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GeroScience

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match GeroScience's content profile, based on 97 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.07% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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MultiAge: A New Multidimensional Biomarker of Biological Age Derived from Comprehensive Phenotypic and Molecular Profiling

Vetter, V. M.; Junge, M. P.; Ding, G.; Weihs, A. L.; Drewelies, J.; Duezel, S.; Homann, J.; Maetzel, E.-M.; Spira, D.; Grabe, H. J.; Grill, E.; Lindenberger, U.; Nauck, M.; Pawelec, G.; Peters, A.; Steinhagen-Thiessen, E.; Thorand, B.; Voelzke, H.; Winkelmann, J.; Berger, K.; Teumer, A.; Waldenberger, M.; Gerstorf, D.; Lill, C. M.; Bertram, L.; Demuth, I.

2026-06-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354629 medRxiv
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Background: It is an everyday observation that people of the same chronological age differ with respect to their physical and mental capacity. However, assessing these differences in biological age remains challenging. Methods: Here, we aggregate 89 age-associated variables from the Berlin Aging Study II (BASE-II, n=1,631) to generate MultiAge, a new marker of biological age that summarizes information from ten domains reflecting organ health and global biological age. We then used methylation data obtained from an Illumina MethylationEPIC array and supervised machine learning to translate MultiAge into a DNA methylation signature, MultiAgeEpi (309 CpGs), which was subsequently validated in four independent external validation cohorts (KORA FF4, KORA Age, SHIP-TREND, BiDirect, total n=4,339). MultiAgeEpi results were compared with previously published epigenetic clocks (GrimAge, DunedinPACE, SystemsAge). Results: We report that MultiAgeEpi showed similar, and in several cases, stronger associations with age-associated outcomes such as diabetes, metabolic syndrome, multimorbidity, frailty and mortality (q < 0.05) compared to the other clocks. Conclusions: MultiAge and MultiAgeEpi thus provide a comprehensive assessment of biological age through aggregation of numerous age-associated variables and the use of the high-resolution methylomics data makes transfer of this marker to other cohorts possible.

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Elevated HbA1c is associated with advanced brain age in severe obesity

Juhasz, J.; DeFeis, B.; Britton, M. K.; Hoogerwoerd, H.; Worwag, K.; Johnson, K. J.; Uribe, A.; Williamson, J. B.; Porges, E. C.; Cohen, R. A.

2026-06-06 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354935 medRxiv
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Introduction: Brain-predicted age, estimated from structural MRI data, is a machine-learning biomarker of biological brain aging. Greater brain age gap (BAG) indicates advanced brain aging and is associated with cognitive decline and mortality. Cardiometabolic risk factors, including elevated blood glucose, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, and cholesterol, increase risk of cognitive impairment and dementia in aging. Their relationship with BAG in severe obesity remains poorly characterized despite increased prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors among this population. Methods: T1-weighted MRI data from 97 adults (BMI 35-73) were used to calculate BAG using ENIGMA and Pyment brain age models. Associations between BAG and HbA1c, BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were examined using multiple linear regression and MM-estimation robust regression, adjusting for age, sex, and race. Post hoc analyses stratified models by clinical HbA1c cutoffs (normoglycemic, prediabetic, diabetic). Results: Higher HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 1.58, p = .014) and BAGPyment (B = 0.93, p = .013) in linear regression models. In robust models, HbA1c remained significantly associated with BAGENIGMA (B = 1.70, p = .002) but not BAGPyment (B = 0.71, p = .13). BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were not associated with BAG in either linear or robust models. HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 2.15, p = .01) and BAGPyment (B =1.21, p = .04) in those at or above prediabetic levels and with BAGENIGMA (B = 2.49, p = .047) in those with diabetes. Conclusions: Elevated HbA1c is associated with accelerated brain aging in individuals with severe obesity. BAG was not associated with BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia, which may reflect the restricted BMI range inherent to the sample with severe obesity.

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Context-Dependent Age-Group performance hierarchies limit fairness interventions in PPG-based heart rate prediction

Panchumarthi, L. Y.; Kataria, S.; Wu, Y.; Hu, X.; Fedorov, A.; Kwak, H. G.

