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Prediction of severe COVID-19 cases requiring intensive care in Osaka, Japan
2021-06-07
public and global health
Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
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BackgroundTo avoid exhaustion of medical resources by COVID-19 care, policy-makers must predict care needs, specifically estimating the proportion of severe cases likely to require intensive care. In Osaka prefecture, Japan, the number of these severe cases exceeded the capacity of ICU units prepared for COVID-19 from mid-April, 2021. ObjectiveThis study used a statistical model to elucidate dynamics of severe cases in Osaka and validated the model through prospective testing. MethodsThe study...
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