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Traumatic Brain Injury and Risk of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity: a Prospective Cohort Study

Li, S.; Liu, X.; Chen, X.; Liu, Y.; Lin, L.; Liu, S.; Li, C.; Bai, Y.; Xie, W.; Cheng, X.

2026-05-12 cardiovascular medicine
10.64898/2026.05.07.26352704 medRxiv
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BackgroundRecent studies have established an association between traumatic brain injury (TBI) and cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). However, the influence of TBI on the sequential progression from a healthy state to CMD, subsequent to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), and ultimately to mortality remains unclear. MethodsA total of 366,616 participants free of CMD at baseline were derived from the UK Biobank (UKB). CMM was defined as the co-occurrence of [≥]2 CMD, including diabetes mellitus (DM), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke. Cox proportional hazards models and multi-state models were utilized to evaluate the association of TBI with disease transitions from a healthy state to CMM and subsequent mortality. ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 16.91 years, 54,224 participants developed at least one CMD, among whom 7,562 progressed to CMM. Furthermore, 32,785 cases of mortality were documented. In multi-state models, the hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for transitions from a healthy state to IHD, DM, stroke, and mortality were 1.91(95% CI: 1.77-2.05), 1.89 (95% CI: 1.71-2.09), and 4.73 (95% CI: 4.39-5.09), respectively. For sequential transitions from IHD, DM, and stroke to CMM, the HRs (95% CIs) were 2.67 (95% CI: 2.34-3.04), 3.29 (95% CI: 2.78-3.89), and 1.41 (95% CI: 1.15-1.72), respectively. Additionally, in Cox proportional hazards models, the HRs (95% CIs) for incident CMM and mortality among individuals with TBI were 3.98 (95% CI: 3.63-4.36) and 2.57 (95% CI: 2.44-2.71), respectively. ConclusionThis study found that TBI was associated with increased risk of progression from a healthy state to CMD, and subsequently to CMM and mortality, highlighting the importance of comprehensive management of TBI in cardiometabolic health. What is Known; What the Study AddsO_ST_ABSWhat is KnownC_ST_ABSTraumatic brain injury (TBI) is associated with an elevated risk of developing multiple cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). What the Study AddsThis study performed a systematic analysis of the relationships between TBI and multiple CMDs, providing valuable clinical references for the prevention and management of the onset and progression of cardiometabolic diseases and cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) among patients with TBI.

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