2026-06-05 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.04.26352929 medRxiv
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Background. Fairness-aware machine learning increasingly targets demographic performance disparities in clinical prediction, yet whether standard bias mitigation strategies genuinely improve equity in physiological signal analysis remains unclear. Age-based disparities in photoplethysmography (PPG)-based heart rate prediction present a particular challenge, as age-related performance differences may reflect context-dependent physiological structure rather than correctable artifacts. Methods. We evaluated three fairness interventions, inverse-frequency weighting (IF), Group Distributionally Robust Optimization (GroupDRO), and adversarial debiasing (ADV), applied via fine-tuning of a PPG foundation model across three clinical datasets spanning intensive care unit, laboratory, and consumer wearable contexts. Outcomes were assessed using a 2x2 framework classifying each intervention-dataset combination by the joint direction of change in mean absolute error (MAE) and fairness gap (FG) across age groups, yielding four outcome types: genuine improvement (G), leveling down (L), selective benefit (S), and both worse (W). Results. Across nine intra-domain conditions, no intervention simultaneously improved both MAE and FG (0/9 genuine improvement). The dominant pattern was leveling down (5/9): FG decreased but was accompanied by MAE degradation, indicating that apparent fairness gains were achieved at the cost of overall predictive performance. Age-group difficulty ordering varied across clinical contexts at baseline and was not preserved under intervention. In 18 cross-domain transfer conditions, genuine improvement was rare (4/18) and observed exclusively in non-MIMIC source configurations; models fine-tuned on MIMIC-sourced data yielded no genuine improvements (0/6). Embedding-level representation changes following fine-tuning did not reliably predict fairness outcomes. Conclusions. Age-based fairness interventions in PPG heart rate prediction indicate a leveling-down pattern rather than genuine equity improvement, suggesting that age-related performance gaps reflect context-dependent physiological structure not fully addressable through standard bias mitigation. Cross-domain transfer further amplifies this instability. These findings suggest that fairness evaluation frameworks for age-stratified physiological prediction should account for context-dependent performance structure rather than treating observed gaps as correctable bias.

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Beyond event-rate enrichment: proteomic risk scores for mechanism-aware prevention trial design

Fieggen, J.; Simond, G.; Segal, B. M.; Noori, A.; Thakurta, A.; Butler, C. C.; Clifton, D. A.; Clifton, L.

2026-06-10 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355266 medRxiv
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Background. Blood-based biomarkers are increasingly proposed for identifying high-risk individuals before clinical disease and for making prevention-oriented trials more efficient. Prognostic enrichment can increase event rates, but trial efficiency also depends on whether the intervention effect is preserved in the enriched population. Methods. Using the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, we trained disease-specific proteomic risk scores (ProRS) from 2,916 plasma proteins with elastic-net Cox models. We compared ProRS, polygenic risk scores (PRS), and combined PRS--ProRS scores across ten incident diseases. We estimated cumulative incidence and theoretical two-arm time-to-event trial sample sizes across risk strata. To evaluate effect preservation, we examined six intervention-analogue exposure--outcome pairs spanning genetic (PCSK9/coronary artery disease, APOE/Alzheimer's disease, PPARG/type 2 diabetes, IL23R/Crohn's disease), behavioural (physical activity/all-cause mortality), and pharmacological (RAAS inhibitors versus calcium channel blockers/coronary artery disease) examples. Results. ProRS outperformed PRS for 9 of 10 diseases (median C-index 0.75 versus 0.61). ProRS and PRS were weakly correlated (median Pearson |r| = 0.04), and joint PRS--ProRS stratification identified groups with higher observed incidence than either score alone for several endpoints. In the top risk quartile, combined-score enrichment reduced theoretical required sample sizes by 32--74\% under a fixed 20\% relative hazard reduction. These gains were not always preserved when stratum-specific intervention-analogue effects were used. Effects were broadly preserved for APOE/Alzheimer's disease and physical activity/mortality. The PPARG/type 2 diabetes effect attenuated toward the null under all three score types, showing that event-rate enrichment does not guarantee effect preservation. For IL23R/Crohn's disease and the antihypertensive comparison, point estimates differed across score types -- preserved under polygenic but attenuated under proteomic enrichment -- but confidence intervals were wide and overlapping. Conclusions. Proteomic risk scores can identify high-event-rate populations for prevention-oriented trials, but event-rate enrichment alone is insufficient for trial design. Biomarker-guided enrichment should evaluate mechanism-specific effect preservation and may be preferable as a stratification or adaptive-design variable rather than as a restrictive eligibility criterion.

