Back

Sleep regularity outweighs sleep duration as a predictor of disease

Windred, D. P.; Burns, A. C.; Reynolds, A.; Sansom, K.; Lechat, B. C.; Scott, H.; Adams, R.; Steven, D.; Saxena, R.; Rutter, M.; Scheer, F. A.; Cain, S. W.; Phillips, A. J. K.

2026-06-16 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.06.15.26355648 medRxiv
Show abstract

Sleep regularity, the consistency of sleep-wake timing from one day to the next, is more strongly associated with longevity than adequate sleep duration. Whether this relationship persists across common diseases is unknown. We compared sleep regularity vs. sleep duration as risk factors for 199 diseases and disorders, using ten million hours of objective sleep-wake data (N=60,998, age[mean{+/-}SD]=62.8{+/-}7.8, 55% female). Multivariable-adjusted risks of incident diseases/disorders for regular/irregular and short/adequate sleepers were compared across 9.5 years of follow-up. Irregular sleep predicted risks for 131 diseases/disorders, more than double the number predicted by short sleep duration (63). Irregular sleep was a superior predictor than short sleep duration for 90 diseases/disorders, including circulatory, metabolic, digestive, renal, infectious, neurological, and musculoskeletal conditions, and mental disorders, whereas short sleep duration was the superior predictor for only 9 diseases/disorders. For models where short sleep duration explained disease risks, 83% were improved by adding sleep regularity. Sleep regularity was a stronger predictor of diseases/disorders than sleep duration in this cohort and should be considered an essential dimension of sleep health.

Matching journals

The top 9 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
eLife
5828 papers in training set
Top 6%
13.1%
2
Nature Communications
5641 papers in training set
Top 22%
7.4%
3
Sleep Advances
11 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
6.8%
4
eBioMedicine
183 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
5.2%
5
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2444 papers in training set
Top 13%
4.1%
6
Scientific Reports
3612 papers in training set
Top 25%
4.1%
7
Sleep
58 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
3.5%
8
Communications Medicine
113 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
3.3%
9
Communications Biology
993 papers in training set
Top 5%
3.3%
50% of probability mass above
10
Science Advances
1243 papers in training set
Top 10%
3.2%
11
PLOS ONE
5266 papers in training set
Top 40%
2.8%
12
BMC Medicine
176 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.2%
13
PLOS Genetics
862 papers in training set
Top 6%
2.0%
14
The Journals of Gerontology, Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences
26 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
1.8%
15
Molecular Psychiatry
282 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.7%
16
npj Digital Medicine
118 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.7%
17
PLOS Biology
486 papers in training set
Top 7%
1.1%
18
Nature Medicine
125 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.1%
19
iScience
1154 papers in training set
Top 29%
1.1%
20
Journal of the American Heart Association
140 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.0%
21
Science
477 papers in training set
Top 8%
0.9%
22
Biological Psychiatry Global Open Science
60 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.9%
23
BMJ Open Respiratory Research
35 papers in training set
Top 0.7%
0.9%
24
Neurology
50 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.9%
25
CHEST
14 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
0.9%
26
Diabetes Care
15 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
0.9%
27
JAMA Network Open
130 papers in training set
Top 4%
0.9%
28
Journal of Psychopharmacology
17 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
0.6%
29
European Heart Journal - Digital Health
18 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.6%
30
BMC Public Health
158 papers in training set
Top 6%
0.6%