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Examining clan conflict dynamics and their role in driving displacement: insights from Somalia

Yusuf, M. I.; Adan, A. M.; Omar, A. A.

2025-11-02 primary care research
10.1101/2025.10.30.25339180 medRxiv
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This study examined the clan conflict dynamics and their role in driving displacement in Somalia. A comprehensive literature review and quantitative retrospective data analysis were employed to obtain the studys data. The study used inferential statistical tests of correlation and linear regression analysis to examine the association between clan conflict frequency and displacement. Utilizing correlational analyses, the research demonstrates a strong positive correlation (Pearsons r = 0.705, p < 0.05) between clan-based conflict and displacement. Moreover, the study examines the relationship between clan-based conflicts and population displacement in Somalia using Linear Regression Analysis. The results indicate a robust positive association between these two variables, with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.705. The statistical significance of the regression model is confirmed by the ANOVA results, which show an F-statistic of 8.891 and a p-value of 0.015, demonstrating that clan conflict serves as a significant predictor of displacement. The coefficients table further corroborates this finding, revealing a standardized coefficient (Beta) of 0.705 and a p-value of 0.015, which suggests a strong and statistically significant association between clan conflict and displacement. Finally, the study proposes several recommendations to address these issues, including community-level resilience initiatives, early conflict warning systems, data-driven decision-making, sustainable income generation programs, and multi-stakeholder collaboration.

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