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Effects of a 5-week heart rate biofeedback randomized intervention on texture in the Alzheimer's Disease signature cortical region

Lee, S. Y.; Nashiro, K.; Min, J.; Yoo, H. J.

2026-06-05 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354853 medRxiv
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Using data from a randomized clinical trial, we examined whether daily biofeedback training that modulates heart rate oscillations is associated with changes in microstructural brain texture in Alzheimer's disease signature cortical (ADSC) and hippocampal regions. Younger and older adults were randomly assigned to one of two daily biofeedback practices for five weeks: slow-paced breathing designed to increase heart rate oscillations (Osc+) or self-selected strategies aimed at decreasing oscillations (Osc-). Intervention effects were observed in both ADSC and hippocampus regions and were confined to a composite texture factor dominated by uniformity and entropy. Across regions, effects were expressed primarily as Time x Condition interactions, indicating differential texture trajectories between Osc+ and Osc-. In the hippocampus, this pattern was further qualified by a Time x Condition x Age Group interaction, reflecting more pronounced effects in older adults, whereas younger adults showed no reliable texture modulation. Partial least squares correlation analyses further demonstrated that training-related texture changes in the left hippocampus, right fusiform gyrus, and right entorhinal cortex covaried with concurrent changes in plasma AD-related biomarkers, with tau- and p-tau related measures contributing most strongly to the multivariate association. Together, these findings suggest that HRV biofeedback may selectively influence specific dimensions of brain microstructural texture and that such changes are meaningfully coupled with plasma AD-related biomarker profiles.

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TACR3 variant confers resilience to aging and Alzheimer's disease

Ruffini, N.; Fischer, F. U.; Subirana Slotos, R.; Goschke, J.; Scholz, L.; Knaepen, K.; Huettelmaier, S.; Morrison, H.; Steffan, T.; Pabst, A.-S.; Winter, J.; Baier, B.; Mierau, A.; Binder, H.; Drzezga, A.; Teipel, S.; Fellgiebel, A.; Endres, K.; Tuescher, O.

2026-06-08 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355071 medRxiv
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Background: While genetic factors strongly influence brain aging trajectories, variants conferring cognitive resilience remain poorly characterized. The neurokinin-3 receptor (NK3-R), encoded by Tachykinin Receptor 3 (TACR3), modulates cholinergic signaling in memory circuits vulnerable to aging. Previous studies linked the non-WT expression of the TACR3 variant rs2765 with cognitive decline and reduced volume of the hippocampus and basal forebrain, but systematic replication and mechanistic validation were lacking. Methods: We investigated rs2765 in the preregistered AgeGain cohort of cognitively healthy older adults (n=188) with independent validation in the ADNI cohort (n=809) which includes persons with and without Alzheimers Disease (AD) that show healthy cognition, mild cognitive impairment or dementia. Analyses integrated structural neuroimaging, longitudinal cognitive assessments, epigenetic aging (PhenoAge), genome-wide methylation profiling, and mechanistic validation through luciferase assays and cross-species protein expression studies. Results: The infrequent protective rs2765 WT variant, found in 12.8% of Europeans, conferred 49% slower cognitive decline (p = 0.002) for amyloid-positive individuals of the ADNI cohort and 3.7 years younger epigenetic age (p = 0.013, 95% CI: 0.79-6.67 years) in the cognitively healthy AgeGain cohort. WT carriers showed larger hippocampal and basal forebrain volumes across cohorts, with Allen Brain Atlas integration revealing these outcomes to occur exclusively in regions where TACR3 expression positively correlated with gray matter volume. Mechanistically, the non-WT variant ameliorated RBMX-mediated post-transcriptional regulation, reducing NK3-R protein expression by 25-40% in vitro and ex vivo murine brain slice models. Senescence-accelerated mice exhibited reduced endogenous NK3-R expression, phenocopying the predicted functional consequences of the variant. In AgeGain participants, genome-wide methylation profiling identified 2,313 differentially methylated CpGs affecting 228 pathways spanning glutamatergic signaling, acetylcholine receptor pathways, chromatin remodeling, and angiogenesis, suggesting coordinated molecular reprogramming from synaptic function to systemic aging. Conclusions: rs2765 WT confers resilience to age- and AD-related cognitive decline through RBMX-dependent regulation of NK3-R expression, with effects of remarkable size cascading from memory to systemic aging. rs2765 genotyping could stratify individuals for NK3-R modulator therapy (e.g., fezolinetant or senktides) and identify those maintaining function despite pathological burden, complementing APOE-based risk assessment in precision geromedicine.

