Back

An electrocardiogram-based machine learning model for distinguishing complete Kawasaki disease.

Nakano, T.; Saito, K.; Noda, K.; Asai, Y.; Kojima, A.; Uchida, H.; Ohira, Y.; Ito, H.; Kawada, J.-i.; Yoshikawa, T.

2026-05-06 pediatrics
10.64898/2026.04.30.26352183 medRxiv
Show abstract

Kawasaki disease (KD) is a systemic vasculitis in young children, and early diagnosis remains challenging when clinical features are incomplete or overlap with those of other febrile illnesses. Because electrocardiography (ECG) is noninvasive and widely available, we investigated whether ECG-derived features could help distinguish complete KD from pediatric patients with fevers. We conducted a single-center retrospective study of hospitalized febrile children aged 1-8 years who underwent digital 12-lead ECG recording during the initial evaluation. Five amplitude features and six timing features extracted from the ECG were used to develop a logistic regression model to distinguish between complete KD and other febrile illnesses. The model discriminated between the KD and non-KD groups in the validation dataset. The prediction score was not significantly correlated with the age and body temperature. S-wave amplitude, the RR interval, and P-and Q-wave amplitudes were suggested to contribute to discrimination. These findings suggest that ECG-derived features may provide adjunctive information for distinguishing complete KD from other febrile illnesses. Author SummaryKawasaki disease is an inflammatory illness in young children that can lead to coronary artery complications if treatment is delayed. Early diagnosis is often difficult because its initial symptoms overlap with those of many common febrile illnesses. We investigated whether a routine 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), which is noninvasive, rapid, and widely available, contains information that can help distinguish complete Kawasaki disease from other febrile conditions. We retrospectively analyzed digital ECGs from hospitalized febrile children and extracted waveform amplitude and timing features. Using these features, we built a logistic regression model and evaluated it in a temporally separate validation cohort. The model distinguished patients with Kawasaki disease from patients with fever. P-, Q-, and S-wave amplitudes and the RR interval were repeatedly selected as important contributors, suggesting that both waveform morphology and heart-rate-related information may be relevant. These findings indicate that ECG-derived features may provide useful adjunctive information during the clinical assessment of complete Kawasaki disease.

Matching journals

The top 6 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
PLOS ONE
5266 papers in training set
Top 14%
13.2%
2
Medicine
31 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
13.0%
3
Journal of the American Heart Association
140 papers in training set
Top 1%
7.4%
4
Frontiers in Neurology
102 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
5.7%
5
Scientific Reports
3612 papers in training set
Top 15%
5.6%
6
Frontiers in Pediatrics
32 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
5.6%
50% of probability mass above
7
BioData Mining
22 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
5.6%
8
Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
53 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
5.0%
9
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
466 papers in training set
Top 3%
2.8%
10
Cureus
68 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.2%
11
The Journal of Infectious Diseases
202 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.2%
12
Physiological Measurement
14 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.8%
13
Annals of Translational Medicine
18 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
1.5%
14
Vaccines
198 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.5%
15
PLOS Digital Health
106 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.5%
16
Critical Care Explorations
14 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.4%
17
JAMA Network Open
130 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.2%
18
BMJ Open
601 papers in training set
Top 11%
1.2%
19
Frontiers in Immunology
638 papers in training set
Top 7%
1.2%
20
Open Forum Infectious Diseases
142 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.2%
21
The Journal of Pediatrics
16 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
1.2%
22
JMIRx Med
32 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.1%
23
Journal of Clinical Medicine
97 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.1%
24
IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering
40 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
1.0%
25
Children
10 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
0.9%
26
Archives of Clinical and Biomedical Research
28 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.9%
27
Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
17 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
0.9%
28
Pulmonary Circulation
10 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
0.6%