Early imaging signs associated withsubsequent diagnosis of primary sclerosingcholangitis

BACKGROUND Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is characterized by multifocal biliary strictures on MRI/MRCP. However,we have observed that young PSC patients often displayed a marked intrahepatic bile duct visibility,sometimes with gallbladder enlargement, before developing biliary strictures. This study aimed to evaluatewhether this imaging pattern was associated with subsequent diagnosis of PSC. PATIENTS AND METHODS This retrospective two-center study included patients younger than 21 years who had a baseline liverMRI/MRCP, without biliary strictures. The endpoint was a definite diagnosis of large duct PSC during follow-up. The association of baseline imaging findings with the endpoint was evaluated by multivariable logisticregression, Cox models, and Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS Ninety-four patients were included: 54% were women, the mean age was 16.7 years, and 23% had IBD. Overa mean follow-up of 7.75 years, 21 patients were subsequently diagnosed with large duct PSC after a mediantime of 5.60 years. Marked intrahepatic bile duct visibility and gallbladder enlargement displayed goodperformance to predict the subsequent diagnosis of PSC (AUC, 0.77 and 0.69, respectively). The presence ofboth signs displayed a specificity of 1.00. In multivariable analyses, marked intrahepatic bile duct visibility andgallbladder enlargement were independently associated with subsequent PSC diagnosis (OR 17.00 (95% CI,3.10-93.24; p = 0.001) and 16.08 (95% CI, 2.29-113.02; p = 0.005) respectively) and shorter time to diagnosis(HR 9.42 (95% CI, 2.50-35.59; p < 0.001) and 7.59 (95% CI, 2.03-28.41; p = 0.003) respectively). Survivalanalyses confirmed the association between these two imaging signs and the subsequent PSC diagnosis (HR7.78 (95% CI, 2.62-23.16; p < 0.001) and 3.85 (95% CI, 1.64-9.08; p < 0.001) respectively). CONCLUSIONS In young patients without biliary strictures, marked intrahepatic bile duct visibility and gallbladder enlargementon MRI/MRCP were strongly associated with subsequent diagnosis of large duct PSC.