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Effect of levodopa treatment on gait in older adults with mild parkinsonian signs

Pongmala, C.; Roytman, S.; van Emde Boas, M.; Vangel, R.; Rosano, C.; Bohnen, N.

2026-06-06 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354926 medRxiv
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Background Slow walking in older adults with mild parkinsonian signs (MPS) is a complex, multifactorial phenomenon arising from the cumulative burden of subclinical age-associated pathologies. This decline reflects age-associated neuronal loss in the dopaminergic system. A recent study suggests that levodopa treatment may enhance gait parameters. The goal of this small pilot study is to explore the effect of levodopa treatment on slow walking gait in older adults with MPS. Method This study was a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical pilot trial. Slow walking older adults without clinical evidence of PD were recruited and randomized into 2 groups (active treatment group or placebo control group). Participants in the active group were pre-treated with carbidopa for three days, followed by carbidopa-levodopa for seven days. Spatiotemporal gait parameters were evaluated at baseline and post-intervention. Results Gait factor analysis identified three main factors explaining gait characteristics at baseline, which included gait efficiency, gait rhythmicity, and gait turning.No effect of treatment was observed in the placebo group (p=0.111, p=0.616), no group difference was observed between the placebo and active group at baseline ({beta}=0.310, p=0.547), but a strong trend for a treatment-related increase was observed in the active treatment group ({beta}=0.506, p=0.076). Conclusion Our preliminary data suggest that sustained levodopa treatment (one week) in conjunction with carbidopa pre-treatment and concomitant carbidopa supplementation is feasible in slow walking older adults with MPS. Moreover, the data indicate potential efficacy, showing improvements in cadence, and step durations.

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Arts and Cultural Engagement and Multidimensional Well-being in Later Life

Noguchi, T.; Erhua, S.; Hayashi, T.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354582 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Arts and cultural engagement may contribute to well-being in later life. However, evidence from longitudinal studies from Asia, including Japan, remains limited. This study examined the association of arts and cultural engagement with subsequent multidimensional well-being among older adults in Japan, one of the fastest-aging countries. Research Design and Methods: This longitudinal study used panel data from 354 individuals aged 60 and older (mean age 74.0 years; 78.6% women) who completed self-administered questionnaires by mail between 2022 and 2024. The PERMA-Profiler was used to assess five multifaceted aspects of psychological well-being: positive emotion, engagement, relationships, meaning, and accomplishment. Frequencies of arts and cultural engagement at baseline were measured for active (e.g., activities by individuals and participation in groups, such as music and painting) and receptive (e.g., visiting museums, galleries, and theaters) forms. Results: Multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusted for the covariates including baseline PERMA scores, showed that higher frequencies of active engagement were positively associated with higher PERMA scores for all domains. Higher frequencies of receptive engagement were associated with the domains of positive emotion, meaning, and accomplishment, but not clearly associated with engagement and relationships. Restricted cubic spline analyses suggested clearer positive frequency-response patterns for active engagement than for receptive engagement. Discussion and Implications: Arts and cultural engagement, both active and receptive forms, was associated with subsequent multiple aspects of well-being in later life. These findings suggest the importance of ensuring access to arts and cultural opportunities for older adults to create, participate, and connect.

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Impact of Modifiable Risk Factors and APOE on Neuropsychiatric Symptoms in Alzheimers Disease

Mia, H.; Del Rosario, P.; Kumar, A.; Ray, N. R.; Kurup, J. T.; Manoochehri, M.; Stein, C.; De Vito, A. N.; Cholerton, B.; Sweet, R.; Cuccaro, M. L.; Beecham, G. W.; Huey, E. D.; Reitz, C.

