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Cross-Ancestry Polygenic Risk Scores Enhance Alzheimer's Disease Risk Prediction in Multiethnic Cohorts

Okorie, M.; Jonson, C.; Oddi, A. P.; Castruita, P. A.; Fulton-Howard, B.; Yaffe, K.; Yokoyama, J. S.; Momoh, C. T.; Andrews, S. J.

2025-10-07 genetic and genomic medicine
10.1101/2025.10.03.25337285 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTIONGenome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified 80+ genetic loci associated with Alzheimers disease (AD), enabling the development of polygenic risk scores (PRS). However, the predictive accuracy of PRS in diverse populations remains low. Here, we evaluated the predictive accuracy of single-, multi-, and cross-ancestry AD-PRS models across multi-ancestral populations. METHODSWe used AD GWAS summary statistics from European, African, Amerindian, and East Asian populations to construct AD-PRS for each target population. Model performance was assessed by estimating odds ratios, R2, and AUC. RESULTSThe cross-ancestry Bayesian PRS model demonstrated the highest predictive performance in non-European populations. It was significantly associated with poorer cognitive function, lower A{beta}42 CSF levels, and the most severe category of A{beta} and tau neuropathological burden, as well as a clinical AD latent variable in a multi-ancestral validation cohort. DISCUSSIONInclusive genetic datasets and cross-ancestry PRS models are needed to enhance the transportability of AD-PRS across multi-ancestral populations. Research in contextO_LISystematic review: Using diverse GWAS datasets to construct AD-PRS is a promising yet underexplored approach to improve risk prediction accuracy across different populations. Integrating diverse base GWAS datasets and evaluating various PRS models can enhance model performance, but such approaches have not yet been widely applied to multi-ancestral cohorts to measure AD risks or abnormalities in biomarkers. C_LIO_LIInterpretation: Incorporation of ancestrally diverse base GWAS datasets enhanced the association between PRS and AD risk across multiple populations. Leveraging both these diverse discovery datasets and a Bayesian framework markedly improved model performance, extending its potential clinical applicability beyond AD case-control classification to the prediction of biomarker abnormalities. C_LIO_LIFuture directions: Future research should prioritize the validation of cross-ancestry PRS models in larger and more heterogeneous populations, alongside systematic benchmarking against an expanding repertoire of PRS methodologies. Clinical implementation of AD-PRS will require rigorous validation in large, diverse as well as community-based populations to ensure reproducibility and generalizability, thereby enhancing its translational relevance. C_LI HighlightsO_LISingle-ancestry PRS is only predictive in participants of European populations. C_LIO_LICross-ancestry PRS improves risk predictions in non-European participants. C_LIO_LICross-ancestry PRS is associated with abnormal A{beta} and tau pathology and cognitive decline C_LIO_LICross-ancestry PRS is associated with the AD latent variable in a multi-ancestral cohort C_LI

Published in Alzheimer's & Dementia (predicted rank #1) · training set

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