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Several Mathematical Aspects on Daily Number of COVID-19 Infection Cases in Eight Southeast Asian Places

Chow, C. L.; Cheng, C. H.; Chow, W. K.

2023-07-23 health policy
10.1101/2023.07.19.23292810 medRxiv
Show abstract

The number of daily confirmed infected cases is a key parameter to determine emergency management actions to take. The mathematical characteristics of the daily infection number should be explored for working out appropriate control scheme. Several mathematical aspects on the daily number of infected cases will be discussed in 8 Southeastern Asian places using the confirmed daily infection numbers available in public websites. Phase space diagrams of plotting the daily infection rate estimated numerically against daily infection number on those tests are presented first. Modeling parameters including the Farrs Law are also discussed. A parameter is proposed to describe the extent of infection by estimating the transient daily infection number divided by the time.

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