2026-06-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26353599 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND: Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are prevalent and debilitating in Alzheimer's disease (AD). Existing pharmacologic treatments are often ineffective and associated with serious adverse events. Identifying modifiable risk factors (MRFs) is critical for prevention and treatment. METHODS: Capitalizing on data from 14,497 individuals with AD from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) database, we examined longitudinal associations between modifiable risk factors, APOE genotype and NPI-Q-assessed NPS using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics. RESULTS: Diabetes, alcohol consumption, smoking, and TBI were associated with an increased risk of specific NPS in AD. APOE{varepsilon}4 carrier status was linked to multiple NPS, showing a dose-response relationship. Education, LDL-C, and corrective lenses were protective; hypertension showed no associations. CONCLUSION: These findings strongly suggest that individual MRFs are associated with specific NPS in line with a complex etiology underlying these symptoms. Early detection and management of vascular, lifestyle and sensory factors could reduce NPS.

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Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Among US Adults, 1999-2023: National Trends and Projections Through 2050

Fu, F.; Wei, A.; Wang, G.; Fang, S.; Chen, J.; Liu, W.; Liu, H.; Gao, X.; Lei, Y.; Guo, N.; Chen, M.; Yu, J.; Wang, Y.; Li, S.; Mao, Y.; Yan, L.

2026-06-10 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355220 medRxiv
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Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.

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Reducing placebo response in clinical trials of agitation in Alzheimer's disease

Knudson, K. C.; Anderson, K. M.; Ballard, M.; Lenz, R. A.; Dam, T.; Sagman, D.; Brandon, N. J.; Banerjee, T.; Jaffe, A. E.

2026-06-04 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354808 medRxiv
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High placebo response is an obstacle in developing drugs to treat agitation in Alzheimer's disease (AAD), a prevalent and burdensome symptom. However, it has proved challenging to develop actionable models of placebo response that 1) can be applied prospectively, requiring only information available at screening or baseline, 2) yield strategies for reducing placebo response without equally depressing drug response, and 3) show generalizability across trials. Here, we first investigated placebo response in AAD at the trial level using meta-regression applied to 23 clinical trials. Meta-regression identified several factors associated with increased placebo response, but most of these factors were non-specific such that they predicted improvements in drug response as well. We therefore turned to individual level clinical trial datasets and applied causal modeling to predict which participants would have high placebo response relative to predicted drug response. We successfully built and validated the causal model across two independent clinical trials of risperidone and haloperidol at the level of individual patients (ability to predict subsequent improvement on drug or placebo). Crucially, we also found efficacy improvements in the overall trial through in silico exclusion/screen failing of high placebo-predicted subjects. We further characterized features most associated with placebo response to improve explainability and, lastly, validated the effect of these features at the trial level in clinical trials of galantamine, an acetylcholinesterase inhibitor (hence in a different class of drugs than those in the other two trials used). Taken together, we have developed and applied a causal modeling framework for reducing placebo response and increasing trial-level efficacy in neuropsychiatry clinical trials using historical trial datasets.

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Immune Biomarker Signatures as Predictors of Functional and Pain Recovery After Total Knee Arthroplasty in Older Adults

Kraus, V. B.; Greenberg, N. D.; Ashner, M.; Huebner, J. L.; Bareja, A.; Peskoe, S.; Simon, C.; Whitson, H. E.; Colon-Emeric, C. S.

2026-06-10 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355189 medRxiv
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Postoperative resilience varies widely among older adults, yet the biological drivers of recovery remain unclear. We evaluated whether preoperative immune profiles, measured in plasma and through ex vivo whole blood stimulation, predict resilience to the acute stress of total knee arthroplasty. A total of 152 adults (greater or equal to 60 years) in the PRIME KNEE cohort underwent elective total knee arthroplasty and had available blood samples for measurement of 45 immune biomarkers, quantified in plasma and in whole blood stimulated ex vivo for 24 hours with lipopolysaccharide (LPS) or influenza antigen (FLU). Resilience was assessed using Expected Recovery Differential (ERD) and Resilience Trajectory (RT) across pain severity, pain interference, lower extremity physical activities of daily living (LE PADLs), and step counts. An exploratory stability selection framework using LASSO identified biomarker predictors of postoperative outcomes. Plasma and stimulated biomarkers showed broadly similar predictive performance. A shared set of biomarkers, including LBP, leptin, TNFR1, CD30, and LIF, was consistently selected across models. Immune predictors explained ~12-24% of the variance in resilience outcomes. Distinct immune signatures emerged for pain versus functional recovery: pain related predictors mapped to local inflammatory and neuroimmune pathways, whereas function related predictors reflected systemic inflammatory load and cytokine signaling. Preoperative immune biomarkers, whether measured in plasma or after ex vivo stimulation, capture meaningful variance in postoperative resilience. The divergence between pain related and function related immune signatures highlights biologically distinct pathways underlying different dimensions of recovery and supports further development of immune based perioperative risk assessment.

