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Coffee Intake is Associated with Improved Insulin Sensitivity and Lower Visceral Adiposity: Evidence from Biomarker and Genetic Analysis

Sevilla-Gonzalez, M.; Wang, X.; Yun, H.; Mei, Z.; Hsu, S.; Hanson, P. A.; Hu, J.; Tobias, D. K.; LeBoff, M. S.; Demler, O.; Pradhan, A. D.; Mora, S.; Lee, I.-M.; Hu, F. B.; Udler, M. S.; Manson, J. E.; Li, J.

2026-07-08 endocrinology
10.64898/2026.06.25.26356610 medRxiv
Show abstract

Importance: Higher coffee intake has been associated with lower risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the underlying biological pathways remain incompletely understood. Objective: To examine associations of coffee intake with insulin sensitivity, adiposity, and T2D risk, and assess whether coffee intake modifies associations between pathway-specific genetic susceptibility and incident T2D. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional analyses among 806 participants without T2D in the VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL) clinical sub-cohort, who underwent repeated dietary assessment, clinical phenotyping, and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry imaging at baseline and year-2. Prospective analyses among 333,053 UK Biobank participants without T2D at baseline who had dietary and genetic data and were followed for a median of 13.3 years. Exposures: Coffee intake assessed by food frequency questionnaires. In UK Biobank, 12 pathway-specific polygenic scores (pPS) representing distinct T2D pathophysiological mechanisms were evaluated. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes, in VITAL, were HbA1c, oral glucose tolerance test-derived measures of glucose response and insulin sensitivity, beta-cell function, and overall, truncal, and visceral adiposity; in UK Biobank, was incident T2D. Results: In VITAL, higher coffee intake was associated with higher insulin sensitivity (standardized beta; per cup/day, 0.046; P = .004) and lower visceral adipose tissue mass (beta -0.047; P = .006), after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical factors, including body mass index. In UK Biobank, higher coffee intake was associated with lower T2D incidence (hazard ratio per cup/day, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.97), lower triglyceride-to-HDL cholesterol ratio (beta: -0.01; P = 2.51 x 10-19), and lower visceral adipose tissue mass (beta: -0.01; P = 4.28 x 10-9). Associations of 3 pPS related to insulin resistance and fat distribution with incident T2D were attenuated among participants consuming higher amount of coffee than among non-consumers (P for interaction < .0043). Conclusions and Relevance: Higher coffee intake was associated with greater insulin sensitivity, lower visceral adiposity, and lower risk of T2D. Together with the attenuation of associations between pathway-specific genetic susceptibility and T2D risk among higher coffee consumers, these findings suggest that insulin resistance and visceral adiposity-related pathways may contribute to the association between coffee intake and T2D risk.

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