Excess Mortality in the Vaccination Era in the United States, By State and 6-Month Period
Faust, J. S.; Renton, B.; Du, C.; Chen, A. J.; Li, S.-X.; Lin, Z.; Krumholz, H. M.
Show abstract
IntroductionThe US continued to record all-cause excess mortality after the rollout of vaccines. We sought to quantify excess mortality by state and compare these rates to primary series vaccination completion levels. MethodsObservational cohort, US and state-level data. Expected monthly deaths were modeled using pre-pandemic US and state-level data (2015-2020). Mortality data was accessed from CDC public reporting. ResultsWe find that in a two-year period since the rollout of vaccines, the US recorded >874,000 excess deaths. Vaccination rates and excess mortality were most strongly correlated in first two periods before the Omicron variant. ConclusionThe association between vaccination and lower excess mortality rates was strongest in 2021 and early 2022, prior to high population rates of infection-acquired immunity. The findings underscore the benefits of the rapid vaccination rollout campaign and the continued need to boost at-risk populations.
Matching journals
The top 4 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Time trends between vaccination coverage and voting patterns before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: analysis of COVID-19 and flu surveys in the United States 94%
- Demographic benchmarks for equitable coverage of the COVID-19 vaccination program among priority populations 93%
- Willingness to vaccinate against COVID-19 in the US: Longitudinal evidence from a nationally representative sample of adults from April–October 2020 93%
Similar papers in this journal
- Safety Monitoring of Health Outcomes following Influenza Vaccination during the 2023-2024 Season among U.S. Medicare Beneficiaries Aged 65 Years and Older 93%
- 2024-2025 BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in non-immunocompromised adults: mid-season estimates from vaccine registries in two states linked to administrative claims 93%
- Relative effectiveness of booster vs. 2-dose mRNA Covid-19 vaccination in the Veterans Health Administration: Self-controlled risk interval analysis 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Self-Reported SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination is Consistent with Electronic Health Record Data among the COVID-19 Community Research Partnership 92%
- Influenza Vaccination and COVID19 Mortality in the USA 92%
- Race-ethnicity and Perceptional Determinants of COVID-19 Vaccination Intentions: A Cross-sectional Study Among Health Workers and the General Population in the San Francisco Bay Area 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines on Covid-19 Incidence and Mortality in the United States 95%
- Time trends, factors associated with, and reasons for COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in a massive online survey of US adults: January-May 2021 94%
- COVID-19 mortality in the United States: It’s been two Americas from the start 92%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.