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Dementia and Frailty Impact Postoperative Care Trajectories and Burden among Older Adults Undergoing Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer

Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.

2026-06-06 urology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354768 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [&ge;] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [&ge;] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.

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Assessment of safe wheeled walker use in frail older adults: Development of a video-based rating instrument

Leonhardt, R.; Lindemann, U.; Schneider, M.; Rapp, K.; Klenk, J.

2026-06-08 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354904 medRxiv
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Background: Wheeled walkers can improve safety during walking, but improper use may increase fall risk among frail older adults. No suitable tool exists to assess safe indoor wheeled walker use in this population. This study aimed to develop and validate a video-based expert assessment tool. Methods: Based on the literature and expert consensus, seven problematic indoor situations were identified, and an assessment tool with five safety criteria per situation was developed (maximum score = 35). Fifty participants (mean age 83.9 years, 64% women) from a geriatric rehabilitation clinic and a nursing home were video-recorded while using a rollator. Expert ratings were compared with nursing staff ratings, self-ratings, and the Timed Up and Go test to evaluate validity. Intra- and inter-rater reliability were determined from independent ratings by two physiotherapists and a repeated expert rating after seven days. Sensitivity to change was assessed after two weeks of rehabilitation, and feasibility by the time required for assessment. Results: The expert score of rater 1 at baseline was 28.5 points, and assessment required a mean of 17.5 minutes. Intra-rater reliability was excellent (ICC = 0.98) and inter-rater reliability was good (ICC = 0.80). Validity analyses showed the strongest association with nursing staff assessments (r = 0.74) and a moderate association with the Timed Up and Go test (r = -0.45). After two weeks, patients improved by an average of 2.38 points (8.4% of baseline score). Conclusions: The new instrument demonstrated high reliability, acceptable validity, sensitivity to change, and good feasibility for assessing safe wheeled walker use in frail older adults. Trial registration number and date of registration: DRKS00038358, 07/11/2025

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Multimodal sleep stage classification and label-free abnormality scoring in mid-to-older adults

Nur, Z.; Bijlani, N.; Villarroel, M.

2026-06-05 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.28.26353980 medRxiv
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Background: Sleep fragmentation and reduced sleep efficiency are markers of disrupted sleep architecture linked to cognitive and age-related decline. Current assessments rely on subjective reports prone to recall bias, limiting their effectiveness for longitudinal monitoring. Data-driven analysis of sleep using physiological signals such as EEG and EMG remains underutilised, particularly in mid-to-older adults. Objective: We present a deep learning pipeline for automated sleep staging and label-free abnormality scoring, with the primary objective of quantifying deviations in sleep architecture to capture progressive sleep disruption and longitudinal change. Methods: Temporal and attention-based models were benchmarked using datasets from the National Sleep Research Resource and PhysioBank. To improve class-specific performance, we introduce a stacking-based ensemble of sleep stage classifiers, each trained to specialise in a different stage. For longitudinal scoring, we develop a reconstruction loss-based abnormality metric using a temporal convolutional autoencoder trained on hypnograms generated by the sleep staging models. Results: Attention-based models, particularly AttnSleep, achieved the highest performance in both multimodal and single-channel settings (accuracy: 0.85 and 0.83; F1: 0.79 and 0.74, respectively). The encoder-decoder ensemble model improved overall classification accuracy by 3% compared to the best-performing biased base classifier, with a modest gain in N1-stage F1 score (0.444). The proposed abnormality score correlated with Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index components and showed sensitivity to synthetic hypnogram degradation, highlighting its potential as a label-free indicator of sleep disruption. Conclusion: Automated classification and annotation-free scoring enable an end-to-end multimodal pipeline that supports scalable, objective sleep health monitoring, with relevance for future clinical deployment.

