Long lockdowns and rainy days: Modeling the interactive roles of weather, behavior, and restrictions in COVID-19 transmission in the Netherlands
Mitas, O.; Kokkinou, A.
Show abstract
Extant research on the role of weather in COVID-19 has produced ambiguous results and much methodological debate. Following advice emerging from this methodological debate, we take a step further in modeling effects of weather on COVID-19 spread by including interactions between weather, behavior, baseline cases, and restrictions in our model. Our model was based on secondary infection, hospitalization, restriction, weather, and mobility data per day nested with safety region in the Netherlands. Our findings show significant but inconsistent interactions. The robust effects of weather on COVID-19 spread persisted over and above these interactions, highlighting the need to account for weather with nuance and caution in public policy, communication, and forecasting.
Matching journals
The top 10 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- On the effectiveness of COVID-19 restrictions and lockdowns: Pan metron ariston 93%
- COVID-19 infections in day care centres in Germany: Social and organisational determinants of infections in children and staff in the second and third wave of the pandemic 92%
- Effect of different resumption strategies to flatten the potential COVID-19 outbreaks amid society reopens: a modeling study 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- Evaluating the policy of closing bars and restaurants in Cataluña and its effects on mobility and COVID19 incidence 93%
- An early assessment of the epidemiological effects of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in Germany 92%
- Rotation-based schedules in elementary schools to prevent COVID-19 spread: A simulation study 92%
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Reducing societal impacts of SARS-CoV-2 interventions through subnational implementation 90%
- Revealing the drivers of antibiotic resistance trends in Streptococcus pneumoniae amidst the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from mathematical modeling 89%
- Lack of ownership of mobile phones could hinder the rollout of mHealth interventions in Africa 89%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.