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Institutional Standing and Trainee Outcomes in the 2025 US Residency Match

Turner, J. I.; Arias, A.; Burk-Rafel, J.; Oermann, E. K.

2026-07-13 medical education
10.64898/2026.07.09.26357696 medRxiv
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Importance: The transition from medical school to residency forms a national training network, yet its large-scale structure and implications for trainee outcomes remain poorly characterized. Objective: To evaluate the US residency match as a network and assess how institutional position relates to residency placement, educational debt, and specialty choice. Design: Cross-sectional analysis of publicly reported 2025 residency match outcomes. Setting: 107 US MD-granting medical schools and 301 residency institutions with available match data. Participants: 14,616 US MD students matching into residency in 2025 (convenience sample). Exposure: Institutional position within the residency match network, quantified using PageRank network centrality. The relative strength of each school's graduating class was defined as the median centrality of residency destinations across graduates (placement score). Main Outcomes and Measures: Residency placement outcomes, mean medical school debt at graduation, and specialty choice (primary care vs surgical specialties) in relation to institutional position within the residency match network. Network-derived measures were also compared with NIH funding, residency reputation, and student selectivity. Results: Among 14,616 US MD students matched across 107 medical schools and 301 residency institutions (approximately 73.5% of total US MD cohort), network-derived measures of institutional influence closely aligned with benchmarks of institutional standing such as NIH funding, residency reputation, and student selectivity (Spearman's Rho; = 0.72-0.86; all p < .001). Graduate outcomes varied systematically across institutions. Graduates of highly connected medical schools were more likely to match into highly connected residency programs (87.3% for top-quintile vs 41.0% for bottom-quintile schools). Schools with higher placement scores had graduates with lower educational debt, reduced entry into primary care, and increased entry into surgical or competitive specialties. Compared with bottom-decile schools, top-decile schools (stratified by placement score) had 37% lower mean graduate debt, 24% lower primary care entry, and 75% higher surgical specialty entry. Higher educational debt was not associated with entry into higher-compensated specialties. Conclusions and Relevance: The residency match network reflects a hierarchical structure of institutional standing. Graduates of higher- and lower-positioned medical schools experience systematically different residency placement outcomes. These findings provide a population-level, behavior-based perspective on institutional influence and its relationship to training pathways.

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