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Physical activity, fatty acids, and MASLD risk: Behavioural and metabolic factors jointly shaping liver health in populations

Chen, F.; You, R.; Liu, Y.; Yin, Y.; Liu, A.; Deng, L.; Xie, B.; Fan, J.; Wang, W.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354982 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: MASLD has become the most prevalent chronic liver disease globally. Although MVPA and plasma fatty acids have been individually studied in relation to metabolic health, their independent and combined associations with MASLD incidence remain unclear. We aimed to investigate these associations. Methods: This study included 51,717 UK Biobank participants free of liver disease at baseline, with MVPA measured using wrist-worn accelerometers and plasma fatty acids quantified via NMR. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models and restricted cubic splines were used. Results: Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, 472 incident cases were identified. In fully adjusted models, meeting recommended MVPA levels together with higher n-6 PUFA concentrations was associated with a 71% lower risk (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.18-0.45). The MVPA-MASLD association was nonlinear, with risk reduction plateauing at approximately 189 minutes per week. Higher n-6 PUFA was associated with reduced risk, whereas n-3 PUFA showed no significant association. Conclusions: These findings suggest that behavioral and metabolic factors may jointly influence MASLD risk. Further studies in diverse populations are needed to confirm these associations.

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Registered Report: Artifact Index for Capacitive Electrocardiography Acquired with an Armchair

Warnecke, J. M.; Baumgärtel, D.; Bollmann, J.; Deserno, T. M.

2026-06-09 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.03.26353526 medRxiv
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Background Continuous health monitoring enables early detection of diseases and improves therapeutic outcomes. Non-intrusive biosignal sensors, such as capacitive ECG (cECG), offer a practical solution for daily monitoring in private environments, such as smart homes and vehicles. However, artifacts reduce signal quality and compromise reliability. Methods Following a registered report protocol (Warnecke JM et al. Plos One. 2021; 16(7):e0254780), we record data of 44 subjects and develop an artifact index for cECG. We use three signal quality indices (SQIs): the correlation of QRS complexes (corSQI), the R-peak detection consistency (bSQI) and the absolute amplitude ratio (aSQI). Our index classifies overlapping 10s segments with a step-width of 2s into clean or artifact segments. We label a 2s interval as artifacts if all five overlapping segments indicate artifacts. We record cECGs using an armchair with integrated electrodes in a single-arm study involving 44 subjects performing two activities -- reading and watching television (TV); for 11 minutes each. We record a time-synchronized reference ECG with skin electrodes on the chest. To evaluate the artifact index, we compare it with manually generated ground truth. Moreover, we evaluate the clothing materials cotton, linen, jeans, and polyester in 5 subjects. Results Watching TV results in longer, continuously clean signal durations than reading. On average, 88.3% of the signal has a minimum continuous clean duration of 10s, versus 79.8% during reading. All clothing configurations achieve a clean signal duration exceeding 10s. Among the SQI metrics, bSQI performs best, achieving an accuracy of 90.7% and an F1 score of 79.9%. Combining the three SQI metrics in a voting approach improves accuracy to 92.0% and F1 score to 82.1%. Discussion Our artifact index automatically distinguishes clean from artifact cECG segments, promoting health monitoring in unsupervised real-world settings, earlier disease detection, and preventive health management. A limitation is the investigation of only two scenarios (reading and watching TV).

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BodyMAE: A Surface-Area Aware Masked Autoencoder for Body Composition Estimation from 3D Body Scans

Zheng, Y.; Feng, B.; Cheng, R.; Qiu, C.; Long, Z.; Vaziri, K.; Hahn, J.

