New lesion formation is associated with accelerated brain aging in multiple sclerosis

Background: Brain age is a biomarker of brain tissue integrity associated with disability in multiple sclerosis. While new lesion formation is central to MS diagnosis and treatment monitoring, its direct relationship to brain aging has not been established. Methods: We analyzed 163 people with MS with clinical and MRI assessments at baseline and years 3, 6, and 8. Brain age was estimated using BrainAgeNeXt. Annualized brain age acceleration was modeled as a function of radiological activity using generalized estimating equations, adjusting for age, sex, disease duration, baseline T2 lesion volume, normalized brain volume (NBV), brain age difference (BAD), and disease-modifying therapy. Secondary analyses examined dose-response effects, post-activity recovery, paramagnetic rim lesion (PRL) associations, and disability associations. Results: 105 participants had at least one new T2 lesion over 8 years. Radiologically active intervals (138 of 333) were associated with +0.19 yr/yr greater brain age acceleration than stable intervals (95% CI: 0.03-0.37; p=0.022), scaling with lesion count (beta=+0.18; p=0.001) and volume. Older age, greater baseline BAD, and NBV were independently associated with reduced brain age acceleration. Brain age acceleration in individuals with new lesions normalized during subsequent stable intervals (0.41 vs -0.06 yr/yr; p=0.001). Both PRLs and non-PRL lesions were associated with greater brain age acceleration than stable intervals. Baseline BAD, but not annualized acceleration, predicted Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and Nine-Hole Peg Test (9HPT) worsening. Conclusions: New focal lesion formation is associated with a quantifiable, dose-response acceleration of brain aging in MS that normalizes once lesion activity is suppressed.