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An Empirical Inference of the Severity of Resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe

Baruah, H. K.

2020-10-23 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 medRxiv
Show abstract

In Europe the Corona Virus spread had started to retard months ago, but after some time it has started to accelerate again. In this article, we are going to analyze the current COVID-19 spread patterns in Italy, the UK, Germany, Russia, Spain and France. We have found that the current spread has perhaps been underestimated as just the second wave. As per our analysis, as on 7 October the resurgence is much more vigorous than the first wave of spread of the disease. It is going to be most serious in Russia, followed by Italy, Germany and the UK, while in Spain and France the patterns are yet to take inferable shapes.

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