2026-06-06 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354925 medRxiv
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Accurate assessment of body composition is important to risk stratification and management of metabolic, musculoskeletal, and aging-related diseases, yet reference modalities such as Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) are costly and impractical for frequent monitoring. Commodity 3D body scans offer a low-cost, radiation-free alternative, but extracting meaningful and predictive shape features from scans remains challenging due to nonuniform point density, variable body size and cross-device differences. We introduce BodyMAE, a self-supervised, surface-area aware masked autoencoder for metric-scale 3D body scans. The pipeline integrates area-adjusted sampling, a long-range focused encoder, and a lightweight decoder regularized to promote locally uniform reconstructions. Trained and evaluated on 917 paired 3D body scans paired with clinical DXA reports, BodyMAE achieves strong accuracy on fat percentage (root-mean-square error (RMSE) 3.825 percentage points, R^2 0.908), fat mass (RMSE 3.694 kg, R^2 0.968), and lean mass (RMSE 3.608 kg, R^2 0.901), with competitive performance on bone mineral content (RMSE 0.284 kg, R^2 0.754).We also assess feature stability across pretrained baselines, finding higher retrieval accuracy for our representations (Top-1 90.131%). These results indicate that combining metric-aware sampling, long-range relational encoding, and local geometric regularization enables accurate body composition estimation from 3D body scans, as validated by comparisons to DXA-derived measurements.

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More Than Results: A Qualitative Study on the Role of Person-Centered Genetic Counseling in Parkinson Disease Research

Verbrugge, J.; Fiallos, K.; Cook, L.; Miller, M.; Head, K. J.

2026-06-09 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354465 medRxiv
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As genetic testing becomes increasingly integrated into Parkinson disease (PD) research, including targeted testing for variants in LRRK2 and GBA1, the return of individual research results is becoming more common. However, limited qualitative data exists regarding how research participants experience genetic results disclosure and post-test genetic counseling in PD research settings. We conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with participants (n=13) enrolled in the Parkinson Precision Medicine Initiative (formerly Parkinson Progression Markers Initiative; PPMI) who had received PD-related genetic test results and post-test genetic counseling. Interviews were conducted 1 to 3 weeks following result disclosure and analyzed using thematic analysis with a primarily deductive coding approach informed by study aims and inductive identification of emergent themes. Four primary themes were identified: (1) personal connection and motivations for participation, (2) centrality of result disclosure and information preferences, (3) emotional experiences and support needs, and (4) communication quality and alignment with participant needs. Overall, our findings underscore the importance of person-centered genetic counseling within PD research. As return of genetic and biomarker results in research and clinical trial contexts expand, thoughtful integration of relational, informational, and communication-focused practices will be essential to support participant engagement and trust.

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Genotype is a predictor of blood pressure variability and relative systemic hypertension risk in sickle cell disease

Bowers, A. S. A.; Henry, K.; McConnell, B.; Francis, C.; Thaxter-Nesbeth, K.

2026-06-10 hematology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355049 medRxiv
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Background Blood pressure (BP) regulation in individuals with sickle cell disease (SCD) is influenced by a complex interplay of genetic and physiological factors. While SCD has traditionally been associated with lower BP, there is an increased risk of hypertension. Emerging BP research suggests significant heterogeneity across genotypes, age groups, and sex. Objectives: This study investigated the longitudinal effects of population-level characteristics and continuous clinical and laboratory predictors on systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in individuals with SCD, with emphasis on the interactions between baseline and predicted blood pressure slopes over time. Methods We retrospectively analyzed longitudinal data from a cohort of 2,739 patients with diverse SCD genotypes. Descriptive statistics were documented across sex, age range, genotype, health status and relative systemic hypertension risk categories (rHTN-risk). Linear mixed-effects models provided estimates of fixed- and random-effects of baseline BP and of time-related BP effects, respectively. Post-estimation margins provided contrasts of baseline-adjusted BP means and of pre-specified time effects on BP patterns. Results Males had significantly higher baseline SBP ({beta} = 6.64, p < 0.001) but lower baseline DBP ({beta} = -2.61, p < 0.001) compared with age-matched HbSS females. Baseline SBP was more unstable compared with baseline DBP and baseline DBP was more predictive of future BP trends than baseline SBP. Genotype was a consistent predictor of DBP (p < 0.05), but not of SBP. Similarly, we observed increased risks of relative diastolic hypertension across most genotypes, while the prevalence and magnitude of systolic hypertension was lower across all genotype compared with HbSS. Conclusions Blood pressure trajectories in SCD patients are not uniform and are significantly related to genotype, age group and sex over time. Baseline diastolic levels were less heterogenous and exhibited clear upward trajectories over time. These findings support the need for patient-specific BP surveillance in the care and management of SCD.