risk factor for cataract, AMD, and diabetic retinopathy, suggesting that systemic inflammation driven by CHIP contributes to the pathogenesis of these conditions and may represent a novel target for preventive strategies.

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Plasma proteomics of APOE genotype: age-specific analyses in UK population-based cohorts

Packer, A.; Khatun, T.; Groves, J. W.; Wyss-Coray, T.; Schott, J.; Proitsi, P.; Anderson, E. L.; Williams, D. M.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351010 medRxiv
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Background: The apolipoprotein E (APOE) locus is the strongest genetic risk factor for late-onset Alzheimer's disease (AD). Variation in APOE isoforms is known to have diverse pleiotropic effects on circulating lipids and other metabolites, but effects on the circulating proteome across the life course are not well characterised. We investigated the specific effects of APOE {epsilon}4 and APOE {epsilon}2 carriage on the circulating proteome in middle-age and later life. Methods: In primary modelling, we analysed associations of APOE {epsilon}4 and {epsilon}2 carriage (reference {epsilon}3/{epsilon}3) with circulating proteins in UK Biobank participants (N = 42,642; age = 39.1 to 70.9 years). Using multivariable linear regression, we conducted ancestry-specific analyses of 2,922 assayed plasma proteins across individuals of European (EUR), African (AFR), and South Asian (SAS) ancestry. To identify age-dependent effects, stratified analyses were performed with the sample split into age groups. We then performed replication analyses of APOE-associated proteins in age-matched groups, using data from two independent UK-based cohorts. Results: We identified 351 proteins associated with {epsilon}2 carriage and 480 with {epsilon}4 carriage among individuals of European ancestry (n = 40,092); 130 of these were associated with both {epsilon}2 and {epsilon}4 carriage (with either consistent or inverse association directions). These included established biomarkers of neurodegeneration (GFAP and NEFL) and other proteins implicated by AD genetic risk loci (e.g., TREM2, CTSB, IDUA, SORT1, GRN). Many of these proteins are linked to other neurodegenerative diseases besides AD. In multiple age groups, {epsilon}4 carriage was strongly associated with consistent differences in circulating APOE, MENT, and PLA2G7 levels across ancestries and cohorts. Conclusion: APOE {epsilon}4 and {epsilon}2 exert broad, often age-dependent effects on the plasma proteome, detectable decades before typical ages of AD diagnoses, highlighting a potential early window for monitoring and intervention.