Back

Smart AI-Powered Machine Learning Risk Assessment for Early Osteoporosis Detection for Women Bone Health

Monfared, V.

2026-06-02 orthopedics
10.64898/2026.05.31.26354550 medRxiv
Show abstract

Osteoporosis is often called a silent disease because it progresses without symptoms until a fracture occurs, posing a serious, yet frequently overlooked, threat to women health. In response to the pressing need for early detection, we introduce OsteoInsight, an intelligent, AI-powered web application designed to assess osteoporosis risk with both clinical accuracy and interpretability. Built on a Random Forest classifier trained on over 2000 women health records, our model incorporates a wide range of domain-informed features, including hormonal history, lifestyle factors, reproductive health, and conditions affecting bone health. Despite an imbalanced dataset, with around 75% of cases being osteoporosis-positive, the model achieved encouraging results: 71.81% accuracy, an F1-score of 0.79, and an AUC-ROC of 0.78. SHAP analysis highlighted age, BMI, and menstrual history as key predictors, offering transparent insights into the model reasoning. Additional contributors like fracture history, signs of low estrogen, and lactation duration were also found to be significant, enriching the interpretability of predictions. These insights are seamlessly integrated into OsteoInsight user interface, making risk assessments not only accessible but also understandable for both clinicians and users. Our findings underscore the potential of AI-driven tools to enhance early screening and enable personalized risk profiling, empowering women and healthcare providers to take proactive steps in osteoporosis prevention.

Matching journals

The top 3 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
npj Digital Medicine
97 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
29.1%
2
Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal
216 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
19.6%
3
Scientific Reports
3102 papers in training set
Top 12%
7.2%
50% of probability mass above
4
JMIR Medical Informatics
17 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
6.7%
5
JAMIA Open
37 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
3.9%
6
PLOS ONE
4510 papers in training set
Top 43%
2.7%
7
BMC Medicine
163 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.5%
8
Nature Medicine
117 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.0%
9
Nature Communications
4913 papers in training set
Top 50%
1.8%
10
PLOS Digital Health
91 papers in training set
Top 1%
1.8%
11
BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
39 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.4%
12
Advanced Science
249 papers in training set
Top 13%
1.4%
13
Bioinformatics
1061 papers in training set
Top 8%
1.3%
14
Communications Medicine
85 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
1.3%
15
eLife
5422 papers in training set
Top 54%
0.8%
16
IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics
34 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.8%
17
Nature Human Behaviour
85 papers in training set
Top 4%
0.8%
18
iScience
1063 papers in training set
Top 29%
0.8%
19
Science Advances
1098 papers in training set
Top 28%
0.8%
20
Computers in Biology and Medicine
120 papers in training set
Top 6%
0.5%
21
PLOS Computational Biology
1633 papers in training set
Top 28%
0.5%
22
Expert Systems with Applications
11 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
0.5%
23
BMC Bioinformatics
383 papers in training set
Top 8%
0.5%